As I understand it: 1) the more active the sun, the more solar wind. 2) the more solar wind, the less cosmic rays impacting Earth’s atmosphere. 3) the less cosmic rays, the less “seeds” for cloud droplet formation. 4) the less cloud droplet formation, the less cloud cover. 5) the less cloud cover, the more solar insolution. 6) the more solar insolution, the warmer the Earth’s atmosphere. So the more active the sun, the warmer the Earth, but it is due to indirect effects instead of direct effects.
Direct and indirect effects. He wont say climate, but the Sun drives climate. Total Solar Irradiance increases at max. This SC max is weak and seems to have peaked already.
For reference Alex, regarding life without sunlight: chemoautotrophs can create their own food without sunlight (unlike plants which are photoautotrophs). Chemoautotrophs are typically found around undersea volcanic vents. I imagine you have probably already come accross them if you have done life on Enceladus or Europa videos.
not qualified for this but i believe that would only go so far. without the sun to provide more energy to the planet, energy stored in chemical bonds that life could use will eventually be converted to unusable forms and then left via the atmosphere.
Yeah, what they said ^ While the Chemoautographic crab people, aren't overly affected by the solar cycles. Event's in their Ocean volcanic homes, can increase or decrease with the solar cycles. Cycles that can mean the uprising or downfall of human civilizations are hardly noticed by our crabby, photo energy free friends. They do care about what this means for humans and feel our continued disconnect from the earth and the self, is making every step closer to this shift, more difficult than it should be. The next stable time period after the coming multiple thousand years of major instability, will see new appreciation for "stable weather". Just as it did for the ancestors about 8kya. Climate change - the only constant is change so I just call it climate and study its incredible facts. We've had a great run and let's hope more knowledge makes it through the next big one Interesting time to be alive ❤
Between 1859 and 2003 there have been 9 solar events that caused the aurora to be seen at low latitudes. This year (2023) has been amazing as we have had 7 so far. These have not been overly large flares or CME's either. Some scientists now believe that earths weakening magnetic field is the reason for this phenomena. All I have to say is that a Carrington level event now would be "interesting" Edit: For those unaware, the Carrington event was a series of solar flares in 1859 that caused the telegraph wires in northern USA and Canada to catch fire. There were reports of telegraph exchanges burning down and some telegraph operators said that they could still send and receive messages after the power was disconnected. Just imagine what would happen now if, for instance, every single transformer blew up in North America simultaneously. It would be years before power would be restored fully.
One of your very best chats, Alex. So much information we can scarcely get anywhere, about satellites, about the Sun and much more. First class presentation!!
I think you forgot to mention the recent findings that the Cloud Cycle of Neptune - our furthest major planet - (which refers to how many clouds are on Neptune at a given time) seems to follow the Sun's cycle over the past 30 years since we started monitoring Neptune despite its distance. If true, then it would baffle us even more
That kind of stuff starts to make more sense when you consider some of the electric universe ideas. Neptune and the sun have a much more interesting relationship than current astronomy allows for: anode/cathode
@@SubparFiddle Are you saying that the Sun + Neptune is a... 4.6 billion kilometer wide Battery!? And the heliosphere is the "salt bridge" between the two? That would be METAL if that's true.
I find it amazing that life as we know it exists at the edge of absolute cold. We are comfortable only 400 degrees away from absolute zero while temperatures can be millions of degrees hotter.
It makes sense when you look at it from the point of view entropy. Life is an extremely rare and unlikely state of being, so you would be unlikely to find it in a high entropy environment, but rather on the fringes of such environments - i.e planets located in the Goldilocks zone around main sequence stars.
That`s why its crazy that we are the first species with a choice to save ourselves and we have chosen not too! and yet we think we are a space faring species but cannot manage being a sustainable earth faring one . Bizarre we are . Lets see how fast we can raise temperatures to unlivable ! , fastest ever so far .
@MyKharli It's also funny how we think we affect the planet that much. The sun and the planet itself makes our alterations look like nothing. Just like global warming which started around 400 years ago near the beginning of the industrial revolution but hilariously that was also when there was a massive uptick in volcanic activity which has only been increasing but has been why we have been able to have such good agriculture. A single volcanic eruption by the way can make the entire human greenhouse gas output look like a fart in the wind and even more hilariously more CO2 which they vilify is actually good because that encourages more plant growth, just look at the jurassic period which had many times the CO2 in the atmosphere and plants THRIVED as we had mega fauna everywhere.
So many people think that by using the big long words that, that makes them sound intelligent when it is completely the opposite. it's good to see people speaking normally
Here in even southern part of Finland, I've been watching aurora borealis happening many times in last winter, and just recently one time. Before seen those only once, and it was at least 15 years ago. Sun seems really getting active. Those last winter ones were really cool to watch, really intense
This is more so because of weaker magnetosphere allowing in more particles in solar storms. But obviously the sun has to be spewing out stuff in order for the aurora to be more active, too.
Very interesting indeed . I can't say I'm shocked or surprised at the impact our sun has on our lives . It's good to know that there's actual scientists, hopefully doing unbiased, scientific work on the effects our sun has on us .
it's obviously cow farts and fossil fuels bro. It can't be solar cycles bro trust me bro the romans were pumping out a bunch of fossil fuels during the rise of their empire and that's why the world was 3C hotter back then bro trust me please bro@@SilvaDreams
While HF propagation *changes,* I'd point out that Amateur Radio operators quite enjoy geomagnetic storms - as we play with deliberately bouncing VHF signals off the auroras.
We used to have a failsafe way of measuring sun activity that we didn't have the details on at the time. When I was serving as a communications tech in the US Navy in the 1970s and 80s, all we needed was our high frequency radio communications in the Mediterranean and the early satellites going haywire to know the sun was up to something nefarious. 😁
As a Ham Radio operator, I pay very close attention to the solar cycles... We greatly enjoy a good solar maximum to allow long distance coms on normally quiet frequencies...
@@BSWVI. The sunspots increase the charge of the ionosphere, providing a barrier of sorts which a radio wave can bounce off of. These bounces are called skips. A high frequency radio wave leaves the antenna, hits the ionosphere and is reflected back to earth. This happens many times. The length of the skip is determined by the height of the ionosphere and the wavelength of the radio transmission. Longer wavelengths have a shorter skip zone, shorter wavelengths have a longer skip zone. For example the 160 meter band skips back to earth in less than 100 miles - the 10 meter band’s skip returns to earth some 1000+ miles. These are general statements… specific conditions change.
The summer of 1980 in Southern California, I was a radio operator at 29 palms. At midnight we change frequencies, and I talked to an army fellow in Georgia who had the same freq. our radios generally only transmitted about seven miles. Radio is so cool.
The craziest solar-max era was 2 cycles ago. I remember the aurora seen brightly in northcountry NH in December looking like we were "living in an inflated balloon". It was such a spectacle. I'll never forget it.
So at my age now 70, I've been through many Solar Max events and don't really remember any significant changes from any of them. They've been mentioned before but I've never noticed anything different.
Some things just don't effect those who aren't in a sector being impaired from it. My previous job was remote telecommunications for the oil fields of Alberta and Saskatchewan. Rig leases are often in the middle of no where, sometimes 100's of km into the forest. Where communications are zero. That is where I came in and provided cellular boosting and a mesh wifi network for the entire oil rig lease. Communications are incredibly important for oil and gas operations as every drilling site has 15+ people there at a time and at minimum of 2 contractors coming and going every day (fuel delivery, NDT, comms (me), safety, ect.) and dozens of video/phone meetings. I can remember a handful of days where all cellular was knocked out in one area because of a solar storm as our boosters rely on a single tower for our donor signal. Consultants weren't happy they couldn't call out or do much because of such. Thankfully they didn't last long if there wasn't any equipment damaged on the providers side.
Because so far we've been incredibly lucky. No scratch that, we've been so immensely lucky during your life time that we've begun (as usual with all problems that aren't going to touch our daily lives) to ignore it. But scroll back 164 years ago... and it wasn't as fun. A Carrington level blurp would destroy most of modern society. Forget internet, it's all the other things that keep you living a relatively acceptable life that are going away. Medicines, textiles, fuel, and more.
It's a game of chance. In 2012 a CME missed which would have caused untold damage to everything electrical if it ever hit. Fast forward to 2025, if we do get hit the entire world would potentially stop. No banking, no GPS for navigation, no logistics for food delivery, no internet, no power.
