Could China Survive the Sanctions Against Russia?
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- Опубликовано: 4 май 2024
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McDonald Russia evolution!
Done
I mean providing russian people with Essentials services shouldn't prompt another nation to santion them....But again US is so desperate nowadyas wouldn't be suprise if they sanction china ...and boom there starts ww4
they are getting more expensive
7:10western hypocrisy. Switzerland intervened for Ukraine but remained silent during Israel's war with Palestine. he said neutral but hypocritical
A better title would be "Could China Survive Russian Style Sanctions" - "Could China Survive the Sanctions Against Russia?" is extremely confusing. (Edit: I suppose the sentence could more easily be corrected by simply adding "Used" prior to Against.)
Yep awful naming
No, china will feel the pinch of Russian sanctions.
Another title would be "Could China Survive Russia's Sanctions"
@@_Bran what? That implies Russia is sanctioning china.
hmm I feel the title was fine... "Cool China Survive Russian-style Sanctions" makes it sound like whether China can handle sanctions from Russia. The question is whether China could handle the same sanctions currently placed against Russia.
“9 women can’t make a baby in a month”
I like that comparison. It demonstrates how complex the semiconductor industry truly is.
Biotechnological advances would like to know your location
@@thenegociater3387 Praise the Omnissiah
Bot Don't confusing folks here 🤫
I don't fully comprehend the analogy. Is it that the more people there are it would still take time for the fruits of the engineers to manifest?
@@theadam7598 for someone who doesn’t comprehend the analogy you know the analogy exactly as it’s intended….just because you bring 9 women together doesn’t mean they can do the job it takes one 9 months to do likewise just because they have 9 times the scientists doesn’t mean they can make semiconductors 9x faster. Some things just take time
A full-scale sanction on China? Very Interesting. Just think about how much inflation enjoyed now by the US customers after some tariffs are put on Chinese goods.
not tariff, more like trade embargo, completely unable to purchase them
China slaps tariff on steel for export, it encourages steel mills to sell steel domestically, overseas customers pay more. 😊😊
That's why companies are moving their manufacturing out of China. There is plenty of cheap labor all over the world. China doesn't have anything unique.
@@deebil8099 only auto companies owned factories in China. Tesla is the only 100% foreign owned operation. China moved their eco unfriendly, low level manufacturing to SE Asia or elsewhere because they've moved up the food chain.
you completely misread the news.
@@willengel2458 I don't know what eco friendly manufacturing you're talking about. China has been increasing their emissions every year. They are opening new coal plants to provide electricity for their manufacturing plants. There is absolutely nothing eco friendly about Chinese manufacturing. The vast majority of manufacturing in China is low level manufacturing. Their bread and butter is cheap slave labor. Nobody needs them for advanced manufacturing. China has been used by Advanced economies to offshore their pollution and cheap labor.
Biggest problem of this video is the title itself. A more accurate would be, "Could the world survive with sanctions against China?"
Doing that is akin of cutting your own limbs and asking the question, "can I survive by cutting all my limbs?"
You see, the country is the world's manufacturing hub. They hold the biggest debt from US. And most importantly, they have good and close relations with Asian countries apart from Japan.
Well said, the majority of Asia follow China over US because they are the lessor of two evils.
And apart from South Korea
@@willyang4487 And India
@@willyang4487 When push comes to shove China is doubled and more of what the USA do in trade for both Japan and South Korea. Not to mention both countries also know that the USA is using them as pawns and more importantly both of their citizens want the USA army bases out of their countries.
And Vietnam
Considering China’s vast size, an economic collapse caused by sanctions could do massive damage to the global system.
Dragon Will certainly Go crazy if that happens...would love to see 1 o mr 2 Hypersonic Missiles Over my head
We could survive it. Can’t say the same for China.
We are already facing a global recession. How else can our financial systems deteriorate further?
Beijing orders officials to find ways to protect the nation from western sanctions like those used against Russia
Deterring Chinese aggression against Taiwan is in everyone’s interest. It is not just an Indo-Pacific issue, it is a global issue,'
Chinese officials are looking at ways to defend the country from economic attack if the West should look to sanction China in the same way it did Russia - stoking fears the nation is preparing for an invasion of Taiwan.
'No one on site could think of a good solution to the problem,' the Financial Times quoted a source as saying. 'China’s banking system isn’t prepared for a freeze of its dollar assets or exclusion from the Swift messaging system as the US has done to Russia.'
By TOM BROWN FOR MAILONLINE
PUBLISHED: 12:24 BST, 2 May 2022 | UPDATED: 14:37 BST, 2 May 2022
God forbid we got off slave labor
I don’t think this episode goes far enough. You mentioned that China wouldn’t be able to manufacture any high tech devices due to their reliance on importing semi conductors but that goes both ways. What would the result be for the western world if they can’t get access to the rare earths used to manufacture these devices as well? Would it result in both China and US and Europe both lose their ability to get these devices? After all - all the manufacturing and assembly is done in China. If China is 30 years behind in semiconductor engineers then so is the West behind in terms of gaining economies of scale when it comes to many raw materials needed, manufacturing and assembly.
True, most people didnt realise that without chinese component, some of factory outside china will also stop production due to lack of supply chain.
Australia is the second largest producer of rare earth elements. We also supply basically everything China needs they cut us out and their economy tanked
There are large deposits of rare metals elsewhere on earth not being mined currently because of Chinese abundance.
Rare earths are not actually that rare, and aren't exclusively found in China. In the '90s, many mines in the US, Brazil, Canada, and Australia were closed because China undercut them. Many are starting to be reopened due to concerns about dependence on China.
China lacks the capability to manufacture those components, the west lacks the will to mine those resources. One is a problem of capability, the other is a matter of cost. The West can and is starting to gather those resources from other places than China, and China as a nation has begun to pivot away from being the worlds manufacturing hub for the last few years (hence why they are investing heavily in Africa, they want Africa to become China's China). All it would take the for the West to ditch china is another available market and, barring that, 5ish years to produce rare-earth mines at scale on their own soil (something they have being working on already for the past 5 years btw). If the west has the will, it has the way.
China is 30 years behind semiconductor production and not even IP theft can change that. Semiconductor production at the size (2-5nm) and scale that Taiwan produces is a feat that not even the USA is capable of matching in short order. Unless they are able to successfully take Taiwan without destroying the semiconductor factories and without killing the men and women who work in them they aren't producing anything remotely close to that on their own soil for decades.
Both sides would undoubtedly be hurt by such an event, but when one side is hurting for cheap labor and global-distributed raw materials and the other is hurting for highly-skilled manufacturing processes and the decades of knowledge that leads into that skill set one will recover much faster than the other.
“There are three kinds of lies: Lies, Damned Lies, and Statistics” Author in a video on 3:33 points out that Russia imports a lot of stuff from Belarus, but most of that stuff was not produced in that country. Almost all the imported goods from Belarus originated in other countries. It is just a way to circumvent sanctions that were imposed on Russia after the annexation of Crimea in 2014. The same thing could be at least partially with import from other countries on the list.
