3 Reasons Trump Will Beat Biden in 2024
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- Опубликовано: 8 май 2024
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With Trump polling ahead in all the major swing states, he's currently the favourite to beat Biden in the 2024 and become the President once again. So in this video, we discuss the 3 reasons why we're seeing this shift in polling ahead of the election.
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1 - www.realclearpolitics.com/ele...
2 - projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...
3 - www.realclearpolling.com/poll...
4 - www.ft.com/content/a7607626-5...
5 - en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_Un...
6 - unherd.com/2024/02/how-biden-...
7 - www.economist.com/leaders/202...
8 - www.theguardian.com/us-news/2...
9 - apnews.com/article/2024-top-i...
00:00 Introduction
00:49 Disclaimer
01:29 Ethnic Minorities Polling
04:11 Biden’s Immigration Issues
06:36 Biden’s Foreign Policy
07:40 Ground News
I'm seeing so many more "comments gonna be wild" comments than actually wild comments 🤨
Ya....I suspect that a large part of the audience for tldr news might be a little reasonable.
Not much to say, this video felt like a slap to reality on what will most likely happen
Still too early
Might help that they did one for Biden before this one already
Yeah? But whatabout her emails? Wait...
Got a trump ad before this lmfao
Me too. The best Trump ad which was made by a progresist influencer 😂
Oh hellllll nah
I got a Biden ad 😂
@@jasong.451Im getting both lmao 😂
You are the LAMP. TRUMP 2024 BIDEN NEVER!
Since Biden took office, there seem to have been more unfavorable results in America. These results include effects on the markets, such as price declines and sharp increases in inflation, as well as bank failures. I wonder if the sudden increase in interest rates will help value investors or if it would be wiser to stay away from the stock and financial markets for the time being.
To "buy the dip" It will be profitable in the long run. However, investors should be wary of the bull run. It is advisable to connect with a skilled adviser to fulfill your growth objectives and prevent mistakes. High interest rates typically result in lower stock prices.
Due to my demanding job, I lack the time to thoroughly assess my investments and analyze individual stocks. Consequently, for the past seven years, I have enlisted the services of a fiduciary who actively manages my portfolio to adapt to the current market conditions. This strategy has allowed me to navigate the financial landscape successfully, making informed decisions on when to buy and sell. Perhaps you should consider a similar approach.
Interesting! Good day! Although I'm new to investing, I've heard that now is a wonderful time to buy. I have some money in my bank account that is just sitting there, and I really want to make it work for me, especially with the current rate of inflation being so high. Do you have any knowledge about this coach who supports you? I'd like to research them and find out more.
Finding financial advisors like Melissa Terri Swayne who can assist you shape your portfolio would be a very creative option. There will be difficult times ahead, and prudent personal money management will be essential to navigating them.
I appreciate you sharing this. When I looked up the woman you named and read through her credentials, it was obvious that she was a complete professional. I just need her to respond to the message I wrote her.
This video would have been the perfect opportunity to make millions with a BetterHelp sponsorship and redeem code. 😂
Betterhelp steals your private information and does as good of a job as the US government does
Very true, Trump and his supporters are mental
80% discount on copium
They steal your private information and sell it to companies like Facebook.
They don't use that app anymore.
They boycotted it because it's based in Israel and the guy that runs BetterHelp was apparently in the IDF 😂.
It's almost like "You ain't Black if you don't vote for me!" was a really damned stupid idea, or something...
Voting for republican is worst then voting for democrats.
Also just being conservative is just stupid for minorities group because Conservative would take the rights way from minorities.
You ain't a real Jew if you don't vote for trump 😄😄
Not my words, Donald Trump's words
@@dswee3005 link where he said that
@quissbird-10 here you go bud.
Any Jewish person that votes for democrats hates their religion.
So if you don't vote for trump you hate the Jewish religion and aren't a real Jew.
Source:
ruclips.net/video/trjNmPLB2oI/видео.htmlsi=AuHxnj1Wp2rOo7dJ
Enjooooy!
@@dswee3005I will take “Bullshit That Trump Didn’t Say” for $200, Alex.
This video is wrong. As an American who lives in a swing state in here to tell you that the one issue that people care most about is the economy.
They made a video like this about why Biden will win too
@@randomname9291and people tore into them in the comments on that as the economy is better on paper yet have yet to see it improve in their lives. A lot of skepticism on the economic statistics
The economy is doing way better today than 2 years ago when democrats got a historically good midterm result.
Neither will will fix the economy because now its a world wide issue
they said they picked underreported reasons for this video. The economy is not an underreported issue.
Welp, I look forward to a calm, rational and respectful debate in the comments.
I respect Trump and his supporters about as much as I respect the Tories, Orban, and Putin.