@@aserta You ask some good questions, but - and I don’t mean to be disrespectful - they indicate that you don’t understand why CMEs or geomagnetic storms are dangerous. And that’s not unusual; you would need working knowledge of electromagnetism, plasma physics, grid engineering, several complex scientific disciplines. This is why it is so hard for the layman to put the threat of a geo-storm in its proper context. A CME that hits earth saturates the earth’s geomagnetic field with tons of energetic plasma particles from the sun, as well as carrying the sun’s own magnetic field with it. When these interact, our magnetic field is “pushed” inward, distending it toward the ground on our day side and creating a long “tail” on the night side. The charged particles themselves are not so dangerous to us: they either collect at the poles and make aurorae, or - more dangerously - they interact with satellites. Most satellites usually exist within the protective boundary of our own magnetic field, but when it’s distended, they are now exposed to much more damaging solar weather. The earthside danger is in how those magnetic fields are bent. On the tail side, they can “snap” back together, releasing huge amounts of energy, terawatts and above. These moving magnetic fields induce currents in conductors (Faraday’s law, one of Maxwell’s 4 equations that describe electromagnetism). The bigger the conductor, the more it acts like an antenna for this induction. This means small devices are generally safe, but the kilometres-long power lines of the electrical grid will have currents induced in them. The problem is that the current induced is highly direct, as opposed to the alternating current they usually carry. This causes phase imbalance, which will saturate the cores of transformers, heating them up and possibly even blowing them. Transformers are large and expensive equipment, and repairing or replacing them is hard work. However, to stop all of this from happening, you merely need to isolate the transformers from the grid until the induced current goes away. Yes you’ll have widespread power outages for a few hours, but if you tripped your breakers and relays on time, likely no damage will occur. We have sun-facing satellites that detect such events well in advance, so there’s no real “surprise”. There was an incident of a geomagnetic storm collapsing the grid in Quebec in 1989, and doomposters often point to this as indicative of the danger posed by these events. However, the collapse wasn’t caused by grid damage, but by seven different safety relays tripping all at once to protect sensitive grid infrastructure. In other words, the grid did its job. Service was restored quickly and easily. Tl;dr: geomagnetic storms are very complex phenomena, and unless you’re a plasma physicist or have doctorates in electrodynamics/magnetodynamics, you likely aren’t worrying about them for the correct reason. They CAN be truly dangerous, but they can be well mitigated, and our modern electrical grids are designed around this mitigation. So, don’t worry so much!
The difference will be that we now have an accelerating decrease in our Earth's protective electromagnetosphere. Thereby causing lesser impacts to cause more impact, and an actual large impact would be catastrophic.
When I was a young boy growing up in Washington state, on the west side of the Cascade Range. It seemed to me that once every 10 years, we received a good snowfall. Whereas the other years we would get a dusting or one inch. Minor amounts.
Yes, author got it wrong, presumably to follow the fear and loathing narrative. During one peak in the late '50s, I was in Iowa and contacted a" ham" in New Zealand tuning up his transmitter. He was putting out about 50 watts. I turned my watts down to about 10 and he could still read my morse code signal. One night I contacted hams on all continents, including Antarctica. It was a global festival, thanks to the sunspots.
@@paulmcknight4137 I have made plenty of contacts all over the world on less than 50 watts , if I am running portable I only run 5 watts and still get into the US from Australia if conditions are good ... 73 de vk2ccr
@@paulmcknight4137 i wonder if the rise of the internet coming to households in the late 80s to the 2000s reminded you of this memory back from then? if you where aware of it of course. thats very very interesting!
As an Aussie the intensity of the sun is most noticeable during the solar max periods. It's usually when it's scorching hot here and then eases off when it's at a low. 1990 and early 2000's there was extremely hot summers. It was been cool the past few years but already significantly warmer this spring
At an 11 year cycle it would be 2025, 2014 and 1993. Looking at data, rather than just subjective observations, searching the website statista for australia-annual-average-mean-temperature (I can't provide a link because the comment keeps being removed due to channel rules) as an example, there's very clearly little to no connection between temp and the 11 year cycle, the increased solar activity is describing solar flares, atmospheric warming impacting clouds and not really ground temperature. Also as a side note, as to why subjective data isn't good to use, the hottest summer we (Australia) had in the early 2000's was 2002, between 2013 and 2021 (the latest year of data included) only 2021 was cooler than the hottest year in the early 2000's
45c almost everyday here in my city in Brazil.. And we are in the end of the winter, it should be max 29c today... In the southern most areas it should be max of 10c but its reaching almost 25c deggress everyday! Our winter is becoming summer and our summer hell.
@@Gary-zq3pz well, no. They will say that the capitalist drive for fossil fuels and the lack of interest in changing to greener tech due to "costs" is the cause of climate change... any non fox news fan would agree they're pretty spot on
I want to point out that Earth's magnetic field strength has dropped by 30-35% since the 1850s. More and more red auroras that were previously associated with extreme geomagnetic storms are occurring and more auroras in general are reaching mid latitudes. Worst of all, our electrical grids are even more vulnerable with the magnetic field decline. An X50~ flare could wipe out all electrical grids on Earth.
High solar radiation charges up the ionosphere, therefore absorbing radiation that would interfere with electrical grids on the ground, it would seem to me. Satellites could be a problem.
We're already seeing auroras twice a month, and not yet at maximum. Not to mention seeing aurora at lower latitudes like... Arizona a few times this year? And more and more red colored aurora.... connected directly to the current steady decline in magnetic field strength.
You forgot to mention the ongoing magnetic pole shift and the weakening magnetic field strength. Red aroura is being seen more frequently at lower latitudes from weaker solar flares.
The aurora are quite dim, and only a few high-sensitivity cameras are capable of seeing them with much detail in real-time, and if you do increase the sensitivity that high you have to deal with lots of noise and poor color saturation. But if you increase the exposure length to say, 1 second per frame you get bright, detailed, colorful aurora like in that timestamp. Of course 1 sec/frame played back at 30frames/sec means a 30x fast-forwarding effect.
@daveachuk That actually makes a lot of sense, thanks for that. My understanding of photography/videography is only slightly better than my understanding of astrology ...
You can look up "Northern Lights in Real Time". They can be bright enough to be videoed, even with a phone. There is a lot of motion and flashing that is not obvious in time lapse.
And I have always blamed my periodic insanity on the full moon. I was led to believe this because my grasp on reality weakens 2 weeks before the full moon and doesn’t return until 2 weeks after the full moon.
Note: Earth’s magnetic field is weakening at an accelerated pace. If any X-class solar flares or even long duration M-class flares head our way it would be cause for serious concern.
If the magnetic field is weakening it’s because the lithosphere is being harnessed for HAARP, For advanced energy weapons from space such as Thor and because of ongoing worldwide climate engineering programs
The solar maximum of Schwabe cycle 25 is likely to be a minor one like nr. 24. Cycle 19 easily had the biggest peak of the last dozen (around 1959). Don't be surprised if peaks grow ever higher towards nr. 30.
@@MrMezmerized The combined effect of the Sun's increasing luminosity and the Earth's outer core starting to cool down will take its toll however over this next eon.
Watching this in Oct 2024. We are seeing much solar activity this year. 1. Too hot and humid during summer on equatorial countries 2. Ocean getting heated increased humidity and frequent hurricanes 3. Aurora is no longer the feature of far north. And it's very frequent.
The cycles of the sun have always been effecting our lives , the planet and our crops. The ancient people were more in touch with everything on our planet than we have ever been.
Wrong. The ancient people were savages who werent super advanced or anything. They had less light pollution and waaaaaaay more time on their hands to map stars and all that Doesnt mean they were more in touch or whatever. Oh wow, they could predict ecplises. They still were stupid as hell and traded giant masses of land for pearls and cloth. They also sacrificed 10.000s of people a year for a supposed blood god. I would take any modern human over one of these ancients any day.
You are slowly, but surely getting all the pieces on the board, now, to dive into the magnetic field shift, and then connect all the dots, and then you'll have pretty much the complete picture.
We've been claiming it from many years, the study of Astrology and space in general by Hinduism has discovered many things that even modern science hasn't. But it was merely discarded as mythology these many years. Now I'm happy to see that many people are getting to know about sun and other space related phenomena. Always sun has been a vital part of Hindu culture and we pray as our Sun God. If we dive deep into the ancient texts surely we'll be able to answer all the questions of science. But sadly most of the knowledge has been burnt by thousands of years of Invasion from middle east and Europe.
Only looked at this video because I felt there was a sun cycle. I'm 39 years old born in 84 and it got super hot in western Australia in the late 90s.. then started cooling down in 2002. Our winters were horrific up until 2016 and now its more bearable again. Not sure if that coralates but interesting for me.. my grandfather also raced pigeons and in some races when most didn't make it back fast enough he said its way to hot for them where they were release and it took longer for them to find there way..
I'm a ham radio operator. I've been looking forward to this solar cycle for a while! An active sun makes for far better propagation! So far I've worked over 115 countries in just a year! It's been great!
Yes! During high sunspot activity, Maximum Usable Frequency, [MUF] goes up to about 28MHZ Short wave signals bounce off the ionized atmosphere. During sunspot minimum, the MUF lowers; only lower frequencies bounce back to earth, and they don't skip as far. One night in the late Fifties peak, I was on LI, NY, and contacted {"worked"] all continents, even a navy guy in Antarctica, using Morse code, the first digital medium. It was a global festival, very much like the internet is today.