China never ceased trade with Iran or Russia. China only abides by UN sanctions.
Trans shipping, but they hate trans people? Lol😅 🎉
Do you think the WEST can survive economically if China is sanctioned?
No The West will NOT SURVIVE without the White Knight (China).
Yes.
Ha ha , of course not la
Lol just look at the Russian sanctions … look at West economies lol west enjoys sanctioning itself
Polymatter is largely a western propaganda channel so you know the "answer".
Russia was disconnected from the West, but it has relations with nations like China and India. Do we have to remember the population of China and India? They are not isolated from the world. It is just that the definition of WORLD is too small
China, Africa and India are basically the world with over 4 billion people. Europe and the USA - maybe one billion tops.
so basically half mondial population
The UN General Assembly condemened Russia overwhelmingly while only four other states supported it. Moral support by Belarus or Eritrea however won't fix a economy that is attacked by the EU, US and allies which have disporoportional strong economies. 35 states obstained, including China and India, and that is basically their position right now. While the relations with Russia are still okay, major Chinese banks and companies comply with Western sanctions, even though unwillingly. That's why Russian state media had to tone down expectations about "new economic ties".
@@dirremoire We be da big dick champs tho
Every Western media say the same thing they think the west is the entire world 😂😂 Russia is only isolated from Western market
With what sanctioning Russia (which has a much smaller economy than China) is doing to prices in the US, I can’t imagine the economic damage that we would do to ourselves by sanctioning China in a similar way.
If the US can't beat Russia they will bow to China lol
Yes ...US will suffer badly in similar manners...
Amen
Prices in the US are this way because everyone was "holding their breath" trying to not raise prices due to the 2 years of coof. When the conflict started, everyone let out the belly out of their shirt in collective relief and said "Russia, dude".
Oh the US is some orders of magnitude more dependent on China than Russia
thank you so much for providing a direct link to your nebula content. so many youtubers only include the referral making it cumbersome to find their channel and then the actual relevant video especially as time passes
4:58: Calling China Australia's "neighbor" is akin to calling water a "drink".
The question should be “Can the West survive sanctions on China?”
We are barely getting by through Russian sanctions, can’t imagine what an interruption of Chinese productivity would do to the world.
Exactly he's videos are made from a western perspective
what Russian sanctions did to fuel and agricultural costs, Chinese sanctions would do to consumer goods.
Will Americans tolerate an iPhone at 3x the price?
I mean the West doesn't rely on Russia in the same way Russia relys on the west
@@thr433sure about that, pal? Seems like you rely on oil quite a lot and they exercise market control that you don't have.
@@pepsisupremacy5533 Not from Russia as I live in North America and most oil is sourced on this side of the Atlantic with foreign oil coming in from the Middle East primarily.
Europe is more exposed to Russian Oil but changing oil suppliers to the Central Asia, Middle East, North Africa, South America, South East Asia and Polynesia is eminently possible and can be done rather quickly.
Gas is a much bigger issue particularly in the East but alternatives can be found and Russia doesn't have the infrastructure to send gas to Asian buyers in the same way it can send Oil elsewhere.
The transition away from using Russian energy supplies will be painful but it only needs to be done once. When finished Russia will have tens of billions of dollars worth of stranded infrastructure. This doesn't even go into how dependent the Russian Oil and Gas industry is on foreign parts and technical knowledge. Those will be cut off making replacing the expertise that much harder. Particularly as Russia has been suffering brain drain to the west for decades. And even if they do replace the expertise they would have to build factories find the tools and the workers that can make the parts. All this takes alot of fucking time time that Russia won't have because once you shut off an oil well or gas field its real hard to get it going again. And the yields won't be the same meaning it will cost more to operate in the same place making your energy cost more.
There are alot of nuances here saying that the west is barely getting by is missing the point; inflation alone is not the only metric of economic health. It must be stated the Western Economies will still grow this year albiet more slowly than expected. The Russian economy will decline and even if the (and especially if) the Ruble goes up in value that won't change the structural problems facing the Russian economy
0:45 The golden rule of all geopolitical videos: Insert obligatory Francis Fukuyama's The End of History reference
?
Fukuyama is an idiot who's been wrong time and time again, but I'll give him that he's a master at self-promotion.
PROPAGANDA.
@@MalekiRe was at 0:46
@@MalekiRe The reference means that Francis Fukayama thought that there would be no more major wars and world shaking event after the collapse of the soviet union. And after Crimea and the recent invasion of Ukraine it seems like he was wrong.
Excellent and informative graphics!
The real question is how far does the US collapse from the blowback of such sanctions: Great Depression 2 or Mad Max?
Just think about how much inflation enjoyed now by the US customers after some tariffs are put on Chinese goods. A full-scale sanction on China is going to be very Interesting.
The USA has been paying for their imports with printed US dollars. Maybe the China, Russia, Iran, Venezuela and other countries will abandon the American dollar.
Civil war not depression 2
usa will fall in to mad max economy
@@luka1608 The scariest thing is, that the “civil war” comes up so often in these discussions now.
The video's comments on China and Australia trade is generalized. Australia did find new markets for its products after China's ban but only in a limited way as a majority of Australia's export products are sold at discounted prices or unsold. There is no other market like China that buys in such huge quantities. Moreover, before China impose the trade bans, it did secure other suppliers in South America and even from Australia's allies like the US and Canada.
The video forgot to mention Australian wine.
Hahahahahahahahahah
All the grapes were left rotting !
"Red wine grapes left to rot as China trade dispute leads to oversupply in Sunraysia" - ABC
The big money maker for Austrailia is iron ore. The biggest threat to Austrailia is Russia. Because of western sanctions Russia is ramping up exports of everything to China. Australia exports more iron ore to china than all other countries combined by a factor of 3~4. It will take a few years but Russia will completely take over that market and Australia's standard of living will drop permanently. But as usual, the poor will get much poorer and the rich a little bit more rich.
PROPAGANDA.
I am proud that my country 🇦🇺 has stood up to the CCP bullies.
永遠的自由👍
@@r3dpowel796 ABC news i.e. the Australian state funded news outlet is hardly propaganda, at least Chinese Propaganda.
China is so deeply woven into our current international trade society that imposing sanctions against them would have an effect on almost every country in the world. The biggest question is not who will benefit but who will not impose sanctions and gain... I feel that Africa will continue to remain neutral and work both the west and China seeing that they so heavily rely on both. If Africa becomes one of the only partners of China, things could take an interesting turn
ASEAN nations will also remain neutral.
@@abdiganiaden So if you sanction China how do the major consumption economies consume?
Africa is not a country and all african cannot produce nor consume anything. They can't project power within their borders, much less outside. Amd China can't stop them from trading with the West. So them being friendly to China is basically irrelevant
@@apc9714 You’re correct that Africa is not a country, yet you call them Africans. Are you contradicting yourself? Although many countries in Africa are poor, they are resources rich and have large population for potential growth. Secondly, there’re 54 countries in Africa, representing more than 1/4 countries globally, so in aggregate Africa has strong influence in the world politics. Shall I remind you that it was countries in Africa that brought PRC into the United Nations and kicked out ROC.
