I tried using AI. It scared me.
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- Опубликовано: 21 май 2024
- I just wanted to fix my email. ■ AD: 👨💻 NordVPN's best deal is here: nordvpn.com/tomscott - with a 30-day money-back guarantee. ■ Code and full conversation: www.tomscott.com/fix-gmail-la...
Script assistant: Laura Conlon
No AI assistance was used, except where noted.
ALTERNATE TITLES:
Crypto and the metaverse aren't the future. AI is.
I just wanted to fix my email.
I tried ChatGPT and had a minor existential crisis
Everything is about to change
ChatGPT is Napster, 24 years later.
ChatGPT is 2023's Napster.
CHAPTERS
0:00 Intro
0:07 I just wanted to fix my email
2:39 Gmail's label system sucks
5:35 Wait, I can fix this with code
7:36 It can't be that good, right?
11:31 Everything is going to change
🟥 MORE FROM TOM: www.tomscott.com/
(you can find contact details and social links there too)
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👥 THE TECHNICAL DIFFICULTIES: / techdif
(Yes, that was a "Weird Al" Yankovic reference.)
It's an opinion piece this week! Been a while since I've done one of these. ■ AD: 👨💻 NordVPN's best deal is here: nordvpn.com/tomscott - with a 30-day money-back guarantee.
tom scott
How was this pinned 5 days ago?
5 days ago?
Im poor
5 days ago…
It’s lowkey terrifying being in college trying to plan what I want to do not knowing the world I’m heading into
So I'm about to graduate with a job in naval architure. And I feel like ow god, how many mechanical engineers are going to be needed in 10 years.
@@abyssaljam441 robots are expensive due to resources needed to build them, meat on the job turning knobs and bolts are probably not going away for a while
if it's any comfort, it's always been that way. if it seems otherwise, it's just because you have the benefit of hindsight.
The technology sector is rapidly changing, all others will slowly follow that are attached to it.
People mine and Tom's age were like that too. Our schooling was in an analogue world for a digital one that began to exist almost exactly at the time we entered the workplace. Our life training was literally in the wrong world for that time.
"Tom Scott tries to predict the future, 2023, colorized."
In a few years Tom should do a prediction compilation and see how many he got right.
He won't, we'll have an autonomous system make the video in his stead.
He kind of already did that - "Ten years ago, I predicted 2022. Did I get it right?"
@@zenthr Virtual copy of his head. I hope.
colorized? vr-ified
Relatedly, check the "Predictions for 2022" (or other years) by Astral Codex Ten for this style of work
12:36 weird question... but do you listen to Weird Al? You listed the exact same music downloading websites and in the exact same order as Al Yankovic does in "Don't Download This Song".
Yes he did! Check the very end of the video’s description. He literally mentioned that!
once in a while..... maybe you will feel the urge..... to break international copyright law.....
aw Soulseek gets no love :(
Limewire was evil.
he definitely does as he mentioned Al in his previous copyright related video
Don't steal this book
If nothing else, I love that this video is how I discovered that Gmail labels don't just work like folders.
It's weird that 10 years ago, people typing into Google "can you please tell me what the weather will be like this week thank you" was seen as weird and not appropriate, because why would you talk to your search engine? But reading the transcript of the conversation between Tom and ChatGPT, that's how it talks back to you...
It's only because it's designed to mimic our conversations. It did not come up with conversation as we know completely on its own.
@@stitcherlives as Tom said: word prediction based on humans data
@@stitcherlives The point is why they don't program Google search like this 10 years ago, because they CAN'T.
Years ago, my grandpa used to ask thinks like this to google
chatgpt is like a parrot who talk it know how to get the right reaction but it does not know what it says it can't it only is using machine learning that was learned by giving it a curated list of what to learn from & what not
I remember chatbots being a total joke. The last six months have been equal parts exciting, confusing, and disturbing.
buckle up for the next six 😂
@@Hyperion4K and now imagine where we’ll be by 2030…
You think you did but you are a bot
"[...] exciting, confusing, and disturbing."
That is how one describes what 'terrifying' means, yes.
they so extremely funny tho
I feel, like a 3d artist, that my days might be numbered. Companies wouldn't skip a beat if they could replace artists with an algorithm. I hope I'm wrong. I actually love what I do...
Unfortunately you're correct, along with coders, authors, architects, humans...
maybe in the long term, but before that the tools that execute your vision will change and become a lot more powerful.
@@poopface011 that part as well yes. Silver linings 😆
Depends on the people running the company
There is an IA already that makes 3d game assets
You're not wrong. This is the beginning of a major shift. As a person with no coding skills, I was not able to get ChatGPT to come up with the correct code to make a very simple, but functional indicator for a program called MT4. It said it could code in the required language, but no luck. So, I think it takes a human with coding skills, to be able to evaluate the output and makes fixes as you did.
Programming is both a art and a science. ChatGPT helps the programmer with repetitive tasks but can not entirely create an app made of millions of code lines ! The prompt for this app would contain thousands of lines ! But prompt engineering is now sought and pay well ($ 200 000 per year) 😮😊
@@didiervandendaele4036 only for this year, next year ur toast
I think the big difference is that now the barrier to producing code in a new programming language is much reduced. I know how to program in Python, but I don't know JavaScript and CSS that well. Now that I've been working on a web app I need those languages for my front end. ChatGPT can create a program that gets me most of the way there. If there's an issue with the syntax, then I'm going to take a long time to notice the issue, syntax is what I'm trying to get ChatGPT to do for me, but I can assure myself the flow of logic is correct because I learned about generic programming topics like algorithms and data structures in Python, but are equally applicable to all programming languages.
When a Tom Scott video is longer than 6 minutes you know gets going to be deep.
Over 10 minutes*
"gets going to be"
If a Tom Scott video is deep, and I am learning while watching am I then Deep Learning?
Except this video is of inconsequential nothingness
When a Tom Scott video is deep you know it's going to be longer than 6 minutes
the fact that you can reason with the code and point out its errors and it will fix them is both fascinating and terrifying to me
how most senior feels but it took 3 days for the interns to fix it instead of chatgpt instantly finding the error and fix it.
