Life in 20 years - My 2044 Predictions - AGI, Fusion, Biotech, Quantum - Milestones and Impacts!

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  • Опубликовано: 28 май 2024
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Комментарии • 1,5 тыс.

  • @CEOofLibertyMutualInsurance
    @CEOofLibertyMutualInsurance 3 месяца назад +447

    MSE major here, not a lot of people know what we do haha. You're right about the chip fab work, most of my classmates are gonna work at Micron when they graduate and I have a job lined up at a fab making silicon carbide chips. Computational methods for material discovery/design are very limited - one of my class' senior capstone projects is computational and that group has to use many workarounds to get even a supercomputer to compute what they need. Because quantum computing is best used for quantum processes, and the quantum processes of materials is what makes computational methods so difficult, quantum computing is set to revolutionize material discovery. Combine that with AI that basically has a very accurate intuition of what properties a novel material would have, and you're talking about 100x-ing our current level of material discovery. This has downstream effects on basically anything - better batteries, better chips, much more sustainable plastics, basically any problem we're facing today will be easier to solve if we have a 100x material discovery process.

    • @DaveShap
      @DaveShap  3 месяца назад +102

      MSE == Material Science Engineering for those not in the know. Thanks for chiming in :)

    • @wongralvju
      @wongralvju 3 месяца назад +12

      MSE to make better golf shaft so I can hit further as I age :)

    • @eSKAone-
      @eSKAone- 3 месяца назад +28

      Exactly. Every so called "scientist" that does not see that the universe is a living thing is just a mechanic. His mind can only process the obvious parts of life before his eyes.
      Everything is alive. Life does not end at the other side of a cell's membrane. A city is an organism too. There is no isolated system in the universe. It's systems within systems, overlapping each other.
      God is life itself. Everything in life is connected. We are part of a greater being. Religions are just different languages, they are an attempt to communicate this insight to other humans. With science getting more and more of the picture (macrocosm, microcosm), and people getting educated about it, it will be easier and easier for everyone to understand it.
      For that:☮️, you have to see this:☯️

    • @jf9387
      @jf9387 3 месяца назад +3

      Exciting prospects, thanks for sharing!

    • @MichaelMcDonald-my2np
      @MichaelMcDonald-my2np 3 месяца назад +3

      ​@@DaveShapwith AI these narratives should be figured out by the summer

  • @typicaleight099
    @typicaleight099 3 месяца назад +857

    As someone who is about to turn 20 I can’t even imagine what life will be like in 5 years let alone 20

    • @DaveShap
      @DaveShap  3 месяца назад +420

      You'll be 25 in five years, and 40 in 20 years. I'm a wizard.

    • @jacksonmatysik8007
      @jacksonmatysik8007 3 месяца назад +76

      Yeah. I'm studying finance with debt (8k a year) and I already know my degree will be useless. But I am so optimistic about the hyper abundance future.

    • @YaSynAmRaUi
      @YaSynAmRaUi 3 месяца назад

      I really hope our optimism is not just a coping mechanism!@@jacksonmatysik8007

    • @codfather6583
      @codfather6583 3 месяца назад +119

      Being nearly 50, i know i'm going to be 25 in 20 years :P

    • @szymskiPL
      @szymskiPL 3 месяца назад +45

      And possibly 220 in 200 years. Cheers

  • @michaelschmitt7055
    @michaelschmitt7055 3 месяца назад +436

    I'm a teacher and i couldn't agree more. I'm already using AI and it gave me superpowers! For example: if one of the children likes football, I use AI to create a text about football - simultaneously working on individualised grammar topics. I couldn't do this for everyone without AI

    • @Falkov
      @Falkov 3 месяца назад +11

      Glad to hear that!

    • @jamesgaines6676
      @jamesgaines6676 3 месяца назад +33

      This is a fantastic use of AI!

    • @Recuper8
      @Recuper8 3 месяца назад +20

      Yeah, teachers really are quickly becoming obsolete. Unless, of course, you consider the babysitting elements.

    • @Ef554rgcc
      @Ef554rgcc 3 месяца назад

      Please stop using AI to teach children. A.I. is wrong very often and I seriously doubt you can tell the difference every time.

    • @Boxing_Gamer
      @Boxing_Gamer 3 месяца назад +26

      And the student will use chat gpt to solve it lol

  • @RockEsper
    @RockEsper 3 месяца назад +118

    It's an honor to meld into the superorganism with you guys

    • @fishygaming793
      @fishygaming793 3 месяца назад +9

      Ye..... Might this actually be it? The ultimate change of humanity? AND I MIGHT ACTUALLY EXPERIENCE IT?!?
      I don`t know what to expect, but i`m super curious!

    • @jephbennett
      @jephbennett 3 месяца назад +5

      I was just thinking the SAME THING. Which seemed crazy until I remembered we are just 2 nodes broadcasting the same data at different times.

    • @vagrant1943
      @vagrant1943 3 месяца назад +1

      lol, it's the techno rapture.

