Peter Zeihan: What Will The World Look Like in Five Years?

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  • Опубликовано: 23 май 2024
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    Regionalization” is the transition from a world of stable prices and consistent growth to one of rising costs of living where the threat of global famine is real.
    The breakdown of an economic order framed by just-in-time supply chains requires a rethink of trade networks and relationships. Geopolitical strategist Peter Zeihan addresses these issues and more in his new book “The End of the World Is Just the Beginning: Mapping the Collapse of Globalization.”
    Zeihan joins Real Vision’s Maggie Lake to talk about the implications of this transition, including the end of China’s time as a great power and the perpetuation of the U.S. dollar’s status as the global reserve currency.
    Recorded on May 31, 2022.
    TIMESTAMPS:
    00:00:10 Why Our Future Will Be Pricier, Worse & Slower
    00:03:52 The Benefits of Globalization
    00:05:43 The Demographic Effect at a Global Scale
    00:08:36 The End of the Supply Chain Network As We Know It
    00:14:53 Solving Demographics Through Immigration Policies. Is it Possible?
    00:15:39 The One-Child Policy & the Decline of China
    00:23:32 The Risk of Global Famine Is Real
    00:31:47 The Future of the U.S. Dollar As the Strongest Currency
    00:34:48 Globalization vs. Regionalization
    00:41:51 Productivity, Demographics, Technology and Europe's Future.
    00:47:48 What Determines the Geography of Success?
    00:55:12 Opportunities for Latin America in a World Starved of Food & Energy
    01:02:47 Is there Hope for a Better Future?
    #China #geopolitics #PeterZeihan
    Thanks for watching Real Vision Finance!
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    Disclaimer:
    This is pretty obvious, but we should probably say it anyway so there is no confusion…The material in REAL VISION GROUP video programs and publications {collectively referred to as “RV RELEASES”} is provided for informational purposes only and is NOT investment advice. The information in RV RELEASES has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but Real Vision and its contributors, distributors and/or publisher, licensors, and their respective employees, contractors, agents, suppliers, and vendors { collectively, “Affiliated Parties”} make no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the content in RV RELEASES. Any data included in RV RELEASES are illustrative only and not for investment purposes. Any opinion or recommendation expressed in RV RELEASES is subject to change without notice. RV Releases do not recommend, explicitly nor implicitly, nor suggest or recommend any investment strategy. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties disclaim all liability for any loss that may arise (whether direct indirect, consequential, incidental, punitive, or otherwise) from any use of the information in RV RELEASES. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties do not have regard for any individual, group of individuals, or entity’s specific investment objectives, financial situation, or circumstance. RV RELEASES do not express any opinion on the future value of any security, currency, or other investment instruments. You should seek expert financial and other advice regarding the appropriateness of the material discussed or recommended in RV RELEASES and should note that investment values may fall, you may receive less back than originally invested and past performances are not necessarily reflective of future performances. Well, that was pretty intense! We hope you got all of that - now stop reading the small print and go and enjoy Real Vision.

Комментарии • 2,9 тыс.

  • @RealVisionFinance
    @RealVisionFinance  Год назад +131

    🔥 Get a 14-day 𝐅𝐑𝐄𝐄 trial to Real Vision 👉 rvtv.io/unfk
    TIMESTAMPS:
    00:00:10 Why Our Future Will Be Pricier, Worse & Slower
    00:03:52 The Benefits of Globalization
    00:05:43 The Demographic Effect at a Global Scale
    00:08:36 The End of the Supply Chain Network As We Know It
    00:14:53 Solving Demographics Through Immigration Policies. Is it Possible?
    00:15:39 The One-Child Policy & the Decline of China
    00:23:32 The Risk of Global Famine Is Real
    00:31:47 The Future of the U.S. Dollar As the Strongest Currency
    00:34:48 Globalization vs. Regionalization
    00:41:51 Productivity, Demographics, Technology and Europe's Future.
    00:47:48 What Determines the Geography of Success?
    00:55:12 Opportunities for Latin America in a World Starved of Food & Energy
    01:02:47 Is there Hope for a Better Future?

    • @hibatica
      @hibatica Год назад +15

      Just a tip, if you put the time stamps in the description, it divides your video up into "chapters" and it's a much nicer interface for viewers.

    • @112deeps
      @112deeps Год назад +2

      Well done Real Vision Finance for bringing Peter Zeihan to the platform and date stamping the conversation in the Title summary and Airing date.
      simply professional ...

    • @spencerp6190
      @spencerp6190 Год назад +3

      The thumbnail for this video looks like a time capsule from the 90's, and I'm here for it.

    • @jackkennedy9475
      @jackkennedy9475 Год назад +2

      If Peter Zeihan is correct, shorter supply chains, localized produce and production then this had other potential ramifications. Some of his statements: inflation, baby boomers retiring, reduction of younger workers to fill jobs across many developed countries to include China and India, and potential lose of globalization. With reduction of workers will reduce pollution, assumption retirees pollute less, shorter supply chains reduction in energy consumption and waste, localized companies will have to find better methods for managing waste/pollution, who wants to live in a garbage dump, famine could equate to a moderate drop in population, war the same.
      These issues seem to point to less pollution and significantly more smaller localized produce.

