Grading My Preseason Breakout Picks!

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  • Опубликовано: 6 янв 2025

Комментарии • 225

  • @nsciulli
    @nsciulli 3 года назад +1747

    some of these players may have broken out, but none broke out quite like bailey’s forehead

  • @minsub417
    @minsub417 3 года назад +673

    I appreciate the in-depth analysis of how well you did with your Austin Riley pick. Very analytic and thought-provoking.

    • @zaumen32
      @zaumen32 3 года назад +4

      I agree, especially since I’m the 69th like

    • @buboy1685
      @buboy1685 3 года назад +1

      @@zaumen32 Nice

    • @nathanharrell7485
      @nathanharrell7485 3 года назад +15

      I'm a braves fan and it was the main reason i clicked on the vid. I'm not upset tho

    • @staciemohler4624
      @staciemohler4624 3 года назад +2

      12:31

    • @baileys5673
      @baileys5673 2 года назад

      @@nathanharrell7485 I’m a dodgers fan and I knew all along he’d be a superstar. From watching him in the minors with Acuña

  • @DPK365
    @DPK365 3 года назад +301

    I will allow a +3 for Riley....get a third arm.

  • @alexluckhaupt2548
    @alexluckhaupt2548 3 года назад +300

    Crazy Tyler Mahle stat. He had a 2.30 ERA in 101.2 IP on the road and a 5.63 ERA in 78.1 IP at home

    • @jacobsmith2566
      @jacobsmith2566 3 года назад +16

      Like a Julio Tehran split

    • @greatloverofmusic1
      @greatloverofmusic1 3 года назад +15

      Pitching in the Great American Small Park can't be fun. Put him in Oakland or KC different story.

    • @plootoisaplanet
      @plootoisaplanet 3 года назад

      WOW.

    • @MiegeStags15
      @MiegeStags15 3 года назад

      he killed me this year in fantasy

    • @MilesDaley
      @MilesDaley 3 года назад +5

      I really want the reds to trade him. He’s compete for a Cy young if he didn’t have to pitch half his games at Great American Ballpark

  • @jeremymccommons7741
    @jeremymccommons7741 3 года назад +204

    Castellanos did have a lot of drives to deep left field this year, I think that's obviously a great season.

    • @grantreill1966
      @grantreill1966 3 года назад +18

      I don't know if Bailey will be putting on such great predictions again. I don't know if they'll be better. I don't know if they'll be worse.

    • @gabingston3430
      @gabingston3430 3 года назад +4

      One of the f** capitals of the world
      - Thom Brennaman, 2020

  • @jschott5585
    @jschott5585 3 года назад +39

    These were some solid predictions bailey I'm really impressed with you scouting ability in figruing out which players will breakout as theres a drive into deep left field by castellanos, it will be a home run. And so that'll make it a 4 - nothing ball game. I don't know if I'll be putting on this headset again

  • @noahwiley5563
    @noahwiley5563 3 года назад +50

    As a Braves fan I’ve thought about your Austin Riley prediction everyday since lol good take my man!

  • @Krossiant
    @Krossiant 3 года назад +196

    Stassi started to decline as Ohtani started to struggle without Trout-Rendon late. I'd expect his performance to pick up when he isn't being hit cleanup

    • @serratofficial
      @serratofficial 3 года назад +7

      Stassi is very underrated
      Mathis + Napoli = Stassi

    • @cduncan6182
      @cduncan6182 3 года назад +5

      Injuries and needlessly giving Suzuki time behind the dish also hurt him some. He has the least games played out of any catcher on that top 10 by fWAR. He had more WAR than JT Realmuto on a per game basis, even.

    • @Krossiant
      @Krossiant 3 года назад +2

      @@cduncan6182 Yes a lot of early injuries limited his playing time. When the Angels were well out of the race they decided to give the two an equal amount of starts sadly.
      On another note, 40% of Stassi's strikeouts were looking this season, an astronomical gain from the season prior, I'd expect that to balance out next season which is a benefit to him.

