Why You Shouldn't Win 15 Games In an NFL Season
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- Опубликовано: 18 сен 2024
- Every NFL team wants to win, but can doing it too much be a bad thing? Well, there's about 40 years of evidence to suggest so. Enjoy!
(Correction at 8:25, the Titans made the playoffs but did not win their division)
Twitter/X: / sapphiregemguy
2023 Panthers: why you shouldn’t lose 15 games in a season with your first round pick traded
The worst outcome of the 15 win teams is probably Carolina:
- Their last playoff win was the 2015 NFC Championship.
- They went 6-10 in 2016.
- Their last playoff appearance was in 2017 as is their last winning season.
- David Pepper became the owner.
- Several coaches hired and fired since Ron Rivera.
- Bryce Young was drafted and Carolina traded the farm to get him and he’s been awful.
Need I say more?
Tepper
@@isars3433to be fair david pepper sounds like a better owner than tepper tantrums
EDIT: There was a scenario that had Carolina starting week 17 with a need to get the 15th win. If they'd lost to the Bucs in Week 17 _and_ Arizona had beaten Seattle to finish 14-2, they would've lost the conference-record tiebreaker to the Cardinals and been #2 in the NFC. As it turned out, neither of those things happened.
@@Zalis116 That’s not true because the 2015 Cardinals finished 13-3. So Carolina only needed 14 wins to claim the 1 seed.
@@gatienlaurol5793 You're right; I didn't check that. Carolina needed *either* a win or a Cardinals loss in the last week of the season to clinch home field advantage, and wound up getting both.
I'm still not over Super Bowl 50
I will always hate Cam Newton
I don't think a lot of people remember how close of a game that really was
It was a close game for a bit. A pass caught Jerricho Cotchery was incorrectly ruled incomplete which would have got the Panthers a first down in the red zone. The call was challenged, but upheld. 2 plays later , Cam gets sacked, fumbles, Broncos recover and get the TD making it 10-0 Denver instead of 7-3 Panthers, had they scored
@@thelasttruepatriothate the guy who got them there crazy 🤣
@@gcgcgcgthis is embarrassing. The ball was jumbling around throughout the process of a catch, first of all. Secondly, it wouldn’t have been in the red zone if the call had gone their way. Thirdly, it’s an awfully bold assumption to say that if the call had gone their way, the panthers would’ve definitely scored. Especially considering, as you said, the Panthers would get strip sacked just a few plays later anyways. Instead of blaming the refs because there was one fairly large play that went against them, you should be blaming Cam Newton for *turning the ball over 3 times, two of which occurred in his own red zone, one of which resulted in a defensive touchdown, all while being held to just 10 points all game*
This isn’t an NFL curse. This is a Vikings curse that extends to the rest of the league.
As a Vikings fan
Sadly this is true
After watching this video, I was certain this phenomenon could be explained by looking at the % of X win teams that won the super bowl. After all, there should be more 14, 13, 12, etc win teams than 15 win teams, so maybe the % of those teams that won would still be less than the % of 15 win teams that won? Turns out, nobody has won with under 8 wins. 0.53% of teams with 8 wins won the superbowl (it was a strike shortened year). 1.04% of teams with 9 wins won the superbowl. 2.67% of 10 win teams. 8.03% of 11 win teams. 15.18% of 12 win teams. 16.13% of 13 win teams. 40% of 14 win teams. And finally 33.33% of 15 win teams (Also 0% of 16 win teams). Turns out, the 15 team phenomenon still shows up!!! But it definitely looks a little less prominent when looking at the percentages...
That Vikings loss led to the greatest Super Bowl never played Denver vs Minnesota would have been great.
2018
Saints vs Chiefs
Both teams were screwed by bad refs in their title games
Also Saints beat Chiefs in New Orleans that season, would have loved to see another rematch
I agree. I always said what a great super bowl that would have been. We knew The Falcons had no chance against the Broncos.
