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Demographic Problems in the Middle East (Water, Oil, Food) || Peter Zeihan

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  • Опубликовано: 14 авг 2024
  • The demographic situation in the Middle East can be explained by three factors: water, oil, and food. Water prevented the population from expanding. Oil generated the capital needed to industrialize and help the population grow. Food security will ruin all of this.
    This video was recorded during Peter's backpacking trip in New Zealand in March/April.
    Full Newsletter: mailchi.mp/zei...
    This is Part 10 of the Demographics Series, find the full series here: • Demographics Series ||...
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    #demographics #middleeast #globalization

Комментарии • 1,1 тыс.

  • @Leon-qo2vl
    @Leon-qo2vl Год назад +613

    imagine you're on a boat tour in new zealand and there is a guy on the bow talking about the demographic situation in the middle east

    • @ShadyRonin
      @ShadyRonin Год назад +36

      to nobody and it's just both of you on the boat and he doesn't even have a camera setup but is just calmly lecturing towards the general right as if someone is there

    • @PresidentElectA1-Abrams
      @PresidentElectA1-Abrams Год назад +14

      demographic situation in the middle east/Armageddon
      what away to start a day

    • @Gutenmorgenside
      @Gutenmorgenside Год назад +15

      Just another crazy American ;-)

    • @ug700
      @ug700 Год назад +25

      This is the guy who I want sitting next to me on a bus or airplane. Would probably be one of the more fascinating conversations that I have had in all my travels.

    • @SuperCulverin
      @SuperCulverin Год назад +9

      He's on a sound stage, with a green screen and a fan.
      As they were going "under" the waterfall, his effects guy forgot to use a spray bottle to wet Peter and the camera.
      The lighting and wind is pretty good though. They could also benefit from using a foley artist to add some background noise.
      Also, where is his lavalier microphone? They're probably using a shotgun mic, off-camera. So the audio is too good to be 100% convincing - they have the wind machine on Peter and not on the mic.
      It's the details that give it away.

  • @immortaljanus
    @immortaljanus Год назад +300

    Peter is becoming a serious competitor to Lord of the Rings franchise as the primary promotor for New Zealand's tourism industry.

    • @rogerodle8750
      @rogerodle8750 Год назад +10

      One Zeihan to rule them all...

    • @kayvee256
      @kayvee256 Год назад +2

      Every little bit counts. 100% Pure NZ (don't test that by drinking the water).

    • @FutureCommentary1
      @FutureCommentary1 11 месяцев назад

      Stephen Colbert did pretty well too.

    • @persistentone3448
      @persistentone3448 10 месяцев назад

      @@rogerodle8750 "One Ring to rule them all, One Ring to find them, One Ring to bring them all and in the darkness bind them." I guess you are trying to turn Peter into Sauron.

    • @JB-qt3wo
      @JB-qt3wo 9 месяцев назад

      Israel is the biggest demographic problem in the muddle east

  • @endribardhyli1340
    @endribardhyli1340 Год назад +364

    This is a nature show masquerading as a geopolitical channel. Keep it going Peter. You are the modern David Attenborough.

    • @Vzzdak
      @Vzzdak Год назад +5

      For cleaner transitions, should just crop the, "And we're back" portions.

    • @StephenMortimer
      @StephenMortimer Год назад +2

      MORE like MALTHUS

    • @SuperCulverin
      @SuperCulverin Год назад +3

      Yeah, his effects guy is pretty good. It's getting hard to tell when Peter is actually outside and when he's shooting on-set.
      It's smart of Peter to disguise his true day-to-day location.

    • @doomsdaybooty1072
      @doomsdaybooty1072 Год назад +5

      David Attenborough is a modern David Attleborough too

    • @richardash753
      @richardash753 Год назад

      Shame Attenborough is one of those who thinks there's too many people on the planet. He needs to hear some PZ.

  • @NORGCO
    @NORGCO Год назад +316

    An interesting speech as always. Also, I will be interested to see how the New Zealand Tourist Board responds to what has to be seen as a great series of ads for them.

    • @jamesrampton6274
      @jamesrampton6274 Год назад +7

      @Chris Kavanagh agreed, so many beautiful types of landscapes in such a small country.

    • @Justmekpc
      @Justmekpc Год назад +7

      They get 5,000,000 visitors a year already I doubt these videos will change that much

    • @tsubadaikhan6332
      @tsubadaikhan6332 Год назад

      I'll bet the New Zealanders are just hoping they don't get millions of wanna be migrants from all the Countries Zeihan just mentioned. The place certainly doesn't look like it's running out of Food and Water in a hurry...

    • @1911Earthling
      @1911Earthling Год назад +2

      I think he was at home in his studio with computer screens of various places in New Zealand .

    • @seauryakumar
      @seauryakumar Год назад +6

      Everybody wants to visit New Zealand. All you need is a powerful passport and money

  • @davidmaher4887
    @davidmaher4887 Год назад +40

    Fun fact: the waterfall at 1:25 is the one that Wolverine jumps of as he's escaping the dam in X-Men Origins.

    • @E4439Qv5
      @E4439Qv5 Год назад +3

      Thank you for reminding me that movie exists.

