Statistics 101: Logistic Regression, Odds Ratio for Any Interval

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  • Опубликовано: 22 авг 2024
  • In this video, we learn how to calculate the odds ratio for any two values of the independent variable. We also graph the odds ratio change to fundamentally understand what is going on under the hood of Logistic Regression.
    My playlist table of contents, Video Companion Guide PDF documents, and file downloads can be found on my website: www.bcfoltz.com
    #statistics #regression #machinelearning

Комментарии • 89

  • @JFL_JS
    @JFL_JS 4 месяца назад +3

    I have been consistently watching all 5 videos, hands down one of the best statistics tutorial playlist here on RUclips, can't believe this was posted almost 10 years ago!

  • @nreed7718
    @nreed7718 8 лет назад +21

    This is one of the best video tutorials I've ever found on any statistics subject. I finally understand logistic regression!

  • @adamdaa9527
    @adamdaa9527 3 года назад +7

    Thank you, Brandon! I have watched all the Logistic Regression Series, and I feel that I am obliged to say thanks for all the effort you put into this series to make it elaborated like this!
    You have done a great job to make anyone understands things from the bottom to the top!
    This is what I call it "Job well done!".

  • @eliasm307
    @eliasm307 8 лет назад +58

    Videos are good but I do have a suggestion, which is adding a number somewhere in the title to show the watch order of the videos and you could even show the total number of videos in the series eg 2 of 5. Initially when I found your videos I was confused as to where to start and I clicked on the third video where you referenced previous videos. I only managed to find out the proper order by watching them in the playlist you created however it would be more useful to have a number in the title cause other less resourceful or unmotivated people would just move on to other videos.

  • @sureshm430
    @sureshm430 2 года назад

    THANKS is not enough.. i should say more than that, I started my day with logistic regression, planned to complete in 2 to 3 hours.. i had gone through lot of stuff which lead to confusion between logit and sigmoid function..... felt bad and sad, that i couldn't make it, then your stuff came, it is SAVIOUR.. You explained very clearly, detailed every thing in simpler manner. I ended my day with SMILE with your stuff.. APPRECIATE.. APPRECIATE.. APPRECIATE... Expecting stuff on Machine Learning Algorithms too.

  • @naqshbyamber4658
    @naqshbyamber4658 2 года назад

    I have watched all the videos related to logistic regression. I feel like a blind person feels if given the gift of sight. I was feeling totally lost. Thanks so much for doing such a great job of explaining something so complicated in such an easy and effective manner. You have saved me from failing!!! Well Done!!!

  • @bunkoti
    @bunkoti 2 года назад

    This is undoubtedly the best series on logistic regression I have found on RUclips. I understood everything as if my very life depended on it. I think the size of my brain must have increased by a few percentage points as well.

  • @cookie.lover007
    @cookie.lover007 4 года назад +3

    Bam! 18:52
    I finally understand why I've been taught that exp(B1) = OR(B1)! Thanks!

  • @felixarokiyaraja.p.559
    @felixarokiyaraja.p.559 8 лет назад +2

    Great learning videos.... I'm data mining PhD student.... this LR video is useful for my analysis... and this is very professional way to create videos.... Excellent service to humanity... keep it up Brandon

  • @Harsh.Parekh
    @Harsh.Parekh 3 года назад +1

    Thanks Brandon, I always come back to your videos for understanding the statistics concepts. You do have a knack of explaining in a way which makes it very easy and simple. Good luck !!

  • @yibeyibe389
    @yibeyibe389 3 года назад

    what a tutorial you got! man #1 videos i have ever seen!!!!

  • @michaelliu6323
    @michaelliu6323 2 года назад +1

    Brandon, Great work! I've learned a lot from your video!

  • @zorantill981
    @zorantill981 4 года назад +1

    I been looking for a clear explanation forever. FINALLY

  • @1982Dibya
    @1982Dibya 8 лет назад +2

    You are genius Sir.You made statistics very easy by way of your explanation.None of my teachers were able to understand me in a way you did.Now Logistic regression is very clear to me.Hats off.. I am Masters student in Data Analytics

  • @tracyhaidar1799
    @tracyhaidar1799 8 лет назад +1

    Truly outstanding play list--excellent work, Brandon. I took a SAS logistic regression course years ago and needed a refresher on logistic regression concepts. Your description of the concepts is far clearer than the one in the SAS course notes (which I still have) or in any of the statistics textbooks I have. Using the simple FICO score example to illustrate what the logistic regression output means, and how the numbers in the output tie back to the logit equation, makes the concepts crystal clear. I took screen shots during the videos. I'm sure I will refer back to them in the future. Thank you!