    • @loadsahoney
      @loadsahoney 3 года назад

      @@Krossiant hoping kurt retires 🙏

    • @Krossiant
      @Krossiant 3 года назад +2

      @@loadsahoney He made it sound like this was his final season, regardless i don't imagine them re-signing him.. I hope to god lmfao

  • @cartierhendrix
    @cartierhendrix 3 года назад +84

    You deserve +2 for Brad Hand in my opinion, because when he arrived to the Mets I would have to stop watching, I’m sure he allowed more runs than appearances. It’s like he got worse after each new team he arrived to

    • @thecaynuck4694
      @thecaynuck4694 3 года назад +9

      As a Jays fan, I'm surprised he ended with an ERA below 4. He was terrible with us and literally cost us our playoff chance, and I heard nothing but complaining from Mets fan whenever he pitched (although Mets fans also have bashed guys who perform well like Diaz, Lugo and Loup, who have all done well for them). I expected his stats to be far worse. How he had so many saves is baffling.

    • @joshwise9091
      @joshwise9091 3 года назад +1

      If Brad Hand ever comes to Rogers Center we boo him

  • @freeparking301
    @freeparking301 3 года назад +31

    I’ve been hype for this vid since hearing about its creation during the live stream.

  • @baileys5673
    @baileys5673 2 года назад +4

    Bro Austin Riley is THAT MAN! I scouted him in A Advanced ball in Kissimmee, while
    He played with guys like Acuña, Soroka, etc.
    I knew the how absolutely talented this kid was. The power, the excellent defense at third. I was in a awe. And now he’s crushing MLB pitching

    • @baileys5673
      @baileys5673 2 года назад +1

      I am filled with so much pride over this one lol.

  • @d2s260
    @d2s260 3 года назад +25

    Zitty boy 😳

  • @thecaynuck4694
    @thecaynuck4694 3 года назад +14

    "I pride myself as a man of faith for Nick Castellanos" Smooth and slick reference there...

  • @doublethomas8415
    @doublethomas8415 3 года назад +27

    Kikuchi was so terrible down the stretch that the Mariners skipped him in the rotation with the season on the line and made deadline acquisition Tyler Anderson go on 3 days rest twice in the last week. I think you get a middle ground no thumbs grade on the Kuch IMO.

  • @VirtueSignal9000
    @VirtueSignal9000 3 года назад +10

    I appreciate Bailey reviewing his preseason predictions, too many analysts sweep their inaccurate calls under the rug 👍🏼

  • @monkeeee
    @monkeeee 3 года назад +6

    Foolish Thumb Rating (FTR) is my new favorite advanced stat

  • @trevor4658
    @trevor4658 3 года назад +37

    Love the nick castellanos joke that you dropped in there

  • @theradlad3868
    @theradlad3868 3 года назад +8

    bailey how ya feelin about those braves?

  • @carsonyou3322
    @carsonyou3322 3 года назад +12

    I think the castellanos pick deserves at least 3 thum - as there’s a drive into deep left field by castellanos and that’ll be a home run and so that’ll make it a 4-0 ballgame

  • @maxp2305
    @maxp2305 3 года назад +5

    10:49 I see what you did there...
    As Nick Castellanos hits a long drive to deep left center field

  • @beckhunter9790
    @beckhunter9790 3 года назад +4

    Hey Bailey, ever thought about adding some simple quiet music to the background of vids like these? Not saying ur voice is not very soothing but it makes the silences that much louder. Great vid!

  • @nickthole9172
    @nickthole9172 3 года назад +5

    Me: Oh boy, a new Foolish Bailey video! Perfect time to have some food while watching some quality content
    Bailey: "That is a big honking zit right there."

  • @burningphoneix
    @burningphoneix 3 года назад +2

    I signed Carlos Rodon for free before the fantasy season started. The Austin Riley segment is how I felt when he threw that no-hitter

  • @juancuelloespinosa
    @juancuelloespinosa 3 года назад +5

    00:15 and funny enough, you were one of the ones that broke out 😆

  • @bakerking5351
    @bakerking5351 3 года назад +2

    I was so happy to see Starling do well. He was always one of my favorites for the Pirates

  • @randy2152
    @randy2152 3 года назад +11

    I knew Riley would be a good player, but man his he doing amazing.

