6. Regression Analysis

Поделиться
HTML-код
  • Опубликовано: 5 янв 2015
  • MIT 18.S096 Topics in Mathematics with Applications in Finance, Fall 2013
    View the complete course: ocw.mit.edu/18-S096F13
    Instructor: Peter Kempthorne
    This lecture introduces the mathematical and statistical foundations of regression analysis, particularly linear regression.
    License: Creative Commons BY-NC-SA
    More information at ocw.mit.edu/terms
    More courses at ocw.mit.edu

Комментарии • 71

  • @zhuangjiwang5392
    @zhuangjiwang5392 3 года назад +120

    This lecture, compared with the previous ones, provides a great example for the importance of using blackboard in math courses.

  • @SeikoVanPaath
    @SeikoVanPaath 3 года назад +38

    Timestamps:
    0:02:40 Overview
    0:29:10 Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) Estimates
    0:45:54 Gauss-Markov Theorem
    0:54:47 Generalized Least Squares (GLS) Estimates
    0:58:17 Normal Regression Models
    1:19:25 Maximum Likelihood Estimation

  • @burnbush
    @burnbush 3 года назад +5

    Awesome content at least my knowledge of matrices and statistics has been broadened on a larger scope. Thanks.

  • @lessmoneylessproblems5145
    @lessmoneylessproblems5145 2 года назад +3

    Holy, who knew that linear regression could get so complex.

  • @user-ok4wr4zm5i
    @user-ok4wr4zm5i 2 года назад +2

    Excellent lecture

  • @phillustrator
    @phillustrator Год назад +7

    This lecture convinced me that no amount of money you pay will guarantee you good teachers.

  • @SergeiIakhnin
    @SergeiIakhnin 5 лет назад +26

    Good content, but should have really been handled in two lectures. A lot of time is spent on the basics, and then all of the more advanced details are simply glossed over due to a lack of time.

  • @gustavobolssonbilibio370
    @gustavobolssonbilibio370 4 года назад +12

    arggggg
    he knows how to read slides.

    • @roymarshall_
      @roymarshall_ 3 года назад +1

      This was almost every single class I took in college. Good to know MIT isn't really any different.

  • @forheuristiclifeksh7836
    @forheuristiclifeksh7836 6 дней назад +1

    56:00 GLS Estimator

  • @liuauto
    @liuauto 7 лет назад +69

    The slides ruined the lectures. This is a math course. Writing on the board can save more time than talking and hand waving

    • @olzt100
      @olzt100 6 лет назад +7

      That's a major differrence between a high end college and high school. You have to figure out how to make the system work for you and not vice versa. Students will find most of the world operates that way.

    • @bishalbhattarai0425
      @bishalbhattarai0425 6 лет назад

      jie liu n

  • @caverac
    @caverac 6 лет назад +14

    @30:30 There's a mistake in the slides: the last term in the sum should be \beta_{p}, not \beta_{i,p}

    • @johnhart1790
      @johnhart1790 6 лет назад +3

      There is also a mistake in the matrix X, the last entry should be X_(n,p) not X_(p,n).

    • @aboubacaralaindioubate6086
      @aboubacaralaindioubate6086 3 года назад +1

      It's a '"typing-mismatch". ( Erreur de frappe, in French). Not a logical mistake. : )

    • @azizlarabi1941
      @azizlarabi1941 2 месяца назад

      @@aboubacaralaindioubate6086 In english 'typo'

  • @forheuristiclifeksh7836
    @forheuristiclifeksh7836 6 дней назад

    8:00 General linear model

  • @joem8251
    @joem8251 8 лет назад +29

    uh...

  • @anant088
    @anant088 8 лет назад +2

    No explanation post GLM!

  • @fustilarian1
    @fustilarian1 5 лет назад +26

    I miss Choongbum. This guy shouldn't be allowed to teach -.-

  • @KARAB1NAS
    @KARAB1NAS 4 года назад +29

    This a good example of how a course in maths should not be. Especially the notation is so dodgy - Random matrix X is referred to the matrix of realizations of X all the time. Ridiculous

    • @connordavis4766
      @connordavis4766 3 года назад +2

      In 10 years of math education and a PhD, I have never seen a talk that was improved by having slides including my own dissertation.

    • @thalberg-
      @thalberg- 2 года назад

      @@connordavis4766 why are mathematicians against using slides?

    • @connordavis4766
      @connordavis4766 2 года назад

      @@thalberg- Math slides tend to be overly full of text with lengthy theorem statements and calculations. In principle you could cut down on these but in most cases those long list of assumptions or the mechanics of a calculation are *the whole point*. Slides are appropriate when you're not trying to go into any detail at all and you just want to give a surface level overview of something.

    • @gamebm
      @gamebm 2 года назад

      Slides may play a part, but IMHO the main reason is the content itself. I guess most ppl have some background in the previous lectures by Lee, so that was nice and easy. The content of this lecture is new to most ppl, it includes more stuff, and many details are somewhat skipped. Even one tries to derive everything on the board, they would have to go at a faster pace, and as a result, most ppl still won't catch up easily.

  • @chunlangong2214
    @chunlangong2214 3 года назад +4

    All his slides are in the textbook. Why the students in the classroom?

    • @kalinda619
      @kalinda619 2 месяца назад +1

      Welcome to lectures by researchers being forced to teach 😭😭🤣

  • @user-bt7u12gh5
    @user-bt7u12gh5 Год назад

    52:07 another typo? shouldn’t it be E[f’y]=f’E[y]?

