Hey Legends, A huge thankyou for Mr V for helping me, This is the video he was referring to below, When we first spoke about the potential Russia has for modifying laser guidance into a Tornado S ''A few weeks ago, I stumbled upon the Tornado-S ammunition circuitry video. I notice that this circuit had too many jumper wires. Jumper wires are something that are frowned upon in circuit design. They are sometimes needed if your circuit has only two layers, but if your circuit is multi layered, you shouldn't be any need of jumper wires. This circuit is definitely multi-layered. The nut and bolt on the left of the video at 7:01 time stamp holds the layers together and connects the grounds or VDDs of all layers. So, there is no reason for the jumper wires. This makes me think that a modification to the circuitry is made at the last minute. It is impossible to say the modification, but it is plausible that Russian engineers MacGyvered an extra sensor to make the missile laser guided. Such modifications are child's play if you are dealing with FPGAs. But for the Tornado-S circuit, the processor is an MPGA, which is not programmable. Still, the MPGA might have been designed with the possibility of a future modification in mind, or some other guidance system might be overridden in favour of the laser guidance.'' ruclips.net/video/r94qCraTBYM/видео.htmlsi=PwrxzYxksh3NilPz
I don`t know why people think Russians are stone age morons, their scientists are as smart as anyone only mistake they made is to rely on foreign tech. But they are perfectly of capable of producing whatever they want. Who do you think has been carrying the US`s crap into space and retrieving their astronauts for the las 40 years.
USSR produced domestically space technology behind iron curtain that could hold the candle against best of the best NASA technology. Russian engineers are not how they were portrayed by Hollywood BTW, Willy, apparently Krynky holds. Time for a victory lap :)
I remember the first sanctions in 2014. After sanctioning Russia by EU, Putin stopped the import of fruit and vegetables from EU. Putin was ridiculed that his people will suffer. Putin responded by allowing imports from Brazil and other countries and also funded his farmers. Well today they are selft reliant. Russia is not Zimbabwe
Yes, the sanctions actually helped, as an example, the growth of wine and cheese making in Russia. France, which banned those exports to Russia, simply damaged their own industries now AND FOR THE FUTURE.
@demivik5812 What he meant is that they can rely on good and fair relationship with partners rather than "western partners". Since 2014 Russia produces a much more domestic products, sanctions has boosted their own producers to fill that gap in the market. I keep coming across your comments now and then, it looks like you are driven by your anger and hate rather than common sense and analysis. You hear only what you want to hear and ignore he rest
Former CIA economic consultant Jim Rikards wrote a book on iranian sanctions and how Russia was helping Iran back then. That book was published in 2011, meaning public knowledge was available long ago, while Russia was getting directly first hand info and experience on "how-to-handle-your economy if you're sanctioned oil exporting country" from Iran. Russians were well informed before 2014.
Excellent information. But realistically no intelligent person should ever have thought Russia could be sanctioned. They’re an energy and good exporter with lots of heavy industry and first rate scientists and engineers, and freaking CHINA has an utterly compelling interest in supporting them. For so, so many reasons that even a senile blob like Biden should have been able to work this out - it gives them a chance to break US influence globally, and Ukraine has to be scaring the hell out of Taiwan. (And the US’s destruction of its ally’s energy supply even more so.) Ironically, China COULD meaningfully sanction the USA. They’re not just a major industrial power but also the biggest producer of the rare earths needed for semiconductors. If they cut those off, the US economy collapses.
Sanctions on itself do nothing against a resource country. When it comes to the endless row of countries western fascism ruined, it was always WAY more than sanctions, but active meddling in the economy via regime change or buying corrupt oligarchs and worse.
There are no difficulties with the production of microchips for weapons and military equipment in Russia. There is no need to use microchips for smartphones in a high-precision missile.A manufacturer of bombs, missiles, and airplanes does not need a pea-sized chip. He will be satisfied with a processor the size of a matchbox or even a brick. The dimensions of the Kalibr cruise missile are 8 meters long and 0.5 meters in diameter. A chip the size of a brick can definitely be placed there. The laptop in the 80s had a 12 MHz processor and 4 MB RAM. The Tomahawk cruise missile of the 80s remains relevant today.
@@bobmorane2082 Ukraine used Tochka-U ("Point-U") Soviet missiles before Himars, and they was decently useful considering they are old as fuck, i think its not even 80s
@@dieselphiend - BS, educate yourself, Russia produce its own military chips for more than 20 years, dude ! They have 65 nm fabs, more than enough for military industry, and muppets like you really have a hard time to realize China provide zillions of chips - even top models - each time RF need some. China is the world's biggest chip manufacturer, and are more than happy to trade them for russian oil, gas, food, nuclear tech, fighters, etc.
Russia uses 30nm chips in most of their weapons which can be produced inside russia or anywhere in the world, it's a 20 years old technology, the chips in your weapon needs to be reliable not state of the art
Moreover, they are much more reliable than new ones even just because manufacturers have 20 years of refining its production process. Also it makes them cheaper as fuck. Producing effective modern weapons with 20 year old cheap chips - this is a worthy task for capable and professional military engineering bureaus, while newest and most powerful cheaps are just brute force. Like, yeah, now you have cutting edge weapons without putting much of a thought, but its not very reliable and most important, its expensive as hell. "Its okay i have infinite money glitch!" said Pentagon. Turns out, even infinite-ish money are not enough if your enemy can produce the roughly the same things but several orders of magnitude cheaper and dozens of times faster and more.
@@PaIaeoCIive1684 Where are you getting that figure? It's my understanding that China "Virtually all the MEMS wafers are fabricated outside of the country and imported as wafers, chips or packaged devices.".. Mems are western technology. That's where they were invented.
@@AtticusKarpenter You don't need mems (micro-electromechanical systems) to make a missile to fly. They just make things smaller. But also mems are less precise than classic systems. You can't make a drone to navigate using only mems, for example.
Sanctioning a nation that is a major exporter of food, resources and energy is simply impossible. On the other hand one can sanction an importer country.
Sanctions work, though they also made Russia a Vasal of China, similar to North Korea. The Irony is that Putin and Kim Jong Un now collaborate to take world leadership...
Exports dropped by 1 percent to USD 30.3 billion from USD 30.6 billion in February 2023. Meanwhile, imports edged up by 0.3 percent to USD 22.6 billion from USD 22.5 billion.
@@Gaz9845 China and India pay a lot less for Russian oil and gas than the Europe did. China also told Russia with the regard of the pipeline that is currently built between Siberia and China that they want the same prices that Russians have to pay. The gas and oil prices in Russia are heavily subsidised by the state though. So not much to earn here for Russia. Gazprom made a record loss of 630 billion Rubles last year and for this year an even higher loss is expected. Selling gas and oil for dumping prices to India and China won't change that.
It is possible to expand this topic. If you remember, the statement that Russia will run out of electronics is just one statement from a long list. You may recall how it was claimed that the Russian financial system would collapse due to disconnection from Swift. That Russia will run out of ammunition. I remember how one European resident came out to me, who was sure that because of the sanctions in Russia, people were dying of hunger. I tried to convince him to check where the grain was coming from in Europe. But he wasn't able to hear me. At the same time, when all these grain deals began, he did not want to talk to me at all. His head was occupied with other myths about the disaster in Russia. Misunderstanding the situation with electronics is not an exception to the rule. This is a symptom of a much more dangerous phenomenon. You notice the same symptoms in Zelensky's military tactics. In a topic that you understand. When military operations are preferred to the defense of the most important areas, which can be favorably covered in the media. When the military leadership does not understand why expensive equipment will not replace a boot for a soldier. There are situations when two people argue about how to achieve the desired result. This is acceptable if each of them understands the issue. And the goal of every debater is to find the best option. But it's a disaster if the goal of one of the disputants is only to win the dispute. He doesn't care about the case, he just needs to win the argument. Therefore, he will deliberately make false statements, and refuse to accept any logic. Simply, a sober vision of the situation gives you an advantage over an opponent with great capabilities. But trapped in illusions.
Zelensky understands everything perfectly fine. He also understands that he won't survive if he doesn't continue fighting and selling the war to the western audience and misrepresenting the successes to get more weapons to continue the war. His personal frontline is all around him, particularly in the western parts of Ukraine
You all forget that Russia is structured like a super power unlike regular countries that rely solely on imported goods and materials, they produce their own raw materials, power, weapons and food !
america is a consumer economy...we got rid of our manufacturing...russia did not and they dont build weapons for a profit they build them to win wars..
Even this so called PhD is talking from the "Hollywood" view of the world.. How can you believe that the first nation in space. Can't do basic electronics? Slavic, Rus and Asian people have a natural attention to detail. They make good if not the best programmers. It's amazing to me the world view today. Everyone flunked history class?
@@MrTangolizardRussia is the same as the west Nothing here called a country is advanced from another Both sides most advanced weapons went to the wars and bite the dust From T-90 to Leopards and Abrams
In 2024, the first domestic lithograph was created in Russia. It enables the production of chips up to 350 nanometers in size. Testing of the new lithograph is taking place in Zelenograd, one of the centers of Russian microelectronics. The creation of this equipment represents an important achievement for the Russian industry, since such complex devices are assembled by only a few major players in the world. The most famous among them is the Dutch company ASML, as well as the Japanese corporations Canon and Nikon.
Ok, I think it needs to be clarified. Russia *has* better production lines, but they are imported. If this one is actually fully produced in Russia - it is a big deal.
@@guyintenn На самом деле новость смешно звучит, но тут контекст в другом. Смена фокуса в этом вопросе с "зачем нам это производить, если можно покупать" до "зачем нам это покупать, если можно начать производить"
“Could we sanction one sixth of a planet which is sympathised by other three sixths of a planet?” Desperation, absolute sadness and refusal to accept a big L and crawl back.
Yeah, you can and it's happening. Who were said it was going to be perfect. Making it harder with each sanction. That's Putin's legacy to his people for his war.
@@bumble-g2j It's West legacy to us that we lose pruahcing power and our kids will have less. We had absolut dominance whichw e could had held on to but throw it all away. EU is lossing badly and our future is gone as super power. Same with USA.
Not yet they aren't. All overseas contracts have been subverted so that their foreign fighters are sent where necessary. They do it to their own as well, so those trained for logistics for example become front line. You actually believe what you're told. Still? Amazing.
You can't beat Russia. Russia is the land of unlimited resources, well-developed heavy and light industry, huge populations of russians that were hardened in thousands battles throughout the history. USSR wrongly chose socialistic economic and failed, but now Russia is market economic with connections to the other countries and you just can't repeat the second Cold w ar.
Do you not understand that in the 20th century the tsars fell, the USSR fell and this dictator is leading Russia into disaster as he contemplates his old age. Russia continues to be the basketcase it always has been. A basketcase with nukes.
@@fv5855 "... Russian economy colapses......" ? Still colapsing? I thought it colapsed a long time ago. March/April of 2022 I think it was, when no lesser authority then The President J. Biden informed us that Russian economy was in tatters...
@@fv5855 ".......GDP growing smoke and mirrors....." That is quite an accurate description of how our debt driven, financialised, based on abracadabra tricks on the financial markets economies are functioning. All based on the Petro - Dolar, (gone a week ago) and Dollar reserve currency status. (Eroding).....