That is to say, zero.
😂 sweet summer child
*Sarcasm test complete*
@@krisdaschwab912what makes the UK and Russia any different then both are the exact sams
@@ChandranPrema123They're actually quite different, as I'm sure you know. But the Tories destroyed their country's future with Brexit and have been in a death spiral ever since.
I think it's sad when the chouce for president comes down to two nearly-senile old men. The election will have one winner and 335 million losers.
Correction. An already senile man and a nearly senile man.
Subtle difference ;)
At least if one of the geriatric candidate wins there will be another election in four years. Do you Think MAGA will allow another free and fair election if they get their way?
The quality and competency of statesman everywhere is falling.
Nearly senile? He’s completely senile. My grandfather died of Alzheimer’s. Joe Biden is about 5 years from the grave at best. He’s literally a dementia patient
Non-Americans might not be voting but we are definitely loosing out in this election too - so maybe > 2 billion losers here
On the surging support amongst ethnic minorities thing. I wish people would put shifting 'Hispanic' support into the broader history of migration to the US. Historically, ethnic minority groups (germans, italians, irish...etc) came to the US in particular waves. In the century after the wave, you can observe each group becoming less of a distinct sociological unit in American society, as individuals assimilate into the broader populace, basically becoming just 'white people'.
You can see a similar thing happening with Hispanic people. The big uptick in migration from Latin American countries, especially Mexico, occurred in the 80s and 90s. That means it's about ~35 years old. People with Hispanic heritage going three+ generations ago is increasingly common, and that group often doesn't speak Spanish or practice Catholicism and has mixed origins. It is to be expected that group, or at least segments of it, will gradually become politically more like broader American 'white' culture, just as the Germans, Italians and Irish did before them.
Its simply broader American culture not “white” American culture. American culture hasn’t been “white” since the late 1800s early 1900s
Agreed. My family has more than just white people in it. We are our own culture. White, Black, Asian, Indian, etc.
Also, illegal immigrants massively affect the communities along the border, where counties are majority Hispanic. They're tired of seeing their neighborhoods wrecked.
you are kind of misunderstanding the demographics among hispanic peoples there, the 80's 90's immigration came predominantly from southern Mexico e.g. the Yucatan and other parts of Central and Southern America, these migrants are very urban and consistently more progressive or even left wing, this is the part of Mexico that the neo Zapatistas gained popularity in, they also go against your "whiter" thing by just being less white. A lot of the Republican hispanic support comes from those who came before the 80's, particularly from the 50's - 70's e.g. Cubans and Nortenos from Northern Mexico e.g. Sonora and Rio Grande who are not as urban as later Mexican immigrants, more socially and economically conservative, they are also culturally and ethnically whiter and more settled and therefore better fit your argument about Hispanic integration resulting in less of a Democrat monopoly.
Also Catholicism is way less controversal in America now with it being the plurality denomination.
@@jayrogan1835 My point wasn't that broader American culture is white, it's a fair number of _people_ (not all) who are 'theoretically' Hispanic will come to identify as Hispanic and white, or just as white, with Hispanic-ness being an afterthought in the same way Irishness generally is. This is something that has already been observed - I can't link to it because RUclips can get weird about links, but if you google 'Pew Research Hispanic Identity 2017', the contrast between first and third generation individuals is striking. And that's now quite old.
0:54 "Trump must be paying TLDR more than he's paying legal fees"
Lmao.
No kidding.. but its good clickbait lol
This news channel is normally left leaning, the minute they say something slightly right leaning you guys turn on them.
Do you see why people leave your side of the political isle.
@@anthonyyawtwumasimensah197 I was literally quoting the video because I found it funny.
Also, I have yet to see a single person flip from Biden in 2020 to Trump in 2024. I've seen countless people flip from Trump in 2016 and 2020 to Biden in 2024.
@@Owen_loves_Butters I voted for biden in 2020 and now Im doing trump for 2024, Ill never vote for that yuppie ever again let alone any other democrat, You must be looking In the wrong places, This is coming from an ex liberal now Independent, I dont even see Joe's voters even caring much about the old man lmao
@@Owen_loves_Buttersit’s basically all people who were not culturally left. The Muslims aren’t voting for Biden becuase of his views on the war and a good amount of black voters and other minorities who are culturally right wing but economically left are moving towards trump
“How Trump WILL win” vs “How Biden CAN win” doesn’t sound very unbiased to me.
My mom compared the election to having to chose who drives you home from a party between a very stoned guy and a very drunk guy.
As a former taxi driver who worked Saturday nights, take it from me: go for the stoned guy every time - at least they're not going to get violent.