  • @danielduranloosli
    @danielduranloosli 4 года назад +19

    That was a brutally dense lecture with almost no real-life analogies. At that pace, you would need to be a linear algebra god to actually have the time to think about the statistical interpretations and applications of the expressions you are following.
    Also, no use of much-needed graphs or technology whatsoever.

    • @toshb1384
      @toshb1384 3 года назад +1

      it’s really not that bad lol

    • @dennisestenson7820
      @dennisestenson7820 2 года назад +1

      Good thing you didn't have to pay to see this lecture.

    • @TroubleMakery
      @TroubleMakery 2 года назад

      This is not a course on linear regression, it’s just supposed to be a revision on the topics in finance. This is merely supposed to be a refresher so the more advanced stuff is more easily understandable. That’s why I’m here.

    • @raneena5079
      @raneena5079 24 дня назад

      No lol, all of the linear algebra was very basic

  • @lochestnut
    @lochestnut 5 лет назад

    can anyone help me prove that:
    if \epsilon ~ N_n(0_n, \sigma^2 \Sigma),
    then \Sigma^(-0.5) \epsilon ~ N_n(0_n, \sigma^2 I_n)

    • @holidy1
      @holidy1 5 лет назад +1

      Not sure about the equation. Maybe variance(a*x) = a^2*variance(x) helps.

  • @dankole307
    @dankole307 4 года назад

    With regression analy. The order of the fit justifies weighting. Seems to me neural networks are a much better subject to fits. Both are worthwhile. Neural nets provide options for rapid changes and simulation.

    • @CaseyVanBuren
      @CaseyVanBuren 2 года назад +2

      What if I told you the theory is the same, just several layers of linear models.

  • @forheuristiclifeksh7836
    @forheuristiclifeksh7836 6 дней назад +1

    2:30

  • @WallaceRoseVincent
    @WallaceRoseVincent 5 лет назад +5

    Anyone interested in working through the course together?

    • @VasuDev-kg6uq
      @VasuDev-kg6uq 5 лет назад +1

      I am

    • @WallaceRoseVincent
      @WallaceRoseVincent 5 лет назад

      @@VasuDev-kg6uq Where are you from?

    • @VasuDev-kg6uq
      @VasuDev-kg6uq 5 лет назад

      @@WallaceRoseVincent India

    • @VasuDev-kg6uq
      @VasuDev-kg6uq 5 лет назад

      @@WallaceRoseVincent check your inbox

    • @miladresketi7392
      @miladresketi7392 5 лет назад +1

      I have created a discord channel for this course, you can join If you're interested
      discord.gg/A2myKzU

  • @user-ok4wr4zm5i
    @user-ok4wr4zm5i 2 года назад

    The previous lecturer did not cope with his work

  • @amandinelevecq6664
    @amandinelevecq6664 Год назад +1

    Now I remember why I didn't like statistics and chose maths at university 😄

    • @phillustrator
      @phillustrator Год назад +1

      I don't know why, but the storytelling of statistics is almost always terrible. I start to dose off every time I try watching a lecture. Including this one.
      It doesn't help that stats teachers often have the charisma of an accountant on Xanax. (yes, this one included)

    • @pramesh.gurung
      @pramesh.gurung Год назад +2

      isnt stats part of math??

    • @_danila5185
      @_danila5185 Год назад +1

      @@pramesh.gurung it is

  • @michalroesler
    @michalroesler 5 лет назад

    what it means and why it's there (y - theoretical y)^t * (y - theoretical y). why ^t is there?? what it means?
    ruclips.net/video/l1kLCrxL9Hk/видео.html

    • @raneena5079
      @raneena5079 24 дня назад

      this is just the square of the Euclidian norm (basically size) of y - theoretical y. y - theoretical y is the error, so if you minimize that quantity, you are minimizing the error of your model.

  • @xu6845
    @xu6845 3 года назад

    I really can't follow that

  • @forheuristiclifeksh7836
    @forheuristiclifeksh7836 6 месяцев назад

    5:57

  • @CaseyVanBuren
    @CaseyVanBuren 2 года назад

    These slides seem riddled with mistakes, indices are lost or flipped or added where they shouldn't be. I was expecting more from MIT

  • @ehsan106
    @ehsan106 Год назад

    This is a disaster . I think MIT should remove all the videos and never allow these people waste our time again.

  • @Diana-yl1jo
    @Diana-yl1jo 5 лет назад +6

    一脸懵逼 这几节课真的都太概括性的总结内容太多了 每一项扒出来都得消化一阵子。。

    • @milesreynolds6128
      @milesreynolds6128 4 года назад

      实际上不如每一节课的内容都去单独学一个,这个每个标题都讲个皮毛和没讲也没啥区别

  • @ArnobAlam
    @ArnobAlam 7 лет назад +2

    Is that dude using a Mac at MIT?

    • @zhulin85
      @zhulin85 7 лет назад

      seems not. looks like only a dock app or theme.

    • @harshd1122
      @harshd1122 5 лет назад +3

      You are calling him "Dude"? Really? He is teaching at MIT. Show some respect. His name is Dr. Peter Kempthorne.

    • @tyqwe45qe
      @tyqwe45qe 2 года назад +2

      @@harshd1122 He's talking about the student...plus, even if was about the professor, who cares. Stop being so sensitive

    • @power9k470
      @power9k470 Год назад +1

      ​@@harshd1122 The good old deference to authority.

    • @power9k470
      @power9k470 Год назад

      ​@@harshd1122 The good old deference to authority.

  • @WaveWatchTrading007
    @WaveWatchTrading007 3 года назад

    This man talks in too many abstractions.