no worries. Was just kidding. No need to record it a second time. Thanks for your great work. Humanity owes you. I have huge respect for what you are doing
About 12 years ago I started selling solar water kits ,I assumed as fuel costs went up or the weather swings became more noticeable people would take action to reduce water heating costs etc. What I failed to realize is the population is to stupid to realize or do anything.
or too poor. Its the purchase cost that ruins that sort of change over. Typically people also have to install and maintain the stuff themselves. Most aren't that mechanically inclined. For example, I can't afford a normal car for 25k so why would I go out and buy a 40k EV that I can't recharge anywhere anyway and takes an hour each time even if I can find somewhere to charge it?
@@chrisyarnold6205no my job is 15 mins away by car at highway speeds. No ebike can make that trip, rather I can make it to work but I wont make it home again. Yes I did the range math. Since I live in an apartment building I have nowhere to charge it at home. I actually bought a motorcycle a couple years ago which has cut my fuel cost by three quarters. Unfortunately winter puts an end to that. Snow and two wheels don't go well together.
Thank you for a very balanced and informative video. I am impressed how you can condense so many information in ten minutes footage. One of the best which I saw in youtube about such topic.
Subscribed! RUclips finally recommended a channel that I wanted to see, yours. I love science and science news, so I was very happy with your outstanding presentation. I am looking forward to watching more of your work. Thank you for making and sharing it.
Good morning Dr. Ella Gilbz, Brazil (Rio) here. It's pelting down in spates here. As an Antarctica scholar, is there any accessible piece of research available for us here in South America where we could understand and eventually prepare better (if feasible) for the coming changes as the ice sheets melt? I mean matter-of-factly some of us are already assuming the weather's gone completely haywire, Like the worst historic drought in the Amazon basin, the wettest historic floods in southern Brazil, the hottest historic spring in Rio, the worst ever-recorded winter temp in São Paulo, etc. So to be candid we are no longer hoping for any international or national aid or intervention or even honest information. So what do we do frankly? How can we cope with it? I don't mind drowning or starving but at the very least I would like to die aware of what is really going on... we are completely left in the dark. What to read? Please, no Bible or Edgard Cayce or outdated IPCC reports.... PS: your "Ficus" is lovely! Lots of them down here with more green leaves!
Get on with life rather than preparing for imaginary calamities. Researching history especially Geology will tell you all this in one way or another occurred on Earth many times over before man even existed. Scientists are making a fortune worldwide with this mumbo jumbo they invented to line their pockets from gullible people.
SAVE THE ANTS FROM THE WV !! Water Vapor (WV) is a greenhouse gas as potent as CO2 according to theory. On average there is 50 times as much WV in the atmosphere as CO2. The fact that it is non-persistent is often mentioned. It doesn't have to be. You can AVERAGE (integrate) the effect. There is on AVERAGE 50 times as much. Non-persistent ==> Definition - only heat trapped by CO2 molecules can evaporate water vapor molecules. The heat water vapor traps doesn't cause water evaporation.
We're losing the global heatsink. The oceans have absorbed over 90% of the temperature rise. All our bad weather is the result of less than 10% of the heat generated by climate change. And the temperature continues to rise. When we lose the global heatsink...we fry. It doesn't look "bad". To me it looks terminal. Unless we can manufacture more ice, or chill the water of the oceans. We don't have the technology...and most people are oblivious. Deckchairs on the Titanic.
We’re going to have to do “everything, everywhere, all at once” planting kelp forests is one of the things that I most hold out hope for…amongst other things.
@TheAnticorporatist in also deal with religious frantics later. Remember this is God plan, his gonna come back on a white horse and kill us because where sinners who didn't believe in him
Sure while the oceans are dying that'll work. What needs to be done to "help" is what no one wants to do as a whole .so as a whole they go in the hole together . Volcanic action under there too? It is in the arctic.
I watch this because I'm sort of addicted to that breathlessness you get when you hear bad news or, say, you lose all your life savings on a horse that falls at the first hurdle.
I'm addicted to thunderstorms, eartquakes, heatwaves and lightbeams: It let me wonder about the wonderfulness and power of a living Earth warmed by a burning Sun and gives me regularly a gentle kick in the ass for good, say, how can I save the books and praise the Lord! ❤️🔥
Thanks for the great info. We all make slip-ups with (like ads on shirts), but more importantly, we all try to move forward doing better, and in your case, helping others move forward with clear information to guild them. Stay amazing!
If 'underestimating' occurs again and again, it is a systematic mistake on the part of those who estimate. We underestimated global dimming, We underestimated the occurrence of tipping elements We underestimated the rate of warming. We underestimated how much we would lie under these conditions...
Just a human self defence mechanism kicking in. This can't be that bad, we didn't f**k up that badly, let's not assume worst case scenario. Deny, deny, deny, to ourselves.
Thing is, they never really underestimated it. Not the scientist. Look at the entire report. It was devastating. However, the summary everyone saw was put together by global oligarchs and corporate news.
They always take the least worst Model in the calculations of climate models. They do that, because they don't want to overstate and exaggerate what could happen, the downside is, they always underestimate, the upside is they keep to be credible.
Tony Heller relies on misleading the uniformed. He often presents the data of one ice core as a global indicator when real science compiles thousands of records. This is why he has never produced a peer-reviewed publication.
Heller's childish temperature software is hilarious. It shows the US is cooling (it's not) and Europe has warmed by 9°F since 1895 (it has not). He's a fool.
Thanks for always keeping us up to date with the beauty of the cryosphere and the often unfortunate news related to it. Don't worry about the Arsenal shirt as we're all human and it's often easy to forget all the subconscious messages we give off or all the crazy things we've normalised like oil companies sponsoring the rugby.
IF we do this, IF we do that, IF IF IF. The changes needed to stop this will not be tolerated by people. We love our cars and phones too much to do what really needs to be done. Nature is the only force that can and will put a stop to us.
Circular economies, championing responsible consumption and production, are pivotal in reducing waste and diminishing our collective environmental impact, laying the groundwork for a more sustainable economic paradigm.
I know this is kind of a dumb question, but does this mean that video on climate doomism is now incorrect and that we are doomed? Im not trying to be snarky or anything it just feels like whenever some new scary study comes out it invalidates older statements about how there is hope.
I don't think any single study can tell us we are doomed or saved. The general points in the doomism video about how best to motivate people still stand, and as I say in this vid, we haven't yet committed to tipping anything. Which means it's still possible to change things... This new research doesn't tell us anything we didn't already suspect, just shows us how quickly things are going.
The doomers are the ones out there changing the world and choosing to live life differently. Everyone else is either hoping, praying, or simply denying. Change won't happen. If all we have for such change is "hope'. Humans are missing the point in their fight with the climate. We do not have a climate change issue to fight. That's just scapegoating for the ego intensified humans. This climate change is yet again simply one more symptom..... that would not exist if our species were not on this planet.....that we are trying to pass the buck on. The world...'earth'.... doesn't have plastic problems. Doesn't have food insecurity problems. Doesn't have coral reef problems. Doesn't lack funding for these problems?? Doesn't have Forest problems. Doesn't have fish problems...... Just human egos. Just a greed and profit human society that is the backbone foundation that creates these explosive symptoms. We humans are doing this. Not the Dolphins. Not the elephants. Not the hummingbirds. The ONLY fix is to change humanity. The detestable society it created. With its gods and shopping and holidays and sports....yadda, yadda, yadda......all fake ego crap. There is an us-against-them mentality around every corner to keep us on our toes and competitive. Yes, that is your every waking moment. That is how much time you spend destroying the planet with your meaningless garbage ego crap....... Every...waking...moment. People need to quit trying to fix the climate (and making it worse) when the only problem that needs fixing is the human race. And this unfortunately is not fixable. There won't be a climate 'diet pill' made for you here. People will fight change with everything inside of them. They will go to war over change. So don't talk about changing anything, unless you want to feel good about yourself and uselessly vote for a government (whatever??) that's going to fix the world for you like a diet pill for the fat gluttonous consumer pigs. This is the real fight.... The enemy of climate change is staring you in the mirror. The battleground is your lifestyle. Don't look up.
Thank you for this good overview about climate situation in Antarctica. Bottom line remains we must cut greenhouse emissions as quickly as possible. Which means we must convince as many as possible. Your Video is a helpful tool for achieving this goal.
Actually it seems like the bottom line is we've been saying that for years and it's not like a simple realization will lead to a complex behavior change on the world level.
