EUROVISION 2024 ODDS Update - New leader, New Qualifiers!

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  • Опубликовано: 29 окт 2024

Комментарии • 177

  • @DarkFlareGC
    @DarkFlareGC 5 месяцев назад +44

    It's always nice when the data backs up your thoughts lol I currently think there are 6 potential (and well deserving) winners for this year and they happen to be the top 6 in the odds 😄 But I'm personally rooting for Croatia. I absolutely adore this song😸

    • @stsplit8973
      @stsplit8973 5 месяцев назад +3

      Me too. 🤗🐾🐾🐾🤗

  • @lukaaaa5
    @lukaaaa5 5 месяцев назад +38

    Hello, i must i did watch eurovision every year since i was i child, but this year (because of Baby L) i watch more (i am not croatian). I must say of all eurovision channels you are the best and the most systematic. Thank you for your great words for croat song, he is the winner this year.

  • @annelentur
    @annelentur 5 месяцев назад +29

    Truly Croatia has best song and it deserves the win!

  • @russell10
    @russell10 5 месяцев назад +40

    This is truly open. Switzerland Italy Croatia and maybe even Ukraine have a genuine chance

    • @hellothere9763
      @hellothere9763 5 месяцев назад

      Ukraine is in front of Italy

    • @russell10
      @russell10 5 месяцев назад

      @@hellothere9763 oddswise they are very tight together - but I just don't feel Ukraine have a pathway to winning

    • @hellothere9763
      @hellothere9763 5 месяцев назад +1

      @@russell10 I dunno, their 30 sec clip is impressive honestly, top3 staging IMO. If people would feel bored of party songs they will first go for that song imo

    • @russell10
      @russell10 5 месяцев назад

      @@hellothere9763 yep staging is good (except they need to not show the bottom of the ramp !). The song is just not strong enough for me. It didn’t achieve top 3 in any of the pre show polls / ESC scoreboard / Eurovision world winner poll etc. so I can’t have it winning

  • @wanna9
    @wanna9 5 месяцев назад +53

    Croatia, go and make us proud!! 🇭🇷🇭🇷🇭🇷🇭🇷

  • @nikolag.-rb5ql
    @nikolag.-rb5ql 5 месяцев назад +37

    Yes, how it is nice to see again, Croatia 🇭🇷 on No1. Go Baby.🥇🥇🥇😏. I agree with you, really don't understand the people who is betting on Ireland. 🇮🇪. I like the song and their uniqueness, but there is absolutely no chance that Bambie can win, in the jury voting she is gonna be probably in the bottom 5. And it's a crime that Portugal🇵🇹 is second to last. Come on Europe. I know that Iolanda won't win, but it is still very sad to see.

  • @littleblackpistol
    @littleblackpistol 5 месяцев назад +18

    Yay for Croatia, but still find the lack of appreciation for Slovenia aggravating!

  • @daida..
    @daida.. 5 месяцев назад +30

    I'd also be very happy if Croatia actually wins 😊the song is risky, authentic, with a good massage, written by the artist himself, and not only his story is amazing as you said, but also Croatia's, they went from sending very safe and bland pop songs that failed to qualify because it seemed that they just participated for the sake of it, to in the last to years send epic and original entries that absolutely stand out. However I also love Italy, Switzerland and Ukraine so this year I probably will like the winner.
    As for the qualifiers, I find Luxembourg, Poland and Cyprus overrated, but honestly that's because I generally much prefer different songs in native language like Slovenia, Portugal and Azerbaijan rather that standard pop songs. I find the second semifinal weaker bit I'm happy for Georgia, it's been many years for them to get to the final. I think Albania also has a chance if they get the performance right, the fans usually overlook them and they have Greece, Switzerland, Italy and Austria in only televote semifanal.

  • @Helena96
    @Helena96 5 месяцев назад +5

    Croatia ❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤
    A billion points from sweden 🇸🇪

  • @marinac.5029
    @marinac.5029 5 месяцев назад +16

    Croatia ❤❤❤❤❤Baby Lasagna

  • @annglaister
    @annglaister 5 месяцев назад +2

    Hosting our 38th Eurovision party this Saturday 🎉🎉🎉…Croatia…fabulous Rammstein vibes 😊😊😊😊😊loving it 😊😊

  • @randomcro24
    @randomcro24 5 месяцев назад +25

    hope croatia get it the band really deserves it 👏 🙏

  • @annemarievandijk1296
    @annemarievandijk1296 5 месяцев назад +34

    The Netherlands are still hiding their staging. My idea: he will be using AR, close up (because he isnt moving) and only with the dance we will see the whole stage. It will be a rollercoaster: mark my words! Like Joost says: trust the process!

