Grading My 2023 Breakout Picks!

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  • Опубликовано: 6 янв 2025

Комментарии • 210

  • @hbk4ever2
    @hbk4ever2 Год назад +540

    Happy Bailey day to all who celebrate

  • @wrecker132
    @wrecker132 Год назад +587

    Tork only had 4 homers by June 7th. He finished with 31

    • @voncornhole
      @voncornhole Год назад +43

      The Tork vs Arraez discourse at that time is so fucking spicy in hindsight

    • @zacharyliles8657
      @zacharyliles8657 Год назад +32

      He's hitting 50 next year

    • @dripmorgan8650
      @dripmorgan8650 Год назад +4

      Him

    • @richardjones9513
      @richardjones9513 Год назад +7

      God I hope he keeps his momentum at the start of the year. Could easily be 1000 ops hitter

    • @617evan6
      @617evan6 Год назад

      Mid

  • @oliverseed6257
    @oliverseed6257 Год назад +252

    Crazy that now Pfaddt and lynn are facing each other in arguably both teams most important game of the season

    • @saintbeesechurger2800
      @saintbeesechurger2800 Год назад +6

      Not arguable at all but yes.

    • @oliverseed6257
      @oliverseed6257 Год назад +9

      @@saintbeesechurger2800 maybe not for the d backs but most definitely for the dodgers

    • @snipergangdrob5940
      @snipergangdrob5940 Год назад +20

      Lance Lynn let up FOUR homers in an inning, and one bro let up a homer it got reversed then next pitch mf hit a 420 foot no doubter so it wouldnt be reversed.

    • @kaplezedrummer24ify
      @kaplezedrummer24ify Год назад +5

      And Pfaadt absolutely out dueled the shit out of Lynn

    • @broncos435
      @broncos435 Год назад +1

      @@kaplezedrummer24ify i think both players have to pitch well for it to be considered a duel 💀

  • @joekerUli
    @joekerUli Год назад +73

    Watching torkelson grow into torkdaddy this season was fun as a tigers fan.

    • @broncos435
      @broncos435 Год назад

      *torkelfather, get it right smh. as a sox fan, i fully expect him to turn into torkelgrandfather and destroy us for the next 10 years like miggy did :,(

    • @ETYPEJaguar38
      @ETYPEJaguar38 Год назад +2

      are ya winning, (torkel)son?

  • @dcsoda1
    @dcsoda1 Год назад +73

    Enjoy these types of videos that look back on predictions. Useful analysis on what can go on in a whole season.

  • @brandonperez2300
    @brandonperez2300 Год назад +109

    I love the inclusion of the “cop who definitely almost shot a baseball” clip

    • @rockguy2154
      @rockguy2154 Год назад +4

      Tony's 100th HR, no less!

    • @TheRPGamer7
      @TheRPGamer7 Год назад +1

      I was just about to mention that. Anyone know what game that is?

    • @rockguy2154
      @rockguy2154 Год назад +2

      ​@@TheRPGamer7 Marlins at Orioles July 16, 2023

    • @TheRPGamer7
      @TheRPGamer7 Год назад +1

      @@rockguy2154 Thank you! I appreciate it.

    • @bentaylor4705
      @bentaylor4705 10 месяцев назад

      😂

  • @sabiebright4554
    @sabiebright4554 Год назад +30

    I love these kinds of videos. I like baseball, I'll watch September and playoff baseball, but unless the player is in the al central and plays against my tigers a lot, I don't know who to look out for If I'm at a sports bar with some buds or a friend wants to watch a different team. So even if every pick is wrong or right, I just wanted to say thank you for allowing me to notice more players, and learn to dig deeper when I see someone come up or make an impact those few times a year. I hope you keep this series up, and I'm excited for next year to do it all again

  • @electronthenerd
    @electronthenerd Год назад +21

    i believe in torkelson supremacy

  • @JoshTheOther
    @JoshTheOther Год назад +6

    I love these retroactive videos! They feel like a blast from the past AND we get to see what worked and didn't work from the earlier analysis. Sounds like it was a helpful exercise for you, and I think it's helpful for me too in the long run--looking at analysis from other people!

  • @gowencoates9539
    @gowencoates9539 Год назад +17

    This is the type of accountability I need in the media

  • @TenaciousAC
    @TenaciousAC Год назад +1

    4:56 Credit where it’s due for Santander’s back-to-back 120 OPS+ scores. Stats weren’t spectacular, but a good floor to work from. A reliable hand so to speak and maybe a bargain in 2024 with ARB4 salary due.
    In 2022, 55 players went 120+, and this season, just 46. I’ve no idea who else went back-to-back, but that’s sneaky good.