    • @k.a.8725
      @k.a.8725 2 месяца назад +4

      I think individuality will be at an all time high at an age where you can make yourself look however you want, bioengineer physical features however you want, get brainchips that could potentially increase your cognitive ability. With all of these customizations to ourselves, the only thing that will make us stand out amongst one another is personality and a unique job custom designed for ourselves and i think that will be awesome.

    • @righteousone5119
      @righteousone5119 Месяц назад

      @@k.a.8725 it's literally like a character creator from video games but in real life. If this is what we are headed for, it is an incredibly exciting future

  • @Paratzi
    @Paratzi 3 месяца назад +207

    Gonna save this video for the next 20 years to see how well it ages

    • @yamenmohammad3617
      @yamenmohammad3617 3 месяца назад +12

      You wont lmao

    • @freebusycat
      @freebusycat 2 месяца назад +17

      People are promising me flying cars since the 1960's so I guess 90% of his predictions won't happen

    • @therandommusicguy4773
      @therandommusicguy4773 2 месяца назад +11

      @@freebusycat We can see the progress coming already. That's what's scary about it lol. 10 years ago, AI was basically unspoken about. Now we are getting AI generated text, pictures, and even videos with a higher quality than ever before. Anyone who says it isn't coming is either blind or deluding themselves.

    • @freebusycat
      @freebusycat 2 месяца назад

      @@therandommusicguy4773 nope, I work with AI and can tell, they're not truly intelligent like us that can reason, they simply look intelligent but they aren't, can you tell the difference? It's like a tr∆ns woman, it looks like a woman but it really isn't a real woman, it lacks essence, so we're very safe from a distopia for a long time

    • @Atlas99973
      @Atlas99973 2 месяца назад

      Love that for you 😅

  • @ChrisCrompton
    @ChrisCrompton 3 месяца назад +114

    It's the transition period which wont be so rosy. There may be a 10+ year delay between massive job losses from AI efficiency and the government creating new economic policies which help pull these people out of poverty and into thriving meaning-based work.

    • @Tubes12AX7k
      @Tubes12AX7k 3 месяца назад +41

      IF that actually happens. I have a feeling that the the wealthy and the connected are just going to look out for themselves.

    • @Marou446
      @Marou446 2 месяца назад +16

      @@Tubes12AX7kThey've already said, "You will live in the pods, eat the bugs, own nothing, and be happy." I believe them when they state their intentions.

    • @mitri5389
      @mitri5389 Месяц назад

      Yeah, maybe we can move to a 3 day workweek. Instead 😏. I honestly think full-scale automation of everything will be a hell, and by that, I think there will be a class system of elites, and a few of us slaves kept in a reserve. Why would the elite keep us? I'm pretty sure they would create their own utopia filled with natural environments like Adam and eves garden. they already have their own private and secluded environment away from us peasants as much as possible.

    • @angryman8823
      @angryman8823 Месяц назад

      Yeah, the government is all for helping people.

    • @EVOMAN14
      @EVOMAN14 Месяц назад

      If the government have anything to do with this then it will be massively delayed, corrupt, expensive

  • @Shrouded_reaper
    @Shrouded_reaper 2 месяца назад +23

    This is insanely optimistic beyond belief. Do you really think these new technologies will be socialised and owned by many rather than the current power players moving in to own them as they develop and simply handing out the plebians a liveable allowance contingent on their good behaviour?

    • @Lerppunen
      @Lerppunen 2 месяца назад +1

      Not all AI will be owned by the current power players.

    • @wrath7879
      @wrath7879 Месяц назад +3

      If you actually listened to the video he states this is his best case scenario for humanities near future.

    • @enriquesauve1373
      @enriquesauve1373 Месяц назад +5

      Its really not that optimistic. People have always underestimated how long it takes for technology to advance. As the supply of energy and information increases, so does its availability to the public.

    • @cmccoy793
      @cmccoy793 14 дней назад

      Exactly, unless major steps are taken very soon / NOW, we're looking at Cyberpunk 2077 future or worse

  • @MH-kj9hh
    @MH-kj9hh 3 месяца назад +48

    one point of contention, Capitalism is the individual/private ownership of capital, it doesn't just mean that capital exists - so talking about different ownership models is inherently talking about moving away from Capitalism.

    • @Shrouded_reaper
      @Shrouded_reaper 2 месяца назад +11

      You think the people at the top will allow themselves to be replaced? I doubt this.

    • @AutiSam1974
      @AutiSam1974 2 месяца назад +2

      agreed, eg to be flippant, USSR had abundant industrial plant and machinery and some pretty good tractors actually

    • @richardpalu3464
      @richardpalu3464 2 месяца назад +2

      An area that's im interested in is the utilitilization of capital in the system.of the future.'Old money' or any wealth not used to the most productive outcomes will be a moral imperative. Wealth accumulation for its own sake will be as outdated as any token like gold.

    • @zachbohemian
      @zachbohemian Месяц назад +2

      ​@Shrouded_reaper it will happen if they like it or not. It's either done effortlessly or through a revolution

    • @Shrouded_reaper
      @Shrouded_reaper 3 дня назад

      @zachbohemian They already down 9/10ths of the world's wealth, if not more, mate. You think the plebs will revolt when they are pacified by drugs, pornography, digital media and a weekly UBI allowance? Get real.