  • @tlevans62
    @tlevans62 Год назад +437

    I lived in the Gulf for a decade, and each place has a different demographic. Even within the UAE, the different Emirates have different socioeconomic structures. Abu Dhabi, has the majority of its income from oil, while Dubai is from Business, tourism and the FTZones, as well as real estate, the two are rivals, but Abu Dhabi is far wealthier. Dubai has become the place for wealthy investors to base themselves to avoid taxes, and the majority of it's labor is from India and the Philippines, while it's management comes from the US, UK, EU, Australia, South Africa etc. Even amongst management classes, what country you're from determines your market value and pay. It's like an unwritten apartheid based on nationality. Qatar (pronounce "Khat'ahr'" not 'Gutter', by the Gulf Arabs) makes it's money from Natural Gas, and is basically a decade behind the UAE in development. It's tried to attract investors like Dubai, but not done very well. Bahrain is rather poor compared to it's cousins, and has nowhere near the expat population running the country, unlike the KSA, UAE etc. Aside from being an Islamic Banking Hub, it's basically a holiday destination for Saudis where they can drink alcohol. You'll find Bahrainies driving taxis and working as waiters in restaurants, which you will never find in the UAE or Qatar, where their citizens are all management level. You will find that happening in parts of the KSA, because each province is slightly different, and there are some very poor Saudis and a large wealth disparity. Most UAE locals look down on the Saudis as being rather uncultured. The UAE is far more "European" in the way they perceive themselves, while surprisingly the KSA and Kuwait are more perceived as "Americanized". This sounds odd, but it goes back to the UAE being once a UK Protectorate, and their business structures being more aligned to the EU style. Managing Directors instead of Company Presidents etc. The Saudis like to drive American Cars, while the UAE locals like European Cars. Indians, Pakistanis and Filipinos form the bulk of the labor force in the Gulf. Outside the Gulf, we have the Levant Arabs, the Lebanese, Syrians, Jordanians (even the Egyptians) etc, and they were once seen as the more cultured and well off Arabs, but now the Gulf Arabs see them as poverty ridden places with little political stability, and no longer look up to them. The Levant Arabs in the Gulf, are considered only one step above the Indians.

    • @wariyoshidirector
      @wariyoshidirector Год назад +90

      Great analysis. Although in my experience Arabs from all countries tend to look down on eachother for one reason or another 😂

    • @tlevans62
      @tlevans62 Год назад +46

      @@wariyoshidirector you're not wrong, same with Asians in SE Asia.

    • @asajayunknown6290
      @asajayunknown6290 Год назад +60

      ​@@tlevans62 the racism/pecking order happens everywhere. The Spanish-speaking America (and Brazil) is definitely that way. Chileans and Argentinians don't mix. Mexico thinks they're top dog. Paraguay and Bolivia are viewed as the bottom. Etc. Another easy example is the caste system in India. And in China, the Han vs all other ethnic groups.

    • @zibbitybibbitybop
      @zibbitybibbitybop Год назад +57

      Thinking your culture/state is better than everyone else is clearly human nature, seeing as it's been happening since there were humans. The best we can do is to at least reduce that tendency to minor rudeness instead of, say, war and slavery.

    • @rhae1717
      @rhae1717 Год назад +6

      I am curious about Oman. Any insights?

  • @texasjack
    @texasjack Год назад +128

    You are spot on regarding the Mid-east natives doing NO work. I was there with an American oil company some time back in Kuwait, and never saw one of the locals lift a finger to do a thing.

    • @DieFlabbergast
      @DieFlabbergast Год назад +3

      Ah, Heaven! :)

    • @SoonerStoneAI
      @SoonerStoneAI Год назад

      I have tried to tell people this, but they somehow think the Saudis are oil production gods, because of Saudi Aramco, all this talk about the refinery they are gonna build in Yuan. I literally laughed out loud, they are gonna have to pay western companies, and they don’t take Yuan.

    • @mikesofamerica2024
      @mikesofamerica2024 Год назад +12

      Somehow, it all seems decadent and ripe for exploitation and violence

    • @mbak7801
      @mbak7801 Год назад +41

      This means that the indigenous population has zero skills and experience. When the fossil fuel gravy train comes to a stop then there is nothing to fall back on. Saudi Arabia is installing solar farms and may invest massively into the future but its main markets have very unstable countries in the way and at least one bad actor (Russia) who would want Saudi Arabia to fail as a green super energy supplier.

    • @TheRobsterUK
      @TheRobsterUK Год назад +36

      I have friends who do consulting work in the Mid-East (engineering works) and they say the same thing. They have to import all their expertise because they have very little of their own, and a lot of their population is lazy and incompetent. They do hire some locals but often basically as bribes i.e. my friend had to hire a few "cousins" of the local business they were doing the work for, but all they did was sit around all day doing nothing (if they even bothered to show up) and showed no interest in doing any work or learning anything

  • @bcvetkov8534
    @bcvetkov8534 Год назад +58

    Fun fact for the Zeihan viewers. Egypt's president actually stayed ten days in Serbia to negotiate a lucrative food agreement. It's absolutely wild to me how Egypt alone used to feed itself, the entire Roman Empire, and its neighbors. Absolutely wild and had plenty leftover. Much love to Egypt though from the states.

    • @cynicalanon8784
      @cynicalanon8784 Год назад +28

      1. The population has grown by orders of magnitude since roman times
      2. Egypt has switched their food production to profitable cash crops. Try as you may. You won't feed your humongous population with citrus and cotton.

    • @MrVenturadog
      @MrVenturadog Год назад +2

      ​@@cynicalanon8784 USA is switching to biofuels crops, as Americans export less food will change things worldwide.

    • @bcvetkov8534
      @bcvetkov8534 Год назад +1

      @@cynicalanon8784 I never really insinuated they could do it now but you do you m8.

