New Evidence We Are Entering An Ice Age Termination Event - EXPLAINED
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- Опубликовано: 9 май 2024
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In 2006, Methane levels began to rapidly increase in Earth's atmosphere and haven't showed signs of slowing down. What is causing this mysterious spike? Are humans to blame or can this be attributed to the planet entering a ice age termination event?
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0:00 Are We Living in An Ice Age Termination Event?
1:29 The History of Earth's Ice Ages
4:00 What Happens During an Ice Age Termination Event?
9:05 Ad Read
10:17 Why Are Methane Levels Rising?
11:40 How Do We Measure Methane?
12:33 Where Does Methane Come From?
16:30 Conclusion
#iceage #methane #breakthrough
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🧑🔧📣Please QUIT saying FOSSIL FUEL(We Ain't Runnin' Outta Dinosaurs, Boyz)🧂🧂🧂
Ice age termination event wtf man! We are going extinct!!!!!
No 'official' scientist includes the mnp movement factor in their public debate. Might lose their jobs. It could be the final nail. Methane turning to co2 after 10yrs also can easily account for that increase.
Is the Earth flat too?
Could you please make a video about this paper?
Nikolov N, Zeller K (2017) _New Insights on the Physical Nature of the Atmospheric Greenhouse Effect Deduced from an Empirical Planetary Temperature Model._ Environ Pollut Climate Change 1:112.s
I'm very surprised RUclips allowed an actual scientific discussion of a controversial topic. Well done, sir.
It's almost like youtube doesn't care at all. Crazy.
RUclips hasn’t got an algorithm for you yet.
He did not mention the dreaded words and has produced an intelligent reason for the Ice Melts.
So very true. youtube/google doesn't like people presenting alternative thoughts/theories. They only allow what fits the narrative of the day. Such a very dangerous time we live in when the most powerful information brokers on the planet control what information you are allowed to consume or even view.
The liberating quality of the truth is a dangerous element not to let roam wildly, it has always threatened the status qou. Global warming is threatened by this truth, as human caused global warming makes as much sense as stating that spilling a kilo of salt in the ocean caused it to dangerously increase it's salinity.
Glad you mentioned that we're STILL in an ice age and made the distinction between ice ages and glacial periods. So many people just skim that entirely.
All the climate activists and scientists especially
No, it happens regardless of political leanings, especially with people who aren't geologists or climate scientists.@@WhiteCheddar.
the mere fact the doc thinks the idea that humans as are today, can control climate and nature which existed several hundred million years if not couple billion is hilarious to say the least 🤭, we are inconsequential to the planet, can merely try to understand it nothing we do or try can remotely shift the planets predestined cyclic nature.
The UN climate committee is only allowed to consider CO2. That do not look at other variables.
This always gets my goat 🐐
Thank you for taking me back to my teenage years when scientists and researchers could have intellectual conversations with data and existing evidence.
Yeah it has slowly been getting easier for scientists to talk like scientists again. Still a lot of threats that come if you do too much critical analysis, but for sure better than last year
Yes, I remember "The Coming Ice Age" was the big scare tactic when I was a teenager. Guess that one didn't work.
@@lindaabernathy4876that was the scientific consensus in the 70’s. Guess the “science” is wrong when you don’t have or understand the data.
They always do what they are told, it has nothing to do with science, Galileo demonstrated this well, even Giordano Bruno's stubbornness became common knowledge when it turned out to be useful, but not because Giordano was right...
@@lindaabernathy4876 That seems to have been a media invention - the BBC in particular.
Thank you for reminding people that we’re still in an ice age. I’ve been trying to explain this to people for over a decade.
My fear is a new ice age with Arctic ice expanding and driving Canadians south. Dallas would be overrun with curling rinks - a fate more horrible than I can imagine.
Yeah cold here at the moment .
I've been saying the same thing for years too thanks your not the only one
Not only are we still in an ice age, we are only just recovering from an almost catastrophic fall in Co2 levels, if the Co2 had dropped any further we would not be here now! because ALL plant life would have died, followed closely by ALL herbivores dying and finally ALL carnivores Dying, We might have survived(barely)by creating individual grow areas, I.E. greenhouses where we artificially increase the Co2. The Dutch already enrich their greenhouses with Co2 to get larger yields and better quality produce. Scientist know this, but still go along with the Co2 is evil so must be reduced mantra, mainly because research money is only available for any research that fosters the Global warming/Climate change narrative. The only scientists that speak out against Climate change are either retired(not dependant on grants)scientists, including Nobel prize winners, or Scientists and researchers who are of independent means.
Me too. Climate science is so complicated that it cannot be explained simply like political leaders would have you believe.
Science has been so tied to politics people have all but forgotten what a real scientific demeanor is. A breath of fresh air.
Yep. Most scientific organizations are largely government funded, or they receive a portion of their funding from the government. So the agenda becomes less about working to understand reality, and more about working to secure more funding. And notice anytime something happens that doesn't fit or threatens the political narrative, research groups jump into action to force it to fit the narrative.
You mean republican traitors no longer believe in real Science but will listen to any old youtube video.
It is because genuinely curious studies do not get funded. The science funds are tied to political outcomes. It's about as far as you can get from genuine science.
Yes, have seen others just label this as caused by human generated climate change.
But, but, the liars have a mortgage !!!
I've personally felt as though winter has been taking longer to arrive, but staying for the same amount of time once it does. I remember back in the mid 90s that we would reliably get the first snow in late mid October, and we would get the first real storm in late November or early December. I also remember that in 1995, we got a blizzard in April that was considered unheard of. Now almost 30 years later we often don't get our first snow until January, but now it's not uncommon to have snow in may.
Summer has also felt shifted. I remember as a kid June and July were swelteringly hot, whereas August and September had a break in the temperatures. Now June and July are temperate, August and September feel like an oven, and there isn't a break in the temperatures sometimes until early December. Just what I've personally observed, with all the pitfalls of memory and perception.
THANK YOU I've been saying this for about three years now. I've been saying that the seasons are shifting over but their length is the same!
I live in the northeast USA and have noticed the same exact thing!
I have been commenting for years, it is astro-physics.
