Forecasting in Excel Made SIMPLE (include seasonality & make predictions)

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  • Опубликовано: 4 окт 2024

Комментарии • 363

  • @LeilaGharani
    @LeilaGharani  Год назад +4

    Grab the file I used in the video from here 👉 pages.xelplus.com/forecasting-file

    • @hanhnguyenthi104
      @hanhnguyenthi104 9 месяцев назад

      Hello Leila, thank you for your video. I have a question, hope you can help me out. I am looking for a forecasting method of copper price. Considering that I have historical price of copper, and other influencing factors such as: supply & demand, energy costs, alternative metals (aluminum, zinc,etc.), macroeconomic conditions, national policies,etc. In this case, which forecasting methods is suitable to use?
      Thank you.

  • @teoxengineer
    @teoxengineer 2 года назад +14

    Hello Leila,
    Today I updated my budget estimates for the next period and tried to derive the results by applying the rules specified in his tutorial. It was just a coincidence for me that you shared this explanatory tutorial today.
    Thanks to you, I have identified my shortcomings in my estimations and have already corrected them.
    The forecasting algorithm in Excel is very beneficial for data analysts and project managers like us, and learning these tips from a finance and excel expert like you is invaluable.
    Thank you so much again.

    • @LeilaGharani
      @LeilaGharani  2 года назад +2

      Glad the video was useful, Emre!

  • @trmibp9441
    @trmibp9441 2 года назад +15

    I worked with this to identify trends in products and services sold to help see where we needed to pay more attention in growing the company, great functions tho and everything was explained really good!

    • @LeilaGharani
      @LeilaGharani  2 года назад +1

      Thank you!

    • @newares8140
      @newares8140 10 дней назад

      Thanks I’m now starting a job at this, and I’m looking for creating forecasting models

  • @isaacmwabila5830
    @isaacmwabila5830 2 года назад +20

    I learned from your videos many functions: FILTER, SORT, ISNUMBER,... and many others!
    I'm happy to learn still from you this new function (for me)!
    Thank you Leila 👏👌🏽🙂

  • @DemetriPanici
    @DemetriPanici 2 года назад +39

    A solid forecast gives people a great idea of what needs to be done. Great tips!

  • @DietricWilliams
    @DietricWilliams 6 месяцев назад +1

    This made my day! Saves a ton of time without having to manually using regression analysis formulas based on trendlines. THANK YOU!!

  • @Abhi2533
    @Abhi2533 2 года назад +3

    Leila Gharani you are "MVP" in teaching! Amazing work with such simplicity!

  • @tamarachirwa2024
    @tamarachirwa2024 2 года назад +1

    Leila, you are a star⭐,I am a beginner and didn't have a clue on what I was doing. You made it so easy to understand. Thank you xxx.

  • @anayafun
    @anayafun 2 года назад +3

    Lelia, following you from last four years and you always surprise me with excel functionality which is there but I don't know until you make it known to others..
    Good functionality but there are lots of constraints to develop strong forecast.
    Excel developments are mind blowing...wooohoooo

  • @alialfares2845
    @alialfares2845 2 года назад +17

    I really like that lately you had been choosing statistical functionality of excel to present as professional tutorials .. Thanks alot that is highly needed and helpful 🌸

  • @Harka666
    @Harka666 2 года назад +17

    Great video as always! I wish you were making more financial stuff.

    • @LeilaGharani
      @LeilaGharani  2 года назад +11

      I will 😊 I have some planned .

  • @AzizaTarog
    @AzizaTarog Год назад

    your my savior thank you so much !! I've been watching a lot of forecasting and my brain is gonna explode but when i came to you're video its easier to understand. so thank you.

  • @RMHCloud
    @RMHCloud Месяц назад

    The way you teach and Examples you give are awesome!!!

  • @zatifkhan2120
    @zatifkhan2120 2 года назад

    I think, my emptiness and your forecasting video made me fall in love with you.

  • @mattschoular8844
    @mattschoular8844 2 года назад +2

    Interesting. There are so many use cases for this tool as we approach the end of the year. Thanks Leila.

  • @iam.DonWong
    @iam.DonWong 2 года назад +2

    It’s a nice quick and easy way to do forecasting… the challenge will be how to explain the “model” to your stakeholder, bosses clients on how you arrived to your numbers.

    • @LeilaGharani
      @LeilaGharani  2 года назад +2

      You can say you used an exponential triple smoothing algorithm 😎

  • @uhsemehicieronlas3
    @uhsemehicieronlas3 2 года назад +31

    This looks very useful... similar to what I'd do manually. It'd be useful if you can explain further the excel formula and the logic behind it to be able to adjust the results and present them to an audience.
    Love your content! I am looking forward to the new DAX and power pivot course!

