FINAL Oscar Predictions 2024 | All 23 Categories
HTML-код
- Опубликовано: 29 июн 2024
- Here's my final predictions for the 96th Academy Awards.
Time Codes
Intro - 00:01
What Am I Expecting? 01:43
Best Actress - 03:20
Best Actor - 06:43
Best Supporting Actress - 08:01
Best Supporting Actor - 08:23
Best Original Screenplay - 09:00
Best Adapted Screenplay - 09:59
Best Costume Design - 17:58
Best Production Design - 19:37
Best Cinematography - 20:44
Best Editing - 21:08
Best Makeup & Hair - 21:37
Best VFX - 24:26
Best Sound - 26:51
Best Score - 28:24
Best Song - 28:30
Best Animated Short - 29:57
Best Documentary Short - 30:51
Best Live Action Short - 31:48
Best Animated Feature - 32:03
Best Documentary Feature - 33:13
Best International Feature - 33:43
Best Director - 34:21
Best Picture - 43:45
Luke’s Social Media Info
You can find me on:
Twitter: / lukehearfield
Instagram: / luke_hearfield
Letterboxd - letterboxd.com/Luke279/
Tik Tok - @lukehearfield
BeReal - lukehearfield
Get 30 days of MUBI free with my link: mubi.com/lukehearfield
And don’t forget to Subscribe to my RUclips Channel - it's Free! So it's cracking value hehehe (Click the 'Subscribe' Button)
The copyright act of 1976 under section 107, allows the use of copyrighted material for “fair use” purposes which includes , criticism, comment, news reporting, teaching, and research.
#Oscars #Oscars2024 #Oppenheimer #Barbie #TheHoldovers #GodzillaMinusOne #PoorThings #TheZoneofInterest #AnatomyOfAFall #CillianMurphy #RobertDowneyJr #LilyGladstone #EmmaStone #OscarPredictions 
Кино
Cillian, Cillian, Cillian! He was absolutely amazing!
No arguments here. Hahahaha so excited to see him on that stage accepting that award. X
@@LukeHearfield same! Absolutely phenomenal and iconic! I will remember this movie and his performance in 50 years for sure.
If Paul can't even win SAG (his domain), he's got no chance. Adding the international voters on top, Murphy has got this.
I do think Murphy has a considerable advantage but I wouldn’t say he’s locked in like da,vine and Downey jr. There is still a slim slim slim chance we could see a surprise win for Giamatti but I’m pretty confident it’s going to Murphy - who is my fav of this category. X
@LukeHearfield Any slim chance Paul had was squashed when I found out he's basically fighting for votes with Jeffrey Wright. Similar demographics, both comedy performances, both veteran actors.
Yeah we never know with Oscar’s, they like to play with us and I hope they do
0:00 intro
3:20 Actress
6:44 Actor
8:00 Supporting Actress
8:23 Supporting Actor
8:59 Original Screenplay
9:57 Adapted Screenplay
17:59 Costume Design
19:37 Production Design
20:45 Cinematography
21:08 Editing
21:36 Makeup and Hair
24:26 Visual Effects
26:50 Sound
28:24 Score
29:57 Animated Short
30:52 Documentary Short
31:48 Live Action Short
32:26 Animated Feature
33:13 Documentary Feature
33:42 International Feature
34:22 Director
34:45 Picture
36:35 outro
Thanks
Barbie for both production and costumes after having lost so much momentum when Poor Things is right there with more impressive work??
Barbie wins Costume Design
Poor Things wins Production Design
I still wish emma will win the oscar.
She still can - the race is even closer than last year. X
Thank you for your brave predictions in Best Actress and Best Adapted Screenplay. No guts, no glory.
Cheers man. I know I’m probably being foolish but when you have those too-close-to-call-categories I find it’s best to listen to your gut. And sometimes it’s fun to take a chance - even if you end up being wrong, at least you took a risk. We shall find out on Sunday I guess. 😁 what are you predicting for those 2 categories? X
@@LukeHearfield I'm predicting Lily Gladstone but Emma Stone should be the winner. For Adapted Screenplay, I'm predicting American Fiction but hoping it's Barbie. 🤞
I sure hope you're right about Best Actress, Luke! :)
Yes!
Yes praying that the best performance really gets it and not some narrative history making victory again 😅
Everyone is secretly saying they voted for Lily Gladstone.. These actors and actresses love breaking the rules by gossiping on who they voted for.