Now and then, I have mentioned actual climatologists around the world who disagreed with the official version of climate changes had their grants defunded and lost their jobs.
re: Food I have mentioned look at world microclimates to see what thrives, and do that.
re: Shelter I have mentioned what ingenious things people have done in different climates around the world to be comfortable in that climate.
Since about 2000 we've been in a drought and at the same time our skies are full of "contrails" that never evaporate, a white hazy sky like 1970s Popular Science Geo - engine - earing article mentioned. Even in winter with low humidity, the sky is a HAZE when in low humidity "water vapor" trails don't evaporate.
Yeah Same here from the east coast as well.. Not sure about else where but that's definitely what's happening here..
When I was in highschool in the 90's my teachers told me that we are in the tail end of an ice age and that in my lifetime I should expect an increase in temperature, sea rises and better farming
You had a sensible teachers who knew their facts , unlike the woke , believe anything the government paid scientists tell today’s teachers , who then try and indoctrinate the children.
Yeah snowbunny the question is if we've been at the tail end and are facing the sudden reversal to the start of the next Ice age....and been experiencing better farming and higher sea levels for the past several thousand years.
...also, if these are correlated to solar cycles or polar shifts and are we due for another.
Disrespect off the jump... smh@@robh467
@robh467 given that Ice age cycles are in the thousands of years time range even if we started a global cooling event leading to another snowball earth level Ice age our childrens great grandkids wouldn't see snowball earth short of some kind of global disaster such as a super volcano eruption accelerating cooling with a global cloud of fly ash.
Same for me in the 80's. This is proof that education is becoming more political and less scientific.
I've been living in the Midwest much longer than I care to say.... and winter is coming wayyyyyyyy later than it used to and its over wayyyyyyy earlier. This year winter that looked like winter, lasted about 6 days (mid/late January to end of January). Its February and we have "Spring" flowers coming up in our yards already, its going to be 72'F in a couple days.
Its amazing how the locals ignore it. When it stops getting below freezing at all over winter here, things are really going to get freaky. But, somehow the human mind will find a way to dismiss it I'm sure.
BTW, what is the meteorological definition of ‘freaky?’
Yes, I think we should spend a hundred trillion dollars here in the west so we don’t get ‘freaky.’
I also think that a billion poor people around the word should give up their cheap, dirty energy they need for actual survival so I can drive my Tesla to parties and tell my friends how much I care about the planet.
I like how he admits that we still don't know. A sign that he is really an expert in this subject matter.
Uhmmm but we know more than we don't so don't get all Denier on us here bud ~ Sincerely, also a former scientist.
Exactly. Been crying the end of the world for 30 years now. Always. We have 5 years left....6 times now
@@MrMawnster if you were a scientist, then you know that we know NOTHING.
He is no "expert" on the subject matter.
@@MrMawnsterwhy are you a former scientist? Did you forget science ?
A breath of fresh air to have the climate debate presented with significant research and justification. Dr. Ben, you have brought together much of the various arguments into a concise summary of what we really need to track. I found the global methane release map extremely fascinating. Thank you. This deserves wide viewing.
but he presents everything as facts instead of as theories. Sloppy at best.
@geraldbennett7035 thanks for adding this 👉 "but he presents everything as facts instead of as theories. Sloppy at best."
@@geraldbennett7035 Most of his comments are bots. Thankyou Dr Ben, I'm grateful for this Dr Ben, Great words Dr Ben.. I wonder how much he's paying for fake subs, comments and likes? From a video I watched recently about a guy showing the packages and prices to get bots, It isn't cheap especially the package that he's paid for..
@@GoGreenHub You are a wise and inciteful bawt.
@@larrym2434 We appreciate the "wise" but not sure about "inciteful bawt"? Explain?
My electronic principles lecture taught me this cyclic theory whilst learning satellite orbits and calculation position to signal strength.......that was early 90s and I've never heard of it discussed since....when ever I explain it to people I literally see there jaw drop....I worked for ESA on sat coms and literally nobody had heard of these cycles..... i will sendcthis video to people in future because I'm done explaining 😊
Great video. Glad I found your channel.
What a fantastic presentation. In this period, it is borderline miraculous to find a video on this particular subject that cares to give HISTORICAL CONTEXT. I am grateful.
Yes it was a good overview. There are plenty of other videos which cover this long-term context if you look (strictly speaking not 'historical': that applies to human timescales since written records - hence 'pre-historic' for the first 240,000-odd years of human existence). I'm not sure what the right general word for everything before that is. 'Climatic' or 'geological' context would work.
@@xxwookey I´d really appreciate that you mention one that stands out in your opinion.
We’re living through an unprecedentedly rapid climate event, so the big picture actually proves the OPPOSITE of the video’s premise.
@@ericskelton8368 Did you watch the whole video? The title is potentially confusing. The information is accurate to the best of my knowledge and the presenter agrees that we in a very rapid climate-change event which might be sufficient to move us out of the somewhat irregular oscillation that has been going on for about the last million years. So I'm not sure what premise you think the big picture is the opposite of?
@@xxwookey The video seems to gloss over the Tipping Point hypothesis whereby an increase in human-caused CO2 triggers a (my emphasis) self-reinforcing methane release causing further warming. Our current climate change is exponential, not linear, not gradual, not naturally caused and not just another blip in a long geological record of climate variations. As much as science can know something, climate urgency is established. The foreseeable consequences are dire. Unfortunately, this video looked forward instead of only backward, possibly inducing complacency in its viewers when it’s urgency that’s warranted.
The video observes the rapid increase in CO2 and observes the spike since just 2006 in methane release. Then, strangely, the video pivots to reassure us that the Earth has an ability to engage negative feedback loops to respond to climate change and establish a new equilibrium. That glosses over the initial dramatic loss of habitability for life forms that exist today as we sleep our way into a climate catastrophe and then wait for a millennia-long correction.
The video skips over the damage the initial positive feedback loop will cause.
The result is a video that, intentionally or not, has the effect of making an oncoming train with us tied to the tracks, seem like just a morning commute.
Science and its methods don’t exist only to direct humans to wise choices. But the « sapiens » part of Homo sapiens does mean wise. We should be using our wisdom to detect and avert crises, not to minimize them.