If a sanctions be pose on China, everything will be in trouble and everything will set off protests worldwide. People will make excuses on who to blame
I think that the graphs shown around 3:00 would be much more informative if the EU countries where consolidated. All countries in the EU follow the same trade rules, so if the EU decides something it affects all EU countries directly.
If the presumed condition for such sanctions is an invasion of Taiwan, doesn't that also negate the West's semiconductor advantage? The Taiwanese TSMC produces the chips designed by Apple, Nvidia, AMD, and Qualcomm. In the event of an invasion, TSMC would at the very least cease to function. Intel would be the only remaining western company capable of manufacturing a modern chip (even they are increasingly becoming reliant on TSMC). Such sanctions would also almost certainly be reciprocated with a Chinese embargo on rare Earth minerals, so the more probable scenario is a complete paralysis of the global semiconductor industry.
The rare earths thing is overblown. When the Chinese froze out the Japanese a few years ago, everyone that depends on rare earths took steps to protect themselves from such disruptions. Rare earths are used much less these days, and the companies that still use them now maintain sufficient stockpiles to get by long enough for new rare earth purifying facilities to get up and running. The rare earths threat has been completely nerfed. Not an issue anymore.
On semiconductors, the US and Korea both have facilities that produce 2020 level chips. In a year and a half or so, the US will have facilities producing 2022 level chips. So US tech will not be stalled for more than a couple of years. And since new chip architectures mostly come from the US and Japan while the precision machinery for making new chips comes from Europe, there will no long term slow down. Within four or five years, the world will be back on track, except that most of the new fabs will be in the US and Europe instead of in Taiwan.
@@yopyop3241 I believe your argument is overly optimistic. I already mentioned that Intel would still be active in the United States, but their production volume (along with Samsung's) isn't remotely close to meeting global demand. Covid brought the industry to its knees by itself through an uptick in demand and disruption of the supply chain (mild disruption compared to the Taiwan invasion scenario) . Even though the situation has stabilized, the industry still hasn't completely recovered two and a half years later.
To use a concrete example, the RTX3080 price went flying north of 2000 USD. I can't imagine a high-end GPU costing less than 10000 USD if such an invasion did happen.
Even though Intel is finally working on a (somewhat) competetive GPU, Nvidia and AMD are the only two heavyweight players in this field and are both entirely dependent on TSMC. Apple would probably be out of business, since most of their supply chain depends on China-proper and on TSMC for their CPUs. Quallcomm relies on both Samsung and TSMC, but is currently contracting TSMC for their next lineup, so Android phones would also be severely affected with the disruption of Snapdragon and Kirin (and again, PRC manufacturing and sales market).
A single fabrication plant costs between 10 to 20 billion USD and takes up to 5 years to build, assuming the know-how and experienced engineers are available. TSMC is responsible for 56% of contract fabrication. It would take *at least* a decade for the western semiconductor industry to recover in my opinion, if they can even figure out how to reestablish an economy of scale without China.
@@bashersully7667 I think we are talking past each other. We are discussing the microchip situation in the wake of a PRC invasion of Taiwan and the imposition of Russia-style sanctions on China.
My point isn't that there will be no effect on the global microchip market/situation. That's obviously absurd. No, my point is that the global microchip market/situation will have no effect on the world's ability to respond to the PRC's invasion of Taiwan.
In the wake of invasion and sanctions, I would expect microchips to be in short supply. Rationing is likely. It will be like the gasoline situation in the US and around the world during WW2. Shortages and rationing, but not to the extent that it had any detrimental impact on the US's war effort.
In contrast, the sanctions will gut China's ability to do much of anything. In the microchip arena, China's complete inability to access advanced chips will undoubtedly have an impact in some critical areas. But that's one of the lesser concerns for China. The biggest problem for China will undoubtedly be the lack of oil. The oil that China will be able to access won't even be sufficient to maintain domestic food distribution, much less maintain food distribution while also sustaining an amphibious attack on Taiwan.
@@yopyop3241 I don't dispute that China would be significantly paralyzed in the energy and food sectors, only disputing the video's assertion that the west would continue to have a semiconductor advantage. I get the feeling too many people think that going on with life would be as simple as setting up shop in India and returning to normal in 5 years. I think there will be an an entire generation of lost progress.
Luckily this is all a thought exercise, China unlike Russia isn't dumb enough to start a war anytime in the next 15 years.
@@bashersully7667 US-based Intel says that it is already poised to take the lead back from TSMC with production of 18 Angstrom chips forecast to come online by the end of 2024. We'll see if they can actually accomplish that, but in any case, that seems like proof that there isn't any risk of "an entire generation of lost progress."
It really is something how China maintains strong geoeconomic bonds with many of its rivals/unfriendly/enemy states. I guess the same can be said about the US's trade relationship w/ China.
They don't care about your system of government, they just want you to buy their stuff and in return they'll invest money in your country. That's called win-win.
I guess the truth is these rivals/unfriendly/enemy relationships are delusion made by local politicians.
It just shows the difference in perception. In recent years, the West keeps hyping up the "China threat" narrative. No one in China ever imagined that the US could be a threat until Trump's trade war.
PROPAGANDA.
Sanctions against China?? With 90+ % of all products sold in North America coming from China?? Result will be World-wide recession 10X worse than the 1920's !!!
Dude can relate China to anything at this point...
PROPAGANDA.
It's obviously relevant since China has been dealing with Russia far differently than any other country. And it's threats to Taiwan - well, it's an important consideration for China and the rest of the world.
@@bulldogcoma420 You are living in a western centric bubble, China is dealing with Russia the same way most of the world dealing with Russia: same as usual, only western countries and a few Asian ally countries like Japan and South Korea are against Russia, the rest of the world are not.
@@bulldogcoma420 Funny that you consider US + its allies = rest of the world
@@TheRealIronMan not even Japan and SK are against Russia, only their governments.
Do you know the US and EU had sanctions against China in space technologies, now guess which country has its own space station. If you do business with China, China will be careful with IP protect and reverse engineering, but if you sanction China, China could just ignore the IP protection and make a lot things much easier.
Interesting video so far! But why do you use 60fps when you clearly don’t need it? I tried watching in 4K but it buffers because size of video is too big with 60fps(2x time of what 30fps)
I think the proper question to ask is: “Can the west survive putting sanctions on China?”
Edit: obviously the west will “survive” but what I meant was would their economic hegemony survive. Sanctions on China will cause massive shortages and recessions and therefore shrinking the markets. In my opinion the markets will shrink so much that the west will no longer be wealthy and the more profitable markets for China will shift east to large population centres since the smaller European markets will not be able to compete with unsanctioned Asian markets
Yes. Things will just be more expensive. The US would thrive while Europe will struggle for a bit.
It would instantly kill all the stores.
In my EU City
Almost everything here is made in china.
@@del.see.oh.89 It's not a matter of more expensive things, but the lack of them.
yes, but the arguculture industry need to be develop again
"Survive" is probably not the right word, the west would probably survive... But at what cost?