Its gonna be Lily
I love that you follow your gut! You are right that it is boring not to take bold picks when everyone is going in the same direction! That has been bugging me, but I am still not sure in which categories to take risks! 😂
I think what I’ll miss most about the end of awards season is the joy the Oppenhomies brought to every interview and talk show! I’m so surprised at the sheer affection I’ve developed for them. Awwww. 😘 At least they’ll have the BEST awards (SAG for Emily, yes!).
One overlooked aspect of the Sound category is that if OPPENHEIMER wins, one of the sound mixers (Willie Burton) will become the first Black person ever to win 3 Oscars in ANY category.
Oh wow! I LOVE fun Oscar facts like that. That’s so cool- one more reason to be happy if Oppenheimer wins sound 😊 Thank you for making me aware of that - that’s really cool.
Are there any categories you’re hoping see a particular film win? X
😮
Yay for final predictions. Can’t believe this award’s season is coming to an end soon. It’s been a blast to follow your videos Luke. Looking forward to your reaction to The Oscars.
My final Predictions for the Oscars 2024 are:
Picture - Oppenheimer
Director - Christopher Nolan
Actor - Cillian Murphy
Actress - Lily Gladstone
Supporting Actor - Robert Downey Jr
Supporting Actress - Da’Vine Joy Randolph
Adapted Screenplay - Anatomy of a Fall
Original Screenplay - American Fiction
Score - Oppenheimer
Sound - Oppenheimer
Song - “What Was I Made For” Barbie
Costumes - Barbie
Production - Poor Things
Makeup/Hairstyles - Maestro
Cinematography- Oppenheimer
Editing - Oppenheimer
International - The Zone Of Interest
Visual Effects - Godzilla Minus One
Documentary - 20 Days in Mariupol
Animated - Spider-Man: Across The Spider-Verse
Animated Short - War Is Over!
Documentary Short - The Last Repair Shop
Live Action Short - The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar
Thank you so much for watching and for leaving your full predictions. I actually have more confidence in your predictions than I do my own hahahaha great picks.
Yeah there will be plenty more awards season content coming up after the Oscar’s so stay tuned for that. 😄 thanks again for watching x
Barbie winning 4 Oscars ? 50% of its nominations? Maybe you should think again.
I fell asleep on Henry Sugar, and it's only 39 minutes long. Red, White and Blue is about abortion, a huge controversy in the states. I'm going with that.
Good luck with your predictions. Have fun watching the Oscars.
Cheers man. Same to you. Yeah I know it’s probably foolish to predict that many for Barbie but 3 out of those 4 predictions are in swing-categories and I can afford to take a risk when it’s uncertain. If I am wrong then at least I stuck with my convictions/instinct and I can live with an incorrect prediction. It’s when I ignore my instinct and go with the crowd and it turns out my instinct was right all along - that’s when I truly get annoyed with myself. 😁 happy Oscar’s my friend. X
Lily is going to win-she was poised, strong, and heartbreaking. She carved out a spiritual space in that movie & role that wasn’t replicated by any of the other nominees.
did you see the performance of Emma stone ? She is the strong and phenomenal one. If Lily win it will be for the narrative
Same as emma stone and she's more.
Except Emma Stone who is the best In LEADING performance. And Lily Gladstone’s role of Molly is the heart of the movie, not the performance.
@@suzen.655 Yes. While good, I found it a bit too over the top for my taste (it felt obviously like a capital A "ACTING" to me). I personally prefer performances that quietly drives the narrative. In my view, it was Willem Dafoe who gave the best performance in POOR THINGS with his understated performance that quietly drove the narrative forward (and set it in motion) with Mark Ruffalo being a close second. In my opinion, the only Best Actress contenders deserving of the win are Lily Gladstone and Sandra Huller.
@@axr7149 I can understand your point of view, like you said everyone has their own tasted
Maestro will win hair & makeup "by a nose". 😂
Maybe not. Poor Things could take it.
I predicted Maestro to win, but I hope Poor Things wins Makeup
@@dariussalepetru6770 this is exactly how I feel about the category, predicted maestro but would prefer to see poor things win. X
Well done for being brave 👏🏻
Hehehehe thanks mum 🤪😆
Let’s be honest here, would Lily Gladstone win if she wasn’t Native American? No chance. As you say, these roles don’t usually win best actress unless there is history to be made which there is purely because of her ancestry which I disagree with, that should be irrelevant. Emma Stone could match Gladstone’s performance in a similar role. Gladstone couldn’t do Bella Baxter though, Stone is far more talented and versatile.