    • @veeli1106
      @veeli1106 Год назад +6

      Don’t forget that bread in Egypt has been subsidized by the government since the 1970s , which is coincidental with the population going parabolic ever since…🤔

    • @FuriousCheddar
      @FuriousCheddar Год назад

      ​@@cynicalanon8784 that's kinda true everywhere around the world though. Look at global population charts etc

  • @whatthef911
    @whatthef911 Год назад +37

    Would love to see Zeihan discuss demographics from the space station.

    • @stephenderry9488
      @stephenderry9488 Год назад +8

      I'd be very worried if Zeihan leaves the planet.

    • @bonesNstones
      @bonesNstones Год назад +6

      @@stephenderry9488 He is already in New Zealand.

  • @mercster
    @mercster Год назад +76

    Yeah, always been amazed that rather than developing native skills and building a thriving domestic workforce, the oil-rich nations in the Middle East are content to hire everyone from abroad. Very strange, especially when you consider the cultural demographics going on. Thanks Peter.

    • @mercster
      @mercster Год назад +59

      @@rainonasphalt It is extremely different than the USA. I don't know if you're a younger person who isn't in school, don't live here, have a warped version of the US in your head, or are just biased against it.

    • @cliffordjensen8725
      @cliffordjensen8725 Год назад +34

      Have to remember that slavery has always been a part of the culture there. If you were wealthy, slaves did everything for you. These days their slaves/ low wage workers, come from poor places like India.

    • @rhae1717
      @rhae1717 Год назад

      Slavery has always been pervasive in Arab cultures.

    • @zee9709
      @zee9709 Год назад +8

      Their population are very limited to begin with, outside labor is inevitable, and when you can hire other to work, its only natural the native work as management level. The only problem is what they do to those worker are very uncool.

    • @randacnam7321
      @randacnam7321 Год назад +17

      @@zee9709 There is also the religious element that in Islam, Muhammad is the moral exemplar for all Muhammadans for all time. He was a desert brigand and caravan raider. As such, skilled labor is viewed as 'beneath them' by the indigenous population. Likewise, the Quran is the only book needed for anything. If it is in concurrence with the Quran, it is redundant and to be destroyed. If it is contrary to the Quran, it is blasphemous and should be destroyed. And if it bears no relation to the Quran, it is irrelevant and *drumroll* should be destroyed. This does not bode well for any kind of technical development.

  • @ernestwagner6842
    @ernestwagner6842 Год назад +46

    Yeah, a good reminder for all the Dubai insta-fun. The city might be spectacular, but it does have a dark side most people like to ignore or are ignorant of. Thanks for ringing this bell, Peter.

    • @juniorjames7076
      @juniorjames7076 Год назад

      All of Dubai and Emirates is going belong to either Iran or Turkey pretty soon. Read his books to find out why.

    • @khalidalali186
      @khalidalali186 Год назад +8

      Agreed. I’m a local guy, born and raised in Abu Dhabi, and I avoid Dubai like the plague. I only visit the city once a year, for work-related matters, and I drive back home within hours.

    • @guydreamr
      @guydreamr Год назад +10

      Dubai is overrated. Not much culture or anything really unique there, mostly just endless shopping malls and boutiques that can be found pretty much in any major city.

  • @rahmaosman9592
    @rahmaosman9592 Год назад +11

    As a former resident of that region, you are spot on 100% accurate!

  • @Eternalspring22
    @Eternalspring22 Год назад +28

    Thank You!!!!!! I have been trying to explain economic slaveocracy of Dubai after having worked there, and people just can’t grasp it! Thank you for mentioning this!!!

    • @thomasherrin6798
      @thomasherrin6798 Год назад +1

      People who work in the Middle East are aware and maybe should highlight it more to the relevant authorities (In the West maybe), ordinary people who don't work there have no reason to be aware there is a problem as it doesn't affect them, they may have sympathy for them but that won't change a jot!?!

    • @yahudigahba
      @yahudigahba Год назад

      Or people worldwide know how disgusting hypocrisy the west are. Maybe the west should stop lecturing the world when they do x10 time worse things. Written from my Iphone bought in Denmark made by a western firm based in Asia made by a 10 year old with 70 cent salary per day. :)

  • @games68775
    @games68775 9 месяцев назад +4

    Peter was actually the boat guide and talked about geopolitics instead of the scenery for 2 hours straight

  • @corpsman
    @corpsman Год назад +12

    just hearing how the world works from a slightly different but huge perspective daily is so mind-opening. I'm having so much fun learning and growing through these videos.

  • @rhinoskin7550
    @rhinoskin7550 Год назад +114

    This is so interesting. Can't thank you enough for breaking all of this down into layman's terms. Have a good day Peter!

    • @Kenny-yl9pc
      @Kenny-yl9pc Год назад +3

      Breaking things down is immoral!!! Not cool bro!! Not cool!!!

    • @AmericanPOVshow
      @AmericanPOVshow Год назад

      I can’t even tolerate the noise from the wind. I’m not talking about his mouth this time.

    • @rhinoskin7550
      @rhinoskin7550 Год назад

      @@Kenny-yl9pc do explain.

    • @rhinoskin7550
      @rhinoskin7550 Год назад

      @shaunk78 why are you choosing to hear what he has to say if you already understand everything and have other sources? That seems like a waste of your time. But you do you :)

    • @AmericanPOVshow
      @AmericanPOVshow Год назад

      @@rhinoskin7550 slowly letting go. I’m OCD so habits are hard to break, but this guy has it all wrong on China and demographics. China bends to whatever makes them powerful, so they will fix this with immigration if they have to.

  • @thethoth1755
    @thethoth1755 Год назад +8

    Thank you Peter for making very complicated issues seem clear and understandable in Laymans terms. I look forward to every video. Safe travels sir.