Great presentation of what's known and yet unknown. No political double-speak. I was starting to believe this was not possible in todays world. Thank you.
It's not two-sided in this case. There is the science and then there is the pseudoscientific conservative narrative.
and there is also the lefitst authoritarian nonsense that tells us to eat bugs and cut our nuts off to save the whales
@@mian6788 I was majorly disappointed that I wasn't instructed to stop eating rice and meat. Looking forward to eating the bugs to save the planet. Glad you see that anyone that disagrees with us is simply wrong.
@@jdwyer4851 Indeed, people that 'disagree' with basic facts are 'simply wrong'. Well said.
@@mian6788 , or there is data people like you like, and data you don't like. I like seeing all the data, and hearing different interpretations of it, to see which one makes the most sense to me.
Thank you for providing a fascinating, unbiased appraisal of the outline of what I saw as the carbon/ methane cycle. I have subscribed.
Lat thing I rarely leave comments.
excellent vid, i love your explanation and i actually understood everything you said good job !!!!
Back in the early 90’s my Dad and his friend started using landfills to generate electricity. They had wells placed all over the landfill and burned the gas on two giant Caterpillar engines that powered a big generator. They sold the power to the City. The first one they did was in Burlington, Vermont. I remember my dad taking me there when I was a kid.
Now it's nor profitable to burn landfill gas for electricity, rather to refine the LFG to cleaner natural gas. Amazing how far we've come in the waste industry in just a few decades.
..
Interglacials are caused by LOW CO2.
Low CO2 causes plant-death and CO2 deserts.
This causes dust.
Dust on ice sheets causes warming.
Thus low CO2 causes interglacial warming.
Every interglacial is preceded by 10,000 years of dust.
Interglacials are NOT caused by increasing CO2.
The feedback is ice sheet aIbedo.
See paper ‘Mod.ulation of I.ce A.ges by D.ust and A.lbedo.
(Spelling deliberate, to prevent Yootube deletion.)
R
😂😂😂
Similar thing here in UK, old coal mines vent methane which is being used to generate power using IC engines.
that’s pretty neato
I always try to tell people we are technically still in an ice age, we're just at the tail end of it that's why it's been so nice and livable for us
As long as Antarctica is at the southern pole, the Earth will experience periods of extreme glaciation. Plate tectonics says that will be at least another 80 million years before the cycle of glaciation will end with Antarctica moving north into the Atlantic Ocean. Then, when Europe finally gets into the Arctic Circle, it will begin again. Antarctica has occupied the south pole region for about 300 million years, and it and its ocean currents are a major player in the onset of global glaciation events (as is Northern Canada).
@@boydgrandy5769 Plate tectonics have nothing to do with anything in this video. Nor will this have anything to do with a hotter, hellish world, which is what this video is actually about.
@@johnhenry3536 No, john. That's not what the video is about. It is about the real global and cosmic processes that periodically put the Earth into periods of glaciation, followed by rather short periods of receding ice sheets.
I guarantee you'd rather live in a warm planet than one half covered with 5 kilometer deep ice sheets. And I can just about guarantee, based on past cycles, that the Earth will once again enter into a period of glaciation that covers the majority of the Northern Hemisphere, and that is made possible, in part, because of plate tectonics and the movement of continental land masses over the past half billion years.
Where do you think the Atlantic Ocean came from, john? What effect do you think a land mass the size of Antarctica, with its ice cover and low albedo, has on retention of solar heat? What do you think happens when, because of oceanic current and weather changes, northern Canadian Plateau gets a permanent snow and ice cover? How many decades would it take before the Canadian ice sheets made their way south of the 47th parallel (hint: less than 10). What do you think the effect of a new period of glaciation would have on the civilizations north of the equator?
John, when the people who have convinced you that AGC is a real thing stop buying beach front properties, then you should worry. Until then, maybe you should increase the amount of salt in your diet.
@@johnhenry3536 Well, one thing is certain; whatever so-called hellish climate is in store for us all… There’s not a damn thing anyone can do to prevent it happening.
Human beings are clever and powerful, but not more powerful than the Sun or the earth’s changing trajectory around the Sun.
@@johnhenry3536He's making a correlation between the periods and how the glacial and ice ages compare to the plate tectonic movements. It was a comment explaining the belief of where the continents will be located when another cycle begins.
The difficult part about having this kind of discussion is people automatically make it seem like you are in favor of polluting the world.
Hello! How exactly?
@@kayurien845because the politically manipulated drones can do the mental gymnastics to make any information that doesn’t fit their narrative suddenly all the evil they’ve been trained to identify. They’re insane. Like, I wouldn’t be surprised if they claimed this is racist. They’re that manipulated.
Completely agree! it's so nice to actually see real science being done on the subject and not being scared into fitting the narrative.
@@theclinchmma4126 except it fits narrative quite well; there is feedback loop mechanism explained in this vid, where by incerasing co2 level you raise overall temperature, hence increase growth and decay of plants which increase methane levels, which increase overall heat and so on...its also worth noting, that methane increase curve neatly follow curve of co2 levels increase during industrial era (as graph of metane increase at 15:15 shows)...same mechanism apllyies for water vapor, which is by far "best" greenhouse gas and works in same symbiosis (these are very basic and general informations which you can found at wikipedia)...all that said i would like mention, that this research isn´t done by some "guerilla-indenpendent truth seekers", this is possible only due to massive cooperation of world-wide data collecting by...guess who; mainstream, government funded, scientists who generaly agree on human impact to global worming...and here is other thing; there is always green lobby implied in "green lunacy" debates...i dunno, by how does this powerfull green lobby overpayed oil-industrial-agro lobby?
@@theclinchmma4126 except it fits narrative quite well; there is feedback loop mechanism explained in this vid, where by incerasing co2 level you raise overall temperature, hence increase growth and decay of plants, which increase methane levels, which increase overall heat and so on...its also worth noting, that methane increase curve neatly follow curve of co2 levels increase during industrial era (as graph of metane increase at 15:15 shows)...same mechanism appllies for water vapor, which is by far "best" greenhouse gas and works in same symbiosis (these are very basic and general informations which you can found at wikipedia)...all that said i would like to mention, that this research isn´t done by some "guerilla-indenpendent truth seekers", this is possible only due to massive cooperation of world-wide data collecting by...guess who; mainstream, government funded, scientists who generaly agree on human impact to global worming...and here is other thing; there is always green lobby implied in "green lunacy" debates...i dunno, but how does this powerfull green lobby overpay oil-industrial-agro lobby?