It can still easily get stuck in a situation where it doesn't understand, and "flip flops" between two incorrect solutions.
@@jeremykothe2847 Yea, but will that still be the case in 2030? 2024? Maybe next month even? The second it can get itself "unstuck", the potential becomes unimaginable.
It doesn't "fix" them, no. What it does it just keep spitting out new possibilities. It's up to the user to define which possibility it stops at.
Exactly
I know Tom has Flown into the sunset, but i would find it very interesting to see a commentary video from Tom about Ai now a year later after this. Love this channel and everything about it
especially after Sora launch yesterday
oh hell yea
@@bhyat
True! Especialy after gpt 4-o launch yesterday!
you're a smart guy tom. if things change, you will change with them.
something similar has happened to me a few times in my 72 years, and i was lucky/clever enough to jump ship, roll with the punches, or whatever cliche/metaphor you like, and find a new direction. not always easy, but the best things aren't.
Courage mon frere😀
Sucks to struggle for 10 years and any time I've "made it", something happens within 6 months to lose it again. Meanwhile other people are like why are you trying so hard, just get the job I did and you can do the same thing for 30 years. Awesome.
I remember Napster..... I worked there.
It's amazing how quickly they went the way of the dodo after the settlement, while nowadays we can still intensively torrent without issue using different clients.
Wow! I imagine very few can say as much; how large did Napster grow as a company before being sued into the dirt?
Wow that's quite an item to be able to put on your resume
Hello earth to Scott
I'll never forget when my ex accidentally deleted all of my music I downloaded over about 3 years! I actually cried! With a 56k modem it took thousands of hours to download them
I love Tom Scott's dedication to do a one take for each segment. It's very difficult for those who haven't done it before.
You should watch Lindybeige; he does one take per video.
Teleprompters make it a lot easier. I hate the vlogging trend of jump cuts. Tom's style is very much the opposite and it screams authenticity, I trust that he knows what he's talking about because he can riff on it non stop. I know he's a brilliant human being but I do think he uses a teleprompter, that's not a bad thing though.
@@mntucket7410 They definitely do, but it's still very difficult to read without stumbling on words or pausing too long while using inflections at the right time and all the other things that make the reading and video seamless. The longer the video, the harder it is. He's been doing this for many years now and he's got it down really well
@@mntucket7410 Yeh, I think he might. But he does it in a way where he could just be speaking off the cuff. @TomScottGo do you use a teleprompter or is it all off the cuff?
@@henrikoldcorn Maybe he just really hates editing. Haha
I have this feeling that every time some new tech marvel arrives its just to widen the gap between the rich and the poor.
The digital divide has been an issue for several decades, I think this could make that worse
Really? I would have thought that many of the now available technologies have actually reduced that gap, in some ways, now everyone including even a homeless person can have an advanced smartphone in their hand, whereas previously this was out of the question.
@@shivabreathesa homeless person can afford a phone over £1,000?
You don't have to pay 1000 £ for a smartphone. There are smartphones now that work well and are cheap.
@@bobosaurus331 Most homes cost more than £1,000.
14:06 "In a few years, I'll still be working like this" straight made me emotional
About 20 years ago I was taking a programming class and had a conversation with the professor about how cool it would be to be able to just tell the computer what you are trying to do, and it does it. He said that would be impossible to code a program to do that because it would have to understand your language and dialect.
The future is now.
I have wished that computers would be like in Star Trek and we could just tell it to do things and it would do them. Some thing seem like they should be simple, but they aren’t. A number of years ago, I was going to put a bunch of folders full of articles on CDs; a task that I thought would be easy. But then I discovered that a bunch of the articles had names that were too long and they all had to be re-saved with shorter titles before burning on CDs. It would have been so much easier to just tell the computer to find those articles, shorten the titles, and burn to CDs.
@@keirfarnum6811 Well, we are not far off from that. Give it a few years and the newest versions of speech assistents are going to be frightening good.
A programming language is literally the way to tell the computer what to do. The problem with that is, that the computer dies what you tell him and not what you mean.
He wasn't wrong, they still can't understand language and dialect.
It's only that processing power, storage, connectivity, and bandwidth over the internet has become so much exponentially larger and relatively cheaply available that a program can now pull from a massive data set, run calculations based on given parameters and by probability and past failures (that it was told was failures) can produce what most humans ( by their recorded "that's correct" responses to it's output) most likely expect based on given parameters.
Those who can, do. Those who can't, teach.
“I've come up with a set of rules that describe our reactions to technologies:
1. Anything that is in the world when you’re born is normal and ordinary and is just a natural part of the way the world works.
2. Anything that's invented between when you’re fifteen and thirty-five is new and exciting and revolutionary and you can probably get a career in it.
3. Anything invented after you're thirty-five is against the natural order of things.”
- Douglas Adams
Interesting way of viewing. I would tweak it a little and say that the dread can start way before 35. I’m 27, my sister 25 we are both not viewing it as something exciting, at least not for what it represents to the world.
I'm older than 35 and find it very exciting.
But I also grew up when at the start of computers becoming a thing, and the internet, and smartphones, so maybe I'm more adjusted to change.
I understand that some people find it threatening in terms of their livelihoods, but in most ways I think those fear are largely overstated.
Life isn't static, we always have to adapt and change to new things in order to thrive-no matter how old we are.
@@shadowjuan2 In theory, it can represent a future where humans no longer have to toil their entire lives in thankless, repetitive jobs, where value can be created for next to nothing by machines that have no aspirations outside of their tasks, and distributed to the population as a whole. We've already passed the point where automation creates more wealth than a country needs - we just allow it to be hoarded by individuals instead of given to the humans who enabled it. Exactly how dystopian or utopian society becomes will have something to do with luck and a lot to do with how easily people allow themselves to be scared into siding with the hoarders, and how many of the rest vote.
Tom Scott is about 35.
@@Razumen the tech is semi ok as long as the power lies in the hand of honest humans.
Going back 15 years I've speculated that the next step up from OOP would be coding in regular language.
Wow. I was thinking "Looks VERY like the coast of New Zealand" just before you said that it was.
For people who might be interested, the pair of birds @ 11:30 are endemic New Zealand variable oystercatchers.