    • @hectorhectorovich5197
      @hectorhectorovich5197 5 месяцев назад +8

      AR cannot make this a good song. So it doesn't really matter what the staging will look like.

    • @annemarievandijk1296
      @annemarievandijk1296 5 месяцев назад +3

      @@hectorhectorovich5197 many people like this song so it does matter

    • @sit-insforsithis1568
      @sit-insforsithis1568 5 месяцев назад +3

      @@hectorhectorovich5197the song is great soooo Europapa for the win

    • @EdgeDevitXZ
      @EdgeDevitXZ 5 месяцев назад

      Yesssss

  • @eoghandowney537
    @eoghandowney537 5 месяцев назад +14

    I think Croatia will win. However it is really open. Ukraine's staging looks amazing as usual. 4 potential for me:
    1. Croatia.
    2. Switzerland.
    3. Ukraine.
    4. Italy.
    One note: Kaarija was cursed with the fact that Loreen was in it last year.

  • @AlexandreeSantoss
    @AlexandreeSantoss 5 месяцев назад +4

    A lot of people are loving Portugal’s staging, and I too love it! My favourites right now are Ukraine, Ireland, Portugal and Greece, staging + performance wise! 🤩👏🔥

  • @mirhadaokanovic8084
    @mirhadaokanovic8084 5 месяцев назад +34

    Croatia ❤, Phenomenal ❤. PERFEKT ❤ ❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤

    • @stsplit8973
      @stsplit8973 5 месяцев назад +1

      🤗🐈🐾🐾😘😘

  • @Esclore
    @Esclore 5 месяцев назад +19

    I hope Belgium will do better! ❤ I love these odds videos ❤

  • @blackfishart
    @blackfishart 5 месяцев назад +12

    Go Baby Lasagna! 😻❤😻

  • @Poljpiljkljoko
    @Poljpiljkljoko 5 месяцев назад +19

    CROATIA ❤THE BEST ❤

  • @cristinadiniz9201
    @cristinadiniz9201 5 месяцев назад +10

    Thanks from Portugal 🇵🇹 🇵🇹 🇵🇹 ❤❤

  • @FranjoZajec
    @FranjoZajec 5 месяцев назад +38

    The winner is between Switzerland, Italy, Croatia or France. I will come back here in a week to give myself a high five coz I am right

    • @Lordtriplap
      @Lordtriplap 5 месяцев назад

      ​@CROATIAPOWEEER i am not even gey but i think this is a really bad comment

    • @benund5848
      @benund5848 5 месяцев назад

      ​@CROATIAPOWEEERYou are a terrible person.

    • @ponzophotography1236
      @ponzophotography1236 5 месяцев назад +6

      ​@@Sosh-n4m i don't think so

    • @QuamfyMarc
      @QuamfyMarc 5 месяцев назад +5

      EuroPapa comeback loading ........
      🇪🇺 🕺 🇳🇱 ⚡️

    • @FranjoZajec
      @FranjoZajec 5 месяцев назад +6

      @@Sosh-n4m I don't think Greece will accumulate enough points from the Jurys or the televote to be in the top 3, but that's just my opinion.

  • @seli269
    @seli269 5 месяцев назад +6

    Everyone grumbles about Nemo's outfit, but when Käärijä appeared with his avant-garde outfit and strange hairstyle, nobody minded. Nemo has always worn flashy pink clothes, so it's nothing new (see preparties, swiss tv appearance etc).. and their song is amazing and sung beautifully while balancing on a rotating platform.

    • @GLee-sy7ek
      @GLee-sy7ek 5 месяцев назад +3

      Agreed! This is Nemo’s song about self acceptance. Hoping viewers will accept Nemo (just as they did Kaarija) for the kind, eclectic and musically talented human being that they are.

    • @quietboygonewild
      @quietboygonewild 5 месяцев назад

      I will quote Michael Kors on this: "Taste is something that you just can’t learn". I appreciate what Nemo is going for, but in my eyes I just see a pink chicken. He reminds me so much of Blanche Deveraux pertforming Henny Penny but in a pink version of the outfit she wore. His vocals are strong but his staging clashes with what he's trying to say.