Excellent information, thank you
Enjoyed the content-refreshing to hear “we really don’t know” for a change.
Yep the oil companies spend billions every year to say it.
No no no, we do know! 7 years ago AOC said we have 12 years to turn this around or we're all doomed. Anyways, I don't have time to chat, I've got to get to the bank to sign my new 30 year mortgage!
Yeah a refreshing change from the "the science is settled" chant, as if.
@@freddexta3363 yep the oil companies could be wrong, climate change could be fake.
@@freddexta3363build a boat
So: I’m not sure how your video found it’s way into my algorithm, but I’m glad it did.
It’s informative, and not overly filled with jargon that will turn kids away!
Thanks!
Subscribing. 😊
Really really enjoyed it, thank you. 4:32 I wanted to help with the space graphics. When Earth's eccentricity changes, *the longer axis increases* while the shorter axis decreases (or vice versa) -- rather than just one axis changing.
Very interesting and easy to understand. Thank you for laying out the details.
The Sub-Permafrost Methane Bubble is leaking now that permafrost is thawing
Which drives marine temperature increases, leading to marine methane clathrate deposits (which are highly sensitive to both pressure and temperature changes) to destabilise en masse. This will fully move the planet into an ice free Interglacial. Therefore it's not the Holocene, it's the Flandrian. We should expect to see a normal interglacial temperature profile of around +3-5°C and no land ice outside of Antarctica and the highest altitudes with the consequent sea level rises reflecting levels in the Ipswichian (the last full interglacial) when there were hippos frolicking in Trafalgar Square. Humanity will have to adapt rather than attempting to act like King Canute and hold back the tide.
- Interglacials are caused by LOW CO2.
Low CO2 causes plant-death and CO2 deserts.
This causes dust.
Dust on ice sheets causes warming.
Thus low CO2 causes interglacial warming.
Every interglacial is preceded by 10,000 years of dust.
Interglacials are NOT caused by increasing CO2.
The feedback is ice sheet aIbedo.
See paper ‘Mod.ulation of I.ce A.ges by D.ust and A.lbedo.
(Spelling deliberate, to prevent Yootube deletion.)
R
@@Kadath_Gamingwe can adapt but there haven’t been any sea level rises recently. If Antarctica doesn’t melt the sea doesn’t rise
@@MrLuckyMuffin- why don’t you Google ‘Antarctica melt research’ and see what you find?
@@MrLuckyMuffinit'll rise, just not as much. There is a lot if ice on Greenland
Interesting and informative vid.
First of yours I’ve seen. Please forgive my lack of background on your previous videos.
Perhaps someone here can tell me if the subject of the magnetic pole shift is factored in? And perhaps the diminishing magnetosphere?
Thanks in advance.
Came here to ask the same thing.
Same
I now why it is happening and how to manage it.
ThankYou for Your Service.
I am Greatful
:)cin
I was the constructor of a methane recovery plant in 1986 there was three larger entities in charge like AdamOsgood mentioned. Sunshine City Council Victoria Australia, A consultants and the energy manufacturing equipment supplier GE i think .right from the start there wasn't enough gas to run 24 hours so the three entities decided to Sue each other in 6 months they had spent more in court costs than the energy plant could possibly produce ever
the ignorance of the so called experts has no limits
Which has nothing to do with the video, except for the word "methane".
Its Scumshine sunnyjim.
@@sarumano884 so you either didn't watch the whole video, or you didn't pay attention.
The poster was making the point that there is insufficient methane, in that area, to supply said plant. Therefore he is perhaps saying there maybe not enough or we are not yet capable of pulling methane in quantity from the atmosphere. Maybe not totally relevant, but none the less interesting.
@kezzatries "Methane recovery" he says. To my mind that's either sucking the last drops out of a gas well, or it's biogas, or it's recovering from a refinery.
Either way, nothing to do with the video.
In Siberia massive frozen lakes are unfreezing and producing methane. Nova did a special about that. Permafrost is unfreezing around the world.
The 'Chasing ice' documentary mentioned the methane being released in 2012 so hardly unheard of. Also, anyone talking about cows and methane knows they don't fart it but burp it. These obvious omissions or incorrect statements makes me question the validity of the rest of it.
@@hotblack1166 Not just lakes but also much CH4 from the bottom of the shallow seas North of the great river mouths of Siberia which sea bottoms contain 100 's of times more gas than we could ever emit...
Would be cool to get links to articles you use in this video 😊
Excellent. Subscribed.
Thanks for such an informative video - you help to make complex science accessible.
Very informative with great graphics. Your commentary is a pleasure to listen to. Looking forward to watching more of these kinds of videos.
this is a fantastic resource to explain what is happening...Thank you
Fascinating-thank you.
I'm grateful for having such high quality educational content for free. Thank you Dr Ben. 🍻✌️
🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
Not really- we're here in 2024 and his most recent data is from 2006.
It's all false.
OMG, I hate people.
hey bot. this moron is dead wrong. Are you woke or just a bot ?
It's so refreshing to hear well explained, well reasoned and insightful commentary. The subject is somewhat depressing but the video was spot on.
depressing why? because Earth self regulate?
Time to get wet 🌊
Eve. Though most of the conclusions drawn are misplaced. Level of methane in atmosphere is in the teens of ppm, and he’s wrong about the length of time methane stays in our atmosphere, it’s about a week before it decays and not a decade. Getting to the broadly correct answer but by mostly incorrect methodology.
could you cite relevant papers please?@@freeforester1717
@@freeforester1717 Nope, methane last for about a decade in the atmosphere, CO2 for centuries.
Historically, Ice Ages have followed periods of high atmospheric CO2, at >400 ppm, we are now at more than twice the level which triggered the last one.
3:31 This made me laugh SO freaking hard I had to stop the video to finish. Did not see that coming at all. Brilliantly done though.