They are no longer rare or endangered, and are common all over New Zealand, shore birds over the full length of our 2600 mile extent, 12 degrees of latitude.
They are interesting primarily because they have widely variable plumage, which follows no easily identifiable pattern. They are all the same species but their colouring and even the size of their feathers varies so much that they were divided into three or even five sub-species originally.
I know one kind of random thing about them, they are eatable. I actually knew people who had eaten them before they were made protected in 1922, who said something like "Well, they were not GOOD eating, but times were tough".
Hahaha great sidetrack!
I went onto chatGPT and got it to write a simple powershell script to find the sizes of folders and it did a workmanlike job of it, coming up with one that did the job, but slowly. I wasn't impressed. Then I asked it to find a quicker way of doing it, and it correctly used a hash table making it about 10x quicker. That was when I realised how important this is.
Oh god it’s learning
@@fios4528 Workmanlike. Means basic and straightforward.
@@fios4528 WORKmanlike
problem is it steals from other script and it doesnt know where the information came from, plagiarized work with 0 accountability
@@fios4528 I also read it as womanlike. its hard being dyslexic. ChatGPT have made my life so much easier now.
"Maybe Siri and the Google Assistant are going to become the things they were always promised to be." I have a feeling this quote is going to age like fine wine.
...Heres some information that might help you with what you're looking for
Alexa still has a single digit IQ
Does Microsoft make those assistants yet? They invested heavily in OpenAI I believe
@@sjoerd7512 Cortana is about to get a new brain
@@sjoerd7512 Bing Chat on waitinglist rn
I've long been skeptical of the contention that new machine functionality won't eliminate jobs but will merely make current employees more productive. Greater productivity from each employee clearly leads to needing fewer employees for the same task. e.g. automated telephone switchboards may have initially just made operator jobs easier, but they eventually replaced operators. (Have you met a telephone switchboard operator lately?)
Exactly this. Funnily enough, it reminds of a Frankie Boyle joke - 'in a capitalist society, technology isn't going to make life better - instead of earning good money as a sex worker, that same person will instead be earning minimum wage cleaning the c*m-grates of a hundred sex robots'.
If technology makes our jobs easier/does our jobs for us, the powers that be will just see that as a reason not to pay us anything.
You just contradicted yourself
If fewer employees are needed then you have just eliminated jobs
For Google to mess up sorting in their own app it is both ironic and concerning. I'm guessing they won't ever adhere to their original, expected design.
My pit in the stomach moment was yesterday when my mother, who is not a big tech at all, easily won an argument against my sister about whether or not to allow the dog on the bed. by asking chat gpt for good arguments and comebacks. my sister, who did not realised what was happening was complettly flabargasted and left speachless.
using chatgpt to win an argument is like using a hacked client to win in bedwars.
I do it frequently.
Was the dog allowed on the bed?
To be fair the same thing could be done with google, even if it takes a bit longer and involves more reading.
@@FutureDeep we must know
And?? Was the dog allowed on the bed? Why or why not???
Came in expecting another "OMG CHATGPT IS SO SMART NO WAY!" video, instead got a view into a very personal and abstract feeling that spans entire generations. Great stuff.
Well he also demonstrated a much greater understanding of chatgpt than most people do who just gush on about it for views
@@Thomas-qc9xl is it not worth gushing about?
expecting that from Tom Scott?
@@bonecrushboy2242 it's feeding the hype without thinking about what the consequences of such an invention could be
@@bonecrushboy2242 its not, similar language programs have existed for some time. chat gpt is based on a slight evolution of gpt-3
At one point in my life, I would amaze people with the story of how the university computer I operated had switched over from cardboard punchcards to magnetic tape as a storage medium, because we were at the cutting edge of technology.
Nowadays people are amazed by that story because I can remember that far back into the distant past....
Watching this video just 1 month later hits different. I'll try to remember coming back in a year to remind me how quick that process was.
It’s been 10 months at least since the comment
@@Eebie_Jeebies openai hat mit "Sora" gerade Text-zu-Video angekündigt, mit schon fast fotorealistischen Videos. Es geht unfassbar schnell.
Watching this days after Sora was announced also hits different
"That horror, that dread is that in a couple of years, my world is about to change. And despite everything, I will still want my emails to be in folders"
The sheer power of that sentence, it's unbridled. You put into words what I couldn't. The Dread of Change.
Exactly! This sentence reminds me of how generations work. Millennials pick on boomers for being stuck in the past. Gen Z picks on Millennials for being stuck in the past. Gen Alpha will pick on Gen Z for being stuck in the past. Some day Gen Beta will pick on Alphas. Change is the way of the world but we dont change as quickly. This sentence alone encapsulates politics and business in a beautifully succinct way
Neophobia is, ironically, not a new thing.
The only thing I hate more than change, is when things stay the same!
I think it's more like the dread of a very specific change for instance, when was the last time you were just randomly out and ran into a friend because they just happen to frequent the same places you do because you share their interests?
The problem is just that we don't know yet whether the changes will be improvements or not.
That's what's important: Are changes improvements or not?
I feel the anger about Gmail labelling, you are not alone Scott, I ALSO realized that labels only affects a single message in the thread and it KILLS me.
Tom included a copy of the code to fix that in the link under the video :)
Is there a way to use the filters function to automatically sort labelled messages in a thread the same?
THIS, this made me seethe
Definitely not only Tom affected.
The problem goes away if the emails are unthreaded instead of being joined into a single thread. Each email becomes its own unit that can then be sorted.
A personal note of sympathy with your Gmail labels frustration! I was recently engaged in civil litigation, in which a great deal of evidence was hundreds of emails exchanged between myself, a landlord and various city officials. I discovered when trying to find all of the relevant exchanges - many, but not ALL of which I had originally labelled - the exact same issue you had with missing portions of threads due to labels not having automatic global application. (I ended up spending several trdious days with the advanced search function in the end.) I imagine other folks have needed to collect all exchanges on a certain topic for some reason or other, and run into a similar frustration! I know that's not that point of this video, just the set-up. But I FELT that complaint!
Wrote a policy brief on this a couple weeks ago, hugely relevant to all this! Love seeing people getting the word out!