@@scottboehmer1114 During a minimum, on the 10, 12, 15 & 17 meter bands, there are fewer opportunities to work distant stations. So you work local stations -- those about 50 miles away. And then you try the 20, 30, 40, 80 and 160 meter bands, which tend to still let you work some distant stations. And when you tire of that, you go to the very high frequencies, such as the 2 meter band, and work the International Space Station as it passes overhead! There's always something fun to do in Ham Radio!
This is a very enlightening video, and I'm surprised that you didn't get hit with a RUclips "Climate Change" note like the guy who explained the South Pacific Climate cycle.
I was under the impression the sun had no "poles." Every image I've seen of the magneto sphere of the Sun is a huge jumbled mess as it's always in motion. That is how my physics professor taught me as well, albeit some years ago. Has our understanding changed?
It would be a blessing if the next solar storm shut down the internet for some time. Maybe people will gain a common sense without tiktok and people will actually be forced to go outside and socialize. Hopefully this solar storm lasts long
I was an active Radio Amateur in 1980, and during the peak of the Sun cycle back then, I had a lot of fun talking on 29.6 MHz Short Wave (10 Metre Band) on low power FM handheld to handheld with stations in Florida. Nothing happened to the electrical grid that was reported in the mass media, and few even knew about Solar Cycles. What fun.
we just got hit by an arguably low g5 class storm but the magnetic orientation of the flux rope was northward and did not get past g3, only doing so in the sheath
Yes , the poles used to move around North Canada , then approx 150 years ago started moving in one direction in a straight line, now moving about 50 miles per year and we think accelerating , both magnetic poles are on the move
If Jupiter has a year length that matches up with the Sun's cycle, they're probably very connected. Even if it's not a huge pull, it could be all that's needed to shift the balance. Like a tide pulling the flows of plasma around that in turn creates all these magnetic fields, as they rise up and fall back down. Jupiter wouldn't have to pull everything, just enough to influence where on average these rising and falling currents appear. It's not a completely satisfactory answer, but that'd be a major cosmic coincidence if these two tables match up like that, and it might not be the whole answer, but it's gotta part of the answer, Jupiter also has a magnetic field which could be a factor in addition to the gravitational pull of Jupiter's mass.
Actually amateour radio enthusiasts awaits solar maximum because 10 meter band (28MHz) gets nicely reflected (or actualy refracted) by F layer and intercontinetal comunication is possible on daily basis during that time.
Astrum is a constant joy. It's amazing how little we knew factually before first SoHo and more recently the Parker Solar Probe. The more we learn the more fascinating it gets. I just wish I'd been born about 30 years later. Things are just going to get interesting when I go.
Props to you for getting the pronunciation of Schwabe right, it's not often you see an American giving a damn about pronouncing foreign names correctly.
I heard a severe solar flare happens every 100 years and the last time was 1859. It burnt out telegraph lines. Some scientists say the next one could take us 10 years or more to get electricity back. Anyone hear about this?
Fantastic video.. According to the graph it looks like the solar maximums have been decreasing in intensity over the past few decades? Is there something behind that? Can the sun be becoming more stable or is it a sign of something else? And I remember being in Donegal in the north part of Ireland as a child and we could see the aurora borealis! It was unforgettable!
Very interesting topic. I say "finally" someone giving the sun the credit it deserves. It's influences are greater than we know. It may have been important to mention the shifting poles. This will weaken our protection from solar and comic energy as the magnetic field weakens. There are also studies that show the effect of the sun on storms on our planet. Thanks again for this video.
Sun becomes a red giant one day as it switches from burning hydrogen to burning helium and will wipe out all life left on this Earth if not even the entire Earth itself. (And 'yes', a long time from now, but the destination is set like a way point on a journey).
The shifting poles aren't related to solar max or Sol in much more than that Terra spins around Sol. No, those are normal fluid mechanics at play. There's a laboratory in a University that does a molten sodium experiment in the bid to figure out how our "shield" is related to these things. They've "flipped the pole" so to speak quite a few times by nature of the molten sodium.
@@charlesbrightman4237They estimate that to happen in a few billion years, but before it expands to that level it will get big enough and hit enough to render the planet inhospitable within about 1 billion years. If humans are still around at that time, they will have hopefully found the technology to colonize at the very least moons in the outer solar system, if not other systems entirely.
@@100percentSNAFU Well, billions of years or not, the destination would be set like a way point on a journey. Either species on and from this Earth get off of this Earth, OR they all eventually die and go extinct. But then also consider this item from my files: EXISTENTIAL PHYSICS: Current Analysis: (subject to revision as new information might dictate): WARNING: NOT FOR ALL AUDIENCES: Only read this if you think you can handle it. Future: a. 6th mass extinction event (possibly occurring now), and the 6th won't be the last. (And 'yes', at least some humans will survive these earlier mass extinction events). b. Sun becomes a red giant one day as it switches from burning hydrogen to burning helium and will wipe out all life left on this Earth if not even the entire Earth itself. (And 'yes', a long time from now, but the destination is set like a way point on a journey). c. Our spiral shaped galaxy is most probably collapsing in upon itself, (note: adding to the red shift observations by the way), and it's possible ALL galaxies eventually collapse in upon themselves (not confirmed yet). d. 'If' one believes in the big bang theory, and space itself expanding, then the entire universe and all in it will most probably end in a big freeze. (And 'yes', a long time from now, but the destination would be set like a way point on a journey). Note also: the singular big bang is probably not really true, there are other 'normal' explanations for the red shift observations, and the universe is most probably not going to end in a big freeze. Also, 'if' the current forces of nature came into existence in the early moments of the expansion of the singularity, and the singularity is still basically expanding, then the forces of nature will probably evolve one day, possibly even in the very next moment of expansion of this universe, and possibly wipe out everything in existence in basically a blink of an eye. Of which note also, the forces of nature as well as the universe always existed and never had a beginning. But 'if' modern science is correct, well ....................................blink........................................... e. Outer space travel: Currently impossible to do for long periods of time due to: 1. Harmful cosmic radiation, including any potential neutrino impacts. (While most neutrinos go right through us, not all of them do all of the time). AI and biological life would most probably not survive unless proper protections were had. 2. Biological species, especially humans, need proper gravity conditions and large rotating space ships probably will not work for space bases on planets and moons. Otherwise, biological life, especially humans, will not survive long term. 3. Biological species, especially humans, need many more items to properly survive, otherwise they won't. * Note: If anybody has any actual factual evidence to counter the above, I welcome it. ** HAVE A NICE DAY IF THAT IS WHAT YOU CHOOSE TO HAVE, WHILE WE HAVE DAYS LEFT THAT WE CAN ENJOY. FOR EVERY MOMENT THAT PASSES, ONE LESS MOMENT BEING ALIVE AND ONE MOMENT CLOSER TO BEING NOT ALIVE.
From what I've heard in the Hamb radio crowd, some of them are excited because of the sun's activity. They're saying that it creates conditions where you can talk much farther than normal on 10 meter, for example. Some frequency ranges it hurts, but others it helps. The ranges that normally allow you to talk around the world require a higher class license, but when the sun becomes more active it allows folks with the lower class license to talk farther on the frequency ranges they are allowed to operate on.
11:52 well... There are studies suggesting that a lot of birds can see how the sun influences magnetic fields around the earth. It's super wild. There's this protein? I do not know enough to explain. There are a few reputable videos on RUclips tho.
The solar maximum has already arrived, and the sunspot numbers are among the highest ever seen. Probably this is a significant factor in the unusually warm summer we have seen, and a little study will show that solar maximums and minimums have coincided with many extreme weather events-the deadly heat wave in Paris, the Texas droughts, the proliferation of icebergs in the North Atlantic in 1912 (see Titanic) and the Maunder Minimum in the 18th century, where sunspots disappeared from the sun and some of the coldest weather of the last 1000 years occurred. This is a great mystery, but the greatest mystery is why this phenomenon is ignored and the carbon demon is exalted.
Why was there no mention that the sun's 11-year solar cycle (and the flips of its magnetic poles, by inference) is governed by the alignment of the planets, with Venus, Earth and Jupiter's tidal forces influencing the solar magnetic field, as scientists have found?? The discovery helps explain why the sun operates on such a regular cycle. Source: Newsweek article June 3, 2019.
Firstly, Newsweek isn't a scientific journal. It does have some science new, but it's not a scientific journal, and that's very important. Secondly, there was no article published by Newsweek on that day. The closest ones were on May the 31st, and then on June the 7th. So, to conclude, the planets don't affect the Solar cycle whatsoever.
You know, I always come away from Astrum feeling like I just learned something new and interesting. This one is visceral. The Sun and the Moon are important to us.
