Philip Ingram - Putin is Making Little Headway in his War, but does he Understand he's now Losing?
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- Опубликовано: 4 июл 2024
- Philip Ingram is a journalist and consultant who has built on a long and senior military career as an intelligence, counterintelligence, security officer, and planner. Philip has extensive business experience, especially in steel manufacturing, and has set up companies from scratch, merged companies, taken over companies post sale assets. He also has extensive media experience, appearing on the BBC, Sky News and Radio networks, international networks including Al Jazeera, TRT World, CNN, ABC, CBC, Japanese NTV and many others.
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I’ve been watching Since beginning it’s with heart felt emotion and rage just been a profound effect on me and my opinion of Russia I’ve never Trusted Russia being a child of the 60’s it’s made me love Ukraine and the people who defend there land and people at a highest cost to them and they continue stand strong so much respect
Here! Here!
Hear! Hear! Beautifully expressed. Thanks
Alot of blame can go to the western nations and Nato !
@@barb.gerhard9501 so botkin, now blame everyone else but invader for invasion.
Typical Kremlin media narrative.
It's getting kinda repetitive, ya losers.
Hear Hear
It's like this as i see it, the Russian Bear has been caught and chained, and like any wild animal it continues to flail around wildly with a fiery look in it's eyes, after some time it pretends to have calmed down and pleads for ceasefire, but we all know damn well if you release any of the chains holding it down it will strike while your in range, so it has to remain chained until it finally retreats into it's own cage.
Exactly that.
Projection - look at the demeanor of Putin compared to the western 'leaders'. Putin is calm, collected and totally within his comfort zone. You guys are delusional.
Excellent analagy.
Colonel Ingram is a great guest, I always like to hear what he has to say, but I take issue with the comparison of "russia" breaking up making the former Yugoslavia look like a "Sunday school picnic", my father's Bosnian side were all ethnically cleansed from their home town of Bosanski Novi 35 years ago almost, and are now all over the world in Canada, the USA & Australia. They can never go back as Bosanski Novi is now in Republika Srpska and renamed "Novi Grad". No "Sunday School picnic" for them. The USSR had 40,000 nukes (yes, 40,000 google it) when it broke up in 1991 without any major wars like in Yugoslavia, so why is the break up of "russia" with a piddling 7,000 nukes a "huge worry" ? The world community dealt with that ok and here in Ukraine we do not consider the breakup of "russia" a huge worry, but a must or they will just keep doing the same 💩 they always do. Like the USSR, "russia" must go! No ifs or buts.
I tend to agree, and the shouldn’t let the fear of Russian breakup limit our support for Ukraine. I’m sorry to hear about your family’s experience.
@@SiliconCurtain Cheers Jonathon, they have rebuilt their lives since so it's all good in those aforementioned great countries they went to. On another note with the nukes, if you look at a distribution map of where they are located in russia, there are none whatsoever in southern russia, and for good reason. Therefore, there is no chance the Kadyrov clan will ever get their hands on any nukes if russia breaks up! Ditto for say, Azerbaijan getting some to pass on to Iran etc.
Agree
@SiliconCurtain you're wrong.
Well said
Philip Ingram makes a lot of sense of the drip-feed of equipment. The main problem is our own lack of readiness for this scale of conflict.
Very astute observation.
Very True. But also the West's cowardice. These punks should be defeated by now if if the West had a pair of balls.
It makes sense, but I’d be surprised if it was the planned intent behind the drip feed.
@@devonglide1830nonsense
I don't think he did. He repeated reasons that Americans and Germans gave in the past, some of which are nonsensical, such as china will attack Taiwan if Russia falls apart; some of which has been disproven and he was contradictory there himself (time for training).. he didn't really go into the parts that were hopes to get back into economic ties afterwards (Germany), or the fear of being the ones who pay more than others (also Germany and rightfully so), etc. etc. Most about the global economic impact of a collapsing Russia was just wild guess work and inconsistent rambling.