  • @markusz4447
    @markusz4447 Год назад +14

    This is the coolest travelblog ever
    Peter Zeihan- geopolitical travel influencer

  • @JamesGreenier
    @JamesGreenier Год назад +10

    He is the most interesting man on the planet and best teacher as well.

    • @chrischris9157
      @chrischris9157 Год назад +3

      Big sociopath vibes with this guy

    • @E4439Qv5
      @E4439Qv5 Год назад +4

      He doesn't always drink beer, but when he does--

  • @arranadams2776
    @arranadams2776 Год назад +6

    Always appreciate your analysis - I think the background scenery in this video is probably the best I’ve ever seen

  • @standinginthegap7118
    @standinginthegap7118 Год назад +6

    Thanks for this information Peter. Very informative and important for us to understand. I hope you're having a blast in New Zealand

  • @sethhailey2049
    @sethhailey2049 Год назад +6

    INCREDIBLE background and picture quality! Fantastic content, as always!

  • @andrerobertson-bate6731
    @andrerobertson-bate6731 Год назад +4

    Am loving this Zeihan, Zealand collab

  • @thehorse1sbrown
    @thehorse1sbrown Год назад +10

    The nonchalant cut to the waterfall made me burst out laughing. What's next? Polar lights? Eclipse? Meteor shower?

  • @petervanmeerem3835
    @petervanmeerem3835 Год назад +28

    We went from "cant hear you cause of the 2000 airplanes taking off simultaneously behind you" to "as tranquil as this waterfall"

    • @SuperCulverin
      @SuperCulverin Год назад +2

      This one is green-screened. Not all of them are, but this one is.
      It's smart of Peter to hide his day-to-day location.

    • @samuellanghus1455
      @samuellanghus1455 Год назад

      @@SuperCulverin How could you tell?

    • @SuperCulverin
      @SuperCulverin Год назад +1

      @samuellanghus1455
      The lighting and shadows are pretty good, but there is a chromatic mismatch between Peter and his backgrounds sometimes. This isn't a 100% giveaway though, since pre- and post-processing software will do this too.
      The dead giveaway is the environmentals. There should be water condensation on Peter and the camera as they pass by the waterfall.
      That segment was not real, 100%.

    • @samuellanghus1455
      @samuellanghus1455 Год назад

      @@SuperCulverin I didn’t even think of that! Good point!
      But is there no cinematography-inspired solution? I’m surprised that the film industry never came up with a technique or two to avoid condensation before green screens were big.
      Dang. My immersion though!

    • @terrycole472
      @terrycole472 Год назад

      @J J : Yeah. Nonsense of purest kek.

  • @someone_somewhere_from........
    @someone_somewhere_from........ Год назад +5

    As a fan of your channel from Libya I find the inaptitude of our leaders and their utter ignorance of the dangerous situation we're in to be terrifyingly terrible.
    The situation is still salvageable but all I can do is pray that God helps us.

    • @elbaldondecobian7672
      @elbaldondecobian7672 9 месяцев назад +1

      So you will solve nothing. GOD WILL NOT INTERFERE

    • @someone_somewhere_from........
      @someone_somewhere_from........ 9 месяцев назад +2

      @@elbaldondecobian7672 Thanks for your helpful input but I already am planning to do SOMETHING about it.

  • @lulufulu4867
    @lulufulu4867 Год назад +1

    Milford Sound? Gosh I wish it was calm like that when I there, it has many moods. ❤️

  • @andrewdavis6917
    @andrewdavis6917 Год назад +7

    Wow, the last bit. I had not heard that particular term before, but it is very apprepaeu. Thanks for the insight, hi from Texas

    • @DieFlabbergast
      @DieFlabbergast Год назад

      *apropos (sigh)

    • @andrewdavis6917
      @andrewdavis6917 Год назад

      @@DieFlabbergast did misspell it? Probably did

    • @mr.goldenproductions_0143
      @mr.goldenproductions_0143 3 месяца назад

      Not even the guy correcting you is correct. Well, maybe in American spelling. But the French spell it "à propos".

  • @Cybersawz
    @Cybersawz Год назад +5

    I swear, Peter's green screen is really paying off! Gorgeous global backgrounds, almost like you're really there! Love the vids! 😏

    • @SuperCulverin
      @SuperCulverin Год назад

      Yeah, it does look good. But he's relying too much on software processing. He needs to add some practical effects to really sell it.

  • @chadbentley
    @chadbentley Год назад +7

    Who needs a green screen when you have New Zealand standing behind you. 😁

  • @freebuilder007
    @freebuilder007 Год назад +1

    Raising the bar, once again. Best backdrop work ever-

  • @Trilandian
    @Trilandian Год назад +27

    When I saw the video title, I was hoping you'd talk about Israel's demographics too. Future video, maybe?

    • @davidmihal6279
      @davidmihal6279 Год назад +8

      Israel's probably unique enough to get it's own video. You've got the secular jews, religious jews, arabs, western immigrants, Ethiopians, etc

    • @sarahrosen4985
      @sarahrosen4985 Год назад

      @@davidmihal6279 no, videos on Israel are just hater troll magnets. Economics Explained (I think, it was the middle of the night for me) just released an Israel video. Just a maggot party in the comments.

    • @MarinaLaroche
      @MarinaLaroche Год назад +1

      @@davidmihal6279 And the Christians.

  • @paulp14
    @paulp14 Год назад +3

    Air traffic controller here, working in Dubai. Thanks for the shoutout.

