Should the Mets Just Wait for Vladimir Guerrero Jr.?

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  • Опубликовано: 30 янв 2025

Комментарии • 99

  • @dashx1103
    @dashx1103 15 дней назад +7

    I think this is a really instructive breakdown. I, personally, don't see the Mets tying up 12+ years with two high-priced players. I don't think Vladdy is on the radar, personally. Maybe I'm wrong. But I expect the Mets to sign Pete for 3 years, then another bat ... quite possibly Winker. And then a couple of bullpen arms. And I think that'll be it.

  • @DJxGameHunter
    @DJxGameHunter 16 дней назад +18

    People who want sentiment instead of the best possible team to compete with LA do not know ball

    • @Pcbdude82
      @Pcbdude82 15 дней назад +1

      😂😂😂 what's the better opinion than right now? Marky v at 1st and Batty at 3rd? Talk about not knowing ball..

  • @fr2ncm9
    @fr2ncm9 15 дней назад +1

    Met fans seem to crave the shiny object. I agree with you. Having Vlad and Soto on 14 and 15 yr deals means that they will be saddled with overpriced players who could wind up like Jose Abreu. Do you want to pay a player 40 or 50 million to hit 200?

  • @Joe-j1f
    @Joe-j1f 15 дней назад +1

    25:00 I love how you talk about the home runs being a pretty big difference, but you just totally gloss over the 40 point difference in average😂just like Soto Vlad hasn’t even hit his prime yet…Pete is past his prime

  • @tetuone11
    @tetuone11 16 дней назад +3

    It's Uncle Steve's money. Just sign Vladdy!
    Met fans have put A LOT of thought into this already. Not good Met nation, not good.
    Take care everyone.

    • @stanfromwestport2024
      @stanfromwestport2024 15 дней назад

      @tetuone11...U R 100% Right...Now is the time for Vladdy Jr

  • @evancovello1932
    @evancovello1932 16 дней назад +5

    The idea of not signing Pete because there’s a great free agent available next offseason is crazy. There is zero guarantee we sign Vlad Jr.

    • @ronkonkoma4223
      @ronkonkoma4223 16 дней назад +5

      They haven't signed Pete because they learned from Scherzer and Verlander. They don't want to get stuck in a bad contract with a declining player.

    • @barmenxandiego1340
      @barmenxandiego1340 16 дней назад

      They said the same thing last year when we didn’t sign any real big free agent pitchers that they were waiting for burns to hit free agency. Burns came and went and the Mets were barely even mentioned . So why not sign Pete then sign Vlad they can take turns at DH And first place

    • @stanfromwestport2024
      @stanfromwestport2024 15 дней назад +1

      Pete AND Vladdy should, and quite possibly WILL, be on the METS Opening Day Roster

    • @primarycolorsvideo
      @primarycolorsvideo 15 дней назад

      No doubt sterns and co have reason to believe Vlady likes the Mets.

    • @LockedOnMets
      @LockedOnMets  15 дней назад

      That’s a fair point. You can’t just assume he’ll come here. If you miss out on Alonso and Vladdy, then what?

  • @EdwinGarcia-hb8vt
    @EdwinGarcia-hb8vt 15 дней назад +1

    This Vlad jr talk is for next year, how about not throwing away this year. Mets got to get a couple of bats, trade for a staring pitcher and aquire some bullpen help.

  • @Joe-j1f
    @Joe-j1f 15 дней назад

    Yes, it looks like they are! There are finally reports linking the two… including Mike deportes and Hector Gomez saying the Mets are pushing hard for Vladimir and the Mets are putting a package together to present to Toronto

    • @salvation2979
      @salvation2979 15 дней назад

      I think it’s nonsense. Rogers is offering Vlad a contract very close to what he wants. he is not giving vlad away after signing him to 28 million this year

    • @Joe-j1f
      @Joe-j1f 14 дней назад

      @ if they can’t come to an agreement y not trade him? If they’re not willing to pay him now when he’s at his cheapest before other teams can fit up the offer they’re not gonna do it in the off-season. Just like Lindor it makes sense to put a package together for him and make a trade

  • @GeraldM_inNC
    @GeraldM_inNC 15 дней назад

    I've totally soured on acquiring Vlad, because I'm reading he wants 13 years. That kind of contract is for an athlete who is lean with a smaller build. You don't give lifetime contracts to guys with heavy builds, much less to someone with ongoing weight problems like Vlad. Remember Ryan Howard and Prince Fielder? Short careers.

