Thank you for posting this. People need to hear this, to understand the importance of what mankind is doing to the planet. Please keep going. And, thank you for you amazing work.
Very good talk, and explanation from your guest, thank you, Dr Gilbz, the ‘atmospheric rivers’ are menacing, and wholly down to our failure to address this ‘climate crisis’, the heating up of our planet! Much of our agricultural sector in the UK is facing a really difficult Spring and Summer, because the fields are sodden, saturated by the huge downpours of rain we had this Winter, when temperatures remained once again well above average.
Another danger people should be being made aware of is the potential of a heat dome and atmospheric river coinciding in any pattern that results in a wet bulb phenomena scenario. Particularly a lingering heat dome after a atmospheric river flooding event... would be very deadly. If people have ice available for simply holding in their hands during the event it can save lives.
@ForbiddenPlanetB I dunno guys. I have a few videos on what options are left to us great unwashed (go look if you care to). The TLDR on it, is we're left to find ways to sustain ourselves locally, on the premise that the global economy unravels and policy is unfit for purpose because it assumes the global economy. Something like the Benedictine monasteries with an imperative to be self sufficient the, Ora et Labora (prayer and work). Note that I consider the first part optional. We're part of a highly interdependent system. Water, food, shelter all come to us through immense supply chains and water and food only because of the energy system. what your local climate regime will sustain is unique and subject to constant evolution.
I think the 1.6 C threshold refers specifically to the Greenland Ice Sheet, and it's mean summer warming, rather than annual mean. It's also covered in the video we did together on the subject.
My little data poi.... Anecdote, from the other end of the earth: I visited my mate in Svalbard at the end of Jan, 2011. I experienced their coldest day that year. -32°C The following year, i returned for a longer stay, and in the first week of Feb, it was +7°C and raining. Rain + Permafrost + Arctic Desert = just a smooth covering of ice almost everywhere, for days/weeks, which the Ski-Doos and sled dogs just can't get a purchase on! The poor things! I just didn't expect to witness rain, in mid winter, 800 miles from the North Pole... :-o
@@paulrevelersmithsonian9016 Very True. But when the wonky weather is happening at an increasing regularity, it does become 'climate'. My anecdote just tells the story of the data points that were recorded and are part of the historical weather record of Longyearbyen. Which will be used to determine the 'climate'. I forgot to add... It was also still 24 hour darkness in Feb. And it turned out to be the hottest temperature ever recorded during a February, in Longyearbyen.
I'm a chick forest technician from Montreal, I majored in Sylviculture and re-wilding the place, you know they're getting stronger, their edges sound very violent, good luck!
This effect is also seen in Chinooks in Alberta, where actor Leonardo DiCaprio (accidentally?) raised the alarm in 2015 about how unusual the winter weather was that year, drawing the ire of some Canadian commentators who thought of the Chinook warming as a "totally normal weather phenomenon that brings warm winds to southern Alberta".. except that Chinooks are now happening at triple the frequency of a century ago. Vancouver, one of North America's world class cities, site of the 2010 Winter Olympics, Canada's "Hollywood North", was cut off from all overland access by a confluence of five atmospheric rivers in November of 2021 causing parts of every major road into the city to wash away. More recent atmospheric rivers have not equaled that level of damage there yet. Curb fossil trade down to zero by 2030.
@@DrGilbzif these Antarctic atmospheric Rivers can be forecast than shouldn't it be possible to use a small amount of local geoengineering over the Antarctic to cause it to snow instead of rain, So we could stop or reverse sea level rise?
We used to call them a Pineapple Express because they delivered warm wet weather to us in the Pacific Northwest. So instead of the usual 35 degrees and drizzle, we would get 55 degrees and rain with a side of landslides. Now they seem to wander up and down the coast delivering rain and snow , or lots of rain and melting the snow which is why we get flooding mostly in November and February. Occasionally there can be a large one or a series in quick succession that hit one spot like in 1863-1864 that flooded the Central Valley in California which they call the ARK Storm. There was a portion of that lake reformed last year and the water hasn’t left yet. One Atmospheric River can carry more water than the Mississippi River and they have to dump the water to get over the mountains. I was in Palm Springs in February when Los Angeles got 12 inches of rain in a day, but Palm Springs only got 1.5 inches on the other side of the mountains. Closer to home Forks Washington gets an average 100 inches of rainfall while a few miles away Sequim gets 16 inches in the shadow of the Olympic Mountains. All that water vapor will stay in the clouds until something causes it to come out. In our case it’s the mountains
Luckily they cause very little rain atm, and what does fall readily refreezes. It wouldn't be worth the potential costs ($ or environmental) of Geoengineering right now. Probably a better investment to divest from fossil fuels and fund alternatives!
This is an aspect of climate change that needs to be more widely discussed. Atmospheric rivers, like the rest of the atmospheric circulation, are predominantly driven by saturated convection, which is driven by the release of latent heat, which depends upon the amount of water vapor in the air, which depends upon the saturated mixing ratio. 14 g of water vapor per kg of air at 20’C but 20 g/kg at 25’C. A much bigger effect than most people might expect. So the river is carrying more water and also moves faster. A double whammy. Thanks for this video. It is good to see these things made public. Well done.
Most of these science bits has been in my discussions and warnings. 1C per 7% is on of my most used references. The thing that has been now found is this Antarctica atmospheric river. Earlier there were also atmospheric rivers over Larsen ice shelfs, that got to something like mushy spongecake, had melt lakes and they just broke away after these events. These events can lead to extremely rapid ice losses and also sea level rise. A single event that brakes apart and melts away pretty stable part of the glacier that is predicted to stay put for decades or centuries... Atmospheric rivers has brought rains and loads of energy over Greenland ice sheet too. (I bet that Jason Box can illuminate this issue...) Because atmospheric rivers are pretty chaotic, it will be fun to see if anyone can add these extremes to realistic climate models. Well, these events will most likely continue ruining the remaining ice sheets at record pace.
