Corbin Carroll Is the Best Baserunner You’ve Ever Seen | Baseball Bits
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- Опубликовано: 27 окт 2023
- PATREON: / foolishbaseball
TWEETER: / foolishbb
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Corbin Carroll is fast. I've been fascinated watching 2023 Corbin Carroll speed around the basepaths. He's not just the best baserunner in baseball, he's possibly the best baserunner in MLB history. That's a bold claim to make, but according to FanGraphs baserunning, he did have a historically great rookie year, one that compares favorable to the greats like Rickey Henderson, Maury Wills, and Vince Coleman. The Arizona Diamondbacks rookie outfielder certainly put together some eye popping Corbin Carroll highlights.
There's a lot to dig into here. At surface level, you might look at Corbin Carroll stolen bases or Corbin Carroll Statcast sprint speed. Both have factored into the 2023 Diamondbacks World Series run. But I'm also interested in efficiency vs players like Ronald Acuña Jr. who was the founding member of the Ronald Acuña 40/70 club. I'll also analyze his baserunning decisions, particularly in taking the extra base by going first to third or a single or scoring from first on a double.
As you watch the Arizona Diamondbacks playoff run, I hope you'll pay extra close attention to what Corbin Carroll can do on the basepaths. Is he the fastest player in MLB? Maybe. There is stiff competition for that title, but he is almost certainly the MLB best baserunner. I hope you'll enjoy this episode of the Baseball Bits, a Foolish Baseball production. Also, it's not just the bigger bases.
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All Time BsR Leaderboard: www.fangraphs.com/leaders/maj...
Soundtrack from Maxo:
/ maxoelectronic
maxoisnuts.bandcamp.com/
On the road right now but I will be responding to your comments later. Thanks for supporting what I do throughout the season.
Love your work, Bailey!
no, thank you bailey 🐐
3:47
If you slow down every clip by 5%, it would actually need to be sped up by approx. 5.263% to return to the original speed. He is faster than 5% faster of what we were seeing.
thank you for providing great content throughout the season 🫡
🙏prayers for safe travel
I played against Corbin when he was a sophomore and I was a senior in high school. Do you know how demoralizing it is to go to a private school with good athletes on the team, only to watch some cracked out pubescent speed demon rip your heart out of your chest? Very. The answer is very
Anyway, shout out the lakeside school for killing my dreams and making me realize being 6’2 doesn’t mean shit if you can’t run
@@Grizzbitsauced by the 5’10” speedster
I love seeing stories from people who played against future major leaguers in high school or college, always great entertainment.
Must be so cool watching him play at such a high level in the World Series after playing him in high school
All of the super good kids I grew up with are drug addicts or fuck ups, including myself. Used to have a guy named joe Kelly that could hit 500 foot bombs off a tee no word of a lie, he could’ve easily went pro but in high school he lost his d1 scholarship due to using hard drugs like Molly coke Xanax. Then his father died of cancer a few years later which his father had been my assistant coach a couple times thru my life. His mom was even my teacher multiple times growing up as she kept moving up grades to stay with her son that I was the same age of. Nice lady
The greatest thing about Corbin Carroll is how fun it is to watch him run. Watching most speedsters is fun because of how effortlessly they fly around the diamond. But Corbin Carroll runs like it’s the end of the world, as if he’s going to die if he doesn’t make it to home plate.
tbf that sounds like a great way to bust your knees eventually
@@ETYPEJaguar38let’s hope not
Jarren Duran of the Red Sox runs the same way. Our announcer once said he runs like he's angry at the ground.
He runs angry and I love it.
@ETYPEJaguar38 Maybe. Let's just watch the fireworks while they're here though.
This man is gonna feed my entire family with all the stolen base tacos he's gonna give us.
Lmao
This is gold
What's the deal with the free tacos? What do I need to say to redeem? Gimme my world series stolen base tacos? Do I need to buy anything else to get them?
@@garethwillmott4234don’t get Taco Bell. It’s garbage food
@@garethwillmott4234gotta use the app then I think it'll show up
"I can't possibly have more!" I cry out in agony, unable to stand after my 14th taco. A crumb of Dorito shell falls on my stained shirt. Corbin Carroll yet again takes off for second base
Corbin Carroll was fast enough to steal my heart
That's a nice Valentine's Day card idea
“If I wanted to see the British steal things I’d go to their museum” brooo that’s wicked 😂😂😂💀💀💀
Without British and European fascination with antiquities, nobody would be seeing those things.