    • @RealVisionFinance
      @RealVisionFinance  Год назад +2

      @@hibatica Thanks mate - We'll apply that on our next upload! Stay tuned...

  • @jacklatta1890
    @jacklatta1890 Год назад +55

    This interviewer is outstanding…I’ve listened to many people ask questions to Peter on many different lectures, podcasts, etc…and this lady is asking questions and exploring directions that I’ve wanted to ask…it’s well done.

  • @robertfeinberg748
    @robertfeinberg748 9 месяцев назад +5

    When Kissinger and Nixon engineered the opening to China, it was assumed that China would liberalize, but it never happened.

  • @viveviveka2651
    @viveviveka2651 Год назад +76

    I'm fascinated by this guy. His thinking can be careless, and his logic sketchy and flawed, but he gets it right often enough. He is great at communicating and condensing complex issues. His energy is positive. He's not trying to bum listeners out, unlike a lot of journalists, experts, pundits, and others these days. He is not as boring as most others are.

    • @andrewkang5962
      @andrewkang5962 Год назад +1

      Yes, You are right. I think so too. BTW 1:05:32 Wow! That's so cool! I like that!!!

    • @brirocks
      @brirocks Год назад +6

      After discovering him during a Rogan podcast, I concur. He has such a great flow. Continuous but not overwhelming.

    • @brady3474
      @brady3474 Год назад +1

      You say he has got it right often enough. This is the first I have ever heard of him , and this is the first time I’ve heard this detailed prediction for china. I was hooked. But then I wondered if there is documentation of him getting anything right. Do you know of any time he nailed a prediction?

    • @Rytar
      @Rytar 11 месяцев назад +3

      Climate change alarmist. Never badmouths any big names in the Fed/gov't. How is that possible? He's big on signal intelligence, himself - he's playing for team Pentagon and loves to hear himself talk..

    • @gamble8008
      @gamble8008 11 месяцев назад +7

      @@brady3474 the 2008 collapse. that made him famous. he has like hundreds of 1hr presentations before it and also in the 2010s where he predicts ukraine. in all of these examples he really just observes macro trends so it’s not predicting. it’s just saying “china has no ppl, so it collapses soon”

  • @thinman8621
    @thinman8621 9 месяцев назад +18

    A person could easily do a whole college course spinning out from this interview. Excellent interview.

    • @Stash186
      @Stash186 3 месяца назад

      Or a clear understanding of why college's have regulated themselves to the dumpster useless institutions

  • @gabelazar6376
    @gabelazar6376 Год назад +740

    I’ll give it to Peter Zeihan- he’s been preaching this same narrative for about a decade now. He’s certainly intelligent, and I agree with majority of his perspectives, but I think some of his messages are spoken in terms that are too absolute and don’t allow for alternative potential scenarios. We’ll just have to see how the future unfolds!

    • @napper2212
      @napper2212 Год назад

      I'm very confident that none of Zeihan's predictions will come true.
      It's just a bunch of hyperbolic projections based on flawed premises, faulty logic, totally unreliable statistics. & Wishful thinking.
      China will "collapse" in the next 10-15 years? That's utter nonsense.
      I'm willing to bet real money against him on this.

    • @jamesdonop445
      @jamesdonop445 Год назад

      Look at global news keyword famine. Looks like he is right so far

    • @fffwe3876
      @fffwe3876 Год назад +58

      demographic analysis is what he knows.
      you know what they say about a man with a hammer.
      one of the biggest source of basic human misjudgement.

    • @Starbat88
      @Starbat88 Год назад +57

      Events might not be so straightforward as he is describing. But we can anticipate the general trend he's describing, just based on the limitations of resources and demographics. These things have inevitable consequences.

    • @peredavi
      @peredavi Год назад +69

      If you’re selling seminars and books, saying “things might go this way, but on the other hand it may go that way, but I’m not really sure!?”. Yeah, that would sell!🤣

  • @jacasadia
    @jacasadia Год назад +542

    Maggie, I have heard several people interview Peter over the last few months. I think yours was one of the best. Wonderful insightful questions!

    • @nicksince9487
      @nicksince9487 Год назад +15

      Completely agree!

    • @userasdf1546
      @userasdf1546 Год назад +7

      Any interview is better the that ARK Investment one

    • @anthonypeterson5565
      @anthonypeterson5565 Год назад +9

      Definitely agree. The interview was a concise summary of Peter's perspective.

    • @PerversePoster
      @PerversePoster Год назад +5

      Agreed.

    • @gilligan87
      @gilligan87 Год назад +6

      big agree James, she asked the best questions I've ever seen him asked

  • @vanbarrettdesign
    @vanbarrettdesign 7 месяцев назад +13

    So, now that we are into Q4, world cereal production is set to be the highest ever, this contradicts Peter’s forecast.

    • @Fireball4511
      @Fireball4511 3 месяца назад +2

      Gain and fuel prices are fine, low even.
      The Russians didn't lose their pipelines.
      Peter makes these big predictions based on nothing being done to avoid the impending doom. Then people take action and the problem is avoided and the predictions fail to come true.

  • @Automedon2
    @Automedon2 Год назад +166

    Wow, this is the best explanation of global economics I've ever seen. This is why the traditional media is falling apart - they are beholden to political parties and the corporations that sustain them. So, you never get a full picture without bias or promotion. Thanks for this breath of fresh air.

