Can Patriot SAM Air Defence Stop Russia's KH-47M2 Kinzhal Hypersonic Missile? | DCS

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  • Опубликовано: 22 май 2023
  • In mid-May 2023, certain media outlets claimed that Ukraine shot down a Russian KH-47M2 Kinzhal hypersonic missile using a donated Patriot SAM. We model this as best we can to see if we can theoretically repeat this claim.
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Комментарии • 808

  • @grimreapers
    @grimreapers  Год назад +2

    Ukraine-Russia Series:
    Eurofighter vs Su-57: ruclips.net/video/OnKuV6259ck/видео.html
    MALD, Storm Shadow & AARGM-ER: ruclips.net/video/d6p0YY_VQZY/видео.html
    Storm Shadow vs Russian SAMs: ruclips.net/video/5wJPbBAj0WM/видео.html
    Iskander vs Various SAMS: ruclips.net/video/KxxahORODBA/видео.html
    HIMARS vs Russian SHORADs: ruclips.net/video/DI6yIt0goPA/видео.html
    Storm Shadow vs Kerch Bridge: ruclips.net/video/UsHa9Fe29gI/видео.html
    Rapid Dragon vs Black Sea Fleet: ruclips.net/video/rvUTl6xjxqY/видео.html
    Ukraine With JDAM-ER: ruclips.net/video/deWnN1319Xw/видео.html
    UK Typhoons vs Su-57: ruclips.net/video/OnKuV6259ck/видео.html
    F-22 Raptors vs Russia President: ruclips.net/video/Fcmt2kdebvI/видео.html
    Air Force One vs Russia: ruclips.net/video/IDVULTyzcEw/видео.html
    AGM-179 JAGM vs 2S38 & T-90: ruclips.net/video/6-f8GJzxg5E/видео.html
    SEAD & ATACMS vs Kerch Bridge: ruclips.net/video/HJ0MgwXydyY/видео.html
    IMP US Strike vs Black Sea Fleet: ruclips.net/video/xSUAiTVwI6o/видео.html
    HIMARS ATACMS vs Kerch Bridge: ruclips.net/video/uU_SPj0HQgo/видео.html
    Sa-11 Buk Firing Sea Sparrow: ruclips.net/video/uBoryuBHfBQ/видео.html
    US Strike vs Black Sea Fleet: ruclips.net/video/KMwYjJghQiA/видео.html
    Rus SEAD vs Modernized Patriot: ruclips.net/video/FdoyfKgaONE/видео.html
    Rus Bombers vs Modernized Patriot: ruclips.net/video/4Y961tLNE18/видео.html
    JDAM vs S-400 Network: ruclips.net/video/wP4sfDG-01E/видео.html
    Kinzhal vs Pac-3 & IRIS-T: ruclips.net/video/i0GzbajI0mU/видео.html
    F16 or Gripen for Ukraine?: ruclips.net/video/Y-k71nfap4Q/видео.html
    Mig-31 vs NATO Black Sea AWACS: ruclips.net/video/vFOzjW25ItI/видео.html
    R-37M Long Range Shootdown: ruclips.net/video/-3LKGL4w9Q4/видео.html
    Drone Swarm vs NATO Defense: ruclips.net/video/wDBOSd9qCDs/видео.html
    Patrio PAC-3/IRIS-T vs Missiles: ruclips.net/video/N5Z81iW8YNY/видео.html
    MANPAD/IRIS-T vs Russian Missiles: ruclips.net/video/N9R9GUVcTyk/видео.html
    AGM-158C LRASM vs Sevastopol: ruclips.net/video/GDZoDRhIIRw/видео.html
    A-10s Operating in S-400 Nets: ruclips.net/video/5BwFlesg42o/видео.html
    Modernized Su-27 vs Su-35: ruclips.net/video/7llLDzeT2Bs/видео.html
    Modernized F15/F16 vs Su-35: ruclips.net/video/-TozTHbAXVs/видео.html
    Can Su-57 Defend Russia From F-22/35: ruclips.net/video/E-oC3NgxC94/видео.html
    IMPROVED Stealth vs Russian Bombers: ruclips.net/video/IgwLW4YKvVU/видео.html
    Ukraine Using Hellfire Missile?: ruclips.net/video/s_1YHDTmPPw/видео.html
    US Harpoons vs Russian Navy: ruclips.net/video/Oiee83CWRcE/видео.html
    Ukraine Using APKWS?: ruclips.net/video/FBxV9YuAfaw/видео.html
    Ukraine US HARMs vs Russian S-400: ruclips.net/video/eSyEOXsjWo8/видео.html
    Patriot/NASAMS vs Supersonic Missiles: ruclips.net/video/i1q7uDeinA4/видео.html
    Fulcrum/Flanker vs Foxbat/Super Flanker: ruclips.net/video/BhXfxc94JAU/видео.html
    NASAMS vs Russian Cruise Missiles: ruclips.net/video/pJI_b95jzpk/видео.html
    Russian KH-47M2 vs Polish Air Force: ruclips.net/video/cnrVxqL5q9w/видео.html
    Su-27 & Drone vs Snake Island: ruclips.net/video/T_oRoU2Ayfo/видео.html
    Su-25s vs Russian Convoy At Kyiv: ruclips.net/video/ryV65bUJzrw/видео.html
    NATO Eurofighters vs Crimean AWACS: ruclips.net/video/EiJ2dFRh95g/видео.html
    Patriot, Gepard & Gripen vs KH-65: ruclips.net/video/ZhxdrNjig1g/видео.html
    A-10s vs Russian Convoy At Kyiv: ruclips.net/video/B0tZoo0uLh4/видео.html
    USN Tomahawk Strike Kerch Bridge: ruclips.net/video/0vpi8xBygV8/видео.html
    USAF Stealth Strike Kerch Bridge: ruclips.net/video/IJbf9Bcxnw0/видео.html
    Ukrainian Jets Strike Kerch Bridge: ruclips.net/video/I8FumuZReB4/видео.html
    F-22 Raptors vs Russian Fighters: ruclips.net/video/ComRcmrwJWk/видео.html
    Raptor/Eagle vs Super Flanker: ruclips.net/video/keqYmuSEo-8/видео.html
    USAF Bombers vs Mariupol Defenses: ruclips.net/video/aCsboOG0QU4/видео.html
    Ukraine Bombs Snake Island: ruclips.net/video/BX696MKdkb8/видео.html
    Stealth Fighters vs Russian Bombers: ruclips.net/video/rym90jnQDsA/видео.html
    Sinking Of Moskva #3: ruclips.net/video/NIjoyIieOzY/видео.html
    Sinking Of Moskva #2: ruclips.net/video/snjfbj_EwW4/видео.html
    Sinking Of Moskva #1: ruclips.net/video/Bxwh6MGLJNc/видео.html
    Russia Nukes Britain: ruclips.net/video/rzk45RFQwA8/видео.html
    Ukraine Uses Danish F-16s: ruclips.net/video/17Pikrp0QaY/видео.html
    Ukraine Uses Polish Mig-29s: ruclips.net/video/zCi4tAIzuOU/видео.html
    Russian-Britain Missile Attack: ruclips.net/video/zwIGfabvzHA/видео.html
    Ghost Of Kyiv: ruclips.net/video/Yrct8V4n1-U/видео.html
    Belgorod Raid: ruclips.net/video/mQykTxt6ftw/видео.html
    Eurofighter/Fulcrum vs Super Flanker: ruclips.net/video/MPyIipEhgR0/видео.html
    US Strike vs Odessa ruclips.net/video/KeiOHgzic6Y/видео.html
    Russian Helo Rocket Lob: ruclips.net/video/118GgGnP_sM/видео.html
    Russian Su-25 vs US Patriot SAM: ruclips.net/video/asp69ZD_tO0/видео.html
    Understanding Russian SAMs: ruclips.net/video/R4xTxLNZXcw/видео.html
    Ukrainian Jets Road Operations: ruclips.net/video/hBpzQhinPbw/видео.html
    Russian 40 Mile Convoy: ruclips.net/video/Vr_-2FLblBk/видео.html
    Flanker vs Super Flanker: ruclips.net/video/VOAuOFLJGk4/видео.html

  • @MaxIsStrange1
    @MaxIsStrange1 Год назад +65

    It’s a shame that the core game doesn’t allow for modification of how many interceptors are fired per a single incoming missile because the standard is to launch two PAC-3 at a single target-one simply hits the missile (hit-to-kill) and the second targets what’s left of the warhead section to minimize the risk of an explosives-packed chunk of debris falling near anything important.