@@cltmck or, and follow me on this one, we can see that stuff in their own countries' museums
They gotta give back the Elgin Marbles at least
@@FoolishBaseball fr
@@FoolishBaseball They wire brushed the elgin marbles and damaged them irreparably
I switched the playback speed to 1.5 then popped an eddible to witness Corbin Carrolls speed in real time
God, even after having to see Carroll tear my soul out in game 7 of the NLCS, I came back for the world series just to watch him and Ketel Marte.
He had a pretty quiet series then absolutely took over Game 7.
Since he was mentioned in this video, I'd love a deep dive on Ke'Bryan Hayes' defensive metrics and a quantitative view on how robbed he's been of gold and platinum gloves solely because he plays the same position as Arenado and his legacy awards.
Just wanted to say SAME and hope Bailey sees your comment and can make it happen lol
saying a "legacy award" for last season is a little dishonest. Yes, according to quite a few metrics he was SLIGHTLY better than Arenado. Yes, in a vacuum he would have probably won it. However, everyone grants there are limits to defensive metrics. "legacy award" implies that is was extremely out of place for him to actually win it. When, in reality, they both had amazing defensive seasons. I'm glad Ke'Bryan is winning it this year though.
@@vertildr3305i agree with that. Hayes definitely deserved it but Nolan for sure had a GG caliber season. It is definitely not as egregious as other GG winners
That would be an AMAZING video!
@@vertildr3305 You say that, but watch them give it to Austin Riley because his OPS+ was 128 compared to Hayes' measly 105 /s
I'm a Pirates fan; we're used to it -_-
Another note about Hugh Nicol's steals record: The 1887 MLB season was the only one in MLB history where a strikeout was 4 strikes, leading to a 31 point jump in league OBP.
People don't realize that league-wide offense was crazy some years before the Deadball era. Deadball era doesn't really begin until ~1900
Yeah but in 1887 the defending team could legally to field a cow as an obstacle on the basepaths, so it evens out.
Bullpuckey of the highest order!
I’m a braves fan and the diamondbacks came to town in June so I got to see Corbin’s speed in person, it was probably the craziest game I’ve seen in person the final score was 16-14 or something like that and watching him run from first to third in what seemed like 5 seconds was so crazy, the diamondbacks should be here to stay if they can keep there young core together
Our issue is that our cheap ass owner. And pitching. We struggle to develop it.
That games was nuts. Both bullpens completely melted down multiple times.
it was 16-13
@@FoolishBaseball the experience in the stadium was even crazier. First inning d backs put up a three spot and we’re all worried, then the braves come back in the bottom of the first and score 5 and we’re thinking okay it’ll be fine just a early rally now the braves can take control. But Arizona Just. Kept. Mashing. And the play you used in the video is from that game and watching corbin run around those bases the whole game was a sight to see, never seen anyone that fast on the base path in real life ever and I might not ever see one faster ever lol
@@JenZ1309 yeah from that game on I knew the dbacks had something with that team I was telling all my friends that were saying they’d love to play them I was like no you do not those bats are explosive
Making the bases larger was a great decision by the MLB. While 3 true outcomes is an analytically efficient strategy to finding great players and building a team, base stealing needs to become a common part of the game again, especially since it is so effective for scoring runs
And it's not just the base sizes either. Players such as Corbin Carroll, Bobby Witt, and Elly De La Cruz are young players who have a great combination of hitting and speed, and they will be stealing a lot of bases for years to come. And that's not even including Acuña, who has already established himself as one of baseball's top superstars, and the countless other young players you see at the top of the speed leaderboards
The big bases are cool, but I also think the pickoff move limits and pitch clock have affected stolen base rates more than people think.
i think it would increase defense in a way as well.
Always a great day when a new foolish baseball video comes out during the World Series
Although it’s always a worse day when said WS does not include my Phils.
Happens maybe once a year!
Definitely foolish when you think Carrol is better than Rickey Henderson
@@anklebender5138 as much as I love Rickey, that’s not what they said, just that Carroll is likely the most efficient and effective base stealer that we can accurately quantify, not the overall best ever.
This was a great video to watch after he beat the throw home in WS game 1. Watching it live I couldn’t believe the margin he was safe by.
A better throw probably would've gotten him, but speed like Carroll's causes mistakes because fielders know they have to rush.
Rickey Henderson slander should get you put you on trial for war crimes
Rickey Henderson is not going to put up with people criticizing Rickey Henderson.
Foolish probably already is on trial for war crimes so I think he is fine
Or WAR crimes!
@@neugey leave now please
@@neugeylol nice
Someone really likes speedy D-Backs outfielders... 😏
Baseball RUclipsrs have been popping up like never before lately, but you sir still reign supreme in the creating the most interesting and enjoyable bits of baseball history👏🏼👏🏼👏🏼
Very incredible for a rookie to be performing this efficiently. There's some serious coaching going on in Phoenix.