@@bumble-g2j "..... dictator....." It seems that we have some troubles with meaning of the words. On one side, we have someone who won elections, who is obviously very popular among his people as a president. There is a Parlament and opposition. Still, we call it a dictatorship. On other side, we have country that jailed a leader of second largest party in the country, forbidden all opposition parties and throwned them out of Parliament. Government controls all of media. Very strong censorship. President whose mandate expired. Yet, we call it democracy. I'm confused.
Yes you are confused but this will help. Russia is a dictatorship. Putin believes that any elections, referendums etc reflect confirmation of his power. That's what he refers to as democracy. Exactly that. That to him IS democracy at work. In Ukraine they are a democracy which because of overwhelming force crossing their border, suspended parliament and are acting under emergency powers. Their government as elected in 2019 are still operating. The special powers are still in force. So one country is a dictatorship conducting an SMO. The other is a democracy conducting total war. Now you don't need to be confused although after 2 years the slowness should be considered a little worrying in an adult. You are an adult, no?
The highest technology chip in the f-35 is a 45nm node. That's the same as the original iPhone 16 years ago. And that f-35 is probably by far the most computational heavy fighter ever. But that's all it will ever need & actually it could have gotten by with a much less powerful chip. The calculations needed to put a ballistic missile on target or a cruise missile or even a javelin are a few hundreds of orders of magnitude less computationally intensive than what you need to edit and render a video in a timely fashion on Davinci Resolve. People have no idea that high tech weapons almost never require bleeding edge technology. At the beginning of the war the only thing I thought the Russians might be at a deficit to Ukraine was night fighting sensors but not even this turned out to be the case.
Your guest is telling the truth. I’m a high-end geek by trade and I’ve been shouting into the ether this same information for many months. Ask any high-end geek about what your guest is saying and they’ll nod in agreement. The media narratives about chip sanctions hurting weapons systems was only ever a viable psy op against non-geeks. The parts inside these missiles (etc) are so simple you could hardly believe it’s a cutting-edge weapon. But that’s the truth. “Briefly stated, the Gell-Mann Amnesia effect is as follows. You open the newspaper to an article on some subject you know well. In Murray's case, physics. In mine, show business. You read the article and see the journalist has absolutely no understanding of either the facts or the issues. Often, the article is so wrong it actually presents the story backward-reversing cause and effect. I call these the "wet streets cause rain" stories. Paper's full of them. In any case, you read with exasperation or amusement the multiple errors in a story, and then turn the page to national or international affairs, and read as if the rest of the newspaper was somehow more accurate about Palestine than the baloney you just read. You turn the page, and forget what you know.” -Gell-Mann amnesia effect, described by Michael Crichton
Well, Dr Chriton's explanation is good enough for me. Never understood why people thought you needed something like a PS5 CPU in a guided missile. Its not Skippy the gun from Cyberpunk 2077
"..... entire world laughing....." Actually, rest of the world, outside Western bubble is happily cooperating with Russia. As clearly demonstrated by the fiasco of the "Peace Summit" in Switzerland two weeks ago. BRICS is growing fast.
The Chinese are already producing 7nm chips, and Huawei has just patented a 3nm one, so Willy I think you have misconceptions about the Chinese being way behind in chip production, they are not that far behind at all.
Russia is doing exactly what we all should be doing. Making our own processes/ products. Manufacturing in our own nations not only puts people back k to work but opens many opportunities for the trade sector. Russia will begin to export its manufacturing
One fact people seem to forget about Russia is it already has every resource that it could ever want, with a relatively small population for the size of the land. There is no way to sanction that. they will always be able to supply everything locally. It's convenient to import things from other countries where they have invested time to enhance their products, but it's really not a big loss to be 1 or 2 generations behind in a product. Most people will have realised that computers have basically peaked now, and very few advancements are coming these days. A ten year old computer can do 90% of the things a new computer can do, and it's only at the very high end where it might make any sort of difference.
I think that politicians are selected for incompetence. All they have to do is look at videos from back in the 1991 Gulf war, showing guided missiles that were accurate enough to hit a window or doorway. It's 34+ year old tech.
"...... Russia allredy has everything......" Yes. "Small detail" that somhow escapes all our estemed pundits, when they laugh at Russia's miniscule GDP, (on the level of Italy or Spain or something). Russia has all resources imagineable and energy, wright at home, in unlimited quantities, owned by the state. They don't have to buy anything. Add to that almost no debt and huge gold reserves. Plus educated personel on all levels, to run military industry. And said industry kept ready at all times with over capacity for fast scaling up if need be. You really need to be blinded by arrogance, hubris, magical thinking, ignorance about Russian history,........(like our elites seems to be, living in their bubble) to think that Russia was an easy prey. By the way, Russia is actually 4th economy in the world by PPP. According to the World Bank
The St Petersburg International Economic Forum had over 19,000 world leaders, business leaders and media from 139 countries including Western countries! Also in June the first BRICS Games were held in Kazan. Athletes from 90 countries showed up. Like it or not, 85% of the world's countries are WITH Russia. Russia can get whatever it needs from or through these countries. Also, I'm the one who may still have relatives living in Ukraine.
Impact of sanctions on the Russian economy: In May, Russia's GDP growth accelerated from 4.4% to 4.5% in annual terms, according to data from the Ministry of Economy. In January-May, the Russian economy grew by 5% compared to the same period last year. According to the department, the main growth drivers are the manufacturing industry and construction. Thus, the production of computers, electronics and optics in January-May 2024 increased by almost 40% compared to the same period last year. There is also positive dynamics in the chemical and food industries. Electricity production increased by 3% in May. Production for 12 months set a historical record. Industrial production (about 30% of GDP) increased by 5.3% in May. The Moscow Exchange index in June amounted to 3,140 points (+14% per annum). The index has been growing since April last year (15 months). The real total return index increased compared to June last year (+10% per annum). It has also been growing since April 2023 (15 months). Based on the results of the first four months, the growth of real wages in Russia amounted to 10.5% compared to the same period last year, according to Rosstat data. The World Bank (WB) has recognized Russia as a high-income country. The financial institution published a document with this content on Monday, July 1. Data for countries around the world whose economies grew at double-digit (almost double-digit) rates for more than 20 years in the 20th century are given below: 1. 13.8% - Russia - average annual growth for 22 years (1929-1955). 2. 11.5% - Taiwan - average annual growth for 27 years (1947-1973). 3. 10.4% - China - average annual growth for 25 years (1983-2007). 4. 10.2% - South Korea - average annual growth for 23 years (1966-1988). 5. 9.7% - Japan - average annual growth for 23 years (1948-1970). 6. 9.2% - Singapore - average annual growth for 24 years (1966-1989). Thus, in the twentieth century, the world's largest national economic growth for more than 20 years was achieved in Russia in 1929-1955 (minus four war years). During this period, real wages grew 4 times, citizens’ deposits in savings banks grew 5 times, and the economy grew 14 times. And: - First place in the world in terms of the share of mechanical engineering in the total volume of industrial production. - Complete technical and economic independence of the state has been ensured. - First place in the world in terms of agricultural mechanization. - First place in Europe and second in the world in terms of absolute industry size. - First place in Europe and second in the world in terms of labor productivity in industry. - The latest industries and advanced technologies: nuclear, space, rocketry, aircraft manufacturing, instrument making, radio engineering, electronics, electrical engineering and others. From the point of view of the saturation of economic sectors with new equipment and technologies, the Russian economy and industry had the youngest production and technical apparatus in the world. And sanctions did not prevent such economic growth in Russia!
Thank you mate,, it was one of the most informative interviews I've read in recent times. you have done an excellent job, neutral, serious and with incredible regularity. all the best. hug from Portugal
You know, in a country that has its own space program and aviation production, there are unlikely to be problems with electronic components for weapons. You know what kind of equipment is used on spacecraft, right? It's way behind what's installed on your laptop, but it's still the best. Fun fact: the Soviets had their own shuttle program in the 80s - Buran. And he landed in automatic unmanned mode. Do you know which media the autopilot program was recorded on? On a fucking magnetic tape. And the funny thing is that on the very first flight, he estimated the landing trajectory was unsuccessful and went to the second round. After which he successfully sat down!
Regarding removing and reusing chips. Its doable, its not even that hard. You get your tweezers, you get your heat gun and you start blowing while very gently tugging. As soon as all the Solder has melted the chip will come free If the chip has pins you can just go ahead and solder it to the new pcb right away. If it has pads, especially if it has pads on the underside of the chip you need to remove any residual solder. Get your copper braid, apply flux and use your soldering iron and copper braid to wick away any solder. Once done chip is ready to be used. Make sure to test any electronics made from recycled chips before sending down the supply chain as the removal process can damage the chip. (Usually wont but a certain percentage will be damaged)
This would be ludicrous. These weapons are mass-produced with high volume. You think it's feasible to manually solder chips when they're using huge quantity?
@@BritishBungler depends on what the huge quantity is and how difficult the chip is to solder. A basic chip with say 20 little legs? Personally I think I could desolder and resolder hundreds in a day. If those are used for missiles, ain't no way Russia is making hundreds in a day. Of course it's always better to have your PCBs assembled by a machine.... But I'm just saying it's not impossible to do it the hard way
@@justarandomname420 you don't even need that, you can use a toaster oven in a pinch. You just need to watch your PCBs like a hawk and get them out as soon as the solder flows or the board could get scorched (toaster ovens tend to get to hot)
I know exactly what your guest is on about, and you dont, or at least didn't. But your questions were remarkably pertinent, and well considered. This is a superb interview. You really deserve high praise for your method of inquiry. Damn youre good at this Willy.
The Duran will talk up Russia if it kills them. Which it won't of course. Could you imagine Mercouris a'leapin' and a'jumpin' from his critics? He never will because he will never allow his views to be scrutinised in his presence. Any other useful predictions from those n*zis?
American message to the Ukrainians: "You do all of the dying - we can do all of the winning" *** This is all we - Ukrainians need to know about this proxy NATO vs Russia war: Усе, що ми, українці, повинні знати про наших західних "союзників": “Being an enemy of America is dangerous, being a friend of America is fatal.” - Henry Kissinger (?) *** >>>I guess it was the 12th or 13th time to Kiev, and I was supposed to announce that there was another billion-dollar loan guarantee. I got a commitment from Poroshenko and from Yatsenyuk that they would take action against a state prosecutor, and they didn’t. “So as they were walking out to the press conference, I said, nah, we aren’t going to give you the billion dollars. They said you have no authority, you are not the President. I said call him. I’m telling you, you are not getting the billion dollars. “You are not getting the billion; I am leaving in six hours. If the prosecutor is not fired, you are not getting the money. “Well, son of a bitch, he got fired.>If you put aside the immense human suffering and look at Ukraine’s war through the cold lens of international power politics, a clear picture emerges: the West is having a good war against Russia. All NATO has to do is send Kyiv munitions, equipment and money, which, as any general knows, is the c h e a p e s t way to wage war. (...) The lives are being given by the Ukrainians. They’re defending their nation but also, inadvertently, helping decide the Cold War. For 70 years, NATO deterred a Moscow attack westwards. The Russians eventually invaded, last February, what they assumed would be a conquerable target on their south-western border. The war that NATO long prepared for is finally being fought.
