Great analysis always love your videos! Also love the Switzerland reference. Have always said that if you have a topic/decision you are neutral on, the line should be "I'm Swiss on that" lol.
On Civale - do you think this is a case of a player not being appropriate for the Rays? The Trop is known to impart extra IVB on fastballs, of which Civale throws 3, and so he was getting more whiffs at home but also gave up more hard contact. I think there’s a chance that this change in specs (apparently it’s like +1.5in) led him to having less consistent feel for these pitches. Maybe he was over-relying on his heaters (not that they’re bad pitches, but I would not say they’re shaped well for bat missing) with the Rays and with Milwaukee has now tried to lean more towards secondaries like this new slider as a whiff pitch? Would love to hear your thoughts on this
Yeah the Tropicana inflation is definitely something I might dig into. I have to imagine it has some influence on what arms they acquire and prefer. The Trop is a t-5 inflationary park for whiffs, which lines up. But given this is a blanket effect on most arms, I'm not entirely sure it *hurt* Civale? I just think each org had a different approach and perhaps there's some latency in the league adjusting back. Nothing looks completely out of the ordinary with Civale in terms of why his results should be this much better imo. So my bet is he reverts back into a blend of results between both the orgs in time. The Brewers obviously hope that it takes until after the postseason for that to happen.
@@LanceBroz Thanks for the reply! Ye to be clear I don’t think it hurt Civale necessarily, more that relative to an avg pitcher it may not have benefited him as much because he doesn’t rely heavily on a carry 4s, compared to an acquisition like say Ryan Pepiot. Has Civale thrown less fastballs since going to the Brewers?
@@LanceBroz Would love to see an analysis on park factors for things like this! (specifically Tropicana as a Rays fan but any kind of breakdown on the league's parks as a whole would be super interesting!) Thanks! Love your content!
6:35 Good work Lance, though I’m pretty sure that’s Civale’s fastball data, because he would probably be nearly unhittable if he actually threw a 93mph sweeper. 😉 Also, any thoughts on Sean Manaea’s arm slot change? Hard not to notice his SwStr% spiking to 14.7% after the change, beginning with his start on 7/30 (though the .207 BABIP probably isn’t going to stick).
Yep, that's a mistake. Thanks for catching it!. Should be 83 not 93. ... that would be a pretty good sweeper Unfortunately I can't adjust videos after posted, so it'll have to live in there.
@@LanceBroz Of course, totally get it. And I know it’s tough to cut these things together and get them out there quickly, so stuff like that (pun not intended, but enjoyed) is bound to happen sometimes.
Hi Lance!, i have a question, Is there a way to measure the execution of a pitch? It catches my attention mainly in Breaking balls when a pitch does not have enough vertical drop, or too much horizontal break, it is a very broad topic and depends a lot on the pitcher's style, but it is noticeable visually when a pitcher does not place or execute the pitch well and the result is a hard hit or with a good launch angle.
There’s a metric on FanGraphs called “Location+” that attempts to do this. Essentially answering “how often do you put a pitch in a spot for it to succeed.” I made a video kinda on this which I’ll link below. The reality is that all pitchers miss, it’s a matter of where they miss and how they’re targeting. Most of the time I would be the variance in shape you’re seeing is purely variance in release angle causing variance in location. ruclips.net/video/RjQ4EHJEcXE/видео.htmlsi=6ECks4CcaEuXjfJB
@@LanceBroz Thanks man, yes I saw that video, very interesting by the way, I also think that it is a topic with a lot of potential, the fact that all pitchers fail and those who stand out are those who seek to adjust and minimize those errors in the same game or in their future appearances.
hey dude, love the content. i was wondering if you could do a video looking into max meyer. he was a 3rd overall and has been a beast college-minors. but ever since returning from TJ, he has been awful. i am very curious on how what has happened
Probably not going to do a full video on him unfortunately. Just too many other things I want to touch on His fastball playability is an issue that is central to his struggle I think. Marlins also some weird usage with him. Was good early this year and then sent down to limit workload. I wonder if Bendix FO group has different plans for him that help him pop
I see Verlander in the thumbnail but not in the video. What is the reason to live? For what reason do man accomplish the task of getting out of bed? Good video! Looking forward to the next one. Om, shanti, shanti, shanti.
Great analysis always love your videos!
Also love the Switzerland reference. Have always said that if you have a topic/decision you are neutral on, the line should be "I'm Swiss on that" lol.