Your mother has a very clouded view of the matter. It's more like choice one, the old guy that knows the roads and will talk your ear off OR the half demented old guy that will try to rob you then sell you overpriced garbage and drop you off in a different town then you asked for and claim it's fake news and he is being persecuted.
@thesweetone I'm no Trump fan but biden full on told a bald faced lie live on TV near the beginning of the crisis in Gaza.
@@thesweetone You have a very bias view
pick the guy whos administratoon isn't a revolving door of criminals, con men and ambulance chasing lawyers.
Good luck to us europeans either way.. we'll need it
Edit: i meant good luck in all ways, not just military. The EEA and europe as a whole is bleeding profusely in talent, entrepreneurship, industry and the highly educated, with many fleeing to the US.
The inflation reduction act in the US is wise, but it has apparently hurt the EU. China has long since been employing industrial policy too. Europe is on the backfoot. Not to mention the crippled fertility rates and aging population.
And now we shall also have to waste money on tanks and mortar shells too.. just great
Just let the passionate artsy guy get accepted to the art school and he won't draw his made up flag on the map.
why do you want others to protect you? lol, deal with it.
Another reason for Europe to stay away and be independent from murica. murica expectedly falls apart. Majority supports trump and putin and wants their country to be more authoritarian. murica has no future.
@@MrBurnsExcellent The US is the leader of the free world, with infinite money as the result of having the world reserve currency and being largely unscathed from WW2. Them being coherent, supportive of international law, and supportive of democracy is crucial. And assuming Trump wins turning America into an autocracy (which he definitely will), there's a very real threat the US government will join sides with Russia.
I wouldn't worry too much.
There's no scenario where Trump would realistically pull out of NATO.
What would actually happen is a lot of posturing (and a lot of empty threats), effectively pushing other members into spending more... "just in case."
Did Trump actually secure the black vote with his golden sneakers?? 😂
Of course lol. Those kind of people are shallow and only care about looks.
@@kawaiikoto8800im sorry, those kind of people?
@@kawaiikoto8800 Cringe post.
@@kawaiikoto8800 Anime Pfp Detected Opinion Rejected
@@kawaiikoto8800Th hypocrisy of the left. Only you can be racist.
Really should have linked that Biden video somewhere. Now I have to mess around trying to find it
I got hairy legs that turn, that that that turn blonde in the sun
Wow... Literally two clicks... (3 at max if this become an older video) But give you better, you literally copy the title of the video and the second found is gonna be the Biden version...
ruclips.net/video/MfzQbTa_EUg/видео.htmlsi=9O5VGqMkBDnsXJFM
Just copy and paste the title into RUclips's search bar but switch "Trump" and "Biden" lmao
@@AtakenSmithwho cares
I think it'd be good to have a segment on how the use of opt-in polling might be wildly skewing some of these numbers.
While opt-in poll respondents might be more "biased" than a typical member of the population, the question is, how to poll people who do not "opt-in"?
Nominal compensation?
Dude, you sound like Republicans. They were saying the exact same thing when they saw 2016 and 2020 poll numbers.
You all are more alike than you know.
The latest episode of the 538 podcast talked specifically about the value of opt-in, online-only polls. It's worth a listen if you're interested
oh my god this is so true i didn’t even think of that whilst watching
One video has a question mark and another dosent, so it speaks volume !
I think it speaks to TLDR's consistency that they can put a video up like this and people trust it will be an unbiased and fair assessment of the circumstances
The fact they are giving this muppet any publicity has earnt them an unsubscribe from me. He's a toxic pos and they should know better.
I know a lot more Black Republicans now than just 4 years ago.
I'm not American so I can only care so much, but environnemental regulations inevitably getting pulled away is just miserable. Hard to not feel that the world is doomed
The main reason I as a non-American am so concerned about this too. I don’t get how people in the US seemingly aren’t aware of the fact that they’re voting for a quite bleak future for themselves and more so the entire world in voting for trump
@@splintmeow4723We do not have an overpopulation problem.
The EU has been at the forefront of climate regulation for over a decade now and is aiming to be carbon neutral in around a decade. So I have no clue why you think no policy can affect anthropogenic climate change when the EU has been showing for over a decade that it can.
@benarmitage2535 Awww you guys sound like you are 12 😂 you're worried about the U.S . In China and India theres no regulation and china keeps building coal plants like crazy. 😂
@@sheevpalpatine2128 Usa pollutes more than 4 times india with less thn 1/4 of the population
@@benarmitage2535 I'm american and I hate that I have no meaningful control over what happens. Those of us who have at least 2 brain cells to rub together know and don't want either Trump or Biden, but there is nothing we can do, and unless we are in a swing state, our votes are meaningless.
4) Americans apparently dont learn from their mistakes
Yanks are learning from their mistakes, they are voting for trump
I think they do, actually. Most recognize the howler from 2020.
