Jets, Drones & Refineries: Europe Remembers Geopolitics || Peter Zeihan
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- Опубликовано: 16 апр 2024
- It looks like the Europeans may have figured out that Russia’s war plans don’t end in Ukraine, so more and more countries are beginning to send aid to the Ukrainians. The Americans, however, are still working through flawed economics and political considerations.
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#ukraine #russia #europe #f16
The Czechs are the real MVPs for coordinating that artillery deal.
We still don’t know where they got the shells from lol
@@Ea-pb2tu Probably Turkey. They produce a lot of shells.
@@Ea-pb2tu We still don't know if they really got shells or whether the alleged shells got to or will get to combat units. I'm sure the Czech prime minister took a nice 'finders fee' though.
@@mitchyoung93 hello Ivan
@@tukkajumala Plausible. But why would it be secret? Turkey has already provided shells right?
If someone was attacking your homeland, would you accept limitations on retaliation? Unreasonable! It is surprising how much restraint Ukraine has shown.
They have to secure US/EU support, which puts them in a bad situation...
They rely on support.
Nuance.
The restrictions ONLY apply to materiel supplied by the West.
Homemade drones attacking Russian soil, well, Boo-Yah! (And where do you think the targeting intel is coming from?)
Himars crossing the border. No. In fact, the Ukrainians document every missile fired and use of armor to counteract the Conspiracy Theorists in the US.
With US policy on Pause, we are seeing this shift in voices.
Russia is only barely beating them without US aid, but Russia is destroying power stations that keep civilians warm and alive. This is a genocide affecting around 40 million Ukrainians if we sit back and let Putin rewrite history so he can claim the European heritage of Kyiv that every Russian leader has wanted since Ivan the Terrible stolen the name Rus from the Ruthenians of Kyiv in he attempt to make the great powers of Europe see Moscow as a legitimate great European power. The Kremlin is still in this desperate bid to be taken seriously 500 years later as their demographics crumble and their alcoholism rises to global leadership.
They have no choice there just a proxy of NATO that is not allowed to join 😂
I was born an American and the values that shaped me included standing up for anyone oppressed.
Live free or die.
Does that include Americans? Because Americans are struggling under piss poor wages, inflation, and high prices while our illustrious leaders piss away hundreds of billions of dollars on OTHER countries. What about Palestinians? They are oppressed but America sides with the oppressors...how does that jive with your values?
This isn't an American tradition, more of a 20th Century neocon one. Look at the Washington Doctrine of Unstable Alliances, where George Washington warned against entangling alliances. None of the Founders wanted the US to get involved in European affairs. I think you can make a good case for Ukraine given the serious threat from Putin, but "standing up for anyone oppressed" should normally be moral support, not military. Ratheon and General Dynamics disagree, naturally.
@@kurt1391are you complaining about the military industrial complex on the internet? Should look at the history of where the things you use come from.
I imagine for the disdain of the military industry complex you abstained from using a cell phone,GPS, computer, car, cable tv, and I know your not abstaining from the internet
@@kurt1391 💯💯💯
@@User-54631 Military Industrial Complex is WAY out of control and is a net negative (at this current time) for Americans, you’re a sheep if you don’t see that.
You nailed the pronounciation of Espen Barth Eide! Regards from Norway :)
“Americans can always be trusted to do the right thing, once all other possibilities have been exhausted” (a supposed remark by Churchill).
Yes they are acting more like they were at start of WW2 - only at least they always kept suplies going back then they didn't just stop
Just like Europeans - as soon as you quit holding a Europeans hand they start to actually take some small measure of responsibility for the security of their continent. Or are you trying to say that the U.S. has been doing the wrong thing in keeping Europe safe from Russia for almost a century?
@@chrisjackson1215what was the point in that 50 years to just abandon everything you stood for over the course of 3 years? Trillions and trillions of dollars down the drain…
@@Minerals333 It hasn't been 3 year; the U.S. has been begging Europe to help since the Cold War ended. Europe has been warned for decades that we *cannot* afford to do it alone. Have you seen the U.S. National debt? A good chunk of that is the money we needed Europe to be paying for its own protection. The U.S. isn't abandoning what it stood for- it's just redistributing what few resources it does have left to more deserving Countries and their people that take this seriously. Countries like Japan, South Korea, Australia, and Israel.