  • @CodexPermutatio
    @CodexPermutatio 3 месяца назад +158

    One thing is certain: The most important changes of the future (even just 20 years away) are already practically unimaginable.

    • @blackmamba___
      @blackmamba___ 3 месяца назад +6

      Judging from the past, everything we have now will be more smarter, more efficient and more user friendly and some new inventions will come around that doesn’t necessarily reinvent the wheel, but makes it so that wheel is more convenient and abundant.

    • @sergefournier7744
      @sergefournier7744 3 месяца назад

      Do you see a lot of flying cars in your area? It's 20 year late...

    • @jarivuorinen3878
      @jarivuorinen3878 3 месяца назад +25

      @@sergefournier7744Flying car is stupid idea, it brings nothing of value on top of that small plane couldn't do. Inside a city no one will fly anything else than small drones, this is just simple safety issue. The issue persists even if we have foolproof AI controlling these planes or whatever flying cars, you'd need a support structure in case something heavy falls down. Well, now you have a road, or in better case, an overhead train or tram. In rural areas something like flying car could make sense, but it would be a compromise between a plane and a car. In rural areas you can have small airport and a car anyway. Or better yet, AI controlled public transit or taxi system.

    • @mnkwazi
      @mnkwazi 3 месяца назад +8

      @@jarivuorinen3878 Exactly. The flying cars idea is nuts. LOL

    • @danielbrown001
      @danielbrown001 3 месяца назад +9

      @@sergefournier7744 Helicopters have been around almost 80 years at this point. Try again. They just aren’t licensed for mass use because of the destructive capacity.

  • @alphahurricane7957
    @alphahurricane7957 3 месяца назад +96

    20 year from now is 2040 not 2044.
    oh wait
    oh no

    • @blocksterpen3704
      @blocksterpen3704 3 месяца назад +7

      bro?

    • @Falkov
      @Falkov 3 месяца назад +1

      @@blocksterpen3704 🤔

    • @user-uf2df6zf5w
      @user-uf2df6zf5w 3 месяца назад +4

      Why is everyone saying this? I can barely remember what happened in 2020 it was so long ago.

    • @user-cm1mu6ce9y
      @user-cm1mu6ce9y 3 месяца назад

      @@user-uf2df6zf5wi think there was a virus.. corinna? it did some damage to society
      anyway

    • @TheExodusLost
      @TheExodusLost 26 дней назад

      @@user-uf2df6zf5wthat’s why it gets fucking insane when you try to really make predictions on life in the future. It’s truly and scientifically cray

  • @S8N4747
    @S8N4747 3 месяца назад +19

    OMG it is so good and so refreshing to hear someone competently verbalise the current conditions! When I've been telling my friends for the pas two years that we are interconnected cyborgs and they have been looking at me like crazy!!! Thank you.

  • @spaceadv6060
    @spaceadv6060 3 месяца назад +8

    Great content! Helps me look at things differently and think more long term. Thanks!

  • @DefenderX
    @DefenderX 3 месяца назад +89

    I'm thinking a lot about what my daughters of 3 and 5 are going to do after they grow up and graduate. Seeing as I can't prevent them from living their lives, the only thing I wish for them is that they grow up with a healthy self esteem, self worth, and find their meaning.

    • @blackmamba___
      @blackmamba___ 3 месяца назад +8

      Humans working with A.I will help them accomplish that.
      A.I companion
      A.I counselor
      A.I protector
      A.I physician
      A.I physiologist
      partnering with friends, family and other love ones will create the world you so much seek for them.

    • @betrayedcitizen5135
      @betrayedcitizen5135 3 месяца назад

      @@blackmamba___ ai has so much potential for good but It is still in the hands of humans. Much like a gun is just a tool, in the hands of a human it can be either beneficial or harmful.
      Capitalists fund technology. Never remove greed out of the equation.
      Abundance will be available but the price will be steep, as it always has been.

    • @Seehart
      @Seehart 3 месяца назад +5

      Yes, I think they can have those things. They won't ever have jobs, in the sense we do, and likely immortal (unless we are extinct).

    • @betrayedcitizen5135
      @betrayedcitizen5135 3 месяца назад +1

      What on earth??
      What was wrong with my original comment that it gets deleted?

    • @pyerack
      @pyerack 3 месяца назад +7

      @@blackmamba___I know this is meant to be optimistic but something about that sounds dystopic.

  • @bobjoe1522
    @bobjoe1522 3 месяца назад +63

    I think these type of videos are always your best Dave. They make me excited for the future

    • @ZenTheMC
      @ZenTheMC 3 месяца назад +2

      So true! I couldn’t stop smiling the entire video.

    • @spiritualhammer392
      @spiritualhammer392 Месяц назад

      Are you even paying attention to reality??? None of this is anything close to happening.

  • @soundfly76
    @soundfly76 3 месяца назад +6

    Just stumbled across your channel. Mind blown..! thanks so much ❤

  • @crazyeightsable
    @crazyeightsable 3 месяца назад +1

    very interesting as always.i love you're content. i learn so much.