Someone I follow on Insta posted a picture of seeing the northern lights in Lancashire, England last night. For those who don't know, that's really quite far south to see them. I'm in the north east of England myself, and only see them maybe once or twice a year at most if I travel for about 30mins north. They've been seen in my local area (outside of the town itself due to light pollution) several times in the last fortnight alone! I love watching Live Cams of Iceland, and most nights this month they've had the northern lights, and they've been very strong. I'm sure this winter and in 2024 the northern lights are meant to be very strong due to changes in the sun - if people are wanting to see them, now's the time!
I watch SolarHam, we had a moderate geomagnetic storm pass by that timeframe. People should be more aware of these, the further south the auroras appear, the worst the storm. We are a couple years from Solar Maximum but yet the sun is already very active - almost more active than it should be.
Minor correction, HF radio works better during solar maximum due to skip propagation against the ionosphere (at least if youre an earthling talking to earthlings).
Do appreciate the mention of the unknowns like we know nothing of the Sun's interior or why it is hotter away from its surface or what causes the cycles. Wal Thornhill had some of the best explanations so far.
I love all your videos and podcasts, though I’ll say I really enjoyed this one. Thank you for such great detail about the solar maximum, your work is appreciated by myself and my students!
The chart at 9:23 is out of context (SSN is off too, but that is irrelevant due to arbitrary smoothing applications); cycle 25 is almost exactly like cycle 24 (maximum in April 2014 (23-month SSN = 81), which was one of the lowest since the Dalton Minimum , because we are in a mini-ice age right now but not many realize it because the earth is retaining sufficient warmth so that the most vulnerable populations are not dying of cold (independent of carbon, since if you plot carbon abundance, the line does not correlate to the warming plots AT ALL). The last real decent hot cycle we had was cycle 19, with maximum in March 1958 (SSN = 285). Cycle 25 presents no threat like the huge solar flares of the 1980s-2003-ish, probability-wise.
lol, some though, also the new Fable! I'm not really ready for the new future, but excitement is the only thing we have, so maybe we get the games before the end?
I didn't know what this was for a moment, so I was just panicking that everyone and everything was gonna explode, but was met with cool space facts instead, awesome
There is a relationship between the Sun, Jupiter and all members of our solar system including mother Earth. In the ancient world, the Sun is called Adi Deva - first Primary Lifegiving God of Earth. There are other planets represented as deities in Roman, Greek, Hindu traditions. All of them have unique hierarchies (aka densities, temperatures, compositions, etc/space) interactions (magnetism/field) and relationships (orbits/time) with one another. These traditions were representations of the complex relationsips between our celestial bodies - like a combination lock where certain alignments open certain energetic fields with corresponding chapters and cycles. Musica Universalis - Music of the Spheres
When studying bipolar disorder I found that manic episodes are commonly triggered in spring when people are suddenly exposed to more sun. I was never able to find a thorough explanation of why that would cause change to the functionality of the prefrontal cortex. This video gives hope for better explanations to be available someday for people who suffer.
It has been several years, but I believe it was an evolutionary biologist, who had looked at past solar cycles, and found some coloration between incidents of civil unrest, during times of solar maximum. Don't take my word as being exact, but it was something very similar, if not precisely what I said. Given how long it has been, I'm sure I overlooked, or mis-stated something in my comment. he..he.he
the radiation may 'warm' the atmosphere....just a little....you mean it could effect......the climate?! 😱 I was amused earlier this summer when our local news talked about climate change was causing 'crazy' weather around the country....then went on IN THE VERY NEXT SEGMENT to exclaim how awesome seeing the Northern lights in Michigan's lower peninsula that week was going to be.....
What is being ignored by most is that the cycle of solar maxima and minima is flattening (ie the amount of sunspot activity at maximum in the last cycle being lower than the amount at the previous maximum - and the amount of sunspot activity at the 2025 maximum may be lower than during the last maximum) - and this could presage a Grand Solar Minimum (for which we are currently very due), similar to the Dalton and Maunder Minima that brought extended periods of globally reduced temperatures in the past (eg most recently the 'little ice age' of the first half of the 19th Century). A virtual failure of the maximum that takes a few cycles to recover to normal levels, anyway - I've seen forecasts that IF the current trend of flattening maxima continues, then the Grand Solar Minimum could happen within 1-2 cycles of now, leading to globally-reduced temperatures affecting much of the middle-to-late part of this Century. This could then cause a reduction in food growth - at a time when the human population is still expanding - meaning the potential for more famines. It might also put a stick in the spokes of the Warmist movement if the apocalyptic forecasts of terrible global warming have to be revised. Oops. Panic! Quick! More CO2! (and it will make ZERO difference, of course, because sensible people know that what drives the climate is the sun and the vast majority of the greenhouse effect is from water vapour). Only time will tell! I shall be an old man by the time the worst of the Grand Solar Minimum strikes and I fully intend to emigrate to somewhere sunnier when I retire anyway (2030+).
16:00 powering down a circuit doesn't magically make it resistant to pulses you literally need a faraday cage or EM shield to divert the flow and not reach the components in the first place
The only narrator I know of that has a "smiling voice" :D
Hate it tbh. Makes him sound like AI.
@@Vespyr_he's Welsh and happy
Uh that’s nice.
My favorite narrator about the universe, you also get surprised when he talks about surprising facts, or how ever you call 'surprise' in another words
Brian Cox has a slightly similar smiling voice.
As I understand it:
1) the more active the sun, the more solar wind.
2) the more solar wind, the less cosmic rays impacting Earth’s atmosphere.
3) the less cosmic rays, the less “seeds” for cloud droplet formation.
4) the less cloud droplet formation, the less cloud cover.
5) the less cloud cover, the more solar insolution.
6) the more solar insolution, the warmer the Earth’s atmosphere.
So the more active the sun, the warmer the Earth, but it is due to indirect effects instead of direct effects.
Direct and indirect effects. He wont say climate, but the Sun drives climate. Total Solar Irradiance increases at max. This SC max is weak and seems to have peaked already.
more solar storms, more wrenching of Earth's magnetic fields, heating up the core, playing with it's flows, increasing vulcanism
Money makes the world go round
thanks for saving me 16 minutes
means my water bill gonna go crazy
For reference Alex, regarding life without sunlight: chemoautotrophs can create their own food without sunlight (unlike plants which are photoautotrophs). Chemoautotrophs are typically found around undersea volcanic vents. I imagine you have probably already come accross them if you have done life on Enceladus or Europa videos.
not qualified for this but i believe that would only go so far. without the sun to provide more energy to the planet, energy stored in chemical bonds that life could use will eventually be converted to unusable forms and then left via the atmosphere.
Yeah, what they said ^
While the Chemoautographic crab people, aren't overly affected by the solar cycles. Event's in their Ocean volcanic homes, can increase or decrease with the solar cycles. Cycles that can mean the uprising or downfall of human civilizations are hardly noticed by our crabby, photo energy free friends.
They do care about what this means for humans and feel our continued disconnect from the earth and the self, is making every step closer to this shift, more difficult than it should be. The next stable time period after the coming multiple thousand years of major instability, will see new appreciation for "stable weather". Just as it did for the ancestors about 8kya. Climate change - the only constant is change so I just call it climate and study its incredible facts. We've had a great run and let's hope more knowledge makes it through the next big one
Interesting time to be alive ❤
It's not fuchsia. It's pink
Listen 👂 to what he says properly, don't your ears 👂 work 😮
And what melts that rock one might ask?
Between 1859 and 2003 there have been 9 solar events that caused the aurora to be seen at low latitudes. This year (2023) has been amazing as we have had 7 so far. These have not been overly large flares or CME's either. Some scientists now believe that earths weakening magnetic field is the reason for this phenomena. All I have to say is that a Carrington level event now would be "interesting"
Edit: For those unaware, the Carrington event was a series of solar flares in 1859 that caused the telegraph wires in northern USA and Canada to catch fire. There were reports of telegraph exchanges burning down and some telegraph operators said that they could still send and receive messages after the power was disconnected. Just imagine what would happen now if, for instance, every single transformer blew up in North America simultaneously. It would be years before power would be restored fully.
you mentioned 'this year' and 2003...did you mean 2023??
@@piya-tf Thank you, I did mean this year was 2023. Edited now!
@@davegiles2120 no problem😊
One of your very best chats, Alex. So much information we can scarcely get anywhere, about satellites, about the Sun and much more. First class presentation!!
I think you forgot to mention the recent findings that the Cloud Cycle of Neptune - our furthest major planet - (which refers to how many clouds are on Neptune at a given time) seems to follow the Sun's cycle over the past 30 years since we started monitoring Neptune despite its distance. If true, then it would baffle us even more
Mo.
@@tracemiller9924 Eenie Meenie Miney MO!