Love listening to philip. Thanks, good choice.
Good points made on Russian covert ops.
Look at the trends in his "peace proposals". He knows he's lost.
I heard he is willing to share Crimea lol. he knows
@@bdub1934
Where did you hear that?
Ukraine isn't.
Surely 🤡. That is why Ukraine grabs people from the streets to send them to the front. To see the great Ukrainian victory...
Thank you, Jonathan.
Support from Indonesia.
👍👍👍
No need to broadcast this to Putin. Let him find out the hard way.
Putin is likely aware that his colossal vanity project is careening toward disaster. Everyone in his inner circle knows the same. But they all have to stay the course and pretend Dear Leader is in it to win it, if they know what's good for them.
And who knows? Maybe they'll pull it off anyway, through sheer stubbornness and blind luck, maybe with "hybrid warfare" shenanigans thrown in. A Trump win would be the ultimate UNO reverse card for Russia.
SHAME,SHAME,SHAME . on the West for withholding all the weapons that Ukraine needed, weapons that NATO armies would NEVER go to war against Russia without, BUT expect Ukraine to do so !!! HOW is it even possible that the WEST does not understand that PUTIN is the 2nd, HITLER ?????? History books written by hounest people will condemn the EU and US for Giving Putin 3 years to kidnap Ukraine children and for his soldiers to torture civilians in the basement of every village !!!!
AND NATO and the EU should have been training Ukraine's forces and pilots Much sooner.
The bottleneck in training is not pilots for the F16, it's ground crew. It takes 2 years to train the maintenance crew.
Why not split maintenance into routine/minor - done in Ukraine, and major/periodic - done in Romania or Poland with already trained technicians. Or is everything major with F16s?
F-16's require a large amount of minimal daily maintanance/diagnostics every flight to keep the craft in top shape.
Also proper hangers/bunkers and supply logistics have to be set up. Poland and others can handle major repair/maintanance, but daily is formidable.
Also radars and missle defence to restrict missles/drones from airspace.
Everything is major. The F-16 has very intensive maintenance requirements. Not as bad as a 5th Gen. But the bar is very high.
The Gripen is an arguably better option for Ukraine at this moment. It's MUCH easier to maintain. But Sweden wasn't in NATO at the start of the war, so they needed what they had. Plus, there are 6,000 F-16s in the world. Versus a couple hundred Gripen? (Not sure of exact figures on that.) Making spare parts cheap and easy to find for the F-16.
Ukraine will never get the F16s it's fanciful to think that they will at this stage.
Great work, Jonathan 💪🇺🇦🙏 🇺🇸
USA feeding Ukrainian men to the bear, USA as usual causing wars and chaos in the world
Well, let him lose ! I want Putin to lose
So do I - so much. The Ukrainians have shown the world what true bravery is, unlike the wobbly cosy West leaders.
That surely will happen if you want it strongly enough!🤡
Ukraine got played and lost
@@des_smith7658 Well, I would like to say that we never saw similar in history...
@@JaneSooleAbsolutely. Our politicians are a feeble lot.
Always heed Baltic wisdom.
Read "Inheriting the Bomb" by Marianna Budjeryn. She chronicles the de-nuclearization of SSRs after the dissolution of the USSR. It seemed scary at the time. But it went well. Although I suppose that Ukraine regrets it all now. Since they were sold out by all parties.
F16 takes 17 hours maintenance for every 1 hour of flight and costs $27,000 per flight hour, and can fly for 3-4 hours. So Ukraine will have a challenge keeping them in the air and protecting them on the ground.
To be fair, a big chunk of that cost is labour, which is many times cheaper in Ukraine.
Yup - upkeep for jets is labor-intensive: you can’t treat them like your grandpa’s old pickup…
It appears that much of the advanced maintenance will be done out of country, Poland etc.
Or, never at all. I doubt they'll ever make it back to Poland. They'll go the same way as Ukraines Su27's.