  • @markgreene8186
    @markgreene8186 15 дней назад +3

    You are being very deceptive. Alonso's higher power stats mean nothing because His production was done in a much less meaningful situations. Check it out. That makes Vlad much more valuable all around. Not even comparable.

    • @chingulin
      @chingulin 13 дней назад

      Vladdy hit 48 in 2021 in the middle of an absolutely stacked lineup. Since then he's hit 32, 26 and 30. Less meaningful situations? When you're the only run producer in your lineup besides your leadoff guy every situation is meaningful. I'm not going wste time poring over splits, but I watch every single Mets game and I would guess that at least half of his career hrs were with men on base, and close to half in mid-high leverage at bats.

    • @chingulin
      @chingulin 13 дней назад

      And now i just checked it out...Of 160 career hrs for Vladdy 94 have been in low leverage situations, 53 in medium leverage and only 13 in high leverage situations. 197 of his 506 rbi have been in low leverage, 201 mid, 109 high. Pete Alonso of 226 hrs: 120 low, 89 medium, 17 high. Of 586 rbi, 225 were low, 249 medium and 112 high leverage. So, 58.75% of Vladdy's hrs were in low leverage situations and 53.09 of Alonso's were in low leverage. 41.25 of Vlad's hrs were in mid-high leverage, and 46.90 of Pete's were in mid-high leverage. In rbi they are nearly identical with Vlad at 61.1% mid-high and Pete 61.6% mid-high. So yeah check it out. You weren't even close, so I'm guessing you had no idea and just threw that out. Either way you were flat out wrong, but don't let that stop you...

    • @markgreene8186
      @markgreene8186 13 дней назад

      @chingulin no I wasn't. I don't know what method You used, but I now understand why You are so deceptive. Last season alone, Pete left over 300 men on base, by far leading the league. 88 rbi's leaving over 300 men on base was not only atrocious, but Pete also drove a number of those runs with outs.
      Apparently, Steve Cohen and David Sterns are in agreement with Me running Him out of town. THEY DONT WANT HIM for those reasons. What is being just thrown out there, as You say, is Your deceptive methods of figuring.

    • @chingulin
      @chingulin 13 дней назад

      @@markgreene8186 dude, fangraphs, do your homework, look under leverage. Deceptive? i gave you stats, you're just talking shit. Off the top of my head, just on hrs he drove in 51 of the 88 rbi he had in 2024. I don't have time for someone who doesnt know what he's talking about so i'm not gonna look at the splits again, but i watch every game and remember him driving in runs on singles and doubles...and since he had 112 hits that were not hrs (81 singles and 31 doubles) last year, it's pretty obvious you have no idea. Congratulations. But if actual facts are not your thing, you're doing a great job.

    • @markgreene8186
      @markgreene8186 13 дней назад

      @chingulin tell Me that Pete didn't leave over 300 people on base last year.

  • @juansurita25
    @juansurita25 15 дней назад

    I believe Guerrero Jr will become a met to team up with Soto for the Dominican connection and the fact the Mets are one of few teams with bilingual head coach. He will be great in this lineup

  • @miguel.ledesmaledesma1790
    @miguel.ledesmaledesma1790 15 дней назад

    I think this is laconically the reason. We are eyeing Vladdy!!!

  • @stevendaba6121
    @stevendaba6121 15 дней назад +1

    Vlady isn't coming here, resign Pete already. This is nonsense!

  • @jamesbuckley8917
    @jamesbuckley8917 15 дней назад +1

    Clifford may factor into Stearns thinking also.

    • @GeraldM_inNC
      @GeraldM_inNC 15 дней назад

      I suspect Clifford could give us 90% of what Alonso gives for a minimum wage salary. 35 homers and a .210 b.a. with 200 KS is a realistic target for Clifford. Why pay 40 million a year more to get an extra 5-10 homers and 10-20 points of b.a.? Put those 40 million dollars into pitching.

