EC Must Explain Surge in Maharashtra Turnout Data After Polls Closed, Legitimacy of Mandate at Stake
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- Опубликовано: 26 ноя 2024
- Voter turnout discrepancies in Maharashtra question legitimacy of mandate: Economist and Commentator, Parakala Prabhakar, to Karan Thapar for The Wire.
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The well-known economist and current affairs commentator, Parakala Prabhakar, has drawn attention to mystifying, inexplicable and disconcerting discrepancies in the official turnout figures put out by the Election Commission in Maharashtra which, he says, “question the legitimacy of the mandate”. Dr. Parakala is also Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman’s husband.
Very simply, when polls closed at 5.00 p.m. on the 20th, the turnout was 58.22%. By 11.30 p.m. on the same day, after accommodating people presumably waiting in the queue to vote at 5.00 p.m., it increased to 65.02%. Hours before the counting started on the 23rd it was put at 66.05%. This means that the turnout increased by 7.83% after polls closed at 5.00 p.m. Dr. Parakala estimates that this is, in terms of the number of people, an increase of almost 76 lakhs.
How could such an enormous number have been accommodated in the six hours between polls closing at 5.00 p.m. and 11.30 p.m. on the same day, when the final person waiting in the queue voted? To illustrate how impossible this actually would be, Dr. Parakala cited the following example. Let’s, for arguments sake, assume there were a thousand people waiting to vote in a booth when polling stopped at 5.00 p.m. Because they had arrived before 5.00 p.m. they would have the right to vote. If you assume one minute per person to vote - but actually it should be a lot more i.e. closer to 4 or 5 - it would take a thousand minutes for these people to vote. A thousand minutes is 16.6 hours. The problem is between 5.00 p.m. and 11.30 p.m. there’s only six and a half hours. So there is no way a thousand people could have voted in that time. How then could 76 lakhs have done so? This cries out for an explanation from the Election Commission. But the Election Commission is silent. Dr. Parakala said it hasn’t bothered to even acknowledge memorandums submitted by citizens raising this question.
The contrast with the Jharkhand turnout is equally illuminating. There were two phases of polling in that state. In phase one, at 5.00 p.m. the turnout was 64.86%. By 11.30 p.m. it increased to 66.48%, which is just a 1.79% increase. That’s very different to the nearly 8% increase in Maharashtra. In phase two, at 5.00 p.m. the turnout was 67.59%. By 11.30 p.m. that have become 68.45%. That’s an increase of only 0.86%. Again, that’s hugely different to the nearly 8% increase in Maharashtra. So the first question is how come the turnout didn’t increase in Jharkhand after polls-closed the way it did in Maharashtra? Again, there’s no explanation from the Election Commission.
Let’s go one step further. In Maharashtra, where the turnout increased by nearly 8%, the NDA won. In Jharkhand, where the turnout increased by less than 2% and 1%, the India Block won. That raises the question is there a link between the increase in turnout and who wins? It seems, prima facie, that where there is a large increase in the post poll-closing turnout the NDA wins. Where there is a small or minimal increase the India Block wins.
Dr. Parakala has spotted similar outcomes in the Haryana elections, during the recent Vidhan Sabha elections, and in UP, during the Lok Sabha elections. In Haryana, the post poll-closing vote share increased by 6.7% and the BJP won. In UP, the post poll-closing vote share increased by under 0.5% and the Opposition won the majority of seats. So what Dr. Parakala spotted in Maharashtra and Jharkhand seems to have happened earlier in UP and Haryana.
I will stop there. The issues Dr. Parakala addresses have been laid out. They are how do we explain the astonishing 7.83% post poll-closing turnout in Maharashtra? Why did nothing similar happen in Jharkhand? Is there a link between the increase in post poll-closing turnout and who wins? Doesn’t the outcome in Haryana (Vidhan Sabha) and UP (Lok Sabha) suggest something similar? What is the explanation for all of this? If it’s not explained adequately will that not create suspicion in people’s minds? Will that suspicion not, in turn, fuel damaging speculation that will vitiate our system of voting and our democracy?
Dr. Parakala talks about all of these issues.
Here is the link to the interview:
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Thank you Dr Parakala,for your clarity and support. Kudos to you Karan.