=WELL BIDEN FOR 2020 WAS *_THE_* MISTAKE
=HEHE
The economy was better under Trump and it's not even an argument. Biden wanted to spend $6T on his pet projects that nobody noticed and blew out the economy in the process.
"TrUmP GOoD, BiDeN BaAaAdd" incoming...
"You mean they actually vote for the lizards?"
"Oh yes," said Ford with a shrug, "of course."
"But," said Arthur, going for the big one again, "why?"
"Because if they didn't vote for a lizard," said Ford, "the wrong lizard might get in. Got any gin?"
~Douglas Adams, "So Long, and Thanks for All the Fish"
I think RFK Jr. will beat both of them, SAVAGELY!
RKF SWEEEP /s
could beat Biden...
Lol, it sounds funny when foreigners refer to minorities in the US as 'ethnic minorities.' Usually in the US we only use that term when talking about other countries.
I would never accuse you of Trump bias, I've seen other videos of yours
Other people do because their attention span isn't high
I imagine the election will actually be about as close as the last 2 elections. Honestly, it's more of a toss up than guaranteed to either side.
i see a biden winning comfortably. the polls show the moment trump is convicted biden wins the swing states
2020 wasn't close
@@BeyondEcstasyIt was, thanks to how the electoral college works Biden won by a margin of less than one hundred thousand votes.
@@BeyondEcstasyyes it was. Trump was only about 50k votes away from winning the electoral college.
Trump is in a better position than Biden right now, more paths to victory.
I also feel greater availability for third parties is a bigger reason than the 3 mentioned in this video.
But thats more nerdy than these even.
As much as I love your content, you don’t know the American people. The media claims we are dumb, but we’re not. We’ve learned our lesson. We don’t listen to the polls that much. That’s how we got into this mess.
Gen Z is also breaking a trend of going more conservative then progressive for the first time in forever. (However it’s the men, while woman are going more left)
...and only a small portion of them too...the educated ones are not...but can't wait for that #MAGAmeltdown later this year. I do love you people holding on to hope though, the splash will be a lot greater the higher your hopes climb.😅
Sounds similar to Poland in this regard.
This is because the alt right is the only notable social group that's currently talking about the issues that young men face, and in an increasingly disconnected society, there are a lot of vulnerable young men and boys to entice with that. It's pretty easy to solve, just make it so that when boys search for their issues, they aren't being shown exclusively right wing commentary.
Sigma edits and YT Shorts probably made a noticeable impact on this, a lot of peers are practically impacted by all those memes
Except its not. All of the studies finding that are very VERY dubious. As a gen z, the amount of conservatives is very small.
As a Republican, who voted Republican since 1988, the 2024 election will be the first time I will vote Democrat. Trump's support of Putin and calls for Putin to invade NATO countries that don't "pay enough" is a no go for Reagan Republicans of Eastern European and Cuban decent. That is MILLIONS of Republican voters. Trump will lose.
Thank you!
Really fell for the Russia fear mongering?
@@Digital_PeterGriffin Putin has openly threatened to nuke the US, UK, and EU. He states openly Russia has no borders and the sale of Alaska to the US is invalid and wants it back. I don't think it's Russian fear mongering. Putin will start WW3, and Trump will just roll over and take it.
This video is getting prediction from polls😂
Trump 24
I guess TLDR watchers are more responsible than most lol I’ve seen more comments saying how the comments are gonna be wild than actual wild comments
Foreign policy just isn't among the top 5 topics in US elections. European security hardly makes ir to the top 10!
Yeah I feel like Europeans definitely over estimate how much we as Americans care about Europe. It’s really only our upper class. Most Americans actually hold a slightly discoverable view of Europeans.
Most Americans care more about things that directly affect us. So things like policies with Mexico, the collapse of Haiti, things happening in Canada, and obviously our own space.
@@iandunn989 Eh, we Michiganders can see the bigger picture of how things affect us. The war in Gaza could geopolitically weaken the US for years to come given Biden's current stance of unconditionally supporting Israel. This will have ramifications for the Ukraine war and global support for America's approach to the war. It will affect our geopolitical decisions for years to come. People generally don't want to follow countries complicit in ethnic cleansing. A wider war in the Middle East could hurt the US economically. And this is why we got 2 delegates from the uncommitted vote in Michigan. If you are only concerned about stuff that directly affect you, well you'll miss all the things that indirectly will cause direct effects to you.
@@iandunn989It’s The EU and the UK constitute a large part of the market for US goods and services. If Europe goes tits up it’s going to have a big effect on the economy alone.
@@jmhorange deerborn does not equal the views of america as a whole.
@@honved1 you do realize we sell more to Mexico and Canada then you right?