  • @YeungLorentz
    @YeungLorentz 6 лет назад +4

    man this is the best tutorial i ever watched for this topic! my appreciation. I subscribed and gave u thumb-up.

  • @nawafalrasheed109
    @nawafalrasheed109 4 года назад

    Brandon, YOU ARE THE BEST!

  • @simonkibera4722
    @simonkibera4722 Год назад

    Hi Sir Brandon, you are so thorough in your teaching, thank you

  • @mpgrewal00
    @mpgrewal00 8 лет назад +1

    Your videos are simply the best on the topics you are teaching.. great job.

  • @mpgrewal00
    @mpgrewal00 8 лет назад

    Appreciate the effort you are doing to educate the community. Lot of hard work goes into such videos. Full credit to you.

  • @bevanc9999
    @bevanc9999 9 лет назад +9

    Hi Brandon,
    These videos are excellent!! I am a business student doing undergraduate econometrics with no background what so ever in statistics so your videos have been a huge help to me, many thanks! Any chance you are working on some to do with regression for time series data, potentially covering auto-correlation? I realize things like auto correlation might go a little beyond statistics 101 but I am absolutely dieing to hear an intuitive explanation (you are the master at this) for things like that and heteroscedasticity. Everything I have heard so far falls well short of the way you explain things. You are an excellent teacher!!

  • @suneel8480
    @suneel8480 4 года назад +1

    Far more better than udemy course🔥 :)

  • @texaspolygraph
    @texaspolygraph 7 лет назад +7

    Brandon must be an amazing instructor in the classroom.

  • @learndatascience979
    @learndatascience979 6 лет назад +1

    really, you made my every concepts clear..😄😄.. thank you so much....
    actually i am an engineering students and currently studying machine learning and had no clue about statistics .. but your tutorials helped me a lot..
    once again thank you so much..

  • @charming661
    @charming661 Год назад

    Great series of videos. Super helpful!!!

  • @massimo6767
    @massimo6767 5 лет назад +1

    very good videos, been watching multiple linear regression and logistic regression playlists for my MVA partial and it helped me a lot.
    By Max, Italian statistic student

  • @emsdy6741
    @emsdy6741 4 года назад

    If you had been my professor when I was a university student, I would have loved statistics. Ever since I hated Statistics so much.
    But then when I watched your videos, I felt like oh 'why these videos never exist before.'
    By the way, I am here because I am studying machine learning.
    Thanks a lot. 😊😊😊

  • @sharmilasenguptachowdhry509
    @sharmilasenguptachowdhry509 3 года назад

    Excellent explanation, Brandon

  • @lusinev.7091
    @lusinev.7091 4 года назад

    Thanks a lot !!! These videos are very helpful. And the way you represent is really great.

  • @dhanapala375
    @dhanapala375 6 лет назад

    Dear Brandon Foltz, I am a great fan of your statistical tutorial and it helped me to understand the basics very well. I would request you post a video on details over the various fields of the logistic regression and their meaning. Thanks for your great effort for making such great tutorials. Thanks Again!

  • @lexisalad5107
    @lexisalad5107 8 лет назад

    Finally understand logit after watching your videos!!! Thank you so much!

  • @marcoventura9451
    @marcoventura9451 3 года назад

    Fantastic video on basic Linear Regression, it makes clear to everyone with a college level math. Concise and precise. I would humbly suggest some more details on maximum likelihood and, in general, on the math behind the scene.

  • @Mockingbirdrye
    @Mockingbirdrye 7 лет назад +1

    Awesome videos! Thank you for your time spent on these; very helpful!

  • @pathakprathamesh
    @pathakprathamesh 6 лет назад

    Excellent video! Well thought out content... even a lay man can interpret logistic regression output after watching this video.

  • @unnurjonsdottir5542
    @unnurjonsdottir5542 7 лет назад

    Thanks for this video. It really did clear things up for me.

  • @karannchew2534
    @karannchew2534 3 года назад

    From last video:
    Odd Ratio produced by tool = 1.0147.
    15:30
    FICO Change = 50
    Odd Ratio Change = 1.0146^50=2.078
    Odd Ratio vs X curve:
    y = e^(0.0146 * x)
    Odd Ratio increase (or decrease) vs X delta
    y incr = e^(0.0146 * x-delta)

  • @Ak_Shay
    @Ak_Shay 6 лет назад

    you are better than my tutor, thank you man!!

  • @prithvirajghoshdastidar3394
    @prithvirajghoshdastidar3394 7 лет назад

    Excellent videos, very methodical explanations.

  • @TriNguyen-xi8ji
    @TriNguyen-xi8ji 7 лет назад

    Thank you very much for your detailed and helpful videos. I have thought that odd and probability were the same thing for almost 4 year until I saw your videos =)) no wonder why I had so poor result in stat exams.