  • @mattruss99
    @mattruss99 Год назад +10

    torkdaddy supremacy

  • @tylermorrison6335
    @tylermorrison6335 Год назад +4

    As a Red Sox fan, I was really anxious about your Kenley pick all year. I'm glad he didn't crack under the new rules or a new town.

  • @threearmedonion
    @threearmedonion Год назад +11

    I love seeing Bailey post on his main channel so often

  • @skiiworld
    @skiiworld Год назад +2

    5:07 dying at the Bullpen cop 💀

  • @NastyMuckSpread
    @NastyMuckSpread Год назад +90

    I think Bailey should become a Machamp to help him with the grading next year so he can have up to 4 thumbs up or down.

  • @tony6666
    @tony6666 Год назад +23

    I wouldn't give Gimenez two thumbs up for your grade. Maybe one though. He was one of the Guardians hottest hitters in September and I believe he will really bounce back next year. Also he is absolutely a platinum glove contenter

    • @davidwindell
      @davidwindell Год назад +16

      He had 5.5 fWAR, platinum glove defense, and 15HR and 30 SB hitting .250. His BA and OBP regressed but we’re still excellent for a 2B. Saying he had a bad season because his BA fell is incredibly disingenuous.

    • @falcon1378
      @falcon1378 Год назад +2

      ⁠@@davidwindellI was really expecting a neutral grade for him. He was a huge impact player for the guardians this season. Definitely a miss, but a rare one.

    • @skylartimmer4798
      @skylartimmer4798 Год назад

      He went from being in mvp conversation to average

    • @lucasfranco6345
      @lucasfranco6345 Год назад

      @@davidwindell Not just his BA. His OPS dropped 125 points, which is massive. Every single peripheral stat dropped noticeably, including having a 1st percentile avg exit velocity this year. When you look for the progression of a player that young, you don't look for defense, as there's a much more reliable curve to that. You look for progress at the plate, and Gimenez regressed pretty drastically.
      EDIT: Re: his stats being excellent for a 2B, Gimenez finished the season 12th in OPS out of 17 qualified second basemen (14th in BA, 13th in OBP). So not really, no.

  • @rayzr1120
    @rayzr1120 Год назад +5

    I really enjoyed the OOTP series you did a while back. I was wondering if you plan on doing another any time soon
    Edit: The Rangers one in specific

  • @nickscardigno6006
    @nickscardigno6006 Год назад +4

    Actual Grades:
    Heaney: -1, Lynn: -2, Pfaadt: -2, Carrasco: -2, Alzolay: +2
    Tork: +1, Santander: 0, De la Cruz: -1, Tellez: +1, Ruiz: 0
    Gilbert: -1, Urias: +2, Grissom: +2, Gimenez: +2, Kenley: -1
    Total: -3

  • @norwichstungun1299
    @norwichstungun1299 Год назад +3

    Pfaadt turned it around in the NLCS

  • @cjampcj
    @cjampcj Год назад +3

    3:19 is hilarious 🍋🌳🤴

  • @jacobslater5530
    @jacobslater5530 Год назад +1

    Love ya Bailey, but 2 thumbs up for Torkelson is a bit dramatic. He’s very much an average hitter due to the leniency on power numbers when factored into such nuanced statistics. We can claim that these stats are useful until we realize they do not substantiate consistent play. Coincided with negligible defensive production, he’s still beyond disappointing.

  • @dylancampbell8064
    @dylancampbell8064 Год назад +3

    Well Pdaaft just went 5 scoreless innings against the Dodgers so maybe that will get him a thumbs up. Also Sewald sealed the deal.

  • @nathanjm000
    @nathanjm000 Год назад

    I went with Urias for my preseason Cy Young pick because he was somewhat close for a couple years and hadn't won yet, had the same strategy with Cole and worked though

    • @FoolishBailey
      @FoolishBailey  Год назад +2

      You win some, you lose some. I made a short talking about two teams I thought were underrated: I picked the Diamondbacks and Royals.

  • @jimbopoppin3152
    @jimbopoppin3152 Год назад +3

    Thanks for more goon material! Been hankerin for more recently

  • @zacharyliles8657
    @zacharyliles8657 Год назад +6

    Tork is going to hit 50 next year Bailey!