I cant wait for season 2 of "The Election". best entertainment in years
Don't let it happen
TLDR is hoping their consistently wrong election predictions keep up 😂
they`ve also given reasons why biden can win
They also made a video why Biden should win in 2024, so no prediction made here
Well, they predicted both Trump and Biden winning. So you are saying that neither will? Are you in on some crazy KGB plan to get them both before they enter office lol?
OH, NO HE'LL MAKE AMERICA 💩 AGAIN!
It comes down to paying $5 for a pack of gum as the current admin keeps saying inflation is low
How is an online asylum application anything remotely similiar to the remain in Mexico policy if it doesnt bar entry before asylum approval?.... The entire point of the remain in Mexico policy was bc the vast majority of people who apply for asylum do not qualify for asylum, but when you allow ALL immigrants caught along the border trying to illegally cross into the country, bring them in, give them an asylum hearing date, and release them into the interior, as is Biden's stuborn policy, turns out the vast majority of them never show up again for their asylum hearings (surprise surprise) and ultimately end up disappearing into the interior to never be seen again, and everywhere they go recieves more delegates according to the increase in population, which fundamentally underminds the seperation of powers and the constitutional pact between local municipalities, states, and the federal government by giving certain areas undue and unconstitutional increase in the number of representatives they get to send to the state or federal legislatures.
I hope you are wrong. But it's good to stay alert and prepare for the worst case scenario.
I hope their right
I hope he’s right
The worst thing that can happen is if Biden continue the obviously unsustainable (to put it mildy) his border policy.
If I was American I don't think I would want another 4 years of Biden either
@@purelizardmilk6598 because lizards are well known for their milk production? Yeah. Right.
D: gotta bring my popcorn for this one, the comments gonna be hella fun
What 1,074 people did the AP-NORC poll talk to? I'm assuming it was a campus somewhere. Pew, Statista, & other polls have Foreign Policy at around 1%. Hell, Pew doesn't even have it on their list. How could there be such a discrepancy?
If it was a campus that's even worse for Biden since college students regularly vote Democrat since 92
There is one reason - short memories.
[Straps on hazmat suit]
I understood that reference.
Go trump
Trump's definitely taking the popular vote this time
What do you guys determine is a "crisis." I just ask because in this video you said the "so-called border crisis" but in a recent video you referred to a "Chocolate crisis" or something like that. The former's wording comes off as very serious and high-risk, while the later comes off as dismissive or to be taken skeptically. Thank you for your reporting and keep up the great work!
So-called because crisis is in dispute! So called by some. Its not TLDRs role to determine if its a crisis. They are just reporting.
With this level of enforcement it's most likely "so-called border". ;)
Remember to vote people
Indeed I’m voting for trump as a firs time voter
@@2015BLOXXER So you want to lose more rights then?
@@E3ECO like what? 🤣
@@2015BLOXXER Well, at least you're voting
@@2015BLOXXER The right to control your own body. Republicans want to dictate what you can put into it, what you can take out of it, how you can modify it, and what rights your children have. They want to remove your ability to access certain books at your local library, or to answer some questions students ask in school. Republicans are all about taking freedoms away.
Evil wins if good do nothing or allow someone younger or more capable to do it instead. True around the world this election year.
"Basically every minority vote, [...], have shifted to trump"
Friendly fire!
I actually somewhat hope the Americans elect him again, it’s time america falls from the centre world stage and European leaders know what to expect this time around. We never should’ve relied on america for anything, bout time we start looking after ourselves instead of gambling whether the yanks would help. Ukraine is a good example of this, they’re actively trying to stop funding to a country facing genocide. Despite the funding positively impacting America…
I think Europeans really overestimate how much the American PEOPLE actually care about Europe, unless you are a upper class American or a politician.
Historically the USA has always been an isolationist country because Americans never really cared about foreign policy like that. In fact, most middle class and lower class Americans hold a mediocre view of Europe at best.
Trump's 2025 Project will be the downfall of the U.S., and if he wins, the US will deserve it. And I'm an American saying this.
@@beasley1232 You're right. It's because we were brought up being told we're the best, we saved Europe from itself twice, helped many countries around the world, and how the world looks to the U.S. and not the other way around. We have people from other countries who are following our elections closely, but we do not care who becomes the president of other countries.
we need someone new ...and Younger🙄
"But basically the entire world": shows the map of Europe 😂
He’s gonna be in jail soon
That doesn’t sound as a great future….
=EXACTLY BECAUSE WE'VE NEED TO LOOK FOR SOMEONE ELSE TO CONTINUE WHAT TRUMP STARTED
............BUT I'M PRETTY SOLID THAT RON DESANTIS WOULDVE DO GREAT,HEHE
@@robotnikkkk001 hehe
To you
Not for the far left socialists at least. As Javier Milei said:
*A F U E R A !*
@@Hardcore_Remixer Socialists are a minority in the United States. Anyone who says otherwise either doesn’t know what a social democrat is or is fear mongering.
the debate this year will be so funny
Trump will not show.
