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The title is the biggest steals of the draft… not the biggest busts, and who fucking sucks in the draft…

I meant it relative to how he was viewed by consensus. I'd agree that a 6th rounder starting 8 games and playing in 16 in their rookie season is above expectations, but relative to his 2nd round grade, his production would be below expectations. I should've been more clear!

Thank you, that means a lot!

Thank you!

Haha, glad someone noticed!

😂

I would respectfully disagree on the basis that Wilson has not started for multiple teams. The only season he has played over 80% of his team's snaps was in his rookie year. From 2020 -2023, his highest % of defensive team snaps played was 34.5% and his average % of snaps over that span was 24.9%. In those 4 years, PFR has him as only starting 18 of 61 games he played. The point I'm making with all of that is that he was only a starter in his rookie year - hes been a rotational player the rest of his career and just recently got the chance to start again. Maybe there is an argument that a good rotational player is worth a second round pick, so I could see that, but I'd say you ideally want your second rounders to start. He is going to be starting this year, so he definitely has a chance to reverse the verdict on that one by developing into a consistent starter, but I scored the video based on their career production up to this point - as indicated by the stats above, his career playing time indicates that he's a rotational player and his play had been average to poor until 2023. I'm looking forward to his 2024 though and hoping he can keep up his 2023 play to change the narrative. Thanks for watching!

@@TheJumboPackage I get what you mean but he feels more like a neutral than a wrong you need a neutral category . It felt like every single toss up went to the NFL.

​@@nickbacherbaronsoc7193true

@@nickbacherbaronsoc7193 that’s fair. I’ve done the grading for the next video and many of the toss ups will go to consensus, so it’ll even out! I tried to avoid ties as much as possible, so close calls unfortunately had to be decided in one direction

@@TheJumboPackage I get what you mean

Haha, we all have hits and misses! Blake Cashman was electric this past season - his issue has always been health but when he’s healthy he’s been a very good player!

Not sure either, but maybe he’ll prove everyone wrong!

Thank you! To be fair to him, he had reported this after the draft already happened and he was likely just reporting something he learned from a team source. The main issue I had is that about 30 other media outlets just quoted to him and stated it as fact without pointing out that he was the only one who said something along those lines and that it couldn’t be corroborated.

Thank you! Been trying to get better and better with every video. Really appreciate you pointing that out because I’ve been putting a lot of work into raising the production quality! Also will definitely keep this series going - next up is the biggest reaches of the 2019 draft. Also will be documenting the biggest reaches and fallers/steals of every upcoming draft like I’ve done for the past 2 years!

Haha I’m sure it’s no bueno. Admittedly, I’ve revised my scouting process a bit so I’m more confident in my evals from this most recent season. But either way, gotta start somewhere, even if you’re wrong!

@@TheJumboPackageI’m here a year later too lol. most of the takes were so valid! Maybe missed on the Laporta pick lol but that’s it!

@@jacksonanderson9457 Definitely missed on him! I wanted to make a video along the lines of "the players who proved me wrong in 2023," but I didn't get around to it for lack of time. He definitely would've been the #1 player. One of my favorite players to watch now tbh!

Seems that way!

Thank you! And will do - the next video will be revisiting the consensus reaches of the 2019 draft!

Thank you! I knew it'd make the video a bit longer because I'd have to spend more time on each player explaining both sides, but I wanted to do it so it was a more accurate account of each sides' thoughts on a given player. Glad you appreciated it!

Thank you!!

Looking that way! Still very early tho

Deebo was 44 on the consensus board and picked at 36!

@@Deathlord660 haha thank you, much appreciated!

He was actually 388 on the consensus big board and taken 213 in the draft, meaning that, in the eyes of consensus, he was actually a reach of 175 spots at the time of the draft. Although he wound up being a steal, this video is looking at guys who were seen as steals at the time the draft happened and seeing who was right on their value.

Crosby was 112 on the consensus board and picked at 106, therefore not considered a draft “steal” at the time of the draft. He’s one now, but the purpose of the video is to see consensus rankings vs NFL. Both consensus and the NFL had Crosby in the same general range, so they’re both just wrong.

I love that he’s back in Philly!

DK is a beast!!

Crosby was 112 on the consensus board and picked at 106, therefore not considered a draft “steal” at the time of the draft. He’s one now, but the purpose of the video is to see consensus rankings vs NFL. Both consensus and the NFL had Crosby in the same general range, so they’re both just wrong.

Me too- Could potentially start for them this season!

Thank you, I appreciate it!!

