How to Forecast the Aurora: Never miss a Northern Lights show again!

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  • Опубликовано: 5 сен 2024

Комментарии • 40

  • @Astro_Ayaz1
    @Astro_Ayaz1 4 дня назад +1

    This video really helped me! I've already managed to capture seven auroras from northern Germany at latitude 52.3 this year, as well as four NLCs with a Canon camera. I'm still only 14, so I haven't been able to get away from light pollution yet, but they were still visible, even during the May 10-11 event, which was insane.
    My favorite aurora captures were on May 10-11, August 4-5, and August 12-13 because they were visible to the naked eye. Thanks to you, I can now forecast them myself using some websites, checking if the CMEs have halos, and so on.

    • @StarScaperPhoto
      @StarScaperPhoto  4 дня назад +1

      That is fantastic to read! Forecasting aurora remains a teicky business, but with some tools we at least have some heads up on when to try and capture them. Happy hunting to you!

  • @stevethompson8154
    @stevethompson8154 8 месяцев назад +2

    I really liked your explanation of a Flare is NOT a solar storm or CME. New folks seem to think any solar flare will produce Aurora.

    • @StarScaperPhoto
      @StarScaperPhoto  8 месяцев назад

      Thank you! I learned a lot myself also in the past few weeks. Still have to figure out some more or better sources to check the CME's potentials. Heard about 'CME scoreboards' but I'll have to look into those a lot more still.

  • @ViratShah
    @ViratShah 8 месяцев назад +1

    Very Informative Jeroen and it is always fun chasing the Aurora.. @GrowPhotography and I were chasing the lights 2 nights ago and we had to wait a while before the lights appeared .. despite high BT and low BZ, it took a while..

    • @StarScaperPhoto
      @StarScaperPhoto  8 месяцев назад

      Thanks Virat! I've been really enjoying your adventures with Greg also! And indeed, depending on what happened to the magnetosphere in the hours before the blow, it can take a while to develop. With aurora forecasting it always seems to be a 'guesstimate' at best ;-).

  • @GrowPhotography
    @GrowPhotography 8 месяцев назад +2

    Very informative video Jeroen, we are all slowly becoming aurora nerds 😁.
    Perth is located at latitude -30 so we need very strong conditions for any sort of decent showing. 1st December we got BZ -25, creating naked eye visible aurora which is almost unheard of, along with strong colours and pillars visible thru the camera - a night I'll never forget.
    Looking forward to more such events over the next 12 months, and also the full interview on your channel. Keep up the great content 👌

    • @StarScaperPhoto
      @StarScaperPhoto  8 месяцев назад +1

      Thanks again for your comment Greg! I also watched your video at the lake where the 3 of you seemed to have a fantastic show indeed. Really enjoyed it!

  • @michellelove3895
    @michellelove3895 7 месяцев назад +1

    26-2 en 27-2 Het was op mijn slaapfeestje.. ik heb nog gezegd kijk ff hoe licht het is het lijkt wel,of de zon op komt. Toch heb ik niet naar buiten gekeken en kreeg de volgende ochtend te horen dat het her noorderlicht was. Ben zo boos op me zelf dat ik niet naar buiten gekeken heb!

  • @matej.mlakar
    @matej.mlakar 8 месяцев назад +2

    Great and very well explained :D one can see all the effort you have put in. I hope to see Aurora at least once in my life.

    • @StarScaperPhoto
      @StarScaperPhoto  8 месяцев назад

      Thanks Matej! Really hope you will be able to one day AND get clear skies again for once there man!

  • @Seegurkenwombat
    @Seegurkenwombat 8 месяцев назад +1

    Wow! Very thoroughly and concise! Thank you, something learned.

    • @StarScaperPhoto
      @StarScaperPhoto  8 месяцев назад +1

      Appreciate you saying that Jan! Hope you will be able to catch the Aurora soon.

  • @andrevandermeulen
    @andrevandermeulen 8 месяцев назад +1

    Nice! The earthline with extra time is helpfull info!

    • @StarScaperPhoto
      @StarScaperPhoto  8 месяцев назад +1

      Glad it was helpful Andre. That part was also very new for me. We have Andrew to thank for that! 👍

    • @marliesdekkerfotografie1749
      @marliesdekkerfotografie1749 8 месяцев назад +1

      Jeroen kan je die nog een keer uitleggen van die earthline? Ik begreep het niet helemaal (dat schots) van die earthline

  • @Kevin.kistermann
    @Kevin.kistermann 8 месяцев назад +1

    Thanks for the vid Jereon, it is an interesting topic and i try to understand it over a longer time period.

  • @nightscapejournals
    @nightscapejournals 8 месяцев назад +1

    Nice one, Jeroen. Super informative. Excited to catch some more northern lights here and in northern Norway again in February!
    I hadn’t realised you were in Lofoten this year too - watching that video now!