ARs are already included in models! I even showed an animation of our model simulations with atmospheric rivers :) they're not a new phenomenon, just had a rebranding a few years ago (they used to be known more commonly as 'warm.air intrusions'). More research into their effects in polar regions though
@@DrGilbz Yea, you are right, there has been development in recent years to add these to the models. I had to refresh my knowledge to confirm that (5+ papers...). Thx for that. Some studies in 2018 (ie. AGU letter) were made with CMIP5 and historic data that gave clues on what happened in each data grid. This gave some predictions how that grid may behave by the end of century. Yet still this did not show that new area's, like Antarctica, would be hit by AR's. Models has been developing since. There are lots of studies from past events. Even this video is a model from what happened in the past. Numeric weather predictions for AR are often made in 3-14 days timeline. Some of these models are done after the event. These past models gives some clues what may happen in the future. Only around 5% of the Greenland and Antarctica precipitation comes from AR's. But these single random events may be huge, happen in single area (like losing Larsen ice sheets) and they are growing as warmer air carries more and more moisture. Some studies also hints that there could be less AR's in the future but remaining ones could be stronger and larger.
Yes can see that our countries such as New Zealand Australia and other Southern Hemisphere countries near Antarctica will have more stronger Extreme weather events in the not too distant future And so investing in Wind and Solar projects could in unpredictable sun and intense storm events will suffer 🕊🌏🧐
Australia has had a number of atmospheric river flood events in the last few years. People are yet to recover from the disruption, dislplacement and destruction. It's also been very expensive to citizens and governments.
We just have to build stuff stronger. Read up on the engineering standards required for cyclone regions and build to those standards everywhere. The only difference between a cyclone in Queensland and a storm in Victoria is the area they cover - either of them will rip the roof off a poorly-built house if it hits you. Over-engineer your solar panels' tie-down to your roof like you expect the full force of a cyclone, and when a storm hits, your solar panels will be unaffected. Then all you need is a decent battery bank or a genni running on biofuel to get your household through the cloudy weather, and you have one big problem less to worry about.
@@tealkerberus748 Atmospheric rivers cause floods. They don't cause cyclones. To survive flooding, you could anchor your foundations to the bedrock. You'd also need to make your your house watertight and resistant to the water pressure outside and possibly on top of it. Someone built a house that floated up and down as the river level where the house was built rose and fell.
It's more just clever rebranding, cos meteorologists.are uninventive with names! Atmospheric river is much mor instructive than 'elongated warm and moist air intrusion' 😂 same deal with 'heat dome' - sounds much better than 'blocking high'
I'd say, heat dome sounded pretty cool. Whole climate thing could do with such smart new name, unlike _climate breakdown_ or _climate crisis_ - yawn inducing that shouldn't have made the cut. "Greenhouse Effect" was a good un to get people to first learn about it, but for what we're facing now, it sounds too much of balmy, fertile summer clime. Far more urgent is what we need - something referring to über hot dry desert air, something Mexican or Arab imaging blazing heat. "Dust Bowl" was great, but that's history. Don't Hollywood have a cool film name for them old desert scenes ?
Dr Glibz. Thanks for your awesome channel! I have a close family member who is a climate denier and claims that a lot of the temperature increase in the Antarctic, and resulting melting ice, is largely due to volcanic activity under the surface, I just wondered what you make of this claim?
This is a really common one. Volcanic activity isn't driving atmospheric or oceanic warming - that's at a completely different spatial scale. Volcanic activity is also fairly constant so can't explain trends in ice melt or flow speed. Does that help?
@@DrGilbz So explain all the hot spots in the ocean. The water in the atmospere was from a volcanic eruption a few years ago and its just now returning to the surface. Bullshido sciene you practice. Tell me do you heat your water with a hair dryer or with a heat source under the water. You people twist and turn. The sun heats the top of the water at best. Subs have recording water at depth since WW2, Pull the other one
@@Ravenwolf31415 You could be presented with all the evidence one could ever need to show you why youre wrong, and you would still reject it, because you arent actually interested in the truth.
Hydrogeological research calculated that 40% of Climate Heating is possibly due to increased water evaporation. An effect akin to a vapour cooker operating under the greenhouse gas mantle.
We're standing on the tracks as a runaway train barrels toward us with increasing speed, yet we seem frozen in place and unable and/or unwilling to comprehend what will happen to us in a very short time. It's already too late to minimize the destruction that is taking place and that will increase incrementally. Already today, an increase in new pathogens, illness, wars, starvation. In a word, we're toast. I guess we had a good run.
I was wondering what those huge bands of clouds rushing to the Antartic were. The cloud tops have been very high this winter in the Southern Hemisphere also.
On 15 January 2022 I caused an explosion that pushed water into the atmosphere equal in mass to 3,000,000,000 Honda Civics. It was the largest explosion I've ever set off. Some of the water made it to space and a lot of the water is still hanging out in the stratosphere where I have my flying base.
wasnt the atmospheric river from the Amazon basin, counterclockwise, along the Andes, to subtropical Rio Grande do Sul state, then blocked there by a high pressure hot and dry bubble over central Brazil, that caused massive rain and the biggest floodings ever in southern Brazil?
honestly?,...i thought we already ate all the ice shelves. Sorry, ..did DrGilbz just say 200 watts per sqmeter? ,....holy crap, ...try and explain that to an oil Rig worker in canada,...jeeeeeeez WASF'd
@@cncshrops 200 watts per sq meter at 1 foot i believe is ALOT of heat being applied to a surface and the Ice shelves, ..i was being sarcastic, Canada lost its Last great ice shelf about 5 years ago, the only "ice shelves we have now are the seasonal ones with nothing left grounded under 5 years old. And a canadian oil rig worker could care less.