"The question of how many more Ukrainians have to die is answered privately by Biden as ‘potentially all of them.’ Anything else requires you to cynically believe Biden thinks he can simply purchase victory." A War Like No Other , The American Conservative ,Jun 12, 2023.
Sanctions against small countries such as Cuba, north Korea etc work very well, bigger countries such as Russia, China don't work well, plus can also backfire ie Germany with no cheap Russian gas for there powerful economy.
So Australia and USA benefitted from the Gas ban and USA and Australia are no1 and no 2 world exporters of LNG even before the war. Russia barely world no 4 world exporter. USA and Australia stepped up and supplied Europe LNG..
@@nedkelly9688 And how much more does that gas cost?, it isn't only about availability but if the product costs 100% more it's going to affect the economy.
@@nedkelly9688 ask the Germans there gas costs four times as much, there economy has tanked, the biggest winner is China getting massive amounts of Russian gas from Siberia for peanuts.
I think its simpler than that. Putin knew America wouldn't go to war, so they would use sanctions. Putin thus spent years insulating Russia against sanctions as much as possible.
Everyone is basically trying to insulate their economy against sanctions these days. That is why over 50 nations now want to be members of BRICS. It offers an opportunity for free trade without vulnerability to sanctions, because USA now has economic sanctions against over 30% of the planet. Nobody knows who they are going to decide is not "democratic" enough for their liking next and slap with sweeping economic sanctions.
Also arrogance, immorality and hypocrisy. Will the western states follow their US master blindly into the next proxy war against China or Iran despite the damage done to them by the Ukraine adventure?
Mate, i was at the back off the class with you (i believe your more maybe middle :) I was able to only just comprehend most of the concepts he was explaining, that was a very interesting interview, thanks 💯
Should be no surprise that the Russians have more than enough access to reliable and effective manufacture of digital electronic components, and surely have many engineers trained in their principles, design and usage.
I'm a staunch pro-Russian supporter and multipolarist, but I like Willy OAM's contribution for a more balanced perspective. Of course, I know that Russia, China, Iran's Axis of Resistance, North Korea, and some others are on the right(eous) side of history, but I'm always inclined to Sun Tzu's wisdom: Know your enemy! Anyway, I'm still glad that we - the multipolarists - have an upper hand in this multidimensional conflict over satanic, fascist, and Zionist globalists. I hope you all have a terrific day!
We Sanctioned The USSR for it's entire history. Yet a major problem for allllll our Hydroelectric Energy plants in the entire West was solved by an Englishman working in New Zealand Hydroelectric who went to Russia visited a plant and they gave him the technical plans of how they fixed the problem as he left the country. He made millions from it.. We sanctioned China for the whole of it's Communist Era..when we forced them onto the WTO their Representative at The Sydney Conference where they were officially membered said in his speech " When in 10 to 15 years we have decimated your secondary and tertiary industries do not blame us, you forced us into this" Russia like China sent out students into every major University in the World from 1989 onwards. Every developed research academy and University in every field had Chinese and Russian students and research scientists working with them. For 30 years.
Sanctions work, but not always as intended, mostly hurt/injur civilians. Reducing efficiency and access to special products. Such as medicin, food, energy and so on.... A VERY blunt tool...
Somebody with some grey stuff. Bravo! Yes, the impact is vast. I lived through sanctions. There is also a massive psycological effect on the population.
In Willy’s comments I’ve seen a lot of misconceptions about sanctions. Sanctions are only effective for the “carrot” - carrot being the lifting of sanctions, the “stick” is minimal, the stick - short term economic damage/pain. Long term sanctions are not effective due to the country eventually finding other markets/ways to produce. Even more true in today’s multi-polar world where there are markets specific for unfriendly western nations.
Bottom line. Russia is far more intelligent, have a very long history of adapting to the situation and succeeding in overcoming the challenge, has leadership that puts the security of the nations culture, traditions and customs first. Such a pity that Russia is bagged when they have a clean, safe and prosperous nation. We could learn so much if we didn't have the indoctrination from the west since 1991.
Willy is a chip off the old block. Sanctions failed because the world is moving forward leaving the Western bloc behind. My parents used to spend hours lecturing me on behavior and soon as it was over I carried on as if I hadn't heard a word they said. Learning on your own is exciting and inspiring. Being told how to act is boring and discouraging for innovation. Western nations aren't able to accept reality, so they develop artificial realities and spread them around as facts. China used to counterfeit western products, now they innovate and improve the products to be both more affordable and more useful to end users. While the western elites see this as a threat to their power dynamics it really is a lack of competitiveness from the western elites. China has a competitive edge on the western nations and it's driving them insane. Consumers on the other hand want sanctions and tariffs lifted so the products they consume are more affordable. Globalists didn't account for the impact sanctions would have on the consumers in their own countries. To ensure western corporations are competitive we must all pay a higher price for the same goods, this impact alone hurts them more in the long run as consumers cut back on spending. Every action has an equal and opposite reaction. Learned that in 4th grade science class Newton's 3rd law of motion.
it hard to sanction Russian energy when some of the major stakeholders are NATO members, in 2023 15% of EU LNG came form Russia. ENGIE has 20% stake in Yamal project so has Mitsui. VLADIMIR RUSANOV, ice class tanker is on the way back to the Arctic after LNG delivery to Bilbo in Spain few days back. That's how the sanctions work in real life...
Russia operates under the 20 / 80 rule. It takes 80% of the allotted funds to achieve 80% of the desired performance but it takes 80% of the allotted funds to achieve the last 20% of performance. Russia simply accepts 80% performance and builds 80% more of the product. On the battlefield, Russia comes out ahead.
@@BritishBungler Point taken… was thinking of Sanctions against “Majorish” powers… South Africa is a good example of ineffectual international sanctions, though the public push for divesting was effective. This is why the whole boycott/divest from Israel dealio has such powerful forces arrayed against it.
A script would be nice since the quality of the sound is not very good. And I believe if you have night-vision googles which can discern an enemy at 400 yards, and the enemy can do this at 200 only, your advantage is not marginal - it is deadly crucial. Also, the question is wgqt is the percentage of the soldiers who actually have them. One point which was totally omitted - chips needed for the encrypted multi-layered communications.
This is where our leaders aren't asking advisors if their approach would work. With globalism being so prevalent the supplies to build weapons and feed people are readily available for all countries. Kind of blows my mind that the people making these failed policies did not consider the ramifications. Hopefully we'll find intelligent leaders that have enough backbone to make educated decisions and not care so much about headlines.
Interesting. Another critical factor is any flying weapon system is delicately designed to balance. Like a bicycle, if the wheels are off-balance, you as the rider will definitely notice. Complex weapon systems take years to design and develop, one factor is ensuring it is correctly balanced to ensure its flight characterizes are optimal. Image the effects on its guidance system.
That was from the world bank concerning the massive shifts of funds to military expenditure. I wonder if Putin would dare to raid pensioners savings again. Maybe that will send Russian stocks soaring through the roof if he did! Since this is all investment in rubble, twisted metal and mutilated bodies, the graph will take its expected nose dive shortly. BTW. The gdp still registers 11th and gdp per capita still rates below most second world economies. Around the 60th mark. Or worse. Now remember that Putin and his mates still expect their cut. At least Putin retains the rank of no.1 richest. Russia is blessed to have such a wise, thoughtful and innovative leader.
Sanctions create a black market People are very greedy so where there is a fast buck to be made some one will jump in to make it . There is not a CEO on the planet who would not sell his own grandmother into sex slavery for a suitcase full of gold bars held in a tax haven that could not be traced . And when you can no longer get components electronic engineers will find a work around , that is what they do , make the stuff that electronics architects think up actually work and be able to be produced at a reasonable cost . There is nothing that a chip can do that can not be done with individual components a peg board and lots of wires . IT will just be a lot bigger and consume a lot more power . After all the Afghanis made quite effective bombs using obsolete phone parts . Why do you think third world countries buy so much E-scrap . In the West we buy it to recover the precious metals Other countries buy it to recover the parts to be used in other items . As for desoldering chips from a board, what does he think missile electronics technicians do day in day out ? They repair guidance boards and that often requires replacing chips which unlike those in a computer all have to be hard soldered onto the boards & not in sockets . As for old technology , there is a super computer in Japan made entirely from old G4 mac motherboards that is still in use today for doing computer modelling & simulations . I still use my old 1990 Quadra for writing articles because the old O40 motorolla Chip can still word process about 20 times faster than I can type and word perfect 4 make a much much smaller file size than any of todays bloat wear and of course the pre-press will apply their own typography so no need for me to do any fancy typesetting I do all of the graphics & art work using a old dual processor G4 and Photoshop 7 with a massive amount of memory using a ram disc as my temporary storage and hell is that fast . So I can not do 3 layer transparencies but the Web presses can not print that either so it does not matter . So no the sanctions did not stop smart weapons manufacture and putin is tossing a lot of money into weapons manufacture OTOH the russian are not making as much as many seem to think as may of the recovered debris reveals that the missiles were only a month or less old and in case you have not noticed, overnight missile attacks come in waves, usually one or two a month because the russian are firing a lot of them as fast as they are making them. However when russia starts popping out five SU35's a month I will believe that the sanctions have had no effect . The stuff that is near impossible for russia to make are air defence systems They have only 2 S-500's and they are not making much in the way of S-300 & S-400 at the moment. They are not making the T-19 Amarda tank because they can not get parts for it They are not making SU-57's for the same reason. OTOH the financial sanctions are having a drastic effect both in russia & China . Your guest was very much right about the media over hyping things they do not understand So a slight possibility gets reported as a possibility which gets re-reported as a probability which in turn becomes a certainly and then absolutely without fail. We used to call it Chinese whispering as a game when I was a kid .
This is basic stuff. Afghanis were jerry-rigging phone bombs a decade ago. The only real difference is the weapon system. No underestimating here. Just laughing at how it's become a necessity.
@@fv5855 Soviet Union and Germany were not Alies. They signed contract of not attacking each other, after British signed the same. Romania at the other hand, was a German Alie. They sent about 500 000 troops to the East Front to fight on the German side.
Great recording. Thank you. Why would anyone think that Russia will be building weapons which depend on west? Given Soviet vs west standoff of the past?
@@bumble-g2jthe point is that Soviet and now Russian military technology is not dependent on western part and has not been, so presuming that Russian military production will fail based on sanctions is a mistake
Yes it is. China is gaining ground but they need to steal from the west to achieve parity. Putin is desperate. 1.5 million roubles in parts of Russia just as a joining fee. That's up to 40 times of the average monthly wages. THREE YEARS!!! Putin can't generally mobilise. A partial mobilisation saw an exodus of 1 million. 87.5%.popularity. Might as well be 875%. You guys love to shout out copium don't you.
Yeah even my uncle who lives in Norway (one of the richest country in this world) says the prices here in Bosnia and Herzegovina (one of the poorest counties in Europe) are too high.
I tried explaning this topic to my father back in 2022. He was far in to the ideology to accept that their 'ancient chip technology' could keep up, but thanks for bringing on an expert to give the long form explanation.