Thanks for interview with Dr. Parakala. I couldn't accept the mandate given by people in Maharashtra. Really worrisome development as constitutional institutions integrity is being compromised whether SEBI or now EC. Superb!! Really, informative.
Karan Thapar, you are doing a wonderful job for keeping our country intact. Journalist like you is the need of the hour. Please keep your fight for truth forward.
Very nice to see Dr. Parakala Sir explaining with numbers how huge difference in Maharashtra could have led NDA to an unprecedented victory. EC will never explain. What's the remedy? No trust in present set up.
Every one knows that the EVMS favoured the BJP
Dr. Parakala is 100% correct. Similar situations are happening in most areas.
thanks very much , both of you !
EC has been manipulating the figure from LS onwards. Remember they took 2 days to give final voting percentage for first two phases and there was gross discrepancy. These guys are hand in glove with ruling party to game the system. Time to raise our voices
There has be a protest by the people, for the people
The EC, should be unbiased in the election process it's the people of the country who are voting their choices... Manipulation with the evms is a big concern/doubt the outcome of the results.....
Thank you for this interview much awaited....
The opposition and people together should boycott this election outcome...
Where is suspicion Mr Karan. It is a fact that helped Modi's comeback. Indian democracy is in the hands of horrible hands of highest agencies of the country
Suspicion created in the minds of people, mandate stolen does not bother the SC at all.
SC has lost its credibility.
@@rakeshp4215 It's supreme court not your Waqf kotha.
Thanks For This Clear Message. Dr.Prabhakar & Karan Thapar...But It's Truly a Disastrous Pain For Common Voters...
Good analysis....all electronic machines can be manoeuvred & manipulated..... Ballot paper is the only guarantee for free&fair elections protecting our right to vote ...
I think election should be held between 5 pm to 11.30 pm. People get motivated during this subhmaharat.
Was waiting to hear from Parakala sir, thank you Karan for the targeted, objective and clear discussion as always! Cheers.
People of India are not suspicious about the democracy being lost but have decided to fight back coming on the streets & defending Bharat, constitution of India and democracy....they will do it...
Very insightful as always! Thank you Karan sir and Dr. Parakala
If the court doesn't listen to opposition voice why don't they look at other avenues
as in
This is a fascinating discussion, between 2 highly intelligent professionals!
How sad that nothing ever seems to come of such important matters!!
'coz what they talk about is total BS. There are booth agents from all parties in each booth. This can be easily corss referenced by the information from the booth agents. If these intellectuals think there is such a blatant issue, they should go to court. Very simple.
On top of which, geniur thapar here is trying to sequence # of voters to 1 machine. Dumb.
Clear it's total bullshit. Hence nothing comes out of this.
Even if these errors persist why is the judiciary not considering any review. The CEC is also not considering. They are blatant and dismissive of any grievance. No redressal. This will continue sadly.....
They dont have an explanation
If EC tries to give one,they'll be caught out lying
In one of the village ,Voters voted overwhelmingly in favour of MVA candidate,but at tye counter centres it turned out that village casted 0 votes
Thank you
I wish these journalists were the once questioning our leaders on the major channels, these are crucial numbers.
Who is going to question?
Main channels will never dare it
And why is the NDA not worried about this data discrepancy? Whether someone won or lost, such a discrepancy should be worrying all parties.
4:11 at 5pm on the 20th, the turnout was 58.22%
4:18 by 11.30pm of the same day it has increased to 65.02%
4:25 Before coynting on the 23rd, it has gone yet again at 66.05% , this means turnout increased by 7.83%
6:19 All put together from 5'O Clock on the 20th to 11.30pm on the 20th, and a few hours, 12 hours before counting, the total increase was 75 Lakhs 97 thousand and 67, thats about 76 Lakhs.
So that means as per ECI records, the Electronic Machines have recorded 76 Lakhs more votes post closure of Voting activity, this but naturally gives rise to reasonable doubt, and needs Judicial Investigation.
Is SCI hearing? Will it take suo moto action to save the democracy in India?
It’s treat to watch Dr Prabhakar Parkala, Thanks Karan Thapar
People also must come out against this issue especially EC uncle
We did not see Shri. Parkala Prabhakar for quite some time & was wondering. Good to see him back.