The account below was written by Alistair Fothergill in his book 'Life in the Freezer', published in 1993 before the current climate change hysteria. "Beneath your feet at the South pole lie over 3000 metres (about 9800 feet) of ice, 4000 metres (13,123 feet) in parts, which rests not on the sea but on land. Antarctica is a frozen continent larger than Europe, larger even than the United States and Mexico combined. A massive icecap covers 98 percent of that land, swallowing a continent higher than any on Earth. The length of the polar winter night increases with latitude until at the pole itself, the sun sets just once a year. For a while after it disappears, the setting sun provides a glow above the horizon, and then leaves the polar world in complete darkness for half the year. The warmth the polar regions absorb in the summer is far less than the heat they lose in the winter. Only in November and December, the very height of the Antarctic summer, does the South pole actually gain heat. The Antarctic is much colder than the Arctic. The average winter temperature in the Antarctic is minus 60 degrees Celsius. Even on a good summer's day it's minus 30 degrees Celsius, colder than the coldest winter's night at the North Pole. Antarctica is the highest continent on Earth, three times higher than any other. There are larger waves, stronger winds, and more powerful currents in the Southern Ocean than anywhere else on the globe. Icebergs are a real threat to shipping. At times they show up on the radar screen as hundreds on tiny white dots, which in reality could be an iceberg which could easily sink the largest vessel. It is absolutely essential to keep a lookout posted around the clock, and many captains prefer to avoid travelling at night whenever there are lots of icebergs about. On land, cold air from the high continental plateau rushes down the gradient to the sea causing katabatic winds. These can reach over 300 kilometres an hour and add terrifying windchill to the already freezing conditions. If you sail around Antarctica, you will see mainly white ice. Sometimes it towers over you as mighty ice shelves. Elsewhere great glaciers tumble into the ocean, calving off icebergs which make navigation very dangerous." Fast forward to the present. Greenpeace on its website states that '... parts of the Antarctic are warming three times as fast as other parts of our planet. Scientists recently recorded its warmest day ever - a distinctly not-freezing 17.5°C' and also that 'Changing ocean temperatures are also important, because they warm the massive Antarctic glaciers from below, making them less stable.' Quite how changing ocean temperatures are warming the Antarctic glaciers from below given that the Antarctic is a land mass below ten thousand feet or so of ice is not explained - but then, who needs explanations, the scary story is what counts. And where exactly was the claimed temperature of 17.5 degrees measured, and under what circumstances? The British Antarctic survey states: around the coasts of Antarctica, temperatures are generally close to freezing in the summer (December-February) months, or even slightly positive in the northern part of the Antarctic Peninsula. During winter, monthly mean temperatures at coastal stations are between -10°C and -30°C but temperatures may briefly rise towards freezing when winter storms bring warm air towards the Antarctic coast. Conditions on the high interior plateau are much colder as a result of its higher elevation, higher latitude and greater distance from the ocean. Here, summer temperatures struggle to get above -20°C and monthly means fall below -60°C in winter. Vostok station holds the record for the lowest ever temperature recorded on the surface of the Earth (-89.2°C). Greenpeace also say that ' Glaciers form on the Antarctic landmass as snowfall compresses into ice over time, and they flow under their own weight towards the ocean - like a very slow river. But as these glaciers feel the heat of a warmer ocean underneath them, they speed up their slow march to the coast, causing big chunks of ice to break off into the sea as icebergs at a faster speed. The melting and break down of glaciers into the ocean raises sea levels all around the world. Antarctic glaciers are now losing ice faster than snow is falling to add new ice. The rate at which Antarctic ice sheets melt under increasing temperatures will affect coastal communities globally, whether living in small island states or mega-cities.' Yet there have clearly always been plenty of icebergs in the Southern Ocean. Greenpeace are yet again telling us fairy stories (to put it politely). Clearly the Antarctic will not be melting due to human activity.
@@AA-vi1cc You need to look at some real-world meteorological data and ask yourself the question - where's rhe dangerous man-made global warming? Here, for example: www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/maps-and-data/uk-temperature-rainfall-and-sunshine-time-series
I thought that Polar Amplification was possibly taking place in both the Artic, and Antarctica, so it’s interesting to hear what the new paper concludes. It’s definitely alarming! The use of fossil fuels has to be drastically reduced. Great video, thank you, I have watched several of your videos, you explain things very clearly, so I have subscribed to your channel.
thanks Gary! Yeah the amplification signal was hard to detect in Antarctica (especially because of the bemusing behaviour of sea ice) but it seems like things are starting to align more with predictions now...
Yes per paleo-climatology research it shouldn't have been too controversial. Poles seek to equalize Temps and Humidity with Equator. Like steam rom 🍝 pot wants to get out from under lid and into Coldest/Driest corner of kitchen.
@@jhaduvala were anoxic events in Cretaceous but afaik none in Eocene. This being when 🐬 and 🐋 returned to life in water; couldn't have been all that bad at +8
Unfortunately, until you guys get rid of the old people, nothing will change. I hope it’s not too late by then. If you can afford to do it, move as far north as you can.
The climate changes and will continue to change until the world ends, it will always be that way and no one can do anything to prevent it. Superheroes and supervillains who save or destroy worlds only exist in comics, novels, cartoons and science fiction movies. Children who are still in the fantasy stage of their lives are told that they are superheroes and that they can save the world, since they are children and they play, and there is nothing wrong with that, on the contrary. The worrying thing is that adult people are the ones who believe these stories, and even worse, they worry...
...if we act now. Right. As we continue building roads and gas stations, deforestation, over-fishing the oceans, increasing our population, all-around increasing our carbon and environmental footprint. Think it's safe to say we're not gonna act.
Okay, but how do we know when we have actually passed a tipping point? Given the momentum of all these huge systems, how can anyone be confident we haven't already passed the tipping point and just aren't seeing the consequences yet? I'm going to continue to live my life on the assumption that most worst case scenarios are already locked in. I'm not seeing any evidence that they're not.
It makes a lot of sense that the average global temperature is tracking at a lower trajectory. The faster rate of ice loss represents a transfer of energy to the Antarctic. Analogy... melt ice in an oven... the average temperature will remain low while the energy can be transferred to the process of melting the remaining ice.
As a Spurs fan, I can cope with you in an Arsenal top. Thanks for the video. I am concerned that, we are on the high side of just being within model predictions. That the melting of Antarctic sea ice, (not anticipated) can accelerate warming and take us out of model predictions. + It looks like we will need to move cities, at least some coastal cities by the end of the century.
When you say the Antarctic will take centuries to melt, I'm not much comforted. Scientists said that the Antarctic was different than the arctic and that what we've seen there, wasn't going to happen in the south. Now you tell us that surprise, surprise, the Antarctic IS like the Arctic, and has the same sort of faster warming going on. (Something that makes perfect sense to me) It makes me wonder if you (and Jason too), might be wrong about just how fast that ice can disappear. This thought sparks a question: Is there a physics law that can limit how fast ice melts, or is it physically possible for ice to melt faster than a "glacial pace"?
that keeps me up at night too, but we can only go on the available scientific evidence. And I've summarised the findings of the most recent available evidence here.
Been down there and had a look ???? NO !! Where did the ice come from in the first place ??? Its not melting BECAUSE IT"S STILL tens of degrees below zero ! And bye the way ,, THE SEAS HAVE NOT RISEN,, ANYWHERE !! this crap has to stop ! Love to all !
lol, I have been there actually. And you can see from satellites that sea level has rise by around 25 cm worldwide since 1880: climate.nasa.gov/vital-signs/sea-level/ Secondly, Antarctic temperatures do get above zero in summer, although surface melting is not the only way that ice loses mass. A bigger loss factor is the rate at which chunks break off (i.e. icebergs) and ocean driven melting from below is also especially important in the West Antarctic. Love to all !
25 cm rise ? since 1980? Rubbish ! Im 72 lady and i can tell you to go have a look at harbour tide chart records anywhere !! You are a liar or a gullible fool. I invite all to simply look ! Love to all!
Good to see you a Gooner I stayed near Highbury Fields in late 90s. This is soo concerning how Govts inaction is amplifying this. Where I’m from New Zealand we claim to clean and green but we’re far from it. I fear for future generations!!
Great video, good news we still have time. I've read the Thwaites could go in 10 years and give us 3m SLR, so what you say is more postive, although still very unpositive!
Yep . . . place some ice cubes in a glass of water, measure the water level - then check the water level after those cubes have melted. ? ? ? so much flooding . . . . .
Exactly lightning it doesn’t take much to prove the flooding wrong and it seems like she’s getting paid by the the same people as Greta because I gust listened to a who different weather forecast totally different then hers so to speak and I will believe the people who have done the research for more years then she’s been alive.
Co takhle tenhle pohled : ledovce odtaji a tíha co byla na pevninu už není takže pevnina vystupuje navrch zatímco daleko jinde pomalu snižuje nadmořskou výšku ..hm?
@@Lightning613 since ice is 'in the air above the water' it will increase water level. It is like you holding your ice cube on top of your glass already full of water... as it melt, it will make your glass overflood. We are not talking about iceberg here, but a piece of land melting into the ocean... Well the future will tell...
Reducing GHG won’t stop anything. But it will help what could have been. But realistically the only fast and reliable method is to reflect away some of the incoming sunlight back into space. As a scientist don’t you agree?
Pronounced atmospheric and climate changes are happening on earth as well as other planets in the solar system. Mankind needs to figure out ways to cope with the inevitable changes coming and stop blaming themselves for causing it or thinking they can fix it. The sun is the primary driver of climate change change, not man or co2.