💯
She wouldn’t be in leading category if not her heritage that she monetizes.
I really hope Emma wins too! I’ve never seen a performance like Bella Baxter by Emma Stone. I believe there’s no one who could have played that role like Emma. While Lily’s performance is powerful, that role could be played by so many other great artist. I can’t imagine anybody else playing Bella and pull that off with heart and the comic timing and touch like Emma. She deserves it more than any other actor this year.
Ay up Luke! I would love Emma stone to take best actress I believe she did so much more technically than Gladstone and whilst she was phenomenal Emma stone deserves it despite her Oscar 10 years ago !!
Ay up my friend 😃
Well this is defo the most exciting of any race at the Oscar’s this year. I can see it going either way and your reasoning is part of my reason why I predicted Emma stone. Gladstone has the better package overall with the quietly powerful performance and history making narrative - but Stone feels more of a showcase which is what usually wins in this category so that’s why I’ve predicted her. But either way I’ll be happy. 😁
I’m also tempted to switch my prediction to Emma Stone because like you said, she IS Poor Things.
But as a Lily fan, I’m frustrated by the argument that she’s more of a supporting role. I can think of many Lead Actress performances that are supporting-ish: Olivia Coleman in The Favourite and Jennifer Lawrence in Silver Linings Playbook come to mind.
Heck, Kate Winslet campaigned in Supporting, but the Academy nominated and voted for her for Lead in The Reader!
Anyway, although I’m a Lily fan, I’m tempted to predict Emma. She is MORE of a lead in her movie, but that doesn’t mean Lily isn’t a lead. Hats off to you Luke for going with your gut!
Thanks so much. I may be wrong but I like going with my gut when the race is this close. X
With all due respect, I think you are overthinking the Barbie success. If the Academy loved it that much, Greta Gerwig would have easily gotten the director nomination. People are forgetting that the Oscars still have a lot of genre bias. Do you know another genre film that made a billion dollars at the Box office?
BLACK PANTHER
The first film won a few " craft categories". Wankada Forever won best costume design and Angela Basset failed to win Best Supporting Actress.
Grega Gerwing will win an Oscar one day, but it won't be for a Mattel doll. She will have to sit this one out just like Bradley Cooper. In addition, Barbie's screenplay is its weakest link and it's also a comedy. Oppenheimer appeals more to their cinematic taste.
All excellent points, and I don’t disagree with you. I think I’m being silly predicting the way I am for BAS - but when the category is this split between all these amazing best picture contenders and you’ve got a popular/beloved figure like Gerwig in this mix, then I do think there’s a chance for a surprise. I think it’s gonna go to American Fiction but there is a chaotic part of me that thinks something wild could happen here and I wanted to take a risk. Again, I acknowledge I’m most likely going to be wrong but what if I’m right? 🤪 plus I like taking a chance from time to time - it keeps things interesting. Hahaha
Society of the Snow for Best Makeup!!!
That would be a shocker.
My final Oscars 2024 predictions
Best Picture - Oppenheimer
Director - Christopher Nolan
Actress - Emma Stone
Actor - Cillian Murphy
Supporting Actress - Da'Vine Joy Randolph
Supporting Actor - Robert Downey Jr.
Adapted Screenplay - American Fiction
Original Screenplay - Anatomy of a Fall
Animated Feature - Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse
International Feature - The Zone of Interest
Documentary Feature - 20 Days of Mariupol
Cinematography - Oppenheimer
Film Editing - Oppenheimer
Costume Design - Barbie
Production Design - Poor Things
Makeup and Hairstyling - Maestro
Visual Effects - The Creator
Score - Oppenheimer
Song - What Was I Made For? from Barbie
Sound - Oppenheimer
I hqve pretty much the same prediction with you ,
Just different in Costum Dsign ,and the Visual Effect
I have Poor Things for Costum and Godzilla for Visual Effect ,
Ah and also for adapted Screenplay ,i know it most likely American fiction gonna win ,but i dont know why ,i predict Oppenheimer lol ,
For acting category ,i have the exact same Prediction , but possible for Gladatone to take the Lead Actress ,
But definitely Emma Stone as Bella Baxter is way more deserving ,Emma's performence just breathtaking in Poor Things
Great picks 😁 thanks for taking the time to leave team Darius. Much appreciated, happy Oscar’s. X
@@LukeHearfield Thanks! Happy Oscars! 🙂
Definitely think the Barbie bias is present in the predictions, but I’m glad you’re at least different from others I’ve seen.
