I had the same thought that Buehler would be a good fit for the Red Sox, but I had not considered his pitch arsenal. Simply having colder weather in Boston could allow his movement to be closer to his 2024 postseason performances in New York.
great video! love the mix of visuals, statistics, and analysis! hope to see some more signings soon. that shota imanaga pronunciation is kind of egregious though, it's not eh-MAH-nuh-guh, it's more ee-muh-NAH-guh, with an emphasis on the "nah" not the "ma" part of his last name.
@@piratessuckattrading4828i agree, it's rare. Makes the 2017 dodgers who had 126 out of 162 starts go to lefties, stand out. In fact from 2016-2018 they had a majority of LHP starters.
@@piratessuckattrading4828at the same time, the dodgers won the ws this year with only righties. As long as the delivery and shape is different and the stuff is there, it should be fine
True! Meant that more as like "their 3 best pitchers are LHPs." If they get Fried, they'll like split up their arms. But I think the same question still applies as to whether seeing that unique cut shapes twice in 3 days helps or hurts.
Was thinking about a video that I think would be really interesting- Going through each team and describing their pitching/development philosophy Could also add maybe a prospect in their system or potential FA that fits their philosophy best
I like it! Will definitely consider I did something kinda like this earlier this year and the prior year as well. Basically more of a check-in… BEST MiLB Pitching Philosophy? (2024 Update) | Yankees, Dodgers, Rays, White Sox & More! ruclips.net/video/KEda32ZJbR4/видео.html
A left handed dominant starting rotations if each starter is good if the bullpen is primarily loaded with right handed dominant relievers. Lineups are usually optimized for opposite handed splits so when a team transitions to a right handed bullpen arm they will be given a matchup advantage.
I don’t see any team giving a ‘big bag’ multi-year contract to Buehler. Too many unknowns. If it’s just a (1) year, second year club option deal, why wouldn’t he re-sign with the Dodgers?
Fantasy guys have talked about Griffin Canning being near the top of the league in swinging strike rate. I think that’s what it was anyway. Please break down how he will be an ace for the Braves.
Canning was like 55th in swinging-strike rate, so I'm unsure where you got that nugget? He's gonna probably lean into the sweeper he flashed at the end of last season with the Angels. Throw less 4S, secondary command there is strong. Likely not an ace, but if he's a league average to above-league average pitcher (4-4.3 ERA) I think they'll take that.
This video really has made me curious about what the Tigers secret sauce was this season. I know our fanbase considers our pitching coach a wizard, but what was it they were seeing in these minor league guys who were statistically playing average at best and ungodly in the majors? How does this affect free agents they either move on from or acquire?
They have some smart people in their org, Fetter is great but it’s not just him. Robin Lund the asst pitching coach is super sharp. I think Harris just knows how to hire and that’s converted into having a great integration of biomech and pitch development. I expect them to be a clear top half pitching org team for a while. They’re kinda like BAL, where I don’t think there’s *one* specific thing they do amazing (like LAD/CLE with velo, TB with hard sliders and pitch design, etc) but they do a lot really well.
Yeah! Could be for sure. Or at least, they give him less money from the angle of "hey, this is all we have, if you want to come here, you gotta take a pay cut relative to the field." Sasaki isn't going to cost much and they're already talking 6-man.
Idk how that would matter. Firstly Sasaki would get a minor league contract no more than 7 million but more likely 2.5 mil. So it's not going to affect payroll. Dodgers are going to go to a 6 man rotation with Ohtani coming back next year. So it won't affect it in a way from the standpoint of having too many pitchers. Dodgers had like 7 starter pitchers on the IL so they tend to overload on starting pitching anyway.
I think it's fascinating for a sport that uses a ton of analytics that no one's really thought to use analytics to determine what teams players go to during free agency it's a good video
I don't think that's a Cub's philosophy as much as it is a Breslow philosophy, as all the points you're making here about fast balls with break and sweepers have made it's way to Boston. Boston's rotation is also full of righties, so it makes sense that Boston is going to be looking for at least one lefty option.