It's unlikely to actually be one. The Dems didn't even have a debate for Biden.
Debates haven't had any substance in years. I don't watch them anymore because they're just sniping contests. I don't care who gets off the best "zinger."
@@kellychubaTrump would in a heartbeat, Biden won't. His handlers won't even let him talk to reporters, the least public president in modern American history
@@kellychuba Trump has already called for debates many times
True.
As an African American who is classified as an independent centralist political individual, nothing Biden has done since being vp ever matter to me.
I'm voting for trump to get the Democrats out of office.
...so that Trump can fool you again?
@@juliobrian4757 whoever said I voted for him anyways lmfao
@@0fficialdregsAs an Afghan I can tell your lying. You’re voting for Trump because of what happened in Israel and Palestine.
I just hope you know that when Trump sends boots on the ground to help cleanse Palestine after he already recognized Jerusalem as the capital of Israel a few years ago, you will know who to blame. *Yourself.*
@@0fficialdregs So...after all you have seen and after the 4 years he had destabilising *YOUR* country, you're voting for Trump to get the Democrats out of office?
That's equivalent to allowing a serial rapist to sleep in the same room as your 16 year old daughter...
The video about Biden has way more downvotes than this one but also slightly more upvotes. If that means anything.
that speaks volumes
Challenge: Find a comment without a spelling error.
Difficulty: Impossible
Just look for the biden voters
God help us all
What was bad about 2019 compared to now? I'll wait....
Nothing will change, it’s fine don’t worry about it
Oh no, an election where people choose!
@@Huminahumina465 Heaven forbid!
God??! God can't help you now!!
This comment section is gonna be a hazmat zone....
☣☣☣
It currently early there are still like 6 months til elections a lot can happen in 6 months. Undecided voters when force to chose side with Biden 2/3rds of the time which helps him significantly
Trump will win. Most people have made their minds up.
Im pivoting from Bernie to Trump here in PA. Swing states are all that matter.
Well you never know. Biden’s age is naturally a sticking point. They might just not vote
@Huminahumina465 Tr is old too. He's only like 3 or 4 years younger than Biden so it's not like that same argument can't be used against him too
@@Shadowtiger2564 Biden can barely walk and talk tho. That's the difference
4:06
You mean, more so then they already are?
Lol this one was flagged for context but the other one wasn't.
0:50 This disclaimer is kind of nonsense as it assumes that Americans are constantly voting and that we know how people will be voting in November. I totally get it that we live in a world where news is manufactured for content and clicks and nothing serves those ends better than constant horse race polling and the power that it has to sway opinions without any real context. We shall see in November when people actually vote. As an African American living in Georgia, I am simply not seeing this avalanche of support for Trump in the black communities I see. Maybe they only show up when a pollster calls. I used to get called for political surveys all the time but I have not been asked to participate in any since 2020.
Remember, Malcolm X said that: "The white liberal is the worst enemy of America, and the worst enemy of the black man"
Do they ask you if you are a citizen? Can you lie about that?
As an African American in Michigan, I don't see support for Trump as much as lack of support for Biden, especially since he refuses to listen to us on Gaza. A lot of Michiganders of all races feel this way. I guess it's something about adding ethnic cleansing to the US's resume that seems like it will erode America's superpower standing in the world why we got 2 delegates for the uncommitted vote.
Agreed. We see a lot of fearmongering in the press. They have a vested interest in squeezing the Trump lemon until the last drop, use that fear to keep engagement high. Fear sells.
How old are you? I see so many black men supporting Trump that are 18-30
It's kinda Joever for the Democrats hey 😂
Like the redwave again 😂
They can only call people names and claim racism 🤣 its over, they special words dont work in 2024
@@gtrdxz what is your purpose in life?
Since 2018 Georgia’s governor has made it harder for non-yt people to vote by closing polls in their areas, rejecting their mail in ballots, and disproportionately rejecting voters on “voter identity”
Seriously considering a perm move to Ireland. Can anyone there tell me if that’s doable?
My sources tell me that the cost of living is absolutely brutal, particularly in or near Dublin where there is a severe housing crunch.
Honestly you'd be better off looking for another EU country, since the cost of living in Ireland (especially here in Dublin) has gotten pretty horrible to say the least.
Go to Mexico or Canada.