    • @RealVisionFinance
      @RealVisionFinance  Год назад +4

      Thanks for watching!

    • @someonewhoknows1891
      @someonewhoknows1891 Год назад +4

      Absolutely. You have young excited reporters who go into the field because they want to uncover truth and report on hard hitting news. When they see how lucrative it is to go with the status quo, or the alternative is they are shuffled off to a middle of the cornfield news station,(if they don’t go along with them). They become the very people that they set out to investigate.

    • @SignalCorps1
      @SignalCorps1 Год назад +4

      It also takes brains to internalize all this information and draw logical conclusions, something 99% of today’s media personnel lack.

    • @andrewkang5962
      @andrewkang5962 Год назад

      Wow! 1:05:32 This is the best depiction of S. Korea I've ever seen. See! This is why the West is the best, East is evil.

    • @zuzanazuscinova5209
      @zuzanazuscinova5209 Месяц назад

      Traditional media is nothing but entertainment

  • @Boydster519
    @Boydster519 Год назад +16

    Peter is brilliant. I started looking into futurists and the coming boomer retirement 20+ years ago. Troubling and sobering. But it does give me some hope here in Canada. God bless you all.

  • @paulpetersen879
    @paulpetersen879 Год назад +31

    Yup, globalization has been great for everyone except the American worker, who has seen millions of their jobs shipped overseas so the 1% could get richer.

    • @robbiep742
      @robbiep742 Год назад +3

      I'd argue it's been great for the top 33%, with an exponential increase as an individual's/family's wealth increases on the curve. If you make over 100k, even in wealthier areas in the US, you've been able to purchase all the high quality goods you need, enjoy expensive services, and benefited from the financial market boom over the last 30 years. I'm now in a high earning percentile, too bad I finally have money to invest and am entering what could be a long dark winter. I sure hope Zeihan is wrong on the severity of things...

    • @paulheydarian1281
      @paulheydarian1281 Год назад +4

      @@robbiep742 Well, you can always throw your money at the throngs of homeless gangs moving to a neighborhood near you. 🤪😊

    • @Zummbot
      @Zummbot Год назад +5

      Globalization has been great for everyone, including the American worker, but simply less so than for the upper classes. Even the poorest Americans have an income exponentially larger than the global worker class. Think about it: would you have more purchasing power waiting tables in America or assembling iPhones in China? I hope the answer is obvious.

    • @stevemace1725
      @stevemace1725 Год назад

      This is where he underestimates the trend.

  • @kenflagler635
    @kenflagler635 Год назад +44

    This interview is hypnotic. I have never listened to this kind of stuff in the past. But at 58 I am learning so much listening to Peter. Also this host really knows her stuff. Thanks!😎😎😎

    • @RealVisionFinance
      @RealVisionFinance  Год назад +6

      Welcome to Real Vision Ken! That's what we do best, helping people access the best financial intelligence.

  • @75blackviking
    @75blackviking Год назад +17

    Maggie knocks it out of the park every time. Insightful questions, provocative logical assertions and great timing for her interviewee interactions. I really enjoy watching her.

  • @GoingFar77
    @GoingFar77 Год назад +192

    After trying to watch two previous interviews with Peter that I had to turn off because the host couldn't keep up, this was a breath of fresh air. It's always nice when the host and the guest are on the same intelligence level to have a fruitful conversation.

    • @RealVisionFinance
      @RealVisionFinance  Год назад +12

      Thanks for watching!

    • @knoll9812
      @knoll9812 10 месяцев назад

      She read the notes and fed him easy questions

  • @tomtao4266
    @tomtao4266 Год назад +92

    This lady is an amazing interviewer
    And Peter is brilliant

  • @godssoldier101
    @godssoldier101 Год назад +4

    Just imagine how robust Americas production/consumption numbers would be (PEOPLE) if it wasn't for 3rd wave feminism / abortion / birth control etc.. I'm not sure why this isn't even mentioned as a contributor for the plunge in "birth rates" in western countries... its one of the biggest reasons

    • @knoll9812
      @knoll9812 10 месяцев назад +1

      Falling birthrate is strongly correlated with prosperity in every country. Poor people have babies .rich people have stuff
      .

  • @davidwelty9763
    @davidwelty9763 Год назад +4

    This interview is why I like Real Vision, smart people, different voices with different perspectives.

  • @2Oldcoots
    @2Oldcoots Год назад +42

    The truth of this man's vision is coming true before our very eyes. Great interview because the interviewer is truly professional and allowed the interviewee to fully answer insightful questions.

  • @tazmokhan7614
    @tazmokhan7614 Год назад +116

    An interviewer asking the tough questions and guest who is ready to give real answers....so rare and sooooo refreshing...definately worth subbing, can wait for more vids to see.

    • @RealVisionFinance
      @RealVisionFinance  Год назад +8

      Thanks for watching and welcome to Real Vision!

    • @ruoyuli4091
      @ruoyuli4091 Год назад

      Peter is blaming inflation on china?! the u.s printed 3 trillion dollars during 2020 to help stay at home unemployed Americans during lockdown. It sanctioned and put tariff on chinese goods, effectively raising prices on common household items. And Peter blames CHINA?!