You know... I'm an old programmer since I was a little boy with an Altair... We used to say about computers; "computers do what you tell them to do, not what you want them to do." It has held true all these decades. It may not be valid much longer.
nah - this kind of stuff works for very limited scripts... something that effectively has to do one thing and will work with "off the shelf" bits
as tom mentioned...as soon as it gets more complex it completely falls apart
and the thing is... you always have to verify whatever it produces... and the bigger the codebase, the harder that gets... and automatic optimizations can and will produce incredibly obtuse sourcecode thats even harder to verify... and problems like that compound
... or it might be true and the computers will do it anyway.
The new maxim will be "computers do what *they* want to do, not what you want them to do."
Monkey's paw
That I think won't be solved by ChatGPT. Automation, or even human delegation, always walks a fine line between correcting minor mistakes and substituting the original specifications for a wrong interpretation based on the agent's mistakenly confident assumptions.
For the record, you're definitely not the only one annoyed by Gmail labels, there's dozens of us!
And as an aside i too, got the same feeling, so if you're wrong, you won't be the only one.
The one thing that strikes me about this video is the fact that nowhere in his path did Tom question that Google just might have implemented it the wrong way :D
Haha. "Dozens"
+
fooking labels how they work? 🎶🎵
It's gotta be more than dozens. My 300k+ employee company uses gmail and labels absolutely do most of our heads in!
Really interesting reading the full chatgpt script. Its a really good example of the use of it and what to watch out for. Whilst the conversation flow is similar to a manager checking a juniors work and requesting corrections, its not what is going on, its a text predictor which is why it makes easy mistakes. There is no "truth" or "fact" just predictions.
we are in "the 75% mark of the vertical curve"
I know this wasn't the point you were making but in the back of my mind I kept thinking of the Douglas Adams quote:
"I've come up with a set of rules that describe our reactions to technologies:
1. Anything that is in the world when you’re born is normal and ordinary and is just a natural part of the way the world works.
2. Anything that's invented between when you’re fifteen and thirty-five is new and exciting and revolutionary and you can probably get a career in it.
3. Anything invented after you're thirty-five is against the natural order of things."
Adams had a keen eye
Ditto dude. Was thinking the same.
Like any good humorist, Douglas Adams was an excellent observer of human nature. Comedy is something that people drastically underrate constantly.
@@MyName-tb9oz yes. Good comedy is not inventing humour. Just pointing out how funny and ironic life on this planet actually is. And adams was one those really good at pointing.
I love this quote as it is true so so often. And people never catch them selves following the patterns.
“Surprise is just a fancy word for being wrong about what comes next.” That hit hard
what's the unfancy word for that?
@@seraeirian2 WTF
No, "being wrong about what comes next" is just a fancy definition of surprise.
Right? 🤯
I hate surprises but I don’t mind being wrong so I’m not sure about that. Some people just feel uncomfortable, or maybe it’s some sort of control issue. I don’t know.
I share your trepidation. This seems just as incredible as the mass adoption of the internet, or the introduction of the automobile before that. This generative AI technology is going to completely change wide swaths of society.
A couple years ago my son (who was just learning basic programming) had asked me why we had to use programming languages, and not just write what we want in English. I explained to him how hard it is for a computer to parse English, and that I thought the idea of just telling the computer what to do in English would be many years away. Now with these Large Language Models, it feels like my son's idea to just tell the computer what to do in English is much, much, closer than I had expected.
And I didn't know that labels don't apply to whole threads, that sounds incredibly annoying.
Everything about this is so relatable to me. I was cringing right along with you as you described the labels problem.
(By the way, afaik 25-year-olds do not remember the rise of the internet. I'm 36 and haven't found anyone younger than me who remembers it!)
I'm a nuclear engineering student, I used chatGPT while studying and that's my experience:
On one hand, it was really good for generic stuff, like "ask me something about nuclear engineering" (I needed some random questions to prepare an oral exam).
On the other hand, it was awful at giving any specific knowledge, responding in a vague way or just completely and absurdly wrong.
As a biology student I feel the same. High school level biology? Sure, it works. In more specific things it sucks and is incredibly unreliable.
That is because it is still in the progressing phase ?
right now its just a language model trained on allready written/crawl ans searchable text in the internet.
Verry specific knowledge is often behind paywalls, behind DRM in onlinebooks and behind university access barriers... and also sometimes still on paper in books in libaries.
and yes it can be wrong in a verry strong way. there is no recursive algorithm to check for facts or a knowlege database ii uses.
but.. give the system a basic database of known knowllege as a strong data point to use. give it a feedback option from the users you can simply say nope you are wrong here...
Its clear this will be the next step and at least a feedback loop will be implementet to harvest a lot of big data out of it.
It is not the finished product chatgpt will improve
it passed the MCATS
I feel like we've finally entered one of Tom's futures. Not THE future, but A future.
that sent a chill down my spine..
I see you are a person of culture
Brexit happened, and Scotland is trying to secede and join the EU, as described in the Social Credit System clip.
Is it the future where brain nanobots delete the 20th century?
Praying nobody invents Earworm…
Having seen enough of GPT4, I'm going to say this is not a Sigmoid curve. It's an exponential curve.
Agreed
we are dead men walking
I think you might be right. Self-iterating technology be kinda scary.
this is one of your best videos imo because it still uses your clever “nerdy” real life stories but i feel like it addresses something that quite literally everyone has a thought on
Going from Coding - Telling computers to do things, to Asking computers to do things, is such a crazy step.
This right here is the shift we're going through, truly terrifying
In some regards yes, but in other regards it's essentially the same thing dressed differently.
You can definitely tell ChatGPT what to do. It doesn't really care whether you ask nicely.
Telling the computer what to do, versus asking the computer for what you want… Going from instructing someone on how to cook you a burger, to just asking for the burger and letting them figure it out.
@@dvol I think they meant the difference between asking a computer to generate a solution to a problem as opposed to using/coding specific processes to solve a problem.
My primary fears are not what jobs it will take away or what it might get wrong, but how it will be essentially weaponized and commercialized by those who would like to profit off of its misuse.
It will simply be just like personal computer and internet. Life will simply go on, whatever happens.