    • @StarScaperPhoto
      @StarScaperPhoto  8 месяцев назад

      Thanks for letting me know Paul! Hope you will catch some more light shows this year. Looking forward to your videos already. Great you found my Lofoten video also. It's one of the videos I'm most proud of but also one that nobody seems to have watched 😅.

  • @jasonspinks3163
    @jasonspinks3163 8 месяцев назад +1

    Excellent video! Look forward to seeing more of your results.

    • @StarScaperPhoto
      @StarScaperPhoto  8 месяцев назад +1

      Thanks Jason! Keeping my fingers crossed for coming night. Looks promising right now :-).

    • @jasonspinks3163
      @jasonspinks3163 8 месяцев назад

      @@StarScaperPhoto very good luck!!! It looks cloudy for us in Scotland but will keep checking.

  • @Mark_Wierda
    @Mark_Wierda 8 месяцев назад +1

    Great informative video! I learned in Norway from some people that the Bz index is indeed the most important parameter 😄

    • @StarScaperPhoto
      @StarScaperPhoto  8 месяцев назад

      Thx Mark! And glad to have it confirmed by more people up there!

  • @michellegotz1154
    @michellegotz1154 5 месяцев назад +1

    Thank you for the amazing video☺️ I am currently starting to work on my bachelor thesis and my goal is to first understand how auroras are predicted in general and then more specifically how often they can be expected/seen over Switzerland. I thought I would ask you if you’ve read any papers about aurora predictability? I especially found it interesting that you mentioned that scientists find the Kp index to be less important/accurate than the bz. I’ll definitely try to educate myself on that but thanks again for your helpful video!

    • @StarScaperPhoto
      @StarScaperPhoto  5 месяцев назад +1

      Thanks you so much, glad it was helpful! If you really want to do a deep dive on the aurora I suggest checking out Adrian Mauduit / nightlightsfilms. He is one of the most knowledgeable people on the aurora I know of. He also does an in depth webinar which might help you.

    • @michellegotz1154
      @michellegotz1154 5 месяцев назад +1

      That’s great, thank you so much 😊 I’ll definitely check it out.

  • @mrnuthatch7004
    @mrnuthatch7004 8 месяцев назад +1

    52° north latitude is really far north compared to where I chase, lol. I'm chasing at 43-45° N in the US

    • @StarScaperPhoto
      @StarScaperPhoto  8 месяцев назад

      It is possible! Much respect though 👍

    • @StarScaperPhoto
      @StarScaperPhoto  8 месяцев назад

      It is possible! Much respect though 👍

  • @marliesdekkerfotografie1749
    @marliesdekkerfotografie1749 8 месяцев назад +1

    even n kleine vraag… aangezien mn schots niet zo goed is… moet je er nu van uit gaan dat het pas zichtbaar is NA de prognoses? Aangezien de satelieten het opvangen en het dan pas 1,5 uur later aan komt?

    • @StarScaperPhoto
      @StarScaperPhoto  8 месяцев назад +1

      Ha Marlies, dat klopt. Zodra de L1 satellieten het oppikken heb je ongeveer een uurtje (afhankelijk van de snelheid van de zonnewind) totdat het de aarde raakt. Als eerste raakt het de kant waar het dag is. Vervolgens duurt het nog even voordat het aan de nacht kant zichtbaar kan zijn. Zeg 1 tot 1,5 uur nadat je een piek in de grafiek ziet van de satellieten.

    • @marliesdekkerfotografie1749
      @marliesdekkerfotografie1749 8 месяцев назад +1

      @@StarScaperPhoto Dank je wel :) Nog even afwassen voor dat ik naar t strand rij dan maar ;)

    • @StarScaperPhoto
      @StarScaperPhoto  8 месяцев назад +1

      @@marliesdekkerfotografie1749 haha, kijkend naar de waarden van de satellieten op dit moment kun je dan nog een behoorlijke afwas doen ;-).

    • @marliesdekkerfotografie1749
      @marliesdekkerfotografie1749 8 месяцев назад +1

      @@StarScaperPhoto haha we wachten geduldig af , zal dan ool maar gaan stofzuigen alvast

    • @StarScaperPhoto
      @StarScaperPhoto  8 месяцев назад

      @marliesdekkerfotografie1749 top idee 😄

  • @ProjectAlase
    @ProjectAlase 8 месяцев назад

    I hope you can answer this but, i live in Strasbourg, France and the thing is that people found auroras at the same place, but i didn't see it so can you tell me what time can i hunt for northern lights in my place so i won't forget to see it.

    • @StarScaperPhoto
      @StarScaperPhoto  8 месяцев назад

      Aurora's will have to be very strong to see it in Strasbourg. At least look for a dark view to the North. Most basic and handy would be to download an app like Aurora Forecast. You will get alerts if it is strong enough. Problem is those alerts are always a bit late, so it's even better to study the data which I talk about in the video.

    • @ProjectAlase
      @ProjectAlase 8 месяцев назад

      @@StarScaperPhoto Alright, thank you for the info! You gained a new sub!