    • @tazmokhan7614
      @tazmokhan7614 Год назад +3

      @@ruoyuli4091 he talking about inflation on a global scale and how the decisions the CCP has made on the Globl Markets has effected not only the wolrd markets but also the US Markets and yes pumping 3 trillion into the economy has contributed to our inflation but that has only been made worse but a government that has made bad decisions for a country and its economy that 4X bigger than ours. So yes 3 trillion is one thing but China mistakes are magnified when its 4X times bigger than it main rival.

  • @A1441
    @A1441 Год назад +60

    I keep hoping that the interview would last longer than it did just so I could hear more from this intelligent discussion. We were all schooled big-time by these two!

    • @J-Woke
      @J-Woke Год назад +4

      He was just on Joe Rogan, it's a great podcast, make sure to listen!

    • @A1441
      @A1441 Год назад

      @@J-Woke Thanks for the info! I will check that out.

    • @retailtherapist
      @retailtherapist 5 месяцев назад

      Also, the book is great. If you're not much of a reader, try the audio book.

  • @nononsenseBennett
    @nononsenseBennett Год назад +11

    Very informative and easy to follow. ENCORE! More should see this.

  • @bernadettedunn6129
    @bernadettedunn6129 Год назад +233

    This is the best interview I’ve seen with Peter. Thanks for asking my questions. I love listening to Peter. He gives me a shred of hope for our grandchildren.

  • @objectivefreedom5301
    @objectivefreedom5301 Год назад +125

    I have been living now in China for 7 years and I fully agree with Peter’s vision. It’s spot on.

  • @tosseway145
    @tosseway145 Год назад +2

    Thanks you so much for putting the "Air Date:" on your content and leaving it up there. It makes a big difference. I have subscribed because of the date stamp.

  • @angelwings3369
    @angelwings3369 Год назад +49

    Fascinating and insightful questions and answers... Great interview to listen to, and despite the ~ pain ~ to come in the near future, Peter's outlook for the U.S. is the most positive I've heard lately. My hope and prayer is that as a nation we are able to maintain our attitude of helping humankind where and when we can. May Love be the guiding light as we head into these trials and tribulations... ❣

    • @RealVisionFinance
      @RealVisionFinance  Год назад +3

      Thanks for watching!

    • @johnnarez6396
      @johnnarez6396 9 месяцев назад

      Don't forget God's wisdom (Prov. 3:17b). Absolutely crucial.

    • @kathryngannon485
      @kathryngannon485 8 месяцев назад

      Helping mankind? All you have done is wage war on millions of people and now you are paying the price with immigrants.

  • @michaelb6529
    @michaelb6529 Год назад +21

    I follow Peter and have seen a lot of interviews. This interview was on of the very best. The interviewer was outstanding, bravo.

    • @hanfucolorful9656
      @hanfucolorful9656 Год назад

      But, not even one thing he said about China is true. With people like this guy brainwashing its people, China can "sit back and relax".

    • @ruoyuli4091
      @ruoyuli4091 Год назад

      he speaks through the lens of white supremacy. Subtle but nontheless obvious when he references global order as European western order. and the rest to the world follows.

    • @RealVisionFinance
      @RealVisionFinance  Год назад

      Thanks for watching!

  • @franzvanjulio5523
    @franzvanjulio5523 Год назад +24

    This is awesome. Just ran into this tonight and have subscribed. I love these macro perspectives of how everything works. Thank you!

  • @Widesight
    @Widesight Год назад +1

    Change is always scary but change is the only place you find opportunity. Some will be frozen with fear (hopefully not literally) but for those people (especially the young) who are able to be see the light at the end of tunnel…we are looking at the most exciting, innovative times for decades. My sense is that people have not enjoyed being dulled by comfort in the last few years, here’s your chance to get snappy.

  • @VeganChefRon
    @VeganChefRon Год назад +4

    Such an amazing interviewer with precise insightful questions! Learned so much.

  • @ebrudy1
    @ebrudy1 Год назад +16

    This is absolutely amazing. This should have way more views than it does.

    • @beomc4539
      @beomc4539 Год назад

      What is amazing about it. This guy is very misleading. His bias is high and leaves out massive issues that are effecting globalisation. I wouldn't put too much stock into what he says.

    • @RealVisionFinance
      @RealVisionFinance  Год назад

      It's catching up 🔥Thanks for watching!

  • @timknight6248
    @timknight6248 Год назад +8

    Agree with all. One of the best interviews of Peter.

  • @athena_the_hun1097
    @athena_the_hun1097 Год назад +5

    Absolutely awesome interview - real input and valid ideas

  • @jesusramos778
    @jesusramos778 Год назад +1

    I am amazed at the intelligence on which this interviewer directed the conversation, you're so smart and well informed 👍🏻

  • @demven04
    @demven04 Год назад +7

    The best interview I’ve seen lately with Peter.

  • @martyz3170
    @martyz3170 Год назад +17

    Great interview, Peter's books are amazing, highly recommend to read it

  • @sfurtado3
    @sfurtado3 Год назад +1

    Good questions and reporting! Thanks for the content looking forward to exploring your channel

  • @RT-mn2pb
    @RT-mn2pb Год назад +13

    This must be the 5th time I watched this interview. Maggie, thanks for thoughtful and insightful observations and questions. Terrific to find a deeply intelligent conversation.