Like the november redwave again? 😂
2016. Can overestimate on either side
Dude, the same thing happened in 2018.The democrats Predicted a blue wave the Republicans kept the senate and trump lost
totally different. Michigan will keep flip flopping I'm sure... source: am from Michigan and work with the public and hear stuff every day. I'm almost positive Trump can win by a hair here again this time around. people, Dems I know included, cannot stand him here and are incredibly disappointed. once again. lol
@@vatefairefoutre0plus the war in gaza has pissed off the Muslims in Detroit
@@Wiibiplay the war in Gaza has pissed off more than just Muslims near Detroit. also the constant gaslighting about the economy people in Michigan aren't crazy about either haha.
why cant USA elect someone younger lmao. Just a bunch of old men xD
@@content_enjoyer4458 thats funny that you're calling OP, who's suggesting we get younger candidates, "out of touch." I'm pretty sure those oldheads in power are the ones out of touch (and almost out of time).
@@content_enjoyer4458he’s out of touch for stating the obvious?
Honostly, I think the issue isn’t that they’re old, but that they’re senile. There’s old people who is not senile, who I think is fine to run
It's boomer entitlement. Their parents' generation would have recognized that there's something not right about political leaders being so badly misaligned with the general public: when they were in charge, the top income tax rate was 90% and the economy was booming for everyone. Boomers have no such compunctions, which is also the reason they allow billionaires to set policy in the US. It's also true, however, that they would likely have been dead before they got as old as Biden and Trump.
young people are poor. Running for president takes a lot of money!
Anyone else confused by the charts around 3:40 to 4 minutes? I’m sorry but if anyone could explain the changes to the chart and why it doesn’t add to 100% that’d be great.
Non voters and invalid ballots probably
The US economy is in the worst point since the 70's , bank accounts don't look !
Inflation is still too high , and most people don't own stocks or Bitcoin ...
Surprised that the following reasons were not enumerated as they are main ones raised by the Trump administration:
1. The economy
2. Biden's mental fitness
This is an anti Trump channel.
1. By pure metrics, the economy's doing well under Biden. As well as under Trump, if not better, although both were/are riding a wave that started after the 2008 recession and stopped briefly during the pandemic.
2. Biden's doing okay, honestly. He just looks old, speaks slowly, and has had a stutter all his life. The man cycles, he runs, while Trump rides gold carts to go from building to building. For every mistakes Biden makes during his speeches, there's an equivalent for Trump + an incredibly stupid comment (bleach, airports during the US civil war, etc...).
I consider myself independent. The fact that the Dems all fell in line behind Biden instead of raising these concerns was just cowardly. Had they put forth a younger candidate with more charisma, they wouldn't be in this situation. They deserve to lose for their stupidity.
Take this with a grain of salt since im European and not American but it feels like foreign policy seems to be on the mind of more people in the US than the economy currently is(which is weird imo since the economy of you country should be issue n1 but it seems to have shifted). Might just be the media focusing on other things than the economy i guess. Meanwhile it feels like the exact opposite here in Europe lol.
@Anthony-db7cs Sure. I would have preferred the SNL platform of Dwyane "The Rock" Johnson and Tom "The Jimmy Stewart" Hanks.
While the Dems may deserve to lose. Does that mean the US deserves to lose?
He will claim he won either way
If a rapist, fraudster, and traitor win that will say a lot about American voters.
just like hillary did for four years
No she conceded one day after trump won
Donald Trump is going to be our president,” she said, speaking at the New Yorker hotel in Manhattan. “We owe him an open mind and a chance to lead.
Hillary Clinton (The Guardian)
following the senile events of last week....
here s why senile 1 will beat senile 2 in what is definitely not an authoritarian regime
Ehhhhh. Anybody using the polls this far out as a strong indicator is clowning themselves. Sure, the polls might stay the same, but that is the exception not the rule.
As a Pole, even though I’m a conservative dude, I prefer an old Biden over a guy was the only losing presidential candidate whose supporters started an insurrection. That did not happen with Ford, Carter, Bush Sr; nor any other losing candidate.
Bidens video: "Biden COULD still beat Trump"
Trumps video: "Trump WILL beat Biden"
Then is sponsored by a company they mention shows how headlines can be bias 😂
Yeah I don’t think you understand how unpopular Joe Biden is… Herbert Hoover had higher approval ratings and we literally named homeless camps after him and he led us into the Great Depression.
The titles reflect the object reality of the polls. For the past 6 months, Trump has been crushing Biden in the polls, which predicts a landslide win in November. At this point, it's incredibly unlikely that Biden will win, but it is possible, that is why the title said he "could" win. If the polls remain the same, Trump "will" win big, that's why the the title says exactly that. There is no bias at all in the titles, just a reflection of reality.
They know what’s up 👍
They made one video for each candidate. That is more independent than 99% of the online/TV channels. Could/Will difference is coming from the latest polls. Honestly it is almost impossible to make a video that is 100% independent. Unless you put “allegedly” inside every sentence.