Climate change is not happening on other planets at the same rate, timing, and amounts that the Earth is. Some planets and moons are cooling. The Sun has little or nothing to do with the current changes in our climate (over the last 50-100 years) - it has been getting less active since 1957 yet global temperatures continue to rise.
Temperature increases on Mars exceed that of Earth over past decades, wind increases on Venus of significance, auroras being observed for the first time, timing of the biggest storm in the solar system becoming irregular, and more. Just can't blame internal combustion or excess carbon for it.
You are incorrect what is driving this warming is CO2 this is backed by every scientific institution and there is no disagreement among climate scientists. You are in denial of the science
The thing is, so many ‘stabilizers’ have lost their stabilizers and as a result many metrics are much less predictable. It’s like all these interlocking mechanisms like an immense tower of Jenga. So many blocks have lost their neighbours so it twitters and shakes, becoming less and less stable. The wheels have come off the trolley and we’re sliding into the fire!
With climate management we still suffer from detrimental effects. Which is effected first? My body; or my mind? Can we get to the answer through polar amplification ? Does the answer actually mean anything? So if various groups arise, some with mental health deficits and others with physical health deficits. The attribute of the malady could be reversed if the information was readily available.
Atmospheric river rapids and glacial melt lakes are a thing. The problem with runaway processes is they can also become chaotic: forecasting what happens regionally over the world as models are used for in water management planning could become useless. See Sikkim glacial flood disaster and that interplay with dams and think what it would mean if most major infrastructure planning cannot place bounds on yearly hydrological patterns.
Mentioned,when researching Earth,s magnetism it mentions,some 7000 000, years ago ,the north pole now,was the once the south pole. Antartica ,for example,has coal,the product of ancient lush forest etc. How dis researchers know this and written decades ago ?
James Hansen's new paper says the Energy Imbalance has shot up to 4w/m2 (4 watts per square meter) The GAT (Global Average Temperature) rises by 1'c per watt. Ouch that means 4'c rise in GAT. That will increase Water Vapour Earths main Greenhouse Gas to rise by 28%. Which is another 4'c of warming. So Hothouse Earth here we come. Most Biologists and Physiologists state quite simply Humans Cannot Live in a World like that. We are warm blooded mammals and require a GAT of 13-16'c. 22'c GAT will only be suitable for desert dwellers and swamp land cold blooded animals. What does that mean? Europe becomes a desert along with most of the USA, Siberia and Northern Russia turns into a wet marsh, Brazil dries up and become the new Nile Delta. World food production collapses. UK sees 45-50'c every summer. India and Most of East Asia becomes uninhabitable. China Becomes mainly a Desert. The Himalayas disappear rapidly. The Swiss Alps are gone. SLR rises to 1m per year. 2km tall Ice walls collapse in the Arctic and Antarctic. Australia shrivels up and dies. The Lower South America becomes the new Caribbean. The Middle East 55-60'c every summer which kills humans outdoors within 4 hours. Central America and The Caribbean may be ok with the Hot Sea Breeze at 40-50'c but most Islands disappear. Yeah food will be the problem for those that avoid heat stroke. Greenland will not be safe until most of the Ice Cliffs have Collapsed. Well if you are about in 2050-2060 maybe take a Greenland Cruise and forget to re-board. New Zealand 50/50. Well what have we done? The Clever (silly) Monkeys with matches have set the world on fire.
alot of solar activity recently, any corelation observed there? Are we looking? I mean we are also talking about the magnetic poles of the planet right...? which direct energetic solar particles directly to that part of the planet...? with a larger and larger ozone hole... I mean defnitely reduce thoise carbon emssions, but also lets be very careful we arent missing something very big here......
Solar activity has been declining since the 1950s while tropospheric warming has accelerated. If the sun was the driver then all layers of our atmosphere would be warming but we see stratospheric cooling which is consistent with a strengthening greenhouse effect. If the sun was the driver then all planets in our solar system would be warming too but most are stable and some are cooling.
This is an understatement because it does not cover the melting of over 200,000 glaciers in the world. Marine-terminating glaciers (i.e. at the Poles) make up around 40% of Earth’s total glacierised area. However, a 2021 study found that they only contribute 26% to the global ice-mass loss (and thus to sea-level rise). As you point out in this video, the pace of change in land ice sheets at the Poles is "glacial". Nice one! But it is not nearly so glacial in the remaining 60% of the Earth's glaciers - mainly in Canada, High Mountain Asia, and the Southern Andes, though it is more easily monitored in more accessible but smaller glaciers (in the Alps, for example). Monitoring most glaciers has to be done by NASA, and not in situ - but they are definitely diminishing quite fast.
You mention nothing of Hunga Tonga's water vapor, ozone hole being huge most likely due to the water vapor, and solar maximum being absolutely bonkers. There is no such thing as an exponential global warming caused by man. Climatologist earlier this year predicted a ONE PERCENT chance of this year being the hottest on record. They didnt account any factors other than anthropomorphic climate change. Granted El Nino isnt predictable until it starts showing up, but doesnt wholely account for the insane temps. This el nino when it started showing up we were told it will be a super el nino. Turns out itll be moderate at best.
i covered hunga tonga in my last video. ruclips.net/video/B_kJ4QD4R8g/видео.html There's a greater than 99% chance 2023 will be the hottest on record. That's a bit more than 1%. www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-greater-than-99-chance-2023-will-be-hottest-year-on-record/
Thank you for having taking the time to make a new video, just for that logo "issue" (it was a bit awkward in that context, ngl!). As always, I feel ... ah , there's no word in English for that. "dépité" kind of a mix between "disheartened" and "disapointed", so yeah, I feel _dépité_ by the fact that to this day we are still talking about what we should do and not what we are actaully doing to greatly lower our CO2 emissions. I'm in my 40s and I've heard about climate change since my teenage years (even if at that point the disinformation on that topic was way louder than today, so most people didn't realise how real and important that was) and today we are still trying to convince people that we must act quickly and not with half measures. Life on Earth will go on, it have seen other major climate crisis (even if this one is particulary fast), so you could say that in the grand scheme of things it's not the end of the world. But I'm not thinking about what will happen in millions of years, I'm thinking about people who suffer the consequences now, and people who will suffer even more in the coming years or decades. Most of them are in countries that didn't even contrubute to that climate crisis. And meanwhile, in our rich countries, we have people who don't want to sse any change in favor of fighting against that climate change because of... monetary reasons and ideology issues.
100%. For me it's about minimising human suffering, not about protecting the intrinsic value of the particular climate/environment we currently have - because Earth has changed a lot and will continue to do so for many millennia to come... the planet is indifferent to our survival. It's just us that has the vested interest.
Sorry to disillusion you but renewables we currently use cause us to emit more carbon than if we were using fossil fuels as our main source of electricity. Only nuclear power can sustainably create reusable energy successfully. Solar and wind are an environmental disaster as well as being(without all the subsidies they receive) the most expensive and least efficient deliverer of energy. And each 20 or so years everything needs to be replaced 100% driving prices higher and higher.
CO2 Capture? The only mechanism we have that could work today would be massive hemp planting. Hemp works 7x faster than trees, can have up to 3 crops a year, detoxifies soils and can replace plastic. Plastic sponsors all football (soccer, footie) teams. Please make a pitch for it. I'm protesting in front of a Swiss professional school and have zero media coverage, nor support from climate groups. The West Antarctic lies over islands that are below sea level? Sounds like they'd be subject to deep ocean heat. Jim Massa thinks that thermodynamics is important, and has talked about the tipping point being in the 1990s. This heat from below has caused Swiss Cheesification of sea ice barriers, and probably glacial ice. Kris Van Steenbergen had an interesting article in the Daily Kos discussing this. Not exactly mainstream news, but at least it was covered. I noticed in this video you looked a little tired. Maybe you should head on over to the Environmental Coffeehouse for a pick-us-up?
The Golf stream and Arctic will properly make the water raise and then lower it a great / huge deal, since a stop of the Golf stream will make the North freeze over. The question is if our current ice age is scheduled to end in the near future or the all vs most of the melting is our fault?
the gulf stream is a surface current. it's AMOC that stopping would lower temps in the northern hemisphere. nature doesnt work on schedules, at least not anything on human time scales, or let me say better "the emergent properties of complex systems such as climate dont operate on schedules". the science of what is causing rising temps is unequivocal - only burning fossil fuels could account for the current composition of the various isotopes of carbon in the atmosphere.
@@abody499 Our planet does mostly operate on a schedule, yes it is not anywhere near the human timescale, but the ice age is dependent on a lot of events that has to be "wrong". I use the word "golf stream" to make it easier to understand:-) By melting the ice will the salt percentage fall and thereby slowly stop the cycle that brings hot water to the North, this will result in everything getting freezing in the North and thereby freeze a giant area. I am not sure about when our current ice age is determined to properly stop but when that happens, may it either help or harm us. :-)
@@abody499amoc and GS tag team each other but GS is result of earth's spin. Amoc pushes it up to higher latitude. We would dread if Amoc collapses before the Poles are warmed. Otherwise regional Ice Age for Greater Baltika into Alps.