  • @samuelabraham1033
    @samuelabraham1033 3 месяца назад +12

    Amazing insight! Always look forward to your videos

  • @jmufkinr
    @jmufkinr 3 месяца назад +22

    I love this kind of content

  • @Will-kt5jk
    @Will-kt5jk 3 месяца назад +15

    Minor correction on the fusion record:
    Highest NIF Q value I could find was 1.54, still a fair way from 2x, but at least 3 projects have hit Q= >1
    “For over two decades since 1997, the record for Q was held by JET at Q = 0.67. The record for Qext was held by JT-60, with Qext = 1.25, slightly besting JET's earlier Qext = 1.14. In December 2022, the National Ignition Facility reached Q = 1.54 with a 3.15 MJ output from a 2.05 MJ laser heating, which remains the record as of 2023.”

    • @Screw_This
      @Screw_This 3 месяца назад +11

      Major misleading on the fusion record. The scientific Q does not account for laser efficiency, which is about 1%. We're not even close to net gain for the system.

    • @carlpanzram7081
      @carlpanzram7081 3 месяца назад

      ​@@Screw_This fusion energy pls

    • @bro918
      @bro918 3 месяца назад

      @@carlpanzram7081 20 years out

  • @ModernTruthRevelation
    @ModernTruthRevelation 3 месяца назад +7

    Dude, I love you! We are very similar in our orientation tho you are killing it in terms of execution and being a beacon of light to me as well. Thanks. I hope the highest meaning stands by you always. Muuuuuuuuuuuuuuch love, keep it up

  • @nickbrigham8546
    @nickbrigham8546 3 месяца назад +5

    I never comment on RUclips channels but yours is easily my favorite. I love the topics, your explanations/views/reasoning, and the frequency with which you post. I bought physical copies of all of your books. Love your systems thinking series. I’m 32, just getting into machine learning with zero prior experience (I own a cannabis company and would love to focus on improving enterprise software in this industry), and really appreciate the videos and books.

  • @sirnicklas941
    @sirnicklas941 3 месяца назад +6

    I love the digital Superorganism idea! Please delve deeper into that in the future. You deliver amazing content David! :)

  • @westcoastdean
    @westcoastdean 5 дней назад

    Excellent information and presentation. Great stuff!

  • @SycamoreLaneMusic
    @SycamoreLaneMusic 3 месяца назад +1

    Very interesting presentation David. It’s a great time to be alive.

  • @TheREAL.BrandOnShow
    @TheREAL.BrandOnShow 3 месяца назад +51

    WHERES THE SUIT DAVID OUT OF UNIFORM! Great Video :D

    • @DaveShap
      @DaveShap  3 месяца назад +30

      Captain's holiday

    • @shaan702
      @shaan702 3 месяца назад +5

      Yea it’s totally breaking my immersion 😆

    • @acllhes
      @acllhes 3 месяца назад +1

      I was looking for this comment thank you

    • @PDXdjn
      @PDXdjn 3 месяца назад

      @@DaveShap Could you pick me up a Horga’hn statue on your vacation?

  • @yannolaf
    @yannolaf 3 месяца назад +6

    An exceptional thought experiment and analysis on what the future holds for us in 2044. Your deep dive into the potentials of AGI, Fusion Energy, Biotech, and Quantum Computing not only showcases a well-researched understanding but also a wise foresight into their possible impacts and milestones. It’s clear that a lot of effort went into dissecting how these technologies could shape our world in the next two decades. Your ability to weave these complex subjects into a coherent and engaging narrative is commendable. Great work on providing a balanced view on the optimistic and realistic outcomes of these technologies. Looking forward to more insightful content like this!

  • @samjenner7706
    @samjenner7706 2 месяца назад

    Great video man! Exciting and inspiring😎

  • @tomwinston6758
    @tomwinston6758 3 месяца назад +1

    Great video, important information. Thanks

  • @Kataroobungaloo
    @Kataroobungaloo 3 месяца назад +3

    Holy smokes this video was so fascinating. Especially the last bit about digital super organism

  • @WeylandLabs
    @WeylandLabs 3 месяца назад +98

    Your title missing Teleportation, Tractor Beams and Anti-matter Warp Drives ! 😂

    • @DaveShap
      @DaveShap  3 месяца назад +51

      BEAM ME UP, BARCLAY

    • @dannybitcoin116
      @dannybitcoin116 3 месяца назад +5

      Love Is the root force that drives us to even want or care about life…..first principles
      Or should I say first principal “love”

    • @playlistenthusiast
      @playlistenthusiast 3 месяца назад +5

      As unlikely as it is, I really wish for teleportation. Pollution goes down, no more ugly parking lots, no need for as many roads as before, tax money get freed up for other things.

    • @robertlipka9541
      @robertlipka9541 3 месяца назад +1

      ​@@playlistenthusiastI do not. I have McCoy attitude to transporters x trillion. Wormholes, etc, fine, being literally evaporated and reassembled, no thanks... dumbest idea in Trek, right after the prime directive.

    • @playlistenthusiast
      @playlistenthusiast 3 месяца назад +4

      @@robertlipka9541 Even if we only ever did non-living teleportation, it would be huge. I've always wondered about being disassembled though. I don't care so much about being zapped out of existence and replaced by a twin with my memories. I would be more concerned with small imperfections that build up with every reassembly, like a computer image being copied and pasted across the internet so many times it gets crusty, or a tape getting copied until it's too corrupted to view.