He really didn't even play much minor league baseball because of injuries and 2020. I think a lot of his baserunning is instinct.
i know its not the focus of the video but knowing that every clip you show is slowed down ever so slightly hurts my brain because i totally didnt notice it
Did Foolish make this video in preparation for the WS? This is awesome
I've been working on it for a few weeks so got lucky in the end.
Seeing the cartoony D-Backs logo and talking about speedy OFs is giving me Foolish nostalgia for your Tim Locastro profile, which was my introduction to your channel. Full circle
One thing I love about Corbin is his pure hustle. He will run like hell on every ground ball and squeeze out a few infield hits. Nothing makes me angrier when players lazily jog down the line on a “routine” play. He is a star in the making
MLB: we gonna make the bases bigger
Corbin carol: 😈😈
What a day, 80 degrees in NJ end of October, just got a round of golf in and I come home to a fresh Baseball Bits. Life doesn’t get better than this.
Thank you for the kind words!
That smile he has when he runs is once in a generation
That's not a smile, It's the strain of lugging that bulbous head around the bases.
Especially when he turns on the jets rounding a base.
Ok sure, but, Ty Frances 100% SB percentage this year trounces Carrol!
ty france is a menace indeed
Same with Christian Walker's 100% SB percentage!
@@hawaiianwater1913Ty Francis Demon Speed King
Facts
AHHHhhhh Ty France has always been celebrated for his excellence
13:35 man put a heatcheque jumpscare
This video was even more interesting than I thought it would be. Thanks for the breakdown of the more advanced baserunning stats.
You're welcome. I had been wanting to do something with baserunning for a while now, and Corbin Carroll seemed like the perfect candidate.
The Heatcheque jumpscare at 13:34 shook me to my core
I watched Game 1 from the upper deck last night. As soon as he hit that ball past Taveras, I glanced back at the infield and Carroll was already rounding second base. It was like a time warp, didn't seem possible.
Or maybe I watch too many FB videos that are slowed down 5%.
gotta go fast
Corbin Carroll is my newest favorite player, he's got it.
He's fun to watch!
I am Hugh Nicol's number one fan. He was the pride East Dunbartonshire
I didnt think I'd be psyched for this WS since I don't follow either of these teams, but wow am I into it now, seeing some of the truly exciting players and how great game 1 was. And now there's a relevant Baseball Bits out. In the words of Stuart Scott, booyah!
RIP Stu the GOAT
15:15 That José Ramirez picture is so frickin good, please use that every time
The level of detail on this is absolutely extraordinary dude. Literally standing ovation on this video man. Loved watching this.
Jarren Duran was so good at legging out singles into doubles
Fr can’t wait for 2024
@@epicwolves125 such a good lead off hitter, he really turned it around from last year
If I had a nickel for every time Foolish made a video about a Diamondback with amazing baserunning I'd have two nickels. Which isn't a lot but it's weird it happened twice.
Corbin Carroll is just a poor man's Tim Locastro
that was my first Foolish video! Still love Tim.
lmaooo i started reading the comments before I got far enough to see Locastro cameo with his sprint speed
@@FoolishBaseballthe reason I became a diamondbacks fan during 2021. The Tim locastro video. Also the cubs Indians game seven and dbacks Yankees game seven comparison. So fun.
“If i want to see the British steal things I will go to their museum”
Sweet burn 😂
Needed this video at this very moment, impeccable timing Foolish Baseball 👌🏽
You deserve more subscribers (seriously how are you not at LEAST at 500k?), these videos are incredibly well done, keep it up
Thank you! Admittedly, this year has been a little discouraging in that department, but I'm gonna keep doing my thing for now.
THANK YOU FOR CONSTANT GREAT CONTENT BAILEY , WE LOVE YOU
Bailey, I always love your content. Keep up the excellent work!
Thank you very much!
Your comparison of the bases sizes had me laughing like crazy 😂, how funny 🤣 !!!
It's all fun and games until a big base lands on your house.
No Carroll in HR is a devilishly good Always Sunny reference, loved the video!
This was such an ace video. Thank you Foolish!
1st to home on a single: Pre-pitch, the D-backs had a 0.24 run expectancy for the inning. If Carrol had taken 2nd on the single up the middle, it would have been 0.47, but instead, with no errors, he scored, making the run expectancy for the inning more or less be 1.24, or a 0.77 run expectancy increase over the "expected" baserunning result, which is more helpful than if, with two outs and no one on base, a team got three walks in a row.