  • @youmakeitreal
    @youmakeitreal Год назад +7

    "May all your desires be immediately fulfilled"
    Old Persian curse😌

    • @liontame5A
      @liontame5A Год назад

      Truly!
      Peter: WATCH YOUR BACK!! You are speaking too much reality for many...

  • @defacto_8840
    @defacto_8840 Год назад +1

    Oh my … how beautiful this place is! 😮

  • @cheintz44
    @cheintz44 Год назад +19

    This is so surreal. Boat slowly trolling by amazing scenes while talking of deserts, oil and strife. Amazing times we are in people!

    • @terrycole472
      @terrycole472 Год назад +4

      He's talking about future famine and hunger from the place which worries about that least. I think it's deliberate.

  • @quietus13
    @quietus13 Год назад +13

    Even air traffic controllers in a lot of Gulf countries are imported labor. They are decently well paid unlike their manual labor counterparts, and largely from the UK, but they are brought in to do the work. Many of the pilots for the various national airlines are foreigners as well (many westerners). Same with healthcare workers like nurses. Qatar has something like 1.2 million people in it but only about 200K are actually Qatari, all the rest are the imported workers and laborers that make the country run.

    • @Abduladilosman
      @Abduladilosman 6 месяцев назад

      Keep living in the past, a lot of mid-level good paying jobs are being nationalized, so the day when air controllers and pilots are all natives is coming. The area that these countries will struggle the most is executive level and manual labor and some rare skills.

  • @Mehwhatevr
    @Mehwhatevr Год назад +26

    Zeihan is secretly a travel influencer. he's using geopolics as a cover to advertise different travel destinations.

  • @anacarolinabarenboim7019
    @anacarolinabarenboim7019 Год назад +1

    Thanks Peter. And that’s a beautiful place.

  • @philvanloghem6872
    @philvanloghem6872 Год назад +1

    very interesting from an avid follower, from Northland NZ

  • @robinsmith9734
    @robinsmith9734 Год назад +9

    Great views of Bowen Falls, Stirling Falls, Harrisons Cove, and over the left shoulder at Lake Te Anau, the Dome Islands, with the Murchisons Mts behind, where the Takahe was first found. Great to have your appreciation Peter, I started work there in 1963..........

    • @SuperCulverin
      @SuperCulverin Год назад

      Yep.
      He's using some choice B-Roll for the green-screen effects.

  • @Stanthemilkman
    @Stanthemilkman Год назад +4

    I love middle earth documentaries.

  • @rpgbb
    @rpgbb Год назад +1

    I must admit I didn’t listen anything to what Peter said but I was admiring the view. Unbelievable beautiful place!

  • @Teresa-qq2qp
    @Teresa-qq2qp Год назад +5

    Thank you Peter. You are able to describe in few words, the world we live in. It took me a few seconds to figure out "Gutter" meant Qatar. Thanks again!

  • @glenchilada
    @glenchilada Год назад +5

    Everyone takes a shot when Peter says "an order of magnitude" 😉

  • @donthetrader
    @donthetrader 11 месяцев назад +2

    I spent ten years in Saudi Arabia. If for some reason the Filipinos had to leave the country, Saudi Arabia would have to totally shut down. They do everything done in the country, but medical care and prayers.

  • @reddurt8153
    @reddurt8153 Год назад +1

    The only scenic Geopolitics channel!

  • @blackbelt2000
    @blackbelt2000 Год назад +1

    The backdrop in this video is the best so far.

  • @luxmaster
    @luxmaster Год назад +3

    Great location, brilliant for these videos.

  • @hamcheeselettucemayosandwich
    @hamcheeselettucemayosandwich Год назад +38

    Hey Peter! While you’re here it would be great to hear a case study on New Zealand.
    I’d be interested to hear your take on the common theory of NZ being the place-to-be after a major global collapse.

    • @JamesGreenier
      @JamesGreenier Год назад +2

      👏🏻

    • @JK-zw8ec
      @JK-zw8ec Год назад +1

      After a major eartquake?! Or cyclone?!

    • @stephenlight647
      @stephenlight647 Год назад +6

      We’ve seen what happens when Nee Zealand is under external pressure with COVID. If you are not a native Kiwi how do you think they are going to treat you in a crisis ? Not well is the answer. So, it will be a good place to be if you know how to live in a post industrial world and you are a native. Otherwise? Nope.

    • @emceeboogieboots1608
      @emceeboogieboots1608 Год назад +3

      @@stephenlight647 The place to be means, in this case, that this is where you were went shit hits the fan I would think.
      Not the place to flee too.
      Nowhere will people likely be welcome when they move en' masse. We already know how welcoming the preppers in the US will be to the refugees from the cities...

    • @stephenlight647
      @stephenlight647 Год назад

      @@emceeboogieboots1608 yep, I agree.

  • @plangineer1375
    @plangineer1375 Год назад +2

    Peter Zeihan the Hari Seldon (Foundation series) of Geopolitics!

  • @kennethoneill4176
    @kennethoneill4176 Год назад +2

    One of the f the best travel vloggers on RUclips

  • @greendsnow
    @greendsnow Год назад +4

    OMG the beauty of the World we live in...

  • @HarryJoiner
    @HarryJoiner Год назад +10

    Your vids are a highlight of my day due to your analysis, delivery, and, of course, the scenery. You should have your own show on PBS! 🍻

  • @cordatusscire344
    @cordatusscire344 Год назад +1

    That backdrop is insane! A view that beautiful, honestly you should have narrated from behind the camera. But uh yeah, go on. I'm listening.