  • @markszve728
    @markszve728 Месяц назад

    great video! thanks for posting

  • @bastienfrancois9180
    @bastienfrancois9180 3 месяца назад +2

    profund, well thought, well researched. Superb.

  • @user-xr4hx4hx9m
    @user-xr4hx4hx9m 3 месяца назад +3

    Well thought out. I hope you're bang on. :)

  • @codfather6583
    @codfather6583 3 месяца назад +56

    My newest favorite channel in this age of AI doomers. I'm such a sci-fi nerd and as a child i was a bit sad that i might not see the far-far future - I really have to struggle not sperging on people about AI. The future is going to be wild

    • @Vilkox
      @Vilkox 3 месяца назад

      Same here. Have you seen “The Expanse”?

    • @zetaforever4953
      @zetaforever4953 3 месяца назад +7

      It already is wild. We live in a fairytale world. Not even the fairy tales of our ancestors imagined the world we live in today. But we don't feel it because of the hedonic treadmill. Everything seems normal after a while. And what used to seem miraculous yesterday now seems like the bare minimum. A sense of wonder isn't something you get from longevity or immortality. It's something we all have to cultivate in our current situation.
      That said, this video is ridiculously hyperbolic. It's like the people in the 80s who predicted flying cars and Mars travel by the new millennium.

    • @djangomarine6658
      @djangomarine6658 3 месяца назад +5

      I mean, all of this would be nice, but the reality is that most people will be dead broke and homeless by the time we make the transition. The rich will hoard, as usual. The governments will be too slow to react, as usual. Humans and society won't evolve fast enough. The transition will be extremely painful.

    • @pyerack
      @pyerack 3 месяца назад +3

      @@djangomarine6658 I think the most telling thing is how it already costs an arm and a leg to pay medical bills and people here think that if AGI finds the formula for immortality they're just going to hand it over to all of us on a silver platter.

    • @CampingforCool41
      @CampingforCool41 2 месяца назад

      @@zetaforever4953if this is a fairy tale it must be a Brothers Grimm version…

  • @andreaslukas2252
    @andreaslukas2252 Месяц назад +1

    This was one of the best videos I whatched this year. Truly inspiring!

  • @LoisSharbel
    @LoisSharbel 3 месяца назад +1

    Excellent, AGAIN! Thanks!

  • @Aggie4life77
    @Aggie4life77 3 месяца назад +10

    Next 20 years won’t change as much as you think. In 2004 is was different from a gadget standpoint and social media, but most people lived pretty similar to now. I could be completely wrong depending on what AI does. Also electric cars will be the majority of cars on the road. Self driving would have improved significantly.

    • @yaboiflint5926
      @yaboiflint5926 Месяц назад +1

      Honestly I really hope that how’s it plays out because mannn this stuff puts a black pit in my stomach

    • @chrisphillippi6014
      @chrisphillippi6014 20 дней назад +1

      The change is exponential- so hard to conceptualize and I would argue that people lived completely differently 20 years ago. There were no smartphones, no social media, barely any RUclips, no streaming apps, no Uber, no air Bnb, most people didn’t even use gps to navigate in a car.

  • @tylermiller1699
    @tylermiller1699 3 месяца назад +25

    People keep saying "the price of things will go down with the advent of ai, and robotics." Yet the exact opposite is the actual case. Who actually thinks that if a company figures out a way to save 1.00 on making a product, ANY of that extra savings is going to make it to to consumer? It NEVER does.

    • @Shrouded_reaper
      @Shrouded_reaper 2 месяца назад +4

      Also as if the big power players aren't simply going to simply monopolise (or form international cartels, whatever) to cement their power using these new technologies. It's naïve in the extreme to think otherwise.

    • @kharikhy-ree2242
      @kharikhy-ree2242 2 месяца назад +6

      This is me watching the video. People said we'd have 4 day work weeks.... and we do for some. But that's because many jobs only allow part time. 😅

    • @rainieb.104
      @rainieb.104 2 месяца назад

      I was thinking just that, a lot of things in this video was almost too optimistic, if not borderline naive. Amazon may have implemented robotic automation in their warehouses and have less employees, but not in any way has it gotten cheaper, in fact its gotten more expensive, cant even do next day delivery now without having to meet a certain minimum order. And the same case will be in every other sector. These bastards do not think of anything else except their own greed.

    • @zayed4675
      @zayed4675 2 месяца назад +9

      Wrong. Even the most famous monopoly in American history (Standard Oil under John Rockefeller) did exactly this. He dropped the price from 58 cents to 8 cents a gallon.
      It’s almost always true that price efficiencies are passed on the customer (as long as there is competition in the market).
      It’s crazy how people just have complete confidence in their ignorant opinions.

    • @bilbobluntz1946
      @bilbobluntz1946 Месяц назад +1

      @@zayed4675 it rly is embarrassing.

  • @MahuyaGhosh
    @MahuyaGhosh 3 месяца назад +1

    Brilliant video - loved it!