Ohhh....Willy , don't cry 😢 so disappointing for you to find out the West is not surpirier to Russia 😅 Russians are very smart and resourceful, read some books or something ,Willy
@@timber750 And yet the quality of life index of Russia is lower than any other European country, something isn't adding up. Perhaps the rich natural resources are being used in ways that do not improve the lives of the general populace. Imagine what Russia could be if it focused on fixing its internal issues instead of blaming other nations.
@@Kofferr silly, the quality of life index of the USA is prolly the lowest, people complain and whine all the time, but the USA is the most developed and richiest country. How so? Use your braincells and answer this question
Very interesting. Obviously weapons are of the period they were built or rebuilt, utilising tech from the period. I'd be fascinated to know what was inside the Harpoons, Standards & Mk 48s we had back in the day used as processors. Must have been something like a Z80, 8080 series, 6502/10 series, maybe the 6800 - at best a 68000 equivalent!
В России не производят чипы 45 нм. 90 нм есть... вроде как даже 65 нм... Другое дело хрен знает что там с литографами. но... для большинства задач, военные предпочитают использовать чипы 200+. Вес, размер, тепловыделение и производительность не имеет особого значения, когда речь заходит о танке или ракете. А вот стабильность и защищенность от помех(я не о РЭБ, а о радиационном излучении, например при ядерном взрыве), имеют куда большее значение. А тут... "толстый" техпроцесс кладет на обе лопатки "тонкий".
@@СерегаБосс-ч2в полагаю, что пока не будет своих литографов, осваивать техпроцесс нет смысла. Даже если ты научишься что-то делать на чужом оборудовании, это не добавит суверенитета. для автоматизации производства, достаточно 90 нм, а для ЦОД нужны хоть бы 28 нм. Но об этом лучше говорить ближе к 30-му году. Будут литографы, будут чипы... А производить чипы, будучи зависимым от оборудования и запчастей... дешевле просто купить.
The United States uses the same chips in its weapons as Russia. Armies are always conservative. 7, 15, 20, 45 nanometers are not needed for classic types of weapons, this is not an iPhone.
irrelevant for the task at hand and current weapons. maybe with some "AI"-related weapons (vision and autonomous decision-making) of the future it will become more important.
This is very fascinating. I myself have a background in Microelectronics but I hardly did anything related to it as a career and it has been years since I graduated. But I can roughly understand what the PhD guy is talking about. 90nm process node existed since 2003, while the 45nm process node came out in 2007. Russia would definitely have access to fab equipment from that time (lithography, etching, deposition etc.) But I would like to ask, what kind of ICs would be needed for more complex systems like the S-350/S-400/S-500? These GBADs I heard use AI as well.
I think this is what the guest is saying- Not very, at least not the latest iPhone level of IC. The detection systems can benefit from more compute power, especially things like DSPs for controlling and interpreting signals from phased array radars but those still don't need a lot of power. One clue though is to look at the development cycle, so when development started. Designs would usually be based on what was available at that time and often not the latest ICs because they need reliability. A generation behind is usually good enough and has all the bugs worked out.
@@brolohalflemming7042 I wasn't asking about the computing level. But I got your point that actually the types of ICs required for these systems aren't any more different or special. That makes sense. Yes you're right, industrial and military applications don't require the latest generation of ICs. They're good for IT applications, or maybe for some high-end research.
@@oldbutbold I think this is one of the points the guest was making. Public awareness is mostly around compute power, so CPUs. For military applications, that's less relevant. CPUs got smaller, faster and power efficient, which is mainly a benefit for things like drones. They have a tighter mass/volume/power budget so benefit from more modern components. Other systems have fewer constraints. PC-like functions might allow more or better MFDs in aircraft or command vehicles, but still doesn't need 3nm nodes. I think more important would be sensors, signal processing and high frequency (in an RF sense) components. One Ukrainian image showed an old TI DSP that TI hasn't made in years, but pin and instruction-set compatible versions are readily available. That DSP was state of the art in the early '90s, isn't now, but is still good enough for it's application.
One thing i would say, you talking to someone in a silo of electrical engineering. Within that silo you are taught a very specific way of doing things, there is this saying, you know something well enough to be dangerous. Well that silo of thinking is to learn so much that there is no danger, because everything you do has a standard, an acceptable way of doing something. Chips are like formulas in maths, you maybe don't understand how they work, but you have this expectation that it works a certain way. In America, because of the expertise within the industry, the problem isn't the hardware, its the software. You just need to look at Windows 11, and its just a bunch of software overlays, infact windows 10 is the same. The underlying issue that makes windows 11 so bloating, that is this huge size is because they put all these additional capabilities within the program to make their company financially viable when offering free products. Basically all the spyware you could pick up on say windows 98, is now embedded within windows 11 in-which Microsoft holds the monopoly on all the data. Which leads to the issue that Windows 11 has this benchmark of required hardware. The Russians don't have that level of hardware, so they optimize the software. So its less about the hardware, the chips, the premade circuit boards. Because the Russian software developers are always pushing the limits of the hardware. Which intern removes them from that silo of acceptable thinking and creates an environment where your software developers can use any type of hardware and really push the limits of what it can do. Where back in America, the software is so trash, the oversight so complete and the protectionism making the environment so difficult, you end up with experts who struggle to communicate and can't really challenge the market dominance of anyone. As even their education is compromised, your not having Ericsson coming in revealing company secrets.
Another thing i would point out, woman in the workforce. Sure it double the manpower of the workforce, but what did woman entering the workforce really offer. The most famous chef is a man, so where did all these woman find jobs. Well they found them as mothers, where they micro manage a bunch of people they think are children, when infact they are not children, they are adults who are much more capable then themselves. We have seen this morphed it victim hood, where we promote woman, for simply being woman. What we tend to forget is that our mothers don't let us do what we want to do. And in terms of research, development, learning new skills. There is a reason China is leading in like 37/44 emerging technologies. Reason why LET HIM COOK, LETS GO, YOLO have exploded, because these mothers, these boomers stand in the way of progress because they have nothing to add and instead are judge mental, restrictive and plain out egoistical cants. I applied for a PHD the professor was literally in his underwear for the interview. Using a Green Screen, these people are so babied that they can't do anything. Full blown professor who can't put on his own pants. The west is so pathetically weak, i mean Russians went through the collapse of the Soviet Union, they are just built different. You think they are on TV complaining the bad word hurted my feelings? and i need to ruin their entire life cause they hurted my feelings? Thats why this is your expert, no offence to your expert. Its a very difficult situation and you there because you don't see the big picture, because if you did you would be yelling screaming and cursing the people standing in your way.
Hey Legends, A huge thankyou for Mr V for helping me,
This is the video he was referring to below, When we first spoke about the potential Russia has for modifying laser guidance into a Tornado S ''A few weeks ago, I stumbled upon the Tornado-S ammunition circuitry video. I notice that this circuit had too many jumper wires. Jumper wires are something that are frowned upon in circuit design. They are sometimes needed if your circuit has only two layers, but if your circuit is multi layered, you shouldn't be any need of jumper wires. This circuit is definitely multi-layered. The nut and bolt on the left of the video at 7:01 time stamp holds the layers together and connects the grounds or VDDs of all layers. So, there is no reason for the jumper wires.
This makes me think that a modification to the circuitry is made at the last minute. It is impossible to say the modification, but it is plausible that Russian engineers MacGyvered an extra sensor to make the missile laser guided. Such modifications are child's play if you are dealing with FPGAs. But for the Tornado-S circuit, the processor is an MPGA, which is not programmable. Still, the MPGA might have been designed with the possibility of a future modification in mind, or some other guidance system might be overridden in favour of the laser guidance.''
ruclips.net/video/r94qCraTBYM/видео.htmlsi=PwrxzYxksh3NilPz
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Small light-weight drones, has electronics integrerad into motors, to reducerad weight.
Compact lightweight, high power...
I don`t know why people think Russians are stone age morons, their scientists are as smart as anyone only mistake they made is to rely on foreign tech. But they are perfectly of capable of producing whatever they want. Who do you think has been carrying the US`s crap into space and retrieving their astronauts for the las 40 years.
USSR produced domestically space technology behind iron curtain that could hold the candle against best of the best NASA technology. Russian engineers are not how they were portrayed by Hollywood
BTW, Willy, apparently Krynky holds. Time for a victory lap :)
Check how asml machinery is sold to russia
I remember the first sanctions in 2014. After sanctioning Russia by EU, Putin stopped the import of fruit and vegetables from EU. Putin was ridiculed that his people will suffer. Putin responded by allowing imports from Brazil and other countries and also funded his farmers. Well today they are selft reliant. Russia is not Zimbabwe
so self reliant still buy bunch of shit from other countries
@@demivik5812 its called trade. take your shirt and look at the label.
@@Montalva exactly, it's called trade, not self reliance
Yes, the sanctions actually helped, as an example, the growth of wine and cheese making in Russia.
France, which banned those exports to Russia, simply damaged their own industries now AND FOR THE FUTURE.
@demivik5812 What he meant is that they can rely on good and fair relationship with partners rather than "western partners". Since 2014 Russia produces a much more domestic products, sanctions has boosted their own producers to fill that gap in the market. I keep coming across your comments now and then, it looks like you are driven by your anger and hate rather than common sense and analysis. You hear only what you want to hear and ignore he rest
Former CIA economic consultant Jim Rikards wrote a book on iranian sanctions and how Russia was helping Iran back then. That book was published in 2011, meaning public knowledge was available long ago, while Russia was getting directly first hand info and experience on "how-to-handle-your economy if you're sanctioned oil exporting country" from Iran. Russians were well informed before 2014.
Excellent information. But realistically no intelligent person should ever have thought Russia could be sanctioned. They’re an energy and good exporter with lots of heavy industry and first rate scientists and engineers, and freaking CHINA has an utterly compelling interest in supporting them. For so, so many reasons that even a senile blob like Biden should have been able to work this out - it gives them a chance to break US influence globally, and Ukraine has to be scaring the hell out of Taiwan. (And the US’s destruction of its ally’s energy supply even more so.)
Ironically, China COULD meaningfully sanction the USA. They’re not just a major industrial power but also the biggest producer of the rare earths needed for semiconductors. If they cut those off, the US economy collapses.
Sanctions on itself do nothing against a resource country.
When it comes to the endless row of countries western fascism ruined, it was always WAY more than sanctions, but active meddling in the economy via regime change or buying corrupt oligarchs and worse.
There are no difficulties with the production of microchips for weapons and military equipment in Russia. There is no need to use microchips for smartphones in a high-precision missile.A manufacturer of bombs, missiles, and airplanes does not need a pea-sized chip. He will be satisfied with a processor the size of a matchbox or even a brick. The dimensions of the Kalibr cruise missile are 8 meters long and 0.5 meters in diameter. A chip the size of a brick can definitely be placed there. The laptop in the 80s had a 12 MHz processor and 4 MB RAM. The Tomahawk cruise missile of the 80s remains relevant today.
The tomahawk is at block 5 tho I guess it means gen 5
@@bobmorane2082 Ukraine used Tochka-U ("Point-U") Soviet missiles before Himars, and they was decently useful considering they are old as fuck, i think its not even 80s
Russia doesn't make any MEMS chips, and you can't make a missile or a drone without them.
@@dieselphiend - BS, educate yourself, Russia produce its own military chips for more than 20 years, dude ! They have 65 nm fabs, more than enough for military industry, and muppets like you really have a hard time to realize China provide zillions of chips - even top models - each time RF need some.