    • @5Andysalive
      @5Andysalive Год назад +4

      possibly Ukraine has to be more conservative with them.

    • @bekeneel
      @bekeneel Год назад

      That might actually be what happened with the patriots & how they got damaged, slightly. If they were really hit by a Kinzhal I assume at least one would be destroyed. I believe the Patriots do a great job and coicidentally right before it happened i saw that simulation already where irisT & Patriot had some actual success intercepting. IrisT not yet perhaps but kraine will get the SLM, medium range with a better radar so who knows IrisT can intercept too, these systems might be linked too and get to share targets. For a while I hoped US would deploy THAAD with it for an IAD. It's worth it. Now a bunch of those are standing like in Korea or Guam doing nothing..

    • @anarchyandempires5452
      @anarchyandempires5452 8 месяцев назад

      ​@@5AndysaliveThey were for a while, however after one of the launchers was damaged by missile debris I believe they went back to using the two hit method.
      The damage was repaired in a few hours but still Way too close for comfort.

    • @bryanhoppe1481
      @bryanhoppe1481 День назад

      You're correct that it's 2 birds per targetx but PAC-3 always targets the warhead itself. The second bird is simply for added confidence that the target is intercepted.

  • @DWillis7
    @DWillis7 Год назад +51

    They were using PAC-3 CRI. The Kh-47M2s were launched much further away than they were here too. In the second incident of multiple M2s being intercepted, at least 35 PAC-3 CRIs were launched.

    • @ROTNReaper
      @ROTNReaper Год назад +4

      Where did you get that data from?

    • @Just_A_Random_Desk
      @Just_A_Random_Desk Год назад +12

      @@ROTNReaper You can see PAC-3 boosters in Kyiv

    • @cockatoo010
      @cockatoo010 Год назад +1

      @@Just_A_Random_Desk yep. The booster of the CRI, actually, which is a bit different from the MSE

    • @virginccyy7645
      @virginccyy7645 Год назад +1

      ​@@cockatoo010 mse are almost double the range of the cost reduction initiative but you can fit 12 instead of 16, and those cost $4 million too!
      I wonder what kind of radar Ukraine got? Probably the old one mq54!

    • @voidwalker9223
      @voidwalker9223 Год назад +4

      ​@@ROTNReaper If I remember correctly from your mom

  • @michajastrzebski4383
    @michajastrzebski4383 Год назад +4

    re: glowing stuff from the hypersonic velocities, search the youtube for the test launch of the ABM Sprint missile - it was doing mach 10 in 10 seconds, and literally glowing white in the sky, while at it. Nuts.

  • @armandorodrigues144
    @armandorodrigues144 Год назад +60

    there are schematics available online of the khinzal internal structure, what looked to be the concrete penetrating bomb is actually the warhead
    the khinzal is basically little more than the delivery vehicle for the warhead and is believed to be almost identical to the Iskander ballistic missile

    • @ashblythe9598
      @ashblythe9598 Год назад +7

      and the similar structure that looks like the betab-500 that was found on the crashed kinzhal in Russia

    • @pogo1140
      @pogo1140 Год назад +9

      @@ashblythe9598 Yep, one of the people that Russia Today uses as a source confirmed that that Betab-500 looking thing was the same warhead design used by both the khinsal and the Iskander missiles.
      It's a fairly common russian practice of using the same component in multiple applications

    • @bumponalog7164
      @bumponalog7164 Год назад

      @@pogo1140 The US also does the same with the JSOW using the BLU-111 from the mk-82 bomb.

    • @pogo1140
      @pogo1140 Год назад +8

      @@bumponalog7164 No reason to keep redesigning the wheel

    • @BBCRF
      @BBCRF Год назад +5

      No, this is not the case, only the designers and the manufacturer know the internal structure of the rocket

  • @dowgy177
    @dowgy177 Год назад +54

    I am here and ready for the angry tankieposting.

    • @leonleeoff2216
      @leonleeoff2216 Год назад +22

      The ruzzians exaggerating their weapon systems...no wayyyy 😂

    • @rebelliousfew
      @rebelliousfew Год назад

      @@leonleeoff2216 What is with this “Ruzzian” BS? I am actually disgusted and ashamed that we are associating them with Nazis. People forget history so easily these days, it’s depressing. Do you even know the definition of what a Nazi is?

    • @dowgy177
      @dowgy177 Год назад

      @@leonleeoff2216 Any second now and they're totally gonna whip out their Ultra Super Duper Missile™ they've been hiding inside pootin's butthole this whole time and then the western nato ukronazis will truly be sorry

    • @michaelmunika5864
      @michaelmunika5864 Год назад +12

      Incoming!!!t😂😂😂😂.
      They have spammed every video that talked about the incident.

    • @Jean-Seb
      @Jean-Seb Год назад +4

      @@leonleeoff2216 you probably also believe Ukrops still hold Bakhmut too lol.

  • @bushweasel
    @bushweasel Год назад +84

    If the Kinzhals were launched 100 miles back, would that allow a better fire control solution for the Patriots? It looked like they didn't have time to get into ideal angle of attack.

    • @MaxIsStrange1
      @MaxIsStrange1 Год назад +6

      Yeah, I thought the same thing…

    • @ROTNReaper
      @ROTNReaper Год назад +12

      Distance launched doesn't really matter if you don't have an early warning system tied into the ECS, what matters most is the detection range. Once the system gets BRASH on the track it'll formulate the fire solution and get missiles on it. CH was right in saying it doesn't really matter the speed of the target, just as long as the patriot gets to the right spot at the right time.

    • @bushweasel
      @bushweasel Год назад +6

      Yes, but detection range of the system is 150+ km. Earlier detection and launch could make a difference. Perhaps more time to launch additional missiles?

    • @grimreapers
      @grimreapers  Год назад +35

      We tried before but they refuse to engage the missiles outside of 40 miles.

    • @ROTNReaper
      @ROTNReaper Год назад +5

      @M M that's why we in the US Patriot use link 16 and early warning satellites for max heads up. Ukraine has had time to develop that yet, or just hasn't found the justification to buy some of those systems

  • @MTBScotland
    @MTBScotland Год назад +26

    Given the 91' patriot could track and intercept scuds why would the current version not be able to intercept the Kinzhal given it is basically an air launched Iskander. It follows a ballistic path so assuming computing power and time to intercept why would it not be able to intercept?

    • @gibbo_303
      @gibbo_303 Год назад

      Cause a human operator sitting there all day doing nothing suddenly gets somthing on the radar, it takes time to classify it, then track and then fire a missile, depending on the situation the operator may even need clearance to fire which takes more time

    • @Vsor
      @Vsor Год назад +2

      Well, Kinzhal isn't that great, but if it could maneuver like they claim, it would be pretty hard to intercept. There are ballistic reentry vehicles that can maneuver though, so none of this seems like new threats to me as a layman.

    • @MaxIsStrange1
      @MaxIsStrange1 Год назад +5

      @@Vsor It seems like the world forgot how advanced ballistic missiles and ICBMs from the 80’s were…

    • @hrky7595
      @hrky7595 Год назад +4

      It would be interested to know the official US interception statistics from '91. As I recall a lot (dozens) of Iraqi SCUDs penetrated AD zones in both Saudi and Israel. And you had dedicated US fighter squads patrolling the sky 24/7, with modified radars acting as SCUD pickets.

    • @ROTNReaper
      @ROTNReaper Год назад +1

      If I'm not mistaken, that was the AN MPQ53 radar with a single TWT, and we now have the AN MPQ 65 dual TWT radar now, with the LTAMDS getting close to fielding.

  • @DoctorBrueckner
    @DoctorBrueckner Год назад +6

    I’ll put it this way, the engineers at Raytheon haven’t been arrested and charged with treason 😅.

    • @zartic4life
      @zartic4life Год назад

      They got charged for treason because the missles don't work?!
      I've got a bridge to sell prime New York city location. Let me know if you're interested 50% off limited time.

    • @bryanhoppe1481
      @bryanhoppe1481 День назад

      ​@@zartic4lifeWhat missiles don't work?

  • @Mark-xv5lb
    @Mark-xv5lb Год назад +27

    So, on the first run, one of the Kinzhals missed & hit a different building? In fact in all three runs, a random building explodes.

    • @cxzact9204
      @cxzact9204 Год назад +21

      Russian engineering. Sounds accurate.