That kind of stuff starts to make more sense when you consider some of the electric universe ideas. Neptune and the sun have a much more interesting relationship than current astronomy allows for: anode/cathode
Check out the work of Valentina Zharkova. She has successfully modeled the relationship between the suns two magnetic fields and climate on earth.
@@SubparFiddle Are you saying that the Sun + Neptune is a... 4.6 billion kilometer wide Battery!? And the heliosphere is the "salt bridge" between the two? That would be METAL if that's true.
I find it amazing that life as we know it exists at the edge of absolute cold. We are comfortable only 400 degrees away from absolute zero while temperatures can be millions of degrees hotter.
It makes sense when you look at it from the point of view entropy. Life is an extremely rare and unlikely state of being, so you would be unlikely to find it in a high entropy environment, but rather on the fringes of such environments - i.e planets located in the Goldilocks zone around main sequence stars.
Cuz water
That`s why its crazy that we are the first species with a choice to save ourselves and we have chosen not too! and yet we think we are a space faring species but cannot manage being a sustainable earth faring one . Bizarre we are . Lets see how fast we can raise temperatures to unlivable ! , fastest ever so far .
Fahrenheit sucks centigrade is way better.
@MyKharli It's also funny how we think we affect the planet that much. The sun and the planet itself makes our alterations look like nothing. Just like global warming which started around 400 years ago near the beginning of the industrial revolution but hilariously that was also when there was a massive uptick in volcanic activity which has only been increasing but has been why we have been able to have such good agriculture.
A single volcanic eruption by the way can make the entire human greenhouse gas output look like a fart in the wind and even more hilariously more CO2 which they vilify is actually good because that encourages more plant growth, just look at the jurassic period which had many times the CO2 in the atmosphere and plants THRIVED as we had mega fauna everywhere.
I really appreciate the way you put everything in layman's terms and make everything easy to understand without using too many words.
Words be hard.
Nothing of consequence.
@@liarliarpumpkineater4808shut up foo
So many people think that by using the big long words that, that makes them sound intelligent when it is completely the opposite. it's good to see people speaking normally
Here in even southern part of Finland, I've been watching aurora borealis happening many times in last winter, and just recently one time. Before seen those only once, and it was at least 15 years ago. Sun seems really getting active. Those last winter ones were really cool to watch, really intense
This is more so because of weaker magnetosphere allowing in more particles in solar storms. But obviously the sun has to be spewing out stuff in order for the aurora to be more active, too.
thats the weakening of the earth's magnetic field. also a huge influence on our weather not recognized by the carbon nutjobs.
Sun's looking pretty apocalyptic today. Will buy a few more cans of baked beans to stash.
Very interesting indeed . I can't say I'm shocked or surprised at the impact our sun has on our lives . It's good to know that there's actual scientists, hopefully doing unbiased, scientific work on the effects our sun has on us .
Yes who would have thought the shifting amounts of radiation the sun bathes us with every day would have an effect on our planet and its weather....
it's obviously cow farts and fossil fuels bro. It can't be solar cycles bro trust me bro the romans were pumping out a bunch of fossil fuels during the rise of their empire and that's why the world was 3C hotter back then bro trust me please bro@@SilvaDreams
None work for the UN climate grift.
Unfortunately there isn't. Their funding all comes from political sources.
We already know the effect, life and death.
While HF propagation *changes,* I'd point out that Amateur Radio operators quite enjoy geomagnetic storms - as we play with deliberately bouncing VHF signals off the auroras.
We used to have a failsafe way of measuring sun activity that we didn't have the details on at the time. When I was serving as a communications tech in the US Navy in the 1970s and 80s, all we needed was our high frequency radio communications in the Mediterranean and the early satellites going haywire to know the sun was up to something nefarious. 😁
Great, solar maximum before gta 6
That is why ancient cultures worshiped the sun, they knew their lives depended on it.
As a Ham Radio operator, I pay very close attention to the solar cycles... We greatly enjoy a good solar maximum to allow long distance coms on normally quiet frequencies...
... I would have thought the opposite, so this is really interesting
so did the video, 'hams use solar maximum to their advantage despite the ionospheric conditions being changable, the video gets this wrong.
@@BSWVI
@@BSWVI. The sunspots increase the charge of the ionosphere, providing a barrier of sorts which a radio wave can bounce off of. These bounces are called skips. A high frequency radio wave leaves the antenna, hits the ionosphere and is reflected back to earth. This happens many times. The length of the skip is determined by the height of the ionosphere and the wavelength of the radio transmission. Longer wavelengths have a shorter skip zone, shorter wavelengths have a longer skip zone. For example the 160 meter band skips back to earth in less than 100 miles - the 10 meter band’s skip returns to earth some 1000+ miles. These are general statements… specific conditions change.
The summer of 1980 in Southern California, I was a radio operator at 29 palms. At midnight we change frequencies, and I talked to an army fellow in Georgia who had the same freq. our radios generally only transmitted about seven miles. Radio is so cool.
The craziest solar-max era was 2 cycles ago.
I remember the aurora seen brightly in northcountry NH in December looking like we were "living in an inflated balloon".
It was such a spectacle.
I'll never forget it.
2025 will be much worse...
Wow!
Pure torture
So at my age now 70, I've been through many Solar Max events and don't really remember any significant changes from any of them. They've been mentioned before but I've never noticed anything different.
Some things just don't effect those who aren't in a sector being impaired from it.
My previous job was remote telecommunications for the oil fields of Alberta and Saskatchewan. Rig leases are often in the middle of no where, sometimes 100's of km into the forest. Where communications are zero. That is where I came in and provided cellular boosting and a mesh wifi network for the entire oil rig lease. Communications are incredibly important for oil and gas operations as every drilling site has 15+ people there at a time and at minimum of 2 contractors coming and going every day (fuel delivery, NDT, comms (me), safety, ect.) and dozens of video/phone meetings.
I can remember a handful of days where all cellular was knocked out in one area because of a solar storm as our boosters rely on a single tower for our donor signal. Consultants weren't happy they couldn't call out or do much because of such. Thankfully they didn't last long if there wasn't any equipment damaged on the providers side.
Because so far we've been incredibly lucky. No scratch that, we've been so immensely lucky during your life time that we've begun (as usual with all problems that aren't going to touch our daily lives) to ignore it. But scroll back 164 years ago... and it wasn't as fun. A Carrington level blurp would destroy most of modern society.
Forget internet, it's all the other things that keep you living a relatively acceptable life that are going away. Medicines, textiles, fuel, and more.
It's a game of chance. In 2012 a CME missed which would have caused untold damage to everything electrical if it ever hit. Fast forward to 2025, if we do get hit the entire world would potentially stop. No banking, no GPS for navigation, no logistics for food delivery, no internet, no power.
@@aserta You ask some good questions, but - and I don’t mean to be disrespectful - they indicate that you don’t understand why CMEs or geomagnetic storms are dangerous. And that’s not unusual; you would need working knowledge of electromagnetism, plasma physics, grid engineering, several complex scientific disciplines. This is why it is so hard for the layman to put the threat of a geo-storm in its proper context.
A CME that hits earth saturates the earth’s geomagnetic field with tons of energetic plasma particles from the sun, as well as carrying the sun’s own magnetic field with it. When these interact, our magnetic field is “pushed” inward, distending it toward the ground on our day side and creating a long “tail” on the night side. The charged particles themselves are not so dangerous to us: they either collect at the poles and make aurorae, or - more dangerously - they interact with satellites. Most satellites usually exist within the protective boundary of our own magnetic field, but when it’s distended, they are now exposed to much more damaging solar weather.
The earthside danger is in how those magnetic fields are bent. On the tail side, they can “snap” back together, releasing huge amounts of energy, terawatts and above. These moving magnetic fields induce currents in conductors (Faraday’s law, one of Maxwell’s 4 equations that describe electromagnetism). The bigger the conductor, the more it acts like an antenna for this induction. This means small devices are generally safe, but the kilometres-long power lines of the electrical grid will have currents induced in them. The problem is that the current induced is highly direct, as opposed to the alternating current they usually carry. This causes phase imbalance, which will saturate the cores of transformers, heating them up and possibly even blowing them. Transformers are large and expensive equipment, and repairing or replacing them is hard work.
However, to stop all of this from happening, you merely need to isolate the transformers from the grid until the induced current goes away. Yes you’ll have widespread power outages for a few hours, but if you tripped your breakers and relays on time, likely no damage will occur. We have sun-facing satellites that detect such events well in advance, so there’s no real “surprise”.
There was an incident of a geomagnetic storm collapsing the grid in Quebec in 1989, and doomposters often point to this as indicative of the danger posed by these events. However, the collapse wasn’t caused by grid damage, but by seven different safety relays tripping all at once to protect sensitive grid infrastructure. In other words, the grid did its job. Service was restored quickly and easily.