  • @BBQChipBlog
    @BBQChipBlog Год назад +2

    Great video. Looking at awesome scenery and listening to awesome information. Thank you Peter

  • @Unc3
    @Unc3 Год назад +5

    I would love it if you could gather a list or map of all the places you visited in NZ, the views are simply petrifying

    • @joewilde.
      @joewilde. Год назад +1

      I live here and the reality is that all these places can be visited quite easily because there is so much diversity in such a small area. You can have blistering hot weather in central otago and drive 4 hours to Milford sound were it has a huge rainfall apart from that we have a fairly mild climate... 😊 Great place to visit.

  • @abdelhamidmetwally2266
    @abdelhamidmetwally2266 Год назад +1

    Few things needed to be pointed out here. First, Egypt was never one of the major regional oil producers. Second, Peter Zeihan fails to point out that one of the reasons that mechanization of agriculture never took off in a country like Egypt is the fragmentation of land ownership especially since the 1950s, making agrictultural mechanization impractical regardless of any other environmental factors.

  • @JimForster85
    @JimForster85 Год назад +1

    Didn't hear a word you said because of the background. Beautiful!

  • @Hawtload
    @Hawtload Год назад +3

    Zeihan putting the geo in the geopolitical videos

  • @jakob27
    @jakob27 Год назад +4

    I feel like Peter has been everywhere cool.

  • @trolleysparks3941
    @trolleysparks3941 Год назад

    Awesome video production. Lighting, camera, sound, background, editing - pretty spectacular work by some bodies? What marvelous Eye candy!

  • @quietStorm247
    @quietStorm247 Год назад +1

    Thank you for the insightful analysis and the absolutely amazing scenery!

  • @zac1540
    @zac1540 Год назад +9

    While you’re in New Zealand you should do a video on their future, they are a massive trading partner with China whilst being closely aligned to the west.
    Would love to hear what you think the future hold for NZ.

    • @terrycole472
      @terrycole472 Год назад +3

      Look at Zeihan's "Dairy West" presentation... he pulls no punches about NZ being an existential threat to the profit margins of every other Dairy producer worldwide.
      So it's a little like what happened when China, in a fit of pique, blocked Australian coal. The Aussies just shrugged and sold their coal elsewhere, whereupon the Chinese lost face (were obliged to climb down and permit imports again).
      In short, NZ sells what the rest of the world wants to buy, and transport costs might be marginally increased but the loss of China markets would not cripple their economy, long term.

    • @user-microburst
      @user-microburst Год назад +1

      In his book, NZ appears to be one of the few “geographies of success”, so congrats

  • @cynicalanon8784
    @cynicalanon8784 Год назад +3

    This information came to me from an Pakistani working in the UAE recruiting nationals for construction work. Country bumpkins from the rural areas were lured with (for them high salaries) only to arrive with nothing and be treated like cattle for 6 months. Some companies would even cut "living costs" from their salary ( housing, food, and tap water) basically pocketing back a huge portion of their wages and delivering next to nothing. Some of them would straight up die of dehydration or heat stroke and nobody would bat an eye. In the UAE the laws often don't matter as they are only selectively enforced and usually bypassed by the blessing of the local leadership. But this information may also be quite old from 2004 to 2009. Things hopefully have changed by now and the oligarchs hopefully made some reforms

    • @RK-bx1by
      @RK-bx1by Год назад

      I was on the Dubai monorail in 2021 and came across a small compound alongside a major road that would look impoverished even by Indian standards. I don't think things have improved by much, but certainly the UAE is a touch ahead of the Qataris when it comes to the treatment of migrants.

  • @TheHappyHumanist
    @TheHappyHumanist Год назад

    Wow for whatever reason it looks like you’re on a green screen the way you’re lit somehow! Cool! Thanks for keeping us updated even while you were on vacation. Beautiful spot!

  • @scytheio1879
    @scytheio1879 Год назад

    Forget the video..... those backgrounds are just incredible.

  • @kavemanthewoodbutcher
    @kavemanthewoodbutcher Год назад +4

    I like how he pronounced Qatar as "Gutter", several times.

  • @Djsmt2250
    @Djsmt2250 Год назад +7

    Anything on Myanmar and the ongoing civil war and how it could affect Indo- China trade and relationship?

    • @bwrscott1
      @bwrscott1 Год назад +1

      How bout South Sudan?

  • @bpo6955
    @bpo6955 Год назад +2

    Always the optimist 😊

  • @glmht
    @glmht Год назад +1

    This guy is making me visit New Zealand

  • @e-taz
    @e-taz Год назад +3

    I'm not sure I'm patient enough for 1 or 2 decades. Change needs to Happen and soon.

  • @davidparnell1893
    @davidparnell1893 Год назад +20

    Peter describes the world from a perspective of "human physics". He doesn't overcomplicate like a diamond cutter but he does operate on thought frequencies vacated by the corporate media. He's like a mechanic with so many specialty tools he can teardown to the truth and tell us what that mysterious "noise" is. There are political vectors in his summaries and I sometimes worry who his masters are. He describes human events by describing force vectors of history and Maslow's psychology of economy but he always avoids issues of societal power distribution and equity. I don't know if this is for avoiding "societal noise" or hiding a more sinister agenda. I mention this because the forces of the future he divines are the most consequential. What I appreciate the most is how stupid "our" top politicians are as they are incapable of "Zeihanistic thought". Peter provides measuring capabilities of social integrity our politicians are ignorant of and so we clearly see D.C is a puppet stage and not a center of human cognitive skill capable of running a nation. But then he provides a comparison of "our" fools vs. "their" fools which suggests the next chess moves of the world's actors. Thank you Peter.