You can't expect to abuse a peoples generosity and sympathies for decades and not have their attitudes sour over time. Europe was given a plan to prevent WW3, and just like WW1 and WW2 Europe seems to think it has some God-given right to drag the U.S. into it again. Only this time Europe didn't even have the decency to bring any of their own guns to the fight. It's the height of arrogance and entitlement, and if Europe wants the U.S. to defend them AGAIN then the Continent is going to have to show it can do the right thing for once it its miserable existence.
@@chrisjackson1215 Access to markets and influence was what America bought and now its just evaporating
This is the most urgent he has sounded about this war so far.
There have been so many wars.... What makes a civil war between brothers so much more intense than other conflicts that have been sponsored by the CIA Deep State cabal?
This could be seen as an opportunity. If the US realizes what Peter is talking and adjust their policy accordingly, Ukraine will have an almost free run at striking Russian oil infrastructure, and if Tom Clancy’s Red Star Rising is to be believed, once those oil production facility is severely disrupted, Russia will be having a HELL of a time to continue the war, both financially (no more oil money) and logistically (no more fuel for jets and tanks and choppers and MIC factories). There will be oil imports, but nowhere near enough to sustain Russian war effort at its current pace.
Big IF though…
@@benhardsatrio8222 But where would those oil and refined imports into Russia be coming from and what ports are available for Russia to use?
Would Russia import them into Vladivostok? No, the distance to European Russia is too far and the only producers of any significance are Western. The Trans Siberian Railway has also been running at capacity for a long time now and increasing traffic to transport oil is not possible.
Would Russia import them into Murmansk? No, it's too far from the source of the oil and lacks the infrastructure to transport the oil south.
Would Russia import them into the Baltic? Not for long because Europe could shut this route down.
That just leaves the Black Sea and as these products are essential for the war they are valid and legal targets for Ukraine. Tankers would also have to come through the Mediterranean which is controlled by NATO.
My guess is that tankers would burn and then stop.🔥
That just leaves pipelines through the Caucuses and I'm not sure about them, but it wouldn't be enough to fuel a war. Imports through Belarus will also need to be restricted.
Russia is checkmated if Ukraine keeps targeting refineries and then tankers, but NATO needs to grow a pair and get tough. This would essentially be a blockade of Russia though which has consequences.
All the best.
@@benhardsatrio8222 The problem with this is countries like china and india both highly depended on russian oil will do everything they can to ensure those facilities keep working and russian import keep coming.
Why does he lie ab it being genocide by the Russians and act like Russia is a threat to Europe when they haven’t shown that he seems very upset that Ukraine is loosing and tells us y people should help but it’s all bs that sounds good
Sun Tzu said something like, "To prevent the enemy from coming, injure him." Significant damage to Russian infrastructure at this point seems entirely appropriate. Thanks for the analysis, Peter.
"To prevent the enemy from coming, f**ck him up." Sun Tzu. probably...
Lol! @@technokicksyourass
Good analysis, but the UKRAINE has NO capacity to really hurt the Russian Capacity and OIL&GAS Industry , which is 10-times bigger than in UKRaine ...
IT IS TIME TO SETTLE THIS CONFLICT BY NEGOTIATION !
@@TheVeritas2100 Neither the Russians nor the Ukrainians want negotiations at this point. And if you think Ukraine lacks the ability to impact Russian oil and gas exports and refining, then look at their output data. A 60% reduction in capacity isn't nothing. As for these negotiations you're chanting for, how much of your country would you let them keep?
@@TheVeritas2100 if "we" the US of A would have given Ukraine what they needed/wanted from the day one like those F16 jets that Poland offered to transfer like the second week of invasion this clusterfπk would not be happening right now.
Those Ukrainians are extremely fast learners and could be operational with the jets in 4 to 6 month and avoided losing so much land and people.