Not to mention, would there even be a unified west against China, when there would be a ton of Chinese money and capital trying to get people to ease of sanctions.
I always suspected Polymatter watches Peter Zeihan. This video is clearly a summary of his ideas for the past few months. No matter how good he is at presenting his ideas it's good to get opinions from other geopolitical figures and not only rely on him.
It certainly matches Zeihan's belief that China is somehow weak and incapable of dealing with the next crisis, contrary to its history.
nathan rich absolutely shat on zeihan lmao
Like blocking Strait of Malacca, and China would just surrender, that Peter Zeihan? 🤣🤣
@@easonhuang7117 I don’t know if he said that, but blocking the straights in South East Asia would absolutely screw over China. China needs Persian oil which passes through those straights. Take that away and there isn’t enough land infrastructure like pipelines and roads to meet China’s energy demands.
@@123string4 🤣🤣Spoiler alter: nobody has the power and gut to block China's energy supply by force. Not now, and definitely not in the future.
heyo @PolyMatter ! just needed to give u a compliment on yo nebula video! u are already easily too 5 youtuber, but that nebula video may be one of my most fav videos ever 😍 I will for sure be re-watching your China, Actually series for years to come (…as well as your yotube library probably 😂) keep up the great work!!
what did I like about it? it really well tied in trends from earlier in the series & the consepts in that video has me rethinking/questioning how i think of other geopolitical issue
great! can you make "Can USA survive sanctions?" video?
06:58 The Netherlands is listed as PRC's 8th largest export customer; but this is misleading. Much of that turnover is landed in Rotterdam, for final delivery to eastern Europe, to Germany's Ruhr industrial heartland, to Switzerland, to much of France, and beyond.
In EU it does not matter which country imports/exports from a legal perspective
@@ToriZealot I had simply pointed out that the stats for NL imports were misleading.
@@philipb2134 Yes, I agree
the whole video is based on completely faulty and outdated figures and it is nothing but a laughing stock for entertainment LOL
You seem to believe this is meant to be a serious video and not just feel-good propaganda for the lowest denom.
I believe the US has been placing sanctions on China but they're doing it slowly so it doesn't cause an economic downturn globally.
However, rolling out the sanctions slowly would only give China the time to adapt to the new changes and develop alternatives.
If the US government place huge sanctions abruptly it would affect the world economy and make more countries keep their distance from US in terms of using the dollar and re-strategizing trade conditions.
Ultimately, hurting China would make ordinary Americans and poorer countries even hurt more...
I think the world is becoming more multi-polar
all countries that against US are so used to sanctions....china, russia, NK, iran, venezuela, cuba etc
who was that Russian philosopher that made that term mainstream?
It's already too late...the have opened their eyes to the danger of the US dollar. Now we have the BRICS alliance using commodity based currency. Their success will create an avalanche of countries abandoning the US in favour of their own commodities as currency.
Let me be frank, Europe and USA needs the entire world but the rest of the world doesn't. China silk rode and maritime string of pearls is a plan of interconnecting the world excluding Europe.
A multi-polar world without dollar is an inevitability. Because human are selfish and greedy...especially us Asian. We will never waste this lifetime opportunity of a good deal of financial freedom, wealth and dominance.
As a citizen, you have more parties to vote for, as a country, it should have more options to choose.
I think they're just encouraging decoupling to come back to north America.
Sanctioning China is like sanctioning yourself.
You haven't watched the video. According to the video, the damage to the US from sanctioning China would only be 2% of US GDP. That's about one third of the economic damage of the first year of the pandemic. And the damage from sanctioning China would come down much faster, because China overwhelmingly only provides the world with low skilled manufacturing labor, the easiest and fastest thing there is to replace.
@@yopyop3241 LOL
@@yopyop3241 If have opportunity, welcome to China live for several months to know about real China, not the China by press
I think the most wise thing of CN economic policy is the domestic supply chain: when CN introduces a western company to assembly their products in CN a bunch of CN companies producing parts of it as a part of its supply chain will rise together which are hardly to move to another countries, e.g. nowadays iPhone are also assemblied in Vietnam and India, but the parts still come from CN, and they can also serve other companies like Tesla or domestic competitors
Fun fact: China invented the modern Vitamin-C synthesis process and produces 95% of the world's Vitamin C today.
So in the event of an all-out sanction, much of the sanctioned world would face a Vitamin-C shortage.
"I will just eat more oranges duh" one may say, but Vitamin-C is used in so many places besides Vitamin pills. It is an important preservative for breads, beverages (including drinking water treatment), meats, fruits, and animal feeds.
Lot's of foods require Vitamin-C for their shelf life, and not everyone can afford same-day fresh foods, while canned foods and flour would immediately shoot up in price as factories look for alternative, likely more expensive, and less healthy preservatives than Chinese Vitamin-C.
India is always there to save pharmaceutical industry
@@theevil8844 The problem is that Vitamin-C is unlike most of the pharmaceutical goods. AFAIK India excels in pharmaceutical industry (partly) because they are not as restricted by drug patents and other corporate/legal barriers. Meanwhile Vitamin C is a generic industrial product.
So, it is not about if one CAN produce it--any good graduate-level chemistry student can probably make it. It is that few outsides of China can produce it cost-effectively at a large scale, and then the question is by how much would food prices increase as a result.
"Oh no"
@@Cam-sl8ve Yes, I, John Doe, from the Autonomous Republic of New York, is now very concerned and feel defeated. We surely must let China do any horrible stuff it pleases now
@@theevil8844 most of raw materials for indian pharma comes from China
An aviation boycott of China might turn out to be a blessing in disguise for them. Most of their high speed rail network is hemorrhaging money due to low ridership, and like the video said, Chinese aircraft manufacturers are struggling with weak demand. Both of these problems could be fixed by a boycott.
Keep believing western lies.... LOL
Just like their space station and aircraft carriers...
You don't get it. The high speed railway is not to make money in themselves. These are western ideas and ultimately results in poor investment. The Chinese model is that the infrastructure is built to increase the economy of the area. It does that very well.
Lol, western propaganda at its finest.
as a person who recently finished writing an essay on the topic, no. first of all, the chinese high speed rail network is, as a whole, very slightly profitable, due to popular lines like beijing-shanghai making up for the unpopular ones like lanzhou-urumqui. second of all, it has had an enormous positive ripple effect across the chinese economy: it has reduced housing costs, since people can now live further away from the cities and still go to work there, it has helped smaller cities develop by connecting them with larger ones, it has freed up conventional rail lines for freight trains, ensuring better supply to factories, and it has alleviated china's dependency on imported airplane parts.
I always got the impression that most of your work especially regarding geopolitics had traces of influence from Marshall and Zeihan. Same thing with Wendover or maybe it was RLL I can't remember, but some of their work also had influences from writers like Zeihan.
I think you might have my favourite youtube channel! (And I follow well over 200 channels)
"China, Actually" is a great series, it's worth the Nebula sub on its own.
Nice shill. If only I had money!
*Cries in Balkan!*
I was just wondering if I should try Nebula. I love so many youtubers that are on it.
@@spaghettiisyummy.3623 jebiga...