    • @vision2080
      @vision2080 Год назад +4

      Equity is the shrill cry of the poor and stupid to be handed that which they did not earn and do not deserve.

  • @thebigblah13
    @thebigblah13 Год назад +1

    Oh man the dynamic background in this one is nice

  • @daviddougherty5714
    @daviddougherty5714 Год назад +1

    Great mountain gemographics he chose for background. Classic Peter.

  • @tsubadaikhan6332
    @tsubadaikhan6332 Год назад +3

    Two important items I think Peter failed to mention. Firstly, Ethiopia is building a Massive Hydro Electric Dam on the Blue Nile. With the ability to shut off most of Egypt's water, I don't see that ending without a War. One drought in a region famous for them, and the Egyptians will be blaming the Ethiopians, even if they do nothing wrong. Prior to the Afghanistan and Iraq Wars, Egypt has always been one of the major recipients of US Aid, mainly in the form of weaponry, because the US bribed them not to attack Israel or the Suez Canal, no matter how Corrupt their Government was. Even in the last 22 years, Egypt has never dropped out of the top 5 US Aid recipients. So, if Egypt goes to War, we can thank the Americans for Arming them so well.
    Secondly. The Largest Infrastructure Project Africa has ever had was Gadhafi irrigating huge internal areas of Libya from aquifers beneath the Sahara. When NATO decided to back a Revolution in Libya, they bombed the crap out of that entire Civilian Project. Europeans are swamped with Migrants from North Africa and the Middle East, but perhaps blowing up the only means they had to feed themselves wasn't the brightest move. Trump was a complete idiot, but Hillary gloating about removing Gadhafi just about would have made me Vote for a twat like Trump over her. Gadhafi wasn't a good friend of the West, but he was far from their worst enemy. Thank France for starting that shit. Oddly enough, that one is not all on the US.

    • @SuperCulverin
      @SuperCulverin Год назад

      He talked about Ethiopia and the Nile's water rights in his Africa video.

  • @LabTech41
    @LabTech41 Год назад +24

    I don't think anyone who's been on the bad side of Middle East activity is going to shed a tear to see them collapse into famine and chaos; the more I hear Zeihan's presentations, the more I see awful countries run by tyrannical despots seeing the chickens come home to roost, and they're bringing the whirlwind with them.

    • @Inukshuk67
      @Inukshuk67 Год назад +2

      Israelis laughing in Hebrew.

    • @maxpower3990
      @maxpower3990 Год назад +3

      While you may lie it if a brutal dictatorship collapses remember the millions of oppressed people who will suffer even worse when it happens.
      Also remember that millions will flee as refugees to the place they think is safest. Syrians fled to Europe in the millions, as did Libyans and Sudanese amount others. El Salvadorans fleeing to the US. Even Australia had refugees from as far away as Iraq trying to enter.

    • @LabTech41
      @LabTech41 Год назад

      @@maxpower3990 Those migrations are largely the fault of globalist powers who see the declining birthrates of the developing world as a problem they think they can solve by importing foreigners; a fool's gambit that they've yet to realize has been blowing up in their faces for now close to a decade. They'd be much better served by promoting natalist policy, but most of them are fairly anti-life, if you look at the end results.
      Without the WEF types, they'd barely get outside their borders.
      Also, not for nothing, but most of the Middle East as we know it is a fiction borne of the necessities of the early to mid 20th century; a fiction that took inter-sectarian relationships as a last consideration. Chaos is the inevitable result of a people being up-jumped well beyond their ability and beyond their cultural constraints. Without Western influence, they'd fall back to the Bedouin tribes they were a century ago.

    • @greywolf1989
      @greywolf1989 Год назад +1

      @@maxpower3990most of those countries will close their borders to stop them from coming in

    • @matthewmcclary7855
      @matthewmcclary7855 10 месяцев назад +1

      Regardless of your view, a hungry neighbor is dangerous to everyone, especially to those he sees eating while his family starves.

  • @saintstyle
    @saintstyle Год назад +2

    Well at last!🎉 thank you

  • @rogerlyman89
    @rogerlyman89 Год назад +1

    Thanks for the extra cool scenery!!

  • @caliphate6774
    @caliphate6774 Год назад +3

    New Zealand is beautiful. I love my country

  • @jameshoulihan84
    @jameshoulihan84 Год назад +3

    Please make these into a play list

    • @ZeihanonGeopolitics
      @ZeihanonGeopolitics  Год назад +2

      Here you go: ruclips.net/p/PL6zWQZTGKO4a_V4tD9wdGib4Be_rwWcbJ

    • @JD..........
      @JD.......... Год назад

      ​@@ZeihanonGeopolitics Great work!

  • @proscreens2137
    @proscreens2137 Год назад +2

    The video started in a pretty incredible location

    • @SuperCulverin
      @SuperCulverin Год назад

      Yes, one might say it is unbelievable.

  • @ramonwu4694
    @ramonwu4694 Год назад +1

    Peter lives it up!

  • @wheresmyeyebrow1608
    @wheresmyeyebrow1608 Год назад +4

    Surprise Surprise, according to his wiki, Zeihan actually went to University in New Zealand.

  • @ReflectionTool637
    @ReflectionTool637 Год назад +44

    Worked a year in Kuwait. I would not say that it was truly slave labor as the Indians and many others could leave easily on scheduled leave or leave at will in a much more difficult fashion - losing much time & money. May not be slave labor, but it is 100% inhumane and the Middle East is easily, IMO, the worst place on the planet. Most people are good, but some cultures are REALLY bad.