    • @RealVisionFinance
      @RealVisionFinance  Год назад

      Thanks for watching!

    • @houyang5396
      @houyang5396 Год назад +1

      I did the same.
      Watching the video over & over again.
      Each time learning new things.
      So much info to digest👏

  • @jewittm
    @jewittm Год назад +5

    Easily one of the best interviews I’ve seen with him

  • @Greg-yu4ij
    @Greg-yu4ij Год назад +15

    I love listening to this guy. He reminds us not to give up on America and its blessings.

    • @ineffige
      @ineffige Год назад

      And trust me, we've had the taste of alternative...

    • @vincentanguoni8938
      @vincentanguoni8938 Год назад +1

      Nice! Great to see an optimist here! Gracias!!

    • @gdutfulkbhh7537
      @gdutfulkbhh7537 Год назад

      Future America at the macro level looks like it will be okay. At the meso level, I wonder. A white minority USA with wealth concentrated in walled compounds with private security forces... because there are other aspects of demographics that a respectable academic can’t discuss.

  • @patriciapalmer1377
    @patriciapalmer1377 Год назад +12

    Zeihan is much more right than wrong over the haul. Been following him a long time. Thanks for your time and effort !

    • @RealVisionFinance
      @RealVisionFinance  Год назад

      Thanks for watching!

    • @esjabear1168
      @esjabear1168 11 месяцев назад +1

      You are correct. Zeihan is more right than wrong. I've noticed also that when he is wrong (usually about something trivial) he will correct it subsequently. Also, when time passes and a prediction he made is wrong, the prediction was logical, and one of the players may have taken Zeihan's advice to heart and managed to change the predicted outcome.

  • @karma3101
    @karma3101 Год назад +50

    I would have liked to hear Zeihans thoughts on the possibility of a digital currency and the idiotic push by some countries like Holland to decimate their farming industry in a time of global food shortages!

    • @George-pt8tb
      @George-pt8tb Год назад +7

      Epoch times has the vest breakdown on the weirdness behind the food crisis imo

    • @mycandy1103
      @mycandy1103 Год назад +8

      He's not a fan of crypto currency. He said it's like betamax

    • @Stash186
      @Stash186 3 месяца назад

      Your currency has been digital for decades. What is different with CBDC's is a central ledger.

  • @davidlindburg1921
    @davidlindburg1921 Год назад +99

    Very captivating interview. Maggie's clearly a most capable interviewer and Peter equally knows his stuff. Flowing, interesting, thought provoking 😁👍

  • @michaelmurby400
    @michaelmurby400 Год назад +72

    Maggie, you are a gem. Thank you for what you do. 😊

  • @ivohahn
    @ivohahn Год назад +1

    Excellent speaker and interviewer; both sharing fascinating insights.

  • @JimVarneyHaHa
    @JimVarneyHaHa Год назад +2

    More guests like this please. Much more “real” than most of your guests… especially the weekly repeats

  • @krakhedd
    @krakhedd Год назад +13

    This was a really, really great interview!

  • @hernandojimenez5102
    @hernandojimenez5102 Год назад +26

    Your message over the global economy is music to my ears, and I tend to agree on it about 98 percent, thank you for a great interview 😀

  • @samspade1841
    @samspade1841 Год назад +28

    Great interview. In the time I watched this interview it’s more time than I have watched msm in the last 3 years. I live in Canada and learned our media is bought by our government and has no interest in providing information to viewers that isn’t corrupted. I appreciated the questions were about learning and not seeking a narrative. Great job on the interview!

  • @Guanaalex
    @Guanaalex Год назад

    Peter Zeihan, one of my most favorite speakers. Thanks for that Premium AAA guest, very much appreciated.

  • @joshcross5929
    @joshcross5929 Год назад +5

    Best interview I’ve seen in a long time. Thank you

  • @juliebutler8241
    @juliebutler8241 Год назад +48

    Best interview of Peter ever! Lots of questions that people want to know the answers to!

    • @RealVisionFinance
      @RealVisionFinance  Год назад +1

      Thanks for watching, Julie!

    • @orientex
      @orientex Год назад

      I’m a professor of management and these interviews make me feel uniformed! Great interview questions. Really impressed.

  • @thisfloridagirl5280
    @thisfloridagirl5280 Год назад +3

    This guy is so sure and such an absolutist. Anyone so sure of such intricate issues is a quack to me.