In a way, sure. But I think that when Breslow left they didn’t just scrap everything he believed in. His imprints are still on the org. Breslow and Bailey are throwing so few 4S with BOS and CHC still throw a good amount through the minors. So I’d almost argue, in a way, perhaps Breslow brought some ideas and Bailey brought others.
Kinda seems to me like everybody is just assuming the Dodgers get all these SPs (Fried, Sasaki, Buehler, etc). And that just seems unlikely to me. My impression of the Cubs is that they’d spend in mid tier market (Eovaldi, Kikuchi, etc) or through trade. So while I think they’d be a fit, I bet another team offers more.
do you think the nationals should make a big fa pitching signing or trade for someone this off-season, or should they just use their home grown guys as a full rotation , example (gore, Irvin, Parker, herz, cavalli/williams if they resign or someone else
I don't think this is the year for them to add a big SP, I think they're another year or so off. But would be great for Gore, Herz to have big seasons. Gore in particular. Bieber would be kind of fun for them? Because you could be cautious with him this year, incentive-based contract, and then kind of unleash him in 2026?
@@LanceBroz I personally believe herz is severally underrated, I think he can be a huge part of our future pitching core, I don’t know why people don’t talk about him? Am I crazy for loving his upside and what he showed this year?
uhhh....no. Fried just had dinner with half the Dodgers roster, and he's from SoCal, so that's where he's going. Buehler has also made it quite clear he wants to stay in LA, so Dodgers sign both.
@@LanceBroz Even without Pivetta, they'd still have Houck, Bello, Crawford, and a returning Giolito. I don't know if they'd be willing to spend big for two more starters.
I think it's likely he'll end up back in LA but it's not a 100% certainty. With no QO attached, I would bet LA has leverage to not offer him what other teams would. So it's a matter of whether he'd take less money and how much less imo. I'd say 80% he's back with LA, 20% he's gone. This was more an exercise to point out Boston's fastball philosophy and how he'd fit in.
Yeah, good point! Feels like Bieber will get a pretty heavy incentive-based contract. I'm pretty bullish on him, I liked his changes in the small sample before his TJ
This guy is underrated big time ! Mlb shows should give him a call
🙏🙏🙏
Fantastic breakdown. I love that you didn’t just base it on the hot stove talks
I had the same thought that Buehler would be a good fit for the Red Sox, but I had not considered his pitch arsenal. Simply having colder weather in Boston could allow his movement to be closer to his 2024 postseason performances in New York.
Fantastic, quality video. No fluff, solid data, fantastic insights. Thank you!!!
Thanks!
great video! love the mix of visuals, statistics, and analysis! hope to see some more signings soon.
that shota imanaga pronunciation is kind of egregious though, it's not eh-MAH-nuh-guh, it's more ee-muh-NAH-guh, with an emphasis on the "nah" not the "ma" part of his last name.
Yep, I slipped up on the pronunciation, apologies
Thanks for watching!
If you're worried about similar shape in back to back starters, why not pitch Shota in between Steele and Fried starts?
Teams don’t often like 3 lefty’s in a row
@@piratessuckattrading4828i agree, it's rare. Makes the 2017 dodgers who had 126 out of 162 starts go to lefties, stand out. In fact from 2016-2018 they had a majority of LHP starters.
@@piratessuckattrading4828at the same time, the dodgers won the ws this year with only righties.
As long as the delivery and shape is different and the stuff is there, it should be fine
True! Meant that more as like "their 3 best pitchers are LHPs."
If they get Fried, they'll like split up their arms. But I think the same question still applies as to whether seeing that unique cut shapes twice in 3 days helps or hurts.
called the buehler signing good work!
Great video!
Love these videos, so much great info!