Hahaha I totally agree!
On Civale - do you think this is a case of a player not being appropriate for the Rays? The Trop is known to impart extra IVB on fastballs, of which Civale throws 3, and so he was getting more whiffs at home but also gave up more hard contact. I think there’s a chance that this change in specs (apparently it’s like +1.5in) led him to having less consistent feel for these pitches.
Maybe he was over-relying on his heaters (not that they’re bad pitches, but I would not say they’re shaped well for bat missing) with the Rays and with Milwaukee has now tried to lean more towards secondaries like this new slider as a whiff pitch? Would love to hear your thoughts on this
Yeah the Tropicana inflation is definitely something I might dig into. I have to imagine it has some influence on what arms they acquire and prefer. The Trop is a t-5 inflationary park for whiffs, which lines up.
But given this is a blanket effect on most arms, I'm not entirely sure it *hurt* Civale? I just think each org had a different approach and perhaps there's some latency in the league adjusting back. Nothing looks completely out of the ordinary with Civale in terms of why his results should be this much better imo.
So my bet is he reverts back into a blend of results between both the orgs in time. The Brewers obviously hope that it takes until after the postseason for that to happen.
@@LanceBroz Thanks for the reply! Ye to be clear I don’t think it hurt Civale necessarily, more that relative to an avg pitcher it may not have benefited him as much because he doesn’t rely heavily on a carry 4s, compared to an acquisition like say Ryan Pepiot.
Has Civale thrown less fastballs since going to the Brewers?
@@LanceBroz Would love to see an analysis on park factors for things like this! (specifically Tropicana as a Rays fan but any kind of breakdown on the league's parks as a whole would be super interesting!)
Thanks! Love your content!
6:35 Good work Lance, though I’m pretty sure that’s Civale’s fastball data, because he would probably be nearly unhittable if he actually threw a 93mph sweeper. 😉 Also, any thoughts on Sean Manaea’s arm slot change? Hard not to notice his SwStr% spiking to 14.7% after the change, beginning with his start on 7/30 (though the .207 BABIP probably isn’t going to stick).
Yep, that's a mistake. Thanks for catching it!. Should be 83 not 93.
... that would be a pretty good sweeper
Unfortunately I can't adjust videos after posted, so it'll have to live in there.
@@LanceBroz Of course, totally get it. And I know it’s tough to cut these things together and get them out there quickly, so stuff like that (pun not intended, but enjoyed) is bound to happen sometimes.
Hi Lance!, i have a question, Is there a way to measure the execution of a pitch? It catches my attention mainly in Breaking balls when a pitch does not have enough vertical drop, or too much horizontal break, it is a very broad topic and depends a lot on the pitcher's style, but it is noticeable visually when a pitcher does not place or execute the pitch well and the result is a hard hit or with a good launch angle.
There’s a metric on FanGraphs called “Location+” that attempts to do this. Essentially answering “how often do you put a pitch in a spot for it to succeed.”
I made a video kinda on this which I’ll link below. The reality is that all pitchers miss, it’s a matter of where they miss and how they’re targeting. Most of the time I would be the variance in shape you’re seeing is purely variance in release angle causing variance in location.
ruclips.net/video/RjQ4EHJEcXE/видео.htmlsi=6ECks4CcaEuXjfJB
@@LanceBroz Thanks man, yes I saw that video, very interesting by the way, I also think that it is a topic with a lot of potential, the fact that all pitchers fail and those who stand out are those who seek to adjust and minimize those errors in the same game or in their future appearances.
hey dude, love the content. i was wondering if you could do a video looking into max meyer. he was a 3rd overall and has been a beast college-minors. but ever since returning from TJ, he has been awful. i am very curious on how what has happened
Probably not going to do a full video on him unfortunately. Just too many other things I want to touch on
His fastball playability is an issue that is central to his struggle I think. Marlins also some weird usage with him. Was good early this year and then sent down to limit workload.
I wonder if Bendix FO group has different plans for him that help him pop
I don’t feel good about the Astros chances this post season
Feels to me like the postseason is so flat this year. ton of teams capable of winning it.
I see Verlander in the thumbnail but not in the video. What is the reason to live? For what reason do man accomplish the task of getting out of bed? Good video! Looking forward to the next one. Om, shanti, shanti, shanti.
Was playing around with different thumbnail concepts. It obviously did not work. Made an adjustment !