Fascinating! Thank you for sharing this information. I had not heard about the increase in methane.
Thank you for explaining this in an understandable and engaging way.
I'm from the 60s, and it was how you read 📚 and phrases from back them. April showers bring May flowers , I remember going outside as a kid in an
April showers slow, easy rains & Luke warm .
Great video. Simple language, understandable. Well done
I believe the sudden increase in methane can be correlated to the summer taco bell promotional event.
😂😂😂😂😂
I have done my part in that event.
😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂
😆😆😆
That's just as plausible as anything else these knuckleheads come up with. How many times has "science" changed their theories. Science is actually on the side of Creationist if you'll take the time to investigate it all. Good luck when you have to give an answer when you're standing before God on your judgement day. And oh ya, we're all going to make it to that day. Jesus is your hope.
I was looking at the ice core temperature scale of the last 800,000 years a few years ago. Every temp spike they projected was followed fairly closely by a coresponding methane spike.
Well observed and you are right. Higher temperatures cause the release of more methane, mainly due to melting permafrost regions and to a lesser extend due to melting polar ice caps.
At 6.19 why is there no mention of the 26/12/2024 tilt increase?
It's obviously relevant to the termination event timescales.
12,000 years ago was an anomaly, the Younger Dryas. The last glacial max was 130,000 years ago. The next ice age will occur after global warming leads to the cessation of ocean currents and the equatorial currents no longer warm the polar regions, which will in turn lead to snow and ice raising the reflectivity of those polar regions, and subsequently rapid global cooling.
Glad I won’t be here for that.
There's drop stones in Central Park from 20000 yrs ago that were left behind due to retreating glaciers.
You are a fool if you think you can ever be clever enough to understand the climate.
This bloke is just someone bigging up there magic graph .
Examine the physics of the absorption spectrum of methane. It's a tiny spike far away from the "infrared window" where CO2 has some effect. It's also in a part of the spectrum in which water vapor totally and completely absorbs the radiation rendering methane 's effect moot.
Super informative 👏👏👌
Just took a free class on cycles of climate changes and termination events while under my warm covers on this frosty morning. Thanks for this learning opportunity!
and its wrong because he talked only of methane, just one side of the problem, the heart of problem is the 13km3 of carbon on gas/oil/coal we release yearly in air dont return underground, the glaciology give us data for millions years and we know for sure that co2 lvl are lot higher in ppm than during all glaciations periods. that mean you cant see it like if we were still post glaciation cycle...we ar eina different cycle a cycle where man create a carbon crisis,.and if you think temperature is the biggest threat you are wrong, co2=acid sea=no plancton=no fish =mass hunger. the other risk is runaway climate who mechanically cna kill all life on land in centuries...hollywood maybe, but look in the sky, venus could be as cool than earth, but with climate heating she is 400°c.
so for our criss, the closest match is devonien/carboniferus crisis, precisely the period where hydrocarbur form..1/3 of sea animal died, and no animal bigger than mice survived it on land with 6%o2.. it took 15.000year for plant to bury enough co2 without herbivor to give back normal lvl of o2 and millions year for land animal life to restart...we wont see this scenario, but our kid great kid etc will see lot of change for sure.
@@eriklerougeuh5772Well carbon emissions are most likely going to peak between 2023-2025 and then significantly drop after. So good news we may be on the verge of getting rid of carbon emissions entirely by 2050 across the globe starting the onset of sucking back in all the co2 we emitted.
Thank you for explaining this with actual science based on common sense and careful observation.
Ben, despite extensive research I'm surprised you make no point of 2006-2007 onward seeing the rapid acceleration of unconventional oil & gas extraction i.e. the fracking of shale deposits (particularly in the USA). Such wells were being drilled in their hundreds - thousands soon thereafter. The main prize was natural gas. Meanwhile its extraction, venting, flaring, containment leaks and fugitive emissions were a serious problem (largely denied by the industries involved). The possibilities of this previously untapped resource was explored in the late 90's (around 1997) but commercial exploitation didn't really take off till 2006/7, especially after the 'Halliburton Loophole' of 2005 enabled it, in law, to get around the related environmental hazards. Rapid decline-rates, particularly from shale wells, meant they were abandoned after a few years - ostensibly sealed, made safe, or sold off for 'long-tale' investors gleaning diminishing returns from ever-lower yields. In the US alone there are now about 4 million abandoned O&G wells, many still leaking gas.
I'm mesmerized by this excellent clear Graphic explanation.
CH4..?
Feb 12, 3:37 AM
From Niagara Falls
Hey, Ben, this is great work. Thank you.
I just saw a new-ish episode of NOVA about Arctic Sink Holes. Massive amounts of methane are leaking out of holes in the tundra.
Brilliant video, thanks Ben 😎🇬🇧
I'm an old retired undereducated woman with an interest in meteorology and natural sciences. This video popped up after a different (unrelated) video, so I watched it. I really, really enjoyed it. I've not encountered Dr. Ben Miles before, but I think I'm in love. Thank you!
I just found him tonight as well, and this is a fantastic video. 🙂
@@blucat4 Me too. Loved it. I have researched this for years and found this to be very refreshing.
Since you seem interested, look up what will happen to the Earth when its orbit about the sun goes to circular. (The present-day orbit is not circular which produces winters and summers.). The circularization of Earth's orbit will happen in about 25,000 years as it did happen roughly 100-million years ago.
@@walshrd The (very slight) elliptical orbit is not what produces winters and summers. It's the 23.5 degree tilt of the Earth.
@@walshrd You absolute cretin.
Wow. Just noticed the "Context" warning. Disappointing but not surprising. All the more reason to watch this and share it with as many people as you can. Thank you Dr. Ben Miles for putting this out there.
They do that on any video
@@asddfasdqwe7389 I am noticing it more and more. Bizarre. Just one more silly thing to ignore!
Very interesting, Dr. How would theYounger Dryas fit into all this? Particularly in relation to the hypothesis that it was caused by several massive asteroid/meteor collisions?