  • @davedsilva
    @davedsilva 3 месяца назад +1

    Appreciate the optimism. Fight for a good future.

  • @averyclarke2689
    @averyclarke2689 3 месяца назад +22

    I really enjoy your videos as a middle school English teacher without any background in science or technology. I'm ready for some big changes in our education system. Smaller class sizes and personalized instruction are at the top of my wishlist.

    • @blackmamba___
      @blackmamba___ 3 месяца назад +4

      Individual A.I tutors to help supplement the shortage of teachers will go a long way.

    • @Falkov
      @Falkov 3 месяца назад +1

      Teachers teaching classes..but why, even?

    • @carlpanzram7081
      @carlpanzram7081 3 месяца назад +3

      I've read a comment by another teacher that said that they already use AI to personalize questions and lessons to their children.
      So if someone is very interested in basketball, they use AI to make math lessons revolve around basketball.
      Your job will definitely change in the near future. Maybe 10 years from now your role will be much more social and pedagogical, than being the overworked tutor you probably are right now.
      Ai will become your permanent colleague, we will all use it to reflect and discuss our problems and situations.

    • @colbyboucher6391
      @colbyboucher6391 День назад

      Class sizes are still rising and you expect THAT to happen?

  • @AustinThomasPhD
    @AustinThomasPhD 3 месяца назад +5

    This was four years ago so it might have changed, but I went to some presentations by MSE's working at ITER (out of interest, not even close to my field) and it seems really clear that, in contrast to what you said, net gain is not really the main challenge. Everyone is confident ITER will make net gain, the biggest barrier to commercial fusion is that the materials necessary for sustained controlled fusion reactions do not currently exist. The walls of the TOKOMAK literally vaporize due to the heat even with the magnetic containment.

  • @a7xfanben
    @a7xfanben 3 месяца назад +1

    Your videos give me hope!

  • @elirothblatt5602
    @elirothblatt5602 3 месяца назад +1

    Another great episode, thanks.

  • @earthlightsmusic2743
    @earthlightsmusic2743 3 месяца назад +6

    At last, optimism. ^___^

  • @wzsmart2890
    @wzsmart2890 3 месяца назад +13

    These green spaces that you’re talking about moving into are not “empty” they are full of life. Humans can’t keep treating the whole biosphere like a series of empty lots to be built on. We aren’t the only life forms on the planet. And longevity research will only compound our encroachment on wild spaces as population rises. These are challenges i would love for you to address in a future video as I think you have great insight. Great video per usual 🙏👌

  • @justasrandom6609
    @justasrandom6609 3 месяца назад

    Love the visuals and insight!

  • @mth469
    @mth469 Месяц назад

    Excellent presentation sir.

  • @jimt7045
    @jimt7045 3 месяца назад +4

    Are you still sticking with September this year for AGI Dave? You seem to have let it slip to 2026.

  • @zeg2651
    @zeg2651 3 месяца назад +8

    What I find funny with regards to the definition of AGI and the capabilities of ChatGPT is that people say "Yeah, but ChatGPT doesn't always get it right first try." And I'm like "Did you ever do any task in your life?"😂 Completing a big complex task is usually an iterative process

    • @GrandpasPlace
      @GrandpasPlace Месяц назад

      Most people overestimate ChatGPT's abilities. From experience it has problems with even simple formulas such as asking it how to calculate the Mol of a 1l solution. It cant even get that right when you are giving it the answer.
      Asking it to write software is also a joke, I have yet to get anything out of it that did not require lots of debugging and most of it did not work at all.
      Dont get me wrong, ChatGPT is amazing for what it is but it is, at best, a general answer engine provided the answer is out there on the internet.

  • @SanSanAAO
    @SanSanAAO 29 дней назад

    Thanks man, really cool video!

  • @Michibz57
    @Michibz57 2 месяца назад

    Great video, well done. Gave me a look at the whole thing

  • @kharikhy-ree2242
    @kharikhy-ree2242 2 месяца назад +4

    I can't imagine this new world you speak of. For the last thousands of years for humans, life has been strife. I can't fathom the rich and powerful allowing advancement that helps everyone.

  • @antiprime4665
    @antiprime4665 3 месяца назад +3

    As a developer im ready to be automated so i can work on the projects i want to witht the help of a super ai

  • @livewellherenow
    @livewellherenow 3 месяца назад +2

    I’m thoroughly enjoying this channel, so thank you. It’s good that you pitched your other channels, because my interest is piqued regarding what else is processed by your mind.

  • @sebarompetodo
    @sebarompetodo 2 месяца назад

    First time watching, loved it, and subscribed 👌👌👌

  • @skitzobunitostudios7427
    @skitzobunitostudios7427 3 месяца назад +3

    SOCIALISM: is perfect if it's not controlled by Humans. And only under hyper Abundance, and no scarcity of any kind. The ASI Government should first distribute all utilities for free as a 'Vote for Us' Strategy.

    • @MartinEnderlin
      @MartinEnderlin 3 месяца назад

      Controlled programming... 🙈🙈🙈

  • @arka7869
    @arka7869 3 месяца назад +3

    I like the statement "AI is principles driven, not profit driven", thumbs up for the video!