  • @QuamfyMarc
    @QuamfyMarc 5 месяцев назад +29

    EuroPapa comeback loading ........
    🇪🇺 🕺 🇳🇱 ⚡️

  • @Alexandre130778
    @Alexandre130778 5 месяцев назад +19

    Portugal on the rise since rehearsals 🥰🇵🇹

  • @mikewhelan7692
    @mikewhelan7692 5 месяцев назад +9

    The juries will be impressed with the staging for Ireland 🇮🇪 . Well done Bambie and Ireland 🇮🇪

  • @seines8
    @seines8 5 месяцев назад +32

    Ireland ❤️🇮🇪

  • @zebras54
    @zebras54 5 месяцев назад +2

    You are right for the stars having to align for Luktelk to win but it warms my heart that so many people like it. I'm really hoping for a good result for France, Slimane deserves it. I love Nemo and Baby Lasagna. We need Portugal and Slovenia in the final and hopelly Dons as well.

  • @anz3l.a.3
    @anz3l.a.3 5 месяцев назад +8

    IRELAND AND GEROGIA AND GREECE WELCOME BACK TO THE FINAL

  • @meiko32
    @meiko32 5 месяцев назад +10

    The Swiss video clip from the second rehearsal was shorter than the other ones, only about 20s. I think they kept it a little bit underwhelming on purpose, which translates into those dropping odds.

  • @jasonvanheupen2023
    @jasonvanheupen2023 5 месяцев назад +1

    I think there will be a big shock is the second semi final, i have the feeling that at least one of the last three in the odds (Malta, czechia and San Marino)will qualify over Austria and Estonia, also i am not totally convinced in the qualification of my own country Belgium and maybe surprisingly Greece.

  • @DamirŠkoić
    @DamirŠkoić 5 месяцев назад +94

    Croatia winner ❤❤❤😊

    • @The0Rus
      @The0Rus 5 месяцев назад +11

      No 🙌

    • @Mathtiavezina
      @Mathtiavezina 5 месяцев назад +15

      @@The0Rusyes 😂

    • @DarkFlareGC
      @DarkFlareGC 5 месяцев назад +13

      I'm really rooting for Croatia to win. It's been my #1 since Dora 🥳

    • @ldg9484
      @ldg9484 5 месяцев назад +2

      Ukraine will win :)

    • @Mathtiavezina
      @Mathtiavezina 5 месяцев назад

      @@ldg9484 I doubt it

  • @haydenacott7962
    @haydenacott7962 5 месяцев назад +7

    So many of my personal top 10 probably won’t qualify! 🤷‍♂️😂 Azerbaijan, Australia, Serbia, Czechia and Malta. Oh well, my overall favourite Italy has an okay chance to win hopefully! 🤞

    • @fabriziofalini1757
      @fabriziofalini1757 5 месяцев назад +2

      Grazieeeeeeee!!! Saluti dall' Italia❣Votate Angelina!!!!!!

  • @mihajlojovanovic6264
    @mihajlojovanovic6264 5 месяцев назад +2

    I think that the reason why Croatia is first again is because the bookmakers were a bit disappointed with the staging of the Netherlands. Since it's a tight race between the Netherlands and Croatia in terms of who will win the televote, they believe that the staging will negatively impact the Netherlands leading them to receive fewer televotes than Croatia. These more televotes is exactly what Croatia needs to eventually win which is why they are first now.

  • @xvc15
    @xvc15 5 месяцев назад +10

    The winner is very open this year! I think it’s going to be very very close. I still believe Netherlands will win the televote, the issue is who’s gonna be second and third. On the other side Ukraine will do great on the juries, so if they’re gonna be in the top three of televote, the chances are with them.
    So excited for the winner this year 🎉

  • @martinfitzgerald6705
    @martinfitzgerald6705 5 месяцев назад +8

    Crown The Witch 🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉 I

    • @Eva-mp7xg
      @Eva-mp7xg 5 месяцев назад +1

      I - I - I am sure they qualify!

  • @goodside1807
    @goodside1807 5 месяцев назад +1

    There has been a few bots made recently to make Croatia Look Bad. Please ignore them. They are saying some very bad stuff about other songs and are posing as a person from Croatia which is not true. So please just ignore them and report them. And remember that those bots are not from Croatia..

  • @petersinnott2114
    @petersinnott2114 5 месяцев назад +5

    ❤ireland

  • @shinnysommar
    @shinnysommar 5 месяцев назад +1

    After the reharsal my qualify's (writes in Swedish)
    Semi 1:
    Cypern
    Ukraina
    Kroatien
    Azerbajdzjan
    Luxemburg
    (and OK for Litauen, Polen & Finland)
    Semi 2:
    Schweiz
    Tjeckien
    Österrike
    Armenien
    Lettland
    Belgien
    Estland
    Israel
    Nederländerna
    I like of course Kroatien (winner), Ukraina, Schweiz, Nederländerna. But i also really like the songs and rehearsal of Tjeckien, Österrike, Armenien, Lettland, Cypern and Azerbajdzjan 😊

  • @mia-oq6qf
    @mia-oq6qf 5 месяцев назад +10

    i reallyy hope slovenia qualifies

  • @cathalsheehan9596
    @cathalsheehan9596 5 месяцев назад +1

    It's Portugal that took Australia's spot as pre rehearsals Portugal were 11th/12th with Slovenia in the odds and Australia were 10th with about a 9% difference!