    • @whaleoilbeefhooked3892
      @whaleoilbeefhooked3892 Год назад +1

      Totally agree. 53:39 is the primary shill reveal presentation point is 1 min long. Clueless. Deliberate failure to not interject to correct the interviewer that mRNA is only used in agriculture because the lifespan of animals is short. Keeping the animals healthy until their prime harvest for profit margin is reached is purely a death for profit business component. The animals will all die because of ADE if left to live even their full short comparative lifespan. i.e. Marek's Disease. Peter has completely ignored human testing (lack of), to purposely abide by his master's (supposed) extinction plan. < all IMO

  • @JBsC6
    @JBsC6 9 месяцев назад +2

    Fabulous insights thank you

  • @dshephardcomposer
    @dshephardcomposer Год назад +76

    Peter Zeihan is incredibly erudite and intelligent. I have immense regard for him and his tireless efforts at educating curious viewers to past, present and future global history. However, as is the case with many intelligent people who make bold, attention-getting predictions, they usually have a blind spot. IF his predictions fail to prove out over the coming decades, and I say if, I would argue that the blind spot that caused it was in extrapolating too heavily from the past what the future will be, based on a calculation of how an expected shift in geopolitical and demographic conditions would have effected that PAST. In other words, the blind spot is not weighting heavily enough that the future is going to be too unpredictable, with innumerable unforeseeable and transformational events and developments. "Peering around the corner" of the advent of strong AI, or advanced gene therapy, or the fruition of the digital revolution is incredibly challenging. And those are known unknowns. What of the unknown unknowns?
    Of course, you can counter that all any historian or analyst can ever do is base their predictions on known knowns and known unknowns. Completely true. My point is that Zeihan tends to imbue his prognostications with an unquestionable, gospel-like quality. His framework gives a helpful starting place for how to think about geopolitics over the next half century. The mistake would be to take all these bold, dire predictions too literally.

    • @HuiChyr
      @HuiChyr Год назад +12

      He spoke confidently and sound intelligent but does NOT mean he is right.

    • @theonlyconstantischange123
      @theonlyconstantischange123 Год назад +6

      Great comment, may I ask who else u find helpful in developing a cogent global perspective? Thank you

    • @l3rucewayne1
      @l3rucewayne1 Год назад +3

      I would think a blindspot is what would make things unpredictable rather than identical with the idea of things being unpredictable. Both? Interesting points/thought food.

    • @ShadyRonin
      @ShadyRonin Год назад +9

      You nailed it. I have the same criticism of him. I think what he underestimates is human ingenuity in times of desperation, and technological breakthroughs. We are in an era where automation may step up to assist with demographic crises at an unprecedented scale. Perhaps just in time. That said Peter offers an amazing perspective and the way he thinks about the world is fascinating. It will be interesting to see what he gets right and wrong over this next decade.

    • @cooldudecs
      @cooldudecs Год назад +3

      @@HuiChyr he has been so far… It’s macro economics mixed with geo politics

  • @abhijeetkhalia
    @abhijeetkhalia Год назад +26

    This interview is a rollercoaster. Travelled all the world. What an amazing find this has been! Got a little more sense about the world.

  • @mikecutter9793
    @mikecutter9793 Год назад +1

    maybe one of the best podcast I have ever listened to.

  • @jonreeves2355
    @jonreeves2355 Год назад +4

    Most logical, and defined recognition of the current events, and great forecastinting i have ever heard! Well done, ill buy the book!

  • @Antonio-tl6ex
    @Antonio-tl6ex Год назад +13

    What an awesome interview! Agree with most of his conclusions but you have asked exactly the right questions thank you!!

  • @SionTJobbins
    @SionTJobbins Год назад +8

    Thanks. This has been one of the best interviews I've seen on RUclips. Thanks both.

  • @australianingermany2965
    @australianingermany2965 Год назад +27

    This is by far the best (of 15) interviews I have listened to with Peter, due to Maggie's intelligence, knowledge of global markets, and ability to quickly assimilate information, play it back and challenge Peter on the implications of his hypothesis. Awesome! However, where is the interview that says Peter is dead wrong and that the world is not about to completely break down and tens of millions begin to starve, governments fall, and geopolitical risks explode? Finally, how does one invest to come out ahead in the coming environment? When is Raoul Paul going to talk with Peter - I would have thought this topic is the most important one for investors in the next two years?

  • @Ottotherepoman1
    @Ottotherepoman1 Год назад +5

    Thank you for the totally unfiltered look at future economic and political trends, its so refreshing to get information without a political bias subverting the information.

  • @boxingfan5742
    @boxingfan5742 Год назад +10

    Maggie Lake, thanks for a great show! Great questions. This guest has got fascinating insight.

  • @christineparma6072
    @christineparma6072 Год назад +15

    Fantastic interview! Peter always shares an immense amount of insights and value.

  • @user-km6rh3cv7t
    @user-km6rh3cv7t 6 месяцев назад

    Great program - I'm so grateful that the questions being asked are pointed & clear as opposed to those being asked to impress.

  • @evangelicalsnever-lie9792
    @evangelicalsnever-lie9792 10 месяцев назад +1

    I've started following him. Very informative. Great interview👍

  • @bathtubs
    @bathtubs Год назад +3

    This interview gives me optimism. Great interview.

  • @demven04
    @demven04 Год назад +4

    What a great interview! Thank you a lot.

  • @DanFlorio
    @DanFlorio Год назад

    Thanks for asking the question about technology. I've listened to many of Peter's interviews, and I'm reading his latest book, and that's the question I've been waiting for him to answer.
    To his answer: nothing I see says that technological advancement is going to slow down. This is something that I entertain myself with so I keep up with advancements in a number of fields. Not to an expert level, for sure, but I watch it pretty closely. To that point, the thing that, as Peter would say, *EVERY-ONE* is missing is that advancements in 3D printing is growing quickly, maybe exponentially, and it is inevitable that we will have 3D printers that print 3D printers.
    Let that sink in for a second.
    Everything you think you know about manufacturing goes out the window.
    Plus, machine learning (Not AI) is making tremendous advancements. The next materials breakthrough in solar panel efficiency, batteries, etc., are likely to be assisted by, or discovered entirely by, machine learning.