Was thinking about a video that I think would be really interesting-
Going through each team and describing their pitching/development philosophy
Could also add maybe a prospect in their system or potential FA that fits their philosophy best
I like it! Will definitely consider
I did something kinda like this earlier this year and the prior year as well. Basically more of a check-in…
BEST MiLB Pitching Philosophy? (2024 Update) | Yankees, Dodgers, Rays, White Sox & More!
ruclips.net/video/KEda32ZJbR4/видео.html
@ Oh awesome, definitely giving that a watch!
Interesting approach
You are so locked in Lance. Keep cooking
🫡🫡🫡
Getting into the weeds! I love this kind of shit!
I'll miss Fried with my team but we've more or less known he was moving on for a few years.
🫡🫡🫡
A left handed dominant starting rotations if each starter is good if the bullpen is primarily loaded with right handed dominant relievers. Lineups are usually optimized for opposite handed splits so when a team transitions to a right handed bullpen arm they will be given a matchup advantage.
Well that is the Cubs given they have 1 LHP reliever right now and he finished at season on the IL haha
Interesting angle and done really well
Appreciated!
If I hear correctly, cold weather affecting Buehler, then maybe Boston, or teams affected by cold weather is a good fit.
This is a really cool spin on free agency rumors
Thanks!
I don’t see any team giving a ‘big bag’ multi-year contract to Buehler. Too many unknowns. If it’s just a (1) year, second year club option deal, why wouldn’t he re-sign with the Dodgers?
Fantasy guys have talked about Griffin Canning being near the top of the league in swinging strike rate. I think that’s what it was anyway. Please break down how he will be an ace for the Braves.
Canning was like 55th in swinging-strike rate, so I'm unsure where you got that nugget?
He's gonna probably lean into the sweeper he flashed at the end of last season with the Angels. Throw less 4S, secondary command there is strong.
Likely not an ace, but if he's a league average to above-league average pitcher (4-4.3 ERA) I think they'll take that.
@ it was prior to this year. He wet the bed this year. I remember Degrom just ahead of him on the list.
This video really has made me curious about what the Tigers secret sauce was this season. I know our fanbase considers our pitching coach a wizard, but what was it they were seeing in these minor league guys who were statistically playing average at best and ungodly in the majors? How does this affect free agents they either move on from or acquire?
They have some smart people in their org, Fetter is great but it’s not just him. Robin Lund the asst pitching coach is super sharp. I think Harris just knows how to hire and that’s converted into having a great integration of biomech and pitch development.
I expect them to be a clear top half pitching org team for a while.
They’re kinda like BAL, where I don’t think there’s *one* specific thing they do amazing (like LAD/CLE with velo, TB with hard sliders and pitch design, etc) but they do a lot really well.
Fried is from California and the Dodgers need a lefty. Just sayin….
You got Buehler!
YES!
I don't know how you can trick with to many similar types pitchers.
Whether the dodgers give buehler a multi year contract is probably more sasaki based, don’t you think?
Yeah! Could be for sure. Or at least, they give him less money from the angle of "hey, this is all we have, if you want to come here, you gotta take a pay cut relative to the field." Sasaki isn't going to cost much and they're already talking 6-man.
Idk how that would matter. Firstly Sasaki would get a minor league contract no more than 7 million but more likely 2.5 mil. So it's not going to affect payroll. Dodgers are going to go to a 6 man rotation with Ohtani coming back next year. So it won't affect it in a way from the standpoint of having too many pitchers. Dodgers had like 7 starter pitchers on the IL so they tend to overload on starting pitching anyway.
I think it's fascinating for a sport that uses a ton of analytics that no one's really thought to use analytics to determine what teams players go to during free agency it's a good video
Horton coming up sometime this year would be so big for this team
Yeah, curious to see how aggressive they are with his IP in 2025 given his injuries.
I don't think that's a Cub's philosophy as much as it is a Breslow philosophy, as all the points you're making here about fast balls with break and sweepers have made it's way to Boston. Boston's rotation is also full of righties, so it makes sense that Boston is going to be looking for at least one lefty option.