@@baronvonjo1929 If you have some money left over to spend, then go for it!
You keep making the mistake that a bigger nanometer-number automatically means bigger chips and that's not true. It can be, but it's not a causal relationship. The coffeemaker chips you mentioned are usually ARM-based or other RISC architecture, aiming at providing the most specialized logic. Specializing it also means cutting out unnecessary logic, so you end up with a smaller die, which lowers cost per chip as you get more chips per wafer AND you get a better yield, as smaller chips are less likely to contain an error that would make them unusable. So, a 14-nanometer specialized CPU might be much smaller than a general compute 7-nanometer consumer CPU, for example.
This is why it's not correct to say "bigger chips" for chips that have been manufactured on older nodes. Yes, smaller nodes mean smaller transistors OR smaller transistor elements OR less unlogic space OR something related (it's not standardized what it means, by the way) BUT that also means that designers can now keep the chip's size the same while cramming more logic per area unit. So, chips might be getting smaller while keeping the same functionality as before OR they might be keeping their size but add functionality. Heck, they might even get bigger, like Cerebra's WSE. ALSO, if you're talking about chips, you should be able to make the distinction between CPUs and SoCs, for example, and types of chips and packaging.
Excellent, if more technical, for a comment on YT. Kudos Kyamil Nasuf
@@peterbellini6102 Thanks, hope it still clears up some stuff, at least, but yeah - I guess by trying to be thorough, I ended up complicating it a bit.
It's actually kind of embarrassing to show that I care about such a small detail, so even a small positive comment like yours actually ends up reducing some anxiety, which is kinda cool and I really thank you for that.
I'm drunk i had to read toy comment 4 or 5 times but finally i understand that was good keep doing it my man
wait you mean someone didnt know this? are they tarded?
@@Blox117 I didn't know this, but I can build a house from the ground up lol
Love this series
Rare earths can be found just about anywhere. The issue is that it takes a lot of highly pollutioning processing to the ore into product. China's RE dominance is based on a discard for horrific pollution and selling below cost (via subsidies).
Agreed that this is the truth and not talked about enough. People present it as if they are sitting on the only supply.
That said, it is not a change we could make overnight and the cost would be higher.
Yes, other places have rare earths too, BUT it takes years to develop the new mines. Chinese rare earths can be replaced, but not "on a dime."
Yes there are no greenies in China to stop procress
@@michaels4255 but you can't replace China's policy that doesn't give a damn about their worker's rights. Try that in any democratic country, the workers would gladly to revolt. There's a reason why capitalists love so much to manufacturing in China.
Rare earths are abundant in the earths crust but mineable concentrations are more rare. China has 38% of the world’s reserves. Even though China’s mining of rare earths has dropped to 58%, the refining and processing of rare earths is 85% done in China.
Could US survive it's own imposed sanctions?
Ask biden .😂
They are losing to Russia imagine China 📉
PROPAGANDA.
It would be fine, US and western world were fine before china in the 70s, it's china who will collapse
Yes it could actually, and the world would do far worse without america than america without the rest of the world(mexico might be the main exception)
sanctioning China is like sanctioning yourself
This is literally one of the most informative videos on this specific subject. Great job!
Waltch the x22 report
4:02 I would put India in the unfriendly column as well. The US has become India's largest trading partner and China has slipped to No.2.
10:14
"9 women can't make a baby in month, and money alone can't manifest an advanced semiconductor industry"
Gold.
How is that gold? Its like comparing apples with cats.
PROPAGANDA.
@@r3dpowel796 is everything propaganda?
@@shreyangshumodak8923 yes its all parts of USA psychological operation PSY-OPS.
@@r3dpowel796 you're a funny man😂
Now do something on.
"Can world survive sanctions on China"
Yes. It will take some time to adapt and be painful but absolutely, the world can survive sanctions on China.
PROPAGANDA.
It can, though the least affected would either be non flobalised economies or funny enough, the US
@@Cecilia-ky3uw I don't think so. It considered as World factory. Well if they did sanction China, then just like Russia demanded payments in Ruble. China does it to. Economic flow will be disrupt big time 10× than Russia's
China has the world largest domestic economy and is the largest trading nation in the world. there is also a silly notion in the West that "West = World", the G7 is simply not the dominate economy anymore. they can't force Africa and Asia to not trade with China which offer them a better deal than G7.
You guys should do another one name “Can we survive if we sanction China” 🙄
They should name it "Why we were wrong in our last video" because they got A LOT wrong in this one.
From the reality prospective, russian currency bounced back to its pre war condition in months, if they can bounce back in months, china would do that in weeks.
And what about the impact in US, that would be the biggest catastrophe of this.
Just note that iron ore suppliers are not entirely interchangeable. Processes are optimised to the grade/composition of the ore usually supplied which may not be exchanged without potential negative consequences.
ok mr grade controller.
"What if the Earth lost 30 million m2 landmass all of a sudden?!" - the idea presented in this video is as farfetched and unrealistic.
Because? If you don't give a reason, your statement is as empty as your head.
6:43 - Why is Integrated Circuits blurred out? 🤔
EDIT; Ah, nvm I see now this is a 2020 chart and I read now in a TIME's article:
"In 2020, the US began restricting sales of American technology to companies like Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp. and Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co., successfully containing their growth - but also fueling a boom in Chinese chip-making and supply." So I take it Integrated Circuits is different today in 2022.
The article was titled: U.S. Sanctions Have Helped China Supercharge Its Chipmaking Industry
Same thing might start to happen in Russia now as well -> ruclips.net/video/kSU3iDBTB_A/видео.html
An article I read yesterday said that a southern European country I can't remember the name discovered Rare Earth elements slightly less than China has and will be extracting them in about a year to a year and a half
A lot of countries have rare earth, even US. The issue is whether they can refine it at a large capacity.
If the US sanctions China, the US economy will suffer multi-year recessions (because of non-accessible cheap exports and cheap labor market), tech stocks will crumble (due to chip exports being stopped), the hegemonic shift can occur in third countries (Right now, the biggest competitor for worldwide hegemony is china. Since both economies will collapse due to sanctions/ cold war mindset, countries that are neutral in the condition (i.e. countries who have good relationships with the east as well as west (for ex. Saudi, India, etc.) have chances to take benefit (by increasing there production and exporting like crazy) to become a worldwide economic powerhouse/ new hegemony.
just a perspective...
As an American...that works for me, if we gotta lose our top spot, i'd much rather a democracy like India take it than a Communist dictatorship like China.
good take jeet
Why refer to US and EU as “The world”. The world is bigger than that.
In terms of economics it's true.
@@zjeee 😂😂😂🤣🤣
@@zjeee Nope.
Exactly
@@zjeee nah! Asia like China, India, Japan, Korea, Indonasia etc have huge economic weight. Maybe in 1980s EU and US was economically "the world" but not anymore!!
I signed up for the bundle in March and still haven’t been able to log in to Nebula.
Mans had an endless supply of knowledge and chose how containerships work
4:00 Its probably important to mention that India and China are very much regional rivals
PROPAGANDA.