The only thing we’ve kept telling ourselves for DECADES is there’s still time to act and look where it got us to. The problem here is we are living in a system which tried its best to not act and prevent anyone to do so whenever it wasn’t beneficial to the higher ups. I doubt they will do anything until geo engineering is the only “solution” we have left. Just do our best to protect ourselves until then, then hope that we’ll be the survivors among the lives they sacrifice
I'm really not a fan of the doomer-ism. The thing in our way is big corporations making government inaction easier than action. Demand your local and national politicians act on mitigating and reversing climate change. Make it their problem to fix. Corporations pay them to look the other way, but that's not good enough any more.
Dr. Gilbz, could you please comment on the importance of geothermal activity under Thwaites Glacier and in the vicinity of Pine Island Glacier? And also in relation to the large chain of sub-glacial volcanoes recently discovered in West Antarctica?At first glance it seems that the melting in West Antarctica is geothermaly driven.Thanks!! 1. "High geothermal heat flow beneath Thwaites Glacier in West Antarctica inferred from Aeromagnetic Data"(Nature,08-18-21 2. "Evidence of an active volcanic heat source beneath the Pine Island glacier"(Nature, 06-22-18) 3. "A new volcanic province: An inventory of sub-glacial volcanoes in West Antarctica " (Geological society of London, 05-29-17) Would you also please comment on the record cold 2021 winter in Antarctica? Do you believe it to be anomalous, or an indication of extreme variability in Antarctica? Thanks in advance for your input !!
According to many scientists they should be stopping the rockets going all the way into space through our entire atmosphere and destroying it much worse than my car down on the ground😮 have you ever seen a rocket taking off? If my car put it up that much exhaust I would be in jail😮
2nd Summer of super El Nino is always the one where most heat is given back from oceans. There are several tipping points that could take the outcome out of our hands, but I read that the one which will have the greatest effect, the stopping of the AMOC system is already 95% certain to happen by 2080.
Political entities in various cultures have, as of 2023, done nothing to prepare for sea level rise. Thus it can be surmised that they will do nothing in the future (even 300 - 500 years). With this in mind there is great probability that there will be massive disruption in the future.
What else would we expect in the southern polar region with an increasingly deteriorating Ozone layer, not just in Summer but all year round, and increased solar irradiance reaching the Earths surface? I am not letting any of these revelations influence my out look. I simply have an adaption to change mindset. Climate change is a natural process even if uninvited. We have more variability in weather in my country due to the movement of El Nino and La Nina than any other single factor. I am not interested in climate hysteria that is foolish and devisive clap trap, l am more interested in air soil and water pollution by toxic pharmaceuticals, pesticides, insecticides GMO and plastics, as these things undermine the health of the biosphere for long periods of time.
Global warming is causing global mean sea level to rise in two ways. First, glaciers and ice sheets worldwide are melting and adding water to the ocean. Second, the volume of the ocean is expanding as the water warms. A third, much smaller contributor to sea level rise is a decline in the amount of liquid water on land-aquifers, lakes and reservoirs, rivers, soil moisture. This shift of liquid water from land to ocean is largely due to people depleting ground water. From the 1970s up through the last decade or so, melting and heat expansion were contributing roughly equally to observed sea level rise. But the melting of mountain glaciers and ice sheets has accelerated and may now be the largest contributor. Personally, I think that depletion of groundwater is far more serious than sea-level rise - because it does other damage besides adding a small amount to sea-level. In fact it is absolutely lethal, whereas sea-level rise is survivable (?). Temperature rise in general is not survivable in hot damp regions of the world - that is a whole other subject though.
CO2 is rising at 2.5ppm/year. It will be well over 500ppm by 2100. The rate of increase of GW is going to increase. We should know that. 500ppm CO2 has not been seen since the Cretaceous ---- when there were no polar ice caps ! ! ! The only real questions now are -- How fast will the warming occur? and How warm will it be when it stabilizes??
Don't you understand that we already passed the tipping points, in a world of unprecedented speed of warming. There's no way of predicting how long. It has in the past changed in an instant.
You can swallow a trace amount of arsenic and still die. It is not the % of CO2 that counts, its the partial pressure. There is ample to affect global temperatures. IF it weren't for CO2 this planet would be an ice world.
As the north pole moves towards Siberia, Antarctica moves towards warmer climate too. Untill we have no ice left we are still thawing from an ice age 🤔
So what actually is the problem with the ice caps and glaciers melting. I’m quite sure life on earth didn’t try stopping it the last time. And it’s a natural part of the planet. The only thing everyone is worried about is us, not the actual natural world. Also I very much doubt that humans have affected this.
I don’t want to make you cry even more, but have you read the paper from Prof. Euan Nisbet about the methane raise indicating that we are in an ice age termination event? If this is true, then the predicted melting of the west Antarctic will happen in the next 30 years.
there's 1200 gigatons of pressurized methane in the world's largest ocean shelf where the methane emissions are already more than the rest of the world's oceans combined. Just a five gigaton "abrupt eruption" will double atmospheric temperature and the heat blobs melting the arctic ice from underneath will also be melting that frozen methane.
Nasty surprises are always expected because scientists must be very (overly) cautious, especially COP. You seemed to ignore that SLR caused by Expansion, Greenland melting, and other glaciers melting all affect Antarctic melting. Further, Glacial Isostatic Adjustment( GIA ) may drive seismic and volcanic activity, increasing ocean effects on The Thuates. On the positive side, there are good surprises from technology. We will develop solutions which still need to be understood. My book Pluvicopia proposes the most significant technology to help us adjust the planet responsibly. Please read it and give the idea a chance in your mind. Most people are too scared to trust their own reasoning.
![Natanael Cano - Amor Eterno [Official Video]](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/EO4prCs6WpM/mqdefault.jpg)
no worries. Was just kidding. No need to record it a second time. Thanks for your great work. Humanity owes you. I have huge respect for what you are doing
I like your climate stripes. Cool.
Everyone knows if you want to be published you have to cry wolf
About 12 years ago I started selling solar water kits ,I assumed as fuel costs went up or the weather swings became more noticeable people would take action to reduce water heating costs etc.
What I failed to realize is the population is to stupid to realize or do anything.
Just a little too good at spotting an opportunity.
or too poor. Its the purchase cost that ruins that sort of change over. Typically people also have to install and maintain the stuff themselves. Most aren't that mechanically inclined. For example, I can't afford a normal car for 25k so why would I go out and buy a 40k EV that I can't recharge anywhere anyway and takes an hour each time even if I can find somewhere to charge it?
@@ADobbin1
You could however recharge an E-bike I presume, and stop dragging around a few tons of empty seats every morning.
@@chrisyarnold6205no my job is 15 mins away by car at highway speeds. No ebike can make that trip, rather I can make it to work but I wont make it home again. Yes I did the range math. Since I live in an apartment building I have nowhere to charge it at home. I actually bought a motorcycle a couple years ago which has cut my fuel cost by three quarters. Unfortunately winter puts an end to that. Snow and two wheels don't go well together.
@@ADobbin1
Let's hope that EV's become more affordable on the second hand market, before petrol and diesel becomes unavailable.
Thank you for a very balanced and informative video. I am impressed how you can condense so many information in ten minutes footage. One of the best which I saw in youtube about such topic.
thanks!
Aw, I would have loved seeing the Arsenal shirt though. ❤ Happy the algorithm steered me to your channel :)
@@vicw9223 Victory grows through harmony :)
massive respect to you for the re-upload!
I'm a people pleaser, what can I say ;)
Massive respect to you for the 15k new subs too. Huge!
Subscribed! RUclips finally recommended a channel that I wanted to see, yours. I love science and science news, so I was very happy with your outstanding presentation. I am looking forward to watching more of your work. Thank you for making and sharing it.
Ah fantastic, welcome and thanks for the sub :)
Good morning Dr. Ella Gilbz, Brazil (Rio) here. It's pelting down in spates here. As an Antarctica scholar, is there any accessible piece of research available for us here in South America where we could understand and eventually prepare better (if feasible) for the coming changes as the ice sheets melt? I mean matter-of-factly some of us are already assuming the weather's gone completely haywire, Like the worst historic drought in the Amazon basin, the wettest historic floods in southern Brazil, the hottest historic spring in Rio, the worst ever-recorded winter temp in São Paulo, etc. So to be candid we are no longer hoping for any international or national aid or intervention or even honest information. So what do we do frankly? How can we cope with it? I don't mind drowning or starving but at the very least I would like to die aware of what is really going on... we are completely left in the dark. What to read? Please, no Bible or Edgard Cayce or outdated IPCC reports.... PS: your "Ficus" is lovely! Lots of them down here with more green leaves!
Get on with life rather than preparing for imaginary calamities. Researching history especially Geology will tell you all this in one way or another occurred on Earth many times over before man even existed. Scientists are making a fortune worldwide with this mumbo jumbo they invented to line their pockets from gullible people.
SAVE THE ANTS FROM THE WV !!