That happened long ago. Google and other big tech already know more about you and your family than you do!
That's why we need to end and move past capitalism ASAP
What's wrong with it being commercialized? Almost everything else in life is.
@Not Bono
Not all tech does but we can rest assured that if anything developed outside of the military is usful the military will soon have it
what you are describing about trouble with gmail.. was something that i experienced to and it has been the thing that has kept me from fully transitioning to gmail
Tom, you are absolutely correct!! There will be so many people displaced from their work!!
"if you're under 25 you don't understand how fast this all happened" it's so true. I0m 23, bit younger, but i can feel the difference when i talk to someone who is 16/17. The way they are one thing with social media and their phone it's absurd, but what's even weirder is that it does NOT directly translate to tech skills. We're managing to spend so much time on devices not learning anything about them
very interesting point; we seek information more than ever before in today's society yet most also don't seem to ask "okay, but how/why does this work?" I think my favourite question ever is the simple "why?" just that. why don't people look at the fact they have stared at instagram or tiktok or whatever and go hummmm, why is it soo addicting or take up soo much of my time? how does it know what to feed me? It shocks me how little of my peers say that (i'm 20)
@Rudolf NV and you wonder why I've deleted all my Social Media. Its cancerous
That's because manufacturers and developers are trying as hard as they possibly can to obscure the inner workings of their devices. The solution is to use older software & devices.
@@peanuts2105 You are in social media rn
It's predictable really that using phones rather than computers would lead to decreased tech literacy, as the smartphone hides a lot more of its functionality than a PC does.
I had a dream that aliens were invading, and they announced this by kidnapping Tom and forcing him to make a video. So when I saw "Everything is about to change" I had to remind myself to actually watch the video before panicking.
"I'm Tom Scott and I'm on the bridge of Gleiss Colony Ship Z'rrak!thun. I am almost certainly mispronouncing that."
6:26
that's a lovely dream
@@HeavyMetalMouse "I'm Tom Scott and I'm standing inside the Space Hulk Alethros."
"Tom no!"
have you seen the news?? that wasn't a dream..
What terrifies me are the potential outcomes of people treating AIs on the internet as they do each other.
It will be made out of our own image...that is for sure.
? It's a tool. What terrifies me is how it's going to be used.
Hopefully we'll be good parents
You called it, there have been countless stories of this recently, just look at Replika users
@@integre23I'm sorry for ask this 2 months after you watch this video (even maybe you already forgot)
But what happen with stories about Replika and it's users?
These are *exactly* my thoughts and feelings. Thanks for bringing them to words.
I am fascinated how Tom can talk non stop with such perfect structure and occasional timely jokes.
it's scripted?
He's truly excellent.
He might be a robot!
He comes from Mark Zuckerberg's lizard world, but he is a much more emotionally intelligent specie
Very true and very easy on the brain
This feels so honest. In my opinion it's rare to see this vulnerability, specially from such a prominent person, and I think there's a great deal of beauty in it. Thank you Tom
It's what the plants crave
no cuts helped
@@alecsciandra705 That seagull @10:50 did feel suspiciously on queue, haha
It's all just big data.
I found your "is it just me that finds this a problem" so sweet and endearing. It would be a huge issue for me too. I wanted to give you a cuddle and get you snacks and coffee for your coding session 😂
I had the exact same experience! I had a specific problem that I could solve with code that I didn’t have the time or the patience to write, so I boiled it down to a set of clear instructions which I passed on to chat GPT and it gave me the code in a few seconds. I experienced the exact same feelings.
This is not Siri this is not speech recognition, this is a singularity in the space-time fabric of the universe. Everything is about to change I agree.
Is that really so different than the millions(or billions, or trillions) of moments that coders used Wolphram Alpha or StackOverflow crowd sourcing to solve problems?
ChatGPT is powerful af, yet still a novelty act. Times, they are a changin...
Hope so.
I agree, it's already happening for me personally.
@Politik und Wissen Decades away
Damn. To be honest, it scares me a bit. We cannot even imagine what's about to happen..
It feels like we are creating a Timecapsule right now.
And you are right to be a bit scared. Lots of people are descending into cope and trying to minimise it and dismiss it based on some mistakes. These AIs don't have to be perfect to revolutionise everything and they don't have to completely replace humans in a loop... Just most of them.
@@winsomehax And the thing is, those mistakes are in the _current_ AIs. Nothing's to guarantee they'll be kept unsolved in whatever new ones are to come.
Right? The potential for misuse and misinformation.. Where you can't tell what's real or not. That's a sci Fi dystopia, and that might be within the next 5 years
unknown
@@brunoaltoe100 It's virtually certain those glitches will be gone in the next or immediately following generation.
I write romance novels and for years we've always laughed at 'Computer Writes A Novel And It's Bad" articles. Far less laughing these days. Lot more side-eyeing and creeping existential dread.
Then stop side eyeing it, look at it dead on and do something about it!
A romance novel written by a machine, an advanced calculator, which never had and never will get the human eperience. How sad people fall for that.
We love comforting oureselves, telling ourselves there's all these things that only Humans can do. That list has only ever grown shorter, and every time it does, we push back the goalposts.
It only does so by stealing your work.
@@atheistreligionandislameis4455 The human brain is a machine made of meat. Consciousness is an emergent property of complexity. Computers might get there too, they're just behind us on the path.
This video is a bally masterpiece. No one but Tom Scott could so elegantly and nonchalantly integrate the seagull cries in the video like that, by the way.
Looking at the wind in the video, the sound quality on this is amazing
I started to realize the gravity of the situation when Open AI's CEO started talking about how underdeveloped ChatGPT is compared to what they're planning to release, even calling it their "worst product." Such crazy times we're living in.
the tech was already here for years, we just needed to wait for more powerful computers to process it
You realise its his job to sell his company, right?
Don't trust hucksters lmao
He also said people will be disappointed by GPT-4
@@grieferoncamera4600 Not really, it's more that GPT-3 is much more powerful but requires the user to adapt to it, and ChatGPT is the other way around. It made it available to people who didn't know / believe how amazing it was
When I was at university studying computer science 10 years ago we used to be like "It really sucks for all those people who are about to lose their jobs to automation. But surely programmers will always be in demand!"