@@aceassn716those Saints teams always choked. Blaming the refs is weak. Also the Saints never played the chiefs that year so I don't know what you think you were watching.
@@aceassn716Dee Ford was offside, that was the correct call
It should’ve been Saints vs Patriots
As a Broncos fan, I love the win, but completely agree with you. History was robbed of what would have been one of the greatest Super Bowl match-ups of all-time.
I wish you had done more on the 2004 Steelers.
I think they're the only team of those that had beaten every team they played that year. Yeah they may have had two losses but they also beat them at one point as well.
The Steelers also beat the eagles after beating the Patriots.
But you are right they were redeemed the next year so clearly the team had not peaked yet.
Ending the Patriots 21 game win streak was probably my favorite point of that season.
Patriots cheated in that game, btw. They stole our signals.
Out of the 5 teams they have the happiest ending by far
@@BagOfSuspiciousWhitePowder Ben also had a horrific game, in fact the whole entire offense did. God, the TEAM did. NE beat us fair and square I'm afraid.
@@jaxonwoods8181 no, they didn’t
@@BagOfSuspiciousWhitePowder im tired of this narrative with Bill Belicheck. Hes the biggest winner because hes the most unpunished cheater. Steling signals, using devices to block other teams mics or to even intercept them and hear them. Nowadays its not even a debate weather the ball was flattened when Bellicheck knew about it and stayed silent instead of being a respectable sportsman. Legit spies he hired to work for teams like the giants and the steelers. Not to mention hes personally paid players to leave thier teams so he can sign them (only coach/ gm in the league). Making it so players were constantly on injury reserve so he can throw games at will. 4 offensive linemen i can go on about his rule breaking. And the NFL loved it. Let him gget away with all of it. Fucking garbage nfl presence if you ask me
Watching teams start off 13-0 and playing my share of Madden rattling off wins, here is my opinion. The longer you go without losing, it seems you start dreading losing more and more waiting for the other shoe to fall. Starting to get overcautious and second guessing yourself. Getting punched in the mouth a few times and losing gets you to focus up and face your deficiences.
Great that video is 15:55 long 1️⃣5️⃣
My dream scenario was the video coming in at 15:15. Ending in double fives wasn't bad though
The ghosts don’t appreciate teams getting that close to their record, they allow few mercies.
that 15 win Vikings team with Cunningham Moss and Cris Carter was the original greatest show on turf that no one remembers how great they were that season it’s a shame they lost that game to the Falcons as it would’ve been among the greatest single season championship teams ever
@@user-Jamie218 I agree.
The fact still remains that the 1985 15-1 Bears are the greatest single season Super Bowl dominating team in NFL history
Bears are also STILL the last 15-win team to claim the Super Bowl. It’s been almost 40 years 😳
@@JonathanBresnihan77 why because they killed a soft team in the Super Bowl? The niners killed the Broncos by even more so wouldn't that make the niners the best sb dominating team? And I hate the niners but You bears fans are funny how you try to stay relevant.
@@BB-rm3xifound the Packers fan
@@hundoH if youre assuming I'm a packers fan you whiffed big time.
They were good but only because NFL offenses hadn't seen that defense before. There's a reason nobody runs it anymore.
This is giving me John bois vibes. I like it
funny how the patriots almost lost to the giants in the final game of the regular season, nearly ruining the perfect season early, only to poetically lose the final game of the year a month later to those same giants.
That *New York/North New Jersey* vs. *Boston/Foxboro* rivalry will never grow old in pro sports. Even the rare *Mets* vs. *Red Sox* and very rare *Giants* vs. *Patriots* match-ups.
If any recent team is going to win 15 games, it's going to be the damn chiefs, mahomes means it's always a chance
They nearly did in 2020 but sat their starters in week 17. Funnily enough that’s the same season they lost their only Super Bowl in the Mahomes era against the Brady Bucs so it seems they didn’t evade the curse 😅
Would’ve in 2020 but then rested starters.