  • @TheCowthryn
    @TheCowthryn 4 дня назад

    Another fire video David! Rock on, sir! What a time to be alive

  • @rubarb3618
    @rubarb3618 3 месяца назад +1

    Your optimistic view seriously gives me hope

  • @IllWish
    @IllWish 3 месяца назад +9

    With respect, having watched all of your videos, it seems that your basic assumption is that a post labor economy will become a ASI Communist utopia. The downside of this that you never touch on is the high likelihood of an Oligarchy. Those with obscene amounts of money currently have an outsized influence on our society. They aren't just going to give up all their money and the privilege that it affords. So, with unlimited lifespan the most likely outcome is that they'll acquire more resources and influence, while the rest of society is on universal basic income. Also, with no jobs there will be no opportunity for upward mobility. The rich will continue to control all the levers of the economy and will be disincentivized to allow others to compete, and with ASI running everything there'll be little to no opportunity for disruption. You also make the assumption that everyone will have access to all these technologies, and they won't be priced out or restricted from having them due to legislation or some version of a caste system. For example, if you're already wealthy enough then lifespan extension is something that you would have access to, but for the plebs it's either restricted or not in your UBI budget. The result is that it's less likely that we'll get Star Trek, and more likely that we'll get Elysium.

    • @DaveShap
      @DaveShap  3 месяца назад

      Economic Agency for the proletariat

    • @therollerlollerman
      @therollerlollerman 3 месяца назад +1

      The maintenance of oligarchy is not so much thanks to oligarchs themselves but its non-oligarch supporters who aspire to have a shot at joining the oligarchy someday. If AI makes such idea of “temporarily embarrassed billionaires” obsolete and crystallizes a stagnant oligarchy, there will be no support for it

    • @emilianohermosilla3996
      @emilianohermosilla3996 Месяц назад

      2nd amendment just entered the chat

  • @billcollins6894
    @billcollins6894 3 месяца назад +8

    I left AI research at Stanford last year. Of course predictions are not worth much but here is the background for mine:
    1) There are many large projects in play to completely decode RNA/DNA and how to design any conceivable living and non-living thing with it.
    2) Stanford believes they will achieve AGI in their labs this decade.
    3) University biology labs across the world have the ability to synthesize any RNA/DNA sequence today. Students have access to this.
    4) Once AI completely understands RNA/DNA and our immune systems, it is inevitable that someone will design a super virus looks innocuous until it is too late.
    5) Absolutely nothing can be done to stop this from happening. The only defense will be that other AI will be trying to stay ahead of the viruses that emerge.
    6) We will exist in a constant race to defend ourselves from insane people who want to cause harm. We will likely have to physically isolate clusters of society to protect the human race.

    • @Falkov
      @Falkov 3 месяца назад +2

      A single person's potential destructive-viability looks to be multifariously exploding into the future.

    • @Shrouded_reaper
      @Shrouded_reaper 2 месяца назад

      @@Falkov It's not just single people. You think nation states worldwide will just kneel and stop development of ever more horrifying weapons? LOL pull the other one mate.

    • @rainieb.104
      @rainieb.104 2 месяца назад

      Heavy on number 6) cause the way that we will also be threatened in terms of cybersecurity, which is already happening. Cyberattacks are on a crazy rise, with AI making it so so much worse. As well as criminals mimicking voices, faces, companies, identities, what have you. Many people forget the amount of insane people that exist in this world that can do serious harm.

    • @GrandpasPlace
      @GrandpasPlace Месяц назад +1

      Lol, You can but the equipment to do #3 on ebay right now. I have not run the numbers but I would bet the lab would cost less than 10k buying the items from ebay.
      4,5,and6 sound right.

  • @chrisatkins6280
    @chrisatkins6280 2 месяца назад

    Really enjoyed this. Fingers crossed 🤞

  • @aidrivensuccess
    @aidrivensuccess 2 месяца назад

    This is an excellent video, David

  • @TaylorSwifty69
    @TaylorSwifty69 3 месяца назад

    Great video!! Subbed!

  • @chongsdong
    @chongsdong Месяц назад

    Your intelligence and optimism is an absolute breath of fresh air. Thank you and please keep making such thoughtful and thought provoking content.

  • @SolarTechFL
    @SolarTechFL 3 месяца назад +1

    I really enjoy listening to you

  • @visionseeker777
    @visionseeker777 13 дней назад

    Great video. What a time to be alive 🤩

  • @jonathanbickerton6645
    @jonathanbickerton6645 3 месяца назад +1

    Damn! Best video yet! ❤

  • @AboodCohen
    @AboodCohen 3 месяца назад +8

    Thanks for sharing your thoughts David, very exciting future ahead 😊

  • @logansanoh
    @logansanoh 3 месяца назад +1

    Really good!!

  • @richardstokstad9271
    @richardstokstad9271 Месяц назад

    Thank you David, for engaging with us to traverse into the near future...

  • @nickidaisydandelion4044
    @nickidaisydandelion4044 2 месяца назад

    Awesome. I fully agree with your future perspective and on AGI and ASI being free from selfishness. I very much look forward to them.