Welp.
I'm feeling a sick feeling in my stomach right now. Don't do art get a CS degree they said. Now look. I should've just picked up a damn trade.
@@sianais Mfw I went to university for five years and my job is easier to automate than a streetsweep.
@@sianais Specialize and be an expert. My thinking is that will always be needed.
@@sianais You guys are now getting a piece of the cake we manual workers have had long ago. Enjoy, it's your turn now, see how you like it.
@@flybeep1661 you say it so aggressively (maybe by accident) that it looks like you're mad at them for it, when they weren't the ones making the changes and they have no blame in it, and you also don't have proof they made fun of some person because of the programs replacing humans stuff
Somewhere in Wellington, south coast.... Saw the ferry go past. Awesome video by the way!
The biggest problem I see coming out of this is that people (especially kids) are gonna learn ways to not think for themselves, and creativity as a human quality is gonna plummet
I bet they said the same thing when cameras where invented
This can be argued with the phone, it didn’t happen.
@@jamesbarrell8921 Didn't it?
@@KerithanosIt did indeed, didn't it!? No-one of the cohort in question will know what '18%/mid-grey' is. Sure - most don't need to, because the smartphone designers have baked-in certain 'Lightroom' settings - to always create what these engineers have decided what we will want to see.
It's amazing - but equally it has created an era where a DSLR/mirrorless camera may as well be a brick, for most folk.
i dont think this is true though. humans WANT to engage in creativity, just because there is an easy route that doesnt mean someone will take it
when tom hits you with the “chapter cutaway to landscape” prepare for some quality existential dread
Raccoons need HUGS
I always wondered what it was that was going to make me feel like my parents with the internet. This is probably it. In 10 years, I'll have no idea how any of this works anymore and some 15 year old kid will have to hand hold me through it :(
honestly with how exponential the advances in tech have been lately, I'm not even sure if it'll even take 10 year's :/
I'm 17 rn and sometimes it's weird how easy it is for me to not understand a tech. My 11 yr old brother's tech is sometimes already too weird to actually understand and interact with well :/
@@Twice_Tess I feel that, not only with tech but even with weird trends and lingo.
Then try chatgpt, try any of the alternatives. Do it today. It's going to take effort not to become a luddite, but quite frankly, you're already ahead of any of today's 5 year olds, you have no excuse.
Nahh... Some modern basic tech that escapes older people is also hard to grasp for younger people
A couple of months later, chatGPT 4 is out for consumers, Bing has gotten huge, midjourney 5 is just insane. The talks about alignment, AGI, and governments starting to pass laws... You were spot Tom.
None of them are close to agi lmao.
@sigi notmylastname yep. Its not even 100% certain that AGI is possible.
we're at the beginning 😅
@@murkje mark my words AGI 2024
The laws won't be able to keep up with the tech.
Great stuff Tom, much love from across the pond.
I was genuinely expecting and terrified that the end of this video would be Tom confessing that the entire script was written by ChatGPT
I am genuinely perplexed at what people expect from a technology they don't even know what they'd use it for.
knowing him, that's what i also expected 💀
I am terrified that we would not notice the difference, and Tom may be the only one to confirm/deny this!
@@michalwiktorow2188
The weirdest thing is, when I was using ChatGPT I found myself talking to it in a formal and polite mannerism when there was no such need for me to do so. It just feels.. wrong in a way but that just shows how human like it is. Crazy..
Yes, I use "please" when I ask it to do something... then wonder why and the continue to do so. Am I worried that if I stop using the word when I'm asking ChatGPT to something, will I forget when asking a person.
Footnote, just checking the sentence and following the prompts of Grammarly to make corrections...
That's... very interesting. To be completely honest I've found myself doing the opposite, hurling abuse at it when it gets stuff wrong because I know it won't react in any other way other than apologizing. I'd never in a million years do that to a person but maybe because I know it isn't real I feel like I'm allowed to express my feelings. Being polite or being rude are equally weird though really.
I do too, I just can't help it, and that may be the most unsettling aspect of it.
Imagine just being polite to anything that appears to be understanding your words, simply out of instinctive respect and caution. Craaaazy, right?
I usually say "please" too, at least once in the interaction. I really don't think that it feels or anything, but it so often says are things that a creative, intelligent, conscious being with emotions would say (especially if you ask it to pretend to have "heightened emotional sensitivity") that I feel like I have to just in case. I've found myself creating personalities for ChatGPT to emulate too, so that makes it even harder not to feel that way. I've asked it to be Uncle Iroh from Avatar to ask for advice, I've asked it to become "Rodney the Rapping Robot", I've asked it to only respond in Garfield comics. The robot is my friend.
This was 2 months ago and it’s already changed so much
Hindsight just two months later, we're definitely at the beginning of the curve
You just saved me years of therapy by knowing that somebody else has been driven insane by Gmail's shitty labeling system.
It's strangely comforting to hear that Tom, the person whose opinion I trust when it comes to qurstions regarding technology is concerned about the same thing that I am. I'm 22 y.o. linguistics student and I am afraid that soon my degree might be barely worth the paper it's printed on.
I think it really depends on what you’re planning to do with your linguistics degree. If you are going further into linguistics, and you’re studying phonetics or sociophonetics, programs like ChatGPT don’t have the capability of doing acoustic analysis of vowels and consonants. I’m a graduate student in linguistics right now, and at least that component isn’t directly replaceable by transformers like ChatGPT yet. However, another student in my cohort did ask ChatGPT to write a Praat script for him (which is used to perform acoustic analysis), and it spit it right out for him! He still had to know what questions to ask of it, and even after using the script, that just helps to acquire the data that he needs, and does not perform any of the actual analysis. So, at least in that area of linguistics, models like ChatGPT have fit more into the category that Tom mentioned of “making people’s jobs easier.” Still, you’re right that everything I’ve said must have a “not yet” and “thus far” appended to the end of it.
I'm afraid that happened a decade or more ago.