China is the world's biggest chip manufacturer, and are more than happy to trade them for russian oil, gas, food, nuclear tech, fighters, etc.
@@dieselphiendJust google for "gyroscope"
Russia uses 30nm chips in most of their weapons which can be produced inside russia or anywhere in the world, it's a 20 years old technology, the chips in your weapon needs to be reliable not state of the art
Moreover, they are much more reliable than new ones even just because manufacturers have 20 years of refining its production process. Also it makes them cheaper as fuck. Producing effective modern weapons with 20 year old cheap chips - this is a worthy task for capable and professional military engineering bureaus, while newest and most powerful cheaps are just brute force. Like, yeah, now you have cutting edge weapons without putting much of a thought, but its not very reliable and most important, its expensive as hell. "Its okay i have infinite money glitch!" said Pentagon. Turns out, even infinite-ish money are not enough if your enemy can produce the roughly the same things but several orders of magnitude cheaper and dozens of times faster and more.
Russia does not manufacture mems chips, and you can't make missiles and drones wihtout them.
@@dieselphiend China makes 35% of the world's MEMS chips and will gladly supply Russia if need be. They also refuse to be bullied by the USA.
@@PaIaeoCIive1684 Where are you getting that figure? It's my understanding that China "Virtually all the MEMS wafers are fabricated outside of the country and imported as wafers, chips or packaged devices.".. Mems are western technology. That's where they were invented.
@@AtticusKarpenter You don't need mems (micro-electromechanical systems) to make a missile to fly. They just make things smaller. But also mems are less precise than classic systems. You can't make a drone to navigate using only mems, for example.
Sanctioning a nation that is a major exporter of food, resources and energy is simply impossible. On the other hand one can sanction an importer country.
Sanctions work, though they also made Russia a Vasal of China, similar to North Korea.
The Irony is that Putin and Kim Jong Un now collaborate to take world leadership...
Exports dropped by 1 percent to USD 30.3 billion from USD 30.6 billion in February 2023. Meanwhile, imports edged up by 0.3 percent to USD 22.6 billion from USD 22.5 billion.
@@Gaz9845
Smaller market to export.
- > LOWER PRICES
Demand - Supply.
@@Gaz9845
China and India pay a lot less for Russian oil and gas than the Europe did.
China also told Russia with the regard of the pipeline that is currently built between Siberia and China that they want the same prices that Russians have to pay. The gas and oil prices in Russia are heavily subsidised by the state though.
So not much to earn here for Russia.
Gazprom made a record loss of 630 billion Rubles last year and for this year an even higher loss is expected.
Selling gas and oil for dumping prices to India and China won't change that.
It's been done to Russia though.
It is possible to expand this topic. If you remember, the statement that Russia will run out of electronics is just one statement from a long list. You may recall how it was claimed that the Russian financial system would collapse due to disconnection from Swift. That Russia will run out of ammunition. I remember how one European resident came out to me, who was sure that because of the sanctions in Russia, people were dying of hunger. I tried to convince him to check where the grain was coming from in Europe. But he wasn't able to hear me. At the same time, when all these grain deals began, he did not want to talk to me at all. His head was occupied with other myths about the disaster in Russia. Misunderstanding the situation with electronics is not an exception to the rule. This is a symptom of a much more dangerous phenomenon. You notice the same symptoms in Zelensky's military tactics. In a topic that you understand. When military operations are preferred to the defense of the most important areas, which can be favorably covered in the media. When the military leadership does not understand why expensive equipment will not replace a boot for a soldier. There are situations when two people argue about how to achieve the desired result. This is acceptable if each of them understands the issue. And the goal of every debater is to find the best option. But it's a disaster if the goal of one of the disputants is only to win the dispute. He doesn't care about the case, he just needs to win the argument. Therefore, he will deliberately make false statements, and refuse to accept any logic. Simply, a sober vision of the situation gives you an advantage over an opponent with great capabilities. But trapped in illusions.
i think the problem in the west is that people have become mentally lazy.also the propaganda has become worse than the soviet union .
Zelensky understands everything perfectly fine. He also understands that he won't survive if he doesn't continue fighting and selling the war to the western audience and misrepresenting the successes to get more weapons to continue the war. His personal frontline is all around him, particularly in the western parts of Ukraine
You all forget that Russia is structured like a super power unlike regular countries that rely solely on imported goods and materials, they produce their own raw materials, power, weapons and food !
america is a consumer economy...we got rid of our manufacturing...russia did not and they dont build weapons for a profit they build them to win wars..
And that will be why there importing loads of crap from China and North Korea is it ?
Even this so called PhD is talking from the "Hollywood" view of the world.. How can you believe that the first nation in space. Can't do basic electronics? Slavic, Rus and Asian people have a natural attention to detail. They make good if not the best programmers. It's amazing to me the world view today. Everyone flunked history class?
Russia build its spaceprogram with shovel throwers and ruling by the thumb.
You can’t seriously believe Russia is as advanced as the west please tell me you don’t believe that lol
@@MrTangolizardRussia is the same as the west
Nothing here called a country is advanced from another
Both sides most advanced weapons went to the wars and bite the dust
From T-90 to Leopards and Abrams
In 2024, the first domestic lithograph was created in Russia.
It enables the production of chips up to 350 nanometers in size.
Testing of the new lithograph is taking place in Zelenograd, one of the centers of Russian microelectronics.
The creation of this equipment represents an important achievement for the Russian industry, since such complex devices are assembled by only a few major players in the world. The most famous among them is the Dutch company ASML, as well as the Japanese corporations Canon and Nikon.
Ok, I think it needs to be clarified. Russia *has* better production lines, but they are imported. If this one is actually fully produced in Russia - it is a big deal.
@@guyintenn For missile's CPU you will be just fine with mos 6510 (Commodore 64's CPU). Which was released in 1982.
@@guyintenn На самом деле новость смешно звучит, но тут контекст в другом. Смена фокуса в этом вопросе с "зачем нам это производить, если можно покупать" до "зачем нам это покупать, если можно начать производить"
@@guyintennwho owns the 3nm fabs??? Oh that’s right China hahaha
@@JoeWayne84 - You mean Taiwan. China can make 7nm with imported machines. Their own machines are not so advanced, but they make continuous progress.
Germany and the EU never stopped buying gas and oil from Russia..
We can't, just end up paying more for it. Ludicrous.
In 2023, U.S. imports from Russia amounted to approximately 4.57 billion U.S. dollars.
I predict that Kyiv will surrender by March 2022.
Urah urah urah.
@@bennobeck europeeon beta cuck backstabbers are the WORST allies, ever.
“Could we sanction one sixth of a planet which is sympathised by other three sixths of a planet?”
Desperation, absolute sadness and refusal to accept a big L and crawl back.
What are you talking about? The war isn't over.
Yeah, you can and it's happening.
Who were said it was going to be perfect.
Making it harder with each sanction.
That's Putin's legacy to his people for his war.
@@bumble-g2j It's West legacy to us that we lose pruahcing power and our kids will have less. We had absolut dominance whichw e could had held on to but throw it all away. EU is lossing badly and our future is gone as super power. Same with USA.
@@dieselphiendwhat war🤔
@@ronskullie9380 That's very disrespectful to the men on both sides who have given their lives. They very much felt it was a war.
So many washing machines,
So many missiles. 😂
But are the Korean cannon fodder going to bring their own shovels?
@@bumble-g2j cope
NK threw in some poop balloons for good measure
@user-ul9dv2iv9s How are Korean combat engineers going to be used as cannon fodder? They aren't frontline combat troops.
Not yet they aren't.
All overseas contracts have been subverted so that their foreign fighters are sent where necessary.
They do it to their own as well, so those trained for logistics for example become front line.
You actually believe what you're told.
Still? Amazing.
You can't beat Russia. Russia is the land of unlimited resources, well-developed heavy and light industry, huge populations of russians that were hardened in thousands battles throughout the history.
USSR wrongly chose socialistic economic and failed, but now Russia is market economic with connections to the other countries and you just can't repeat the second Cold w ar.
Do you not understand that in the 20th century the tsars fell, the USSR fell and this dictator is leading Russia into disaster as he contemplates his old age.
Russia continues to be the basketcase it always has been.
A basketcase with nukes.
@@fv5855
"... Russian economy colapses......"
? Still colapsing? I thought it colapsed a long time ago. March/April of 2022 I think it was, when no lesser authority then The President J. Biden informed us that Russian economy was in tatters...
@@fv5855
".......GDP growing smoke and mirrors....."
That is quite an accurate description of how our debt driven, financialised, based on abracadabra tricks on the financial markets economies are functioning. All based on the Petro - Dolar, (gone a week ago) and Dollar reserve currency status. (Eroding).....
@@bumble-g2j
"..... dictator....."
It seems that we have some troubles with meaning of the words. On one side, we have someone who won elections, who is obviously very popular among his people as a president. There is a Parlament and opposition. Still, we call it a dictatorship.
On other side, we have country that jailed a leader of second largest party in the country, forbidden all opposition parties and throwned them out of Parliament. Government controls all of media. Very strong censorship. President whose mandate expired. Yet, we call it democracy. I'm confused.
Yes you are confused but this will help.
Russia is a dictatorship.
Putin believes that any elections, referendums etc reflect confirmation of his power.
That's what he refers to as democracy. Exactly that. That to him IS democracy at work.
In Ukraine they are a democracy which because of overwhelming force crossing their border, suspended parliament and are acting under emergency powers.
Their government as elected in 2019 are still operating.
The special powers are still in force.
So one country is a dictatorship conducting an SMO.
The other is a democracy conducting total war.
Now you don't need to be confused although after 2 years the slowness should be considered a little worrying in an adult.
You are an adult, no?
The highest technology chip in the f-35 is a 45nm node. That's the same as the original iPhone 16 years ago. And that f-35 is probably by far the most computational heavy fighter ever. But that's all it will ever need & actually it could have gotten by with a much less powerful chip. The calculations needed to put a ballistic missile on target or a cruise missile or even a javelin are a few hundreds of orders of magnitude less computationally intensive than what you need to edit and render a video in a timely fashion on Davinci Resolve. People have no idea that high tech weapons almost never require bleeding edge technology. At the beginning of the war the only thing I thought the Russians might be at a deficit to Ukraine was night fighting sensors but not even this turned out to be the case.
Your guest is telling the truth. I’m a high-end geek by trade and I’ve been shouting into the ether this same information for many months. Ask any high-end geek about what your guest is saying and they’ll nod in agreement. The media narratives about chip sanctions hurting weapons systems was only ever a viable psy op against non-geeks. The parts inside these missiles (etc) are so simple you could hardly believe it’s a cutting-edge weapon. But that’s the truth.
“Briefly stated, the Gell-Mann Amnesia effect is as follows. You open the newspaper to an article on some subject you know well. In Murray's case, physics. In mine, show business. You read the article and see the journalist has absolutely no understanding of either the facts or the issues. Often, the article is so wrong it actually presents the story backward-reversing cause and effect. I call these the "wet streets cause rain" stories. Paper's full of them.
