I think we should reasonably expect at least 1 non-English language film to make the Best Picture lineup as well. We've had at least 1 for the last 6 years in a row (with 3 being nominated in the recent ceremony alone).
@@rinedgecombe8165 yes. Apparently more dialogues were in Korean. It qualified for BAFTA and Golden Globe for Best Non-English Language Film categories (and got nominated for both).
Saoirse Ronan has The Outrun coming out and Steve McQueen‘s Blitz It will be her fifth nomination, probably for Blitz. She had 4 Oscar nominations before she was 25. I think it’s going to be her year
Really curious to see how Challengers does once it comes out in theaters. I know it doesn't feel like an Oscar-type of film but Luca Guadagnino directing makes me pause and wonder if it could be. If it does well, this could also boost Zendaya's odds having both that and Dune 2 out this year.
Gladiator should not even be in the Oscar conversation. Scott still has it as far as visual storytelling, but he’s lost the magic when it comes to his characters. I was skeptical about The Apprentice, but I’ve seen the story being described as “Faustian” and that sounds amazing. My father also knows weirdly a lot about Roy Cohn and he was like, “He invented Trump. We would not have Trump without Roy Cohn.” So the title being “The Apprentice” is a double entendres and I’m intrigued and I think Jeremy Strong might be up for supporting.
I'm not a Ridley Scott fan so I agree. I think he's far too inconsistent to be called "great." But if he's going to do anything good this late in his life, it'll be Gladiator 2.
It's incredible how this year we have 4 film sequences (Joker, Mad Max, Dune and Gladiator) that had many nominations at the Oscars. If they maintained their technical quality it will be a year without much space for other films to be nominated in the technical categories. Just like your mother, Gladiator is my favorite movie ever... I'm worried about this sequel being a Fast and Furious set in ancient Rome... that really wouldn't be what I was expecting from this movie unfortunately.
I dont think inside out 2 will be bad but everyone forgot that the oscars are sequel bias unless is toy story. Like we had incredibles 2 and across the spiderverse but they lost. Inside out 2 will probably be nominated but i dont think it will win
Me either i want it to win. Not that will be trash but i want with boy and the herons win makes the academy be more open to international animated movies
I think Dune: Part Two can get the same amount of nominations as it’s predecessor if not a little more. Denis will likely get into Best Director after they egregiously snubbed him for Part One. If he doesn’t have enough competition to face, he could win. Or a possibility of him staying strong for the rest of the year despite coming out in Spring like the Daniels. I’m on the fence if it can get in for acting like Timothee Chalamet, Zendaya, Rebecca Ferguson or Javier Bardem. I don’t know if any of them can get in. But for wishful thinking, I would love to see Austin Butler get in for Supporting Actor.
I'm really hoping for Austin Butler to get in for Supporting Actor, and then that could open the door for Timothee in Messiah, where he'll probably have a bit more of a dramatic role that will impress critics with subtlety.
"Are they really gonna snub him for best director again?" Man, I am so worried about that... I can see this snub happening, I can see it, and I do think the 3rd "Dune" movie being in the works is going to hurt the chances "Dune Part 2" at the Oscars AND it's going up against "Furiosa" in technicals. "Wicked" looks absolutely awful, I don't know what people are seeing in that trailer. I LOVE the musical itself, but the trailer looked like CGI mush.
I think A Real Pain is going to be a bigger player than most people think. I currently have it winning Original Screenplay, Supporting Actor (for Kieran Culkin), and Best Picture.
Ridley Scott, track record going towards questionable for sure. . . but his career track record is undeniably MUST SEE. 🤷 Alien, Blade Runner, Thelma & Louise, Gladiator, the Martian, The Last Duel. Bangers
maybe call it recency bias or whatever but i think civil war could maybe be a potential player, i wasn't even that big on the movie but critics were mostly positive and it's all anyones been talking about online, even people i know who aren't big into movies want to go and see it now, if the conversation is kept for a while i could see it maybe getting some noms
I don’t think so, Civil War is way too on the nose with its politics and in a election year with everything else I know they don’t want another possible “Glazer” moment
Definitely make a point of watching Holy Spider as soon as you have the chance. Also, Hundreds of Beavers for Best Picture! (Yes, I kid... but watch this as well!)
Holy Spider and Border are both great, and I really like Abbasi's first feature, Shelley, too (some people might have a problem with the movie not explaining things, but it's a great horror anyway). Abbasi is an amazing director, you always can recognize his style even though all his films so far have had different genres, languages, casts and topics.