  • @1metts
    @1metts 16 дней назад +1

    Key stats is he strikeout less and have a better bating average, over time that mature better. So long term contract would be better with Val

    • @1metts
      @1metts 16 дней назад

      Plus the line would help him too

  • @StarCooki3
    @StarCooki3 16 дней назад +2

    Hot Stove is Frozen .. Borassss a big reason why everything has grinded to a halt ,

    • @stanfromwestport2024
      @stanfromwestport2024 15 дней назад

      No...PETE is the REASON...PERIOD...!! Pete needs to get real..He screwed himself by underperforming in 2024...Do you think Sam Darnold is worth the same after two horrible losses in a row in the NFL...?? No way...!! Same with Pete...!! And Pete wants MORE for having a down year in 2024...Hey Pete, it doesn't work that way...!! Go back and look at all those ridiculous sliders you struck on on with RISP in 2024...There were A LOT of them...!! Maybe you should swing at clear strikes down the middle early in the pitch counts, instead of standing there and getting behind which then causes you to swing at bad pitches later in the count

  • @frozenharold
    @frozenharold 15 дней назад

    This is all ridiculous. First, not signing Pete because Vlad is currently scheduled to be a FA next season is dumb. Like it's a given he'll be with the Mets.. Suppose the Jay's sign him during the season? Or, the Dodgers decide to shift 35 year old Freeman to DH and blow Guerrero away with an offer? And waiting 4 years for someone like Gunnar, who will also turn 28 during that first FA season? His HR output increased by 9 this season, and his RBI total only increased by that same 9. And he led the league with 25 errors, all at SS last season. Elly de la Cruz led the NL with 29. So much for that superior defense. If Oneil Cruz hadn't snuck in with 26 for the Pirates, they would have finished 1-2 for the most errors in all ob baseball. Lindor, with 4 years still left on his deal at that point, would still be doing better that. And as long as your just blindly throwing numbers out, how about a 10 year, $500 million deal? $50 million each of the first 5 years, plus a $50 million signing bonus. Then, $20 million for the final 5. Then $10 million a year deferred for 10 years.

  • @richardrivera5252
    @richardrivera5252 15 дней назад +1

    We are trying to win a championship . We can't say bye Pete we are waiting for Vladi. It doesn't make sense. Sign Pete already.

  • @alandesgrange9703
    @alandesgrange9703 15 дней назад

    Last season he crumbled under the pressure of his contract year. Imagine he comes back, and then crumbles under the pressure of living up to it.

  • @johncummings5350
    @johncummings5350 15 дней назад +1

    Soto .... unfortunately.....is DEFINITELY NOT going to age well from 35-40. Vladi may actually age even worse than Soto. I definitely don't want both contracts at that point.

    • @GeraldM_inNC
      @GeraldM_inNC 15 дней назад +2

      13 years for a guy with chronic weight problems is insane.

    • @Pcbdude82
      @Pcbdude82 15 дней назад +1

      ​@@GeraldM_inNCdude clearly is lazy and doesn't put in the work. I don't want Vlad long-term. 3 to 4 years max. Just sign Pete and move on

    • @GeraldM_inNC
      @GeraldM_inNC 15 дней назад

      @Pcbdude82 The Mets offered 158 for 7 and 90 for 3, both fair offers for what Alonso did in 2023-2024. He was insulted. Face it, Alonso wants a contract comparable to Soto or Judge. Why do you think no other team is even trying to negotiate with him?

  • @salvation2979
    @salvation2979 15 дней назад

    Rogers ain’t trading Vlad. Hes worth 16 billion. Secondly, Vlad is being offered a monster contract by Toronto

  • @fr2ncm9
    @fr2ncm9 15 дней назад

    Met fans seem to forget that, even without Alonso, our offense is pretty good. We have Lindor, Soto, Alvarez, Nimmo and Vientos. That's five solid bats, if you add Alonso, you have six. MAYBE they don't make the playoffs, or don't go far. I'm extremely confident that this team will be a 100-game winner in 2026. Sproat, Nolan McClean and Jonah Sproat will either be in the majors or knocking at the door.

    • @GeraldM_inNC
      @GeraldM_inNC 15 дней назад

      I believe Mauricio can hit .270 with 20 homers and Acuna .280 with 40 steals and great fielding.

    • @fr2ncm9
      @fr2ncm9 15 дней назад

      @@GeraldM_inNC I'm one of about a handful of fans who still believe in Baty. I know he hit 229 last year, but, it was in only 50 games, and he hit for a 255 average in every spot in the lineup except #6. In the sixth spot he only got 1 hit in 22 at bats. Given that it was very early in the season, it had a much stronger effect on his average than had it happened in July.