In any case, you read with exasperation or amusement the multiple errors in a story, and then turn the page to national or international affairs, and read as if the rest of the newspaper was somehow more accurate about Palestine than the baloney you just read. You turn the page, and forget what you know.” -Gell-Mann amnesia effect, described by Michael Crichton
Well, Dr Chriton's explanation is good enough for me. Never understood why people thought you needed something like a PS5 CPU in a guided missile. Its not Skippy the gun from Cyberpunk 2077
"..... entire world laughing....."
Actually, rest of the world, outside Western bubble is happily cooperating with Russia. As clearly demonstrated by the fiasco of the "Peace Summit" in Switzerland two weeks ago. BRICS is growing fast.
The Chinese are already producing 7nm chips, and Huawei has just patented a 3nm one, so Willy I think you have misconceptions about the Chinese being way behind in chip production, they are not that far behind at all.
They have nearly caught up. In a few years they will likely be ahead. They graduate and employ many more engineers ... what does one expect?
Tofu dreg
Made in china problems tho. Fail rate is gonna be a problem.
@@shiznitts Huawei's phone can make satellite calls, the iPhone can't.
They doing 5nm
Top journalism from Willy. Benchmark level stuff.
Russia is doing exactly what we all should be doing. Making our own processes/ products. Manufacturing in our own nations not only puts people back k to work but opens many opportunities for the trade sector. Russia will begin to export its manufacturing
One fact people seem to forget about Russia is it already has every resource that it could ever want, with a relatively small population for the size of the land. There is no way to sanction that. they will always be able to supply everything locally. It's convenient to import things from other countries where they have invested time to enhance their products, but it's really not a big loss to be 1 or 2 generations behind in a product. Most people will have realised that computers have basically peaked now, and very few advancements are coming these days. A ten year old computer can do 90% of the things a new computer can do, and it's only at the very high end where it might make any sort of difference.
I think that politicians are selected for incompetence. All they have to do is look at videos from back in the 1991 Gulf war, showing guided missiles that were accurate enough to hit a window or doorway. It's 34+ year old tech.
"...... Russia allredy has everything......"
Yes. "Small detail" that somhow escapes all our estemed pundits, when they laugh at Russia's miniscule GDP, (on the level of Italy or Spain or something). Russia has all resources imagineable and energy, wright at home, in unlimited quantities, owned by the state. They don't have to buy anything. Add to that almost no debt and huge gold reserves. Plus educated personel on all levels, to run military industry. And said industry kept ready at all times with over capacity for fast scaling up if need be.
You really need to be blinded by arrogance, hubris, magical thinking, ignorance about Russian history,........(like our elites seems to be, living in their bubble) to think that Russia was an easy prey.
By the way, Russia is actually 4th economy in the world by PPP. According to the World Bank
Good. For a moment there I was expecting you to say that sanctions were pointless.
They're making Russia Tuffia.
😂😂😂😂😂
Excelent piece of journalism Willy. The washer machine stories make more sense now.
There's world wide shortage of energy, raw resources, food. Russia has huge surplus on all of those. There's nothing else to add.
The St Petersburg International Economic Forum had over 19,000 world leaders, business leaders and media from 139 countries including Western countries! Also in June the first BRICS Games were held in Kazan. Athletes from 90 countries showed up. Like it or not, 85% of the world's countries are WITH Russia. Russia can get whatever it needs from or through these countries. Also, I'm the one who may still have relatives living in Ukraine.
So what. Elmo.
@@bumble-g2j so my Ukrainian relatives don't matter
Great stream! Very informative!! A special thank you to your Guest!
Impact of sanctions on the Russian economy:
In May, Russia's GDP growth accelerated from 4.4% to 4.5% in annual terms, according to data from the Ministry of Economy. In January-May, the Russian economy grew by 5% compared to the same period last year.
According to the department, the main growth drivers are the manufacturing industry and construction. Thus, the production of computers, electronics and optics in January-May 2024 increased by almost 40% compared to the same period last year. There is also positive dynamics in the chemical and food industries.
Electricity production increased by 3% in May. Production for 12 months set a historical record.
Industrial production (about 30% of GDP) increased by 5.3% in May.
The Moscow Exchange index in June amounted to 3,140 points (+14% per annum). The index has been growing since April last year (15 months).
The real total return index increased compared to June last year (+10% per annum). It has also been growing since April 2023 (15 months).
Based on the results of the first four months, the growth of real wages in Russia amounted to 10.5% compared to the same period last year, according to Rosstat data.
The World Bank (WB) has recognized Russia as a high-income country. The financial institution published a document with this content on Monday, July 1.
Data for countries around the world whose economies grew at double-digit (almost double-digit) rates for more than 20 years in the 20th century are given below:
1. 13.8% - Russia - average annual growth for 22 years (1929-1955).
2. 11.5% - Taiwan - average annual growth for 27 years (1947-1973).
3. 10.4% - China - average annual growth for 25 years (1983-2007).
4. 10.2% - South Korea - average annual growth for 23 years (1966-1988).
5. 9.7% - Japan - average annual growth for 23 years (1948-1970).
6. 9.2% - Singapore - average annual growth for 24 years (1966-1989).
Thus, in the twentieth century, the world's largest national economic growth for more than 20 years was achieved in Russia in 1929-1955 (minus four war years). During this period, real wages grew 4 times, citizens’ deposits in savings banks grew 5 times, and the economy grew 14 times.
And:
- First place in the world in terms of the share of mechanical engineering in the total volume of industrial production.
- Complete technical and economic independence of the state has been ensured.
- First place in the world in terms of agricultural mechanization.
- First place in Europe and second in the world in terms of absolute industry size.
- First place in Europe and second in the world in terms of labor productivity in industry.
- The latest industries and advanced technologies: nuclear, space, rocketry, aircraft manufacturing, instrument making, radio engineering, electronics, electrical engineering and others. From the point of view of the saturation of economic sectors with new equipment and technologies, the Russian economy and industry had the youngest production and technical apparatus in the world.
And sanctions did not prevent such economic growth in Russia!
Russia swapped to a full war economy. Come back in 3 years and see whatll happen. "BRICS sTronGeR tHaN EvEr cRusH wESt"
Thank you mate,, it was one of the most informative interviews I've read in recent times. you have done an excellent job, neutral, serious and with incredible regularity. all the best. hug from Portugal
You know, in a country that has its own space program and aviation production, there are unlikely to be problems with electronic components for weapons. You know what kind of equipment is used on spacecraft, right? It's way behind what's installed on your laptop, but it's still the best. Fun fact: the Soviets had their own shuttle program in the 80s - Buran. And he landed in automatic unmanned mode. Do you know which media the autopilot program was recorded on? On a fucking magnetic tape. And the funny thing is that on the very first flight, he estimated the landing trajectory was unsuccessful and went to the second round. After which he successfully sat down!
Fantastic job mate.I believe this is for many the first time they heard about this.
Regarding removing and reusing chips. Its doable, its not even that hard. You get your tweezers, you get your heat gun and you start blowing while very gently tugging. As soon as all the Solder has melted the chip will come free
If the chip has pins you can just go ahead and solder it to the new pcb right away. If it has pads, especially if it has pads on the underside of the chip you need to remove any residual solder. Get your copper braid, apply flux and use your soldering iron and copper braid to wick away any solder. Once done chip is ready to be used.
Make sure to test any electronics made from recycled chips before sending down the supply chain as the removal process can damage the chip. (Usually wont but a certain percentage will be damaged)
Get a reflow oven.
This would be ludicrous. These weapons are mass-produced with high volume. You think it's feasible to manually solder chips when they're using huge quantity?
@@BritishBunglerdepends how huge 1 person can do this in 10-15min
@@BritishBungler depends on what the huge quantity is and how difficult the chip is to solder.
A basic chip with say 20 little legs? Personally I think I could desolder and resolder hundreds in a day.
If those are used for missiles, ain't no way Russia is making hundreds in a day.
Of course it's always better to have your PCBs assembled by a machine.... But I'm just saying it's not impossible to do it the hard way
@@justarandomname420 you don't even need that, you can use a toaster oven in a pinch. You just need to watch your PCBs like a hawk and get them out as soon as the solder flows or the board could get scorched (toaster ovens tend to get to hot)
I know exactly what your guest is on about, and you dont, or at least didn't.
But your questions were remarkably pertinent, and well considered.
This is a superb interview. You really deserve high praise for your method of inquiry.
Damn youre good at this Willy.
Our Willy points forward with determination & hardness.
If you guys had been watching "The Duran".
You would have been aware of this outcome 2 years ago.
✌️ Peace.
The Duran will talk up Russia if it kills them.
Which it won't of course.
Could you imagine Mercouris a'leapin' and a'jumpin' from his critics?
He never will because he will never allow his views to be scrutinised in his presence.
Any other useful predictions from those n*zis?
American message to the Ukrainians:
"You do all of the dying - we can do all of the winning"
***
This is all we - Ukrainians need to know about this proxy NATO vs Russia war:
Усе, що ми, українці, повинні знати про наших західних "союзників":
“Being an enemy of America is dangerous, being a friend of America is fatal.” - Henry Kissinger (?)
***
>>>I guess it was the 12th or 13th time to Kiev, and I was supposed to announce that there was another billion-dollar loan guarantee. I got a commitment from Poroshenko and from Yatsenyuk that they would take action against a state prosecutor, and they didn’t.
“So as they were walking out to the press conference, I said, nah, we aren’t going to give you the billion dollars. They said you have no authority, you are not the President. I said call him. I’m telling you, you are not getting the billion dollars.
“You are not getting the billion; I am leaving in six hours. If the prosecutor is not fired, you are not getting the money.
“Well, son of a bitch, he got fired.>If you put aside the immense human suffering and look at Ukraine’s war through the cold lens of international power politics, a clear picture emerges: the West is having a good war against Russia.
All NATO has to do is send Kyiv munitions, equipment and money, which, as any general knows, is the c h e a p e s t way to wage war.
(...)
The lives are being given by the Ukrainians. They’re defending their nation but also, inadvertently, helping decide the Cold War.
For 70 years, NATO deterred a Moscow attack westwards. The Russians eventually invaded, last February, what they assumed would be a conquerable target on their south-western border.
The war that NATO long prepared for is finally being fought.
where did you get that
"The question of how many more Ukrainians have to die is answered privately by Biden as ‘potentially all of them.’ Anything else requires you to cynically believe Biden thinks he can simply purchase victory." A War Like No Other , The American Conservative ,Jun 12, 2023.
Excellent comment 👍
Well that was a load of tired cliches.
You clearly have never spoke with a Ukrainian, they are more than willing to continue the fight with Russia until Ukraine is entirely free from Putin.
Sanctions against small countries such as Cuba, north Korea etc work very well, bigger countries such as Russia, China don't work well, plus can also backfire ie Germany with no cheap Russian gas for there powerful economy.
So Australia and USA benefitted from the Gas ban and USA and Australia are no1 and no 2 world exporters of LNG even before the war. Russia barely world no 4 world exporter.
USA and Australia stepped up and supplied Europe LNG..
Germany still got gas.
Russia not selling gas.
One loser
@@nedkelly9688 And how much more does that gas cost?, it isn't only about availability but if the product costs 100% more it's going to affect the economy.
@@andreasfjellborg1810 LNG is like 5 time more expensive than Russian pipeline gas.