  • @official_haden
    @official_haden 3 года назад +2

    Yes sir, you already know the vibe

  • @Compucles
    @Compucles 3 года назад +8

    Actually, it's easier to pick players who will fail, since there's always the possibility they miss a good chunk of the season to injury.

    • @FoolishBailey
      @FoolishBailey  3 года назад +2

      This is true, but I wouldn't count injuries as failing. If Ryan Mountcastle tore his ACL on Opening Day, it would've been a neutral grade.

  • @chrislewis5069
    @chrislewis5069 3 года назад +1

    It's interesting because you I've watched baseball for years and grew up around the games and I'd be glad to make some picks for next year without checking any stats and compare them to your picks. It would be fun

  • @zsheincustoms
    @zsheincustoms 3 года назад +7

    Bailey! I need another top 5! I loved the 1985 second basemen! I need more!

  • @pyrel
    @pyrel 3 года назад +4

    The Starling Marte one hurts. Did you go over your picks w.r.t your newly created besbol stats to see if they accurately predicted the outcomes better/worse than you?

  • @dbro556
    @dbro556 3 года назад +4

    I love when people put their money where their mouth is. NFL draft speculations are filled with high praise and potential, but no one follows it up at the end of the year to see if their predictions come true.

  • @lucas5050505
    @lucas5050505 3 года назад +5

    Did you take out a loan to have that much cash on hand to celebrate Austin Reily?

  • @brad_mortensen
    @brad_mortensen 3 года назад +1

    Can you explain the grading system in more detail please?

  • @chrisbuneo3257
    @chrisbuneo3257 3 года назад +2

    I think Bob Steve deserves 👍🏻👍🏻. Great pick

  • @soulresuscitate
    @soulresuscitate 3 года назад +4

    I drafted Riley solely because of your write-up on him. Thanks, Bailey!

  • @3verdades832
    @3verdades832 3 года назад +2

    I heard about this guy before, I had no idea he was this good

  • @randy2152
    @randy2152 3 года назад +4

    Hopefully you'll go back and do the top 50 players for this season. I think you had a lot of good predictions on it.

  • @bmac4
    @bmac4 3 года назад +1

    Bailey over here popping off extra hard after Austin Riley walked the Braves off against the Dodgers

  • @joshduncan8040
    @joshduncan8040 3 года назад +4

    As an new fan of baseball this year I took to the angels, mostly because shohei got me into the sport but max stassi became a favourite of mine and it’s nice to see him get some recognition.

    • @Hikayuhuy
      @Hikayuhuy 3 года назад

      The Angels can be sooo good if they can get even just average pitching. I hope they can sort it out.

  • @brianbiekman8805
    @brianbiekman8805 3 года назад +4

    I pride myself as a man of faith in Nick Castellanos... I SEE WHAT YOU DID THERE 😂😂

  • @10dimes27
    @10dimes27 3 года назад +2

    Foolish Bailey do you think Marcus Semien will leave the Blue Jays?

  • @EthanRKassel
    @EthanRKassel 3 года назад +1

    In your defense on the misses, Singer’s numbers were inflated by a couple particularly awful outings and Montas didn’t look good until June. Then he was excellent.

  • @Dairy_Beef
    @Dairy_Beef 3 года назад +2

    MVP CANDIDATE AUSTIN RILEY. Chip gonna get this kid some hardware

  • @thetrashcan5558
    @thetrashcan5558 3 года назад +1

    As a Cubs fan I can’t even really think about Zach Davies’ year without almost crying

  • @alden_bless
    @alden_bless 3 года назад +2

    I love grisham too but I started to dry heave when you said that he's the next grady sizemore. too much swing and miss in grisham to be a star but he's a very good player still

  • @braves4life25
    @braves4life25 3 года назад +1

    Austin Riley carrying it over to the post season!!

  • @nomoredropshipping
    @nomoredropshipping 3 года назад +3

    Yo Bailey, if you played fantasy this year, like you discussed for Montas, Make a video about your team.

  • @ParamoreFAV3
    @ParamoreFAV3 3 года назад

    I like that the dislike doesn’t mean he dislikes them as players; it just means the projections he expected this year. I became a fan of this channel because he never suggests players are busts simply due to the sheer difficulty of the game itself.