    • @GeraldM_inNC
      @GeraldM_inNC 15 дней назад

      @fr2ncm9 It was a pretty limp .255. He has never dominated in AA or AAA either. I would send him to AAA and wait for him to hit .300 with power before bringing him up again.

  • @dgoldenbg63
    @dgoldenbg63 15 дней назад

    I want Pete back but although his BA was .240, Pete batted .198 with RISP in 2024, pretty disappointing , that needs to get better.

  • @Joe-j1f
    @Joe-j1f 15 дней назад

    The reports are he wants around 425 million so a 13/425 is 33 a year! They said the reports are they want the number to start with a four

  • @RobCanGame
    @RobCanGame 16 дней назад +1

    Why in the world should the Mets with the richest owner in baseball that wants to win at basically any cost wait 4 years to maybe get Henderson? That way Lindor is past his prime? Cohen's net worth by the time Vlad would be 35 might double if not triple to 60 billion dollars. Vlads contract and Sotos are pennies for Cohen. Enough waiting, we want to win now so get the best players because you can.

    • @stanfromwestport2024
      @stanfromwestport2024 15 дней назад

      And Steve Cohen knows this and will execute on getting the best...Just like he got Soto

  • @MD-er7lm
    @MD-er7lm 15 дней назад +1

    Vlady wants more than 5 and will be wanting more money than pete. That's already why pete hasn't signed. 1st baseman not worth that dough... dont think we can wait on vlad. Sign pete to 3 years. Hope you can develope Ryan Clifford to replace him. Clifford comes on fast, DH Alonso

    • @salvation2979
      @salvation2979 15 дней назад

      he wants 450. Toronto will give it to him. reports out of toronto say they are that far apart

    • @MD-er7lm
      @MD-er7lm 14 дней назад

      @salvation2979
      45/10.. 34.6/13... longterm contact and bucks like that for a first baseman who's been inconsistent and had his work ethics called out in the past. No thank you

  • @keithbull9113
    @keithbull9113 15 дней назад

    I think we should just sign Pete 3 years after 2nd year, he can opt out .I would put a lot of incentives for him if he needs to be motivated .There is no way we sign Vlad too much money and are not guaranteed to get him .Vlad is not the answer

  • @thefundamentals3623
    @thefundamentals3623 15 дней назад

    Sure. If they're stupid, they should wait for Vladdy because it's a guarantee he'll sign with them. Just because the Mets are your favorite team doesn't mean they're Vladdy's. Get a grip.

    • @LockedOnMets
      @LockedOnMets  15 дней назад

      You clearly did not listen to the show.

  • @garry12777
    @garry12777 15 дней назад

    No waiting. Just sign Alfonso and THEN sign Vlad. You can always move Alfonso to Shortstop...wait a minute...😂😂😂. Have Alfonso DH.

  • @MCHVIDEO
    @MCHVIDEO 15 дней назад +1

    They are waiting

    • @GeraldM_inNC
      @GeraldM_inNC 15 дней назад

      Why bid against yourself? Nobody else is even talking to Alonso. Boras is the master of getting an owner to panic and bid against himself but Stearns is wise to his game.

  • @Matt-r8v7c
    @Matt-r8v7c 15 дней назад

    I think youre being reasonable. I think were getting a bit spoiled. Damn if LA isnt getting more japanese talent than they deserve. I think we stack up against them offensively but geeze yamamoto v senga or clay holmes? I trust in sterns and cohen but nobodys blown away by our starters. Well see lgm.

  • @jackspalden5143
    @jackspalden5143 15 дней назад +1

    I have to unsubscribe man😊… I thought I could take one more vid but that intro that you do at 0:27 is too cringy along w/ the in-video sports betting plugs.

    • @Lou-zb2nx
      @Lou-zb2nx 15 дней назад

      I agree. Way too many commercial spots! I mentioned that before. It’s like listening to a Yankees game on the radio.

  • @Joe-j1f
    @Joe-j1f 15 дней назад

    19:41 who cares if we win a couple rings?