Water Vapor (WV) is a greenhouse gas as potent as CO2 according to theory. On average there is 50 times as much WV in the atmosphere as CO2.
The fact that it is non-persistent is often mentioned. It doesn't have to be. You can AVERAGE (integrate) the effect. There is on AVERAGE 50 times as much.
Non-persistent ==> Definition - only heat trapped by CO2 molecules can evaporate water vapor molecules. The heat water vapor traps doesn't cause water evaporation.
Amazon does seem to dry ad Sahara wettens and greens. I don't have explanation yet but seem the pattern.
We're losing the global heatsink. The oceans have absorbed over 90% of the temperature rise. All our bad weather is the result of less than 10% of the heat generated by climate change. And the temperature continues to rise. When we lose the global heatsink...we fry. It doesn't look "bad". To me it looks terminal. Unless we can manufacture more ice, or chill the water of the oceans. We don't have the technology...and most people are oblivious. Deckchairs on the Titanic.
Tell me about, you ever heard of insane religious loons who deny this
We’re going to have to do “everything, everywhere, all at once” planting kelp forests is one of the things that I most hold out hope for…amongst other things.
@TheAnticorporatist in also deal with religious frantics later. Remember this is God plan, his gonna come back on a white horse and kill us because where sinners who didn't believe in him
Sure while the oceans are dying that'll work. What needs to be done to "help" is what no one wants to do as a whole .so as a whole they go in the hole together . Volcanic action under there too? It is in the arctic.
Im going to educate myself on heatsink .ty. 👍🏻
Right ! Antarctica is getting colder and colder.
Good pace to go and loom❤️🌏👀👍
I watch this because I'm sort of addicted to that breathlessness you get when you hear bad news or, say, you lose all your life savings on a horse that falls at the first hurdle.
I'm addicted to thunderstorms, eartquakes, heatwaves and lightbeams: It let me wonder about the wonderfulness and power of a living Earth warmed by a burning Sun and gives me regularly a gentle kick in the ass for good, say, how can I save the books and praise the Lord! ❤️🔥
Thanks for the great info. We all make slip-ups with (like ads on shirts), but more importantly, we all try to move forward doing better, and in your case, helping others move forward with clear information to guild them. Stay amazing!
Watch for the active volcanoes under the Antartic ice sheet
Thye make little or no difference
I have a feeling that we're wrong about how slow the ice sheets are going to melt.
You and me both, bro.
If 'underestimating' occurs again and again, it is a systematic mistake on the part of those who estimate.
We underestimated global dimming,
We underestimated the occurrence of tipping elements
We underestimated the rate of warming.
We underestimated how much we would lie under these conditions...
Bad luck streak. Unfortunate kappa
Just a human self defence mechanism kicking in. This can't be that bad, we didn't f**k up that badly, let's not assume worst case scenario. Deny, deny, deny, to ourselves.
That's good old denial at work.
Thing is, they never really underestimated it. Not the scientist. Look at the entire report. It was devastating. However, the summary everyone saw was put together by global oligarchs and corporate news.
They always take the least worst Model in the calculations of climate models.
They do that, because they don't want to overstate and exaggerate what could happen, the downside is, they always underestimate, the upside is they keep to be credible.
Arctic ice?
Tipping?
Glaciers where melting before we hade SUVs.
Tony Heller has the papers from 1900 as a prof of facts.
Tony Heller relies on misleading the uniformed. He often presents the data of one ice core as a global indicator when real science compiles thousands of records. This is why he has never produced a peer-reviewed publication.
Heller's childish temperature software is hilarious. It shows the US is cooling (it's not) and Europe has warmed by 9°F since 1895 (it has not). He's a fool.
Tony fucking Heller..the most obvious liar around
Thanks for always keeping us up to date with the beauty of the cryosphere and the often unfortunate news related to it. Don't worry about the Arsenal shirt as we're all human and it's often easy to forget all the subconscious messages we give off or all the crazy things we've normalised like oil companies sponsoring the rugby.
IF we do this, IF we do that, IF IF IF. The changes needed to stop this will not be tolerated by people. We love our cars and phones too much to do what really needs to be done. Nature is the only force that can and will put a stop to us.
Circular economies, championing responsible consumption and production, are pivotal in reducing waste and diminishing our collective environmental impact, laying the groundwork for a more sustainable economic paradigm.
I know this is kind of a dumb question, but does this mean that video on climate doomism is now incorrect and that we are doomed? Im not trying to be snarky or anything it just feels like whenever some new scary study comes out it invalidates older statements about how there is hope.
I don't think any single study can tell us we are doomed or saved. The general points in the doomism video about how best to motivate people still stand, and as I say in this vid, we haven't yet committed to tipping anything. Which means it's still possible to change things... This new research doesn't tell us anything we didn't already suspect, just shows us how quickly things are going.
The doomers are the ones out there changing the world and choosing to live life differently. Everyone else is either hoping, praying, or simply denying.
Change won't happen. If all we have for such change is "hope'.
Humans are missing the point in their fight with the climate.
We do not have a climate change issue to fight. That's just scapegoating for the ego intensified humans.
This climate change is yet again simply one more symptom..... that would not exist if our species were not on this planet.....that we are trying to pass the buck on.
The world...'earth'.... doesn't have plastic problems. Doesn't have food insecurity problems. Doesn't have coral reef problems. Doesn't lack funding for these problems?? Doesn't have Forest problems. Doesn't have fish problems...... Just human egos. Just a greed and profit human society that is the backbone foundation that creates these explosive symptoms. We humans are doing this. Not the Dolphins. Not the elephants. Not the hummingbirds. The ONLY fix is to change humanity. The detestable society it created. With its gods and shopping and holidays and sports....yadda, yadda, yadda......all fake ego crap. There is an us-against-them mentality around every corner to keep us on our toes and competitive. Yes, that is your every waking moment. That is how much time you spend destroying the planet with your meaningless garbage ego crap....... Every...waking...moment.
People need to quit trying to fix the climate (and making it worse) when the only problem that needs fixing is the human race.
And this unfortunately is not fixable. There won't be a climate 'diet pill' made for you here.
People will fight change with everything inside of them. They will go to war over change.
So don't talk about changing anything, unless you want to feel good about yourself and uselessly vote for a government (whatever??) that's going to fix the world for you like a diet pill for the fat gluttonous consumer pigs.
This is the real fight.... The enemy of climate change is staring you in the mirror. The battleground is your lifestyle.
Don't look up.
Thank you for this good overview about climate situation in Antarctica. Bottom line remains we must cut greenhouse emissions as quickly as possible. Which means we must convince as many as possible. Your Video is a helpful tool for achieving this goal.
Actually it seems like the bottom line is we've been saying that for years and it's not like a simple realization will lead to a complex behavior change on the world level.
Latest news: this is no longer the script
Will
Not
Happen
Unfortunately
The account below was written by Alistair Fothergill in his book 'Life in the Freezer', published in 1993 before the current climate change hysteria.
"Beneath your feet at the South pole lie over 3000 metres (about 9800 feet) of ice, 4000 metres (13,123 feet) in parts, which rests not on the sea but on land. Antarctica is a frozen continent larger than Europe, larger even than the United States and Mexico combined. A massive icecap covers 98 percent of that land, swallowing a continent higher than any on Earth. The length of the polar winter night increases with latitude until at the pole itself, the sun sets just once a year. For a while after it disappears, the setting sun provides a glow above the horizon, and then leaves the polar world in complete darkness for half the year.
The warmth the polar regions absorb in the summer is far less than the heat they lose in the winter. Only in November and December, the very height of the Antarctic summer, does the South pole actually gain heat. The Antarctic is much colder than the Arctic. The average winter temperature in the Antarctic is minus 60 degrees Celsius. Even on a good summer's day it's minus 30 degrees Celsius, colder than the coldest winter's night at the North Pole. Antarctica is the highest continent on Earth, three times higher than any other.
There are larger waves, stronger winds, and more powerful currents in the Southern Ocean than anywhere else on the globe. Icebergs are a real threat to shipping. At times they show up on the radar screen as hundreds on tiny white dots, which in reality could be an iceberg which could easily sink the largest vessel. It is absolutely essential to keep a lookout posted around the clock, and many captains prefer to avoid travelling at night whenever there are lots of icebergs about. On land, cold air from the high continental plateau rushes down the gradient to the sea causing katabatic winds. These can reach over 300 kilometres an hour and add terrifying windchill to the already freezing conditions.
If you sail around Antarctica, you will see mainly white ice. Sometimes it towers over you as mighty ice shelves. Elsewhere great glaciers tumble into the ocean, calving off icebergs which make navigation very dangerous."
Fast forward to the present.
Greenpeace on its website states that '... parts of the Antarctic are warming three times as fast as other parts of our planet. Scientists recently recorded its warmest day ever - a distinctly not-freezing 17.5°C' and also that 'Changing ocean temperatures are also important, because they warm the massive Antarctic glaciers from below, making them less stable.'