  • @ylazerson
    @ylazerson 5 лет назад

    You are an amazing teacher!

  • @ChristopherOkhravi
    @ChristopherOkhravi 4 года назад

    Thank you!

  • @chandanisthere
    @chandanisthere 8 лет назад

    very nicely put up great work brandon

  • @jetstalknecht7463
    @jetstalknecht7463 3 года назад +2

    I liked how in the multiple linear regression it was made very clear if you can continue the use of the statistical test by looking at the p-value and r2. Now with logistic regression if my p-value is higher then 0,001 should i not continue?

  • @anjanapdas9060
    @anjanapdas9060 8 лет назад

    Excellent.
    Thanks a million for sharing this...

  • @raviaurangabadkar2644
    @raviaurangabadkar2644 3 года назад

    Thanks! Your videos are great!
    I have a request. Could you please cover Model Monitoring in one of your upcoming videos.
    Cheer!

  • @kiranravindranath10728
    @kiranravindranath10728 7 лет назад +2

    Amazing videos and lecture. I would appreciate if you could share the dataset. This would help people who don't use Minitab to do their analysis and have a hands-on experience on their software of choice.

  • @preeyank5
    @preeyank5 8 лет назад

    Great Videos, keep up the great work dude!!

  • @josephcold
    @josephcold 5 лет назад

    Extremely good material.

  • @siddharthdhote4938
    @siddharthdhote4938 3 года назад

    Please do a series on Multinomial Logistic Regression. Where one of the independent variables is categorical

  • @mam7967
    @mam7967 8 лет назад

    Your videos are great!!

  • @atulkumarsharma4146
    @atulkumarsharma4146 7 лет назад +1

    Hi Brandon,
    Thankyou so much for this great knowledge sharing!!
    Can you please share the sampe data set.

  • @tarunkrishnani9375
    @tarunkrishnani9375 7 лет назад +2

    Hey Brandon,
    Thanks a lot for the knowledge transfer that I have received through you and your videos.
    Wanted to ask whether you will be teaching Decision Trees or Random Forest models etc?
    Thanks,
    Tarun

  • @darenpurnell3237
    @darenpurnell3237 8 лет назад

    thank you; you made a tremendous difference

  • @meagain919
    @meagain919 9 лет назад +1

    Thank you Brandon

  • @raunaksachdev1307
    @raunaksachdev1307 7 лет назад

    Brandon awesome videos....very good explanation...

  • @fuhhhgytriewoqieowqe
    @fuhhhgytriewoqieowqe 7 лет назад

    Good stuff Brandon.

  • @livetolearn477
    @livetolearn477 8 лет назад

    Thanks for the videos.

  • @joelsmessan4754
    @joelsmessan4754 8 лет назад

    these videos are helpful.. thanks

  • @nedabt1327
    @nedabt1327 8 лет назад

    this was amazing! thank you!

  • @mastermike890
    @mastermike890 7 лет назад

    These videos are so awesome! Thank you!
    What programs did you use to create the animations? Just powerpoint or something else?

  • @terryliu3635
    @terryliu3635 3 месяца назад

    Thanks for the video, Brandon! I've just watched it for a second time. Quick question, I see Odds being really critical in both the concept and the formular here. I'm not really clear on the importance of Odds Ratio, other than just the ratio between two Odds. Could you pls help me understand that a little better? Thanks.

  • @mudithead
    @mudithead 7 лет назад

    Great video Brandon! In all these videos you take a numeric variable(FICO score) but what if the features is categorical? which might have multiple classes? Even if you do one-hot encoding you still have a features with very limited range(when considering categorical variable)

  • @Delahunta
    @Delahunta 6 лет назад

    I liked your videos. I am trying to find out what the intercept term in logistic regression means. All I found on the internet is that it the log odds when all variables are 0. Do you have a different explanation? Also to calculate the odds ratio when there are multiple variables do you substitute random values for the other variables not of interest when computing the probability and odds for the variable of interest, or do you leave out the other variables and essentially do a calculation like you did in this video with only one predictor variable?

  • @1Leggie
    @1Leggie 7 лет назад

    I am missing a key piece of the estimated regression equation at 2:38 in the video. What is the value of e to get the sum of 1.20321477 in the numerator? I appreciate your clarity in making logistic regression and probability more understandable.

    • @1Leggie
      @1Leggie 7 лет назад +1

      Found it!

    • @Quitoss
      @Quitoss 3 года назад

      What is it??/

  • @akshitmiglani5419
    @akshitmiglani5419 4 года назад

    Hi Brandon, great videos. Can you please explain what a coefficient is? I can understand that we would choose variables that are strong based on a high chi-square and put their coefficients in our equation. But what are they and how are they being calculated? Thanks.