Or the bills… still hoping… begging… praying…
Not Brady/Belichick? They’ve had many chances to become the next 15-win team to claim a Super Bowl, but that never happened. Seriously doubt Chiefs will be the next one
@@TheAceOfCubs they’re both retired, he said now
14:50 How did bro know what I was thinking
Same
I actually love the old school theme of this video. Great stuff man
Wow nice video I didn't even notice until the end that you were under one thousand subscribers, because the idea was great, the narrative was great, and the editing was amazing. Keep going man
Packers fan here. That Packers team really lived on the edge. They went 15-1 with a pretty bad defense. I think a lot of fans knew a good defensive team like the Giants could be trouble, if the offense had a bad day. The defense could give up 30 to just about anyone.
I get huge Jon Bois vibes form this! Great video!
Thank you. I really enjoy his work!
I already knew about all of these teams but I love the way you explained things. It was really interesting and wow this video was really well made
Been telling people this. Its about hitting momentum at the right time.
Not to mention how in the NCAA Men's D1 b-ball Tournament, ever since 1976 Indiana was the last team to run the table, no team since then who has entered the tournament with zero or one loss has been able to finish the job.
Just wanted to say I loved your music choice. Amazing editing and a great video all around
I appreciate the compliment. Thanks!
Underrated channel
No shock that the Vikings chocked and lost. What I loved most was Paul Allen, the Vikes radio announcer screaming NOOOOOOO when he missed. I can't stand PA, he's a screaming lunatic.
He does have the classic "Are you kidding me!?! The season can't end like that!" from that Seahawk game.
12, 13, and 14 seem to be the lucky numbers as most SB Champions seem to win 12-14 games in the regular season.
Since 1978-79 at least.
Dude, you're criminally underrated!
Welcome back! Coming back with a banger!
Watching this gives me some closure for my eagles against the falcons
The decline of these teams is truly stunning. It started out with literally the 2 greatest teams of all time (possibly 1989 49ers also). I find 13 is ironically the lucky number. 13 wins seems to be the best path through, enough to be 1 seed, usually only clinched late to keep you motivated, but enough to learn from after losing 3 or 4 games.
17 GAME SEASONS ARE SILLY!!! MAKES ALL THE RECORDS POINTLESS NOW
I will always call that 17th game the vanity game. The vanity being that of the league.
Nuh uh, more football, and also there are still records from the 14 and 16 game seasons
Will be 18 games soon, then 20 games by 2030
@@Catnado5000 - And then the injuries will start piling up to the point that we'll be seeing more FOURTH stringers in the game!
CFL has done 18-game seasons for DECADES, so that will be okay as long as you get rid of the neutral site games.
@@Gic424_YT - More football=more injuries!
Great video man! Less than 1k subs is crazy
“not peyton manning, throwing to not reggie wayne and the colts not winning the game” made me laugh
The fact that my Packers had to have the Giants as a hurdle still stings to this day
Pats felt that G-Men sting TWICE.
The first two 15-1 teams won the SB while the team they lost to fell in the Championship Game.
So, thanks to the Dolphins and Patriots, we were denied a rematch of Steelers vs. 49ers and Dolphins vs. Bears. Ugh!
8:25 -- The Titans didn't win the AFC South in 2007. They did make the playoffs as the #6 seed, but finished 3rd in their division, behind the Colts and Jaguars.
Dang it! You are correct. I probably saw while adding up points that the Titans' playoff game took place in 2008 and just looked up the 2008 record (that did win the division). That's what I get for fact-checking at 2am.
@@sapphiresteve - Here's a tip. SLOW DOWN! Don't rush out a product until you DOUBLE CHECK everything first. Remember what Shigeru Miyamoto said about *taking your time* vs. *rushing it.*
One of the worst playoff teams in NFL history
Fun concept for a video, I always thought about this in the back of my mind lol.