Quite how changing ocean temperatures are warming the Antarctic glaciers from below given that the Antarctic is a land mass below ten thousand feet or so of ice is not explained - but then, who needs explanations, the scary story is what counts. And where exactly was the claimed temperature of 17.5 degrees measured, and under what circumstances? The British Antarctic survey states: around the coasts of Antarctica, temperatures are generally close to freezing in the summer (December-February) months, or even slightly positive in the northern part of the Antarctic Peninsula. During winter, monthly mean temperatures at coastal stations are between -10°C and -30°C but temperatures may briefly rise towards freezing when winter storms bring warm air towards the Antarctic coast. Conditions on the high interior plateau are much colder as a result of its higher elevation, higher latitude and greater distance from the ocean. Here, summer temperatures struggle to get above -20°C and monthly means fall below -60°C in winter. Vostok station holds the record for the lowest ever temperature recorded on the surface of the Earth (-89.2°C).
Greenpeace also say that ' Glaciers form on the Antarctic landmass as snowfall compresses into ice over time, and they flow under their own weight towards the ocean - like a very slow river. But as these glaciers feel the heat of a warmer ocean underneath them, they speed up their slow march to the coast, causing big chunks of ice to break off into the sea as icebergs at a faster speed. The melting and break down of glaciers into the ocean raises sea levels all around the world. Antarctic glaciers are now losing ice faster than snow is falling to add new ice. The rate at which Antarctic ice sheets melt under increasing temperatures will affect coastal communities globally, whether living in small island states or mega-cities.'
Yet there have clearly always been plenty of icebergs in the Southern Ocean. Greenpeace are yet again telling us fairy stories (to put it politely).
Clearly the Antarctic will not be melting due to human activity.
A lot of text and no coherent argument against anthropogenic warming. Shocking
@@AA-vi1cc You need to look at some real-world meteorological data and ask yourself the question - where's rhe dangerous man-made global warming?
Here, for example:
www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/maps-and-data/uk-temperature-rainfall-and-sunshine-time-series
Wish u 10 million views ✨
The northern hemisphere is trying its hardest to ruin the world’s climate. What can be done?
Remember when you buy Chinese products. They are building two new coal plants, a week.
People won't stop buying Chinese products. As long as they can buy, they will.
As a child i learned in school,that we live at the end of an ice age….how can we be surprised by the warming up😅
it's the speed of change that is the problem.
I thought that Polar Amplification was possibly taking place in both the Artic, and Antarctica, so it’s interesting to hear what the new paper concludes. It’s definitely alarming! The use of fossil fuels has to be drastically reduced. Great video, thank you, I have watched several of your videos, you explain things very clearly, so I have subscribed to your channel.
thanks Gary! Yeah the amplification signal was hard to detect in Antarctica (especially because of the bemusing behaviour of sea ice) but it seems like things are starting to align more with predictions now...
Yes per paleo-climatology research it shouldn't have been too controversial.
Poles seek to equalize Temps and Humidity with Equator. Like steam rom 🍝 pot wants to get out from under lid and into Coldest/Driest corner of kitchen.
The poles aren't enough. The oceans are aleady absorbing 91% of the temperature rise (Sources : NATO and UNEP)
@@jhaduvala were anoxic events in Cretaceous but afaik none in Eocene. This being when 🐬 and 🐋 returned to life in water; couldn't have been all that bad at +8
@@DrSmooth2000 What babble is this? "Anoxic events"??
Unfortunately, until you guys get rid of the old people, nothing will change. I hope it’s not too late by then. If you can afford to do it, move as far north as you can.
The climate changes and will continue to change until the world ends, it will always be that way and no one can do anything to prevent it. Superheroes and supervillains who save or destroy worlds only exist in comics, novels, cartoons and science fiction movies. Children who are still in the fantasy stage of their lives are told that they are superheroes and that they can save the world, since they are children and they play, and there is nothing wrong with that, on the contrary. The worrying thing is that adult people are the ones who believe these stories, and even worse, they worry...
Never at this rate
...if we act now. Right. As we continue building roads and gas stations, deforestation, over-fishing the oceans, increasing our population, all-around increasing our carbon and environmental footprint.
Think it's safe to say we're not gonna act.
Thanks for the great video once again!!! I'm writing an essay on the WAIS so super appreciate you putting in the reference papers!!! :))
glad it was helpful :)
Thanks Dr Gilbz - more power to you!
Okay, but how do we know when we have actually passed a tipping point? Given the momentum of all these huge systems, how can anyone be confident we haven't already passed the tipping point and just aren't seeing the consequences yet?
I'm going to continue to live my life on the assumption that most worst case scenarios are already locked in. I'm not seeing any evidence that they're not.
YES!! a younger scientist who can tell her generation about climate change and our future.
It makes a lot of sense that the average global temperature is tracking at a lower trajectory. The faster rate of ice loss represents a transfer of energy to the Antarctic. Analogy... melt ice in an oven... the average temperature will remain low while the energy can be transferred to the process of melting the remaining ice.
How long will it take for sea level rise models to be adjusted with this new data ?
As a Spurs fan, I can cope with you in an Arsenal top. Thanks for the video. I am concerned that, we are on the high side of just being within model predictions. That the melting of Antarctic sea ice, (not anticipated) can accelerate warming and take us out of model predictions. + It looks like we will need to move cities, at least some coastal cities by the end of the century.
Thankyou for the info
When you say the Antarctic will take centuries to melt, I'm not much comforted.
Scientists said that the Antarctic was different than the arctic and that what we've seen there, wasn't going to happen in the south.
Now you tell us that surprise, surprise, the Antarctic IS like the Arctic, and has the same sort of faster warming going on.
(Something that makes perfect sense to me)
It makes me wonder if you (and Jason too), might be wrong about just how fast that ice can disappear.
This thought sparks a question:
Is there a physics law that can limit how fast ice melts, or is it physically possible for ice to melt faster than a "glacial pace"?
that keeps me up at night too, but we can only go on the available scientific evidence. And I've summarised the findings of the most recent available evidence here.
Been down there and had a look ???? NO !! Where did the ice come from in the first place ??? Its not melting BECAUSE IT"S STILL tens of degrees below zero ! And bye the way ,, THE SEAS HAVE NOT RISEN,, ANYWHERE !! this crap has to stop ! Love to all !
lol, I have been there actually. And you can see from satellites that sea level has rise by around 25 cm worldwide since 1880: climate.nasa.gov/vital-signs/sea-level/
Secondly, Antarctic temperatures do get above zero in summer, although surface melting is not the only way that ice loses mass. A bigger loss factor is the rate at which chunks break off (i.e. icebergs) and ocean driven melting from below is also especially important in the West Antarctic.
Love to all !
25 cm rise ? since 1980? Rubbish ! Im 72 lady and i can tell you to go have a look at harbour tide chart records anywhere !! You are a liar or a gullible fool. I invite all to simply look ! Love to all!
Since 1880, not 1980. Read the comment properly before reply with your reactionary outpourings.
Since 1880 maybe ONE INCH. Tidal charts go back hundreds of years if you look !! JUST LOOK !!!!
Sea level rise is the least of our worries, we’ll die from starvation long before sea level rise is a major concern
Nice and fast explained
Supposition is not a basis for a hypothesis.
Good to see you a Gooner I stayed near Highbury Fields in late 90s. This is soo concerning how Govts inaction is amplifying this. Where I’m from New Zealand we claim to clean and green but we’re far from it. I fear for future generations!!
Great video, good news we still have time. I've read the Thwaites could go in 10 years and give us 3m SLR, so what you say is more postive, although still very unpositive!
Life on earth will survive. Humanity will not. 😎🖤👍
Hi, Great video. It's good to get the truth from an expert, even if that truth makes for uncomfortable listening! Keep up the great work.
thanks Phil!
So, we are heading toward a big flood again... but slowly. Well, i guess, Noa had some time to build his boat...
Yep . . . place some ice cubes in a glass of water, measure the water level - then check the water level after those cubes have melted.
? ? ?
so much flooding . . . . .
Exactly lightning it doesn’t take much to prove the flooding wrong and it seems like she’s getting paid by the the same people as Greta because I gust listened to a who different weather forecast totally different then hers so to speak and I will believe the people who have done the research for more years then she’s been alive.
Co takhle tenhle pohled : ledovce odtaji a tíha co byla na pevninu už není takže pevnina vystupuje navrch zatímco daleko jinde pomalu snižuje nadmořskou výšku ..hm?
@@Lightning613 since ice is 'in the air above the water' it will increase water level. It is like you holding your ice cube on top of your glass already full of water... as it melt, it will make your glass overflood. We are not talking about iceberg here, but a piece of land melting into the ocean... Well the future will tell...
Very informative video! ❤🎉😊
Reducing GHG won’t stop anything. But it will help what could have been. But realistically the only fast and reliable method is to reflect away some of the incoming sunlight back into space. As a scientist don’t you agree?
I love being taken by surprise
Pronounced atmospheric and climate changes are happening on earth as well as other planets in the solar system. Mankind needs to figure out ways to cope with the inevitable changes coming and stop blaming themselves for causing it or thinking they can fix it. The sun is the primary driver of climate change change, not man or co2.