I remember 30 or 40 years ago a lost ww2 plan was discovered under something like 200 Ft . Of snow that was rather shocking in that heavily gradualistic over time period . Hard to imagine Gulf water streams & atmospheric ones collision on geological shores could produce that much snow in just half a century. The 6 or 7 year heat wave north America gets every 42 years or so ended right before ww2 so it must've been covered very quickly or search & rescue wouldve located it. But obviously the next one was 1950s ,1990s and we are past due a good 7 summers of 115-120° ghost. Heat waves.
In Australia the rising sea levels are visible on bigger tides, as jetties are almost underwater which had never been the case in the past even in spring.
@@romanbrandle319 So you think NASA is wrong with their 3mm per year value? Your "reality on the ground" is anecdotal, it is not indicative of the real world. There is massive amounts of "on the ground data" from all the sea level stations (that have been around for many decades) around the world which make DIRECT measurements which also show ~3mm per year. Look at the history of sea level rise and see that we are experiencing nothing bad with sea level rise. The sea has risen about 120 meters in the last 21,000 years. Which is an average of 5.7mm a year. There are ancient cities underwater all around the Mediterranean, because of the natural change due to the Milankovitch cycles.
@@DrGilbz Thank you. As a reward a marketing tip: if you feature another channel on your channel with the display channels/subscriptions options, and you ask those channels to display your channel too, you will both get more views. Also like your content, wish you luck!
I thought atmospheric rivers happen in northern regions. I didn’t think it happens in southern regions. Its an opposite in reverse? Picking up moisture from the north? This is confusing but interesting.
They pick up water from warm equatorial/tropical regions and take it towards the poles. In the northern hemisphere, that means the rivers are carrying moisture northward from the south; in the southern hemisphere, they're carrying water southward from the north. In both hemispheres, water is evaporating where it's very warm and being carried to where it's colder.
Enough trees have been cut down there that less rain falls. Trees give off water as well as oxygen into the atmosphere during respiration (breathing). The climatic system of the Amazon rain forest has become less humid as a result, so there's less rain.
Should I be scared now? Do you have observations of the atmospheric river events during the medieval and the Roman warm period. If the extreme weather events will increase, why can this tendency not yet be observed during the last 50 years with fast increase of CO2 concentration in the atmosphere? Where does the IPCC AR6 WG1 report about this supposed tendency to more extreme weather events?
I'm not finding any data from Roman atmospheric weather balloons, radar, anemometers or hygrometers. Their computers were fairly slow and inefficient, although they used very little electricity.
Dear Oakfat If we do not have data about spectacular sky rivers in Antarctica in the year 1125 and we if we do not know the reason of this event observed only by pinguines we should not take the time of working people with new horror stories. Very b o r I n g! @@oakfat5178
The heat than, will stay in the tropical zones, and overheat they will. Google Wet Bulb Temp. Folks in the South sure won't stay if it becomes uninhabitable. Like mass migrations much ?
If a smaller AC in window works harder than norm and the sun shines, a coating of ice appears . Notice how the mechanisms work so similar. When we ask about weatherization and atmospheric altered history, we need a good starting point. Soi think we can call heating air con to the table.
Well, I'm not a climaxatologist, but I have never heard of this "Atmospheric Rivers" 😅 Whatever events and damage that has occurred, it has been stated that it'll take around 500 years to reverse this calamity! Thats not good news at all. 😹 a.k.a Dr. Gatz.
No German Techno sample in the video... i am shocked and disappointed... it would been so beautiful punctuating with the Swan Lake Ballet music... LOL Uhm... concerning the “Got it” i agreed to... Volcanic activity might be a major climate change contributor and in geological time scales might have already started... The loss of ice mass in Antarctica and Greenland are both going to create tectonic uplift and thats going to jostle the planet more than the historical records of our species is going to prepare us for... A kind of unzipping of the Pacific ring of fire is potentially possible. Just as the warming situation is going to create increasing methane emissions from the permafrost regions should they melt... The increases in volcanic activity might be helping already if such increases are already occurring... we shouldn’t count on a volcanic winter saving us all at the detriment of those near the activity... but we might be so lucky. Often the data is not being revealed because the right questions are not being asked. Even in pictures from space the deformation of the Earth by the weight of Antarctica is perceivable. The loss of the ice sheets are probably enough for tectonic effects to create disasters... ... tsunamis, earthquakes, rifting, landslides and volcanic activity and more are all possible outcomes. The relatively recent Tsunami in Thailand and the Fukushima Japan disaster for example might be the result of the global warming climate change crisis. A methane hiccup is more dangerous pressing problem with the 28 year methane cycle potentially creating a rapid warming effect... Ironically enough after about a hundred years of a methane hiccup hot house swamp planet... the carbon dioxide wouldn’t hold as much as heat and the patterns would change again and then I suspect that it would swing back to a ice age scenario with the weather patterns that flash froze those mammoths eating spring flowers on a nice day that are occasionally still found from multiple tens of thousands of years ago... At about the same time the Caribbean had storms that rolled building sized rocks about leaving interesting geological history. The atmosphere and natural patterns of nature probably has some shocking surprises for our species in the next one hundred years. I don’t think any of that qualifies as conspiracy theory just unpopular opinion because it’s unproven at the moment... but the introduction to comment section dragged it out... I was originally just thrilled with the news of UNESCO recognition of German Techno... 💃 LOL ❤️💃🎶🎵🎶🎵🎶🎵🎶🎵
I suggest you live in a floating home, like me: a 34 ft sailboat. As much as it's warming in the Antarctic, it will just make southern islands, warmer to live in. In a short time, a few decades, the South Sandwich Islands, will be a great place to live.
To be quite honest, I don't think there's anywhere left to run to. Seems to me that more countries are getting hit all the time. I find it bizarre that most people are quite capable of watching the news and still deny there's a problem, because you know full well they weren't watching weather extreme news stories like this 20 or 30 years ago. No one did.