@@sickboy8682
Is anyone stupid enough to expect no losses? It is a war you know, right?
Brilliant guest. First time I've heard someone provide a balanced nuanced take on the whole war. Been too much of the "give them everything up front". Just not practical nor sensible. That said, weapons supply has been too slow at times, but that a different discussion. Too many people lose sight of who Ukraine is up against. They have to be ground down and that takes time.
The Australian Slinger is joining the Vampire 🦇. I hope it's successful.
I cannot understand how it can the west’s task to keep russia together.
Who in the West is doing that?
@@ak5659The guest speaker says we need to do that, and I disagree
@@matscarlsson2522
I also disagree, but I still think there are things to consider.
I couldn't care less about China invading Russia and securing resources. As far as I'm concerned they should do that right now.
On the other hand, six regional powers gaining control over nukes, rather than all of them being controlled from Moscow, are risks, and people generally hate change and risks.
Nuclear armed warlords who make putin look like a saint
Brilliant Philip & Jonathan 💖💖💖💖💖 Excellent video 💖💖💖💖💖
Absolutely fascinating guest, Jonathan.
Your discussion on possible russian misinformation seen in spikes in comments on web forums stands out for me.
An American friend of mine directed me towards a comment she had made congratulating Keir Starmer on his election win from an American supporter of Ukraine perspective. She was immediately trolled by pseudo British commentators who vehemently attacked America on 'behalf' of the UK. How do I know they were russian trolls? I called them out as russian trolls and not one came back at me.
Their sole function was to cause a rift between Americans and British.
This is what trolls do. They muddy the waters and create conflict.
Boy, this should be good! Can’t wait.
Can't wait
Biden, with his military advisors, and Speaker Mike Johnson should be required to meet the families who have lost fathers, husbands, brothers and other family members as a result of the delayed delivery of aid and the short deliveries of aid. Maybe if they had family members in Ukraine, that would change their attitudes.
Especially Johnson and MTG.
Thank you, Jonathan. Slava Ukraini 🇺🇦
Always really interesting listening to Ingram.
I agree with Ingram about the risks of an uncontrolled, rapid collapse of the Russian Federation. We need to manage their decline to be neither too slow, nor too fast.
Russians are used to a gangster culture where money and guns have primacy, a few warlords getting special treatement from the west would help to manage this breakdown
Lukewarm US support is not from political acceptability, it is because Putin intimidated the administration. Fear of nuclear escalation drove the foolish restriction to not allow attack on Russian soil. Same is true for long range fires, which could have knocked out the Kerch bridge two years ago, before Russia built the new rail line across southern Ukraine. This would have made supply of Kherson and Crimea very difficult, and construction of the heavy defense lines there impossible. Instead, the Russians are dug in.
The breakup of Russia might be as described, but there is no requirement for us to stop any criminality that goes on or might go on. The USSR broke apart without world calamity. The economic impact outside Russia would not be as dramatic as described; Russia is already very isolated from the world economy.
A few facts: 1) the new rail line is not complete. If completed, it will be extremely vulnerable to short-range HIMARS. 2) Ukraine has, until this time, had no strategic interest in completely destroying the Kirch Bridge. Might be a benevolent concern to allow civilians to bug out of Crimea. 3) Regarding criminality: Who are you? A criminal?
I agree with you 100% and I couldn't disagree more from Mr Ingram's points of view, that in my opinion perfectly reflect the irresolution, cowardice and blindness of the Western governments as well as the revolting hypocrisy they use in order to hide their huge faults.
Off hand, I'd say Finland, Poland, and the Baltics. Sweden and Romania not long after.
It would depend how things go hot.
Not the administration that was intimidated. He bought the republivan party. Trump has been in his pocket for 30 plus years and people like tuberville, jordan etc have spent americsn independance days in meetings with putin.
Know your enemy and in the USA's case many of its enemies are elected representatives
The US has forgotten how to win.
Very important talk. Thank you both.