    • @cxzact9204
      @cxzact9204 Год назад +12

      @@flashgordon6670 Ah yes, the bio lab with the bio-engineered mosquitoes and the dirty bomb factory, of course!

    • @HAL_9001
      @HAL_9001 Год назад +5

      Must've been an apartment, school, or hospital.

    • @Mark-xv5lb
      @Mark-xv5lb Год назад +5

      @@HAL_9001 Of course...the perfect explanation.

    • @simonsymo5361
      @simonsymo5361 Год назад +1

      @@flashgordon6670 u are good in following wat u feel and creating imaginations which makes your heart happy and relieved.😀😀, Russia lost all its so calles kinzhal and its now imprisoning the scientists.😀

  • @artonline01
    @artonline01 Год назад +4

    Meteor trails are partially because of difference in electric charge so its plasma that you are seeing.

  • @MrLeet71-vl4ci
    @MrLeet71-vl4ci Год назад +2

    So how can you model capabilities when the targeting system and the way patriot actually works is classified?????

  • @terrynewsome6698
    @terrynewsome6698 Год назад +9

    So it turns out the damaged mim 104 was only minor damage that was caused by falling fragments of a kh 47m2 that was shattered, with the launcher still operating on emergency power. Damage was less the 5,000 dollars and a hour of repairs, that comes from people that actually worked on it. Also we have evidence of 7 not one 1 kh 47m2 has been shot down, the betab 500 bomb is the warhead of the kh 47 killjoy as confirmed from crashed mig 31s carrying them. The final impact speed that was recorded on the killjoy before intercept by pac 3 was mach 3.5. We know this as the radars Ukraine is using is from a new battery not a old one, and when it saw the killjoy it feed the ballistic characteristics back.

    • @alukret
      @alukret Год назад

      Mig-31 crashed in occupied Crimea. How do you know what is using as a Kinzhal warhead?

    • @terrynewsome6698
      @terrynewsome6698 Год назад

      @@alukret the body to the missile was spread out over a half kilometer in the photos, but you can still see the distinctive rocket motor and half the central body

    • @alberthenriette8976
      @alberthenriette8976 Год назад +1

      Are you on Opium 😂

    • @noir2559
      @noir2559 Год назад

      Nah You must be on Opium.

  • @user-xw4lk2rx6d
    @user-xw4lk2rx6d 11 месяцев назад +2

    Remember, these PAC2 and PAC 3 systems are not deployed as single groups, they are normally deployed in 3 groups to triangle the area of protection.

  • @tadficuscactus
    @tadficuscactus Год назад +10

    the Tu-22 is such a cool looking plane.

  • @NikumbaUK
    @NikumbaUK Год назад +11

    Great video, you mentioned in it in a real attack the missiles might come from several ways at once, rather down one bearing, have you considered doing the same sort of test but with multiple missiles on different attack vectors?

    • @HAL_9001
      @HAL_9001 Год назад +2

      It's reported that the big attack on Kyiv did just that. Multiple directions, a swarm of missiles, all within 2 minutes. Really an impressive display of coordination on AFR's part.

  • @idsmirnov3682
    @idsmirnov3682 Год назад +6

    Greetings from Kyiv) Yes, it can 😊

    • @alexventrov6826
      @alexventrov6826 4 месяца назад +1

      Lmao, no it can't. Even your own air force defense came out and specifically said that they have never shot them down and that its not possible. Right after they said that the fascist put the squeeze on them and made them retract their statement.

    • @user-uf7fs9kc6z
      @user-uf7fs9kc6z 23 дня назад

      ​@alexventrov6826 kiev said it cant even Intercept Kh22 which fly at mach 2,, 😂😂 let alone mach 10

  • @steffenjespersen247
    @steffenjespersen247 Год назад +3

    Really good video as always :)
    Yea it must be really hard to get the optimal spread of counter missiles.
    I would think the "Window of possible interception" is so small it may not even be able to fire more then one from the same launcher at the same Kinzhal.
    But there is no doubt having the "smarter" and faster firecontrol computer would make all the difference.
    And we can be sure that the data collected from the radars (from the recent attack) have already been uploaded back to home datacenters to create even better flight profiles of the Kinzhal missile, for future engagements.
    Even if a patriot system was lost, the data was worth the price.

  • @10203040506070801
    @10203040506070801 Год назад +2

    Love your show, especially the recent Patriot vids. I’m intrigued by what happened in Kyiv a few days ago; I’m sure you’ve seen the video circulating on the internet. At about 00:14 Patriot missiles start launching: about 30 go up from two or possibly three launchers. At 02:14 there’s a huge explosion just left of the right (eastward?) launcher. What happened? Could you guys Analyse or even perhaps game it? Keep up the great work.

  • @TheSledgehammer205
    @TheSledgehammer205 Год назад +1

    Well, they're claiming ballistic jars of tomato can bring down drones.

  • @charlietheunicorn5383
    @charlietheunicorn5383 Год назад

    GR, thanks for the theory crafting regarding the anti aircraft / anti missle / anti hypersonic tests involving various DCS modelled systems.

  • @youtubepamelawells
    @youtubepamelawells Год назад +2

    It’s pretty important to note that it is unlikely they would fire so many missiles of which they have so little of at a single target so the patriot would probably have to intercept to at most at a time

    • @pogo1140
      @pogo1140 Год назад

      based on what was reportedly in the air, it worked out 2-3 interceptors per target

  • @kanagawakenji7
    @kanagawakenji7 Год назад +4

    They also use control thrusters rather than fins because fins have to trade speed/ energy to maneuver.

    • @jonathanpfeffer3716
      @jonathanpfeffer3716 Год назад

      As does any form of course correction device. Turns don’t come for free.

  • @Jordanpgates1
    @Jordanpgates1 Год назад

    Great point Cap regarding how a Hypersonic missle would be viewed!

  • @kenhelmers2603
    @kenhelmers2603 Год назад

    Thanks CH! Nicely done Cap :)

  • @iyhan1987
    @iyhan1987 Год назад +7

    Hey, cap. Do you know that every Kinzhal has six decoys in it? You can see where they are located if you look at the back of the missile. We should keep that in mind. But even 3d models in DCS do not have them.

    • @MaxIsStrange1
      @MaxIsStrange1 Год назад +3

      I’m pretty sure DCS doesn’t have the capability to model any penetration aids so there isn’t much to do about those things in the sim.

    • @iyhan1987
      @iyhan1987 Год назад

      @@MaxIsStrange1 but they already have some fake targets implementation in the sim...

    • @MaxIsStrange1
      @MaxIsStrange1 Год назад

      @@iyhan1987 What do you mean?

    • @92HazelMocha
      @92HazelMocha Год назад

      ​@@MaxIsStrange1 he means TALD

    • @iyhan1987
      @iyhan1987 Год назад

      @@MaxIsStrange1 yeap, Ian Pederson is right. I was talking about F-14B Tomcat: ADM-141 TALD implementation. Each Kinzhal has six of them onboard.

  • @philswede
    @philswede Год назад +3

    Greetings from Sweden!
    You guys rock!

  • @mortoopz
    @mortoopz Год назад +13

    My understanding (completely unconfirmed) is that they were shooting at the patriot system itself, thus the incoming stayed in the same piece of sky, providing a very easy targeting solution.
    Don't recall where I heard that, but it would make sense.

    • @JAY.1983
      @JAY.1983 Год назад +4

      Possibly Habitual Line-Crosser. He's a patriot system operator IRL and made a lot of videos about the subject. Been blowing up lately with his meme videos

    • @override367
      @override367 Год назад +3

      given that shrapnel/debris hit one of the launchers, almost certainly had to be the system itself, or they were aiming for a children's hospital and missed which is more typical of Russia

    • @hanrockabrand95
      @hanrockabrand95 Год назад +1

      @@override367 ouch 🤣

    • @ColdBloodedAddictions
      @ColdBloodedAddictions Год назад

      @@override367 actually the patriot was destroyed an if you wanna talk about hospitals being targeted ..look up patrick lancaster go back 9 years an see who was shelling who for almost an entire decade..also ukrainian neo nazis were using civilian buildings including hospitals ..hear what the people on the ground say before you just shoot out fairytales ..an you wanna talk about war crimes look at the 600,000+ childfren killed by the US an NATO in the middle east , a father an his 9 year old son gunned down by an american apache with actual footage an is just 1 reason they have Julian assange locked up in a super max prison in the UK ..over 1000 syrian cilvilians bull dozed into concrete to hide those bodies an lets talk about the well over 1 million civilians killed over there ..swerar some of you are just arrogant an ignorant when it comes to the war crimes the US get away with but whiune an cry when someone else does it hypocrites

    • @garynew9637
      @garynew9637 11 месяцев назад

      @@override367 don't be stupid.