That is what global cooling does! The atmosphere drops tremendous amounts of water. For every 2 degrees, the temperature drops, it will hold half as much water. That is why the oceans rose 25 feet during the Maunder Minnimum!
Ofc there is heat and cooling, because it's an okd fashion way to make à new atmosphère. Distillation, we make whisky like this fe. Just enjoy life, stop worry. Just go to à country whom has build his houses in the water. Because if the dutch werent here my country didnt existe. We fight water for more then 500 years.
Aerosols help carry liquid water in atmospheric rivers? Water wants to be in liquid form on a surface. Not as vapour. Add more surfaces and it hold even more liquid. As we pump more aerosols into the atmosphere it hold more visible cloud droplets.😊
The Main issue is the fact that they never include Solar Particle Forcing & Solar Activity into their Models... along with the drastic diminishing Earth's Magnetic Field.
Better isn't the term to be used here. More destructive or more powerful would be far more accurate. We do not want more powerful storms. Rain is fun, but there's kind of other people and an economy we must worry about
@@cherriberri8373 We're just going to have to build less flimsy infrastructure and more pumping stations to move access rain water from wet areas to dry regions.
@@DanielWatson-vv7cd Better infrastructure is definitely a necessity. One i dont know why ACC deniers dont seem to care about. If someone denies that its being caused by humans, but accept that its happening, why are they not pushing for people to prepare for the inevitable damage to infrastructure that comes with global warming, no matter if its caused by humans or not. Even if FF emissions arent causing global warming (which they definitely are), fossil fuels are a finite resource that we will eventually run out of. Because fossil fuels are such a versatile and useful resource, why dont we want reduce how much we're just burning up, and save them for things that really benefit from being made from the materials we can process oil and gas into. Why are we not building infrastructure to prepare for climate disaster regardless?
How can we get the world ( more specifically wealthy countries) to wake up? We cant save humanity while maintaining capitalism. We need a centrally planned economy.
Politicians aren't doing anything because climate change isn't a part of traditional politics. And not only do they not know what to do, they can't agree among themselves what is to be done. Before the Glasgow COP Summit meeting, Boris Johnson announced a plan to plant 300,000km/miles of new hedgerows. End of last year, Sunak was giving farmers permission to dig up more hedgerows. Right now, our government is too concerned about election results to worry about the environment anyway. It is the last thing to get a mention. The only thing ever to motivate politicians is when it finally affects them, destroying or flooding their homes, washing away their cars.
Capitalism is not sustainable. More central planning is inevitable but it will probably come about gradually, not in a revolutionary type of event. We can already observe this process in the increasing struggle between ecological and social legislation and the „unleash economic power“ approaches.
And you will pretend in order to uphold your cognitive dissonance. There's only one group with the interest of lying, and its the same group that literally directly profits off of lying to the public about anthropogenic climate change. Unless you think rich elites just must have their fun toy wind turbines to look at or some weird shit.
Thank you for posting this. People need to hear this, to understand the importance of what mankind is doing to the planet. Please keep going. And, thank you for you amazing work.
Very good talk, and explanation from your guest, thank you, Dr Gilbz, the ‘atmospheric rivers’ are menacing, and wholly down to our failure to address this ‘climate crisis’, the heating up of our planet! Much of our agricultural sector in the UK is facing a really difficult Spring and Summer, because the fields are sodden, saturated by the huge downpours of rain we had this Winter, when temperatures remained once again well above average.
Another danger people should be being made aware of is the potential of a heat dome and atmospheric river coinciding in any pattern that results in a wet bulb phenomena scenario.
Particularly a lingering heat dome after a atmospheric river flooding event... would be very deadly.
If people have ice available for simply holding in their hands during the event it can save lives.
😅😅😅😂😂😂
his cloud jumper 😭😭❤️ i want!
Jason Box chronicled atmospheric rivers rampaging across Greenland last year. It’s scary stuff.
@ForbiddenPlanetB I dunno guys. I have a few videos on what options are left to us great unwashed (go look if you care to). The TLDR on it, is we're left to find ways to sustain ourselves locally, on the premise that the global economy unravels and policy is unfit for purpose because it assumes the global economy.
Something like the Benedictine monasteries with an imperative to be self sufficient the, Ora et Labora (prayer and work). Note that I consider the first part optional.
We're part of a highly interdependent system. Water, food, shelter all come to us through immense supply chains and water and food only because of the energy system.
what your local climate regime will sustain is unique and subject to constant evolution.
I think the 1.6 C threshold refers specifically to the Greenland Ice Sheet, and it's mean summer warming, rather than annual mean. It's also covered in the video we did together on the subject.
I have talked to Jason box abd asked him a question he cant recall but yes,he bright up the atmophetic river that hit the green land ice sheet.
@@DrGilbzwhen you get a opportunity talk to Dr Jason box he is stationed on the Greenland ice sheet.
'If' we don't stop pumping GGE's into the atmosphere...? Tell us what happens 'When we don't stop'. Because we won't. Thanks as ever, Doc.
What happens? We get bitten savage£y on the ar$€.
the thermohaline circulation may shut off and life gets turned back into the microscopic state , where they can adapt quickly enough ...
@@davidegaruti2582 That must be what $ilicon Valley are training us for with their nanodetail panoptical surveilance.
My little data poi.... Anecdote, from the other end of the earth:
I visited my mate in Svalbard at the end of Jan, 2011. I experienced their coldest day that year. -32°C
The following year, i returned for a longer stay, and in the first week of Feb, it was +7°C and raining.
Rain + Permafrost + Arctic Desert = just a smooth covering of ice almost everywhere, for days/weeks, which the Ski-Doos and sled dogs just can't get a purchase on! The poor things!
I just didn't expect to witness rain, in mid winter, 800 miles from the North Pole... :-o
The weather is not the climate.
@@paulrevelersmithsonian9016 Very True.
But when the wonky weather is happening at an increasing regularity, it does become 'climate'.