Yet they trade a huge amount
@@J_X999 so does USA
Yes India is very hostile to China, which makes false claims to Indian territory adjacent to Occupied-Tibet, and India is part of the QUAD. Vietnam is hostile to China and even welcomed the USS Theodore Roosevelt in 2020 as part of its growing relations with the USA. China is scared by the sanctions on Russia - and thus making friendly overtures towards India recently in spite of its repeated aggression over the decades!!! See also the 'Why Taiwan is not Ukraine' video on this channel.
@@sutapasbhattacharya9471 Didn't know the slums of Mumbai had WiFi LMAO.
Be careful, someone might press the big red off button in the middle of your head 🐄🐄
Question i would ask is- Can US survive sanctions against China + Russia?
I mean US economy is so deeply intertwined with China, its like getting a messy divorce, with intertwined property, assets, children, business.
I want decoupling and more USA self-reliant.
We can survive it, but we don’t want to.
There would be so much work to clean up the mess USA and China would have to do, if they want the divorce for real
The US has blessed geography, the only thing it can't survive is itself
it would hurt if it was all at once and sudden, but China has little to offer besides cheap labor and cheap manufacturing. india can offer all the same, they're just not as pro business so they get ignored in favor of the option companies view as less risky: China
These videos are what China Uncensored WISHES they were.
The "free world" can easily strong-arm Russia into submission and I think it will. We won't see anyone wishing Russia to collapse, though. It would be too great a risk for the stability in the whole area...remember they have about 6500 nuclear weapons.
We cannot risk these weapons falling into the hands of regional autonomy republics or local warlords.
However, if the same was done to China, the rest of the world would suffer and the economy would stagnate.
You are wrong on both points. First, it IS hard to strong arm Russia. That is what has led to this war. Second, collapsing Russia is EXACTLY the plan of our foreign policy elite. Google up the 2019 Rand report, _Extending and Unbalancing Russia_ . This was all planned (badly). Only the "little people" were surprised.
The domination of a "free" american world order is over
Between 1949-1979, China was under sanctions from both US and Soviet Union, the country was extremely poor and more than 20 million people starved to die. However, the communist government was still there. Between 1989-1994, there was another sanction from US, but it did not stop the economic development. And communist government was still there. Can’t wait to see the effect of the third sanction.
The narrative simply puts unusual assumptions into an ordinary background. It assumes that the country does not react to the unusual circumstance and the government runs as always, therefore the conclusion seems quite weird. Russia obviously did not sit there waiting for the sanction but also took many actions to mitigate the consequence which, for the time being, seems rather effective.
We know what you people are. Stop acting like we aren’t plotting your demise as you continue to act unfriendly.
Regular people.
Imagine our governments!
Anyways, have fun! ☺️
PROPAGANDA.
rouble being back to pre sanction level bois
Russia is a commodities superpower, its just impossible to wean the world off its base export. Also the west isn't exactly in the best financial status to brush off the consequences of the sanctions. Europe and Japan has been in decades long economic stagnation thanks to their unrestricted quantitive easing policy. America has been hiding its unfunded liabilities using accounting tricks. spend trillions over the past decade on wars to keep the dollar reserve status and tributary states in line. China is going back to socialism. there is so much waste and inefficencies in the global system. We are all playing chicken with each other to see who blinks first
@@cephalonbob15 That doesn’t mean anything. The government is ignoring every other aspect of the economy just to keep the value of the currency artificially inflated so gullible people think “big stronk ruzzia” will win the war in the next three days. Russian citizens aren’t allowed to exchange their currency into dollars, foreign assets are being held hostage and economists are being turned into propagandists but the ruble is in the same level so russia will totally win, just 3 more days trust me.
I’m not sure if this is something that you would be willing to do but “what if the Mississippi River was cargo ship navigable” how would this change the US, possible impacts of its implementation, and what it would take to do so.
This would be a sweet video. Bridges would have to be a lot different, I know that much
@PolyMatter did the companies leave or where they coerced or made to leave?
The real question is whether or not playing the sanctions card actually achieves any political results. Western sanctions on Russia haven't stopped the war in Ukraine. Both sides have been hit hard. Nobody wins. Sanctioning China will make current complaints about supply chain issues look minor.
It's a big win for the west, Europe is looking for alternative sources of energy. Germany is opening up it's nuclear power plants again and starting to burn coal becoming less dependant on Russian natural gas and oil. Sure it hurts in the short run but in the long run we develop new sources of energy that doesn't include the Russians which in the long run is very good for our national security.
It's the same with China, even Chinese companies have started moving their factories to Vietnam as it's more profitable. It's already started after the COVID shutdowns and electricity crisis in China. Especially after the Shanghai lockdown now companies have started to leave China. Sanctioning China will hurt the supply chain until everyone sets up all the factories in other countries as they have already started to do and then life continues as normal for us while China is wrecked.
Chinese industry would leave Western markets and China would shift their industry on war footing and divert all the labour towards building military industrial complex. Just like in WW2 when American refrigerator factories were turned into bomber assembling lines Chinese would be churning out one weapon after another. And they won't collapse like Soviet Union because 98% of PRC people belong to one ethnic group that's Han Chinese.
All I see is that West would be creating WW2 Germany and. Japan on steroids.
Saying this West will see a major spike in inflation as there would be no Chinese supply lines to meet their hunger for consumer goods
@@zjeee I don't see any articles saying Germany is opening up nuclear plants. What I do see is some support for not closing the remaining three (three previously closed) that are due to close this year. No decision to keep them open has been made.
The west would suffer as they tried to establish their Chinese factories in other countries the same way Europe is going to suffer as they try to get off Russian fossil fuels. If it was easy, it would have already happened as Europe says they want to get off fossil fuels.
Russia cannot build more weapons like tanks and planes due to the sanctions. They locally produce almost no high-end electronics. At the current level of their loss and usage, Russia will not be able to fight with as much intensity by the end of 2022. Russia has had to artificially prop up their currency with all their reserves and it is straining. Russian citizens are feeling the brunt of it right now and can take them for a while but wait until fall/winter kicks in.
The sanctions are useful when you the long game, and this is very important in a war of attrition. We'll see the real results of Western sanctions on Russia in a few years, and I think it won't be pretty.
I think the better question would be.. "can the global market survive a russia styled sanctions against china." unfortunately.
4:00 i mean everything on that list doesn’t really like China part from Hong Kong but the ones who are NATO or American allies are not the only ones Vietnam had that war with China after the Vietnam war and India had had border disputes
A good question is can America survive sanctions from China and the quick answer would be no. The us only accounts for 19% of the GDP of China and they have already weathered that through the pandemic but imagine waking up one day and 95% of the products that you get in your country do not come anymore. If China asked America to pay them back which they can't and then they impose sanctions against America that would definitely call the end for us out here
I think given the current inflation rate and economic misery, the real question is could the western world (US and EU) survive Russian style sanctions on China. Most likely economic suicide. Need to work together, not keep fighting pointless trade wars where only the average consumer loses.
good comment
Nonsense. Li Kequiang admitted in 2020 that 600 million Chinese live on less than $140 a month. China is still a developing country. With its property bubble imploding and the Covid lockdowns, US tariffs, demographics etc. China is in decline economically. It is even making peace overtures towards India in regard to its fake claims to Indian territory after the Ukraine invasion as it realises how it is far more vulnerable to sanctions than Russia. It is pumping billions into CPEC in Pakistan but that is only helping Pakistan towards bankruptcy - such is Chinese global economic power with its debt traps!