  • @jamison884
    @jamison884 Год назад +3

    Hey Cap thank you for the video.
    However, I was wondering if this was this before or after our recent discussion on the 5/16 attack? I guess I'm a little confused, as none of the quoted reports from CNN/Sandboxx along with the images/analysis from the Russian-speaking military expert per our discussion were mentioned.
    Anyhow, there are a couple things I noticed. The PAC 3 MSE are 16 per launcher, and it appears the launcher in the video used 12? The 16 per launcher is one of the primary reasons why there were nearly 30 missiles launched in the two-minutes of footage reportedly showing two Patriot launchers defending Kyiv, in addition to their acceleration and launch angle as shown in the footage. All reports indicate a Russian time-on-target attack from 3 directions (North, East, Southeast) invvoving six Kinzhal and approximately 9 Kaliber cruise misssiles launched from the Black Sea (if I recall correctly), plus an unknown number of suicide drones to effectively add as target saturation. All reports I've seen only have one Kinzhal making it to close enough to its target and subsequently damaging (not destroying) one component of the Patriot site, as Patriot is designed to have its components spread miles apart as needed (the launch batteries, command center, radars, etc. all have a large distance between them as defensive features, due to a difference in defensive concepts, with Russian units being closer together and able to pack-up and move within minutes of an attack alert).
    Also, Patriot automatically fires two missiles per incoming target by default to increase the default PK. If, during this DCS test, the Patriot battery doesn't even have time to detect and fire two missiles at each incoming Kinzhal, or the engagement doesn't last for more than ~20 seconds, this would be highly indicative of not matching up well with the video evidence we have available to-date which accompany the news reports. If the Patriot in DCS can't detect and fire on Kinzhal further than 40-miles, than I can only suggest attempting to artificially work around that (with a boost to radar variables or some other DCS trickery) to emulate real-world evidence rather than accept DCS limitations. If this video was an accurate depiction of the maximum engagement range of Patriot versus Kinzhal, then absolutely the Patriot would have failed many, many times by now, not even getting off the minimum number of launches (2x4) before the attack concludes.
    Concerning Kinzhal being used and shot down in general, Russia claims they used it, Ukraine and the US claim they've shot 5/6 down on one night alone (with additional missiles during other attacks) and I believe concensus has landed at absolutely they're being used and they are being defeated rather consistently by Patriot.
    I'm just trying to help, as always, but I know DCS limits everything.

  • @lordisback1947
    @lordisback1947 Год назад +6

    Launch these from far away so that kinzhal can get the velocity and reach Mach 9. Another thing about patriot is it's radar is pointed towards one direction like point defence not like Russian air defences doing area defence which means anything from other odd angles will not be intercepted

    • @warsuitgaming8692
      @warsuitgaming8692 Год назад

      Thats why batteries are posed towards known threat areas. Also, the radar isnt stuck facing the direction of its trailer, its able to fully rotate 360 degrees.

  • @slcliffdiver
    @slcliffdiver Год назад +1

    The first it didn't happen group apparently mistook an internal part that looks a bit like a nose cone and then claimed the nose cone for the missile doesn't look like this.

  • @Thewhitetile
    @Thewhitetile Год назад +10

    Can either of you give more information around the altitude problem in DCS. It comes up a lot with talking about missiles. Just curious.

    • @Davros-vi4qg
      @Davros-vi4qg Год назад +2

      For modders there seems to be a ‘hard’ ceiling, where the missile either won’t fly, or if it does it goes sub orbital 😂 if I remember from previous explanations. Of course a modded will know more 🧐😂

    • @mortlet5180
      @mortlet5180 Год назад +4

      ED completely locked modders out of most important game functions and encrypted the files so we can't even just substitute our own versions.
      Here are some of the biggest issues :
      Very low tickrate + control systems don't (and core-game can't) properly compensate for the variable sample time steps (e.g. even the z-transform of an LTI system will show how much variation in closed loop response different dt values can cause if you just use a constant numerical gain without compensation.)
      Ancient one-dimentional control loops that still use things like PID controllers and Root locus design.
      This, plus the lack of path planning and optimisation blocks handing off commands to a properly designed autopilot, results in missiles not even considering altitude, terrain, nor the target type and (if mobile) its recent trajectory, etc.
      The *ONLY* dimension that *ALL* DCS missile control systems use is the angle between the missile's flight vector and the LOS to the target. More specifically, the missile is commanded to minimize the time derivative of that angle (called LOS rate) by nothing more than a glorified PID controller. The only difference between this and the IRL missile control used on the very first heat-seeking missiles (pre-Vietnam), is that the proportionality constant has a few (usually around 4-5) different values that it can take depending on the slant range to target. *THAT'S ALL!*
      TL;DR: The most advanced active radar-guided missiles act almost identically to old rear-quarter heatseekers, except that they are *required* to warn their targets (give a totally made-up RWR warning) at a *hardcoded* 10nm distance, just so that human players and the braindead AI have an almost 100% godlike chance of "dodging" (with a simple split-S) and don't have to experience the frustration of realistic missile terminal behavior. Even with 90's technology, the enemy only gets a warning if the missile needs to activate its own radar, and if the launching platform was able to maintain lock the whole time, this only happens in the last few 100's of milliseconds before impact.
      No, in DCS these missiles will run straight into the ground, don't make any use of the trackfile that their launching platform has built up (other than to set a GOTO once in a while) and they don't calculate the most efficient route to target in 3D-space (thus forcing them to artificially loft and come back down hurts their Pk, even though they have much more endgame energy, because their LOS angle gets larger and they are no longer in the same horizontal plane as the target, which is all that their simple control system can cope with).
      Therefore missiles are artificially "forced" to loft by hardcoding overrides to the default 1D control system, and since modders are locked out of all of these core functionality, we can't (legally) fix it or even just substitute our own proper control logic to fix things. However, the steep descending trajectory then causes them to loose lock or simply breaks their guidance code such that they either pull max G *away* from the target or just go into space.

    • @clenbuterol4989
      @clenbuterol4989 Год назад

      To exhaust the entire ammunition load of the battery, one 9-S-7760 missile of the "Dagger" complex and six 9B899 decoys fired by it were enough, which PATRIOT "successfully" intercepted, missing a real missile. And if some kind of subsonic cruise missiles and UAVs were used there, then a maximum of a few pieces and they flew up after the radar was disabled and the ammunition load was used up.

    • @Davros-vi4qg
      @Davros-vi4qg Год назад +1

      @@clenbuterol4989 wrong chat. Yer wasting yer breath!

    • @mortlet5180
      @mortlet5180 Год назад

      @@clenbuterol4989 No, just *no*

  • @Ovall_
    @Ovall_ Год назад +8

    Could you make a US vs Britain scenario using both British carriers plus good escort against an American carrier strike group?

    • @totalnerd5674
      @totalnerd5674 Год назад +1

      Having both British carriers would be a bit redundant, as there are only 24 F-35s in British stocks which can fit in one ship. Though, it would improve the launch rate a little...

  • @luigifranceschi2350
    @luigifranceschi2350 Год назад +10

    Kinzhal terminal speed is about mach3. Certainly non mach6 or it would melt. Nothing can go at that speed in the troposphere without melting. The hypersonic speed can be reached only in the stratosphere due to the lower density of the air, and even then the surface reaches hundreds of degrees Celsius due to air’s attrition.

    • @ClericChris
      @ClericChris Год назад

      According to chatgpt with some assumptions: 108.2KN of force to push a rocket mach 3 at 15000 feet. That would have melted the all titanium SR-71. I'm sure you're right. I can't imagine the brakes aren't slammed on below 30k feet. Again with some ballpark assumptions chatgpt says 0.5 drag coefficient on a 500kg missile going mach 4.5 at 15000 feet would generate about 18.2M BTU/min and steel melts at a constant 850 BTU 1kg of steel can be melted. I'm not sure how fast the heat is dissipated but I would be worried it was at least be in the structural failure window and risk being torn apart. Any over mach 3 isn't going to be using regular steel or aluminum to be built.