Negotiation with the tirant is equal to giving up everything.
Since when you think you're a geopolitical expert?
Elon Musk?
Thank you Peter!
Best from Finland
Oh yeah. The US is withholding aid but wants to dictate policy.
bidenpolmancy
@@watchthe1369You conveniently leave out Trump threatening to cancel military aid if they didn’t fake evidence against Biden. Hypocrite 🤡
Just using what clout we have left.
When are you going to frontline sirs
Typical behaviour by the self proclaimed "indispensible nation".
I think most of Europe is feeling that the US is slipping, we need to stand with Ukraine alone.
As an American, I am embarrassed by republicans in the house of representatives
US shouldn’t be footing a huge bill for the war, Europe needs to continue to step up and use the U.S. as a backup, not an upfront bankroll.
@@Gideon920 you are right but I just wish we came to this conclusion a long time ago!! The threat to Europe is huge and desperately worrying. We really need the US.
@@Gideon920 They EU spends way more. Also, a huge part of the money the US spends goes to... the US.
In my opinion, the future actions of the US are the biggest threat to the Ukraine by far.
This reminds me of our national attitude prior to WW2.
It reminds me of all our reasons we perpetually have to get involved in the Forever Wars.
@@kurt1391 false equivalency. The point I was trying to make is that we ignore current affairs at our own peril.
@@charleswomack2166 yeah, ask yourself why the Allies did not declare war on the Soviet Union when they invaded Poland at the time? History is written by winners, aka, lies that everyone agrees to. They wanted war then and they wanted war ever since the Soviet Union collapsed.
@@GreenMachine0990 Did you know that the US actually gave military aide to the Soviet's in WW2? When this stopped, I do not know.
@@kurt1391 Well, the last one was a fraudulent boondoggle. This one is actually against OUR mortal enemy. Big difference, I would say. We spent trillions on that one, and some peopl are balking at a few tens of billions on this one, which is actually important.
Right on the money Peter.
Most Russian speaking economics ahd oil industry experts, like Mikhail Krutikhin, pointed out that the refinery strikes do not result in less crude for exports - on the contrary. Without the refining capability, Russia is forced to export MORE crude oil. The strikes hurt mostly gasoline and diesel for the domestic market.
the domeatic market is what we want to be hit! You just said good news not bad! If the russians are feeling the pain they should want to end the war that they started!
"The strikes hurt mostly gasoline and diesel for the domestic market." That is what really matters at this point in the war.
Pete is never on the money. All his predictions go terribly wrong. Every time
@@cavebabybezerkershe gets a cut from the mic, plus most of his subscribers are cia bots
@@cavebabybezerkers Thats some mighty BS. Most of his predictions are fairly accurate.
I'm sick of the good guys losing man
Lol I'm sure the Russians view themselves as the good guys as well
Get used to it
Do you think the Russians do not think of themselves as the good guys?
@@themidwestrequest-xu9rm No.
Good is subjective
I actually see it as a positive that the US has been stuck on getting a new defence package to Ukraine, because it made the European countries step up.
Dutch guy over here.☝️😌
Is that right so when you do it to tiawan Australia Aukus you bunch of rug pullers are we nazies what's it going to be my guess we are on our own I have more fight in me than any of you .gtfo
Thanks for the self reflection. European countries let the US carry the burden of NATO for decades, consider this bringing yourself up to date with the responsibilities.
Bitter sweet
Yes it is good for Europe, but it is bad for the US. Europeans will be much less likely follow US leadership unless it is in there absolute best interest. Expect this to hurt the US Middle East and China policy.
True but at what cost to Ukrainians. And at what cost elsewhere. The US and Germany want to signal every move they make so Russia isn't supposed and they want Ukraine to not take advantage of Prigozhen's march on Moscow and they want Ukraine to not attack Russian refineries and they don't want to threaten Russia so much it falls apart or into the arms of China. A lot of people have been fooled into a narrative that this is a proxy war where Ukraine is fighting on behalf of the US or NATO to weaken Russia whereas the effort is the opposite: the US already is concerned about how weak Russia is.