Civil War has to win best sound. It has the greatest gun sound effects ever put to any action film, war film, or any film that has at least one scene with a gun
What are we thinking about Inside Out 2? Arguably, the first Inside Out was the animated movie closed to getting into the Best Picture line-up since it last happened. And that last movie to get that nod was also a Pixar sequel in Toy Story 3. And the reactions out of early press & CinemaCon screening do sound very strong. The pipe dream of an animated movie getting that Best Picture nod sounds like a broken record, but come on: We've got to get an animated movie in there again. It's been way too long
You forget that the oscars are sequel bias. The toy story wins were , well the third was very good deserving but the fourth won because it was toy story.I really want a animated to be nominated but i doubt and they will probably snub it and give to a non sequel one with wold robot or Lord of the rings.
The Apprentice focuses on Trump's relationship with Roy Cohn. I don't see how that movie could work if directed by Adam McKay, snce he makes satirical comedies, and I don't see that genre working for a story where your second lead dies of AIDS in 1986.
Here are my thoughts regarding Sam Jackson: I don’t think he’ll win. He might get nominated, but I don’t think he’ll win. That does mainly come from him being nominated at the Tony’s and not winning but I think there’s more to it than that. I was doing some research and throughout all of the productions, his role never gets nominations. John David Washington’s character gets nominated A LOT, Danielle Deadwyler’s is consistently nominated as well. The critics groups with this latest production nominated Ray Fisher a LOT which tells me his role is big. Michael Potts was also picking up some critic nominations. But the only time, the ONLY nomination that Sam Jackson’s character was nominated was at the Tony’s. Sam Jackson didn’t receive ANY other critic group mentions when his costars did, the role he played was not nominated for any of the other productions throughout history. It was only the 2023 Tony’s that nominated him, which to me reads as they wanted to nominate a movie star (worth nothing tho that he was the only acting nomination for that play at the Tony’s that year, despite all of his costars getting more critics love). I think this says that it’s possible they reworked this production to make Sam Jackson more important of a role (which would carry over for the movie since it’s the same adaptation), however I think there’s a chance that someone like Ray Fisher could steal his thunder. I also think it would mean he can’t win if the role is not really all that meaty. But who knows, maybe it’ll be compelling to give the man his Oscar
Do you think Zendaya has any heat for a Best Actress run, Or is Challengers not that kind of movie? Hope we see more of these longer, more structured type videos from you
I think we should reasonably expect at least 1 non-English language film to make the Best Picture lineup as well. We've had at least 1 for the last 6 years in a row (with 3 being nominated in the recent ceremony alone).
It's a reasonable bet to make at the least, given the trends
What was the third? I remember Anatomy of a Fall and Zone of Interest. Is it Past Lives?
@@rinedgecombe8165 yes. Apparently more dialogues were in Korean. It qualified for BAFTA and Golden Globe for Best Non-English Language Film categories (and got nominated for both).
Yea, I have a slot marked off on my predicitons for whatever big movie comes out at Cannes
Stay tune for Jacques Audiard's Emilia Perez
Dune 2 realistically should get every nom that the last one got + director and theres 4 or 5 performances that could get a nom as well
Acting categories are very shaky, the closest is probably Austin Butler (though personally I'd give the noms to Bardem and Ferguson)
@@jarrettandfilm yeah the acting wasn't very good actually
I agree, I thought the acting was very good.
rebecca ferguson should be a supporting actress contender
Dune Part Two could get zero nominations and I would still call it the best film of the year.
Saoirse Ronan has The Outrun coming out and Steve McQueen‘s Blitz
It will be her fifth nomination, probably for Blitz. She had 4 Oscar nominations before she was 25.
I think it’s going to be her year
Blitz will probably win best picture
Really curious to see how Challengers does once it comes out in theaters. I know it doesn't feel like an Oscar-type of film but Luca Guadagnino directing makes me pause and wonder if it could be. If it does well, this could also boost Zendaya's odds having both that and Dune 2 out this year.
Gladiator should not even be in the Oscar conversation. Scott still has it as far as visual storytelling, but he’s lost the magic when it comes to his characters.
I was skeptical about The Apprentice, but I’ve seen the story being described as “Faustian” and that sounds amazing. My father also knows weirdly a lot about Roy Cohn and he was like, “He invented Trump. We would not have Trump without Roy Cohn.” So the title being “The Apprentice” is a double entendres and I’m intrigued and I think Jeremy Strong might be up for supporting.