I feel your pain, pal. I'm also 22. I wanted to become a linguist since the primary school, yet I chose to get a journalism degree just because it looked more viable at the time. "Machines can already semi-competently translate the texts, so soon enough they will improve so much, so they will be able to create translations nearly undistinguishable from professional ones" was I thinking five years ago, "but bot can not possibly produce a good news report, right? Surely, journalists will have a plenty of job in a future, because events are happening each day and somebody needs to cover them!". However, in hindsight, considering the quality of the texts ChatGPT produces even today, it seems like I'm also going to be out of commission soon
@@VasiliyOgniov There's an issue when using ChatGPT or similar language models as a journalist. As they do not understand the words they are writing, there are large risks of misinformation, which is only amplified the more people depend on it, so I do not believe journalists are going to be fully replaced. It's important to understand the limits of these programs, and how there are almost certainly going to be limits on what they can do, which is mostly storage of data, and crucially: the inability to understand, adapt, compare and learn
so true for so many things.
It is almost exactly a year on from when he made this video, and I think most people fear we are at the bottom of the sigmoid curve…
Now that Sora has been announced, it really does feel like we are at the bottom.
I think the appropriate response to this video, since you recorded it in New Zealand is: "Bugger me!" 😂 In South Africa there was a well known TV programme producer's logo in which he said at the end of each show: "Okay guys, what's next?" For me that has helped me often not to get stuck or resentful at the top of the sigmoid curve. Yet, getting older doesn't help much with that. Looking forward to whatever your "new" job will bring Tom!
This was a rollercoaster, from "gmail's label system sucks" to "EVERYTHING IS GOING TO CHANGE"
Good thing Tom's learned to at least stomach those
Written & Scripted Out of Hollywood/ Military Propaganda 🪖 101
Who asked
@@sneakoretardedfans It wasn't an answer
+
It's amazing that when I saw this video as "1 month old" I was concerted that it was too old. Things are changing so fast!
"I am going to be out of a job soon..."
Kids, we call that foreshadowing...
This just hit me last week. I work in the government recreation industry, and we just started using ChatGP for writing grants, support letters, and press releases. It's insane. What used to take us hours to to write out, is now filled accurately in seconds. Our world is about to shift so radically, we cannot even imagine what's about to happen
Just curious, do these documents get fact-checked and edited by a human before they go out?
That's right, now even fewer people will be creative and successful.
We will have mindless, brainless, chatgpt monkeys, and then a few men still using their own minds.
How can it benefit you if there is no barrier to entry and everyone can spit out the same generic chat GPT trash?
Things are shifting, and they're shifting in favor of men that can still engage in unique creative activity.
Im curious to!
Do double check them. One flaw I've found with ChatGPT is that it can plagiarise quite readily. I asked it to write me a story about a boy who goes to a magic school and it literally paraphrased Harry Potter with all the actual names (Hogwarts, Hagrid etc.) while initially passing it off as its own original work.
@@juliannabacker8519 I hope so. But I expect that the fact checking will get less and less until chatGPT can rig any founding as it pleases, since we couldnt be bothered mistrusting it.
I can't put into words how refreshing it is that Tom will actually say "I was wrong" when he was wrong about something, even something as minor as "my prediction of the future of natural language processing was incorrect." So many people can't say those words under any circumstances.
@@totalestriviales We all are. Most people are simply incapable of owning up to their mistakes with absolutely no excuses.
@@totalestriviales ok well now I feel bad😅
@@ziwuri most of us aren’t brought up to learn how to own up to our mistakes. Most parents don’t even have the tools to to do it themselves! Tom is a breath of fresh air that I think hopefully can inspire people beyond the educational information.
He did a compilation video of his predictions, many of which were wrong: "Ten years ago, I predicted 2022. Did I get it right?"
@@ziwuri don't be, i like both responses in this thread.
I miss you and you Tubes. Always enjoyed them.
As a university language instructor, I am wary, yet excited, about the things students can use. I've already experienced students using extensions to quick translate text to help with the answers.
DeepL translator is both incredibly helpful but also makes me feel like a job in translation won’t be on the cards for me in the future 😅
I’m 32 and I feel this. I feel like I’m young but somehow still to old to be on the cutting edge anymore. It’s a weird place to be.
I am 36 and starting to come down on the other side of that hill you’re on. Time is weird.
@@ktburger659 38, and I'm definitely on the other side now, and I work with computers. Just catching up is hard, I feel like I just learned a new trick and it's already obsolete, every week.
@@all41tja I grew up with this stuff and hope to continue to ever evolve with it
Holy I’m scared of y’all’s situations
I'm 43 years old, and I am excited for this this new world. My worries are that it won't go far enough.
ok, it's an age competition, my bid:
I am more than twice your age, yes, things keep upsetting my world view.
Cutting edge, honing my skills etc. long gone.
On the other hand bits of my youth (like inflation) keep coming round again - not saying that inflation is economically good but to my generation it is familiar.
Hey Tom, you're not alone in being EXTREMELY annoyed with how labels work. I deal with those headaches at least twice a week providing support for individuals who can't find their emails because labels don't work like folders.
The thing is that GMAIL could actually ADD folders and it would not disrupt their label system at all, as their label system is meant to work more like tags for individual emails. You're supposed to load up an email with as many tags as is relevant to you. NO ONE does this, as it would just be a huge time-sink and the search function works halfway-decently.
What annoys me is they already have spam and trash folders. They just won't let you create your own.
I use neither folders nor labels. Search works just fine to find what I need.
Multiple labels work really well when adding them is automated via Gmail filters and many people are using the same Inbox simultaneously.
@@pjaypender1009 Yup, you're an example of the optimal user for Gmail. I'm glad it supports everything you require of it!
@@TheOtherBill Exactly!
Ive noticed this problem too! Parts of the mail discussion just weren’t showing.
I feel that music streaming has in so many ways destroyed what I originally loved about music: you and your friends listening together to that song you both love and know all the words to. And you both knew what song came next on the album, and it was a bonding experience. This was because you spent a lot of money for an album with 10-20 songs that the artists put together for you to listen to in full and in that order.
But now that music is an even cheaper commodity, many teens listen to only 30 seconds or so of a song. and then skip to the next song chosen by the algorithm. I think if we do have a Napster -> Limewire -> Spotify type progression ahead of us in even more areas of human culture, then it's going to be really hard not to get depressed about it...