Excellent video, thank you.
Thank You
This is perhaps one of Peter's most important presentations.
True.
I’m bracing for the day Peter is doing a talk in the woods and the sky flashes with nuclear detonations behind him
I agree, without saying so he is telling us he's politically lurching to the right and is now a potential Trump voter to help usher in fascism in America.
@@BigTimeRushFan2112 wanting to stop genocide isn't becoming a Trump voter. What are you talking about. Russia is a neo-fascist state, jeez.
@@joythought: they can no longer actually hear and decipher what’s being said. There’s no room for nuance and logic in a cult.
Studio quality audio in remote outdoor setting.
Peter is now focusing on Ukraine as never before .... Good.
LOL ... Zeihan has to keep his AMERICA PROPAGANDA going ... 🙂
And the truth is......?
Good for who? Jews or the MIC? or both?
Peter talks more sense than almost anyone else. He’s not always right but he never claims to be and he checks back on earlier things he said.
Probably not that remote. An open top dumpster like the one behind him would attract bears if he was in the wilderness. Probably a short trail in the foothills near Denver with nearby construction.
Great take, thanks.
great stuff!
As an ethnic Korean, I can't imagine that after the South Koreans, US and allies were pushed down to Busan, Congress would have been like "hey, maybe we should debate the funding a bit more and be worried about (fake) corruption and not fund it. Let the Soviets, Chinese and North Koreans take over the whole peninsula."
The scary thing is that trump is talking about withdrawing support from south Korea.
The corruption is very much an issue (hence why the Ukrainian government is working hard to pass laws that root it out), as it always is in poorer, unstable countries. But your overall point stands.
@@k.v.7681 Depending on what news article you find, we lost way more money in Iraq / Afghanistan.
And I'm not even including stuff like the MRAP program that cost $45B.
@@HKim0072 It could be three times less and it would still be a real issue. The point is it exists. While that should not prevent help (contrary to what people are saying) it should be considered (which is done, hence they heavy focus on rooting it out). It takes time to optimize the transaction and spending of grants. We can't go in blind and say "meh, what's a couple billions in the hands of a corrupt politician that will sell out to an enemy".
@@k.v.7681 You really think they are selling 155mm shells on the open market? or a Brad is going to end up in some African warlords hands?
As an American I'm disappointed yet again we're lagging behind yet again in a European land war but I'm glad to see Europe stepping up to help
The USA has given 170 billion with a b. Europe has given only millions counting on USA to pay for a European war
I'm no fan of Putin, but a Europe owned by him is a Teddy bear compared to Hitler. And it's unlikely to happen esp. since THIS time France has nukes
Why don't you fly on over there and fight yourself?
There’s nothing stopping you from going there. Maybe don’t volunteer other people’s children to go do your fighting??
All that aid money to nato was spent on everything but military equipment 😮
Thank you, excellent analysis.
About bloody time!!
"higher oil prices are baked into that pie"; there's no point trying to defuse a bomb that's already gone off
Hide it with geopolitical BS
It hasnt though
@@PLF... it was a reference to oil prices in Europe as assessed by EU member governments; so it is wholesale landed hydrocarbon costs, not the price you pay at the pump in the US.
Nice meme, how about some substance? Did you get that from the Times or your local "jerk water gazette".
@@petechiarizio1766Is Peter using big words? Just take your time and ask your teacher to help with the long ones.
I am very happy that Europe is stepping up and pulling their weight.
If only America could.
We have been pulling out weight way longer then most people realize... On a GDP level, the US is like 15th these days, compared to a lot of EU countries when it comes down to weapon deliveries, ironically, Germany being the number two (2022-2024) but number one if we look at 2023-2024. US really dropping the ball these days.
America is spending 12.5% of its GDP on defense; not for itself, but in keeping the world for the most part at peace, by keeping the shipping lanes open for everyone, including our enemies! Few people understand this or even care, which is very sad. This has been done since the end of the last major war, 73 years ago. The vast majority of Europeans, specially the Germans, who have become more and more wealthy since the end of World War II, have refused to spend even a measly poultry, 2% of GDP on their defense. Pathetic!