Once again Jonathan, you present fantastic analysts and commentators. I was impressed by Phillips whom I was unfamiliar with prior to your posting. Your channel broadens the scope for those of us struggling to understand this exceedingly complex new world.
Glad you enjoyed it
👍👍👍
Gosh this man’s geo politics is so intense and knowledgeable! The world will change
Thanks Jonathan. Great interview.
Fantastically information, thanks. We are not paying enough attention to the information war.
Wonderful guest-such depth of knowledge!
Do deep I'm drowning in the bullshit.
WOW! I'm only 20min into this interview and this guy's grasp of the situation is blowing me away. The geopolitics combined with transnational organized crime means it is not going to be an easy way to get us out of this mess that our betters have gotten us into. By far, this is the best interview I've seen so far on what we are up against.
Russia got us into the war in Ukraine. Rouge states (bullies) stuff up the world, just as bullies stuff up school playgrounds.
Excellent interview, thank you.
Jonathan, I have never heard articulated so clearly the potential fallout from the possible disintegration of Russia as I heard from Philip Ingram. What an eye opener.
Imagine if Ukraine loses -- much worse for the globe. I'm tired of pundits talking about what ifs
Can't make an omelate without breaking some eggs and with Russias commodity resources, who ever grabs power has an incentive to remain peaceful if it wants to sell these.
Brilliant understanding and analysis.
👍👍👍
He is hoping and helping Trump get back into power he has to know the mess he is in otherwise he would be nowhere near N Korea
@@theworkshed1253 a Sad truth hopefully we give The conservatives the shellacking the Uk Did during their recent election 🎉 be a beautiful thing not that some left leaning figures aren’t a complete dumpster fire in them selfs if we can take the super majority in the house & senate hot dam back to America again
I heard Putin is willing to share Crimea....lol He knows!! he is losing
Huh? Please use sentences. Your reply is all jumbled.
That makes no sense.
Presumably, by "he" you mean "putin". russia is too far gone for trump to be able to help putin - if Americans are dumb enough to allow a convicted criminal to win the presidency.
Excellent podcast and great guest
Very excellent plain spoken facts. Way to go, brother. What a guest! 36:58
But, it's all bullshit.
Love your work
Thank you!
Wow, question asked and answered.
The drip feed narrative is problematic, more of an excuse for poor planning, a lack of vision and coalition cat herding. A lot of capabilities weren't training restricted. Rocket artillery didn't need the same training as a tank. HIMARS is a truck, their farmers could maintain those. ATACMS is just another missile. Storm Shadow took a lot more effort. Tanks weren't given enough numbers to get combat mass. Bradley's is an example if you can get enough. The Ukrainians were screaming for demining equipment, they only got iirc 20% required. We held back DPICM, cross border attacks until it became critical. Not sending contractors sapped time from deploying capabilities like F16.
Our treatment of Ukraine has been overly paternalistic and trying to fight the war on the cheap. War on the cheap is the most expensive way to fight. Every time we gave them a new capability, they have used them better than expected.
Renting land armies worked in 1941, not so much in the 21st century. If NATO is serious about standing up to RU/China they have to abandon the expedition approach and actually stand up corps/armies.
Get Philip back in again!....there's still a lot of territory to cover.
Thanks Jonathan....again a great guest.
👍👍👍
Great guest! Thanks for having him on 💪🙏🏻
Slava Ukraini Jonathan!
he knows he is losing, however he is hoping the Ukrainians will give up first
He knows, EU, US and NATO will falter and dismantle. Which I think is true. but it doesn't mean he will win the war. Cause Ukraine won't falter.
No, he hopes that "west" will abandon Ukraine as they did in Siria, Afganistan and so on. Also Russia is not passively waiting that west to give up they do whatever possible to push it towards this outcome by using corruption, useful idiots, agents, propaganda, sabotage, disinformation. West is attacked of totalitarian regimes, it's a full-fledged hybrid war, for many many years but it fails to acknowledge it. We have weak and stupid leaders.