Home to third on his own strikeout: Pre-pitch, the D-backs had a 0..7 run expectancy for the inning. If Carrol had just stood at home or went back to the dugout or sort of half-heartedly jogged to 1st when he struck out, it would have been 0.34, but instead, due to his baserunning, he got to third and the runner scored, making the run expectancy for the inning more or less be 1.95, or a 1.61 run expectancy increase over the "expected" baserunning result, which is more helpful than if, with two outs and no one on base, a team got one out taken off of the board to make there be only one out, and THEN got three walks in a row.
That's not to say that it was all becaue of him, but still, it's pretty dang good.
Thank you for this video it kicks ass!
BAILEY WHY THE HECK DID YOU DO THAT TO US AT 13:33. I CANT BELIEVE YOU OMG
Hi
This made my week. Thank you foolish baseball
Great video Bailey
Caroll is underrated and I see him become an Icon in MLB
I definitely think he'll be one of the bigger stars, especially if Arizona can consistently be a playoff team.
Really well researched video. The point made at 11:43 is elite advanced analytical analysis you can’t get anywhere else.
Another difficult to quantity base running component is when a player purposely gets into a pickle between first and second with a runner on third late in a close game to try to bait a throw and stay untagged long enough so that the runner on third can score then (likely) getting tagged out afterwards.
Love your videos. Keep up the quality weird facts
Honestly can’t wait for the off-season content, as it will be some of the only great baseball stuff to watch anywhere for a long time.
Keep up the great work, Bailey, you’re crushing it.
12:18 God I wish Mike Trout would somehow start running again
Running and sliding takes a lot out of your back. It's a shame but I don't think he ever will steal more than a few bags a year in specific situations again because of the back issues.
@@aiz1941 Yeah the injuries have pretty much killed off that possibility, I just miss 2012-2018 era Trout. He was the most well rounded position player I've ever seen.
Great work!
Thanks for the video! Liked at "swiped sacks", lol
Love watching Carroll and the snakes play they’re such a fun watch
Stats are are good as ever and your comedy is improving 👌🏼
nice vid! keep it up
Those red jerseys are some of the nicest I’ve ever seen.
I did not expect to laugh out loud when I clicked on this video, but the little comedy bits are top tier
That's Mr 99 base running to us! Fly Carroll fly!
Loved watching him take home in the WS game 1
didnt really watch any dbacks games but i knew carroll has been popping off this year. watching him run is one of the most fun things this season
I literally spent almost a whole day on bbref looking up stolen base records. For some reason 1887 was the year of the steal. Some guys had like 5, 10, 20, and then 100, and then back to 5. Weird times
This is one of your best videos
New baseball bits W
also i saw the heatcheque video foolish
Adding Bullpucky to my vocabulary. Thank you for this! Signed, a KC Royals fan!
Seen your videos before, but the British museum zinger made me subscribe.
Every foolish baseball video is a combination of two memes. 1) Me When I lie with Statistics and 2) We Are Going to Start a Dialogue. I love it
Me: "He looks pretty fast, but not crazy fast"
*all these clips are slowed down
Me: "omg, he looks fast in slow motion"
You know it’ll be a good day when Foolish Baseball uploads
Thank you!
man that gunnar henderson play never gets old
This is kinda based on your “Let’s Watch Rickey Henderson Play Baseball” video but it would be cool to develop a stat that tracks the psychological impact of a player’s baserunning. It was clear in the 1989 ALCS footage that pitchers were distracted by Rickey. Over a season, that had to have some impact on his team’s hitting when he was on base. I think it’s a challenge to measure though because you’d have to compare not only to how those hitters performed with no one on but also how they performed with other baserunners on in any given situation. There would probably be sample size problems unfortunately :(
The most significant change to base running this year is that yadi retired.
He was a problem for almost two decades
"On the road again,
Oh, I can't wait to get on the road again..."
13:34 GET OUT OF MY HEADDDDDD
Would you consider doing a baseball bits video on the statistical anomaly that is Kyle Schwarber? You kind of did a mini video on harper playing 3 and how it made schwarber’s numbers better because of it, but a full baseball bits video on THEE 3 true outcomes hitter would be pretty interesting to see what the general managers, and POBO of the league are now looking for
I think there's enough "Hey this a weird Three True Outcome guy!" content out there on baseball internet. His defense is more interesting.
@@FoolishBaseball not a video suggestion but an interesting conundrum is what in god's name happened to kyle freeland? elite, then god awful, then above average, and now league average innings guy not a lot of guys follow that track and since the rockies are kinda there it hasn't been covered a ton
Just saw on my newsfeed that Corbin Carroll is the first person with Taiwanese ancestry to play in the world series, and you did a video on him.