  • @jacobmorrison5144
    @jacobmorrison5144 Год назад +2

    Foolish B talking about Tork will always get my attention

  • @jakobgoodwin9742
    @jakobgoodwin9742 Год назад +2

    And most importantly, you were right when you hated on Masataka Yoshida. But next year, you watch out

  • @godusopp2752
    @godusopp2752 Год назад +2

    A good pick for pre season breakout hitters is johan rojas, It will be impossible to miss because he has platinum glove potential if he plays enough games and will be positive in war no matter what he does at the plate because of his defense, so its gonna be impossible to miss on him

  • @tomkelley4119
    @tomkelley4119 Год назад +2

    I love that Bailey is putting so much effort into his main channel.

  • @queenautumnween2796
    @queenautumnween2796 Год назад

    I think as an edit to the Brandon pfaddt grade, with how well he pitched in the playoffs so far, it could be seen as a neutral or thumb up because he's performing great when they need him the most

  • @XenonSwift
    @XenonSwift Год назад

    Coming back to this video after the Postseason, Pfaadt turned it around, looking really dominant. I'd move him up from -1 to Neutral or +1. He was really good down the stretch during their October run.

  • @clevelandgrrr
    @clevelandgrrr Год назад +39

    I really love Bailey's stuff but I think he wasn't hard enough on his downs and too positive on his ups on this year.

    • @nickscardigno6006
      @nickscardigno6006 Год назад +3

      100% agree, realistically should've been like -2 or -3 overall

    • @jordanfry5138
      @jordanfry5138 Год назад +1

      Yeah, Heany was a -1 for me and both Tork and Santander should've been one lower. I think he's done that for at least one player each year, but this was the most notable.

    • @acebulf
      @acebulf Год назад +1

      But at the same time, Rowdy got a two thumbs down despite playing with a broken finger for half the year. As a Brewers fan that feels disappointed by out BigBoi's hitting, I'd only have given a 1 thumbs down.
      Also 0.00 ERA 9K/27 ELITE PITCHING.

    • @JuanCarruyo
      @JuanCarruyo Год назад

      Lol yeah he totally cooked the numbers for this year

  • @monkeeee
    @monkeeee Год назад +2

    Brandon Pfaadt is Lance Lynn’s father

  • @timw4041
    @timw4041 Год назад

    Ruiz is a swing adjustment away from a 120 ops+ . I feel like I watched him barrel so many lineouts the warning track this year. I think he is a guy that would benefit from trying to increase his launch angles. He also doesn’t really swing and miss with a 10.9% k rate

  • @romulus5039
    @romulus5039 Год назад +9

    As a Diamondbacks fan I am very grateful that the Dodgers acquired Lance Lynn. No reason why

  • @eshep71
    @eshep71 Год назад +1

    I was hard for a Biggio rebound. I would call that a semi-success.
    He had a terrible start and his power never reached my expectations, but at least he reversed his standing among Jays fans.
    I also predicted that Kikuchi would be closer to Manoah in ERA than Monoah would be to the league leader. I got that right, but not at all how I envisioned.

  • @CSDonohue11
    @CSDonohue11 Год назад +1

    We need a dope Foolish Baseball breakdown

  • @GaryMFNoak
    @GaryMFNoak Год назад +2

    Two thumbs up for Tork? Nah, a 105 OPS+ still isn't great.

    • @Itsokay1990
      @Itsokay1990 Год назад

      Not to mention he’s a first overall pick. +2 should be a Corbin Burns like season, not meeting expectations.

  • @mosslelko3700
    @mosslelko3700 Год назад +1

    Rowdy struggled with a persistent injury all season, he'll do better next season.

  • @YankeesWarRoom
    @YankeesWarRoom Год назад +1

    Cole Ragans 2024, calling it right now, he's one of your players.

  • @joshuapatrick682
    @joshuapatrick682 Год назад +2

    Am i the only one who remembers when he ran the season sim on OOTP24 and the rangers made the LCS and mets were a sub 500 club? Spooky…

  • @swrv808
    @swrv808 Год назад +2

    tork and tarik are going to terrorize the league next year

  • @WESsential
    @WESsential Год назад +1

    How about Pfaadt's start last night?

  • @CatchCraftInc
    @CatchCraftInc Год назад +1

    I didn’t believe you about urias and took him with a top fantasy pick. I will believe you from now on bailey

  • @davidwindell
    @davidwindell Год назад +3

    Gimenez stiłl had 5.5 bWAR with 15 HR, 30SB, and platinum glove łevel defense. Did his BA fałl and his OBP ho down? Sure, but both were stiłł very acceptabłe.