Maybe he does, maybe he doesn't, but the fact that he refuses to admit that he's losing makes it moot.
Putler is counting on reaping the rewards of his investments in the world wide coalition of autocracies and the radical right that he has funded coupled with the disinformation war on social media etc that his infected the minds and polities world wide. Putin is a war criminal a hybrid modern day mafia czar who has embarked on his imperial genocidal war. He must be stopped. Give Ukraine everything they need to win. They are us: modern day western rule of law democracy. We need to win
@@IusedtohaveausernameIlikedhe admitted that he has not achieved his goals, but no side has won as of yet, that's absurd, Russia has overtaken bakhmut and few other cities and villages, they are very slow gains with heavy casualties in both sides, you are misinformed or in denial
Ingram seems to have lots of experience making excuses for failure to act in a timely manner. He is the very epitome of the state department spokesman
The fall of the USSR could have turned out differently if Putin had not been allowed to be in control. The Russian Federation in the future could still hold together and prosper if the right person was at the helm. Getting rid of Putin is paramount to the future of the region.
Not disagreeing with you, but it will take a lot more than the disappearance of the current FSB appointee.
I agrée. ruzzia has a lot to offer. That said, while all our democracies are under threat from similar sorts of capitalist feudalism how do we overcome the generation of popular impotence/disinterest?
🇺🇦🇮🇪🇺🇦
@@amandadonaghey7540 Good question.
Putin has prevented the new Russia becoming yet another American puppy dog.
Whether you think that's good or bad is entirely up to you.
Pssssttt ; He's right behind you , here's your chance .
Like the Black Knight in Monty Python's "The Holy Grail": 'Tis but a scratch... ... Come on you Pansy!', as his limbs are detatched, one by one.
It’s more like Pyrrhus of Epirus.
Google him, and why he is remembered by military strategists.
Thank you for another interesting and informative interview.
I look forward to you shows in this vital time to have honest news. Thank you
Leaving behind poisoned vodka after a redeploy seems to work well.
There are some things that can never mix with each other. I think it's because of ideological differences.
Great work and updates as always
Interesting and thoughtful as always.
I appreciate that
Thank you for your fantastic program. What baffles me is that the UN is so indifferent to these criminal Russian gangster networks in Africa. We need to refine our definitions of these to bring them in the forefront.
Jonathan, Philip, Thank you very much for this amazing episode! 🖖
Philip neglects to say that Ukraine begged for advanced weapons after 2014 but were rebuffed by the West. Poroshenko has confirmed this.
Not just advanced, Ukraine was prohibited from bying ANY weapon, so the Ukrainian volunteers smuggled them across the border.
He also neglected to say what toothpaste he uses. Do you expect every bit of relevant information in a 50 minute video?
@@Ollies2CentsWardill Touchy! It's very relevant additional information, especially when Phillip states that equipment delays were due in part to UAF having to 'master' the western arms. This could've all been avoided years ago, but the likes of Merkel and Cameron, Obama didn't want to 'annoy' Putin by supplying modern western arms.
Excellent episode!
My goodness! What an enlightening conversation this has been. I really appreciate the depth and breadth of Philip's experience and analyses of so many aspects about Russian tactics and what could be possible outcomes in the future. Thank you also for your penetrating questions. We need to be so careful about our media and how it can influence rather than truly inform about so many issues.
👍👍👍 a great guest, that’s definitely coming back on.
Thanks so much for this conversation, guys!!Extremely interesting and scary at the same time.
Philip Ingram is one of those people I leap at when he pops up on RUclips on different channels.
Thanks, Jonathan 🙏
I'd like to thank both of you gentlmen so very much for a very interesting & informative conversation..I truly enjoyed & appreciated it.
This was one of the best and most interesting interviews I have seen on your channel. Phillip Ingram spoke with great insight and knowledge. The analysis and observations he made were objective, believable, and startlingly revealing. Thanks also to Jonathan for his excellent questioning and analysis as well.