  • @theo.outofthebox
    @theo.outofthebox 20 дней назад

    These ideas are quite exciting. I'm open to see the changes.

  • @jackjetpilot
    @jackjetpilot 3 месяца назад +1

    Man, I love this guy!

  • @user-xh9oq5zn9y
    @user-xh9oq5zn9y 3 месяца назад

    great video!

  • @Jsmith1515
    @Jsmith1515 2 месяца назад +1

    I’m very excited by the potential for peace that comes with limitlessly abundant energy. What a blessing that would be

  • @exitnightenterlight5327
    @exitnightenterlight5327 18 дней назад

    Great video! I subbed to hear more. You made alot of great points and i agreed with alot of what you said. It just seems way to optimistic at times.

  • @swirlcrop
    @swirlcrop 3 месяца назад +1

    This is a very good talk and I actually think that it is the first look I've seen beyond the event horizon of AI and environmental responsibility. This might be a breath of fresh air to the sci-fi literary genre too Thanks for posting your work.

  • @efwfew
    @efwfew 2 месяца назад

    That was an awesome recommendation, great and thoughts provoking video. Ill admit i'm a pessimist person in general but i'm excited for the future

  • @ollietipper
    @ollietipper 3 месяца назад

    When I see videos like this one, I can’t help but get so incredibly excited about the possibilities of what’s to come. It gives me so much hope and joy that maybe everything really will work out in this Utopic way. I recently turned 21 and space exploration has always been something I’ve really wanted to be a part of. Sometimes I feel I was born a little too early and perhaps I won’t get the opportunity to traverse the stars. Videos like this give me hope that maybe just maybe I’ll be able to go out and see what this universe has to offer one day. Thankyou for giving me hope.

  • @gunnarehn7066
    @gunnarehn7066 Месяц назад

    David, You’ve got it! 45 years of thinking, reading and reflecting -since I first saw the Apple II, TRS80 & Commodore Pet at CES Chicago 1978-on where Digital Integration will take us-and what it really means- I have arrived exactly at some of the same conclusions , whose Totality you so beautifully summarize in your amazingly informed/informative unique presentation. Thank You!

  • @adonisvillain
    @adonisvillain 3 месяца назад

    Yeah, that's content I've missed from summer. When I worked in the garden 🏡 and listen about future ❤

  • @betheprotag
    @betheprotag 2 месяца назад

    Your optimism in this current era is exactly what I need to hear. Here’s to shrinking everyone’s heads to a similar size for the progression of mankind.

  • @omifam7714
    @omifam7714 3 месяца назад +1

    Hi David; love the insights. You seem so well read and clear minded. Could you please share your top 5 books?

  • @wrath7879
    @wrath7879 Месяц назад

    Great video.

  • @Reflekt0r
    @Reflekt0r 23 дня назад

    I slightly miss these focused videos though I do like your forest ruminations too.

  • @gbbenner9382
    @gbbenner9382 3 месяца назад +1

    Enjoy vids David, you're our guide.

  • @user-kx7tg7vt6n
    @user-kx7tg7vt6n 3 месяца назад

    Thanks David, really enjoyed this. I often talk about your work to others and recommend they watch some of your videos. Quickly wanted to point out a glitch between 27:09 - 27:25 which caused me to lose part of what you were saying - tiny thing but just thought it worth letting you know!

  • @samsters25
    @samsters25 Месяц назад

    Great video using an educated approach relative to current science and predictions. No hype, no scare tactics. Just a nicely painted picture of what our future could potentially look like very soon. Thanks!

  • @belindacarter6872
    @belindacarter6872 2 месяца назад

    Love the optimism - so yes, it has VALUE!! We need to large scale orient toward the silver linings in all of this - Thx!

  • @ROBERTDAVis2271
    @ROBERTDAVis2271 3 месяца назад

    Cool video 👍🏿

  • @lucymemow
    @lucymemow 2 месяца назад

    Yall are incredibly optimistic. I’m not as much, though it’s nice to see for a change.

  • @Johnnyvo30
    @Johnnyvo30 Месяц назад

    I very much appreciate this video. I’ve been feeling lost. Wondering how I would find my place in the 4th revolution and best prepare to take advantage.
    You’ve given me a direction to focus my attention and effort. Thank you

  • @Invalidinput
    @Invalidinput Месяц назад

    Heck yeah! this guy is talking to my soul right now!

  • @RichardWilliamLawson
    @RichardWilliamLawson 3 месяца назад +1

    Thanks!

  • @stephenlangsl67
    @stephenlangsl67 2 месяца назад +1

    That little "tower house" with the solar panels on the roof looks like a makeshift shack but I still want to live there. Very well done. It would be pretty nice if I could afford to purchase a plot of land in an Ecovillage and build an exact replica of that house. I could just work in the Community garden.🙂

  • @SirElfen
    @SirElfen Месяц назад

    I love the way you think and I hope you're right.

  • @Godspeedysick
    @Godspeedysick 3 месяца назад +1

    Boy o boy, your optimism is through the roof. 😆🙈

  • @giveusascream
    @giveusascream 2 месяца назад

    Cool video, exciting times