    • @Past1no
      @Past1no Год назад

      @@ClericChris you would see them glowing white hot in the sky before impact if they were traveling anywhere near mach 6, big sonic boom, extremely different explosion and damage..
      Idk it's weird there's no video of these multiple hypersonic missiles traveling at night, not saying they're not hypersonic but perhaps just not mach 6+

    • @92HazelMocha
      @92HazelMocha Год назад +2

      ​@@ClericChris Aovid ChatGPT lol, if it's mach 3.5 at 15000feet it's going to impact within seconds because it's in a parabolic arc. At that altitude M3.5 is roughly 2200kts, 15000 feet is roughly 3 miles up, which means it takes about 2 seconds for the object to impact the ground. It's not going to melt that fast.

    • @hughmungus2760
      @hughmungus2760 Год назад +1

      the nose cone could be made from tungsten or some other highly heat resistant alloy, APFSDS rounds don't melt and they are hypersonic at sea level.

    • @Mobius118
      @Mobius118 Год назад

      Even if the nose cone began to melt, it’s a single use missile, so melting nose cones become essentially a non issue

  • @mortoopz
    @mortoopz Год назад +1

    Space shuttles re-entering the atmosphere do leave trails (and they were engines off), so I suspect anything going hypersonic would too.
    ... however, that might be the ablative tiles burning away, I mean, that is what they're designed to do.

    • @michajastrzebski4383
      @michajastrzebski4383 Год назад +1

      STS did not use ablative shielding.

    • @HAL_9001
      @HAL_9001 Год назад

      Space Shuttles re-enter at something like Mach 22-23. Interestingly, Scott Manley recently made a video about the fastest shuttle re-entry.

  • @greybuckleton
    @greybuckleton Год назад +1

    To get the plasma streak the speed needs to be above Mach 10. So possibly at one brief part of the lofting phase of the flight but there should be no plasma in the terminal phase. Hypersonic start at mach 5 when all boundary flow becomes turbulent. But there is a regime known as high hypersonic from mach 10 where these thermal effects are becoming the dominant consideration. The hypersonic glide vehicles will occupy this area for a lot more of the flight.

  • @jamesscalzo3033
    @jamesscalzo3033 Год назад

    Loved the video @Grim Reapers! Can't wait for the next video man! I think the Patriot Launchers are a bit too close together the way that they are usually set up. I don't think I've ever seen any pictures of the Missile batteries like that unless they're testing newer Missiles out in the United States. Is there a way where they can be a Bit more Spread out and maybe even in cover in DCS or is that just another Core Game Issue?
    Also, Would love to see more World War Two Assets in DCS at some point! I really enjoy seeing the Aircraft, Warships, Transport Ships, Landing Craft, Vehicles and Equipment from World War Two in DCS but I feel like there's not enough coverage of the Assets Pack.

    • @warsuitgaming8692
      @warsuitgaming8692 Год назад

      These launchers are way too close together, the side blast from one firing would damage at least 2 other launchers. Minimum safe distance from the back blast is 90 meters and from the side blast is 20 meters. They are also way too close to the radar, 120 meters minimum

  • @patricktho6546
    @patricktho6546 Год назад +1

    11:25 yes, you can see a meteorite glowing in the atmosphere in daylight. Had that happen a few years back randomly. Would be similar with hypersonic missiles

    • @HAL_9001
      @HAL_9001 Год назад +1

      That's awesome! I love watching meteor showers and would love to see one during the day. The difference with kinzal is it's moving 1-2 km/s where meteors are moving 10s of km/s. The Chelyabinsk meteor was estimated moving around 30-40 km/s, IIRC.

  • @babouras123
    @babouras123 Год назад

    Thank you for this.

  • @Francoismag1
    @Francoismag1 Год назад

    Where can we get the mod for the Kinzhal on the TU-22M3 ? Thank you :)

  • @warsuitgaming8692
    @warsuitgaming8692 Год назад +1

    The damaged part of that Patriot unit was fixed within an hour of the damage being found

  • @caeleste42bit52
    @caeleste42bit52 Год назад +1

    Just a side note: Hypersonic weapons are just a PR gag. There are many missiles out there, even some from the cold war, that can reach hypersonic speeds. The only kinda "new" thing about the Kinzhal is, that it can sustain hypersonic flight for longer then other missiles. And in fact there are many air defense systems, which can intercept or shoot down the Kinzhal missile.

  • @m1t2a1
    @m1t2a1 Год назад +1

    They just don't accelerate fast enough.

  • @brandonbennett6923
    @brandonbennett6923 Год назад

    Would love to see more air defense battles,

  • @ROTNReaper
    @ROTNReaper Год назад +54

    As a real world Patriot system operator, I can say surprisingly yes

    • @92HazelMocha
      @92HazelMocha Год назад +3

      There's video of one getting through.

    • @kanagawakenji7
      @kanagawakenji7 Год назад +26

      @@92HazelMocha Able to stop and 100% probability of kill are very different. Just because it can hit the target, doesn't mean that one [or more] couldn't slip through the network.

    • @dowgy177
      @dowgy177 Год назад +6

      @@92HazelMocha the video showed shrapnel from a downed missile hitting near the site

    • @92HazelMocha
      @92HazelMocha Год назад +3

      ​@@dowgy177 I definitely meant the video of the explosion at the site location.

    • @92HazelMocha
      @92HazelMocha Год назад +4

      ​@@kanagawakenji7 Very true, but it's important to not overstate capabilites. For example, Russia could also claim that Kinzhal can penetrate a Patriot's defended zone despite having several intercepted.

  • @mikeck4609
    @mikeck4609 Год назад +2

    Yes it can. Repeatedly

  • @randomgamer_SSRB
    @randomgamer_SSRB Год назад +1

    The major difference between the simulations and what happened in the actual scenario is that the Patriot missile system was the target, not another building. When the Patriot is the target, it functions better due to easier calculations for it's missiles and thus has a higher pk ratio.

    • @rebfurr3554
      @rebfurr3554 11 месяцев назад

      and that is of course called rationalizing in order to back up yet another outrageous LIE coming from the Ukraine leaders LOL

  • @JanBjerring
    @JanBjerring Год назад +5

    Isn't the Patriot system supposed to ripple fire two missiles pr target to increase pk?

    • @ROTNReaper
      @ROTNReaper Год назад +1

      Depends on the selected shot doctrine

    • @MaxIsStrange1
      @MaxIsStrange1 Год назад

      But in general-yes. I believe that’s the default way of engaging a target (you either have another shot if you miss or you can hit the warhead section one more time to make sure it is completely destroyed and not just damaged)

    • @ROTNReaper
      @ROTNReaper Год назад +1

      @Max there isn't really a "default" setting, you have to posture your system and configure the shot doctrine in order to use the system for an engagement, None of which is unclassified

    • @MaxIsStrange1
      @MaxIsStrange1 Год назад +2

      @@ROTNReaper True. I was going off of an example engagement described on Patriot’s Wikipedia page.

    • @ROTNReaper
      @ROTNReaper Год назад

      Oh lol yeah Wikipedia has a long of good and bad information

  • @hotfightinghistory9224
    @hotfightinghistory9224 Год назад

    Given the advances regarding Radio Frequency Sensor On-Chip (RFSoC) integration, and the push for Sensor Open Systems Architecture compliance across all military aerospace electronics designers, a generational leap in both radar and missile technology has been expected for some time. This event, and others less public, have made clear to several key industry leaders that this leap has definitely come. It's only going to become more interesting!

  • @888000777666
    @888000777666 Год назад +6

    Now it we assume impact from the hypersonic missiles is closer to 3.5-4.5 mach, I bet PAC-3 missiles hit them 100% of the time.

    • @92HazelMocha
      @92HazelMocha Год назад

      Well they didn't get all of them. There's video of a hit, but Russia probably fired far more than they claim to and each missile has like have a dozen penetration aids.

    • @gibbo_303
      @gibbo_303 Год назад +1

      In theory they could get 100% Pk but with humans as operators 100% Pk is impossible, same with russian S-400 just patriot crews are far better

    • @888000777666
      @888000777666 Год назад

      @@gibbo_303 Lol I know, I’m talking about in the game.

    • @888000777666
      @888000777666 Год назад +1

      @@92HazelMocha I’m speaking about in the game… in reality both the hypersonic and Patriot systems are most likely better than portrayed in the game.

    • @92HazelMocha
      @92HazelMocha Год назад +1

      ​@@888000777666 Call me a cynic, but I think they're probably both worse lol. Mainly because of my terrible experience with Javelins.