Climate change is not happening on other planets at the same rate, timing, and amounts that the Earth is. Some planets and moons are cooling. The Sun has little or nothing to do with the current changes in our climate (over the last 50-100 years) - it has been getting less active since 1957 yet global temperatures continue to rise.
Temperature increases on Mars exceed that of Earth over past decades, wind increases on Venus of significance, auroras being observed for the first time, timing of the biggest storm in the solar system becoming irregular, and more. Just can't blame internal combustion or excess carbon for it.
You are incorrect what is driving this warming is CO2 this is backed by every scientific institution and there is no disagreement among climate scientists.
You are in denial of the science
@@MrAntonLucas Reference to those temperature changes? I cant find any.
@@MrAntonLucas
I’d be concerned…….if we lived on Mars or Venus. Fortunately, we don’t.
Expecting all the nations of the world to lower their emissions is like asking the Premier League clubs to adhere to a voluntary salary cap.
I love condition 3 regarding comments.
The thing is, so many ‘stabilizers’ have lost their stabilizers and as a result many metrics are much less predictable. It’s like all these interlocking mechanisms like an immense tower of Jenga. So many blocks have lost their neighbours so it twitters and shakes, becoming less and less stable. The wheels have come off the trolley and we’re sliding into the fire!
With climate management we still suffer from detrimental effects. Which is effected first? My body; or my mind?
Can we get to the answer through polar amplification ? Does the answer actually mean anything? So if various groups arise, some with mental health deficits and others with physical health deficits. The attribute of the malady could be reversed if the information was readily available.
Atmospheric river rapids and glacial melt lakes are a thing. The problem with runaway processes is they can also become chaotic: forecasting what happens regionally over the world as models are used for in water management planning could become useless. See Sikkim glacial flood disaster and that interplay with dams and think what it would mean if most major infrastructure planning cannot place bounds on yearly hydrological patterns.
Mentioned,when researching Earth,s magnetism it mentions,some 7000 000, years ago ,the north pole now,was the once the south pole.
Antartica ,for example,has coal,the product of ancient lush forest etc.
How dis researchers know this and written decades ago ?
James Hansen's new paper says the Energy Imbalance has shot up to 4w/m2 (4 watts per square meter) The GAT (Global Average Temperature) rises by 1'c per watt. Ouch that means 4'c rise in GAT. That will increase Water Vapour Earths main Greenhouse Gas to rise by 28%. Which is another 4'c of warming. So Hothouse Earth here we come. Most Biologists and Physiologists state quite simply Humans Cannot Live in a World like that. We are warm blooded mammals and require a GAT of 13-16'c. 22'c GAT will only be suitable for desert dwellers and swamp land cold blooded animals. What does that mean? Europe becomes a desert along with most of the USA, Siberia and Northern Russia turns into a wet marsh, Brazil dries up and become the new Nile Delta. World food production collapses. UK sees 45-50'c every summer. India and Most of East Asia becomes uninhabitable. China Becomes mainly a Desert. The Himalayas disappear rapidly. The Swiss Alps are gone. SLR rises to 1m per year. 2km tall Ice walls collapse in the Arctic and Antarctic. Australia shrivels up and dies. The Lower South America becomes the new Caribbean. The Middle East 55-60'c every summer which kills humans outdoors within 4 hours. Central America and The Caribbean may be ok with the Hot Sea Breeze at 40-50'c but most Islands disappear. Yeah food will be the problem for those that avoid heat stroke. Greenland will not be safe until most of the Ice Cliffs have Collapsed. Well if you are about in 2050-2060 maybe take a Greenland Cruise and forget to re-board. New Zealand 50/50. Well what have we done? The Clever (silly) Monkeys with matches have set the world on fire.
Maybe float a few trillion ping pong balls on the Arctic Ocean like they have shielded reservoirs?
Ping Pong balls, what are they made of again? ;)
alot of solar activity recently, any corelation observed there? Are we looking? I mean we are also talking about the magnetic poles of the planet right...? which direct energetic solar particles directly to that part of the planet...? with a larger and larger ozone hole... I mean defnitely reduce thoise carbon emssions, but also lets be very careful we arent missing something very big here......
Solar activity has been declining since the 1950s while tropospheric warming has accelerated. If the sun was the driver then all layers of our atmosphere would be warming but we see stratospheric cooling which is consistent with a strengthening greenhouse effect. If the sun was the driver then all planets in our solar system would be warming too but most are stable and some are cooling.
What was wrong with the jersey? I don’t understand why you needed to re-record it.
This is an understatement because it does not cover the melting of over 200,000 glaciers in the world. Marine-terminating glaciers (i.e. at the Poles) make up around 40% of Earth’s total glacierised area. However, a 2021 study found that they only contribute 26% to the global ice-mass loss (and thus to sea-level rise). As you point out in this video, the pace of change in land ice sheets at the Poles is "glacial". Nice one! But it is not nearly so glacial in the remaining 60% of the Earth's glaciers - mainly in Canada, High Mountain Asia, and the Southern Andes, though it is more easily monitored in more accessible but smaller glaciers (in the Alps, for example). Monitoring most glaciers has to be done by NASA, and not in situ - but they are definitely diminishing quite fast.
You mention nothing of Hunga Tonga's water vapor, ozone hole being huge most likely due to the water vapor, and solar maximum being absolutely bonkers. There is no such thing as an exponential global warming caused by man. Climatologist earlier this year predicted a ONE PERCENT chance of this year being the hottest on record. They didnt account any factors other than anthropomorphic climate change. Granted El Nino isnt predictable until it starts showing up, but doesnt wholely account for the insane temps. This el nino when it started showing up we were told it will be a super el nino. Turns out itll be moderate at best.
i covered hunga tonga in my last video. ruclips.net/video/B_kJ4QD4R8g/видео.html
There's a greater than 99% chance 2023 will be the hottest on record. That's a bit more than 1%. www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-greater-than-99-chance-2023-will-be-hottest-year-on-record/
Thank you 🙏 for this important information
Thank you for having taking the time to make a new video, just for that logo "issue" (it was a bit awkward in that context, ngl!).
As always, I feel ... ah , there's no word in English for that. "dépité" kind of a mix between "disheartened" and "disapointed", so yeah, I feel _dépité_ by the fact that to this day we are still talking about what we should do and not what we are actaully doing to greatly lower our CO2 emissions. I'm in my 40s and I've heard about climate change since my teenage years (even if at that point the disinformation on that topic was way louder than today, so most people didn't realise how real and important that was) and today we are still trying to convince people that we must act quickly and not with half measures.
Life on Earth will go on, it have seen other major climate crisis (even if this one is particulary fast), so you could say that in the grand scheme of things it's not the end of the world. But I'm not thinking about what will happen in millions of years, I'm thinking about people who suffer the consequences now, and people who will suffer even more in the coming years or decades. Most of them are in countries that didn't even contrubute to that climate crisis. And meanwhile, in our rich countries, we have people who don't want to sse any change in favor of fighting against that climate change because of... monetary reasons and ideology issues.
100%. For me it's about minimising human suffering, not about protecting the intrinsic value of the particular climate/environment we currently have - because Earth has changed a lot and will continue to do so for many millennia to come... the planet is indifferent to our survival. It's just us that has the vested interest.
Sorry to disillusion you but renewables we currently use cause us to emit more carbon than if we were using fossil fuels as our main source of electricity. Only nuclear power can sustainably create reusable energy successfully. Solar and wind are an environmental disaster as well as being(without all the subsidies they receive) the most expensive and least efficient deliverer of energy. And each 20 or so years everything needs to be replaced 100% driving prices higher and higher.
sweet! wake-up and a new Dr Gibz video wonder if it's gonna be a nice surprise!
I thought was deliberate tongue in check commentary,😂 so still worked for me
CO2 Capture? The only mechanism we have that could work today would be massive hemp planting. Hemp works 7x faster than trees, can have up to 3 crops a year, detoxifies soils and can replace plastic. Plastic sponsors all football (soccer, footie) teams.
Please make a pitch for it. I'm protesting in front of a Swiss professional school and have zero media coverage, nor support from climate groups.
The West Antarctic lies over islands that are below sea level? Sounds like they'd be subject to deep ocean heat. Jim Massa thinks that thermodynamics is important, and has talked about the tipping point being in the 1990s. This heat from below has caused Swiss Cheesification of sea ice barriers, and probably glacial ice. Kris Van Steenbergen had an interesting article in the Daily Kos discussing this. Not exactly mainstream news, but at least it was covered.
I noticed in this video you looked a little tired. Maybe you should head on over to the Environmental Coffeehouse for a pick-us-up?
I love the Hemp idea Larry
Sandy is everywhere!! haha. Larry - nice Swiss Cheese joke!!
I am hoping to have Dr. G as our guest!