  • @phanatic599
    @phanatic599 Год назад +1

    I’d throw Keibert back on the 2024 list to farm some thumbs up next year

  • @gageduffin1276
    @gageduffin1276 Год назад +1

    Here after game 3 of the NLDS, Brandon Pfaadt pitched a gem and Lynn blew the game lmao

  • @baileysmith4744
    @baileysmith4744 Год назад +3

    Gimenez should have been a neutral grade

  • @Oracio13
    @Oracio13 Год назад +5

    There is no way Torkelson is a +2. A 110 ops+ from a first baseman just isn’t good enough.

  • @brother-calm
    @brother-calm Год назад +1

    monitor on da ground

  • @MrRedsox113
    @MrRedsox113 Год назад

    Think you could've taken a neutral grade on Jensen, outside of that heater early in the season he was really shaky, add in the injuries and he was below expectations.

  • @markh.9822
    @markh.9822 Год назад

    Bailey thank you for uploading this video, even if you only did so to take your mind off the Braves postseason

  • @michaelnewton5873
    @michaelnewton5873 Год назад

    Rowdy did throw a inning of scoreless relief. So that was good

  • @francescosmith7859
    @francescosmith7859 Год назад

    Good video. I think you're being a little tough on yourself with Kenley and you deserve a neutral grade for that one. He missed time (due to being old), had higher era and fip (even if they weren't giant increases), decreased strikeout rate and higher WHIP. He wasn't terrible but I think he did fall off and think you deserve more credit here. Again, maybe not a thumbs up but more a neutral grade.

  • @mead5185
    @mead5185 Год назад +1

    i would accept a one thumbs up for torkelson but two seems too high

  • @vjmendozajr
    @vjmendozajr Год назад

    gotta boost that pfaadt pick now he has been a playoff ace

  • @EthanRKassel
    @EthanRKassel Год назад

    Bryan De La Cruz was one of the most frustrating fantasy players I’ve ever had. He’d go 1/16 over a four-day stretch, then I’d sit him and he’d go 3/4 with a homer.

  • @hutsonizer7548
    @hutsonizer7548 Год назад

    Love love love the Tork Reform joke.

  • @CadChamberlain
    @CadChamberlain Год назад

    Gonna be absolutely chills when Bailey's players he likes includes Nolan Gorman and Justin Lawrence

  • @sethwoodhouse4797
    @sethwoodhouse4797 Год назад +1

    Today's Dodgers -Dbacks game is a pitching matchup of Bailey disappointments

  • @Babs4298
    @Babs4298 Год назад +36

    Two thumbs up for Torkelson is generous lol

    • @Weaponator18
      @Weaponator18 Год назад +6

      Yeah thats my only quibble with this. Torkelson is solid don't get me wrong. But he didn't have a "I definitely proved my haters wrong" type season.
      Still enjoyed the video though!

    • @ninjabanana0885
      @ninjabanana0885 Год назад +3

      It may have been a little much, but if you go back and watch his prediction I’m pretty sure his main thing with Tork was “he will hit way more home runs”, which he got 100% correct, so that could be why he gave the two thumbs up

    • @Scheboygan8767
      @Scheboygan8767 Год назад

      31 homers isn’t good now ? Especially in comerica

  • @supermarine2493
    @supermarine2493 Год назад +1

    I’d say Urias is a solid breakout pick for next season (from prison)

  • @paraminderdhanota9810
    @paraminderdhanota9810 3 месяца назад

    It’s 2024 and I can confidently say, this was Anthony Santander’s TRUE breakout season

  • @bensutin
    @bensutin Год назад

    Bailey, total sidebar, but isn't it crazy Juan Soto wasn't an allstar in 2019??!!

  • @thehopper9645
    @thehopper9645 Год назад

    Two players I was surprised to see do so well this year: Dane Dunning and Adolis Garcia

  • @malloyy6828
    @malloyy6828 Год назад +2

    Just started laughing when I saw Urias pop up

  • @myplane150
    @myplane150 Год назад

    I agree that Lance Lynn was two thumbs down with the Chi Sox but with the Dodgers, he has been a decent enough pitcher. Maybe a one thumbs down or even a neutral? Tonights game will say a lot...