  • @martau3
    @martau3 4 года назад

    Thank you for these very helpful videos :-). Can/should the Wald test be used to test for significance when performing binary logistic regression with data which I am treating as a population? I have been advised that inferential statistical tests are not appropriate with populations, so I'm confused whether to pay attention to the Wald test - particularly as it does not appear to have a straightforward relationship with the size of the coefficients/log odds. Thank you in advance for any answers!

  • @deekshithbasvoju4742
    @deekshithbasvoju4742 4 года назад

    The way you explain is good. But, what information are we getting from odds and odds ratio

  • @landryako9444
    @landryako9444 6 лет назад

    YOU THE BEST.....

  • @ferryt2544
    @ferryt2544 5 лет назад

    What a great video. However, can anyone explain how he got the exponential regression line in the video: 16.21. Why he didn't add "-9.346" (constant/beta zero) in the equation?

  • @chetanalltheway
    @chetanalltheway 8 лет назад +1

    Thank you..

  • @sitizubaidah8039
    @sitizubaidah8039 7 лет назад

    Hi Brandon, thank you very much for making such great video. I've been watching your videos from the beginning about logistic regression. I have a question about the range to get approved or not approved that score 630 (0.88) will not be approved and 640 (1.01) will be approved (you show at 11:20) When I compare them to the raw data (your video: Logistic Regression, Estimating the Probability) the score 655 is 0; 692 is 0; and 699 is also 0, etc. which mean that they are not being approved. I thought that by building this model, we will be able to know the score limit of being approved. I appreciate all answers to my question. Keep up the good work!

    • @lhay86
      @lhay86 7 лет назад

      This is a regression model, it does not perfectly fit the training set of data.

  • @CPZarolawala
    @CPZarolawala 8 лет назад

    Hello Brandon,
    Hope you are doing well!
    I saw most of your videos and all of them are very valuable for me to create more strong foundation in Statistics. I am looking for some simple and good videos related to credit risk modeling and methods used to calculate PD, LGD and EAD models.
    Request you to please let me know if you have some links of the other tutors who can give me strong foundation in credit risk modeling?
    Your prompt reply to my message will allow me to learn more and more via RUclips.
    Sincerely,
    Chirag

  • @hex07ff
    @hex07ff 4 года назад

    Hello! I wonder if anybody could be kind enough to please help me identify the datasets? Thanks in advance. I have looked for it in Brandon's blog, but I could not identify it, if its already there.
    Also, thank you very much Brandon for your classes. I am starting with statistics and really appreciate them. They are really helping me.

  • @shrithmadaan7910
    @shrithmadaan7910 Год назад

    how constant is negative and how do we interpret negative constant?

  • @frashertseng9426
    @frashertseng9426 2 года назад

    at ~11:38, why cant we conclude that +10 FICO score will increase your likelihood of approval 9.5% by just using 0.3966(phat of score 610) / 0.3622 (phat of score 610)

  • @Santana_bold
    @Santana_bold 4 года назад

    what does e stand for in y=e? how did you get 1.32 increase if 0.014634*19=0.2780?

  • @SilverMosquera
    @SilverMosquera 5 лет назад

    Is there a video that explains 'e'? the exponential? Trying to do the math at 18:48 I couldn't figure out what 'e' meant or what was the value base. I had to do a lot of google search to find the base number. Is there a video that explains the concept?

    • @nancyzambrana3550
      @nancyzambrana3550 5 лет назад +1

      e it’s a Euler’s number, approx 2,71828 but just punch in e on your scientific calculator and it will do the trick. Hope this helps 😀

  • @KS-fs1nl
    @KS-fs1nl 6 лет назад

    Are you sure that natural log of 3 is 1.098? I am getting 1.58 and this is log base 2. Please clarify. Thank you.

  • @pankajkalania5
    @pankajkalania5 6 лет назад

    does odd ratio and odds imply same thing? i.e. likelihood of happening something.

  • @nrc4228
    @nrc4228 6 лет назад

    Is Odds ratio the same as likelihood ratio?

  • @kathrinehansen9573
    @kathrinehansen9573 8 лет назад

    U forgot to put numbers 1,2,3 in logistic regression, to know high one to see first :)

  • @inspiremoi6882
    @inspiremoi6882 8 лет назад

    Hi, I need your assistance

  • @doddpower
    @doddpower 4 года назад

    I have followed every video up to this series very well. They've all been clear and not too fast. However, this series completely lost me. Way too much dense information way too fast without enough context as to what's actually occurring beyond something to do with change in credit scores. Hope I don't need any of this info any time soon!