  • @drewalexander8342
    @drewalexander8342 3 года назад

    Congrats on the Braves - GL

  • @jelopz94
    @jelopz94 3 года назад

    Great Austin Riley análisis bailey!

  • @Act1onJonny
    @Act1onJonny 3 года назад

    Is there a graphic you can post to better explain this complicated grading system? I'm not following.

  • @carsonc3314
    @carsonc3314 3 года назад +3

    The pressure of performing in the Majors might be comparable with the pressure of the pimple on Baileys forehead.

  • @michaelcunningham3595
    @michaelcunningham3595 3 года назад

    fun video. keep up the good work kid

  • @dylanguzman4763
    @dylanguzman4763 3 года назад +7

    I took Kikuchi Arozerana and Riley in fantasy thanks to you

  • @justinlokere
    @justinlokere 3 года назад +2

    Bailey, what happened to your baseball bits of the 2018 World Series?

  • @tyleramaral3311
    @tyleramaral3311 3 года назад +2

    babe wake up Foolish Bailey posted

  • @degenscoobydoo
    @degenscoobydoo 3 года назад +1

    stassi deserves 👍👍, you nailed it

  • @baileys5673
    @baileys5673 2 года назад

    Bailey! Are those t-206 photos in the back!(

  • @jasperhals8537
    @jasperhals8537 3 года назад +5

    Did anyone else realize that Grisham has a .242 for the season and his career.

  • @bretrogersweightlifting4008
    @bretrogersweightlifting4008 3 года назад +1

    LETS GO AUSTINNNNNNN

  • @Nirvanaowns54
    @Nirvanaowns54 3 года назад +1

    Love this video!!

  • @pdrohenri1
    @pdrohenri1 3 года назад

    man i just discovered ur channel.. so where do you play fantasy baseball?

  • @ramdon572
    @ramdon572 3 года назад

    Bro i fucking love you lmao you crack me up lmao good shit my mane

  • @NDTexan
    @NDTexan 3 года назад

    Riley was cash money. Even when he was slumping this year (not for long), he was still producing enough to generate WAR. And low-key he ended up being a top three defensive third baseman by DRS and UZR was comparable

  • @trex789123
    @trex789123 3 года назад

    So that middle photo frame is crooked right

  • @Thomas-eo6vs
    @Thomas-eo6vs 3 года назад +1

    Why do all the Mahle highlights need to be against the Phillies

  • @FlitzSpitz
    @FlitzSpitz 3 года назад +3

    I think Foolish has been hanging around Fuzzy too much. Saying Grady was reincarnated 😂

  • @andrewgelsinger8177
    @andrewgelsinger8177 3 года назад +4

    Mountcastle underrated yet again smh

  • @willgregory227
    @willgregory227 3 года назад

    What a great way to start a video

  • @MaximillionBlake
    @MaximillionBlake 3 года назад +1

    Kikuchi is AT BEST a neutral one for you. He was terrible in the second half while the Mariners were trying to make the playoffs and hurt them.

  • @spencerthompson8596
    @spencerthompson8596 3 года назад +3

    Great video. Couple bones to pick and a question.
    -Picking former “best pitcher in the world” David Price and giving a “no grade” is extremely generous given that he’s in the minor leagues right now.
    -your Mariners pitcher had a >6 era in the second half (which you owned up to) but you still gave a +1...sus
    -(by Braves bias my be showing here) you deserve no fewer that 316 thumbs up for that Austin Riley pick. He was hot garbage for a year and a half after his hot month when he got called up. If he can repeat this year, I might completely forget the name “Larry Jones”
    -Why are you looking at OPS+ instead of WRC+? Any particular reason you prefer the former?

    • @lewislovelord8977
      @lewislovelord8977 3 года назад

      Riley was destined to be this type of hitter. We've been watching him through the levels. He was never hot garbage, he was adjusting to the league as he did with every level and at every level it looked ugly for a second, then he'd adjust and that was it. Dude would just go ham. Scary he's still developing. Real scary for the league. Acuna, Albies, Freeman, Riley... scary deep power for years to come.

  • @samuelparadis3161
    @samuelparadis3161 3 года назад +1

    Before the season I said Tyler Oneil was about to break out

  • @陳朗-x3c
    @陳朗-x3c 3 года назад +5

    Uh oh something tells me you’re not getting enough sleep.