Absolutely underrated
i feel a little bit better now after the lions lost to the bucs, thank you
Sapphire steve my brother this is a banger
Very well done. You should have far more than 459 subscribers.
This was a good video. Thanks for making it
Damn this was a fun video. On the edge of my seat. Thanks man.
Why did you put the 49ers up on the thumbnail?
They went 15-1 in 1984/1985 won the Super Bowl XIX. They went on a few years later to win in 88’ and 89’
This isn’t a curse. Just a plague for poverty franchises.
@8:44 it was a great play by Tyree but manning was Lucky to not get sacked. It wasn’t like immaculate reception dumb luck but “good” is subjective here.
Whenever I get 15 wins (especially in a row to start off the season) on Tecmo Super Bowl... The GAME CHEATS!!! UGH
After 8-0, I believe Tecmo ramps up the difficulty. Youre better off starting 7-1 and cruise to a chip.
I’ve been playing 30+ yrs nes, Genesis&snes
Still winning with undefeated records but yes it gets real tough in playoffs
Gary Anderson was roughed when he missed his kick against Atlanta.
Since the Steelers won it the next year, it kinda takes away from that 15-1 season prior, wish we would have won it that year
Fun and entertaining video! Thanks for making it. A critique to pushing it further toward Jon Bois is maybe find a niche flimsy reason why teams are cursed now and doubling down on it. i.e. Something that only the niners and bears did, a rule change or major event that happened between ‘85 and ‘98, or a quote from a bears guy about winning the Super Bowl that lets you claim he cursed all future 15 win teams.
As an not so superstitious guy I've always thought 13-3 was the sweet spot. Even 14 wins seems like too many to me.
As much as they would deny it, it's good to lose games
yeah 13-3 *packers fan cries bc 3 13 win seasons in a row with no ring* still hate the refs for that 2020 nfc championship
god i hate the 17 game schedule
I hate the neutral site games with an even number season even more!
Great job. Subscribed.
Fantastic video. Please make more football videos like this
Panthers and Bears fans nowadays: Ha, we don't have to worry about this problem anymore!
This reads like a Tarantino film
Very well made video!!
This is how you start a sports video essay.
technically, 15-1-1 (a tie) is now the new 15-1 in a 17 game season
Can u cover the comparison of. The saints colts 2009 season. Not the Super Bowl but who had a better season in each category ?❤
Least the 85 bears won a super bowl nearly went undefeated
the vikings are just CURSED idk about you
They should be playing outdoors
Notice they havent made it back to Superbowl since they play indoors
They're idiots
Other than a couple of Twins *World Series,* Minnesota sports has been cursed since L.A. stole their original NBA team...and won more championships than they did in Minnesota!
PS - Minnesota ice hockey deserves to be cursed with that stupid replacement name for North Stars! They should be the Wildcats, not the Wild.
Every year I wait patiently for the Hurricanes to start playing hockey
Great video!
Packers fan here, 2011 was a terrible loss that we still feel, Giants again. Very well done video, newly subscribed.
There’s not a lot of 15 win teams (7) so the odds of having none of them win it all isn’t that slim. I think the better argument is teams don’t like to win 15 games cause after 13/14 their bye chances are pretty set in stone and they tend to ease up on the gas.
13:06 someone’s gotta explain to me why a singular AFC West game would impact NFC seeding
I don't know how the tiebreakers (and their order) were that season, but something like that can happen this season (and previous past seasons) too.
When comparing teams with the same record, the first aspects to get considered are head-to-head results against tied teams, divisional record if applicable, (i. e. games against the same opponent) and then the conference record. All of that is conference-only, but here's the catch: Sometimes that's not enough and the tie-breakers need to go deeper.
The next one is the "Strength of Schedule". That one essentially adds up all the records from all the opponents the tied teams played against: The idea is that the team with tougher schedule goes through, whereas the team with weaker schedule does not. I assume that in this case, Seattle Seahawks (the #6 seed which Atlanta Falcons needed to jump in the standings) played San Diego at some point during the season while Atlanta Falcons played the Denver Broncos at some point during the season, but not the other way around. If Denver won that game, that's +1 in the Strength of Schedule tie-breaker for Atlanta, whereas if San Diego won that game, it's +1 in the Strength of Schedule for San Diego.