Even after such massive fraud and numerous reports of manipulation, Parakala Prabhakar continues to maintain a politically correct stance on the Election Commission. Unbelievable.
Votes are more than Maharashtra voters.
All you need is a a Whistleblower from within the System.
Waiting for that fay
One of the commissioners resigned before Loksabha elections, perhaps his conscience could not stand what was being planned
It's not the first time he has brought up these issues but to what end? The same thing repeats.
Doesn't have anything to talk about after their humiliating defeat. Shameless journalist
@@Dr.SyedSaifAbbasNaqviand you are back!!!! You are the one who is shameless a
@@sarasumayya3839 We voted for BJP from kundarki constituency in UP by-elections which is Muslim dominated but still BJP won. Considering how the Mulayam Singh government persecuted Shias during his reign and pander to Sunni vote bank. Shias and Pasmanda overwhelmingly voted for the BJP. Because all SP candidates are upper caste Asraf and Syyeds. Seems like the pappu caste census is working in uno reverse.
@@Dr.SyedSaifAbbasNaqvigomuthra nagpur half knickers you are right
The opposition has to come out and people have to join them
Karan Thapar is the best journalist in India.
With biggest tongue like chameleon 🤣🤣🤣
🤣🤣🤣🤣
@@trishul1331 Next joke please 😹😹😹
@@PraakashRanjann-fz7rcyes gomuthra nagpur half knickers you are right
Good to see Dr Prabhakar back again!
Feku did not fix evm in Jharkhand to take out suspicion.
This is how they are fixing so suspicion doesn't arise. But this time they did it in large.
Oppostion not required. Only EVM is sufficient
Thanks sir for the interview
Well said.... good analysis by both great persons. 🙏🙏
Is there no supreme court way to make the EC answerable? How EC can just show such audacity every time?
Polling Agents tally the final counts of each booths on form 17C. The issue is bogus Hence political parties don't approach court themselves.
Sounds indeed near impossibility and above all above common and logical sense . Some of us have been on election duty in various capacities but this is unprecedented. It never happened. We had seen rigging, booth capturing etc but in few places
This must be brought to the notice of CJI Sanjiv Khanna
But no use, already all are compromised with bjp
Just yesterday the petition for conducting the election by ballot paper was dismissed by SC.
ECI must explain the increase in votes casted in EVM. It’s a question on the basic point of capability of ECI to conduct a free and fair election .
Opposition parties should boycott the elections one time.
so that bjp declare them selves majority forever, what a lame suggestion
We are proud of Rajiv Kumar and team who do not hesitate to show on many occasions that their first loyalty is to Modiji and then to Constitution.
All employees should be loyal to their boss and organisation, isn't that what's expected from an employee 😂😂😂
Excellent analysis and the clear reason for winning by NDA.
Discrepancies always existed, since the last 5 years the extent has gone to another level. Congratulations on real journalism.
We are fighting against the EVM but we fail to fight against the dishonesty of the ECI members.
Very good Analysis from Sri Parakalaji👏👏
This is the reason why NDA is not interested in ballot voting and insists on EVM machines.
Because Mamata will do booth capturing. Bengal is already compromised with fake voters from Bangladesh. The lawlessness in the state is rampant. Most of the booths are captured by TMC goons and fake votes goes on. That's why they have won by-elections with a huge margin. Kangress brought EVM not BJP you blithering fools.
When you cannot win elections you blame the EVM. Ask Maulana to do more "Vote Jihad" let's see how you win in the future. People aren't fools.
Our SC has started giving judgements based on its Astha rather than the constitution. I hope we do not have any Muslim judges, as then their Astha will be unacceptable.
Why come up with a random no of 1000 people. Why not 76L divided by the total booths in Maharashtra. Then we have real data
There are nearly 1 lakh booths in Maharashtra. For the 76 lakhs votes between 5 PM to 11.30 PM, there must have been 76 voters waiting in the queue after 5 pm. How do you assume there were 1000 voters ? Or am I missing something?
Two great Indians…Thapar and Prabhakar….let us hope more people seek rationale answers for an irrational result in Maha
Wonderful to see dr Parakala
Thanks!