@@voidisyinyangvoidisyinyang885
The Golf stream and Arctic will properly make the water raise and then lower it a great / huge deal, since a stop of the Golf stream will make the North freeze over. The question is if our current ice age is scheduled to end in the near future or the all vs most of the melting is our fault?
the gulf stream is a surface current. it's AMOC that stopping would lower temps in the northern hemisphere. nature doesnt work on schedules, at least not anything on human time scales, or let me say better "the emergent properties of complex systems such as climate dont operate on schedules". the science of what is causing rising temps is unequivocal - only burning fossil fuels could account for the current composition of the various isotopes of carbon in the atmosphere.
@@abody499 Our planet does mostly operate on a schedule, yes it is not anywhere near the human timescale, but the ice age is dependent on a lot of events that has to be "wrong". I use the word "golf stream" to make it easier to understand:-) By melting the ice will the salt percentage fall and thereby slowly stop the cycle that brings hot water to the North, this will result in everything getting freezing in the North and thereby freeze a giant area.
I am not sure about when our current ice age is determined to properly stop but when that happens, may it either help or harm us. :-)
u dont understand the emergent properties of the complex climate system to which i refer. the gUlf stream is not the same thing as amoc
@@abody499amoc and GS tag team each other but GS is result of earth's spin. Amoc pushes it up to higher latitude.
We would dread if Amoc collapses before the Poles are warmed. Otherwise regional Ice Age for Greater Baltika into Alps.
The only thing we’ve kept telling ourselves for DECADES is there’s still time to act and look where it got us to. The problem here is we are living in a system which tried its best to not act and prevent anyone to do so whenever it wasn’t beneficial to the higher ups. I doubt they will do anything until geo engineering is the only “solution” we have left. Just do our best to protect ourselves until then, then hope that we’ll be the survivors among the lives they sacrifice
I'm really not a fan of the doomer-ism. The thing in our way is big corporations making government inaction easier than action. Demand your local and national politicians act on mitigating and reversing climate change. Make it their problem to fix. Corporations pay them to look the other way, but that's not good enough any more.
BTW, who won between Tottenham and Arsenal?
I spent 1 and 1/2 years in the artic how about it,.it sure looks different from the days at Barter Island near Pruto Bay... 1965
Dr. Gilbz, could you please comment on the importance of geothermal activity under Thwaites Glacier and in the vicinity of Pine Island Glacier? And also in relation to the large chain of sub-glacial volcanoes recently discovered in West Antarctica?At first glance it seems that the melting in West Antarctica is geothermaly driven.Thanks!!
1. "High geothermal heat flow beneath Thwaites Glacier in West Antarctica inferred from Aeromagnetic Data"(Nature,08-18-21
2. "Evidence of an active volcanic heat source beneath the Pine Island glacier"(Nature, 06-22-18)
3. "A new volcanic province: An inventory of sub-glacial volcanoes in West Antarctica " (Geological society of London, 05-29-17)
Would you also please comment on the record cold 2021 winter in Antarctica? Do you believe it to be anomalous, or an indication of extreme variability in Antarctica? Thanks in advance for your input !!
Why do I see a channel cut from the Mediterranean into the Saharan lowlands in our future!
Sorry i´m so numb to advertizing i didn´t even notice it. Was expecting something new... but anyways good refresher.
Me too, apparently...
I seriously don't understand why you don't have more traction but thank you for the excellent information, dire as it is.
working on it... ;)
According to many scientists they should be stopping the rockets going all the way into space through our entire atmosphere and destroying it much worse than my car down on the ground😮 have you ever seen a rocket taking off? If my car put it up that much exhaust I would be in jail😮
Elon Mush claims hydrogen fuel is clean or something
My thoughts exactly
2nd Summer of super El Nino is always the one where most heat is given back from oceans.
There are several tipping points that could take the outcome out of our hands, but I read that the one which will have the greatest effect, the stopping of the AMOC system is already 95% certain to happen by 2080.
Political entities in various cultures have, as of 2023, done nothing to prepare for sea level rise. Thus it can be surmised that they will do nothing in the future (even 300 - 500 years). With this in mind there is great probability that there will be massive disruption in the future.
Next few centuries there will be no monkeys left but maybe there's time for ants to act. The power is in their pinchers.
Your videos are so important, hope they are seen by millions of people
Thank you :)
How different our planet would look like if surpass the threshold?
What else would we expect in the southern polar region with an increasingly deteriorating Ozone layer, not just in Summer but all year round, and increased solar irradiance reaching the Earths surface? I am not letting any of these revelations influence my out look. I simply have an adaption to change mindset. Climate change is a natural process even if uninvited.
We have more variability in weather in my country due to the movement of El Nino and La Nina than any other single factor. I am not interested in climate hysteria that is foolish and devisive clap trap, l am more interested in air soil and water pollution by toxic pharmaceuticals, pesticides, insecticides GMO and plastics, as these things undermine the health of the biosphere for long periods of time.
Global warming is causing global mean sea level to rise in two ways. First, glaciers and ice sheets worldwide are melting and adding water to the ocean. Second, the volume of the ocean is expanding as the water warms. A third, much smaller contributor to sea level rise is a decline in the amount of liquid water on land-aquifers, lakes and reservoirs, rivers, soil moisture. This shift of liquid water from land to ocean is largely due to people depleting ground water. From the 1970s up through the last decade or so, melting and heat expansion were contributing roughly equally to observed sea level rise. But the melting of mountain glaciers and ice sheets has accelerated and may now be the largest contributor. Personally, I think that depletion of groundwater is far more serious than sea-level rise - because it does other damage besides adding a small amount to sea-level. In fact it is absolutely lethal, whereas sea-level rise is survivable (?). Temperature rise in general is not survivable in hot damp regions of the world - that is a whole other subject though.
We need to think long-term as well as short-term, and discover universally accepted solutions to tackle the varying problems climate change poses.
i would imagine the collapse of the overturning current would bring the most sudden rise in sea level due to heat expansion
CO2 is rising at 2.5ppm/year. It will be well over 500ppm by 2100.
The rate of increase of GW is going to increase.
We should know that.
500ppm CO2 has not been seen since the Cretaceous ----
when there were no polar ice caps ! ! !
The only real questions now are --
How fast will the warming occur?
and
How warm will it be when it stabilizes??
Great job. Thanks for the info.
I am not at all surprised, most analysis of the data were conservative. Also our civilization is not doing much to change what we are doing.
Don't you understand that we already passed the tipping points, in a world of unprecedented speed of warming. There's no way of predicting how long. It has in the past changed in an instant.
Explain how CO2, a trace gas affects Ocean Currents
You can swallow a trace amount of arsenic and still die. It is not the % of CO2 that counts, its the partial pressure. There is ample to affect global temperatures. IF it weren't for CO2 this planet would be an ice world.
Logical fallacy. Small concentrations do not necessarily have correspondingly small effects
It seems your no answer says you don't know @@AA-vi1cc
Save Our Planet Now
it's so hard not to be cynical about human greed and blindness in regards to taking massive paradigm shift to fight against climate catastrophy
🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
@@saintsone7877 ur a clown
Well made :)
thanks!
Bill Gates in his book, 'How to Avoid a Climate Disaster', talks about just that: how to turn to net zero.
As the north pole moves towards Siberia, Antarctica moves towards warmer climate too. Untill we have no ice left we are still thawing from an ice age 🤔
Poles are not "moving" at all.
Right out of the diseased ming of Ben Davidson
So what actually is the problem with the ice caps and glaciers melting.
I’m quite sure life on earth didn’t try stopping it the last time. And it’s a natural part of the planet.
The only thing everyone is worried about is us, not the actual natural world.
Also I very much doubt that humans have affected this.
Rate of change. Not natural at all since Earth should be slightly cooling, not rapidly warming.
And you would be wrong
@@penguinuprighter6231 exactly how. Or are you just another lemming swallowing the science. Climate science is in its infancy and is massively flawed.
@@scottekoontz strange that you actually think that. The pill must have worked
@@humanafterall2076 Strange that you think less solar irradiation would mean warming. The GED must have not worked.
I don’t want to make you cry even more, but have you read the paper from Prof. Euan Nisbet about the methane raise indicating that we are in an ice age termination event? If this is true, then the predicted melting of the west Antarctic will happen in the next 30 years.
there's 1200 gigatons of pressurized methane in the world's largest ocean shelf where the methane emissions are already more than the rest of the world's oceans combined. Just a five gigaton "abrupt eruption" will double atmospheric temperature and the heat blobs melting the arctic ice from underneath will also be melting that frozen methane.
14tj warming sea increase. I think plastics and Styrofoam are having a massive effect on sea warming.
Nasty surprises are always expected because scientists must be very (overly) cautious, especially COP. You seemed to ignore that SLR caused by Expansion, Greenland melting, and other glaciers melting all affect Antarctic melting. Further, Glacial Isostatic Adjustment( GIA ) may drive seismic and volcanic activity, increasing ocean effects on The Thuates.
On the positive side, there are good surprises from technology. We will develop solutions which still need to be understood. My book Pluvicopia proposes the most significant technology to help us adjust the planet responsibly. Please read it and give the idea a chance in your mind. Most people are too scared to trust their own reasoning.