No
I have been in a similar situation where social media has destroyed the Internet I grew up on, and it is rightfully dreadful because I can tell you it's miserable. It isn't that social media changed the Internet, it's that it changed the people using it and their values.
I'd argue that it didn't change the people using it; it simply gave them the opportunity/time/anonymity to expose who they *truly* were all along.
I spent 2 years away from home serving a church mission and smartphones got popular while I was gone. I remember thinking it was so strange to see my entire family sitting together but all just absorbed in scrolling. Especially my parents, who has always been quite anti-video game my whole childhood. Whelp they got me one too and now several years later I find myself in the exact same place as them… it’s totally absorbed me without me even realizing it. The compulsion is so strong. Very strange to see how these forces can change people so profoundly, and so quietly
That's so true. My two sisters don't even speak to each other anymore because of Facebook!
@@carriebartkowiak Cheap smartphones are the automobile of the 21st century. We now have an oil pollution as well as a data pollution problem.
@Carrie Bartkowiak no. Being single now with things like tinder mean many people now find the idea of approaching someone or just getting to know someone in person that you meet without extensive digital communications, off-putting or wrong.
That never existed before. It's changed how we interact with each other and TRAINED people into think traditional face to face communication can be wrong or improper.
It's also had positive effects and deep negative effects with the ability to just block someone and effectively erase thier existence from your life.
The transcript of the conversation is absolutely mindblowing. It replied with the same type of manners and punctuation that I'd expect from a customer service chat.
TBF many customer service chats are actually chatbots, with a human ready to jump in.
That's because it's trained to resemble them!
@@Thetarget1 those bots just copy paste
what ? with an indian accent ?
@@Thetarget1 I've got that with WhatsApp support right now. It tries to bluff then ends the chat when it runs out of runway.
36 year old here. We saw some weird stuff as we grew up. It was exciting, intense and just seemed to keep growing.
And here we are, just a month later, with GPT-4 out the door. I wonder what comes next and what you think of it.
"Wait, I should be able to code this!"-
Said by every programmer who doesn't know what they're getting themselves in to
Haha yep. That's my damn life right now. ChatGPT has been a Godsend for me.
I have learned that every time I think this, the reality is a week long project of bite sized iteration. It is never as easy as copy paste top google search results.
snes disassembler escaping emulation mode in a night in bash.
and all it needed was a mind set to the task.
You've done a great job of summarising the way I feel about the whole thing. Cleverbot was the source of mockery and "haha it's so stupid" RUclips videos for years. When Talk To Transformer was popular a year or two ago it was amusing enough. Then all of a sudden - GPT-3, then Stable Diffusion, then ChatGPT, and I hope you're strapped in comfortably because the rollercoaster has set off and who knows when the ride ends...
@@foodiusmaximus honestly if that's all it ended up as I wouldn't be so against it. But because of just how much it can be misused and how many livelihoods it threatens there must be full government intervention on who is and is not permitted to use it for specific purposes
yep. when new things like this arrive people always try to downplay the societal changes it may/will cause, both good and bad. "nothing is changing" "stop overreacting" etc. like how long can that way of thinking last
No one seems to remember SmarterChild, from the AOL 4.0 days.
Cleverbot is too newfangled. Santabot is where it's at. Oh... looks like it got shut down for saying things it shouldn't. Poor Santabot, we will no longer be able to ask you about your dress. I'm sure it was lovely.
@@Furious321 oh wow, I remember that (vaguely as it was so long ago now). What I haven't heard of is all the newer ones mentioned here!
Long winded but so very well articulated! I and many others completely agree.
I'm going back to this video every time there's some new major AI news. And every time I think "you were right, we were on the start of the curve, we peaked, and I think now it will be slowing down..."
...but now I fear we're still on the starting line. Welcome, GPT-4 Omni.
Alright everyone we need to make "The Napster Point" a phrase.
Agreed.
Lmfao I agree
Surely it should be the 'Napster Horizon' shouldn't it? The specific point beyond which it is impossible to return.
It is an important point of internet history, I totally agree that Napster Point should be a commonly used phrase in the future!
@@InternetEntity Tom is using it as a "turning point in technology" rather than the point beyond which we cannot see. The singularity may be where this leads to, but a Napster Point, is when technology being adopted starts to accelerate and change things. The warning bell for those that can hear it, that big things are coming. It may include the singularity.... Or maybe not, who knows.
I'm from the pre youtube, limewire, pre smart phone, tape cassette and CD buying era, i can remember the old internet, a place for rebels and pirates, and this video was something I could absolutely understand. We've already seen one massive change to our world. Imagine what the next one is going to be.
What's to imagine? this is it.
Yes, as corporations and lawyers have taken over, it isn't quite as exciting. BTW, I downloaded thousands of songs from Napster. I had kind of gotten away from listening to music but on Napster I found old artists from my youth and listened to other songs on their albums besides their hits. But I then bought all of their CDs. I have nearly 600 now that I purchased. I never would have bought them if I hadn't been able to explore their music for free. I might still have the Napster music on an old hard drive somewhere, but I never access that any more. Now I have all of my CDs ripped into MP3s so I can play them from my computer.
@@maaags_ I think you forget that depending on the level of intelligence with the ai's this, could only be the beginning. It can either stay relatively the same or we can get catapulted into unknown territory with new science, technology and inventions.
@@dnw009 I understand there is even more to come. What I'm witnessing is it's already happening (and I'm part of it). Existing industries are being disrupted as we speak. It's moving fast.
I'm from the same Era and looking back I feel the big change came when smartphones went viral. Before that the internet was more for business and nerds. You needed a PC with these finicky programs to access the web. Now you have a relatively cheap device with simple to use apps that's constantly connected to all your data and media right in the palm of your hands. All of a sudden all the people that had no interest in the internet or computers are now on the internet.
We are at the very beginning Mr. Scott
I think I understand that feeling. I had the same when I was watching Boston-Dynamic’s robots videos. The lest update I had about the robot technology was then Toyota made a big deal about having two legs robot doing the stairs. From that to see these robots of todays…. It felt strange. I can’t describe it.