In a way, sure. But I think that when Breslow left they didn’t just scrap everything he believed in. His imprints are still on the org.
Breslow and Bailey are throwing so few 4S with BOS and CHC still throw a good amount through the minors.
So I’d almost argue, in a way, perhaps Breslow brought some ideas and Bailey brought others.
Do you think if the Dodgers and Cubs offers to him are competitive he picks LA because his roots there?
Kinda seems to me like everybody is just assuming the Dodgers get all these SPs (Fried, Sasaki, Buehler, etc). And that just seems unlikely to me.
My impression of the Cubs is that they’d spend in mid tier market (Eovaldi, Kikuchi, etc) or through trade. So while I think they’d be a fit, I bet another team offers more.
do you think the nationals should make a big fa pitching signing or trade for someone this off-season, or should they just use their home grown guys as a full rotation , example (gore, Irvin, Parker, herz, cavalli/williams if they resign or someone else
And do you have any personal opinions on any of the nats young pitchers that you think differs from what most people think or isn’t talked about much
What is Susana's ETA and projected role?
I don't think this is the year for them to add a big SP, I think they're another year or so off. But would be great for Gore, Herz to have big seasons. Gore in particular.
Bieber would be kind of fun for them? Because you could be cautious with him this year, incentive-based contract, and then kind of unleash him in 2026?
Sykora is a funky righty I like. Susana is probably a tad underrated by the market given velo and performance.
@@LanceBroz I personally believe herz is severally underrated, I think he can be a huge part of our future pitching core, I don’t know why people don’t talk about him? Am I crazy for loving his upside and what he showed this year?
Walker you are a Detroit Tiger 😏😏😏.
Flaherty re-signing with the Dodgers is highly unlikely if they land Sasaki.
Buehler!!
you better be getting consulting fees from Jed!
Lol
Won't the sox get lucas giolito back? I think they may be hoping for him rather than buehler.
Giolito replaces Pivetta (assuming Pivetta doesn’t take the QO) and they’d still have an open spot
Cub will not spend the required money for either Fried and Buehler. Fried want to go to west coast (ie Dodgers)
Cubs are the favorite in betting markets right now.
Dodgers can’t have all the free agents! That’s not how it works 😂
Thumbnail did not age well
You take that back if Buehler goes to BOS!
uhhh....no. Fried just had dinner with half the Dodgers roster, and he's from SoCal, so that's where he's going. Buehler has also made it quite clear he wants to stay in LA, so Dodgers sign both.
Fried or Manea to Baltimore!
I could see that. LF plays so deep there they’d both be great fits
If Willy goes to y'all I STG
I don't think the Red Sox are going to be able to sell Walker Buehler to fans as their big off-season pitching addition.
True! He could be part of multiple moves if they don't get Pivetta back, they'd have a few open spots.
Maybe Fried + Buehler? That would do it.
@@LanceBroz Even without Pivetta, they'd still have Houck, Bello, Crawford, and a returning Giolito. I don't know if they'd be willing to spend big for two more starters.
What soft tossing lefty starter will the Pirates fix this year, and why is it Cole Irvin? 😂
L O L
These are the comments I live for on my channel 😂
shota ee mah naa gah? seriously? II MA NA GA
Slip up by me! Apologies
Can’t believe I didn’t catch it in my edit
fans arent experts on players and where theyll likely end up. buehler isnt leaving la. he said so himself
I think it's likely he'll end up back in LA but it's not a 100% certainty. With no QO attached, I would bet LA has leverage to not offer him what other teams would. So it's a matter of whether he'd take less money and how much less imo.
I'd say 80% he's back with LA, 20% he's gone. This was more an exercise to point out Boston's fastball philosophy and how he'd fit in.
I’d say Shane Bieber is a tier regardless off his Tommy John
Yeah, good point! Feels like Bieber will get a pretty heavy incentive-based contract. I'm pretty bullish on him, I liked his changes in the small sample before his TJ