I noticed you make zero mention of the solar cycles which definitely must be part of the process in the warming/cooling of the earth. (How much radiation is even sent our way, BEFORE we're even talking about absorption/reflection)
Solar forcing is important, but on time scales relevant to human history solar irradiance is practically constant. Even near solar minimum, when galactic comic rays have easier access to Earth, and during the solar maximum, their spectrum remains relatively constant in energy and composition, varying only slowly with time. Just as the solar cycle follows a roughly elven year cycle, so does galactic cosmic rays with its maximum.
No mechanism has been discovered for variations in the solar wind or magnetic field to affect Earth's climate significantly. It's a red herring when folk claim these forcing do; popular on "climate skeptic" pseudoscience blogs, but we know once a talking point gains inertia in the "skeptic" echo chamber, it never dies. The steady decline in energy output, the 11 year cycle in sunspots, and the variations in the solar wind shows no correlation with climate on annual, decadal, nor century scales.
I appreciate the information presented here. Enjoyable presentation as well, thank you.
Interesting around the same time the Carrington event and the magnetic excursion started to be recorded. Thanks great video
Thank you for creating this content Dr Miles. I do believe that the world needs to hold the scientists & engineers who build our world, to a similar level of appreciation and stardom as rockstars!
Im still wanting to hear the explanation for flash frozen mammoths with tropical vegetation in their mouth and stomach
Well for example Estonia is 23% wetlands. During the past 50 years, there has been enormous growth of digging trenches to dry out wetlands for pine wood monoculture production. Also peat mining has played a key part. As the wetlands dry out, the organic matter stored there starts to continue to decompose, releasing methane into the atmosphere. I don't know about much rest of the data, but I'd guess its important to point out that some of the natural cycles are triggered by human activities. Great video though, an interesting new perspective for me.
Only if you are so uneducated as to believe that humans are God, as many woke EU fascists and socialists currently do
That is "sub-Human", what is "less than" Truly~Human*!* OK, @increator1 ?
@@user-fi3hc8fy8p What?
I love the "Context" the youtubes felt obligated to tag this video with. I'm not sure I'm entirely comfortable thinking for myself and feel better now that I have this correction from a highly reputable organization, in this case the UN, to tell me how to do it.
/s
You're not the only one thinking the same about stinky RUclips "context", to me it's only climate propaganda to sustain the climate fraud.
The UN 🤣🤣🤣
😁
🚨🚨Independent thought alarm!! Independent thought alarm!!🚨🚨
Thank you . Very well done…
Very good review thanks
Dear Dr. Ben, Thank you for this. I have an observation. Those, like me, who are a little slower in our thinking than you (well, probably a lot slower) would be much more able to grasp the import of the graphs which you present, if you were to show them on-screen for a little longer and sometimes with more informative labelling. Best wishes.
This relative speed can be Modified by pausing the video.
pause
What is the methane emissions from melting permafrost in northern Canada and Siberia? As much as I love the archeological discoveries from the permafrost my concern is the massive release from permafrost? The slumping in the north is drastic visually but does that correlate to modern volumes?
Yes, to a large extent - look up "Methane Clathrate gun," basically there is a precursor to gaseous methane locked in much of the northern permafrost. Siberian infrastructure is already crumbling as their 'ground' gives way to mud and methane...
A note to the animator:
The elliptical orbit is centered at a focus, near the pointier end of the ellipse. Both the closest point, periapsis, and the furthest point, apoapsis, occur at the pointy ends of the ellipse, basically 180 degrees apart, not on the flat side of the ellipse 90 degrees apart.
This is not responsible for our seasons but it is a seasonal effect. The southern hemisphere's seasons are somewhat amplified by getting closer to the sun in summer while the Northern hemisphere's seasons are somewhat moderated by getting closer to the sun in winter.
Wrong.
Cutting down whole rain forest change greatly change the weather in the area. Also that rain that would have fallen there can result in rain else where - even flooding. But also droughts else where
Thank you for this wonderfully clear explanation of ice-age fundamentals - the best I've seen yet.
Thank you for a well produced and highly informative presentation. Isn't it true that there are two more major factors which contribute even more to release of methane?
Solar cycles of increased and highly variable radiation levels in which we are currently reaching an 11 year maxima (remember also that our earth is miniscule in comparison to our Sun).
Secondly there have been many academic papers exhibiting significant evidence that approx every 12,000 years , a Geo Magnetic Excursion event (GME) takes place on earth (a pole shift). The reduction in earths magnetic field due to the GME also greatly reduces our protection from our Suns increasing radiation. These two factors may sugnificantly disrupt our Earths albido, perhaps with even greater effect than methane alone.
Would these be interesting subjects to consider in one of your videos?
Keep up the great work.
I - as a physicist would expect the 11 year solar cycle (which goes along with a net increased energy flow when there is more solar activity) is not playing any big role in general climate (as in long term trend) but rather in cylclic weather phenomena. Simply put: 11 years cylce is most likely too short compared to the long term changes we are observing to effectively drive / support those processes.
You can understand this as with a pendulum having a resonance frequency. If you are at the resonance frequency, you pump a lot of energy into the pendulum and always increase it's motion. If you are far off resonance there is not much energy gain. It's like with a swing, you always push your child on the swing when the swing arrives where you are and thus match the frequency and effectively get it higher and higher. If you'd just push it randomly (either just once at the start - much lower frequency - or erratically all the time even when the swing comes your way, you will get a much worse experience).
@@DerKiesch There is actually LESS solar radiation reaching the surface of the earth right now than there was 100 years ago. There simply is NO WAY the sun is having any effect on the global increase in temperature we have seen over the last several decades. no. way.
Milankovitch cycles have always existed in our solar system (since the planetary orbits settled down). Yet the current ice age only started about 2.3MYA+. I suspect Milankovitch cycles contribute to the fine layer of geologic strata. So what happened then? the Isthmus of Panama closed (debated). Prior to this closing, the warm equatorial current would have flowed from Africa into the Gulf (strait) of Mexico, then out into the Pacific. After closing, it goes back out the strait of Florida into the north Atlantic. This warm water substantially increased evaporation and snowfall at the high latitudes? allowing snow cover to persist, then supported by certain periods of the Milankovitch cycles, started periodic glacial maximums?