Thank you, much appreciated! Will be doing this for multiple other classes so stay tuned!

True!

I would be too - He's a beast!

True

Thank you, I really appreciate it! Glad you enjoyed!

Thank you, I appreciate it! Was actually just catching up on KTO's vids the other day, I love his stuff!

Haha, thank you! I agree 👀

Thank you, I really appreciate that! Thanks for watching!

That’ll be the next video!

@@TheJumboPackagegreat!

@@scottyoung5594 I never said he wasn’t. All I said was that he fired a head coach lol.

Interesting questions! Although I'm interested in the performance of interim coaches after the first year, it wouldn't have answered the question in this video - the impact of in-season firings on team performance - so I did not gather that information. If we look to the subsequent seasons for interims, we can't draw clear conclusions from that information because there are so many different variables that affect the teams in between seasons. There is a whole free agency period and draft that a team has to add new talent, assistant coaches leave, players retire and get injured, etc. For example, if a head coach has Brodie Croyle at QB (no offense Brodie) and gets fired in season, the interim coach still has the same QB or at least the same personnel decisions as the prior head coach to start that QB or play another one on the roster. But if we look to the next season, the interim coach may have the chance to bring in a better QB through the draft or free agency, which inherently muddies up the ability to compare the performance of the fired coach to the interim coach. When we apply that same logic to every other position, to assistant coaches, and to potential injuries, it would just be far too difficult to come to a conclusion about whether the in-season coaching change had any significance on that interim coach or the team in the long-term, although it is an interesting question. The questions you're looking for are ones that are best suited for a different video about the best / worst performing interim coaches, which is a video I may make in the future. In terms of your first comment, I'd agree that there wasn't much time spent on the results, but I'd argue that the results were straightforward without much explanation needed. It was necessary to present the specific data that I gathered so people knew how I arrived to the conclusion: relative to retaining an underperforming head coach, firing that head coach gives you a slightly better chance of winning the rest of the games that season and slightly increases team performance in terms of PA, PAPG, Yards, Yards Allowed Per Game, and EPA. However, it doesn't turn a bad team into a good one. The data doesn't really support anything more than that, so I can't really think of a way to expand on it much further. However, I could just be lacking in creativity, so if you have any ideas of how I could've expanded on it or made it more interesting, please let me know and I'll factor it into any future videos as I'm always looking to improve. Hopefully this comment doesn't come off as defensive, as I'm open to any constructive criticism, but I felt it'd be helpful to explain my thought process. Thanks for commenting!

Hahah, not even for the Chargers?

if it weren’t for gruden, vegas could’ve had both mack & crosby. so, thank you gruden.

Haha, glad you enjoyed!

Thank you, I appreciate it!

Thanks for the feedback! I had thought my previous videos were too loud so its possible that I overcorrected and brought the volume down too low. I had listened on my phone and my laptop and thought the volume was good, but its also hard to tell since I've re-watched the video about 10 different times since I've finished it. Do you mind letting me know what you were using to watch the video? Thanks!

@@TheJumboPackage I was using my phone and earbuds. The thing that really made it noticeable was that I got a Kamala Harris ad that I was listening to at about 3/4 volume, and when it ended and the video started, I COULD NOT hear it.

@@alexanderboulton2123 Haha, Kamala is showing me up I guess. Okay, I'll definitely raise the volume for the next video. Thanks for letting me know!

@TheJumboPackage Yeah fs!

Thats fascinating! I actually don't follow Premier League very closely so I didn't know that, but that is super cool - it adds whole new stakes to head coaches, interim coaches, and gives owners less leeway to be patient. NFL is definitely very different in that sense like you said, but that gives me a really interesting idea for a video re: comparing the difference between the success of teams in the NFL and in the Premier League after in-season coaching changes. I'd imagine that, if there are substantially more in-season coaching changes, the NFL sample size will likely be far too small in comparison to really come to any concrete conclusion, but it could still be really interesting. I'm really glad you enjoyed the video. Thanks for watching!!

That's a great point that I didn't even think of! I wonder how often owners even consider who their next opponent is. It definitely makes sense to want to set your interim up for success / gain public support for the firing by giving the team a weaker opponent in their first game after the firing, but I wonder how many times that has actually factored into the decision, especially given the W-L records of the teams in the "witch is dead" games. I'm also a Jets fan as well, so I'm in the same boat with you - hoping Davante finds his way to us this season (although its not looking likely at this point). Thanks for watching!

I agree! I think, relative to typical 4th round QBs, he has a lot of starting potential and I’m excited to see what he can do!

Agreed!