Tl;dr: geomagnetic storms are very complex phenomena, and unless you’re a plasma physicist or have doctorates in electrodynamics/magnetodynamics, you likely aren’t worrying about them for the correct reason. They CAN be truly dangerous, but they can be well mitigated, and our modern electrical grids are designed around this mitigation. So, don’t worry so much!
The difference will be that we now have an accelerating decrease in our Earth's protective electromagnetosphere. Thereby causing lesser impacts to cause more impact, and an actual large impact would be catastrophic.
When I was a young boy growing up in Washington state, on the west side of the Cascade Range.
It seemed to me that once every 10 years, we received a good snowfall. Whereas the other years we would get a dusting or one inch. Minor amounts.
You’re telling me this is supposed to happen when the biggest game of the world GTA6 is gonna come out. How dare you!
No way
Actually radio range on HF is greatly increased with solar activity, the charged ionosphere reflects radio signals back down.
Yes, author got it wrong, presumably to follow the fear and loathing narrative. During one peak in the late '50s, I was in Iowa and contacted a" ham" in New Zealand tuning up his transmitter. He was putting out about 50 watts. I turned my watts down to about 10 and he could still read my morse code signal. One night I contacted hams on all continents, including Antarctica. It was a global festival, thanks to the sunspots.
@@paulmcknight4137 I have made plenty of contacts all over the world on less than 50 watts , if I am running portable I only run 5 watts and still get into the US from Australia if conditions are good ... 73 de vk2ccr
@@paulmcknight4137 i wonder if the rise of the internet coming to households in the late 80s to the 2000s reminded you of this memory back from then? if you where aware of it of course. thats very very interesting!
Don’t mention the Skip Distance .
@@paulmcknight4137that is so cool!!!
As an Aussie the intensity of the sun is most noticeable during the solar max periods. It's usually when it's scorching hot here and then eases off when it's at a low. 1990 and early 2000's there was extremely hot summers. It was been cool the past few years but already significantly warmer this spring
At an 11 year cycle it would be 2025, 2014 and 1993. Looking at data, rather than just subjective observations, searching the website statista for australia-annual-average-mean-temperature (I can't provide a link because the comment keeps being removed due to channel rules) as an example, there's very clearly little to no connection between temp and the 11 year cycle, the increased solar activity is describing solar flares, atmospheric warming impacting clouds and not really ground temperature. Also as a side note, as to why subjective data isn't good to use, the hottest summer we (Australia) had in the early 2000's was 2002, between 2013 and 2021 (the latest year of data included) only 2021 was cooler than the hottest year in the early 2000's
45c almost everyday here in my city in Brazil.. And we are in the end of the winter, it should be max 29c today... In the southern most areas it should be max of 10c but its reaching almost 25c deggress everyday! Our winter is becoming summer and our summer hell.
All the smart environmental justice activists will tell ya that capitalism is causing the Sun's dangerous activity...
I was thinking the same thing about the 90s.
@@Gary-zq3pz well, no. They will say that the capitalist drive for fossil fuels and the lack of interest in changing to greener tech due to "costs" is the cause of climate change... any non fox news fan would agree they're pretty spot on
I want to point out that Earth's magnetic field strength has dropped by 30-35% since the 1850s. More and more red auroras that were previously associated with extreme geomagnetic storms are occurring and more auroras in general are reaching mid latitudes. Worst of all, our electrical grids are even more vulnerable with the magnetic field decline. An X50~ flare could wipe out all electrical grids on Earth.
High solar radiation charges up the ionosphere, therefore absorbing radiation that would interfere with electrical grids on the ground, it would seem to me. Satellites could be a problem.
Yes. Be prepared for our total reset. Ne grid. No repair possible . Total reset. Our Noah’s arc event!
If it does, I hope we name it the Kaczynski wave.
The maximum occurs every 13 years. NOTHING will happen as usual. Stop trying to scare people into clicking on this.
This is one of the most credible and fact-filled science channel on RUclips! Thank you for all your hard work and fascinating videos.
We're already seeing auroras twice a month, and not yet at maximum. Not to mention seeing aurora at lower latitudes like... Arizona a few times this year? And more and more red colored aurora.... connected directly to the current steady decline in magnetic field strength.
You forgot to mention the ongoing magnetic pole shift and the weakening magnetic field strength. Red aroura is being seen more frequently at lower latitudes from weaker solar flares.
9:39 Why is aurora always shown in time lapse? To see a bit in real time would be refreshing and give an example of the scale and size of them.
The aurora are quite dim, and only a few high-sensitivity cameras are capable of seeing them with much detail in real-time, and if you do increase the sensitivity that high you have to deal with lots of noise and poor color saturation. But if you increase the exposure length to say, 1 second per frame you get bright, detailed, colorful aurora like in that timestamp. Of course 1 sec/frame played back at 30frames/sec means a 30x fast-forwarding effect.
@daveachuk That actually makes a lot of sense, thanks for that. My understanding of photography/videography is only slightly better than my understanding of astrology ...
You can look up "Northern Lights in Real Time". They can be bright enough to be videoed, even with a phone. There is a lot of motion and flashing that is not obvious in time lapse.
Great comments. Glad I'm a subscriber. Thank you.
Thanks!
And I have always blamed my periodic insanity on the full moon. I was led to believe this because my grasp on reality weakens 2 weeks before the full moon and doesn’t return until 2 weeks after the full moon.
Lycanthropy is tough to live with.
@@Zeppathy It’s my right to identify as a Wolfe, some months it’s a giraffe.
I did the math on your grasp of reality. 😄🙂
@@eternalstudent7461 I was waiting for a response such as yours.🤪
Hopefully Feb 30th provides some relief 😅
Note: Earth’s magnetic field is weakening at an accelerated pace. If any X-class solar flares or even long duration M-class flares head our way it would be cause for serious concern.
No it's not.
Yes…. It is…
If the magnetic field is weakening it’s because the lithosphere is being harnessed for HAARP, For advanced energy weapons from space such as Thor and because of ongoing worldwide climate engineering programs
@@filonin2It is weakening.
Glad to see there are others paying attention.
The solar maximum of Schwabe cycle 25 is likely to be a minor one like nr. 24. Cycle 19 easily had the biggest peak of the last dozen (around 1959). Don't be surprised if peaks grow ever higher towards nr. 30.
The geomagnetic field of earth never gets mentionned in these videos. The currently weakening field might prove you wrong.
@@thomasbursting4951 As far as I know fluctuations in Earth's magnetic do not affect the Sun's intensity. It is rather the other way round.
@@MrMezmerized right, I thought you meant 'minor' related to the impact on earth.
@@MrMezmerized The combined effect of the Sun's increasing luminosity and the Earth's outer core starting to cool down will take its toll however over this next eon.
Not a word about the low output of cycle 25 and the impending Grand Solar Minimum just around the corner
Watching this in Oct 2024. We are seeing much solar activity this year.
1. Too hot and humid during summer on equatorial countries
2. Ocean getting heated increased humidity and frequent hurricanes
3. Aurora is no longer the feature of far north. And it's very frequent.
The cycles of the sun have always been effecting our lives , the planet and our crops. The ancient people were more in touch with everything on our planet than we have ever been.
Wrong. The ancient people were savages who werent super advanced or anything.
They had less light pollution and waaaaaaay more time on their hands to map stars and all that
Doesnt mean they were more in touch or whatever. Oh wow, they could predict ecplises. They still were stupid as hell and traded giant masses of land for pearls and cloth. They also sacrificed 10.000s of people a year for a supposed blood god.
I would take any modern human over one of these ancients any day.
Hello darkness my old friend....
Damn CMEs took us out again...
You are slowly, but surely getting all the pieces on the board, now, to dive into the magnetic field shift, and then connect all the dots, and then you'll have pretty much the complete picture.
I really appreciate the way you put everything in layman's terms and make everything easy to understand without using too many words.
We've been claiming it from many years, the study of Astrology and space in general by Hinduism has discovered many things that even modern science hasn't. But it was merely discarded as mythology these many years. Now I'm happy to see that many people are getting to know about sun and other space related phenomena.
Always sun has been a vital part of Hindu culture and we pray as our Sun God.
If we dive deep into the ancient texts surely we'll be able to answer all the questions of science. But sadly most of the knowledge has been burnt by thousands of years of Invasion from middle east and Europe.
Only looked at this video because I felt there was a sun cycle. I'm 39 years old born in 84 and it got super hot in western Australia in the late 90s.. then started cooling down in 2002. Our winters were horrific up until 2016 and now its more bearable again. Not sure if that coralates but interesting for me.. my grandfather also raced pigeons and in some races when most didn't make it back fast enough he said its way to hot for them where they were release and it took longer for them to find there way..
I'm a ham radio operator. I've been looking forward to this solar cycle for a while! An active sun makes for far better propagation! So far I've worked over 115 countries in just a year! It's been great!
Worked 'em over, huh? Did you work 'em over good?