This video ignored that fact that Vietnam and India are also unfriendly towards China. India is a member of the QUAD and Vietnam welcomed the US aircraft carrier Theodore Roosevelt in 2020 as part of the growing anti-China coalition. China's oil supplies and access to the Indian Ocean is easily blockaded at the Malacca Straits.
See also the video showing just how hard it is to invade Taiwan - the experts at beach invasions, the USA, decided not to invade 'Formosa' in 1944. China's military prowess is also grossly exaggerated by most. It has no experience of modern naval and aerial warfare. The USAF has the 2nd largest airforce in the world after the USAF and is the only country with nuclear-powered supercarriers - including the new Gerald Ford Class as well as the Nimitz Class. The US still retains 800 overseas bases, China has 1 in Djibouti.
The video I mentioned 'Why Taiwan is not Ukraine' is on this Polymatter Channel.
Peace requires good will on both sides. In the East, you'll find all but good will.
Right on.
Approx 09:28 "China buys one fourth of the wold's oil by value." I challenge this assertion. It is quite credible that PR China buys a quarter of internationally shipped petroleum and derivatives, but the US is a major consumer of these, as well as a huge producer of crude.
@polymatter at ~6:07 what is the #2 China import? and why is it blurred? p.s. i follow you on Nebula and love all of your videos. THANK YOU. P.P.S i hope you don't mind me saying but your voice is sexy as hell. just sayin' 🤷🏽♂
4:00 they might be dependent on exporting manufactured goods, but they'll be feed themselves, get fuel from Russia and build anything they need on their own! Practically self sufficient
I dont think rare Earths are "rare" because they are scarce, I think they're rare because not many countries are willing to go through the environmental impact of extracting them. And china dgaf about their environment lol
EDIT: Looked into it, and all rare Earths are actually extremely common within the Earth's crust (except for promethium that has to be manufactured via nuclear fission) but southern china has deposits that are significantly more economical to harvest than other places in the world.
I wouldn't say they're extremely common. But as you say the trick is extracting and processing them economically. That's expensive.
they are kinda like gold, you can find them everywhere but cant mine them everywhere, theres a lot of requirements to mine rare earth, and the process requires lots of water and then renders that water un-useable, many countries are now producing rare earths but thats just one piece of the puzzle, next is to process them, you can dig our crude but if you cant refine it, its still useless, this processing stage requires technology and due to its head start ,china is still ahead, chile,argentina and even australia send thier mined rare earth to china for processing, so its not just about its abundance, theres a lot to it
PROPAGANDA.
Promethium? By the Emperor!
those are back in the days. China have patented new cleaner ways to process rare earth and thats why they hold the market share.
Great video. However, I have a problem. The last couple uploads, I’ve tried to sign up for the curiosity stream and nebula bundle deal, but it never gives me access to nebula! It prompts me to purchase the subscription via curiosity stream (with the polymatter code for $15 a year) but then it just acts as a curiosity stream subscription, and NOWHERE does it prompt being able to use it to open or download nebula. When I go to nebula separately from the “watch this video on nebula” link, it prompts me to sign up or sign in. If I press sign up, it’d have me purchase a new basic subscription. If I press sign in and use my curiosity stream account info, it gives a box that says if you’re coming from curiosity stream than you can enter your email and set up a password. However, when I enter the address, no email ever gets sent to me no matter how many times I try. This option is only available through the link in the description. If I download the app or go to their base website, it just tries to get me to sign up full price. If I go to your content on nebula, it tries to get me to pay the deal again which I already paid for on curiosity stream. Does anyone know how to solve this issue? It’s happened multiple times and I just have to keep cancelling my subscription and deleting my accounts because I don’t want to pay for something twice!
I was just about to buy the standard one year Curiosity Stream package!
Please let me know if you're able to resolve the issue...one of the main draws, to me, is the Nebula bundle deal but if that doesn't work then :/
PROPAGANDA.
you aren't the only one with this issue
@@singularityraptor4022 I had the same issue when I got mine, you just have to email them.
great video
I waited nearly 3 minutes for the answer but it didn't happen so I'm going to the pub instead.
* US Government tries to sanction China*
Wall Street: "This was all my fault, i was the one who wanted to relax on Sunday. Now if you'll be so kind as to leave so i can get ready for work tomorrow..."
White House: "But..."
Wall Street: "GET OUT!"
You would have to pull teeth out from them to get them to renounce their cash cow.
@@ethanwmonster9075 Just a few calls from the techies, bankers, and CEOs to the Congress (and Langley) and the POTUS will be signing it's resignation or facing impeachment within the next couple of hours. We all know who's really in charge in the US and what happens to the ones trying to get between them and their money.
PROPAGANDA.
Thank you for consistently reminding everyone that trade is a two way street.
swear to FSM that I posted that before even hearing you say those exact words around 13:05
Technology is easy once you know the basics. Everyone can easily catch up or modify the tech to accommodate.
How do I access Nebula content with the Curiosity account?
Considering our nation's are still showering Russia with money (mostly energy) despite sanctions. it's easy to guess that sanctions against China will most likely be useless, corporations and lobbyist will also work tirelessly to prevent any sanctions or evade them.
0:28 only significant to Europe, just in terms of the war, Asia, Africa and South America have had far worse wars since WW2, especially American and Soviet proxy wars and coups
A department store need customers more than customers need a department store.
And why is it that we sanction China from buying US semiconductors but somehow we are experiencing shortages of semiconductors for vehicles?? Sanctions backfired or the fact is US automakers actually buyers these semiconductors from China.
There is a shortage of the low price chips used in autos because chip makers are prioritizing the higher price chip market for computers and smart phones during this period in which they cannot keep up with orders for both.
I would use the world "growth" instead of "Survive". Don't forget before the 70s China was completely closed off & decoupled from the rest of the world, and survived.
Survived? Yes. Thrived? No. And with current Chinese citizen's appetites, who's to say the downturn, coupled with the intermittent lockdowns, wouldn't cause major uprising in China.
the world was also less connected at the time
PROPAGANDA.
@@jonlocke1624 wouldn't that only backfiring everyone? The great chinese migration will happen again just like before.
survived in that there wasn't a coup, but millions of people starved to death.
The Carolina region of the US is said to have large deposits of rare earth minerals similar to China (some duke power study from way back when). The problem is that these rare minerals are usually clustered with other minerals and have to be separated, this process of separation is energy intensive and pretty environmentally hazardous due to the chemicals that have to be used.
The US has been letting china own this market because it would be scrutinized to the point it's unprofitable due to regulation (not a bad thing, but is a disadvantage). Given the environmental hazards and regulation, at that point, it was better to let china deplete their deposits and take the environmental hit while we hold ours for a rainy day (similar to large natural deposits in state parks).