  • @wardje5195
    @wardje5195 5 месяцев назад +1

    I really don't understand why Belgium isn't top 5. Great dark, mysterious song leading up to a climax. Gets stuck in your head. And he's easy on the eyes. Probably because, as opposed to Balkan or ex-Yugoslavian countries for example, only the Netherlands is a certainty to vote on it. Great video with solid arguments!

  • @caitlan
    @caitlan 5 месяцев назад +9

    I hate how low Malta is in the odds, I think it will just go through to the final and is alot better than some of the songs this year
    I think Belgium will be a shock NQ, the only good part of the song is at the very end and his vocals have decreased rather then improved which is a shame

    • @haydenacott7962
      @haydenacott7962 5 месяцев назад +2

      I love Malta, it’s in my personal top 10. But 5 of my top 10 are expected not to qualify hahaha!

    • @Helena96
      @Helena96 5 месяцев назад

      I think it's a pure copy of slomo or whatever that song was called (spain in 2022)

  • @Laurinda15
    @Laurinda15 5 месяцев назад +9

    Would you consider making a survey/poll about betting?
    I've been a huge Eurovision fan since 2007 and I've never placed a bet.
    While I know of some casuals that have done so.

  • @rinjoo3
    @rinjoo3 5 месяцев назад +5

    I really hope Croatia could get their win, but at the same time, the staging was bit "meh" and the camera work was bit messy/shaky and didn't really give Eurovision winner vibes, so i hope they make it better and more focused during later rehearsals, or it would feel bit odd if it wins. Ukraine and Switzerland has the best stagings clips, but 30secs is not really enought to tell what the performance looks in full. Also i feel like the stage feels kind of empty in long distance camera shots and close-up shots have been looking better in that stage.

  • @secretsoffireband
    @secretsoffireband 5 месяцев назад +1

    In some European countries you can't bet on Eurovision (i.e its not legal to do so in France?). So in countries like Ireland and Uk (where it is permitted) there will be more money backing their home-grown acts. This can skew the odds a bit, and they appear to rank higher in these tables.

  • @heidiihlen8074
    @heidiihlen8074 5 месяцев назад +1

    Thank you for your thoroughness and relieable comments!
    I have been thinking about why Joost Klein seems to loose some support. I think that he and his production team are doing some risky moves when it comes to using his tragical loss of parents. The risky factor is indéed connected to the word 'use'. I get an uncomfortable gutfeeling of being held hostage: How can I reject somthing that sad and tragic? In other situations this could have been interpreted as 'emotional blackmailing'.
    Maybe this is an exaggeration, but it is certainly a mecanism to keep an eye on.🤔

  • @Jai05
    @Jai05 5 месяцев назад +9

    Prayer circle so Croatia performs in the second half and doesn’t get the stupid producers choice

  • @gasperletig9284
    @gasperletig9284 5 месяцев назад +5

    People , vote for music , and not choise how stage is = listen and choise the music , real music , no circus

  • @TheManInBlueFlames
    @TheManInBlueFlames 5 месяцев назад +31

    Nemo's anxiety attacks!!!

    • @dijanapolic9343
      @dijanapolic9343 5 месяцев назад +1

      😂😢 please realy them let tem go to psycologiyst second, third place, Ukraine, we hug U when whose hardest, please help us now ❤💖🫶🤝🏻🙏

    • @shantizunn
      @shantizunn 5 месяцев назад +1

      😂

    • @B.M.6
      @B.M.6 5 месяцев назад +3

      Bald heißt es nicht Findet Nemo,sondern Good Bey Nemo😂

  • @claudinonunes6096
    @claudinonunes6096 5 месяцев назад +1

    Portugal 🇵🇹 will slay 🎉🎉🎉 vote quality!

  • @shummybooy6552
    @shummybooy6552 5 месяцев назад +1

    Hei, I have a tip on how to read the odds: instead of looking at the winning chance which doesn’t make the most sense mathematically, try looking at the actual odds. An odds 3 translates to the event happening once in three times. So you can envision the situation a bit clearer: Would Croatia win the competition once if it was to be played 3 times? Yes, no.
    It makes it way easier for me at least to visualise what those numbers actually mean instead of using the winning chance as a reference point. Hope this helps!!