  • @bryantsteury8910
    @bryantsteury8910 Год назад

    Crazy I remember pooping and watching the original prediction video. How far we’ve come

  • @baileysmith4744
    @baileysmith4744 Год назад

    never been happier to have Kyle Bradish in my top 5 pitchers i like, as well as Grayson Rodriguez. i also had Kremer, Irvin, and Sears, but we can move on from that

  • @xAOAxCryptic
    @xAOAxCryptic Год назад

    What do you mean the dodgers got Lynn to add a “veteran presence” to their rotation? They have Kershaw!

  • @TomDeFrank
    @TomDeFrank Год назад

    @FoolishBailey just curious does dodgers/Dbacks knock down ur Lynn score at all? :)

  • @terasoargaming613
    @terasoargaming613 Год назад

    Patrick Bailey is going to be in the gold glove and mvp talks for the NL next year.

  • @cavewomanbrain
    @cavewomanbrain Год назад +1

    watching this right after pfaadt shut out the dodgers for 4.1 innings and lance lynn got destroyed by the long ball is. well. i hate the dodgers so it's very satisfying!

  • @MrCubFan415
    @MrCubFan415 Год назад

    As a Cubs fan, I like Alzolay too :)

  • @DoubleKillFilms
    @DoubleKillFilms Год назад

    Foolish Bailey = day made. Now we just need a Braves win this evening

  • @GarandGunner
    @GarandGunner Год назад

    After his playoff performances, I think the Dbacks would give two thumbs up for Pfaadt

  • @Jackpot.Jimmy.
    @Jackpot.Jimmy. Год назад

    Wake up babe, a fresh foolish bailey video dropped

  • @Spiffffff
    @Spiffffff Год назад

    Rowdy Tellez turned into prime Barry Bonds whenever he faced the Red Sox.

  • @tohuvavohu
    @tohuvavohu Год назад

    Flowy cut Bailey!!!! We love you!!!!

  • @alexw0310
    @alexw0310 Год назад

    I can already tell that the Foolish 50 review is gonna be a bit of a trainwreck, but it's not like I would've done any better

  • @macthedude9457
    @macthedude9457 Год назад

    here after Pfaddt diced up the Phillies in NLCS game 7

  • @wyattmund9286
    @wyattmund9286 Год назад

    Let’s go Tork!

  • @thatnbaguy8940
    @thatnbaguy8940 Год назад

    when is top 50 react dropping?

  • @AidenBF56
    @AidenBF56 Год назад +2

    a little too generous this year

  • @challahguy2418
    @challahguy2418 Год назад

    Logan Gilbert was good and got a 10 or 11 strikeout game (won me a fantasy game)

  • @CadChamberlain
    @CadChamberlain Год назад

    VERY common Adbert Alzolay success

  • @eddieplaut2349
    @eddieplaut2349 Год назад

    tork reform is so good

  • @LikeZoinks774
    @LikeZoinks774 Год назад

    Dying over "tork reform" 😂

  • @CalebYoung38
    @CalebYoung38 Год назад

    Pfaadt will be legit next year, after he helps us to the ws.

  • @saulgoodman8501
    @saulgoodman8501 Год назад

    Disagree with the heaney take. He was put into the bullpen because their just wasn't a place for him in the rotation not because of performance issues. Look at his 2nd half stats for reference

  • @tiger5869
    @tiger5869 Год назад

    1:57 you might've spoken too soon

  • @JaredGoofball
    @JaredGoofball 8 месяцев назад

    Tork is off to another frozen start. Hopefully he finishes with 37 homers somehow

  • @matt5cr855
    @matt5cr855 Год назад +3

    predicting busts is so easy

    • @jamessudlow
      @jamessudlow Год назад

      If they're busts then the prediction has inherent risk.

  • @kaplezedrummer24ify
    @kaplezedrummer24ify Год назад

    Gimenez with a 5.8 bWar but only a 3.6 fwar makes me very confused

  • @NYSports_MRj
    @NYSports_MRj Год назад

    Do the Yankees analytics quiz

  • @ryangeorge2405
    @ryangeorge2405 Год назад +2

    Is a 105 OPS+ "breaking out"?

  • @booce6969
    @booce6969 Год назад

    Bailey wins player hater of the year award

  • @bcbryan968
    @bcbryan968 Год назад +4

    The only grade I'd really disagree on is Tork. Fans should definitely be excited about his batting profile for the future, not denying that, but his on field performance this year specifically is a bit overrated. The 30 homers look nice but the rest is a little questionable to me. Just my opinion though!

  • @JacobWilson-i4y
    @JacobWilson-i4y Год назад

    i knew he was going to be wrong about gilbert but im also a delusional m's fan