Cheers man, I’ve seen a lot of people predicting the same outcomes which means we’re either in for a very predictable Oscars or a lot of people are gonna be surprised tonight. I don’t take it as seriously as some - I like to play for fun and occasionally take a risk x
Big fan of Past Lives here, but can it really be the only Best Picture nominee to win nothing? 😞
Kinda breaks my heart it will probably go home empty handed. The flip side is if it did manage to win in best original screenplay then Anatomy will probably go home empty handed - another amazing movie. X
On my Oscar bingo card, I'm putting in a tie, a protest, and a temporary shutdown. Can't wait for the chaos!
I hope you are right and Emma Stone wins. I think she deserves it.
Yes
Me, too!
She give the best performance out all acting nominees, brave and impressive
@@marikamarika7205 Hello again 🤣. I agree!
@@tonyg76 😂😂😂we have same recommendations apparently 😀
@LukeHearfield: Spider-Verse is more in line with what The Academy wants, a film their kids watch the most. However, you make a good point in that it paves the way for grand animated artful storytelling that vlters cant resist asode from being a PG rated family film. Heron is a PG-13 anime and it isn't as popular. It has a strong following but not as strong the film critics haven't ahit up about all year and for good reasons. PG-13 pushes were animated.fioms xan go in the academy and they like to play it safe anyway. Its a terrific pick anyway.
All excellent points. Yeah they tend to go a little more mainstream with animated feature and it’s obvious which is the more mainstream of the 2. While neon isn’t my fav of Hayao Miyazaki’s filmography it would be cool to see him finally acknowledged at the academy. But I still feel spider-verse will clinch it. Thanks for watching and commenting x
I want Emma Stone to win. But I'm really afraid they voted for Gladstone... I'm sorry, but as talented as she is, her performance in Killers of the flower moon is only a supporting role, so I don't even understand why she's in this category.
Barbie's costumes were not designed;; they were copied from the doll's clothes from Mattel. Barbie's production was not designed; it was copied from images of the Barbie world from Mattel. This should not even be a conversation; Poor Things wins both. Matching vs Originality. Simple.
For me I predicted Barbie to win Costume Design and Poor Things to win Production Design
Perhaps it's time for two categories:
Best Original Production Design
Best Adapted Production Design
🤔
Production sure but not costume design
So art can’t be inspired by anything else to be worthy?
@@jessicaalbright7429 One, sure art can be inspired by something but if I'm inspired to copy the Mona Lisa that doesn't make it great art it makes it a copy. Second, I don't consider Barbie's dresses which you can buy at a Saks Fifth Avenue, and the rollerskating 80's style retro gym clothes, to be a great artistic achievement, but that's just me. I'll take the costumes of Poor Things which were not only original designs but were made to highlight and compliment Bella's changing moods, desires, personalities, etc...they spoke something.
That is creating something new, not copying.
10:29-This right here is why Spider-Verse is winning. This sentence right here. Americans. The American Academy is what it should be called. Thats what it is and the American Oscars love American films, especially American animated features. That's the bottom line. No offense to Heron, but the academy just doesn't like anime.
Exactly!
I love your predictions becuz you gave more award possibilities to my favourite movie Barbie than any other critic I've listened to or read. But I would also love to see Barbie win Best Picture. My head says no no no but my heart says yes yes yes!!! 💖
Do I see a bias in your given name? 😉
My prediction
Oppenheimer won 8
Poor Things won 4
The Holdovers won 1
Barbie won 1
Maestro won 1
Barbie won 2 I believe, if wins Costume Design
@@dariussalepetru6770 ah maybe ,but in my prediction ,barbie just won original song , costume design ,i predict for Poor Things ,
But i believe its between two of them who will win ,either Barbie or Poor Things
Yeah I’m also predicting Oppenheimer for 8 but I’m wondering what comes in second place? Most likely it’ll be either Barbie or Poor Things depending on which way the craft categories go. I feel like zone of interest and the holdovers have the potential to get 2 wins each but we shall see 😁
@@LukeHearfield i think Poor Things will come in 2nd , either it get 3 or 4 award , just my opinion lol , the zone of interest sure will win the international feature film ,but i think thats it ,the Holdovers lock the supporting actress ,also lead actir still get potential ,but i guess Holdovers will go home with 1 award hehe
Best Picture Oppenheimer
Director Christopher Nolan
Actress Lily Gladstone Actor Cillian Murphy
Supporting Actress Da'Vine Joy Randolph Supporting Actor Robert Downey Jr.