  • @apoelara1980
    @apoelara1980 5 месяцев назад

    Cyprus will definately qualify! 80% is about right

  • @cyonidee
    @cyonidee 5 месяцев назад +4

    I'm starting to believe that Italy can do it if the staging comes together - but i love the concept of the staging and it can be impactful. I also expect to see what Joost Klein have in store - because i don't think the two of them hav given away their best.

  • @egyptianhibiscus9203
    @egyptianhibiscus9203 5 месяцев назад +2

    R a m o n d a 💗 will qualify. Ende.

    • @egyptianhibiscus9203
      @egyptianhibiscus9203 5 месяцев назад

      @@IvanJaksic-h2u Kakva duhovitost, kakav nivo, pa moramo te promovirat negde da svet sazna za tebe

  • @ksennsmiles
    @ksennsmiles 5 месяцев назад

    12 points to the Netherlands!❤

  • @nolbol1754
    @nolbol1754 5 месяцев назад +9

    This year I find the odds strange gives me Eurovision 2011 vibes when they completely got everything wrong nearly
    Semi Final 1 I know lot of people found Australia rehearsal underwhelming but I think it will make it instead of either Poland Cyprus or Serbia and I would still not rule out Slovenia and Azerbaijan because its impossible running order 1 to 7 to qualify we never had that before and I know it won't happen 1 or 2 definitely won't make it that's why I think Cyprus and maybe Poland or Serbia NQ
    Semi Final 2 I agree with you San Marino should be way higher Its more memorable then Denmark Albania and Latvia and I think it can take either Estonia or Austria and maybe Georgia or even Belgium place to qualify and I still would not rule out Malta I am not really a big fan of the song I said this many times but she is a very good performer and I think it can take Austria place I'm not saying it will happen but I won't be surprised it happens

    • @painpapadopoulos8120
      @painpapadopoulos8120 5 месяцев назад +2

      Australia won't make it to the finals. I believe Estonia won't make it to the finals. Instead I see Albania qualifing.

    • @nolbol1754
      @nolbol1754 5 месяцев назад +3

      @@painpapadopoulos8120 Maybe they won't make it but I still think they will but Estonia maybe but since its 100 percent televote I think it will make it Albania I don't think it will qualify they are in 2nd running order and It will be tough to qualify from that plus they should have kept the song in Albanian and I find this English version song very weak and forgettable who knows maybe they will we never know

  • @manuelaburic5204
    @manuelaburic5204 5 месяцев назад +18

    I'm most surprised by the position of Portugal in the odds. I think it deserves top 10.🤍

    • @johnkreukniet3849
      @johnkreukniet3849 5 месяцев назад +5

      At least Top 5 . One of the best together with Israël and Serbia. Israël is my winner of Eurovision 2024

  • @martinnur
    @martinnur 5 месяцев назад +1

    It is true with ucranie, I had goosebumps with the snippet of the video, it was so beautiful! And sadly Nemo, I don’t like the outfit😢, and it doesn’t seem so spectacular , Netherlands is also a bit boring what we get to see. I hope when we see it complete it will be great as well, but let’s see.

    • @KamiKami-kc8yp
      @KamiKami-kc8yp 5 месяцев назад

      It is possibile for Ukraine to win being so low in the Eurovision Poll? The poll always predicted the winner

  • @SilvaPuđan
    @SilvaPuđan 5 месяцев назад +3

    Marko goooo❤❤❤❤❤

  • @ESCOscar
    @ESCOscar 5 месяцев назад +3

    I think Ireland actually has a chance of being top 3 in the semi now

  • @ely03cassandra
    @ely03cassandra 5 месяцев назад +2

    I’m sad that people have lost faith in Nemo… 😢

    • @ValérieDélèze
      @ValérieDélèze 5 месяцев назад +2

      Je pense que beaucoup le craigne donc il le démolisse .
      Même si il aurait pas la première place , Némo restera toujours un des meilleurs de l'eurovision 2024 . Et surtout il aura fait trembler beaucoup de monde.
      Petite Suisse que nous sommes , Némo est un artiste et chanteur exceptionnel.
      Il aura le mérite d'avoir bousculer ces adversaires.

    • @ely03cassandra
      @ely03cassandra 5 месяцев назад +1

      @@ValérieDélèze D’accord 💙

  • @PauloRoxoFerreira
    @PauloRoxoFerreira 5 месяцев назад +5

    In terms of what Eurovision should be, my winners are: Portugal, Italy, or Greece.