@@luke_fabis NATO stepped up after 9/11, everyone helped America.
America after Trump is a failing laughing stock America.
Let's hope Europe can beat Putler
@@benjiro8793 perhaps that’s by design. Get Europe to take action about the war in their backyard instead of waiting to hear what daddy warbucks has to say about it.
A strong Europe will also make it so that DT has less leverage to force Ukraine to cede territory in the event that he gets sent back to the White House.
Brilliant, Peter. Thanks !
Probably one of Peter's best video
Perfect pronunciation of Espen Barth-Eide! Who is a great foreign minister btw!
The French Foreign Legion are strategically the best expeditionary force as mothers of dead legionnaires don't vote in France.
Some do
They lost between 140 and 200 a month ago.
Those guys were kicked out of Niger, they can't even defeat insurgencies.
There are around 700 Ukrainians in the French Foreign Legion and 500 Russians. Ideal as a buffer force in the Donbass until a referendum can be organised under the right conditions.
@@danielgonzalez7541 They were kicked out by the military junta of Niger.
Great video, thanks!!
This is EXCELLENT commentary Zeihan. Thank you.
So, just like the last 2 world wars, we didn't realize we were in one until we were in one.
Not quite yet...
Except this time it was America that was largely responsible for starting the war.
Probably won't be Japan bombing Pearl Harbour
Jake Sullivan is the new Neville Chamberlain
As an avid student of history and the hidden treaties, foreign military sales, and secret history of intelligence & subterfuge for 50 years, it sure feels like we're in a combination of 1871-1914, and 1918-1939.
I appreciate the detailed explanations here!
Thank you
This is my first stop for a sane and rational analysis. Thanks Peter.
AGREE, at least Zeihan is STICKING to Geopolitical Analysis, he is good at ! 🙂 ... (rather than parroting the Biden Admin & NATO PROPAGANDA...😞 )
AGREE!
Mine is the Duran, we are not the same
Duran have become Russian propagandists. Back in 2021, they were saying Ukraine is not a real country.
Finally. This is long overdue...either we support countries like Ukraine or the fight comes to us here.
wut
it is highly unlikely the (edit, literally any) fight will ever come to us here. Like literally ever.
@@emaster01 Not really true. If NATO shows weakness, rusia will not hessitate too much to attack a small NATO state
Ukraine today is a shield for the whole of Europe.
Exactly, many Americans just don't get it.
@@Czar_Simeon_I_The_Great Exactly.
Thanks!
Thank you!! Pieter, for the word or truth!
Well, if its truth we won't see it on NPR
Putin did the impossible. He unified the EU, expanded nato greatly and exposed the Russian military as a complete joke.
Mr. Zeihan: If you want to cripple a refinery your primary target is the area in the refinery that generates electricity and cogenerates steam (known colloquially as a “cogen”).
Blowing an entire refinery off of the map is possible, but the timing is tricky. If you want to completely raze a refinery you need to target the section of the refinery that deals with liquified natural gas, as in ethane, propane, butane, etc. You can’t just hit a distillation tower or an accumulation drum and get the desired effect. You need to cause a substantial leak in a vessel or tower containing this material and it needs to form as large a vapor cloud as possible prior to ignition.
This will result in a thermobaric event. In a thermobaric event you experience a powerful primary explosion upon ignition of the vapor cloud (in these conditions one pound of propane has the explosive energy of roughly 10 pounds of trinitrotoluene). The detonation of the cloud is an oxidation reaction that uses so much air that there is an equally powerful secondary caused by air from the surrounding area rushing into the atmospheric void created by the primary.
It’s very difficult to trigger a thermobaric event with an air attack. Depending on local security it is much easier to obtain the desired result via ground based sabatoge.
At this point you may be asking how the hell I know this. I worked in natural gas refining for 32 years and I was raised by a guy who was a green beret for 28 years.