It's very rare for the standings to come down to the Strength of Schedule, but when you're calculating the path to playoffs for a pretty-much-already-eliminated-although-not-mathematically team to go through with 2-3 weeks left, these edge cases actually come up.
@@liborkundrat185in the 2015 season, it would've been impossible for Atlanta and Seattle to both have played AFC West teams, since inter conference play had whole divisions paired up on a 4 year rotation at that point.
But it is probably a strength of record tiebreaker instead of a strength of schedule one, which I'm not entirely sure exactly how SoR works.
Most likely the "Strength of Victory" tiebreaker, i.e. the cumulative record of all teams that a given team defeated in a season. The Vikings beat the Chargers earlier in the season, so the Chargers beating Denver might've improved the Vikings' SOV to the point where the Falcons couldn't overcome it. (If anyone's wondering why the playoff-bound Seahawks were relevant, ATL needed SEA to finish 9-7 in order to set up a 3-way ATL/SEA/MIN tiebreaker, because otherwise MIN would've beaten ATL on head-to-head victory.)
That same season, there was a scenario where the Colts could've won the AFC South with a win + Texans loss + ~8 other results going their way, including a couple of NFC games. The next year, the Bucs had a .0016% chance of making the postseason on SOV with 9 favorable results in other games, including 3 AFC matchups and a Giants-Redskins tie.
The Steelers kept the 10-6 Packers out of the playoffs by winning their last game. I think it affected some other team’s strength of schedule which gave them the edge.
Great video
Thanks!
Great video! Keep up the good work!
Thank you!
I have a theory that team’s decline in the regular season after blowing out opponents. In several instances, teams such as the Saints in 2018 against the Eagles, the Dolphins last year after blowing out Denver just to name a couple off the top of my head. It’s lead me to a similar hypothetical question to your title: could teams running up the score on their opponents ultimately lead to their downfall later on?
Uses up more energy, plus if you have a rematch against a team you squashed, the opponent won't forget about it! Seems like a good theory. Too bad it doesn't happen with college.
Finding this after my qb in madden got injured in the conference game after I went 15-2
Well, this might answer that question about what the 17-game season means...
Good vid
I was so gleefully happy when the Patriots lost the SB
amazing video
Awesome Video
I haven't even watched this video (yet). The title is misleading to me... especially if you're talking about 15 wins in the Regular Season. In the 1984 Season (which was exactly 40 years ago btw), the San Francisco 49ers went 15-1 and won Super Bowl XIX that year (the very first team to ever go 18-1 in a season). The very next year, in the 1985 Season, the Chicago Bears went 15-1 and won Super Bowl XX that year. How is that a bad thing?
lol. Watch the video
He does mention the two teams who won Super Bowls with 15-1 records though.
@@MulliganSnicker - Sapphire Steve still should have used a title to make it a little less misleading though.
Correction: In the playoffs, you play against Las Vegas Betting Lines! OOF!
Rookie QBs are 3-42 at Gillette Stadium since 2003 or rookie QBs are 8-24 against Belichick? Which is it? It can't be both.
2011 is on mccarthy 😂
bruh how do you have this many subs should be more
At 14:25 he shows the Seahawks, not Panthers.
Fun video 😊
the 72 dolphins?
Make the videos auto play this video wasn’t good enough to click and watch
Steelers did this came back the next year as a wild card and won their 5th super at 8-8 debunked before watching
Correction: the NFL gave the Steelers the superbowl in 2005.
Naw I'm just a Ravens fan
Thank you
Superbowl XL the most rigged garbage ever
Salty bro XD
@@aceassn716Facts.
Only reason we (the Steelers) didn’t make it to the Super Bowl was because the Patriots fucking cheated.