  • @trile8
    @trile8 Год назад +2

    Great interview. Intelligent analysis. Enjoyed your show

  • @anongal7875
    @anongal7875 Год назад +7

    This guy reminds me of someone at work, who utters everything with such confidence that it makes you question their intellect. A Mr. Know-it-all who's basically just a Wish-it-all.

    • @gatoryak7332
      @gatoryak7332 Год назад +1

      Do you have anything to add to the discussion? Would you like to make a cogent argument about anything in his talk? Or are you the type of person who does nothing but fling out worthless insults?

    • @anongal7875
      @anongal7875 Год назад

      @@gatoryak7332 I already made my argument. Maybe you didn't get my point. And that's ok.

  • @AlexSaavy
    @AlexSaavy Год назад +11

    What a great interview. The host did an amazing job. Thank you 🙏🏼

  • @rubbis3742
    @rubbis3742 Год назад +3

    An American analyst for American audiences.

  • @alecpritchard
    @alecpritchard Год назад +1

    Incredible conversation, thanks

  • @Jay57T
    @Jay57T Год назад +4

    Great interview! Interesting/informative questions and answers.

  • @andrewduffy7394
    @andrewduffy7394 Год назад +5

    This is a great interview, great questions.

  • @49prodog
    @49prodog Год назад +14

    What a great conversation!!
    Why don't we see more people like you two in politics?

    • @RealVisionFinance
      @RealVisionFinance  Год назад

      Thanks for watching!

    • @stax-on-stax.crypto5452
      @stax-on-stax.crypto5452 Год назад

      Because politics is for psychopaths and sociopaths

    • @tylerdrolc4652
      @tylerdrolc4652 8 месяцев назад +3

      Because they are intelligent, wise, and strategic, all those things are forbidden in modern day politics.

  • @nedrawlings6762
    @nedrawlings6762 Год назад

    A great guest, Peter is an incredible source of information and insight. This channel has SO many ads it's distracting to watch.

  • @nathanchristopher6121
    @nathanchristopher6121 Год назад +8

    That was an incredible show. I am just blown away. Gives me a real understanding of the world in five years or so.

  • @Rojosi
    @Rojosi Год назад +12

    Great interview, thank you, exceptional insights, I took much from this discussion and look forward to the book

    • @TampaDave
      @TampaDave Год назад

      The book is selling out fast. Expect delivery delays. It went to #12 on the NYT bestseller list last week.

    • @RealVisionFinance
      @RealVisionFinance  Год назад

      Thanks for watching!

  • @toddjohnson271
    @toddjohnson271 Год назад +1

    I can't imagine avoiding global conflict with all the transition pains.

  • @mikkimikki5376
    @mikkimikki5376 Год назад +2

    ❤ Peter Zeihan

  • @myutube8x
    @myutube8x Год назад +39

    Totally Brilliant interview. Peter Zeihan -- absolutely smooth, concise, very interesting ... a master of this knowledge! Maggie lake elegantly birthing the most appropriate questions seemingly on the fly. Fantastic presentation. Worth multiple listens.

    • @RealVisionFinance
      @RealVisionFinance  Год назад +2

      Thanks for watching!

    • @rejectionistmanifesto8836
      @rejectionistmanifesto8836 Год назад +1

      This episode is very short sighted as is Zeihan. We operated the most efficient and prosperous nation in human history when our population was 175-200 million less in America. Om top billions of jobs will be reduced by software automation, robotics, A.I....etc in a time of de-globalization where the 8 billion shortly will be fighting over resources. The transition to lower population will be hard but we need to reduce the population of the working class by at least 70-80% and all the elite/rich/higher paid government wokrwr families by 99.99%. Strict child control policy should be implemented on the upper strata where only 1 in a million families should be allowed to have children, all the other families should have forced tubal ligation among this wealtheir and even upper level government families. For the other 99.99% of the population, no more than 1% of families should be allowed to have 2 children maximum then tubal ligation should be done. Otherwise expect a dystopian nightmare you cannot imagine.

    • @heimatliebe116
      @heimatliebe116 Год назад

      @@rejectionistmanifesto8836 The dystopian nightmare would be brought about by the totalitarian and evil approach YOU are demanding!

  • @joeldeanmusic
    @joeldeanmusic Год назад +21

    Would love to see Peter debate Ray Dalio on the decline / rise of China.

    • @drifty_grifty
      @drifty_grifty Год назад +1

      Such a great idea

    • @joshuajames2425
      @joshuajames2425 Год назад +8

      Dalio is heavily invested financially in the outcome he predicts with a rising China ..
      Basically he's paid to think that and has ties to ccp

    • @christopherarmstrong2710
      @christopherarmstrong2710 Год назад +1

      @@joshuajames2425 This is the feeling I’ve been getting about Dalio lately. Especially with his latest book The Changing World Order, which is extremely bullish on China.