As a person who is NOT a fan of the first GLADIATOR, I am anticipating the second one for one reason only: Denzel Washington.
Ridley is now a script director. Get him a good script and you'll get a good movie.
Still damn impressive for an 86 year old!!
I'm not a Ridley Scott fan so I agree. I think he's far too inconsistent to be called "great." But if he's going to do anything good this late in his life, it'll be Gladiator 2.
It's incredible how this year we have 4 film sequences (Joker, Mad Max, Dune and Gladiator) that had many nominations at the Oscars. If they maintained their technical quality it will be a year without much space for other films to be nominated in the technical categories. Just like your mother, Gladiator is my favorite movie ever... I'm worried about this sequel being a Fast and Furious set in ancient Rome... that really wouldn't be what I was expecting from this movie unfortunately.
Now imagine if Avatar 3 was coming out this year as well instead
I would just love if Megaopolis exceeded expectations
Me too
Suddenly it didn't
@@user-dp4fq4dm7q Probably not but Cannes is a bubble
@@bookdmb I understood
I dont think inside out 2 will be bad but everyone forgot that the oscars are sequel bias unless is toy story. Like we had incredibles 2 and across the spiderverse but they lost. Inside out 2 will probably be nominated but i dont think it will win
Me either i want it to win. Not that will be trash but i want with boy and the herons win makes the academy be more open to international animated movies
I think Dune: Part Two can get the same amount of nominations as it’s predecessor if not a little more. Denis will likely get into Best Director after they egregiously snubbed him for Part One. If he doesn’t have enough competition to face, he could win. Or a possibility of him staying strong for the rest of the year despite coming out in Spring like the Daniels. I’m on the fence if it can get in for acting like Timothee Chalamet, Zendaya, Rebecca Ferguson or Javier Bardem. I don’t know if any of them can get in. But for wishful thinking, I would love to see Austin Butler get in for Supporting Actor.
I'm really hoping for Austin Butler to get in for Supporting Actor, and then that could open the door for Timothee in Messiah, where he'll probably have a bit more of a dramatic role that will impress critics with subtlety.
I think Madame Web, Argylle, and Harold and the Purple Crayon have a chance to clean up at the Oscars.
madame web sweep incoming
Zachary Levi best actor
Give Paulie Shore the Irving Thallberg Award while you're at it.
Argyle 🤢 🤕 🤮
Stay tune for Jacques Audiard's Emilia Perez
wow what a coincidence gladiator is also MY mom's favorite movie of all time
"Are they really gonna snub him for best director again?" Man, I am so worried about that... I can see this snub happening, I can see it, and I do think the 3rd "Dune" movie being in the works is going to hurt the chances "Dune Part 2" at the Oscars AND it's going up against "Furiosa" in technicals.
"Wicked" looks absolutely awful, I don't know what people are seeing in that trailer. I LOVE the musical itself, but the trailer looked like CGI mush.
I think A Real Pain is going to be a bigger player than most people think. I currently have it winning Original Screenplay, Supporting Actor (for Kieran Culkin), and Best Picture.
The Screenplay win and a nomination for Culkin and Picture is wear i have it. It depends on if Sing Sing is Original or Adapted.
I hope Mia Goth’s performance in MaXXXine is one of those undeniable juggernauts that becomes a frontrunner, but that seems like wishful thinking 😢
i think it needs to have not much horror in it, be acclaimed and successful for her to have a chance
@@chris-mm8zl i don't really think being a horror film matters anymore, but agreed on the other points
I watched GoatLife, an Indian movie, it's a pure Oscar winning stuff
Ridley Scott, track record going towards questionable for sure. . . but his career track record is undeniably MUST SEE. 🤷
Alien, Blade Runner, Thelma & Louise, Gladiator, the Martian, The Last Duel. Bangers
maybe call it recency bias or whatever but i think civil war could maybe be a potential player, i wasn't even that big on the movie but critics were mostly positive and it's all anyones been talking about online, even people i know who aren't big into movies want to go and see it now, if the conversation is kept for a while i could see it maybe getting some noms
I think Jesse Plemons could surprise with a BAFTA or CC nod out of nowhere for the impact he left
I don’t think so, Civil War is way too on the nose with its politics and in a election year with everything else I know they don’t want another possible “Glazer” moment
Don’t Look Up 2.0, Film twitter tries so hard to hate it but it’s undeniable with real people. Plus the reviews are miles better.
I hope Dune Part 2 and Sing Sing get recognized and im hoping there are some surprises
Definitely make a point of watching Holy Spider as soon as you have the chance.