@@nedkelly9688 ask the Germans there gas costs four times as much, there economy has tanked, the biggest winner is China getting massive amounts of Russian gas from Siberia for peanuts.
I think its simpler than that. Putin knew America wouldn't go to war, so they would use sanctions. Putin thus spent years insulating Russia against sanctions as much as possible.
Everyone is basically trying to insulate their economy against sanctions these days.
That is why over 50 nations now want to be members of BRICS. It offers an opportunity for free trade without vulnerability to sanctions, because USA now has economic sanctions against over 30% of the planet.
Nobody knows who they are going to decide is not "democratic" enough for their liking next and slap with sweeping economic sanctions.
We all know greed will end the west
Willie Knows.....
No to Naziukropnato 🤗💖🇷🇺👍
Sadly it makes the West
Do you remember the USSR
You do realize that "the west" agreed to Russia invading Ukraine, right?
And Putin, the owner of multiple super yachts the most expensive costing $¾billion.
😂😂😂😂😂
Also arrogance, immorality and hypocrisy. Will the western states follow their US master blindly into the next proxy war against China or Iran despite the damage done to them by the Ukraine adventure?
Mate, i was at the back off the class with you (i believe your more maybe middle :) I was able to only just comprehend most of the concepts he was explaining, that was a very interesting interview, thanks 💯
Should be no surprise that the Russians have more than enough access to reliable and effective manufacture of digital electronic components, and surely have many engineers trained in their principles, design and usage.
I'm a staunch pro-Russian supporter and multipolarist, but I like Willy OAM's contribution for a more balanced perspective. Of course, I know that Russia, China, Iran's Axis of Resistance, North Korea, and some others are on the right(eous) side of history, but I'm always inclined to Sun Tzu's wisdom: Know your enemy! Anyway, I'm still glad that we - the multipolarists - have an upper hand in this multidimensional conflict over satanic, fascist, and Zionist globalists. I hope you all have a terrific day!
We Sanctioned The USSR for it's entire history. Yet a major problem for allllll our Hydroelectric Energy plants in the entire West was solved by an Englishman working in New Zealand Hydroelectric who went to Russia visited a plant and they gave him the technical plans of how they fixed the problem as he left the country. He made millions from it..
We sanctioned China for the whole of it's Communist Era..when we forced them onto the WTO their Representative at The Sydney Conference where they were officially membered said in his speech " When in 10 to 15 years we have decimated your secondary and tertiary industries do not blame us, you forced us into this"
Russia like China sent out students into every major University in the World from 1989 onwards.
Every developed research academy and University in every field had Chinese and Russian students and research scientists working with them. For 30 years.
Did anyone really think that youd need a 4090 to build guided missiles?
Sanctions work, but not always as intended, mostly hurt/injur civilians.
Reducing efficiency and access to special products. Such as medicin, food, energy and so on....
A VERY blunt tool...
Somebody with some grey stuff. Bravo!
Yes, the impact is vast. I lived through sanctions.
There is also a massive psycological effect on the population.
People forget that your smartphone has more computing power that what was used to get to the moon. Hell, a Ti-84 calculator has more..
Willy wake up bro. Good to see that you are slowly working ot all out
In Willy’s comments I’ve seen a lot of misconceptions about sanctions. Sanctions are only effective for the “carrot” - carrot being the lifting of sanctions, the “stick” is minimal, the stick - short term economic damage/pain. Long term sanctions are not effective due to the country eventually finding other markets/ways to produce. Even more true in today’s multi-polar world where there are markets specific for unfriendly western nations.
Bottom line. Russia is far more intelligent, have a very long history of adapting to the situation and succeeding in overcoming the challenge, has leadership that puts the security of the nations culture, traditions and customs first. Such a pity that Russia is bagged when they have a clean, safe and prosperous nation. We could learn so much if we didn't have the indoctrination from the west since 1991.
Willy is a chip off the old block. Sanctions failed because the world is moving forward leaving the Western bloc behind. My parents used to spend hours lecturing me on behavior and soon as it was over I carried on as if I hadn't heard a word they said. Learning on your own is exciting and inspiring. Being told how to act is boring and discouraging for innovation. Western nations aren't able to accept reality, so they develop artificial realities and spread them around as facts. China used to counterfeit western products, now they innovate and improve the products to be both more affordable and more useful to end users. While the western elites see this as a threat to their power dynamics it really is a lack of competitiveness from the western elites. China has a competitive edge on the western nations and it's driving them insane. Consumers on the other hand want sanctions and tariffs lifted so the products they consume are more affordable. Globalists didn't account for the impact sanctions would have on the consumers in their own countries. To ensure western corporations are competitive we must all pay a higher price for the same goods, this impact alone hurts them more in the long run as consumers cut back on spending. Every action has an equal and opposite reaction. Learned that in 4th grade science class Newton's 3rd law of motion.
We should start making peace not war.
i think this is your best interview ever, even better than some of the front line interviews.
This was interesting. Thank you for having this person on.
We really appreciate the work that you present.
Great video Willy
it hard to sanction Russian energy when some of the major stakeholders are NATO members, in 2023 15% of EU LNG came form Russia. ENGIE has 20% stake in Yamal project so has Mitsui. VLADIMIR RUSANOV, ice class tanker is on the way back to the Arctic after LNG delivery to Bilbo in Spain few days back. That's how the sanctions work in real life...
Love this. More experts. You should try and get the Duran (Alexander Mercouris) on to one of your in-depth chats.
I don't think Willy is a n*zi.
Thank you for this interesting interview
Putin: Oh ive been banned from swift banking
Xi: Oh no
Putin : Xi can I look at your computer?
Xi :sure!
Western sanction: WHY ARE THEY NOT WORKING!?
Thanks for making thos content
Russia operates under the 20 / 80 rule. It takes 80% of the allotted funds to achieve 80% of the desired performance but it takes 80% of the allotted funds to achieve the last 20% of performance. Russia simply accepts 80% performance and builds 80% more of the product. On the battlefield, Russia comes out ahead.
Great interview Willy. Super informative and knowledgeable guest! Thanks for the top quality content 🙏
11:45 this guy knows his electronics !! Loved it !
Its not that they're stealing chips from washing machines but that the chips they're using are of the same level of technology.
Great interview Willy
Q: Why didn’t sanctions work?
A: Because Sanctions Never Work (EVER)
Sanctions often work against small countries to undercut their power or influence political decisions.
@@BritishBungler Point taken… was thinking of Sanctions against “Majorish” powers… South Africa is a good example of ineffectual international sanctions, though the public push for divesting was effective. This is why the whole boycott/divest from Israel dealio has such powerful forces arrayed against it.
The real victims are Russian teenagers who can't play Street Fighter 6
They don't play Street Fighter 6 on PS4. They get to play Call of Duty in real life.
They have plenty of ways to get it and play, like buying it via Turkish or Kazakhstan account, so it not a problem at all
A script would be nice since the quality of the sound is not very good.
And I believe if you have night-vision googles which can discern an enemy at 400 yards, and the enemy can do this at 200 only, your advantage is not marginal - it is deadly crucial. Also, the question is wgqt is the percentage of the soldiers who actually have them.
One point which was totally omitted - chips needed for the encrypted multi-layered communications.
Not only can Russia design and produce chips but they are also capable to produce fabrication equipment (fabs) for chips.
Great interview Willy thank you
Synopsis: Sanctions are a joke
Very interesting discussion hopefully our leaders take note.
This is where our leaders aren't asking advisors if their approach would work. With globalism being so prevalent the supplies to build weapons and feed people are readily available for all countries. Kind of blows my mind that the people making these failed policies did not consider the ramifications. Hopefully we'll find intelligent leaders that have enough backbone to make educated decisions and not care so much about headlines.
Interesting. Another critical factor is any flying weapon system is delicately designed to balance. Like a bicycle, if the wheels are off-balance, you as the rider will definitely notice. Complex weapon systems take years to design and develop, one factor is ensuring it is correctly balanced to ensure its flight characterizes are optimal. Image the effects on its guidance system.
Very interesting!
And this adds a HUGE dent in the claim of chip shortage problems for the Russian military
Didn’t Russia just become the like the fifth biggest economy after Japan. WHAT SANCTIONS!
That was from the world bank concerning the massive shifts of funds to military expenditure.
I wonder if Putin would dare to raid pensioners savings again.
Maybe that will send Russian stocks soaring through the roof if he did!
Since this is all investment in rubble, twisted metal and mutilated bodies, the graph will take its expected nose dive shortly.
BTW. The gdp still registers 11th and gdp per capita still rates below most second world economies.
Around the 60th mark. Or worse.
Now remember that Putin and his mates still expect their cut.
At least Putin retains the rank of no.1 richest.
Russia is blessed to have such a wise, thoughtful and innovative leader.
Interesting convo, thanks Willy.
Sanctions create a black market
People are very greedy so where there is a fast buck to be made some one will jump in to make it .
There is not a CEO on the planet who would not sell his own grandmother into sex slavery for a suitcase full of gold bars held in a tax haven that could not be traced .
And when you can no longer get components electronic engineers will find a work around , that is what they do , make the stuff that electronics architects think up actually work and be able to be produced at a reasonable cost .
There is nothing that a chip can do that can not be done with individual components a peg board and lots of wires .
IT will just be a lot bigger and consume a lot more power .
After all the Afghanis made quite effective bombs using obsolete phone parts .
Why do you think third world countries buy so much E-scrap .
In the West we buy it to recover the precious metals
Other countries buy it to recover the parts to be used in other items .
As for desoldering chips from a board, what does he think missile electronics technicians do day in day out ?
They repair guidance boards and that often requires replacing chips which unlike those in a computer all have to be hard soldered onto the boards & not in sockets .
As for old technology , there is a super computer in Japan made entirely from old G4 mac motherboards that is still in use today for doing computer modelling & simulations .
I still use my old 1990 Quadra for writing articles because the old O40 motorolla Chip can still word process about 20 times faster than I can type and word perfect 4 make a much much smaller file size than any of todays bloat wear and of course the pre-press will apply their own typography so no need for me to do any fancy typesetting
I do all of the graphics & art work using a old dual processor G4 and Photoshop 7 with a massive amount of memory using a ram disc as my temporary storage and hell is that fast .
So I can not do 3 layer transparencies but the Web presses can not print that either so it does not matter .
So no the sanctions did not stop smart weapons manufacture and putin is tossing a lot of money into weapons manufacture
OTOH the russian are not making as much as many seem to think as may of the recovered debris reveals that the missiles were only a month or less old and in case you have not noticed, overnight missile attacks come in waves, usually one or two a month because the russian are firing a lot of them as fast as they are making them.
However when russia starts popping out five SU35's a month I will believe that the sanctions have had no effect .
The stuff that is near impossible for russia to make are air defence systems
They have only 2 S-500's and they are not making much in the way of S-300 & S-400 at the moment.
They are not making the T-19 Amarda tank because they can not get parts for it
They are not making SU-57's for the same reason.
OTOH the financial sanctions are having a drastic effect both in russia & China .
Your guest was very much right about the media over hyping things they do not understand
So a slight possibility gets reported as a possibility which gets re-reported as a probability which in turn becomes a certainly and then absolutely without fail.
We used to call it Chinese whispering as a game when I was a kid .