What would happen to your radio during a maunder minimum?
Yes! During high sunspot activity, Maximum Usable Frequency, [MUF] goes up to about 28MHZ Short wave signals bounce off the ionized atmosphere. During sunspot minimum, the MUF lowers; only lower frequencies bounce back to earth, and they don't skip as far.
One night in the late Fifties peak, I was on LI, NY, and contacted {"worked"] all continents, even a navy guy in Antarctica, using Morse code, the first digital medium. It was a global festival, very much like the internet is today.
@@scottboehmer1114 During a minimum, on the 10, 12, 15 & 17 meter bands, there are fewer opportunities to work distant stations. So you work local stations -- those about 50 miles away. And then you try the 20, 30, 40, 80 and 160 meter bands, which tend to still let you work some distant stations.
And when you tire of that, you go to the very high frequencies, such as the 2 meter band, and work the International Space Station as it passes overhead! There's always something fun to do in Ham Radio!
@@bigguy7353 Oh yeah. I "pegged" their "needle" and blew out their speakers!
This is a very enlightening video, and I'm surprised that you didn't get hit with a RUclips "Climate Change" note like the guy who explained the South Pacific Climate cycle.
Maybe if they don't say climate change or global warming the AI monitors don't assign a propaganda notice.
They don’t flag disinformation
Hopefully it will only destroy EVERYTHING social media.
Thanks!
The point on solar maximum on mental health is great and we can observe the people around us for the same. 🤣
0:24 what a beautiful time lapse!
Very
You should do a video on how those solar maximums were trending down. That seems interesting
I was under the impression the sun had no "poles." Every image I've seen of the magneto sphere of the Sun is a huge jumbled mess as it's always in motion. That is how my physics professor taught me as well, albeit some years ago. Has our understanding changed?
It would be a blessing if the next solar storm shut down the internet for some time. Maybe people will gain a common sense without tiktok and people will actually be forced to go outside and socialize. Hopefully this solar storm lasts long
I was an active Radio Amateur in 1980, and during the peak of the Sun cycle back then, I had a lot of fun talking on 29.6 MHz Short Wave (10 Metre Band) on low power FM handheld to handheld with stations in Florida. Nothing happened to the electrical grid that was reported in the mass media, and few even knew about Solar Cycles. What fun.
Finally someone talking about this seriously!
we just got hit by an arguably low g5 class storm but the magnetic orientation of the flux rope was northward and did not get past g3, only doing so in the sheath
How come when everyone brings up the sun's output on our global temperatures they are called a conspiracy theorist?
Because you can't tax the sun.
@@pippip8744 im sure theyll find a way
Yes , the poles used to move around North Canada , then approx 150 years ago started moving in one direction in a straight line, now moving about 50 miles per year and we think accelerating , both magnetic poles are on the move
If Jupiter has a year length that matches up with the Sun's cycle, they're probably very connected. Even if it's not a huge pull, it could be all that's needed to shift the balance. Like a tide pulling the flows of plasma around that in turn creates all these magnetic fields, as they rise up and fall back down. Jupiter wouldn't have to pull everything, just enough to influence where on average these rising and falling currents appear.
It's not a completely satisfactory answer, but that'd be a major cosmic coincidence if these two tables match up like that, and it might not be the whole answer, but it's gotta part of the answer, Jupiter also has a magnetic field which could be a factor in addition to the gravitational pull of Jupiter's mass.
Actually amateour radio enthusiasts awaits solar maximum because 10 meter band (28MHz) gets nicely reflected (or actualy refracted) by F layer and intercontinetal comunication is possible on daily basis during that time.
Thats interesting
yes your right i used too call it the skip and i managed to talk to people other side of the world from here in uk
Oh my goodness. That is fascinating.
Whats that movie..."FREQUENCY", good one that.
Astrum is a constant joy. It's amazing how little we knew factually before first SoHo and more recently the Parker Solar Probe. The more we learn the more fascinating it gets. I just wish I'd been born about 30 years later. Things are just going to get interesting when I go.
Props to you for getting the pronunciation of Schwabe right, it's not often you see an American giving a damn about pronouncing foreign names correctly.
I love you.
He doesn't sound like an American to me at all.
EDIT: Channel description says "United Kingdom"
@@antred11 Oh ... oops ...suddently I am the ignorant :D
@@vommNot suddenly, you always were.
I don't think he is American, he sounds too smart and educated.
love the idea about creativity towards the end
I'm 25 years old, and it's my second solar maximus, I never noticed it before, I doubt I would notice next time.
I heard a severe solar flare happens every 100 years and the last time was 1859. It burnt out telegraph lines. Some scientists say the next one could take us 10 years or more to get electricity back. Anyone hear about this?
Happens every 500 years. You got 350 years to go....
Fantastic video.. According to the graph it looks like the solar maximums have been decreasing in intensity over the past few decades? Is there something behind that? Can the sun be becoming more stable or is it a sign of something else? And I remember being in Donegal in the north part of Ireland as a child and we could see the aurora borealis! It was unforgettable!
I think they slowly decrease over time then slowly increase again in another cycle, but I'm not sure 🤔
when i visited Ireland i went to Donegal for a few days, it was great
@@sloppingfish946 That's nice
Then there's longer cycles we know nothing about.
Very interesting topic. I say "finally" someone giving the sun the credit it deserves. It's influences are greater than we know. It may have been important to mention the shifting poles. This will weaken our protection from solar and comic energy as the magnetic field weakens. There are also studies that show the effect of the sun on storms on our planet. Thanks again for this video.
Sun becomes a red giant one day as it switches from burning hydrogen to burning helium and will wipe out all life left on this Earth if not even the entire Earth itself. (And 'yes', a long time from now, but the destination is set like a way point on a journey).
The shifting poles aren't related to solar max or Sol in much more than that Terra spins around Sol. No, those are normal fluid mechanics at play. There's a laboratory in a University that does a molten sodium experiment in the bid to figure out how our "shield" is related to these things. They've "flipped the pole" so to speak quite a few times by nature of the molten sodium.
@@charlesbrightman4237They estimate that to happen in a few billion years, but before it expands to that level it will get big enough and hit enough to render the planet inhospitable within about 1 billion years. If humans are still around at that time, they will have hopefully found the technology to colonize at the very least moons in the outer solar system, if not other systems entirely.
Unfortunately the big money is on blaming CO2 for everything so very little funding for real science.
@@100percentSNAFU Well, billions of years or not, the destination would be set like a way point on a journey. Either species on and from this Earth get off of this Earth, OR they all eventually die and go extinct. But then also consider this item from my files:
EXISTENTIAL PHYSICS: Current Analysis:
(subject to revision as new information might dictate):
WARNING: NOT FOR ALL AUDIENCES: Only read this if you think you can handle it.
Future:
a. 6th mass extinction event (possibly occurring now), and the 6th won't be the last. (And 'yes', at least some humans will survive these earlier mass extinction events).
b. Sun becomes a red giant one day as it switches from burning hydrogen to burning helium and will wipe out all life left on this Earth if not even the entire Earth itself. (And 'yes', a long time from now, but the destination is set like a way point on a journey).
c. Our spiral shaped galaxy is most probably collapsing in upon itself, (note: adding to the red shift observations by the way), and it's possible ALL galaxies eventually collapse in upon themselves (not confirmed yet).
d. 'If' one believes in the big bang theory, and space itself expanding, then the entire universe and all in it will most probably end in a big freeze. (And 'yes', a long time from now, but the destination would be set like a way point on a journey). Note also: the singular big bang is probably not really true, there are other 'normal' explanations for the red shift observations, and the universe is most probably not going to end in a big freeze. Also, 'if' the current forces of nature came into existence in the early moments of the expansion of the singularity, and the singularity is still basically expanding, then the forces of nature will probably evolve one day, possibly even in the very next moment of expansion of this universe, and possibly wipe out everything in existence in basically a blink of an eye. Of which note also, the forces of nature as well as the universe always existed and never had a beginning. But 'if' modern science is correct, well ....................................blink...........................................
e. Outer space travel: Currently impossible to do for long periods of time due to:
1. Harmful cosmic radiation, including any potential neutrino impacts. (While most neutrinos go right through us, not all of them do all of the time). AI and biological life would most probably not survive unless proper protections were had.
2. Biological species, especially humans, need proper gravity conditions and large rotating space ships probably will not work for space bases on planets and moons. Otherwise, biological life, especially humans, will not survive long term.
3. Biological species, especially humans, need many more items to properly survive, otherwise they won't.
* Note: If anybody has any actual factual evidence to counter the above, I welcome it.
** HAVE A NICE DAY IF THAT IS WHAT YOU CHOOSE TO HAVE, WHILE WE HAVE DAYS LEFT THAT WE CAN ENJOY. FOR EVERY MOMENT THAT PASSES, ONE LESS MOMENT BEING ALIVE AND ONE MOMENT CLOSER TO BEING NOT ALIVE.