  • @neekorobison1458
    @neekorobison1458 3 года назад

    YESSSIIRRR

  • @Compucles
    @Compucles 3 года назад +3

    How can you be a reincarnation of someone who's still alive?

  • @andrewmoore4510
    @andrewmoore4510 3 года назад +2

    Overall grade:👍👍👍👍👍👍👍

  • @Wtkt82307
    @Wtkt82307 3 года назад +2

    Got so lucky drafting Riley at 155th

  • @mclaynejackson5077
    @mclaynejackson5077 3 года назад

    Max Stassi is just getting started 😈

  • @mattmcgovern6448
    @mattmcgovern6448 3 года назад +1

    This guy looks like Zucks little brother and loves his own voice.

  • @heyitswesty
    @heyitswesty 3 года назад +1

    nothing a naruto headband wouldn't fix my friend!

  • @ReeseAF
    @ReeseAF 3 года назад +2

    As a Braves fan I appreciate the Riley love

  • @andrewbloom7694
    @andrewbloom7694 3 года назад

    Fun fact: Great American Ballpark has a higher park factor (113) than Coors (112). So why don't people scoff at castellanos's OPS like they would at a Rockies?

    • @FoolishBailey
      @FoolishBailey  3 года назад

      That's not true. Where are you seeing that?

    • @andrewbloom7694
      @andrewbloom7694 3 года назад

      @@FoolishBailey BBref Multi-year batter park factors. Baseball savant also has Great American at 114 and Coors at 112, though for 2021 only.

  • @thomasbarrett6017
    @thomasbarrett6017 3 года назад +2

    You can't take a thumbs up for Kikuchi. He was so bad, and so inconsistent in the second half, that the M's skipped his start down the stretch, when they really needed to win. He said "I'll pitch if they ask me to." Anderson (yes, THAT Anderson, the #5 starter that came from the Pirates at the trade deadline) said "Give me the ball."

  • @DominoCash215
    @DominoCash215 3 года назад

    Yessir! 😂😂

  • @greatloverofmusic1
    @greatloverofmusic1 3 года назад +1

    I've always considered myself as a man of faith in Foolish Baseball, Wait, What? The Internet is on...Oh boy.

  • @MasterShake9000
    @MasterShake9000 3 года назад +4

    Little known fact: Foolish Roman Bailius uses thumbs down to mean “good”

  • @mozzstickdestroyer
    @mozzstickdestroyer 3 года назад

    You’re the reviewbrah of sportstube

  • @patchman513
    @patchman513 3 года назад +1

    I told my dad Winker was going to put his 2020 August in a whole year and I’m upset he got hurt

  • @opMajesto
    @opMajesto 3 года назад

    Yessirrrrr

  • @chrislewis5069
    @chrislewis5069 3 года назад

    Yea I would have guessed mate would have played that well

  • @CadeStuart
    @CadeStuart 3 года назад +4

    As a mariners fan, kikuchi was eyewash. Ever since the pine tar crackdown he was awful and was a scheduled loss every five days when we needed him most in the playoff run. Definitely not a breakout and I can only hope he is not in a Mariners uniform next year

  • @GCubedProductions
    @GCubedProductions 3 года назад

    Yes sir!

  • @JVJsports
    @JVJsports 3 года назад

    My man didn't even have to explain why two thumbs up for Austin Riley. His season was just that good.

  • @scribble8447
    @scribble8447 3 года назад +4

    Foolish Zit (the zit is foolish)

  • @taeyoungmckaykang8035
    @taeyoungmckaykang8035 3 года назад

    yessir

  • @benjaminoberdorfer4482
    @benjaminoberdorfer4482 10 месяцев назад

    Wow he nailed the Robert Stephenson pick two years early

  • @omarhasan2254
    @omarhasan2254 3 года назад

    12:29 For Austin Riley

  • @omarhasan2254
    @omarhasan2254 3 года назад +1

    Someone clip the Austin Riley bit

  • @DRay210
    @DRay210 3 года назад

    YESSUR YESSUR YESSUR YESSUR YESSUR... yes....yes...yes