My anecdote just tells the story of the data points that were recorded and are part of the historical weather record of Longyearbyen. Which will be used to determine the 'climate'.
I forgot to add... It was also still 24 hour darkness in Feb.
And it turned out to be the hottest temperature ever recorded during a February, in Longyearbyen.
Nice clear presentation.
I'm a chick forest technician from Montreal, I majored in Sylviculture and re-wilding the place, you know they're getting stronger, their edges sound very violent, good luck!
I would think the almost random effects on food production is and will continue to be unpredictable and long term damaging to world wide supply.
that is the coolest hair style I have ever seen
This effect is also seen in Chinooks in Alberta, where actor Leonardo DiCaprio (accidentally?) raised the alarm in 2015 about how unusual the winter weather was that year, drawing the ire of some Canadian commentators who thought of the Chinook warming as a "totally normal weather phenomenon that brings warm winds to southern Alberta".. except that Chinooks are now happening at triple the frequency of a century ago.
Vancouver, one of North America's world class cities, site of the 2010 Winter Olympics, Canada's "Hollywood North", was cut off from all overland access by a confluence of five atmospheric rivers in November of 2021 causing parts of every major road into the city to wash away. More recent atmospheric rivers have not equaled that level of damage there yet.
Curb fossil trade down to zero by 2030.
Just started reading Climate Vocabulary of the Future and the words around atmospheric rivers and weather patterns are cool and scary lol
Yikes! Atmospheric rivers seem so benign until you learn what they can do.
they sound so lovely and placid hey?
@@DrGilbzif these Antarctic atmospheric Rivers can be forecast than shouldn't it be possible to use a small amount of local geoengineering over the Antarctic to cause it to snow instead of rain, So we could stop or reverse sea level rise?
We used to call them a Pineapple Express because they delivered warm wet weather to us in the Pacific Northwest. So instead of the usual 35 degrees and drizzle, we would get 55 degrees and rain with a side of landslides. Now they seem to wander up and down the coast delivering rain and snow , or lots of rain and melting the snow which is why we get flooding mostly in November and February.
Occasionally there can be a large one or a series in quick succession that hit one spot like in 1863-1864 that flooded the Central Valley in California which they call the ARK Storm. There was a portion of that lake reformed last year and the water hasn’t left yet.
One Atmospheric River can carry more water than the Mississippi River and they have to dump the water to get over the mountains.
I was in Palm Springs in February when Los Angeles got 12 inches of rain in a day, but Palm Springs only got 1.5 inches on the other side of the mountains. Closer to home Forks Washington gets an average 100 inches of rainfall while a few miles away Sequim gets 16 inches in the shadow of the Olympic Mountains. All that water vapor will stay in the clouds until something causes it to come out. In our case it’s the mountains
Luckily they cause very little rain atm, and what does fall readily refreezes. It wouldn't be worth the potential costs ($ or environmental) of Geoengineering right now. Probably a better investment to divest from fossil fuels and fund alternatives!
@@DrGilbz So right!
In SW British Columbia we just call them Pineapple Expresses. A little taste of Hawaii brought directly to us.
You need more viewers than 1,000s. This is good sheeeit
This is an aspect of climate change that needs to be more widely discussed. Atmospheric rivers, like the rest of the atmospheric circulation, are predominantly driven by saturated convection, which is driven by the release of latent heat, which depends upon the amount of water vapor in the air, which depends upon the saturated mixing ratio. 14 g of water vapor per kg of air at 20’C but 20 g/kg at 25’C. A much bigger effect than most people might expect. So the river is carrying more water and also moves faster. A double whammy. Thanks for this video. It is good to see these things made public. Well done.
I didn't miss it! I saw it happen and can't believe it's alredy been 2 years
That March 2022 atmospheric river caused catastrophic flooding rain in South East Queensland where I live. It wasn't a fun time, I have to say...
Good to see a brilliant young woman talking about climate science
Thank you! I really appreciate your videos.
Thanks for watching :)
"Take Me To The River"... oh wait... not that one! "Faster Than Expected!" _Wheee!_
Looks like it was Berlin that was depriving us. Been waiting on the "return" of Gilbz with some customary shots of cold hard reality.
Yep, I'll happily blame Berlin for how long it's taken me to put this together...
@@DrGilbz The time has obviously been well spent.
Thanks for the update on Antarctic prognosis.
Excellent job. 👍
Most of these science bits has been in my discussions and warnings. 1C per 7% is on of my most used references. The thing that has been now found is this Antarctica atmospheric river.
Earlier there were also atmospheric rivers over Larsen ice shelfs, that got to something like mushy spongecake, had melt lakes and they just broke away after these events. These events can lead to extremely rapid ice losses and also sea level rise. A single event that brakes apart and melts away pretty stable part of the glacier that is predicted to stay put for decades or centuries...
Atmospheric rivers has brought rains and loads of energy over Greenland ice sheet too. (I bet that Jason Box can illuminate this issue...)
Because atmospheric rivers are pretty chaotic, it will be fun to see if anyone can add these extremes to realistic climate models. Well, these events will most likely continue ruining the remaining ice sheets at record pace.
ARs are already included in models! I even showed an animation of our model simulations with atmospheric rivers :) they're not a new phenomenon, just had a rebranding a few years ago (they used to be known more commonly as 'warm.air intrusions'). More research into their effects in polar regions though
@@DrGilbz Yea, you are right, there has been development in recent years to add these to the models. I had to refresh my knowledge to confirm that (5+ papers...). Thx for that.
Some studies in 2018 (ie. AGU letter) were made with CMIP5 and historic data that gave clues on what happened in each data grid. This gave some predictions how that grid may behave by the end of century. Yet still this did not show that new area's, like Antarctica, would be hit by AR's. Models has been developing since.
There are lots of studies from past events. Even this video is a model from what happened in the past. Numeric weather predictions for AR are often made in 3-14 days timeline. Some of these models are done after the event.