  • @avapangeayt2397
    @avapangeayt2397 5 месяцев назад +8

    Nutsa on fire❤❤❤❤

  • @evatrulsson
    @evatrulsson 5 месяцев назад +9

    Ukraine 🤗

  • @vesnamarjanovic9906
    @vesnamarjanovic9906 5 месяцев назад +1

    Croatia❤

  • @carlosfilipecodinha
    @carlosfilipecodinha 5 месяцев назад +4

    I thought it was a music contest, not a staging and lighting show

  • @hokikole6266
    @hokikole6266 5 месяцев назад +16

    oprostite ali ove godine rim tim tagi win🎉

  • @basieluxanno7909
    @basieluxanno7909 5 месяцев назад

    I expect Luxembourg will get good support from Belguim, France and Portugal

  • @Timothee13
    @Timothee13 5 месяцев назад +2

    I just want Latvia in the final soooo bad. I'll vote for them, I'll make everything in my power to see Latvia back.

  • @diekommentarekommentiererin
    @diekommentarekommentiererin 5 месяцев назад

    17:25 Latvia 2002, anyone? Wasn't supposed to compete either and only got in because another country (Portugal) withdrew. The rest is history... This is the original fairytale story of Eurovision.

    • @theeurovixen
      @theeurovixen 5 месяцев назад

      And, unfortunately, it’s one of the most undeserving winners in the last 25 years. Dreadful song.

  • @Serge.Song.Contest.got.Recaps
    @Serge.Song.Contest.got.Recaps 5 месяцев назад +2

    Cyprus, Serbia, Slovenia, Australia and Portugal all should have around 60% because they're fighting for the last 3 Spots for the final.

  • @ferhanmantar6388
    @ferhanmantar6388 5 месяцев назад +4

    Crotia hope will take trophy at that point Baby Lasagna very well deserve to win and Italy unfurtunatly lost the chance because as just you mentioned she lost her naturalty with busy careography. Ucraine’s song so relegious which makes me dislike this aproaches. And Azeribejian I think lost the chance even though they had charisma and traditional part and diasphora advantage, but now they have very bad staging because probably too much arrogancy comes from main singer.

  • @Delthfaithe
    @Delthfaithe 5 месяцев назад

    I think the croatia perfomance changed it all.

  • @Crowleas
    @Crowleas 5 месяцев назад +3

    1st semi:
    I think Azerbaijan is qualifying instead of Cyprus.
    And then Moldova might be challenging to steal the spot from either Poland or Portugal.
    2nd semi:
    This is quite more open.
    I think Israel, the Netherlands, Switzerland, Norway and Armenia are safe.
    Then Greece and Georgia are almost safe.
    Then Latvia is an almost certain NQ.
    And everyone else is fighting for the 3 remaining spots in the Final.
    Final:
    I still think France will win.
    And its only true competition is Ukraine.
    The only surprise could be Israel, if the juries crazily decide to openly support it.

  • @johannes_floehr
    @johannes_floehr 5 месяцев назад +6

    Estonia! :'(

    • @silencestation557
      @silencestation557 5 месяцев назад +6

      If we won't qualify, the only hope I have is that we won't get back to this path of sending those anonymous English (pop)songs again like we have done for many years (with Hope in 2022 as an exception for me personally because it still had some identity and character as a song).

  • @Luka20121988
    @Luka20121988 5 месяцев назад +4

    🐯🇭🇷

  • @ukrart.
    @ukrart. 5 месяцев назад +7

    ukraine🥹❤️

  • @ThaGamingMisfit
    @ThaGamingMisfit 5 месяцев назад +1

    45% chance to qualify for Slovenia feels so painful to me, I really don't understand who is actually betting and creating these odds. At least some more people realized Norway is going to blow away many people ! Anyways odds make me angry almost so maybe I should stop watching these videos. There is only one steady force in the odds since the beginning and that's Italy, so I would bet on that if I had too much money ;-)

    • @ymi2.02
      @ymi2.02 5 месяцев назад

      45% is still good. She definitely still has a chance to qualify.

  • @healthytrout
    @healthytrout 5 месяцев назад +7

    the cut screen will feature croatia and ukraine 🔮🔮

    • @SuperPuris
      @SuperPuris 5 месяцев назад +3

      Hardly, depends who wins with the jurys and that will probably be Switzerland

    • @stsplit8973
      @stsplit8973 5 месяцев назад +1

      ​🤣😂You mean.!? 🤔.. Eurovision charts released information on which country wrote the song lyrics themselves and which had helpers. First surprise, helper...!?? 🤔🤭Can the text be written by more than one person... If that's the case, it's immediately zero points for me, and now the answer goes. You think that the jury will appreciate more a song that has 6 helpers in writing the lyrics. Croatia is the only country where the artist recorded his song himself✍️.👌👏🌹 And the rest... Engagement, music, video... Everything.👏👌🎯 With their own money. 🎯💯And secondly, all countries had 3-9 helpers. Hello!!!😲🙈 I fainted from that information. That information is a disaster for me. Netherlands and Belgium 6 or 7 helpers✍️✍️✍️🤔. I think at least some jury will take that into account. And I think they will. Devastating data for Switzerland, the Netherlands, Belgium, Sweden... Italy 3, Greece even 9 and Cyprus 9 helpers.😲🙈 Now everyone can go lizard hunting. Devastating data for all of them.😯🤔🤔🤔