Also, Hundreds of Beavers for Best Picture! (Yes, I kid... but watch this as well!)
Holy Spider and Border are both great, and I really like Abbasi's first feature, Shelley, too (some people might have a problem with the movie not explaining things, but it's a great horror anyway). Abbasi is an amazing director, you always can recognize his style even though all his films so far have had different genres, languages, casts and topics.
I'll take what i see as a tribute to 1st slam dunk)
Civil War has to win best sound. It has the greatest gun sound effects ever put to any action film, war film, or any film that has at least one scene with a gun
Yes! Apparently they sought out those specific weapons and recorded a lot or all of those sounds themselves.
What are we thinking about Inside Out 2? Arguably, the first Inside Out was the animated movie closed to getting into the Best Picture line-up since it last happened. And that last movie to get that nod was also a Pixar sequel in Toy Story 3. And the reactions out of early press & CinemaCon screening do sound very strong. The pipe dream of an animated movie getting that Best Picture nod sounds like a broken record, but come on: We've got to get an animated movie in there again. It's been way too long
You forget that the oscars are sequel bias. The toy story wins were , well the third was very good deserving but the fourth won because it was toy story.I really want a animated to be nominated but i doubt and they will probably snub it and give to a non sequel one with wold robot or Lord of the rings.
You're lookin' fine. Working out?
The Apprentice focuses on Trump's relationship with Roy Cohn. I don't see how that movie could work if directed by Adam McKay, snce he makes satirical comedies, and I don't see that genre working for a story where your second lead dies of AIDS in 1986.
I hope Dune 2 sweeps.
It won't
@@timgriffin3368 It should. Nothing else this year so far even comes close.
Tessa Thompson Hedda might get some buzz
Lead actress Angelina Jolie Angelina Jolie
If furiousa wins more Oscar’s than Dune part 2 the academy is a joke
as someone who saw blitz at a test screening last year i dont see it winning best picture
I...got nothing.
Film drunk awards?
Is Austin Butler (Dune 2) a lock for a supporting actor nomination?
Are you kidding? I'm surprised how many people are trying to manifest this.
I want kinds of kindness buzz.
1 or 2 noms max in a crafts category. That's it
original screenplay nom i think
I’m hoping for Dune 2, Gladiator 2 and Joker 2 to rack up all the nods. It’ll be an exciting awards season if it happens.
Boo, nothing original
Nyad 2 will be sweeping next year
I would love for Coppolas film megalopolis to be the Oppenheimer of 2024
Warner Bros is going to have a massive year at the Oscars
Here are my thoughts regarding Sam Jackson: I don’t think he’ll win. He might get nominated, but I don’t think he’ll win. That does mainly come from him being nominated at the Tony’s and not winning but I think there’s more to it than that. I was doing some research and throughout all of the productions, his role never gets nominations. John David Washington’s character gets nominated A LOT, Danielle Deadwyler’s is consistently nominated as well. The critics groups with this latest production nominated Ray Fisher a LOT which tells me his role is big. Michael Potts was also picking up some critic nominations. But the only time, the ONLY nomination that Sam Jackson’s character was nominated was at the Tony’s. Sam Jackson didn’t receive ANY other critic group mentions when his costars did, the role he played was not nominated for any of the other productions throughout history. It was only the 2023 Tony’s that nominated him, which to me reads as they wanted to nominate a movie star (worth nothing tho that he was the only acting nomination for that play at the Tony’s that year, despite all of his costars getting more critics love). I think this says that it’s possible they reworked this production to make Sam Jackson more important of a role (which would carry over for the movie since it’s the same adaptation), however I think there’s a chance that someone like Ray Fisher could steal his thunder. I also think it would mean he can’t win if the role is not really all that meaty. But who knows, maybe it’ll be compelling to give the man his Oscar
Don’t forget that Emma stone will receive her 3rd Oscar next year🎉🎉🎉
Personally, Dune does nothing for me. Go Ronan for best actress!
Do you think Zendaya has any heat for a Best Actress run, Or is Challengers not that kind of movie?
Hope we see more of these longer, more structured type videos from you
furiosa will be movie of the year mark my words
Not so much
Argylle is a lock for best visuals
Denis V simply must be nominated.
I'll be the lone dissent on Joker 2. Don't want it. Didn't want the 1st
👍
Trump 2024
Isn't he a sex pest?
As a fictional character, he's fun (unfortunately he's not fictional).