These past models gives some clues what may happen in the future. Only around 5% of the Greenland and Antarctica precipitation comes from AR's. But these single random events may be huge, happen in single area (like losing Larsen ice sheets) and they are growing as warmer air carries more and more moisture.
Some studies also hints that there could be less AR's in the future but remaining ones could be stronger and larger.
Great video, thanks. Really fascinating. A bit depressing though.
Yes can see that our countries such as New Zealand Australia and other Southern Hemisphere countries near Antarctica will have more stronger Extreme weather events in the not too distant future
And so investing in Wind and Solar projects could in unpredictable sun and intense storm events will suffer 🕊🌏🧐
Australia has had a number of atmospheric river flood events in the last few years. People are yet to recover from the disruption, dislplacement and destruction. It's also been very expensive to citizens and governments.
We just have to build stuff stronger. Read up on the engineering standards required for cyclone regions and build to those standards everywhere. The only difference between a cyclone in Queensland and a storm in Victoria is the area they cover - either of them will rip the roof off a poorly-built house if it hits you.
Over-engineer your solar panels' tie-down to your roof like you expect the full force of a cyclone, and when a storm hits, your solar panels will be unaffected. Then all you need is a decent battery bank or a genni running on biofuel to get your household through the cloudy weather, and you have one big problem less to worry about.
@@tealkerberus748 Atmospheric rivers cause floods. They don't cause cyclones.
To survive flooding, you could anchor your foundations to the bedrock.
You'd also need to make your your house watertight and resistant to the water pressure outside and possibly on top of it.
Someone built a house that floated up and down as the river level where the house was built rose and fell.
This woman drives me crazy! Cannot resist her or her videos! ❤🎉😊
i suppose you think that's a compliment. open your eyes, this woman is a doctor, not your personal sex kitten
The first time I heard the term ‘atmospheric river’ was a few weeks ago from Reed Timmer. At first I thought it was some kind of meteorologist slang.
It's more just clever rebranding, cos meteorologists.are uninventive with names! Atmospheric river is much mor instructive than 'elongated warm and moist air intrusion' 😂 same deal with 'heat dome' - sounds much better than 'blocking high'
I'd say, heat dome sounded pretty cool.
Whole climate thing could do with such smart new name, unlike _climate breakdown_ or _climate crisis_ - yawn inducing that shouldn't have made the cut.
"Greenhouse Effect" was a good un to get people to first learn about it, but for what we're facing now, it sounds too much of balmy, fertile summer clime. Far more urgent is what we need - something referring to über hot dry desert air, something Mexican or Arab imaging blazing heat. "Dust Bowl" was great, but that's history.
Don't Hollywood have a cool film name for them old desert scenes ?
thank you for this one - you really are brilliant :)
Don't know how i missed this one; excellent dissertation.
thank you.
Thank you for teaching me
New Zealand 🇳🇿 and east coast Australia 🇦🇺 have been absolutely hammered by the same atmosphere rivers for the last two weeks.
Like what has always happened. Like the Gabriel floods. Before Europeans arrived in NZ in hawkes bay, about 50 Maori were killed by flooding.
Thanks for the info🌌📡
Dr Glibz. Thanks for your awesome channel! I have a close family member who is a climate denier and claims that a lot of the temperature increase in the Antarctic, and resulting melting ice, is largely due to volcanic activity under the surface, I just wondered what you make of this claim?
That makes no sense, why would the air be 40 degrees warmer from an event under the ice?
This is a really common one. Volcanic activity isn't driving atmospheric or oceanic warming - that's at a completely different spatial scale. Volcanic activity is also fairly constant so can't explain trends in ice melt or flow speed. Does that help?
@@DrGilbz So explain all the hot spots in the ocean. The water in the atmospere was from a volcanic eruption a few years ago and its just now returning to the surface. Bullshido sciene you practice. Tell me do you heat your water with a hair dryer or with a heat source under the water. You people twist and turn. The sun heats the top of the water at best. Subs have recording water at depth since WW2, Pull the other one
@@Ravenwolf31415 Bunch o _total_ nonsense. Bet you buy your medicine from the funny guy on the Fair
@@Ravenwolf31415 You could be presented with all the evidence one could ever need to show you why youre wrong, and you would still reject it, because you arent actually interested in the truth.
Could you explain how self-reinforcing feedback loops work again..
Hydrogeological research calculated that 40% of Climate Heating is possibly due to increased water evaporation. An effect akin to a vapour cooker operating under the greenhouse gas mantle.
We're standing on the tracks as a runaway train barrels toward us with increasing speed, yet we seem frozen in place and unable and/or unwilling to comprehend what will happen to us in a very short time. It's already too late to minimize the destruction that is taking place and that will increase incrementally. Already today, an increase in new pathogens, illness, wars, starvation. In a word, we're toast. I guess we had a good run.
thank you
I've been balloon fishing in the atmospheric rivers .. its fantastic, but fish do look weird 🐦
I was wondering what those huge bands of clouds rushing to the Antartic were. The cloud tops have been very high this winter in the Southern Hemisphere also.
On 15 January 2022 I caused an explosion that pushed water into the atmosphere equal in mass to 3,000,000,000 Honda Civics. It was the largest explosion I've ever set off. Some of the water made it to space and a lot of the water is still hanging out in the stratosphere where I have my flying base.
wasnt the atmospheric river from the Amazon basin, counterclockwise, along the Andes, to subtropical Rio Grande do Sul state, then blocked there by a high pressure hot and dry bubble over central Brazil, that caused massive rain and the biggest floodings ever in southern Brazil?
How about the effects of a sudden stratospheric warming event. Does that play into this???
honestly?,...i thought we already ate all the ice shelves.
Sorry, ..did DrGilbz just say 200 watts per sqmeter? ,....holy crap, ...try and explain that to an oil Rig worker in canada,...jeeeeeeez WASF'd
I'm sorry, I have no idea what you're trying to say.