  • @AnthonyVicente-b2k
    @AnthonyVicente-b2k 15 дней назад

    Wait

  • @Lou-zb2nx
    @Lou-zb2nx 15 дней назад

    I disagree with everything that was said. If Pete doesn’t take a favorable 2-3 year deal that let him walk. I was never high on Pete and I very much prefer Vlad. Those two guys are not even close. Vlad won a gold glove and Pete is not even athletic. And the notion of waiting years for Gunner Henderson is ludicrous. The Mets signed Juan Soto this year. They finally gave Lindor some help and their window starts now. No one cares about Gunner Henderson. The Mets need at least 2 more solid bats now

  • @jasonfocacci9234
    @jasonfocacci9234 15 дней назад +2

    How dumb is that? Of course not. Then they won’t get either player.
    I’d rather have Pete. He’s our guy, he’s super clutch, and he has great chemistry with the team. Just bring him back already.

  • @jayboegs6268
    @jayboegs6268 15 дней назад

    So far: huge upgrade in Right. No 1B. Same or lesser staff. Not good yet.

  • @xxscarfacexx21
    @xxscarfacexx21 15 дней назад +1

    Vlad isn’t even in his prime yet!!!!
    Those numbers will climb!!
    STOP playing GM with your hearts please ‼️

  • @MrNobody2187
    @MrNobody2187 15 дней назад

    Nope. He won't age well in a long contract. There is no guarantee he'll sign here once we give up the farm. Resigning Pete is the best option. Trade for an ace not a rental.

  • @Dan-tt8sn
    @Dan-tt8sn 16 дней назад +1

    This Vlad stuff is just conjecture.

  • @ejred3
    @ejred3 15 дней назад

    Semantics 🤦‍♂️.

  • @Joe-j1f
    @Joe-j1f 15 дней назад

    This video just gets worse the longer it goes! Bo bichette? He’s older, not as good a hitter, and will probably demand even more because he plays a premium position on defense.

  • @하유정-i1w
    @하유정-i1w 15 дней назад +1

    Vlad Jr anyday over Pete lol, homegrown is sentimental I understand that , but you have to do what’s best for the team

  • @erniesilva4803
    @erniesilva4803 15 дней назад

    Dude...I love your show and all..
    But you absolutely CANNOT base this comparison on metrics...
    That's what's killing baseball...
    Guerrero is a waaaaaaaayyyyyyyy bigger impact player than Pete.
    And I LOOVE Pete man.
    The fact is, what Guerrero Jr's contract will be in 10 years is gonna be peanuts in comparison to what it is now.
    Lindor and Tatis got 341 million and we were all Gaga over it. .four years later what doe those contracts look like now?
    Guerrero is BETTER.
    The ideal situation is to have them BOTH with Pete as the DH and you're cooking with gas.
    I'll bet you anything at all THAT is the real hold up with Pete's contract
    There's no comparison here Guerrero isa superstar...Pete is an all star.

  • @BrianRMeo
    @BrianRMeo 15 дней назад

    No, Pete Alonso forever 🎉

  • @Joe-j1f
    @Joe-j1f 15 дней назад

    If you’re trying to make the argument Pete on a five-year deal is better than Vlad on a 13 year deal you are drinking a whole lot of alcohol😂😂 Vlad is much more athletic than Peter Alonzo. I mean look how much faster he is than Pete! not to mention he’s a better bat brother. Brother your argument is we should wait for gunner for four years ?😂😂😂😂😂 brother your take is ridiculous… I’m sorry, man but you’re out of this world with both of these takes and they’re only getting worse with the gunner take…. Wait four years for gunner Henderson? Whaaaat?

  • @Pcbdude82
    @Pcbdude82 15 дней назад

    I don't get the argument that vlad is better. With a few less AB. Pete has more runs, more honeruns, more RBI and more walks. Vlad is better contact hitter sure. But Pete is far from dog water.
    Do people honestly think vlad is going to come in and be elite for 10 years? Dudes already showed signs of a lack of work ethic as he's had issues with weight in the past. Do we believe he is going to sign a 15 year deal and not just fall off? Guarantee you this. He is fat, slow, and worthless by his age 30 seaso if he is on a long term deal.

  • @madwax1360
    @madwax1360 15 дней назад

    I vote no....too many ego's on the team.

  • @dominickoliveri1423
    @dominickoliveri1423 16 дней назад +1

    I don't want a shiny new toy!!!

  • @AnthonyVicente-b2k
    @AnthonyVicente-b2k 14 дней назад

    We don’t need this guy

  • @ericsperanza7286
    @ericsperanza7286 15 дней назад

    No steve wanted soto sterns operates like its a dollar general store matos third best starter really