  • @lfm_00
    @lfm_00 5 месяцев назад

    I just disagree with something that you said, i think actually people are really surprised with portugal's staging on second rehearsal, that's why portugal increased on odds for semi final. Also in youtube and reddit if you take a look, the main favorites of semi final 1 second rehearsals from what i saw in 90% of the comments were irland, ukraine and portugal, maybe also croatia. So it's just a quick note. And because of that i dont understand why portugal dropped in winning odds while increased in qualifying odds..

  • @unown_
    @unown_ 5 месяцев назад

    Netherlands unfortunately fucked up the staging again it’s unbelievable how this happens every year

  • @ruiddd956
    @ruiddd956 5 месяцев назад +4

    Portugal will be top3.

  • @andrewzielinski8845
    @andrewzielinski8845 5 месяцев назад

    Oh dear, 3 countries i want to do well coz theyre minnows, malta, san marino and iceland, all in bottom 6!!! Diesnt bode well!!!!

  • @JustSaying001
    @JustSaying001 5 месяцев назад +5

    Maybe winner of Eurovision Song Contest 2024 will not be winner of televote or juryvote...

  • @ginav4064
    @ginav4064 5 месяцев назад

    Croatia ❤

  • @Giuseppina50
    @Giuseppina50 5 месяцев назад +1

    Italy Angelina Mango winner ❤

  • @cindy688
    @cindy688 5 месяцев назад +3

    The Netherlands ❤

  • @SSuillin
    @SSuillin 5 месяцев назад

    IRLANDA!! IRELAND
    #crownthewitch

  • @danicacvitanic9080
    @danicacvitanic9080 5 месяцев назад

    ❤️🇭🇷❤️👉🔥🎼🔥👍🌺🙋‍♀️

  • @stratisbal9594
    @stratisbal9594 5 месяцев назад

    None of us have seen Greece's performance and I do believe that odds are misleading the audience. These scenarios bring me memories of Malta 2021 when the odds were quite high, but Malta hadn't got any actual potential for winning the contest. How is it possible for you to say that Greece has no winning performance by a snippet of 30 seconds when it's also the lowest tempo part of the song? Even Nemo was impressed by Marina's staging while he was waiting for taking the stage and performing his song. It's hilarious for me when I recall your previous videos. You were mentioning Greece as a potential winner according to the actual song as we hadn't seen any staging hint from her. Now, even if we did have a hint of Marina's staging, you are not giving her the needed appretiation that you used to give to her prior to the rehearsals. Let's be honest, there is no winning song at the moment. People and youtubers are overreacting about Croatia and Switzerland, however none of them is good enough or has the package for winning the contest. Croatia lacks into staging and vocals, Switzerland lacks into costumes and staging as well. None of them bring something new to the contest. From the other hand, if we want to make development steps for this contest, it's quite fair to give to Marina the chance to prove us that we were wrong with her, because we've judged her whole Eurovision journey from a snippet of 30 seconds. Marina is bringing what Loreen brought in 2012, a unique era where World Music is not just a sub music category, but it can actually be the main part of the music industry. Greece's entry is not the sleek western pop music which we have had enough for more than 15 years, Greece's entry is the meta-comment of this parameter. The great music collage of her song is a good indicator of what entries should be looked like nowadays. If this entry was applied by another country, I believe the reactions would be different. But odds convert the succession of CHA CHA CHA into Rim Tim Dagi Tim's betting succession and the gender awareness that Nemo brings (while Ireland shares the same gender identity, but not such a conversation about it) into something unique which in my opinion is not. I do believe there will be a lot of flops this year. The only countries I can see as winners are Greece for the development of this contest which implies discourses of urbanism, world music and accessability by being relevant with your own culture, and France for the cliche, but aesthetic song which applies to everyone's introversion.

  • @polypandora1943
    @polypandora1943 5 месяцев назад

    I think only Ukraine has the potential to win over Croatia, but really hope it will not 😌Switzerland, Italy and Netherlands just dont have it.