@@cncshrops 200 watts per sq meter at 1 foot i believe is ALOT of heat being applied to a surface and the Ice shelves, ..i was being sarcastic, Canada lost its Last great ice shelf about 5 years ago, the only "ice shelves we have now are the seasonal ones with nothing left grounded under 5 years old.
And a canadian oil rig worker could care less.
Sad realities
Look at Dubai, UAE, Oman, etc. for updates on atmospheric rivers. One years' worth of rain in one day!
Thanks for this great video, keep it up!!!!! 😻😻
I remember 30 or 40 years ago a lost ww2 plan was discovered under something like 200 Ft . Of snow that was rather shocking in that heavily gradualistic over time period .
Hard to imagine Gulf water streams & atmospheric ones collision on geological shores could produce that much snow in just half a century.
The 6 or 7 year heat wave north America gets every 42 years or so ended right before ww2 so it must've been covered very quickly or search & rescue wouldve located it. But obviously the next one was 1950s ,1990s and we are past due a good 7 summers of 115-120° ghost. Heat waves.
Never heard about atmospheric rivers before….
In Australia the rising sea levels are visible on bigger tides, as jetties are almost underwater which had never been the case in the past even in spring.
Yet the actual rates are 3mm per year. As expected. And a lot less than 14,500 years ago when sea level rise was 60 mm a year.
@@AORD72 I've been an sea angler for forty five years, your response just isn't in line with the reality on the ground.
@@romanbrandle319 So you think NASA is wrong with their 3mm per year value? Your "reality on the ground" is anecdotal, it is not indicative of the real world.
There is massive amounts of "on the ground data" from all the sea level stations (that have been around for many decades) around the world which make DIRECT measurements which also show ~3mm per year.
Look at the history of sea level rise and see that we are experiencing nothing bad with sea level rise. The sea has risen about 120 meters in the last 21,000 years. Which is an average of 5.7mm a year.
There are ancient cities underwater all around the Mediterranean, because of the natural change due to the Milankovitch cycles.
Isnt it curious that wars are rising in tempo just as the world goes to the dogs.
❤
Simon Stiell
2 years to save the world
this is really a good news
😲💪🤔🙂
Anyone knows the name of that butterflywing-shaped plant in the background?
It's a False Shamrock www.rhs.org.uk/plants/50979/oxalis-triangularis/details
:)
@@DrGilbz Thank you. As a reward a marketing tip: if you feature another channel on your channel with the display channels/subscriptions options, and you ask those channels to display your channel too, you will both get more views.
Also like your content, wish you luck!
Prepare for a short future.
I thought atmospheric rivers happen in northern regions. I didn’t think it happens in southern regions. Its an opposite in reverse? Picking up moisture from the north? This is confusing but interesting.
They pick up water from warm equatorial/tropical regions and take it towards the poles. In the northern hemisphere, that means the rivers are carrying moisture northward from the south; in the southern hemisphere, they're carrying water southward from the north. In both hemispheres, water is evaporating where it's very warm and being carried to where it's colder.
The Amazon drought, where does that come from? 😢
Enough trees have been cut down there that less rain falls. Trees give off water as well as oxygen into the atmosphere during respiration (breathing). The climatic system of the Amazon rain forest has become less humid as a result, so there's less rain.
@oakfat5178 Thank you so much. Highly appreciated. 😔
Should I be scared now?
Do you have observations of the atmospheric river events during the medieval and the Roman warm period.
If the extreme weather events will increase, why can this tendency not yet be observed during the last 50 years with fast increase of CO2 concentration in the atmosphere?
Where does the IPCC AR6 WG1 report about this supposed tendency to more extreme weather events?
I'm not finding any data from Roman atmospheric weather balloons, radar, anemometers or hygrometers. Their computers were fairly slow and inefficient, although they used very little electricity.
Dear Oakfat
If we do not have data about spectacular sky rivers in Antarctica in the year 1125 and we if we do not know the reason of this event observed only by pinguines we should not take the time of working people with new horror stories.
Very b o r I n g!
@@oakfat5178
No worries, AMOC may shut down, then we'll have a 1000 year ice age in the northern hemisphere I suppose. Problem solved...?
The heat than, will stay in the tropical zones, and overheat they will. Google Wet Bulb Temp. Folks in the South sure won't stay if it becomes uninhabitable. Like mass migrations much ?
No, European weather will become more continental with colder winters and very hot and dry summers.
My imagination tells me that CO2 is overheating the atmosphere because I don't know anything about physics.
"I don't know anything about physics" - go take a physics class.
If a smaller AC in window works harder than norm and the sun shines, a coating of ice appears . Notice how the mechanisms work so similar. When we ask about weatherization and atmospheric altered history, we need a good starting point. Soi think we can call heating air con to the table.
Well, I'm not a climaxatologist, but I have never heard of this "Atmospheric Rivers" 😅
Whatever events and damage that has occurred, it has been stated that it'll take around 500 years to reverse this calamity!
Thats not good news at all. 😹
a.k.a
Dr. Gatz.
No German Techno sample in the video... i am shocked and disappointed... it would been so beautiful punctuating with the Swan Lake Ballet music... LOL
Uhm... concerning the “Got it” i agreed to...
Volcanic activity might be a major climate change contributor and in geological time scales might have already started...
The loss of ice mass in Antarctica and Greenland are both going to create tectonic uplift and thats going to jostle the planet more than the historical records of our species is going to prepare us for...
A kind of unzipping of the Pacific ring of fire is potentially possible.
Just as the warming situation is going to create increasing methane emissions from the permafrost regions should they melt...
The increases in volcanic activity might be helping already if such increases are already occurring... we shouldn’t count on a volcanic winter saving us all at the detriment of those near the activity... but we might be so lucky.
Often the data is not being revealed because the right questions are not being asked.
Even in pictures from space the deformation of the Earth by the weight of Antarctica is perceivable.
The loss of the ice sheets are probably enough for tectonic effects to create disasters...