Chiefs go 16-1 and get beat by the Vikings. A band of misfits who are still well coached by Flores and the head coach (I’m blanking right now)
Ngl them Giants new helmets look ugly.
The pats cheated so there's that
Pats won 16 games in 2007 but missed the playoffs the next year
Yes thanks to bradys own blocker shoving a defender into bradys knee
Go figure then a rule was made after that
Not when Carson Palmer suffered a dirty hit from Kimo, 1st play 66yard bomb to Chris Henry (R.I.P) that was the 2005 wildcard game?!?
I believe Kimo was pushed towards Carson Palmer resulting in the gruesome injury rather than an intentional dirty move on the defenders part.
I think the real curse comes with the aftermath of the 15 win season, regardless if you finish the job or not in the postseason. The 49ers and Patriots added to their respective dynasties after their big years, though it would take time. Even if Super Bowl 40 was "rigged" I certainly don't think that was the case when the Steelers won Super Bowl 43. The Bears, Vikings, Panthers, and even Packers remain "cursed" in regards to no further Super Bowl titles with only the Bears even reaching the big game since (Super Bowl 41) while the Vikings and Panthers have yet to reach the pro football summit. The Colts resting their starters did get them to Super Bowl 44, though they lost the game. Finally, I still think 15-2 or 16-1 is a worthy comparison in the current era, though I can't wait for 18 game seasons to balance home and road games over the regular season, with appropriate rest for the teams.
If they do 18 game seasons, then they need to get rid of the neutral site games once and for all this time unless division rivals are willing to sacrifice BOTH of their games against each other in the interest of fairness.
PS - CFL has played an 18 game season for DECADES.
PPS - The NFL is really screwing up the 17-game season by not making all 16 extra games a neutral site game (they all don't need to be outside of the country as a Hawaii or Wyoming etc. could host some games), while having teams sacrifice the home game against the wrong team. Only the Vikings this season has their home game against the extra opponent (the Jets) sacrificed.
Wait but we have 18 weeks no? So it'd be 15-3 or am I missing something?
17 games + 1 bye = 18 weeks
@@aubeary190 ahh completley forgot about byes thx lol
We haven't seen a 15-2 record since the 2020 17 game schedule...
The 49ers will probably be the team in the 2020s to win 15 games
After that Vikings game the other day, I doubt it. Plus,
6th letter
21st letter
3rd letter
11th letter
the York family and the Santa Clara taxpayers anyway! They deserve the Sacramento Kings curse for a very long time!
Any mention of New England with King Cheater (Tom Brady) at QB will always be know as the Cheatriots era. I even called Tampa Bay, the Bucca-cheaters when they became the first (and so far NOT THE LAST - Thank you Matthew Stafford) home team to win a Super Bowl AT HOME!!
The Vikings should take solace that they didn't lost to an eventual Super Bowl champion (even if it was the Super Bowl).
Actually, the 49ers won that Super Bowl against the Miami Dolphins. Yes, it was in the San Jose suburb of Palo Alto, but last time I checked, San Jose and San Francisco were the SAME metroplex! So it still counts.
Perez Michelle Smith William Thomas Donald
That win KC had playing that 15 win packers team is one of my favorite memories as a kid. believe it or not the chiefs use to suck.
Everybody sucks at one point or another.
Bears did it who cares it's not a big deal
I have some straight up Mandela effect apparently, or I switched univereses without knowing it. I swear to shit the 2007 colts were the regular season undefeated team.
In an* NFL Season
I was always taught to only use "an" before vowels.
@@sapphiresteve vowel sounds. NFL starts with an "en" vowel sound, so you would say "an NFL season." if you spelled it out, national, that starts with a hard n consonant sound, so you would say "a national football league season."
I think you're right because more people read it as the 3 letters instead of the full title. It has been changed👍
@@sapphiresteve Happy if I could help. I'm sorry it was a little snarky