So what part of the refinery would be best to target? Are you saying the best target is not the distillation tower? Thx.
@@nicolasolton not if you want to shut the whole operation down with an aerial attack. Hitting distillation towers from the air tends to cause localized damage because the flamables ignite at the source. A vapor cloud will not form. If you were looking to stop production from the air hit the source of steam and electricity. Upstream storage is already problematic for the Russians. If there is no electricity and steam to run the refinery it will cause feedstock to back up clear back to the well head. In Russia, that means a wellhead in arctic Siberia. Very problematic.
Check out “Operation Tidal Wave,” the bombing of 9 different refineries around Ploeşti Romania by the 8th and 9th Air Forces out of North Africa in 1943.
These refineries were the largest source of high octane aviation gasoline for the Luftwaffe. Even though this gasoline was produced in catalytic cracking units, the primary target were always the steam plants the sources of electricity and steam for the refinery. The catalytic crackers were secondary targets. If you could kill the steam plant, you would kill the whole refinery not just the catalytic cracking units. this is a historical example of the case I’m making.
@@willardswelding7243 interesting. Thx.
Truth. Much more catastrophic as flammable vapor is much more devastating
willard, so can the Russians do the SAME thing then to Ukrainian installations!? ( and likely this is just another MEDIA-HYPE! ) OOOPS!
good work
Thanks Peter. You’ve covered quite a few important matters not commonly known or contemplated by ordinary citizens.
Two words… election year.
It’s amazing he didn’t consider the Biden administrations fear of rising energy prices as being directly related to the upcoming election.
Yes, I was waiting for him to say that instead of saying it was due to some misguided policy goals, but it didn't happen.
Great to hear
Thanks for the detailed analysis and for your support for Ukraine. Дякую👍
This is getting out of hand. Things can spiral out of control very quickly with VERY bad consequences .
Things are ALREADY VERY BAD.
Thanks
Great analysis of the situation here.
Great analysis Peter, I wish more of your compatriots could see as clearly that Europe's future-including Ukraine-is America's future too and we'll win together, not by being divided.
Why exactly is Europe's future Americas? What interests lie in Ukraine other than money laundering for DC elites?
Thank you Sir!
Weird turnaround but all the better for Europe stepping up to its own defence
Awesome, love this guy
Love the graphic
Great analysis
The US position about restricting Ukrainian attacks on Russian infrastructure is embarrassing as is our dysfunctional Congress blocking much needed aid. Glad the Europeans are stepping up support. I think Ukraine going after oil refineries is brilliant. They are large fixed targets and as Peter mentioned with the withdrawal of US oil companies getting them repaired is going to be a problem. Even before the Ukrainian attack the Russians cut back on oil exports, gee I wonder why?
I don't think you understand how politics works. The U.S. position isn't "don't do it" it's we have to say "don't do it" but in all reality go to town. Just don't use U.S. weapons to do it or you will cause all political dialogue future and present to shut down. This is a trap Peter often seems to fall into; he forgets to read between the lines sometimes and has to correct himself the month after.
You seem to ignore the fact that the Ukrainians DID stop the bombings after Jake Sullivan went to Kiev to warn them off.
dumb comment. Ukraine's problem is Ukraine. Not aid. Ukraine is raising Battalions and Bridgades and Russia is fighting with Armies.
Love this.
Spot on....
Espen Barth Eide has a long history of working closely with Jens Stoltenberg. He would never encourage Ukraine to attack inside Russia unless this was cleared with Mr. Stoltenberg.
It's not so much about encouraging as it is not discouraging.
@@SteveWithers "The deeper the better" sounds very much like encouragement to me.
Thank you Norway for your support of Ukraine
Thanks for the graphic. Didn't know the distillation column and cracking unit were different.
Thank you ❤❤❤
Absolutely well said Peter!
Spot on analysis ... again ;)
Pictures !! Finally.
Thank you for your report and comments.
Policy as stated the US does not encourage targeting oil and infrastructure which is substantially different than telling them not to target.