Adapted Screenplay Barbie Original Screenplay Anatomy of a Fall
Cinematography Oppenheimer
Costume Barbie Editing Oppenheimer Makeup and Hairstyling Poor Things
Production Design Barbie Score Oppenheimer
Song I'm Just Ken Sound The Zone of Interest Visual The Creator
Animated Feature The Boy and the Heron
Documentary Feature Four Daughters International Film The Zone of Interest
Animated Short Ninety-Five Senses Documentary Short Nǎi Nai and Wài Pó
Live Action Short The After
Spider-Verse is winning. Kemp Powers won an Oscar for Soul and will win here.
Actually Kemp Powers did NOT win an Oscar for SOUL (he was not among the people who accepted the Oscar for that film although he was nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar that same year for ONE NIGHT IN MIAMI). SPIDER-VERSE will actually be his first win should it prevail (it'll also mark Amy Pascal's first ever win too).
@@axr7149 someone else beat me to it hahah. But yeah this will be his first win if spider-verse prevails at the Oscar’s 😃
Maestro will lose all the major awards because Maestro is a flawed movie. It's more of a hagiography than a biography. It presents a distorted version of Bernstein, whose reputation is based on a false narrative from the sacred cow coverage in the press. I posted a new video on my RUclips channel titled THE BERNSTEIN EFFECT that explains the collateral damage he caused to the arts. I studied with one of his friends, Ivan Davis, who also performed with him. His stunts and scams were part of my education. He ruined the way symphonies and concertos are performed and his teachings eliminated the development of processing variables in bigger and bigger batches, which destroyed the intellectual development of conductors, pianists and composers. This ruined classical music as an art form and a business. Most of the classical recordings are now vanity records. I explain who's making the vanity records and who's paying for it. Maestro should still win Best MakeUp.
Barbie is just so meh. Way overhyped. And the acting is good. No more than that.
I LOVE Barbie. It continues to give me joy after many viewings. I find Oppenheimer the most meh movie of the year.
My preferences NOT my predictions:
Best Picture: Zone of Interest
Best Actor: Andrew Scott - All of us Strangers
Best Actress: Carey Mulligan - Maestro
Best Supporting Actor: Paul Mescal - All of us Strangers
Best Supporting Actress: Sandra Huller - Zone of Interest
Best Director: Jonathan Glazer - Zone of Interest
Best Screenplay: Maestro
First time in Oscar history that a White woman will not win any acting awards...
i really really hope Barbie wins screenplay. 🤞🏼
Its only gonna win Best Song
Hahahahha the thing is it probably won’t. Even I know this but sometimes it’s fun to take a risk even if it seems unlikely. If you can see the pathway for it and can justify it, and if the category is split enough then why not take a chance I say? 😆 I’m expecting I’ll be wrong with this prediction but at least I took a chance.
@@LukeHearfield im hoping from all the backlash from the snubs that a lot of voters will pick it. if it does win itll be one the best parts of the show, behind ryan gosling performing im just ken. 🤣 (which also id wish would win best song haha!)
Stop with the hyperbole. In my opinion, this year is weak at least best picture wise. Last year, I liked 2 of the 10 movies (Avatar, Top Gun: Maverick). This year, I like only 3 (Anatomy of a Fall, The Holdovers, Poor Things) of the 9 movies I have seen. CODA was the last great year. Personally, I have the most passion for an Emma Stone win. Other than that, just rooting for the three movies mentioned above to win as many awards as possible.
I so agree. I was so floored by Emma Stone’s performance.
@@juliepark8927 Thank you :)
“Stop with the hyperbole” lmfao do you know what video you clicked on?
@@charlotte5129 Yes, but that does not mean you have to say things like this is the best picture lineup in my lifetime or something similar to what he said.
Oppenheimer is a bad win at least personally. The techs were overwhelming, characters unlikable and slow at times. I am just rooting for Emma Stone and for Anatomy of a Fall, The Holdovers and Poor Things.
Oppenheimer took me 5 times to get through without falling asleep
@@VikingMatt879 Thank you. I am glad I am not the only one as it seems sometimes.
Lol, read American Prometheus. If you thought the character were unlikable in the film, in the book, you literally can't stomach ANY of them.
@@rehnumachowdhury3629 Well then I guess I am not reading the book because I could not stomach any of them in the movie either.