  • @thefutureisnow8159
    @thefutureisnow8159 Год назад +2

    I would argue that the U.S. sent their manufacturing overseas because it was cheaper than having those jobs here. The corporations easily made those decisions as they were reflected in the share price of their stock and that is the number one priority for most publicly traded companies. These companies never cared a bit about working conditions- that’s why they all looked the other way when presented with evidence that children were their labor, working in unsafe conditions. I’d say nothing has really changed. Sure companies pay lip service to ESG initiatives but that’s for PR. For Apple to treat over seas employees of Foxconn or other manufacturers the same way apple corporate employees in the U.S. are paid would mean an apple iPhone price of thousands of dollars.

  • @michaelcoghlan9124
    @michaelcoghlan9124 Год назад +1

    Fantastic video, thanks to both of you..An it is aging well brilliant insight.
    M

  • @xuefalan
    @xuefalan Год назад +3

    Great interview!

  • @bbalila
    @bbalila Год назад +21

    Last month was in Argentina, I had low expectations from it but to my surprise totally love it & infrastructure is great. It’s a cheep South Spain. Seen from air the Agriculture area, it’s just like USA.

    • @SignalCorps1
      @SignalCorps1 Год назад

      I used to work in BA and I do love Argentina, but don’t get lured into thinking that Argentina is another Spain. Argentina has very volatile political environment, is economically inefficient, and isn’t very friendly to business.

  • @ryanwood1684
    @ryanwood1684 Год назад +1

    This was an amazing video. Thank you so much 🙏

  • @eastafricanist9156
    @eastafricanist9156 9 месяцев назад +1

    Great interview

  • @hotchicsf
    @hotchicsf Год назад +3

    Very insightful. Thank you for the information.

  • @mpersad
    @mpersad Год назад +29

    Genuinely, one of the best forward views of the global challenges ahead. Terrific interview, and delighted to have had this channel suggested to me, and you have a new sub!

  • @kaushikvsmaniyan
    @kaushikvsmaniyan Год назад

    39:00 - 40:46 - reassuring for India, that's if we continue to build our industrial capacity & shorten supply chains especially avoiding China & East Asia - we will have to source our energy needs from the Persian Gulf rather than Russia though. 56:55 - 57:40 - Very interesting on Argentina, positively so! 1:01:54 - 1:02:44 - Labour seemingly will have more leverage over capital in the surviving/thriving regions, 1:05:33 - 1:05:44 - Cautiously optimistic or at least neutral for South Korea. Great conversation! Maggie is by far the best interviewer I've seen in quite some time!

  • @pitomelendez5183
    @pitomelendez5183 Год назад +1

    Awesome interview. And I agree with all of the comments. This guy Peter knows his stuff..👍👍👍👍👍👍🔥🔥🔥👍🔥

  • @Telluwide
    @Telluwide Год назад +6

    Great interview! One of the better Zeihan interviews I've seen. Well done!

  • @ftc9258
    @ftc9258 Год назад +16

    I had this episode in my playlist for a while. And as I finally had a chance to watch, just about halfway through, I saw the news of Shinzo Abe gunned down (IN JAPAN? FOR REAL?).
    I believe he was a real culprit in bringing the country out of the never-ending mess Peter is talking about. RIP.

    • @WythenshawePhil
      @WythenshawePhil Год назад

      In your playlist for a while? This video was posted on July 7th. Today is July 10th and it says that your comment was posted 2 days ago.

    • @WythenshawePhil
      @WythenshawePhil Год назад

      Ah, I notice in the pinned comment that they offer an early access deal. Maybe you have that.

    • @vanessali1365
      @vanessali1365 Год назад

      Culprit? Abe san was a visionary. He had done lots to prepare Japan to ride the coming political and economic waves. He was the one convinced India to join the Indo-Pacific alliance.

  • @shelley735
    @shelley735 Год назад +1

    All of this is so crazy. Imagine a street in a neighbourhood where the parents fight each other, yet the kids go to school together and they have to fit into the war with the parents. I don't know why a few create doom for the many and normal growing up of young people. It's my easy way to really look at this situation. We should all enable ourselves from neighbours, their children and building a happy society.

  • @ovidiudrobota2182
    @ovidiudrobota2182 6 месяцев назад +1

    Very educational! My worldview expanded tremendously.

  • @darrenprior6339
    @darrenprior6339 Год назад +27

    Always great to hear that there is so much hope in the world from a guy who basically thinks there's no hope for anything anywhere ever. I feel so encouraged

    • @vincentanguoni8938
      @vincentanguoni8938 Год назад

      Darren bud!!!!! A talking head makes you encouraged!?
      How is your mom doing! Your job.. education??
      These are not tough or crazy times!!
      You need to study a little history and stay away from nonsense like this...you are addicted to that thing in your hand!!!!
      Always look on the bright side of life... imagine whistling!!!

    • @oldAustinchick
      @oldAustinchick Год назад

      Peter has actually stated many times that he is quite optimistic. Human existence is complex and he does such a great job of making current events make sense to a layperson like me!

    • @RealVisionFinance
      @RealVisionFinance  Год назад

      Thanks for watching!

  • @saturupiah5940
    @saturupiah5940 Год назад +3

    Maggie thanks for bringing Peter on the show.
    Not sure if I share your optimism about the Covid vaccines though.

  • @sers499
    @sers499 Год назад

    Great job listening, thinking about the answer, and asking a followup.
    Noone does that