Yes, but the question is what they are telling the Ukrainians behind closed doors
Good man, Peter
Excellent news.
thanks Peter- too true
From what I'm seeing online there seems to be a notion that the US is dragging its feet because it doesn't want Russia to collapse due to the consequent threat that could emerge from Russia's nuclear arsenal then being dispersed/fought over internally, and China's taking advantage of that outcome, as well as making a grab for their former territories there.
The thought had occurred to me some time ago but I thought it was too far-fetched. However this has been mentioned as a more serious possibility on (the excellent!) Denys Davydov's latest RUclips upload...
I think fairly commonly accepted that west is providing enough support to prevent Russian victory with causing Russia to collapse.
Difficult balance.
That's the Executive Branch's reason.
The Legislative Branch has been heavily infiltrated by Russian agents, that's what is going on in Congress.
I like how the graph says bug bada boom😂
I had to go back and rewatch, for a zoom in. 🤣
It is "Big Badda Boom" from The Fifth Element, I presume.
@@nathanbanks2354 Iconic scene in a classic film. 🙂
This was some decent analysis.
AMEN! Peter!!!
Excellent points
Those fractionating columns aren't all they are cracked up to be
Bah-dum-TISS! 😆
@@howtoappearincompletely9739 ah. A drone hit another one?
Nice analysis Peter
That distillation tower graphic is gold, great Leeloo quote! 😅
"Big Badda Boom"
Refineries hurts personal interests of certain high ranking corrupt officials
peter is fired up...good
Thank you for the truth!!!!
Thank you Peter Zei, an excellent synopsis of what’s happening in Ukraine/Russian war, and part played today by Ukraine and its Allies, Jets, Drones and their attacks on Russian Refineries. And the geopolitics of War🤔
Well I agree with you, I am constantly shocked by the number of people that will give up human rights over the price of milk.
Best video
About time
Another great observation and analysis. Thanks, Peter!!
Love the tower graphics
About time.
All correct on all counts.
Finally an opinion on Ukraine targeting Russia's oil facilities. It was strange Peter didn't mention it and I was curious why.
So your saying all of this has led to WW3 or is leading to it? How is this good?
This is really good to hear
Clear reasoning as usual. Well done Peter!
this is slow walking into a NATO - Russia war
i feel sorry for Taiwan....at least Ukraine has support from other European countries
Lol
Taiwan has support from Japan and South Korea
@@user-ee7bz3ip2bnot much help if Taiwan is blockaded though
The MAGA people tend to be more hawkish on China than Russia. One of the (imo shortsighted) arguments they make is that too much support for Ukraine draws attention away from China. Even Steve Bannan, who I normally don't have a particularly high opinion of, has stated that the US must, in his words, "spare no expense to defend Taiwan."
Taiwan has money and I would dare say that it has the upper hand against China. Naval invasions are a nightmare and if they are effective in ending the first wave, their independence will practically be assured.
Hi Peter. Yes, you pronounced the name of the Norwegian foreign secretary perfectly. Øyvind from Oslo, Norway
I’m a retired Union Boilermaker and I always called them tray towers. I have done many hours of welding and replacing the trays in the Distillation unit
I always wonder how Peter keeps track of everything, and remembers all the minute details. Next level
There does seem to be a bit of a tone shift over here in Europe.
It almost feels like America is more distracted with internal issues and tensions with China & Israel/Gaza to notice or even care about NATO related issues.
As i think we should be. China is a huge danger. We need Europe to support the world order as well. It's good that we have each other's backs. The United States can't do this alone anymore.
We can only hope…
It's not just china and Israel, it's also Yemen, Niger, Mali, Sudan, Burkina Faso, North Korea and the UAE.
We are still giving enormous aid to Ukraine and this new bill will be no different but the world is falling into conflict and we need NATO nations to step up in European defense. Ukraine isn't in NATO so they aren't triggering a real NATO response, the US will be there for that but we need to be careful not to be spread too thin.
Europe hasn't cared about NATO issues for decades, as even with a war raging in Ukraine, half the EU members still don't even pay their 2% NATO dues.