  • @HTKxLTVesta
    @HTKxLTVesta Год назад

    A projectile moving at hypersonic speed would have to deal with shockwaves, heat and drag while in flight but also while maneuverings.
    US Doctrine says to fire 2 missiles vs the target.
    On a side note: is it possible for you guys to shoot the Kh-47 Khinzal (AS-24 Killjoy) at a further range like around 200 nm for a more realistic test and spread out the GBAD system a bit more. FYI: a PATRIOT battery is usually around 8 launchers.

  • @timtomnec
    @timtomnec Год назад

    take into account how likely a second volley is coming or 3rd or 4 th

  • @dirkmodrow7048
    @dirkmodrow7048 Год назад +2

    Love the vid ...one problem I see here is you are playing an optimal scenario for patriots missiles most likely would not be heads on unless there striking sam site. love to see if the patriot battery would have to rotate to line up n fire if it can do better can it do that fast enough ? and what if the patriot site was at 90degs to the kinsal I doubt u could even get one hit in

    • @brianwesley28
      @brianwesley28 9 месяцев назад

      You may be right, but let's assume that it's a high value target and the path of the Tu-22 is known, or predictable? You're probably right that it is too conveniently oriented, but it's possible they have the Tu-22 direction as a known variable before it launches.

  • @FuckYouYouFuck
    @FuckYouYouFuck Год назад +8

    Kinzhal is equipped with 6 penetration aids/decoys ejected from around the rocket nozzle.
    Have you seen the video of the air defence battery on the night of the attack in Kiev? I presume at least some of the ~30 missiles launched were from the Patriot battery. Then there was a huge explosion on the ground nearby.

    • @MaxIsStrange1
      @MaxIsStrange1 Год назад +1

      I’m pretty sure DCS doesn’t have the capability to model any of those kind of penetration aids so there isn’t much to do about those things in the sim.

    • @ashblythe9598
      @ashblythe9598 Год назад +1

      the explosion on the ground was around 6 minutes after the patriots fired, so maybe 2 other missiles from RU or gerans after the patriot ran out of interceptors

    • @Vsor
      @Vsor Год назад +1

      I think you may be confusing the Kinzhal for the Iskander. Penetration aids like decoys are really only a feature of ballistic missile, released while the missile is at extremely high altitude. If you launched a decoy from a Kinzhal, the hypersonic drag would just decelerate it. It would be like throwing beachballs out of a ferrari.
      Edit: I guess most hypersonic weapons are also ballistic, so you could do it. I still don't think the Kinzhal has any decoys.

    • @FuckYouYouFuck
      @FuckYouYouFuck Год назад +1

      @@Vsor As far as I know, the kinzhal is an air-launched adaptation of the iskander, and newer versions of the iskander definitely have decoys (they look like fat white obtusely pointed cylinders with a flanged bakelite tail cone), and Russian sources have stated the kinzhal has decoys, and I find that claim highly plausible.

  • @kingfish4575
    @kingfish4575 Год назад

    This why we need more research into laser based systems.

  • @infidel1993
    @infidel1993 Год назад +2

    Wouldn’t the Backfire itself get shot down at that kind of range?

  • @ShionWinkler
    @ShionWinkler Год назад +22

    It hasn't shot down a Kinzhal, it has shot down over 6 Kinzhals.

    • @Hatemode_NJ
      @Hatemode_NJ Год назад +8

      At once. Along with other missiles mixed in.

    • @ashblythe9598
      @ashblythe9598 Год назад +2

      i'll believe anything habitual line crosser says(if you know the guy idk), so they definitely did shoot down those kinzhals.

    • @ROTNReaper
      @ROTNReaper Год назад +5

      I work with habitual linecrosser, I'll direct him to this comment

    • @habitual_linecrosser
      @habitual_linecrosser Год назад +6

      ​@@ashblythe9598ayyyyyy my dude 😂 also yes ROTNReaper who commented below is one of the homies we go way back so listen to him as well we often talk in depth on what is happening with the system.

    • @AbuBakr-gm6bf
      @AbuBakr-gm6bf Год назад +5

      Russia Luanched 2 lol

  • @wolfgangst.4874
    @wolfgangst.4874 Год назад

    This was very impression!

  • @spectral6377
    @spectral6377 Год назад

    Love you videos I got to say one thing in the report from Ukraine it said that Russia launch multiple missiles and supersonic missiles and drones combined

  • @night3x
    @night3x Год назад

    And with standart supersonic balistic missiles? Guess same result. Is there part where manuevering gives advantage for kindzal?

  • @tadficuscactus
    @tadficuscactus Год назад

    The air pressure in front of the missile heats the air up so much the it changes state from a gas to plasma and it glows. tHAT IS MY UNDERSTANDING.

  • @ToxaKaRp
    @ToxaKaRp 9 месяцев назад

    I never thought that I would be "lucky" to witness such a thing. But, I got to see the work of the "Patriots" IRL. It was exciting. I might even say "beautiful". But it's still damn scary.

    • @motordyne_super37
      @motordyne_super37 3 месяца назад

      From experience is it’s both cool asf and worry some

  • @cannon3267
    @cannon3267 Год назад +2

    seems to me hitting a kinzal with a patrioit would be like going to the drag strip, standing at the finish line, and trying to hit a dragster going 300 MPH with a slingshot. if you are beside the track, it would be next to impossible. if you are standing in the middle of the track, very easy. and the closer to the middle of the track you are, so you don't get run over, the higher the likelyhood of a hit you have.

    • @MaxIsStrange1
      @MaxIsStrange1 Год назад

      Exactly. That’s why the Patriot has the highest probability of kill when it itself is the target.

    • @pogo1140
      @pogo1140 Год назад

      works even better when you are on the track with the missile headed directly at you

  • @LuizBarros99
    @LuizBarros99 Год назад +5

    Cap, it was also claimed that six more Kinzhals were shot down a couple of days later after that first claimed Kinzhal shooting down.

    • @haythemsandel8303
      @haythemsandel8303 Год назад

      The ukrainians always shoot down 200 out of 20 fired Russian missiles what a comedy show

  • @xXrandomryzeXx
    @xXrandomryzeXx Год назад

    What could probably not be simulated was the warhead of the patriot. Normally it's a shrapnel warhead made to destroy aircraft so what could the effects of that be on the kinzhal?

    • @ChucksSEADnDEAD
      @ChucksSEADnDEAD Год назад

      If I'm not mistaken the PAC-3 is hit to kill, the PAC-2 is a directed frag warhead that selects the direction of the target in respect to the missile. Instead of launching a spherical cloud of shrapnel, it's more of a directed shotgun blast to increase damage against missiles

  • @bcorlis1
    @bcorlis1 Год назад +10

    I'll comment here the same thing I commented last time you did this: Kinzhal cannot fly like a LASER straight at its target at hypersonic speed. It will have to take a high-altitude ballistic trajectory to achieve anything like Mach 6 at impact (I'm skeptical that it could ever achieve this kind of impact velocity.) That would give Patriot much more time to react, and using standard doctrine of two PAC-3 missiles per target, I would be confident in real life Patriot could fairly easily defend a single building like this (although it would be quite expensive.)
    I don't know much about Kinzhal navigation system, but it almost certainly is not using GPS or any optically-based navigation (if it is actually traveling through atmosphere at hypersonic speed, which I am skeptical of), which implies an inertial guidance system that may date back to the (?)1980s when the missile was developed... My point being that I have my doubts as to whether it could hit a building-sized target, irrespective of the Patriot site defending said target.

    • @OG_Mac79
      @OG_Mac79 Год назад +2

      From my interpretation of the specs it can only get mach 6 in the extreme heights of the stratosphere and has to slow down or the plasma formed would melt it.

    • @alukret
      @alukret Год назад

      I think Ukrainians launch more than 2, at least 3.

    • @gotindrachenhart
      @gotindrachenhart Год назад

      From what they said in the video the game engine seems to not be able to model that kind of flight path. So they're doing the best with what they've got.

  • @sunny-sq6ci
    @sunny-sq6ci Год назад +2

    this exercise was great. the funky thing about all this, we know this happened in real life, it's been confirmed that that patriot system did knock down the missiles. but I'm not 100% that we can replicate the exact conditions that allowed that to happen. do we even know if the patriot system is even designed to track and hit hypersonic missiles?

    • @HAL_9001
      @HAL_9001 Год назад

      Patriot PAC3 was designed to do exactly this.

    • @davidajayi1207
      @davidajayi1207 Год назад

      It’s not even a modern hypersonic missle. Its an air launched iskander that’s why it can reach out to 1500km but it’s just a ballistic missle at the end of the day. it’s basically a medium ballistic missle that is an air launched variant of a short range one.