Love this channel!!
From what I've heard in the Hamb radio crowd, some of them are excited because of the sun's activity. They're saying that it creates conditions where you can talk much farther than normal on 10 meter, for example. Some frequency ranges it hurts, but others it helps. The ranges that normally allow you to talk around the world require a higher class license, but when the sun becomes more active it allows folks with the lower class license to talk farther on the frequency ranges they are allowed to operate on.
11:52 well... There are studies suggesting that a lot of birds can see how the sun influences magnetic fields around the earth. It's super wild. There's this protein? I do not know enough to explain. There are a few reputable videos on RUclips tho.
"See" more like "feel". It's akin to us getting chicken skin when a chill wind blows by.
The solar maximum has already arrived, and the sunspot numbers are among the highest ever seen. Probably this is a significant factor in the unusually warm summer we have seen, and a little study will show that solar maximums and minimums have coincided with many extreme weather events-the deadly heat wave in Paris, the Texas droughts, the proliferation of icebergs in the North Atlantic in 1912 (see Titanic) and the Maunder Minimum in the 18th century, where sunspots disappeared from the sun and some of the coldest weather of the last 1000 years occurred. This is a great mystery, but the greatest mystery is why this phenomenon is ignored and the carbon demon is exalted.
The carbon demon that trees and other green leafy things need to survive. 😂
Why was there no mention that the sun's 11-year solar cycle (and the flips of its magnetic poles, by inference) is governed by the alignment of the planets, with Venus, Earth and Jupiter's tidal forces influencing the solar magnetic field, as scientists have found?? The discovery helps explain why the sun operates on such a regular cycle. Source: Newsweek article June 3, 2019.
Firstly, Newsweek isn't a scientific journal. It does have some science new, but it's not a scientific journal, and that's very important. Secondly, there was no article published by Newsweek on that day. The closest ones were on May the 31st, and then on June the 7th. So, to conclude, the planets don't affect the Solar cycle whatsoever.
I just love Alex’s voice and now also listen to him on podcast. Thankfully the content is also excellent and well presented
Your opener was 100% correct. Stay there and only the facts will come to you and others.
You know, I always come away from Astrum feeling like I just learned something new and interesting. This one is visceral. The Sun and the Moon are important to us.
Hi, amazing video as usual. Can you please include your sources? Thank you 🙏🏼
Someone I follow on Insta posted a picture of seeing the northern lights in Lancashire, England last night. For those who don't know, that's really quite far south to see them. I'm in the north east of England myself, and only see them maybe once or twice a year at most if I travel for about 30mins north. They've been seen in my local area (outside of the town itself due to light pollution) several times in the last fortnight alone!
I love watching Live Cams of Iceland, and most nights this month they've had the northern lights, and they've been very strong. I'm sure this winter and in 2024 the northern lights are meant to be very strong due to changes in the sun - if people are wanting to see them, now's the time!
I watch SolarHam, we had a moderate geomagnetic storm pass by that timeframe. People should be more aware of these, the further south the auroras appear, the worst the storm. We are a couple years from Solar Maximum but yet the sun is already very active - almost more active than it should be.
I’d say it was even more astonishing that you could see the night sky in Lancashire.
Minor correction, HF radio works better during solar maximum due to skip propagation against the ionosphere (at least if youre an earthling talking to earthlings).
Solar Flare is forever synonymous in my mind with Dragonball/DBZ.
More crazies from 2025 on… just what we needed.
When I see my bees behaving differently in their log hives I know a weather atmospheric change is imminent.
You're wise to watch nature. Too many are glued to a screen these days.
Who's up watching this while high
Google really know us I can appreciate that and also worry abit.
Do appreciate the mention of the unknowns like we know nothing of the Sun's interior or why it is hotter away from its surface or what causes the cycles. Wal Thornhill had some of the best explanations so far.
As a Roofer, I approve this message.
Amazing video as usually, I always learn something stunning!
Politicians don’t want to hear any of this
They'll insist we send Billions in FRNs to the UN, to fix this. Same as the Carbon Scam.
I love all your videos and podcasts, though I’ll say I really enjoyed this one. Thank you for such great detail about the solar maximum, your work is appreciated by myself and my students!
Congratulations for your excellent video about Sun impacts on the earth
The chart at 9:23 is out of context (SSN is off too, but that is irrelevant due to arbitrary smoothing applications); cycle 25 is almost exactly like cycle 24 (maximum in April 2014 (23-month SSN = 81), which was one of the lowest since the Dalton Minimum , because we are in a mini-ice age right now but not many realize it because the earth is retaining sufficient warmth so that the most vulnerable populations are not dying of cold (independent of carbon, since if you plot carbon abundance, the line does not correlate to the warming plots AT ALL). The last real decent hot cycle we had was cycle 19, with maximum in March 1958 (SSN = 285). Cycle 25 presents no threat like the huge solar flares of the 1980s-2003-ish, probability-wise.
I was born about a year and a half after a solar maximum, so I guess I can not blame the sun for my being weird. 😞
I bet your weirdness is as awesome as the sun.🤘😊
Everyone is weird in their own way
Love these series. I always learn something from each and everyone one of these vids.
great now we're never gonna get gta 6
lol, some though, also the new Fable! I'm not really ready for the new future, but excitement is the only thing we have, so maybe we get the games before the end?
I didn't know what this was for a moment, so I was just panicking that everyone and everything was gonna explode, but was met with cool space facts instead, awesome
There is a relationship between the Sun, Jupiter and all members of our solar system including mother Earth. In the ancient world, the Sun is called Adi Deva - first Primary Lifegiving God of Earth. There are other planets represented as deities in Roman, Greek, Hindu traditions. All of them have unique hierarchies (aka densities, temperatures, compositions, etc/space) interactions (magnetism/field) and relationships (orbits/time) with one another. These traditions were representations of the complex relationsips between our celestial bodies - like a combination lock where certain alignments open certain energetic fields with corresponding chapters and cycles. Musica Universalis - Music of the Spheres
When studying bipolar disorder I found that manic episodes are commonly triggered in spring when people are suddenly exposed to more sun. I was never able to find a thorough explanation of why that would cause change to the functionality of the prefrontal cortex. This video gives hope for better explanations to be available someday for people who suffer.
I'd bet it's due to increased serotonin production.
@nataliebutler I think if it were as simple as that medication would be much more effective.
It has been several years, but I believe it was an evolutionary biologist, who had looked at past solar cycles, and
found some coloration between incidents of civil unrest, during times of solar maximum.
Don't take my word as being exact, but it was something very similar, if not precisely what I said.
Given how long it has been, I'm sure I overlooked, or mis-stated something in my comment. he..he.he
the radiation may 'warm' the atmosphere....just a little....you mean it could effect......the climate?! 😱
I was amused earlier this summer when our local news talked about climate change was causing 'crazy' weather around the country....then went on IN THE VERY NEXT SEGMENT to exclaim how awesome seeing the Northern lights in Michigan's lower peninsula that week was going to be.....
TLDR: You've likely lived through one, if not multiple Solar Maximums. It's not a big deal.
You sure?
@@frank8917 yeah
so this next year and the la niña event will make storms go crazy I can already feel it
It's not my fault, I was born during a solar maximum. I'll use that in court one day.
Nothing will happen it never does
What is being ignored by most is that the cycle of solar maxima and minima is flattening (ie the amount of sunspot activity at maximum in the last cycle being lower than the amount at the previous maximum - and the amount of sunspot activity at the 2025 maximum may be lower than during the last maximum) - and this could presage a Grand Solar Minimum (for which we are currently very due), similar to the Dalton and Maunder Minima that brought extended periods of globally reduced temperatures in the past (eg most recently the 'little ice age' of the first half of the 19th Century). A virtual failure of the maximum that takes a few cycles to recover to normal levels, anyway - I've seen forecasts that IF the current trend of flattening maxima continues, then the Grand Solar Minimum could happen within 1-2 cycles of now, leading to globally-reduced temperatures affecting much of the middle-to-late part of this Century. This could then cause a reduction in food growth - at a time when the human population is still expanding - meaning the potential for more famines. It might also put a stick in the spokes of the Warmist movement if the apocalyptic forecasts of terrible global warming have to be revised. Oops. Panic! Quick! More CO2! (and it will make ZERO difference, of course, because sensible people know that what drives the climate is the sun and the vast majority of the greenhouse effect is from water vapour).
Only time will tell! I shall be an old man by the time the worst of the Grand Solar Minimum strikes and I fully intend to emigrate to somewhere sunnier when I retire anyway (2030+).
Nice video!
16:00 powering down a circuit doesn't magically make it resistant to pulses
you literally need a faraday cage or EM shield to divert the flow and not reach the components in the first place
Thank you! Very interesting and also well done. Loved the detailed imagery of the solar flares... amazing!