Keep underestimating russia like the nazis did and are still doing
This is basic stuff. Afghanis were jerry-rigging phone bombs a decade ago. The only real difference is the weapon system. No underestimating here. Just laughing at how it's become a necessity.
history just keeps repeating its self...total insanity
@@fv5855
Soviet Union and Germany were not Alies. They signed contract of not attacking each other, after British signed the same.
Romania at the other hand, was a German Alie. They sent about 500 000 troops to the East Front to fight on the German side.
Great recording. Thank you. Why would anyone think that Russia will be building weapons which depend on west? Given Soviet vs west standoff of the past?
Are you seriously contending that Russia can equal the west technologically?
Your devotion to Russia is not admirable.
@@bumble-g2jthe point is that Soviet and now Russian military technology is not dependent on western part and has not been, so presuming that Russian military production will fail based on sanctions is a mistake
Yes it is.
China is gaining ground but they need to steal from the west to achieve parity.
Putin is desperate.
1.5 million roubles in parts of Russia just as a joining fee.
That's up to 40 times of the average monthly wages.
THREE YEARS!!!
Putin can't generally mobilise.
A partial mobilisation saw an exodus of 1 million.
87.5%.popularity.
Might as well be 875%.
You guys love to shout out copium don't you.
Very interesting interview. Thank you Willy.
Western world inflation/ price for goods have gone considerably over the past couple of years
Yeah even my uncle who lives in Norway (one of the richest country in this world) says the prices here in Bosnia and Herzegovina (one of the poorest counties in Europe) are too high.
Far worse than reported
I tried explaning this topic to my father back in 2022. He was far in to the ideology to accept that their 'ancient chip technology' could keep up, but thanks for bringing on an expert to give the long form explanation.
You do great work keep it up other ppl seem really biased on this subject but you seem to be giving facts
Ohhh....Willy , don't cry 😢 so disappointing for you to find out the West is not surpirier to Russia 😅
Russians are very smart and resourceful, read some books or something ,Willy
Smart and resourceful, and living in the most richly endowed country on earth in terms of natural resources.
@@timber750 LOL yes that helps. USA was also born to be a superpower due to geography.
@@timber750 And yet the quality of life index of Russia is lower than any other European country, something isn't adding up. Perhaps the rich natural resources are being used in ways that do not improve the lives of the general populace. Imagine what Russia could be if it focused on fixing its internal issues instead of blaming other nations.
The west out produces Russia on just about anything despite its size.
Including natural resources.
Hellooooooo!
Anyone in there?
@@Kofferr silly, the quality of life index of the USA is prolly the lowest, people complain and whine all the time, but the USA is the most developed and richiest country. How so? Use your braincells and answer this question
Thanks, Willy OAM. Two more cents please. Is there any way to practically stop or sanction them?
Very interesting. Obviously weapons are of the period they were built or rebuilt, utilising tech from the period.
I'd be fascinated to know what was inside the Harpoons, Standards & Mk 48s we had back in the day used as processors. Must have been something like a Z80, 8080 series, 6502/10 series, maybe the 6800 - at best a 68000 equivalent!
MOS 6502 & 6510 ? Doubt it very much :)
we arent using 3nm chips in missiles etc
90nm or larger are used which russia can produce.
Sanctions are an act of war period.
Nah. Not war.
Exactly. Only fools will cry when it comes home to roost.
Russia started this one however.
@@CheeseLovingGuy its really stupid though...america is sanctioning 200 country's ...
@@bumble-g2j not really
an asian genious indeed this guy
В России не производят чипы 45 нм. 90 нм есть... вроде как даже 65 нм... Другое дело хрен знает что там с литографами. но... для большинства задач, военные предпочитают использовать чипы 200+. Вес, размер, тепловыделение и производительность не имеет особого значения, когда речь заходит о танке или ракете. А вот стабильность и защищенность от помех(я не о РЭБ, а о радиационном излучении, например при ядерном взрыве), имеют куда большее значение. А тут... "толстый" техпроцесс кладет на обе лопатки "тонкий".
Мистер в 2016 65 стояли 8 лет так и осталось ?
7 nm. for a weapon is like digging a hole with a spoon when you have a shovel for it.
@@baykal6
They have lots of good shovels.
@@СерегаБосс-ч2в полагаю, что пока не будет своих литографов, осваивать техпроцесс нет смысла. Даже если ты научишься что-то делать на чужом оборудовании, это не добавит суверенитета. для автоматизации производства, достаточно 90 нм, а для ЦОД нужны хоть бы 28 нм. Но об этом лучше говорить ближе к 30-му году. Будут литографы, будут чипы... А производить чипы, будучи зависимым от оборудования и запчастей... дешевле просто купить.
@@baykal6 в России бы сказали... "Забивать гвозди микроскопом"... в принципе можно, но зачем...
So basically Russia is using faster, cheaper, more reliable chips, compared to US?
Increase use of dedicated chips.
Less flexible perhaps, but who care?
The United States uses the same chips in its weapons as Russia. Armies are always conservative. 7, 15, 20, 45 nanometers are not needed for classic types of weapons, this is not an iPhone.
Clock frequency is less important than it was, yes. But it's definitely not "irrelevant".
irrelevant for the task at hand and current weapons. maybe with some "AI"-related weapons (vision and autonomous decision-making) of the future it will become more important.
If every option is good enough it becomes irrelevant.
This is very fascinating. I myself have a background in Microelectronics but I hardly did anything related to it as a career and it has been years since I graduated. But I can roughly understand what the PhD guy is talking about. 90nm process node existed since 2003, while the 45nm process node came out in 2007. Russia would definitely have access to fab equipment from that time (lithography, etching, deposition etc.)
But I would like to ask, what kind of ICs would be needed for more complex systems like the S-350/S-400/S-500? These GBADs I heard use AI as well.
I think this is what the guest is saying- Not very, at least not the latest iPhone level of IC. The detection systems can benefit from more compute power, especially things like DSPs for controlling and interpreting signals from phased array radars but those still don't need a lot of power. One clue though is to look at the development cycle, so when development started. Designs would usually be based on what was available at that time and often not the latest ICs because they need reliability. A generation behind is usually good enough and has all the bugs worked out.
@@brolohalflemming7042 I wasn't asking about the computing level. But I got your point that actually the types of ICs required for these systems aren't any more different or special. That makes sense.
Yes you're right, industrial and military applications don't require the latest generation of ICs. They're good for IT applications, or maybe for some high-end research.
@@oldbutbold I think this is one of the points the guest was making. Public awareness is mostly around compute power, so CPUs. For military applications, that's less relevant. CPUs got smaller, faster and power efficient, which is mainly a benefit for things like drones. They have a tighter mass/volume/power budget so benefit from more modern components. Other systems have fewer constraints. PC-like functions might allow more or better MFDs in aircraft or command vehicles, but still doesn't need 3nm nodes. I think more important would be sensors, signal processing and high frequency (in an RF sense) components. One Ukrainian image showed an old TI DSP that TI hasn't made in years, but pin and instruction-set compatible versions are readily available. That DSP was state of the art in the early '90s, isn't now, but is still good enough for it's application.
@@brolohalflemming7042 I concur
One thing i would say, you talking to someone in a silo of electrical engineering. Within that silo you are taught a very specific way of doing things, there is this saying, you know something well enough to be dangerous. Well that silo of thinking is to learn so much that there is no danger, because everything you do has a standard, an acceptable way of doing something.
Chips are like formulas in maths, you maybe don't understand how they work, but you have this expectation that it works a certain way.
In America, because of the expertise within the industry, the problem isn't the hardware, its the software. You just need to look at Windows 11, and its just a bunch of software overlays, infact windows 10 is the same. The underlying issue that makes windows 11 so bloating, that is this huge size is because they put all these additional capabilities within the program to make their company financially viable when offering free products.
Basically all the spyware you could pick up on say windows 98, is now embedded within windows 11 in-which Microsoft holds the monopoly on all the data.
Which leads to the issue that Windows 11 has this benchmark of required hardware.
The Russians don't have that level of hardware, so they optimize the software.
So its less about the hardware, the chips, the premade circuit boards.
Because the Russian software developers are always pushing the limits of the hardware.
Which intern removes them from that silo of acceptable thinking and creates an environment where your software developers can use any type of hardware and really push the limits of what it can do.
Where back in America, the software is so trash, the oversight so complete and the protectionism making the environment so difficult, you end up with experts who struggle to communicate and can't really challenge the market dominance of anyone. As even their education is compromised, your not having Ericsson coming in revealing company secrets.
Another thing i would point out, woman in the workforce. Sure it double the manpower of the workforce, but what did woman entering the workforce really offer. The most famous chef is a man, so where did all these woman find jobs. Well they found them as mothers, where they micro manage a bunch of people they think are children, when infact they are not children, they are adults who are much more capable then themselves.
We have seen this morphed it victim hood, where we promote woman, for simply being woman.
What we tend to forget is that our mothers don't let us do what we want to do. And in terms of research, development, learning new skills.
There is a reason China is leading in like 37/44 emerging technologies. Reason why LET HIM COOK, LETS GO, YOLO have exploded, because these mothers, these boomers stand in the way of progress because they have nothing to add and instead are judge mental, restrictive and plain out egoistical cants.
I applied for a PHD the professor was literally in his underwear for the interview.
Using a Green Screen, these people are so babied that they can't do anything. Full blown professor who can't put on his own pants.
The west is so pathetically weak, i mean Russians went through the collapse of the Soviet Union, they are just built different.
You think they are on TV complaining the bad word hurted my feelings? and i need to ruin their entire life cause they hurted my feelings?
Thats why this is your expert, no offence to your expert. Its a very difficult situation and you there because you don't see the big picture, because if you did you would be yelling screaming and cursing the people standing in your way.
The countries that have the raw materials for chips are too poor to sanction anyone. North Korea will become a major chip manufacturer in the future.
Guess which country :
Recognizing polymorphic computer viruses, 1993
Semiconductor heterostructures, 1968
Manned Spaceship, 1961
Nuclear-powered icebreaker, 1959
Laser, 1954
Atomic power plant, 1954
Deciphering Maya scripture, 1952
Transosseous compression osteosynthesis, 1951
Automatic digital computer, 1948
Artificial Heart, 1937
Radiosonde, 1930
Air ionizer, 1927
Synthetic rubber, 1910
Electromagnetic seismograph, 1906
Foam firefighting, 1904
Color photography, 1902
Radio, 1895
The First Virus, 1892
Electric bus, 1889
Photocell, 1888
Centrifuge, 1879
Electric tram, 1874
Mendeleev’s Periodic Table, 1869
Stereo camera, 1852
Electromagnetic Telegraph, 1832
Monorail, 1820
Mongolia?
Tuvalu
Thanks bro
Вот это было интереснее послушать, Вилли. Интереснее, чем боевых тарасов
Does that mean that Russia shouldn't have a problem with producing AESA radars?
Willy,If you Stopped buying into Western Propaganda about Russian Chip shortages,you wouldnt need an Expert to tell you its BullSheet😮
Who is for ousting Biden ?
What a total surprise; how old are the guns btw?
how old is that "PhD holder"? :D
You can get a bachelor's degree at 21-22, a master's degree in one year and a PhD in 3. That is, he can be as young as 25 years old.