I will guess without listening immigration, inflation, and age
Only 1 out of 3.
This is incredibly depressing
Trump isn't a conservative is the slowest thing you said. A conservative doesn't attack the capital building.
4th reason- Ability to speak at least 5 meaningful sentences
Really? No mention of the uncommitted movement?!
I think abortion is still a hot issue for women. I personally think let women do whatever they want with their body. However, this election for me is about the economy and the world geopolitics. Since Biden is failing to deliver on those issues and I was better off during Trump than today, I will vote for Trump.
I wish America could adopt Australia's election system
Explain
😔
@@osazuwastanley5745 Australia uses a preferential voting system, so your vote is never wasted
You can list all candidates in order of preference, so if your 1st preference doesn't have enough votes to win and is knocked out of the race, your vote is moved to your second preference and so on
We had a wave of independent candidates win many seats in 2022 thanks to this system
@@osazuwastanley5745preferential voting. It’s where you number the candidates and if your first choice doesn’t have enough votes to win your votes will roll on to your second preference and so on until one has enough votes to win. So essentially you can vote for smaller parties who are not very likely to win without wasting your vote.
Well this also causes unstability, I think you people should just either get rid of electroral college or use a proper first past the vote system, not like what you have today where if a party win a swing state by a low margin that will still give all colleges to the winner. @@socialistrepublicofvietnam1500
New parties are important
I appreciate you making this video.
very fair and neutral. Even though it seems like a majority of your subscribers are crying about it.
Nah most of the comments are just ripping on them for not realizing ice cream joe gets like 70% of independent votes and Trump voters answer their phone for random phone calls
I feel like this video explains well why Trump is leading in the polls it doesn’t say anything new, but the other video says what could make Biden defy the odds and still perhaps win, it was much more interesting to watch and filled me with a little bit of hope
Insanity comes in many flavors
Buy there ain't enough folks on chumps team this time.
He's going down in flames.
Yeah Biden has no chance
@@Huminahumina465
😂
@@maxfastest Lol I’m glad we agree
@@Huminahumina465
Hope your disappointment isn't too brutal
@@maxfastest how rude, why I never
For a channel with such an obvious extreme Leftist bias, this video is one of the best and most balanced that you have ever produced. You have even stopped making that annoying buzzing noise when you say "this" at the beginning of the video. The improvement is very impressive. Well done. More of this please.
Let's not forget that Netanyahu promised a new offensive into Rafah soon enough, surely before the summer begins which is just a disaster in the making. If Biden lets it slide then there's a lot of young voters (mostly with an immigrant background) that will refuse to vote for him in the election. Considering he won some states with a super tiny margin in 2020, it's not looking good.
People tend to have a very short term memory in regards to what is happening around them, and if this new offensive creates massive headlines over the summer then it will hurt him more than anything else.
Yep! And they don’t need to vote for Trump. All they need is to feel that it’s not worth voting. It will be all about who will be excited enough to go out, wait in line and vote.
What do they think Trump will do? He moved our embassy to Jerusalem and has supported Israel unconditionally. Biden has at least made some small moves towards putting conditions on our aid.
Even if Trump will be more pro-Israel, will that be enough to fire up immigrants to get out of bed and go to the poll for Biden. I am not saying Palestinians will vote for Trump, I am saying they “may” just ignore the election.
@@E3ECO Never underestimate the ignorance of single-issue voters.
@@E3ECO Do you mean the human rights conditions attached on the military aid back in early Feb, weeks before Israel bombed food lines and landmark residential towers in Rafah which is basically one gigantic refugee camp now? Biden's order never happened in the first place or is being completely ignored. The issue is that he's not doing enough, which to them is like he's not doing anything. So if Trump gets elected, what changes in the war? Literally nothing. That's their view on it and nobody can say they're wrong.
Its not a vote on policies.. its a vote of who hates biden vs who hates trump.
President Trump. I can’t wait for my country to get back on track
I am a legal Immigrant and I support Trump. I don't want what I worked so hard to do to be destroyed by illegal immigrants. America and its citizens come 1st.
Funny that a Russian is saying it.
I hate the fact that its possible for Trump to become president again after all of his controversies. Like he said, he could shot someone on 5th avenue and still get elected. Our politics has become a T.V. for americans that we can't even get out of it.
Labeling the Biden vid "Can Biden still beat Trump" and the Trump vid "Trump will beat Biden" is obviously slanted and clickbaity. I usually like this channel a lot, but vids like this are a little disappointing. Oh well, it's election season and clicks mean money.
comments gonna be "comments gonna be wild"
I'm here for the comments 😅
Can't wait to come back to this video in November and 💩 on it. 😅😂
Believe me you won’t