Antarctica was warm until about 16MYA. Then Antartica separated from South America, allowing a circumpolar ocean current to form. Prior to that, warm ocean currents would have flowed south to the continent?
Well, according to Kepler's law the orbit is elliptical; the deviations are not measured from a circular orbit, but the sun is in one of the two focal points and the deviations are calculated from this orbit.
while some of the data was way over my head, overall i found the information provided interesting. thank you.
It was a very explanatory video. Many thanks to everyone who contributed.
Melting permafrost causes frozen organic matter to decay, releasing more CO2 and methane. Changing thermoclines on continental shelves cause methane hydrates to destabilize, releasing more CO2 and methane.
May I ask who your research sponsors are, and where you funding originates from.
Fantastic. Well explained and packed with facts.
First time viewer. New subscriber. I’ve always had an interest in science, particularly chemistry, physics and environmental sciences. Thank you for making this particular subject so easy to understand. When you initially mentioned the increased atmospheric methane, my first thought was the melting permafrost and all of the mystery holes appearing in Siberia. But then you mentioned that and included it in the cycle. So now I understand the confusion. I’m looking forward to finding more content around an impending ice age.
Not impending ice age, termination event comin out i think
Words fail me
@@tubecated_development Try harder! It ain't no delicate conundrum! :-)
Nicely done
One of the most rational, informative and clarifying presentations on climate SCIENCE I have seen. Well done! I look forward to additions and updates from you.
Thank you for explaining things in a manner that many should be able to understand. For years, since I was at an event hosting Patrick Moore and based on various lectures I have attended I have attempted to explain the various cycles and events that have had a dramatic effect on how this planet developed. Now I just need to point them here.
I still however find it difficult to get some to undertsand that just about everything on this planet is carbon based.
The expression, "until I was blue in the face or if the cow jumped over the moon, when hell freezes over comes to mind. I, like you point out to people that a train is about to hit them unless they get off....
@@AndrewCharnley .......and yet still you present no argument based on objective reason...............
0.2% of things on earth are carbon based its more silicon based in fact.
@@RyanONeill-my9jn Define "things on earth". Define "carbon based" and "silicon based".
Describe, succinctly, how in the context of this video, your comment is not utter idiocy.
@@jwilliam2255 It was in reference to the end of the comment. Nearly everything on earth is not carbon based.
Last report i read on methane increases, much of the study came from ocean methane releases. Mass bacterial growths from ocean matter decay was producing a huge increase in methane, that report came out like 5-6 yrs ago.
@@timothymckee7693 that's not how science works, a reactor uses about 500KG of Uranium and the Pacific weighs a lot more than 500KG.
A lot is coming from the permafrost areas thawing, marshland / peat bogs close to the Arctic circle.
@@timothymckee7693Keep pumping.......? Right.
@@timothymckee7693 The trivial amount of tritium (which is a natural product already found in all water) that they are releasing from Fukushima has exactly zero effect on climate.
@@keithj6251yes they are still dumping radioactive water into the ocean from fukushima due to a badly built nuclear reactor built by either ge or westinghouse. The oxygen levels are dropping in these areas due to die off of krill and plankton.
sometimes you wonder if starting dates could be wrong someone figures that this layer is that date then everyone just works off that its alot hands playing with data
Fantastical Story Telling!!
No mention made of the rapid movement of the magnetosphere (magnetic north pole) these past 130 years and how this also plays a role in the sudden natural changes of this planet. Industral revolution just coincidental in the time line of natures cycles. A better integration of other major componants need to be inserted into the equation. This is also a component to consider. Good video.
No mention of the solar cycle either. I would have liked to know more about this.
That is because the changing poles has not been shown to be a major Milankovitch driver in the past. And those past changing poles history changes is well documented and known. Could it be a factor, I have no clue. But what I do know is that it is not a major factor. This was a short video trying to cover all the important factors ... not an all inclusive to cover the entire details of everything related. That would entail an entire (and am sure rather long) series.
Can’t imagine how shifting magnetic poles influence climate.
@@kevinfisher1345 Basically the answer right there.
@@edwardcoulter9361 There could possibly be more volcanism activity during poles shifts ... which will influence weather and climate patterns.
Earth's magnetic field protects Earth, and possibly during a shift that could weaken and allow more radiation and solar winds. Which again will influence weather and climate. There has also been suggested theories that high energy particles trapped in the Van Allen Belt could be released.
Again I do not know if this actually is the case or if so, how extreme or minimal it would be. What we do know is there is nothing to suggest it has been a major factor. But there is definitely a possibility it could potentially be a likely more minor factor.
Interesting video, and what I really appreciate is that you're able to be honest and admit that there are a lot of unknowns here, instead of a more typical "It's settled, don't question anything!" approach.
This is a very common approach. The part that is settled is that human activity is having an effect on the climate. A climate that has been relatively stable for most of our modern evolution.
What he is saying is ALSO another event happening with a similar signature which may lead to unknown results.
Climate scientists have been saying they don't know what will happen for a long time now, but if you wait for a scientist to be sure of something before you act, then you'll be responding 100 years after things have already played out.
As such, climate scientists do the best they can to answer the questions posed to them, and as time goes by they try to be less wrong.
The way I see it, science is wrong. But everything else is even more wrong
"that there are a lot of unknowns here...."
==
For too many people (specially to the conservatives) "unknown" means, it's not happening.
Eventually, we'll see it as a form of food price hike or food shortage.
When that happens, it's too late(way too late, in fact we are already about 50 years behind.)
What we can do right now is finding a way to die and we all together, comfortably and painlessly.
Do you think dying of hunger is easy and painless?
Think again.
Ayy there the fearmongers are. Keep drinking that climate change koolaid, ill buy another v8 vehicle just for you.
@@blackoak4978 The problem with (some, well, many of) those in the climate movement is that they're convinced the world is going to end every 5 or 10 years (rinse and repeat). I'm getting up there in years, but so far in my lifetime, life as we know it was supposed to end in an ice age and massive global warming many times over. If you so much as question it, the name calling and science denying accusations begin, and well, it all goes downhill from there... and it's not science if you can't question theories and what may be claimed to be a fact.