This suspicion was already raised by former IAS Mr. Balachandran with regard to Haryana election who himself had conducted numerous elections in his tenure.
Excellent analysis
Hearing Prabhakaran Ji after a long time 😊
The election situation of maharastra defied all reasons. It was a by hook or by crook situation.
इलेक्शन कमिशन ने बैंकों के एटीएम मशीन बनाने चाहिए, ताकि जनता को पैसे निकालते समय जरूरत से ज्यादा पैसे मिल सके, भारत वासियों को फायदा होगा
I hope some one from EC officials has some integrity and comes out and disclose everything...
Election commission should explain the reason for upward revision.
However each voting machine is sealed in front of the polling agents and they should be having the figure of how many people voted in that particular voting machines. During counting the seal is checked by the candidate representative and then counting is done. So if there is discrepency do you think that the candidates will keep quite.
Interesting conversation, please circulate this video
Mr. Karan and Dr. Parakala good conclusive analysis. Will the educated gentlemen and ladies have any affect on them and come forward to protest on the streets against the EC and the godly hindu cultured politicians. Shame on our nonbiological pm.
Thank you for enlightening interview Karan and Parakala
ECI has crossed all limits.
So,no comments.
Pain 😮😮😮😅😅😅😅😅😅🥤🥤🧋
Very sensitive message on
our election.
Such in incidents in India is unfortunate.
Extra voters are the respectf. ECI members !!!!!!
KARAN JEE, THE VOTES
POLLED MUST MATCH THE VOTES COUNTED, IT'S THE COMPUTER WHICH NEVER MAKE MISTAKE.
Or else the EC played with the voters
It would be great if Dr. Prabhakar could also get the analysis done for other phases/places (other than UP) in the Lok Sabha elections. He probably has already done that.
Will the INDI Alliance do away EVM system if they come to power?
They will not come to the power till this game continues
E C should clear the doubt without bias.
The difference in vote percentage between MVA and Mahayuti is 15% you experts.
There were 10117 booths. If you assume 100 people were waiting, in total maximum 10,11,700 people could have voted after the polls closes.
Cannot we go to the great SC.
Do u both think that all our efforts will yield result. it is not ECI it is Modi Commission of India. My only belief is what u sow u will reap.
That is y mrs nirmala refused to contest in lok sabha....
It requires investigation instead of explanation. I wonder how many people will turn up after five pm. Even the doors of the premises are closed unless of course there was gate crash
We are a Democracy similar to North Korea with exception of more than one candidate but result would be same as NK
Election comission since 2015 is a strongest alliance of BJP please keep in mind
Election comission is very responsible towards BJP and it's basic duty of it
Used EVMs had 90% battery. when voting closed😄😄😄😄😄😄
Oh my God,even HE cannot save us!
A campaign with no vision, no positive agenda, based on fear mongering, Muslim (Mullah) appeasement, negativity, and an alliance based on pure electoral mathematics for power grabbing bereft of any ideological semblance has lost but the fault is with
1. Voters ( Mr. UBT)
2. EVM
3. Election Commission
4. CJI (Mr Sanjay "Verbal Diarrhoea" Raut)
5. Hindus
Kudos to The Wire and Mr Thapar
The mandate of 303 is doubtful.
Alarming revelation!
Perfect analysis, need to justify with proofs by election commission and supreme court and not by shairi or by lame excuse by saying one state politicians blamed same when they lost, that doesn't give proof or no need to take that as standard to accept whole India. Government administration need to work for all and not for the sake of politicians with power and corporates with money and influence
Thanks 🙏
If EVM changes all changes.
The whole world stopped EVM.
will indians just keep debating, or file a PIL?
@@karamlamba PIL IS REJECTED BY SUPREME COURT
EC is very silent in many important aspects of the election. Citizens should ask the EC to respond and must take the responsibility.
I understand that about 1700 votes difference and winning margin is 1200 to 1500....
If we can take the cc cameras we might get some clues i guess
Eco chamber feeding its own People
Exactly sir
Ask ECI to tally votes registered in EVMs n VVPAT slips to find out the discrepancies n count votes on Form-17 of total no. of booths in the state.
What happens to form 17
What happened to the polling agent of political parties present during counting and polling.