We could probably do it here in the US, but it would come at a great cost to my home (I live in the region).
Yes rare earth is not actually rare it's just very costly on the local environment to refine and the Chinese state massively subsidize it to the point it would not be profitable to refine it outside China.
So the US is just delaying their environmental disaster. eventually they will mine their rare earth and will have to get the dirty process.
Great long term saving. I only hope your country will not stop selling it to India coz we are also helping US by sending lots of scientists and engineers there 👍
@@narzarybipul9305 Well that sounds dumb.
@@alphonsemaina8293 . Ture lol that guy is nuts.
China has genetic and national indentity advantage over USA.
USA is chaotic racially too.
The businesses leaving Russia wasn't self-imposed. It would be very difficult to move money in or out of the country because of all the government restrictions
That’s why Russia is moving to a hybrid gold standard to prop up there currency. In the long run Europe will have to crawl back to Russia for there oil. When Russia does finish taking over most if not all Ukraine. On the bright side the war pigs in Washington will make a nice profit.
Chinese aviation is very dependant on the US airplane parts. China imports 1/4 of world oil in value and specially almost the same amount of semiconductors. Is loosing ground, and its semiconductor deficit has increased. China needs new semiconductor engineers, it has a deficit of 300k. China needs for example dutch litography machines to create smaller chips. No Chinese bank is in the mood of defying US sanctions on Russia. China passed an anti sanctions law. Most of China imports are tecnological products. If trade is restricted, Apple for example will loose half of is production capacity.
what is the second place at 6:55 and why is it blurred out?
Edit: My question has been answered at 9:17
About semiconductors, the taking of Taiwan would create a semiconductor crisis WORLDWIDE as the TSMC foundries would be seized by the PLA in the early days of the intervention.
Assuming the Taiwanese dont manage to destroy the factories before PLA can take them, an even worse scenario.
Crisis, yes, but not likely the foundries would survive the taking in operational condition. Why wouldn't they be sabotaged instead of letting the CCP gain control?
@@FarsightAE Semiconductor manufacturing process is EXTREMELY delicate, a single bomb on one of TSMC's manufacturing/EUV wings and the whole production is crippled.
@@lape2002 the Chinese are experts are analysing broken equipment and putting them back together
@@lape2002 why would they bomb TSMC? Use your brain man lol
Australia jokingly as a China's satelite state?
USA: Do you think of me as a joke?
Did Australia's new coal trade with India, Japan and Korea completely offset losses from the trade with China or only partly?
The correct question would be would the world survive if China🇨🇳🇭🇰🇲🇴 were isolated by sanctions? the answer is no, because it would bring about an economic collapse as big as closing the US🇺🇲.
The world would survive. Manufacturing companies have steadily been leaving China since 2012 for the rising cost of production in the country. Since 2011 the price to manufacture has multiplied by 10. Not to mention all the rare earth metals China has have been dwindling over the past 3 decades they've been actively mining them so countries have started to go elsewhere to get the metals they need like more mining in the US, Canada, Australia, Brazil and several African countries. And since China doesn't make any high end semiconductors or other high tech items it wouldn't be a security threat if another country sanctioned them. Things would be tight for a while definitely but the world as a whole would be able to carry on.
The world would find others to manufacture PCBs (not hard), and make HDMI cables (not hard)
Chinese manufacturing is only marginally cheaper, and westerners are used to 10% y/y inflation already, whats another 10% increase in prices.
@@xavierwarchol2570 . The thing is it is highly unrealistic those supposed sanctions to be done on china.
@@changchadchanamdong2668 For the moment they definitely won't sanction China. If they invade Taiwan that's a different matter. There would probably be sanctions then but how severe they would be depends on how much that could effect the West. If the West continues the trend of pulling out of China like they have been for the past decade then for every year that passes there will be an increasingly smaller threat to the West's own economies because they already have alternatives in place.
Well, I appreciate and agree with the comments of both, but China🇨🇳 is not only the "Factory of the world🏭" China is also an economic center that has 3 of the 10 largest stock exchanges in the world, it is one of the nations with the most stocks within Nasdaq and NYSE, so I believe that no matter how much we can manufacture things out of China, the world would still suffer an economic crisis or rather "an economic catastrophe💵🔥" in long run, the truth is that everyone would feel that loss both in China and in the Western World🇺🇸🇪🇺.
Great video! I wish each episode was 2 hours long! Sooooo good! Keep up the great work!
PROPAGANDA.
Yes it could and if it shouldn't be done for sure it should definitely be seriously considered.
Could the world survive the sanctions against China?
I once heard a minister of foreign affairs say that economic interdependence is actually a great tool for preventing military conflict and maintaining peace. Everyone loses out if war breaks out. It disincentives everyone from engaging in war.
that is not true. This is based on the notion that the world will have the same mentality as NATO countries. but that vote in the UN against Russia
showed you. OTHERS HAVE THEIR OWN PLAN OF ACTION.
even in Africa, its : MAGA Make Africa Great Again
🤦i know its a strange concept to wrap your mind around but other lands dont want to SCORE against themselves; so you can win.
There will be a time when nobody picks up the phone when NATO calls.
the west cant testify to this: A COLD WAR is worst than a hot one.
3rd world countries dont meant economic poverty, It simply means countries that are neutral regarding the fight between 1st and 2nd.
🔥👍 the reason all 3rd world countries look the same ; is the retaliation of 1st world countries towards them. ICING them out of technology and even automobiles.
This is why you dont see Ford or GM in Africa = you only see Toyotas, Izuzus, KIAs 😆 just asian car makers. But in Australia it looks like Arkansas or Florida even down to the bagel/pizza franchise is there. even the street signs are the same 'green' color = BECAUSE THAT IS WHAT true trade looks like.
the minister of foreign affairs told you that to spear you the cold truth; revenge is a dish that is best served cold.
The USA wont take the bait for the hot war or the cold one. They would rather focus on internal matters ...even if they have to self sabotage (like making abortion illegal) or ok guns laws for all. 💅🏾
That would be true if war was avoidable, but it is not, no counry in this earth fought none wars, its is human nature
03:38 The funniest part about this is both Vietnam and India have had very tense, unfriendly relations with China so it’s 9/10 lmao
Almost like being a dick to all your neighbors causes problems.
how Vietnam is unfriendly with China？if they both rulled by communist party
@@umbrellastudio7481 Thousand years of history.
@@concept5631 then the ruling party of Vietnam wouldn't agree with you.
@@umbrellastudio7481 And how do you know that exactly?
To sum up your view, it is about stopping China at all cost from becoming a serious competitor to US pole position in the world.
Which is a really stupid view. We need cooperation, not more monopolar hegemony from a morally bankrupt US. China is just as bad, but it is better for the world to have two big powers instead of one. It gives us negotiating power.
the wyteys smells of their jealousy
Sanctioning China is a pure stupidity!
it is too late. china can not be stopped.
11:45 I'm pretty sure the guy in the middle is a future Bond villain.