This man is a complete genius!! Enlightened by his brilliant perspective, thank you both for ring fencing so many loose ends.
👍👍👍
Always a pleasure to listen to Philip Ingram.
Слава Україні! 💙💛
Thank you Philip, you are one smart cookie!!!
A True Delight 👣👐☮️🇨🇦🌻🌻🌻🌻
I also thought it was interesting to compare the breaking up of Russia to what happened to Yugoslavia.
Food for thought.
Why doesn’t this podcast talk to the men on the frontlines? They know a lot more than journalists and “consultants”.
We have done a few - but it’s a real challenge as most don’t speak English. I can talk to them in Russian, but it’s not always a compelling experience for the audience. However, I will soon go to Ukraine and will try to do some interviews like this.
@@SiliconCurtain There are plenty of Anglosphere soldiers that would be willing to do an interview. I have listened to at least half a dozen for about 8 - 10 hours. They tend to give a different version of what is really going on at the front than the 100’s of guests on dozens of podcasts that have never fought on the frontlines.
Thank you very much for your program, great work.
So much good points and reflections! Thank you for this excellent analysis.
👍👍👍
Thank you for an excellent conversation.
Thank you, so intressting
Good job, love from Norway
Unmaned aircraft is must, considering pilot shortage/cost.
Fantastic
The Tzar Nicolas 3 lost his entire fleet at the battle of Tsu-Shima against Japan in 1904 because the Russian ships, already when they left St. Petersburg to circumnavigate the globe, were called "flat irons", since corruption had made them unfit not only for navigation, but maybe just to keep afloat. In other words corruption didn't start in Russia with communism. It has been their way of doing things for centuries. The battle of Tsu-Sima was the final nail in the coffin of the Romanov's Empire
Thank you for your contribution
Thanks!
Losing? Industry is booming in Russia, especially the funeral industry. Putin will no doubt cite you several statistics to highlight massive growth in this sector over the last couple of years
😆
haha yes also high growth in the fertilizer industry, human fertilizer that is.
There seem to be some areas that benefit from the huge casualties and the money they received as compensation for the death of their family member. So dead soldiers become fertilizer for their areas.
They do not even always collect and return their dead home.
@@Songshare yah so that they dont have to pay the relatives and they can claim that they have low casualties. Ive even heard they shoot their wounded, most prevailent in the storm Z units
❤❤❤❤❤ 🇺🇦 🇺🇦 🇺🇦 ❤❤❤❤
Very good insight and interview thanks
Thanks for the video and great interview.
thanks!
What planet are you guys living on... I live on a planet where truth and reality are important... Where and what dimension are you guys in?
A great channel and a great guest with point of views I haven't heard before.
Great dissussion, as always. Thank you and keep up the good work.
Great discussion! Thanks.🙏
Another first class interview! Deeper understanding of the conflict you won't get on mainstream outlets.
If Russia wasn’t aggressive NATO wouldn’t expand,NATO doesn’t look for customers countries look for NATO protection
The bunker gnome will never admit or acknowledge he is losing.
Another fascinating conversation with powerful insights! 😀
Absolutely fascinating
Very good segment thx
Clearly, this provides a lot of new aspects and allows changing the perspective on some of the rather bleak points of efficiently supporting (or not) Ukraine. Thank you!
42:50 Although the Irish history has many similarities with Ukrainian, and the Ukrainian freedom fighters always watched and learned from the Irish freedom fighters since the 18th century at least, many Irish or supposedly Irish commentators over the Internet tend to support Muscovy is this war, which is a clear sign of a strong Muscovite influence in there.
Russia has invested a lot in disinformation in Ireland, and one of their largest embassy teams is based in Dublin… there’s a reason for that…
Great interview..what a range of knowledge.
As a retired military pilot, the F16 issues; logistics, maintenance and operational doctrine will be solved in the medium term. Airfield security, ie parking them safely, will take longer.
Very good stuff.