    • @alexventrov6826
      @alexventrov6826 4 месяца назад

      Lmfao where has it been "confirmed"? The Ukrainians themselves denied it when those fake images were first circling. You clowns are something else.

  • @sullyfubar
    @sullyfubar Год назад +1

    In what world are these being fired from 45mi away?

  • @Robert53area
    @Robert53area Год назад

    Most reports I have is that the patriots fired all there missles, but the missles did hit their targets and blew up 2 of the 30 patriot sights, which is stated by the Ukrainian defense Minister

  • @mattseller148
    @mattseller148 Год назад +1

    Ukraine does not have PAC-3 MSE to the best of what we know, they have the older PAC-3 CRI.

  • @Boomer-ri7du
    @Boomer-ri7du Год назад

    Why didn't rhe Patriot battery engage the Backfire?

  • @jim.franklin
    @jim.franklin Год назад

    As an additional comment - you would see vapour trails from hypersonic aircraft or missiles in the lower atmosphere as their exhaust plume causes condensation of water onto fuel particals in the exhaust stream - the missiles will heat, they will likely get to about 200°C on the nose cone but not hot enough to cause a visible glow, even at night. Missles at this speed will, to the eye, appear like sound waves - they are travelling so fast that the missle will be ahead of the visible trail behind it so you would never, or rarfely, see the missle before impact.
    With regards the meteor entering the atmosphere - the trail you see is a combination of ionised atmospheric particles, ionised vaporised material from the object and chemicl reactions caused by the frictional heating of the whole object as it barrels into the atmosphere at anything from 20km/s (44,500mph) -120km/s (268,450mph) depending on its velocity and orbit in relation to Earth. The kinetic energy on impact is what does the damage if it survives to the ground - the material the object is made from determines how large it needs to be for it to impact the ground at crater forming velocities - so although slowed by the atmoshere, it still needs a speed in excess of 8km/s (17,800mph) to form an ejector type crater (these are up to 20 times the of the impacting object) as oppose to an inert impacting crater (not much wider that the impactor - similar to what a training bomb would make on the ground)

  • @davidschultz3585
    @davidschultz3585 Год назад

    The graphics are odd because they show a PAC3-MSE. Same front end as a PAC3 but a revised (larger) motor and fins.
    The PAC2 has difficulties with missiles because it uses a fragmentation warhead. The plan being to get close to target and hit it with one or more fragments. Works well against soft targets like airplanes but not so well against missiles. For one, a good chunk of the missile is the empty motor case. Poke a hole in that and you might as well have missed.
    The PAC3 on the other hand was built for this. It flies out under aerodynamic control and when it gets close to the target, activates its radar and spins up. The spin so that the ACMs will be rotating into a desired position. Otherwise you risk expending all on one side and running out.
    Testing of the PAC3 has of course happened against both airbreathing and balistic missile targets. Does the Kllljoy have better or worse performance than a Juno?
    ruclips.net/video/4HvAuIi02AE/видео.html&embeds_referring_euri=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com%2F&source_ve_path=MzY4NDIsMjg2NjY&feature=emb_logo

  • @GegeDxD
    @GegeDxD Год назад

    It's possible only if your system needs advertisement to not embarrasse even more.

  • @S1lv3r4do
    @S1lv3r4do Год назад +1

    So 75% PK assuming max advertised speed of the incoming missiles. Wondering how realistic is it to assume that speed?

    • @rebelliousfew
      @rebelliousfew Год назад +1

      It’s absolutely realistic.

    • @slimlacy2
      @slimlacy2 Год назад +1

      @@rebelliousfew the max speed is the cruise speed though. At + mach3 it becomes very VERY hard to be inside the atmosphere. At around mach 5 your missiles begin to plasma and melt at 10km altitude. At mach 10 it melts VERY fast, so fast, its called disintegrating rather than melting.
      The video from the Kyiv is quite obviously not a Kinzhal strike. At least not a functioning one.
      There's no sonic boom, so sub mach1 and there's nothing visible flying in. Even at slow speed that doesn't make the nose red (white) hot, we'd see the exhaust of these missiles if they're not just falling. And if they're "just falling" they're not moving very fast near earths surface before striking.
      Not to mention there's like a 4 min cut AFTER the Patriot fires. Yet Russia says they did indeed fire Kinzhals. So why were they so slow?

    • @alexventrov6826
      @alexventrov6826 4 месяца назад

      @@slimlacy2 Are you dense? " THere wAs nO sOniC b00m " lmfao, do you not understand what a sonic boom is? It's not a constant, it only happens after a certain velocity has been reached.
      As for the materials melting, this is what the U.S struggles with in trying to copy Russia. They simply don't have the materials that Russia uses to keep their missiles intact at those velocities.

  • @thomasafb
    @thomasafb Год назад

    speaking of the Space Shuttle, a hypersonic missile would probably look like a reentry of a Shuttle than a meteor….

  • @sidharthcs2110
    @sidharthcs2110 Год назад +1

    Do the kinzhal system have decoys?

  • @madarius76
    @madarius76 Год назад +6

    Keep in mind the Pac 3 is listed as mach 4 for its unclassified number but even the Taiwan clone does mach 7.

    • @MaxIsStrange1
      @MaxIsStrange1 Год назад +8

      Yeah, even an official infographic from Raytheon demonstrating how the system works, what are its elements, etc. listed BOTH the PAC-2 GEM/T and the PAC-3 MSE as going “MACH 5+”
      (I tried to get that info to CurrentHill but I was unsuccessful so I hope that he at least notices your comment)

    • @pogo1140
      @pogo1140 Год назад +3

      heck the interceptor could be going Mach 2 and still hit the Khinzal as long as the launcher is in front of the missile when it launches the interceptor.
      When you are the target, you're in front of the missile, funny that.

    • @MaxIsStrange1
      @MaxIsStrange1 Год назад +1

      @@pogo1140 Very true but it seems like the speed surely helps with reaction time

  • @jim.franklin
    @jim.franklin Год назад +2

    Russia claims the KH-47M2 Kinzhal has a range of up to 2000km and a speed of Mach 10 - however, satellite tracking of both test and active operational launches suggest the real speed is around is around Mach 4, so at the lower end of hypersonic flight, further, the range is believed to be around 1200km at best, although the longest reported track is less than 800km.
    A missile at this speed is not as hard to intercept as you may think, many missle defence systems are able to intecept large artillery shells all the way up to aircraft - as long as the missile guidance has a good solution, the intercepting missile only need to be able to meet the incoming missile. As the SAM has a head that is a shrapnel charge, it only needs to be reasionably close for a small number of shrapnell fragments to impact the missle to do immense damage due to the kinetic energy of the impacts.
    The satellite tracks of those used in Ukraine were launched about 250km from the impact site - this would give plenty of time for a 3D image of the battle space from carious sensor systems to plot a probable projectile path and allow interception.
    Remember, the Serbs used a WWII era German radar to approximate the position of an F117 and shoot it down during the Balkan conflict....If man can make it - another can break it.

    • @LondonSteveLee
      @LondonSteveLee Год назад

      "Remember, the Serbs used a WWII era German radar to approximate the position of an F117 and shoot it down during the Balkan conflict....If man can make it - another can break it."
      What really killed the F-117 was a two-man outfit from Cambridge with a three suitcase (four if you count the laptop) in-the-field passive aircraft detection system (looking for moving holes in background radio clutter) - the company (was) disappeared overnight and all online presence of them deleted after the F-177A was brought down - they had to go further afield for customers after the MoD rejected them - and the rest is (not!) history. I hope the team ended up working for BAe rather than pushing up daisies! The widely spread account of this operation is a false story - still, it made the commander famous and wealthy. And the Serbs in the field did an amazing job of translating the co-ordinates into something their systems understood.

  • @KNETTWERX
    @KNETTWERX Год назад +2

    The launchers would be much more dispersed over a wide area, which could have an effect on the effectiveness in real life.

    • @warsuitgaming8692
      @warsuitgaming8692 Год назад

      "Local" sites (i.e. ones where the launchers are wired directly to the ECS via fiber-optic cables) can have launchers as far as 1.2km away from the ECS. Thats, to put it lightly, a *very* big footprint

    • @KNETTWERX
      @KNETTWERX Год назад

      @@warsuitgaming8692 technically at that size footprint you could take it out with one missile, a good sized nuclear one. I am not an expert on the patriot system, but I think I have heard somewhere that they can be spread out even further. Of course they would not be wired in further out.