... tsunamis, earthquakes, rifting, landslides and volcanic activity and more are all possible outcomes.
The relatively recent Tsunami in Thailand and the Fukushima Japan disaster for example might be the result of the global warming climate change crisis.
A methane hiccup is more dangerous pressing problem with the 28 year methane cycle potentially creating a rapid warming effect...
Ironically enough after about a hundred years of a methane hiccup hot house swamp planet... the carbon dioxide wouldn’t hold as much as heat and the patterns would change again and then I suspect that it would swing back to a ice age scenario with the weather patterns that flash froze those mammoths eating spring flowers on a nice day that are occasionally still found from multiple tens of thousands of years ago...
At about the same time the Caribbean had storms that rolled building sized rocks about leaving interesting geological history.
The atmosphere and natural patterns of nature probably has some shocking surprises for our species in the next one hundred years.
I don’t think any of that qualifies as conspiracy theory just unpopular opinion because it’s unproven at the moment... but the introduction to comment section dragged it out...
I was originally just thrilled with the news of UNESCO recognition of German Techno... 💃 LOL ❤️💃🎶🎵🎶🎵🎶🎵🎶🎵
You tell us of catistrafic
I suggest you live in a floating home, like me: a 34 ft sailboat.
As much as it's warming in the Antarctic, it will just make southern islands, warmer to live in. In a short time, a few decades, the South Sandwich Islands, will be a great place to live.
To be quite honest, I don't think there's anywhere left to run to. Seems to me that more countries are getting hit all the time. I find it bizarre that most people are quite capable of watching the news and still deny there's a problem, because you know full well they weren't watching weather extreme news stories like this 20 or 30 years ago. No one did.
@@Debbie-henri Tristan De Cuna, comes to mind.
How high above sea level are those islands? Will increased rainfall was the arable soil into the sea?
That is what global cooling does! The atmosphere drops tremendous amounts of water. For every 2 degrees, the temperature drops, it will hold half as much water. That is why the oceans rose 25 feet during the Maunder Minnimum!
Ofc there is heat and cooling, because it's an okd fashion way to make à new atmosphère. Distillation, we make whisky like this fe. Just enjoy life, stop worry. Just go to à country whom has build his houses in the water. Because if the dutch werent here my country didnt existe. We fight water for more then 500 years.
Aerosols help carry liquid water in atmospheric rivers? Water wants to be in liquid form on a surface. Not as vapour. Add more surfaces and it hold even more liquid. As we pump more aerosols into the atmosphere it hold more visible cloud droplets.😊
Oil
The Main issue is the fact that they never include Solar Particle Forcing & Solar Activity into their Models... along with the drastic diminishing Earth's Magnetic Field.
If the Earth's climate warming up means better rainfall, what should we do to increase the global temperature?
Better isn't the term to be used here. More destructive or more powerful would be far more accurate.
We do not want more powerful storms. Rain is fun, but there's kind of other people and an economy we must worry about
@@cherriberri8373 We're just going to have to build less flimsy infrastructure and more pumping stations to move access rain water from wet areas to dry regions.
@@DanielWatson-vv7cd Better infrastructure is definitely a necessity. One i dont know why ACC deniers dont seem to care about. If someone denies that its being caused by humans, but accept that its happening, why are they not pushing for people to prepare for the inevitable damage to infrastructure that comes with global warming, no matter if its caused by humans or not. Even if FF emissions arent causing global warming (which they definitely are), fossil fuels are a finite resource that we will eventually run out of. Because fossil fuels are such a versatile and useful resource, why dont we want reduce how much we're just burning up, and save them for things that really benefit from being made from the materials we can process oil and gas into. Why are we not building infrastructure to prepare for climate disaster regardless?
Most weather on the surface of the earth is created by the sun warming the planet . The orbit of earth varies . These cycles maybe natural possibly ?
All three Milankovitch Cycles are in cooling phases now.
How can we get the world ( more specifically wealthy countries) to wake up? We cant save humanity while maintaining capitalism. We need a centrally planned economy.
North Korea is a centrally planned economy, that doesn’t work most of the time. Capitalism works best with proper government regulations.
Politicians aren't doing anything because climate change isn't a part of traditional politics. And not only do they not know what to do, they can't agree among themselves what is to be done.
Before the Glasgow COP Summit meeting, Boris Johnson announced a plan to plant 300,000km/miles of new hedgerows. End of last year, Sunak was giving farmers permission to dig up more hedgerows.
Right now, our government is too concerned about election results to worry about the environment anyway. It is the last thing to get a mention.
The only thing ever to motivate politicians is when it finally affects them, destroying or flooding their homes, washing away their cars.
Capitalism is not sustainable. More central planning is inevitable but it will probably come about gradually, not in a revolutionary type of event. We can already observe this process in the increasing struggle between ecological and social legislation and the „unleash economic power“ approaches.
Bro get something in his eyes?
6:34 Yes, you Brits complain even more about the weather then us Norwegians... Why is that I wonder ? 😉😂👍😘
Unless there are streams of Liquid water wandering around the atmosphere on which I can paddle my canoe this is just elitist BS.
"this is just elitist BS" - as is all of higher education. Maybe you can go get some.
@@TheDanEdwards not sure what your comment is trying to say.
War das ernst gemeint, dass du jetzt Deutsche bist? 😮
Und falls ja: wegen Wissenschaft, Heirat, Brexit, oder anderem? 😄
Ich wünsche!
Well sense I have to keep it PC y'all will believe anything !!!!
And you will pretend in order to uphold your cognitive dissonance.
There's only one group with the interest of lying, and its the same group that literally directly profits off of lying to the public about anthropogenic climate change.
Unless you think rich elites just must have their fun toy wind turbines to look at or some weird shit.
We can expect to begin to see an 'atmospheric tsunami'!
I'm really looking forward to the crazy hurricane season this year in Florida 🫥 /s