When there are unknowns and flawed models, in my humble opinion, that should be reason enough to continue to research and learn, but also not tear down entire energy and transportation systems, well, major components that make current day life\society possible on dogmatic mantras targeting what today the arbiters of climate truth decry as the enemy. Be it gasoline \ diesel, coal, plant air, or likely down the road, major battery ingredients in use today.
Conservatives are sick of lies and insanity. What`s your amazing plan to stop the next 536 A.D. catastrophe? If Campi Flegrei erupts, Europe dies, and agriculture stops that day. And guess what`s happening there? Yet I hear no cries to prepare at all. People like you call people who prepare for these events "crazies." My electricity, including power for my air conditioner and cooking, stays on during power outages after our frequent Louisiana storms. But what people like YOU want is for me to connect my solar system that I wired up myself and invested in with my own money to the grid for free so YOU can steal my electricity that YOU didn`t pay for. LOL! My mower is electric. My tiller is electric. Everything here is 100% electric. Why? Because a certain crazed political group is destroying everything our ancestors created and I plainly see what`s coming. And it`s beyond ironic that we "backwards" rural folks you despise will be the survivors. Our ancestors were the Founders. We`ve had lots of practice... @@allgoo196
Thank you Ben, and sponsors and any team.
Complicated and scary and interesting.
I hope we can get it right, maybe with more AI help?
I did a paper on the geomagnetic polar reversal and how it has potential of creating an ice age as a side effect. With more cosmic particles entering the atmosphere we are getting more "aerosols". Which are the basic building blocks of cloud formations. More clouds = more heat (per the greenhouse effect). The consequences of this can mean more glaciers are melting, diluting salt water with fresh water. This in turn can reduce or eliminate ocean currents, which would then plunge the northern hemisphere into an ice age. I wrote this paper back in 2013....so a lot has probably changed since then.
Thank you for having a real talk about what is actually going on with our planet.
Yes man made climate change
We mess up so bad it might not be easily stopped anymore
you mean .. anthropogenic climate change ?
and as we can see it's not a people's fault
@@TheEryk03
Wth are you insane it’s almost certainly our fault
@@palebluedot7435 almost XD so what should we do? burn all the Amazon forest? keep all iceberg frosted XD?
you are so delusional
What a great video. I'm really happy I found this rather than the usual partisan views on this subject. Ultimately we don't know what the future holds, but we can always do our best to consume responsibly and care for what we can with diligence.
Basically you're saying we can burn as much coal, gas and petroleum as feel like and not feel guilty about doing it. Of course those resources are finite and will run out.
Of course they're finite.... thus they need to be managed.... that does not mean stopped completely.... also what is still available ! Noone seems to know.... completely stopping research and use is completely redicoulous when you do not have an alternative.. we need to he integrate into an energy system. This will never happen because of the climate change fanatics... they are not open to debate... they are not open to reason.... they only have one stupid agenda and that's.. STOP...
All reason has gone out of the window to be replaced with rhetoric... what's the point of the human race if we do not have reason...
Our powers of thought are be replaced with agenda....
That's total stupidity
@@donadams8345 not sure exactly how you read and comprehend, but to me it reads quite differently "do our best to consume responsibly" seems a long way from "consume with reckless abandon"...
When the carbon based fuels run out in thousands of years, unless we have previously found and implemented a cheap and effective alternative, we, too, will run out.
Windmills will never replace carbon fuels. Maybe nuclear though.
@@edwardcoulter9361 There are a lot of developments, cheaper, production line style thorium reactors which are far less dangerous than current style.. free energy is with SAITH technologies and Maxwell Chikumbutso and last i saw 6 countries were franchised to build free energy generators and cars... others have the same tech now too...carbon based fuels don't actually run out, that is just a marketing ploy, the biggest markup for any commodity is scarcity... so that is simply a value added market manipulation based in false assumptions... and of course the invested parties will do what is needed to stay in business as long as they possibly can.... including assassination... which is why we don't have water cars (Fukushima was just nearby a water car factory that somehow became defunct shortly after...) and free energy tech... however, they do know it's unstoppable so are pushing profits as hard as they can, while they can...
Wow great video and a lot went way over my head but somehow I understand. I have a question for you regarding methane? When the Hoover dam was being built, it had to stop its natural flow and be redirected, so that water that was being redirected created what is now Lake mead, and that lake produced methane due to the vegetation, and that would count for mysterious deaths that has happened at that lake, can you confirm this is true?
I've said this for many years. I wish our so called 'climate scientists' and the WEF would watch this.
HUMANS NOW HAVE ACCERATE THE TAIL END OF THE LAST ICE AGE WHICH MEANS THE OCEANS WILL RISE AGAIN
It's saying the climate is changing due to humans which is causing unnaturally fast changes in methane emissions from natural sources. In other words: We've fucked the natural cycle and now the natural cycle is making it worse. Tell me how that is against what the generic climate change scientific consensus says?
Much appreciated and informative. Surprisingly I understood it, not always possible with some scientific presentations.
What an excellent presentation. Think I'd probably have watched this even if I didn't have a passing interest! Bravo!
Nice video… no mention of the impact theory around the Younger Dryas which was likely a factor to the wiping out of megafauna rather than over-hunting (which actually sounds ridiculous when you think about it).
Ben, great video, thanks. FYI the word 'glaciation' refers to snow and ice retention at either of the poles or both of them, The present glaciation started about 45 Mya with snow and ice accumulation on Antarctica and starting the Tertiary Glaciation. The ongoing decline of sea levels led to the Arctic becoming glaciated simce 2.58 Mya. The cause of the Tertiary glaciation is the galactic orbit of the solar system making it move upward from the galactic plane and causing the orbital inclinations of the planets to decline, vis-a-vis the obliquity of the Earth's spin axis. CO2 is like phlogiston; it actually does the opposite of what it is claimed to do. by bonding inversely proportional to temperature with H2O as carbonic acid and making that precipitate. Without the lighter than air H2O molecules suspending the heavier than air CO2 molecules they would form a toxic high pressure surface layer as it does on Venus , taken care of on Earth by forming the ocean covering 71% of the global surface to depths of around 8 km. John Bruyn. For more on that you can find me on Quora