    • @warsuitgaming8692
      @warsuitgaming8692 Год назад

      @@KNETTWERX I work with the system myself, and yes they can be much further out in remote site setups, up to a few dozen km between the furthest launchers and the ECS.

    • @KNETTWERX
      @KNETTWERX Год назад

      @@warsuitgaming8692 I am not the most knowledgeable on AA systems, other than identifying them. When I was in I was anti armor and know a lot about tanks, IFV’s, apc’s, and the weapons to destroy them. I do know a decent amount on ships as well. However AA systems I never spent too much time on other than identifying and destroy first to call in CAS.

  • @jdickson1234
    @jdickson1234 Год назад

    Good question. Hypersonic might look like a meteor?

  • @tropicalparsoon
    @tropicalparsoon Год назад +3

    Can any fighter carry 4 kinshal missiles? I fucking doubt it!!

    • @Vanja_03
      @Vanja_03 Год назад +3

      Good thing then that Tu22 isn't a fighter

    • @Just_A_Random_Desk
      @Just_A_Random_Desk Год назад +2

      The Tu-22 is more of a tactical bomber.

    • @Jean-Seb
      @Jean-Seb Год назад

      I believe they can carry 6 but perhaps I'm thinking of the Tu-160 which can carry 8.

    • @alukret
      @alukret Год назад

      Mig-31 carries only one

  • @TheonlyHostName
    @TheonlyHostName Год назад +2

    I know you want to show us what happens if the specs are at their maximum reported stats, but we are talking about russia here and specifically weapons that are not even replicated by the USA.
    Hypersonic weapons need to be able to locate their target and identify it. Sure the kinzhal very likely will travel for a lot of its trajactory at over mach 5. But it needs to slow down at the end for target identification. This cannot happen at mach 5. Since A: identification of target simply needs time. B: (Apoint you guys mentioned, but it needs to be mentioned and expressed for all to see) A plasma sheath occurs at this altitude and speed. These things are blackout of all sensor vision and communication. The vehicle is blind at this point. These blackouts happen at specific speeds depending on altitude. The higher the vehicle the faster it can be without this happening. But the speed i've heared and read about for the last phase of the trajactory seem to suggest around Mach 5. The kinzhal can therefore only fly at around Mach 4 at the point when it matters for the patriots to shoot them down.
    Also love what you guys are doing. Your channel has given me a far greater understanding of how Air combat works in the modern day and why technology is so important in this field. Keep up the great work:)
    Ohh btw they used the PAC 3 CRI not MSE version

  • @wyunaboy
    @wyunaboy Год назад

    To be fair, Russia combines Khinzal with many drones and Kalibr cruise missiles.

  • @letsdebate839
    @letsdebate839 Год назад

    Yep

  • @eastcoastsailingcenter7768
    @eastcoastsailingcenter7768 2 месяца назад

    they have made missiles which deploy decoys

  • @andis.1722
    @andis.1722 Год назад

    can you try pls with all starter in position 90° and 180° to the incoming missels

    • @LondonSteveLee
      @LondonSteveLee Год назад

      You're not going to turn a missile doing mach 5+ that hard from a single launch point.

  • @nmymj
    @nmymj Год назад

    kinzhal launched from mig-31k already has an initial speed which can be over mach 2.5
    its impact speed can go well over mach 6
    mach 6 is about its minimal top speed

  • @FullbackZero
    @FullbackZero Год назад +10

    It can.

    • @dowgy177
      @dowgy177 Год назад +6

      It has.

    • @Nealetony
      @Nealetony Год назад +7

      It will again.

    • @alexventrov6826
      @alexventrov6826 4 месяца назад

      No it can't lmao. The Ukrainians themselves came out and said it can't be done and they've never shot them down.

    • @FullbackZero
      @FullbackZero 4 месяца назад

      @@alexventrov6826 I have seen destroyed Khinzhal myself mate. They did. Patriot did.

    • @alexventrov6826
      @alexventrov6826 4 месяца назад

      @@FullbackZero 😂 I'm sure you have

  • @mr.starks
    @mr.starks Год назад

    What if the units were spread out??

  • @hughmungus2760
    @hughmungus2760 Год назад

    The design of a maneuvering hypersonic weapon designed to hit static targets isn't hard, it would rely on inertial guidance and perform pre-programmed maneuvers regardless of what plasma effects might have on them.
    The only contention is with active guidance but its generally acknowledged that the plasma buildup with hypersonic weapons can be overcome with various engineering solutions.

  • @ObiWanShinobi917
    @ObiWanShinobi917 Год назад +1

    It helps when you factor in U.S. intelligence and data link. .
    NATO has AWACs on deployment at all times just outside of the russian Border. It can detect and relay missile launches from Russia only a few seconds after they've been launched.
    That data is then transmitted to the Patriots, which have all the time in the world to gather a firing solution, and take out the threat at max range.

    • @limanac111
      @limanac111 Год назад

      Did they have those AWACS when Sadam was launching Scuds?

    • @ObiWanShinobi917
      @ObiWanShinobi917 Год назад

      ​@@limanac111Radar technology in Sadam's time was massively inferior to today's.
      Not sure what the point of that question in.

  • @herrzimm
    @herrzimm Год назад

    Also, let's not forget that NOBODY who ever said that the Patriot system was "perfect" actually USED the Patriot system. Everyone who has used it will tell you right away that it is "better than most", but that doesn't mean that it can't be beaten by incoming missiles. Especially when you consider that it was originally designed to take down PLANES/HELICOPTERS, not missiles. It just happened that it could do that better than anything available at the time, and has been improved over the years in various ways to do even better.
    ALSO, DSC has it's own limitations. So there should be a slight "grain of salt" using it to determine Real-World applications, since a lot of the information they use from programming is either "out of date" data, or "unknown" due to being classified.
    Even so, a pretty good showing against something that has been hailed as "unstoppable" by some, even if there is a bit of wiggle-room as far as accuracy of performance on both sides.

  • @MultiSciGeek
    @MultiSciGeek Год назад

    Damn this looks exciting. Can you do more of such simulations? Like Iraq C-RAMS or Israel Iron Dome? Like plz simulate more than just one plane, do a full scale attack against a city with multiple (but REALISTIC) defence systems.

  • @alanholck7995
    @alanholck7995 Год назад

    I think one solution is to find a way to take out the Tu-22 launch aircraft. I realize that this is easy to say on the internet, and would require devoting tremendous resources, some of which Ukraine likely doesn’t yet possess.
    Perhaps the real value of a KH-47 is as a resource-diverter, like the BGM-109G GLCM, in which case Ukraine shouldn’t fall for the bait.

  • @MG-xm3yv
    @MG-xm3yv Год назад +11

    Great channel guys, apparently this missile is a lie it’s not hyper sonic the 3 inventors of this missile have been arrested for treason, can remember the Sam name but it’s the same missile apparently??

    • @rebelliousfew
      @rebelliousfew Год назад +2

      But, it is? What do you people listen to?

    • @ashblythe9598
      @ashblythe9598 Год назад +3

      @@rebelliousfew its hypersonic in the same sense as the 60's sprint missiles which was even faster (mach 24), we should call every ballistic missile a hypersonic misssile because russia said so? modern hypersonic missile has very different meaning in the US

    • @dm1i
      @dm1i Год назад

      ​@@ashblythe9598 That is why it's quasi-ballistic missile, not a ballistic and this makes it different. Maneuvering on such speeds is not a common thing yet.

  • @armchairgeneral7557
    @armchairgeneral7557 Год назад +4

    Sandbox did a video on this debate and he provides info that makes it appear that patriot did shoot it down. Remember, a lot of experts don’t classify kinzal as hypersonic missile, but a ballistic which patriots are capable of shooting down. ruclips.net/video/RsZLJ59qtaU/видео.html

    • @davidajayi1207
      @davidajayi1207 Год назад

      It apparently shot down 6/6. But the debris from one of the missles hit a patriot launcher but it’s back and operating rn.

    • @alberthenriette8976
      @alberthenriette8976 Год назад

      Sand box is a Ukraine asset that denied any scientific progress if it's Russia. it's not an independent source😂

  • @delpiero7563
    @delpiero7563 Год назад

    is it a mod? where is it?

  • @michaelernst3731
    @michaelernst3731 Год назад

    It would be GREAT if he can model in the THAAD missiles. Since this is what THAAD is meant for.

  • @nordwind8689
    @nordwind8689 Год назад

    The whole antiair system look in the same direction. ... huh!? That's not how the world works.