    • @didiss400
      @didiss400 Год назад +1

      Slavery is allowed in izlam

    • @kw6570
      @kw6570 Год назад +1

      Coming from an American, very rich. Everything bad in the Middle East is 10 times worse in the west

    • @ReflectionTool637
      @ReflectionTool637 Год назад +1

      @@kw6570 hahaha, I thought drugs were illegal in the Middle East (ME). I ain't saying the US is great, but it is WAY better than the ME.

  • @caseyh1934
    @caseyh1934 4 месяца назад

    Peters affinity for New Zealand.... I bet he's a big LOTR fan.

  • @CEOsario
    @CEOsario Год назад +2

    Thanks for sharing...Ever think about a segment (or two) on communications and their effect globally?..

  • @grahamelliott9506
    @grahamelliott9506 Год назад +3

    as an ameican, i feel a bajillion to the freedomth power more worldly because of Peter Zeihan

  • @ginsuthegreat
    @ginsuthegreat Год назад +4

    Love this. Travel the world and show us beautiful places while speaking at a high level on IPE. Part nature doc part lecture. 😂🎉❤

  • @roryblake7311
    @roryblake7311 Год назад +2

    I started a channel on preventing aging after watching Peter's travelogues... See if you can spot the difference

  • @Fatnugly
    @Fatnugly Год назад +2

    Some west coast! love the setting.

  • @calvinprice1204
    @calvinprice1204 Год назад +6

    Students should get college credit from listening to Peter- it’s unbelievable that this knowledge is left out of college curriculums (curricula).

    • @RK-bx1by
      @RK-bx1by Год назад +1

      Many politicians would go out of business if this were common knowledge. Except for the Americans, what Peter's been talking about isn't good news for anyone.

  • @Red.Hot.Chili.Beans63
    @Red.Hot.Chili.Beans63 Год назад +3

    Peter during your discussion you did not discuss what happens when the population starts starving and collapsing. Is it not reasonable that never before seen waves of North African and Middle East migration into Europe will result??

    • @stephenlight647
      @stephenlight647 Год назад

      Extremely reasonable.

    • @Stoddardian
      @Stoddardian 7 месяцев назад

      Yes and how do you think Europe will react? A few million of them in 2016 already changed European politics. What do you think tens of millions is going to look like. There will be fascist revolutions all over the continent.

  • @johnathansuda570
    @johnathansuda570 Год назад +1

    Don't miss Golden Bay..... The Northwest corner.... Lived there for 25 years.... A special quiet beauty..... H

  • @ralphhardie7492
    @ralphhardie7492 Год назад

    Awesome backdrop
    Really amazing
    WOW 😳

  • @Lensman864
    @Lensman864 Год назад +11

    The analogy is performance enhancing drugs in sport: a brief period of overt success until the drugs go away or are forced away and then a terrible personal crash. The "benefits" of petrochemical income for some societies pan out the same.

    • @MrTupimus
      @MrTupimus Год назад +3

      Same thing happens with any other great wealth that creates overt income disparities.

    • @juniorjames7076
      @juniorjames7076 Год назад +1

      And both Turkey (neo-Ottoman Empire) and Iran are waiting in the wings to step back into that region.

  • @rschiwal
    @rschiwal Год назад +3

    An Egyptian man told me he was having a discussion with a Saudi.
    "What do you eat for breakfast?"
    "Fava Beans."
    "What do you eat for dinner?"
    "Fava Beans."
    "What do you eat for supper?"
    "Fava beans."
    "Fava beans! nothing but fava beans! That is food for animals! What separates the Egyptians from the animals?"
    "The Red Sea."

  • @thedramaticcharismatic5664
    @thedramaticcharismatic5664 9 месяцев назад

    Milford Sound must be incredible, because I live in redwood country and that's still impressing me. Come to Trinidad CA, Peter. You'll love it.

  • @juniorjames7076
    @juniorjames7076 Год назад +2

    Sudan is in complete chaos as this is airing (April 21, '23). People are evacuating Khartoum. Is this related?

  • @drpaulchan
    @drpaulchan Год назад +8

    Love your analysis of Food Pyramid and the introduction of oil. Middle East Always fascinates me ever since I saw movie Lawrence of Arabia, and still wonder there is no Pan-Arabic Nation, even though they have the advantage of 1 religion 1 language. I have been learning Arabic now, the most difficult language from a Chinese point of view!

    • @porcus123
      @porcus123 Год назад

      They dont have 1 religion, Protestants, and Christians were killing each other in the 1600s. Xia and sunni sects hate each other just as much.

    • @sarahrosen4985
      @sarahrosen4985 Год назад +4

      Oh, I saw a video in the last year on why they don't. Look for a video on why all the countries' flags are basically the same. Remember, they are all a bunch of tribes. The native Americans didn't all unite and form a single country and that is a much smaller area.

    • @porcus123
      @porcus123 Год назад +2

      @@sarahrosen4985 that was because baathism, 1950s ideology based on muslim cooperation. safe to say that went down the hole very fast in the last few years.

    • @drpaulchan
      @drpaulchan Год назад +1

      @@sarahrosen4985 well, Chinese have 25 languages Indians 30 languages and Europeans 30 languages. Europeans are tribal too, why they want to split UK into 4, and why Czechoslovak split into 2 countries..
      If you are American, .. maybe you are not.
      It is like splitting West Virginia into 2.. East West Virginia and West West Virginia.. now you can have some serious rivalry..
      Arabic is an insane language
      1 woman eat is different from 2 women eat. Is different from 2 men eat
      Who invented this languages?

    • @tumslucks9781
      @tumslucks9781 11 месяцев назад +1

      Are you kidding??
      Arabic is the easiest exotic language.