Yea his mom was born there. He was asked to play for team Taiwan last wbc but declined due to being a rookie. He could play for team USA or Taiwan next wbc. We’ll see which one
At the 10:00 mark when talking about extra base taken rates, I do think guys that played in the 80's / early 90's were at a significant disadvantage in taking extra bases because of how many games they played on Astroturf.
It's Corbin Time!!
I never watch baseball games anymore. But boy do I watch these videos!
I love when Bailey uploads to his second channel since he puts so much production effort in these vids
Really weird that I put so much effort into my second channel
"His legs were just as valuable as Jose Ramirez' bat..." But not as valuable as Jose Ramirez' left hook.
Wow, I had no idea that the wBP( weighted bull pucky) stat was so important to look at when evaluating base running through the years.
I love your content
Hear me out. I think the Diamondbacks beating the Phillies in the NLCS will have big ramifications going forward. The Phillies embody the modern analytical three true outcomes approach while the DBacks were more of a throwback small ball and fundamentals team. In the final two games of the series, the Phillies’ bats went cold as a lot of “home runs or nothing” squads tend to go in the playoffs while the DBacks managed to make solid contact and spread the ball around the field and kept the line moving while sacrificing outs and getting timely steals. Game 7 was a microcosm of how one style of hitting has its limits in the playoffs while the other will always be timeless. I can see that series being very important in terms of how GMs put teams together going forward.
this comment honestly makes absolutely no sense. small-ball squads can go cold too; in fact, the only team to get shut out in the NLCS was the D-backs, and they also scored 1 and 2 runs in other games.
you can't just cherry-pick specific games to show how TTO-based teams fail and then completely ignore when the other team did the same thing but arguably even worse
@@n8_nI just watched the Phillies try to hit a home run on every single pitch they swung at and they only scored 3 runs in the final two games of the series while leaving an entire parade on the bases. At the same time I watched the DBacks get timely singles and hit the ball where it was pitched to manufacture runs in an efficient manner. That definitely means something.
@@philly_sports1558 what makes small ball "efficient", and why does that matter? you keep using that word, and it just seems like it means "scored runs with small ball instead of HRs" which, again, isn't better or worse. scoring more runs is pretty much better no matter how it's done.
also, you are conflating the Phillies executing TTO baseball badly (pressing too much instead of being patient and waiting for their pitch) with a flaw in the overall strategy. the Phillies just played badly, that's a Phillies issue and not a TTO issue.
(I'm not by any means trying to argue that TTO is king or anything, I'm just opposed to the idea that it's meaningfully more prone to cold streaks than an overall worse offense with a different style)
@@n8_nI’m just saying it’s way easier to go cold in a playoff series with a TTO approach than a more balanced and situational hitting approach. As a fan of the team, I should know. It happened after Game 3 of last year’s World Series when they hit 5 home runs and it happened after Game 2 of the NLCS when they scored 10 runs. It’s very easy to fall in love with the long ball but it’s very easy to get cold out of nowhere with that approach to hitting.
@@philly_sports1558 again, though, not really true. you could make the exact same argument for small ball; what happens if you're going against a good catcher and can't steal, or you can't string together 2-3 hits in an inning? both of those things can very quickly fall apart in a playoff environment too (and did multiple times for the D-backs)
the overarching lesson here is that sometimes teams slump regardless of their playing style
lol the yadi molina line hit hard. I am gonna miss watching him play
Crazy how much value drafting a young superstar that can be MVP quality by year 2 can bring to a club. If he finishes top 3 in the MVP in 2024 and 2025 he will bring the Dbacks THREE first round compensation picks. That is the difference between your farm system ranking top 20 and top 5
Yes new baseball bits
Foolish Baseball is the best channel, and it only gets better.
I wish you uploaded more I love your videos
"bc I'm cooked" LMAO FB, you never miss
I was hoping to see the simulated race between Carrol and Locastro in this video 😢
HeatCheque reference at 13:34
hi
Hi
Iirc, an interrobang is when "!" and "?" are combined into a single character.
15:45 The semi-sarcastic tone is more amusing when it actually was a shocking development.
no one mentions this but the inclusion of wGDP in WAR creates a bias towards strikeout heavy hitters. It has been stated that the value lost from strikeouts is generally made up by the decrease in double plays, but if you already credited these hitters for avoiding the DPs, then you're overvaluing guys who strikeout a lot. It is very minor, but another fun little potential improvement in the calculations.
Lets freaking go new baseball bits
Came home from football to this fire🔥🔥🔥