  • @kolyaoryschuk6762
    @kolyaoryschuk6762 5 месяцев назад +1

    Ukraine 👌 really good

  • @YoshiMalaguista2
    @YoshiMalaguista2 5 месяцев назад

    I have 200 euros bet on Portugal non qualification

  • @ZebraMan74
    @ZebraMan74 5 месяцев назад

    I also agree with you on Cyprus - 81% qualification chance is way too high and I DON'T think it will qualify - I think Australia, Azerbaijan or Slovenia will do instead.

  • @mickeymickey570
    @mickeymickey570 5 месяцев назад +2

    Mind my words: Ukraine will be the 1st in the odds after the semis. The staging is epic, the vocals of Jerry Heil is flawless. The rap part is probably the all time best in eurovision. The song is a banger with a deep message. 10 countries of 37 are the old friends of Ukraine in Eurovision. And the diaspora is there.
    Ukraine is one if the most successful Eurovision countries, almost always in the top 10 and 2 victories over the last 10 years but this song is the best ukrainian Eurovision entry of all time they participated. I mean if they managed to win with the less successfull songs, do you really think with THIS they will finish 3rd or 2nd?
    I've placed my bet on Ukraine
    However, I also admit the Croatia winning potential. It also has the message, good staging, nice melody, and it is a rock. BUT: for me, the song is a bit raw. He sings the same sentence half the song: "THIS NO GOING BAAAAAACK OOOOOOOH, THIS NO GOING BAAAAAAAACK OOOOOH, THIS NO GOING BAAAAAACK OOOOOOOOOH". That makes the song sound more usual and decreases the wow effect.
    I think the battle for the first place will be among these two, and probably France will also say its word, because it is probably num. 1-3 in the juries, but the public also likes it. I know a lot of people who love Mon amour the most.

    • @stsplit8973
      @stsplit8973 5 месяцев назад +6

      Mickey... That woooooo is a winner, it's so infectious that everyone sings it and responds woooooo. Booooom! Top!
      Woooop, wooooo, wooooo
      🤗🐾🐾🐈Meoowww😘😇🤗😍😻

    • @tomislav982
      @tomislav982 5 месяцев назад +4

      Chorus in both Croatian and Ukranian song repeat exactly 4 times. Therefore your argument that it is usual could be extended to Ukranian song as well.

    • @komandantData
      @komandantData 5 месяцев назад +3

      To me this Ukrainian song is really not their best. I don’t like the religious theme, the aspect of Maria Teresa is also controversial and to tell you the truth, the rap part is really not that good. Staging wise, yes - spectacular, but I don’t vibe with winning the contest based on the staging so much. I mean, if you have to drag a mountain to the stage in order to make an impact…yeah, no. I’m sorry if I’m being harsh, and I usually like Ukraine, but no, not this year.

    • @KamiKami-kc8yp
      @KamiKami-kc8yp 5 месяцев назад

      It is possibile for Ukraine to win being so low in the Eurovision Poll? The poll always predicted the winner

    • @MarieSch.
      @MarieSch. 5 месяцев назад +1

      Haha no to politics

  • @M0RR15
    @M0RR15 5 месяцев назад +2

    Hey fellow German here. xD I saw your latest videos and it seems as if you severely don't realize the huge draw with these so called dance-breaks / girl bop / whatever name songs. Maybe you're gay which might explain 😂. But you need to remember the most basic advertising rule of sex sells. Take Cyprus, personally I thought the song was fine to mediocre and needed a standout staging - which apparently isn't happening. But even that lazyness will most definitely not cost them their qualifier spot - bc ppl are gonna vote for Silia alone.

    • @LeafHuntress
      @LeafHuntress 5 месяцев назад +2

      Which is weird because it's usually the gay eurovision fans that are hyped about those "girl bops"...
      That name is a crime in itself as those usually are *women* singing them, unless you're talking about Cyprus, which is selling us a minor & i completely hate it.

    • @ymi2.02
      @ymi2.02 5 месяцев назад +1

      ​@@LeafHuntressExactly. It is usually the gay community who loves girl bops and dance-breaks.

  • @lainey1148
    @lainey1148 5 месяцев назад

    Ireland dark horse winner 🇮🇪

  • @gasperletig9284
    @gasperletig9284 5 месяцев назад +1

    Odds
    Not real

  • @leonnestestog2562
    @leonnestestog2562 5 месяцев назад

    would be weird for croatia to win with everyone in the top 10 having the same level song or better and better staging.

  • @KamiKami-kc8yp
    @KamiKami-kc8yp 5 месяцев назад

    It is possibile for Ukraine to win being so low in the Eurovision Poll? The poll always predicted the winner