    • @khainguyenduy9742
      @khainguyenduy9742 2 года назад +5

      Excuse me but may I ask you a little about the actual demand forecasting job?
      I'm working in production, but I'm looking for more knowlege about the Supply Chain, especially in Demand forecasting, then I had an interview with an Retailer company, the director told me that the time cycle series forecast is just a so basic method in that major, but I've found a lot on the Internet and I just see all kind of that "basic" method. Like Moving Average, Exponential Smoothing, Regression Analysis,..
      Is there any more knowlege (or method) I need to learn if I want to work in Demand Planning Jobs?

    • @latoriabaggs9796
      @latoriabaggs9796 2 года назад +6

      I dont work as a demand planner but very close. I would say there is no the best method for forecasting, you just need to make your own towards your needs. Moving average doesnt match when you have a lot of oscilations in demanding. You have to set up your method which follows trends, seasonality, sales, etc. More variables in one formulas…. Also, you have warehouse for that, if you didnt plan as good as you need, your stock will cover you for X days. Maybe my topic isnt helpful but i am at your service for additional questions..

  • @ShauHettiarachchi
    @ShauHettiarachchi Год назад

    Dont know what else to say, but I absolutely LOVE you! So much clarity and by the end of your video I've resolved my issue as well! 🥰🥰🥰

  • @davidlong3359
    @davidlong3359 2 года назад +3

    I thought I was good in excel right up until I found this channel.

  • @shakiraasfoor7599
    @shakiraasfoor7599 2 года назад +2

    Looking Forward to more Accounting Topics..

  • @ashishcastelino1571
    @ashishcastelino1571 2 года назад

    My one stop for all excel related questions! Thank you Leila for sharing knowledge. God bless!!!

  • @vijayarjunwadkar
    @vijayarjunwadkar 2 года назад +7

    Nice as usual! Appreciate your consistency and zeal to bring out the best in Excel and educate us every week! Thank you Leila! 😊👍

    • @LeilaGharani
      @LeilaGharani  2 года назад +1

      Thanks for watching, Vijay!

    • @whitealliance9540
      @whitealliance9540 2 года назад +1

      @Armando Aranda dude she goin have kids wit me before you lmao you aint a thugga hugga you aint got no swagger

  • @isyarakhairani8017
    @isyarakhairani8017 2 года назад +1

    you deserve all the good things in this world, thank you for sharing!

  • @syedmansoor2023
    @syedmansoor2023 Год назад +1

    Exactly what I'm looking for! Thanks for breaking it down into manageable chunks.

  • @AlvinRyellPrada
    @AlvinRyellPrada 2 года назад +3

    Wow definitely this is a powerful tool
    I would love to use this function to forecast how many calls we will get in our centre. I feel so enabled watching your tutorial ❤️

    • @LeilaGharani
      @LeilaGharani  2 года назад

      That's great! Hope it will come in handy for you.

  • @Coffeedrinkerer
    @Coffeedrinkerer 2 года назад +1

    Literally was looking for this yesterday for a cost volume model I need to pull together. This is great as I wasn’t sure how to pull the seasonality from previous data

  • @Leonardo-br6cw
    @Leonardo-br6cw 2 года назад

    I have no word...Just amazing!!! Immagine... I didn't know there was a forecast tab. Thank you

    • @LeilaGharani
      @LeilaGharani  2 года назад

      Happy to help, Leonardo!

    • @Leonardo-br6cw
      @Leonardo-br6cw 2 года назад

      @@LeilaGharani I need a big favor: I will open a small restaurant, and I need the formula to calculate how many staff (Kitchen and Service) I need to hire for the opening based on an average of 60 to 80 covers per day. Can you help or is it not your field? Thank you very much in advance.....Leonardo

  • @GeertDelmulle
    @GeertDelmulle 2 года назад +1

    Thank you for this valuable lesson.
    We don’t use these specialised functions enough (and as I remember this, it sure has grown over the years).

    • @LeilaGharani
      @LeilaGharani  2 года назад +1

      My pleasure, Geert! True, these are great functions.

  • @mazharhussain8871
    @mazharhussain8871 Год назад

    I love your voice , concept and language clarity .

  • @SP-nx8qx
    @SP-nx8qx 2 года назад +5

    I find this is awesome if you go back to the actual data and start eliminating peaks and valleys that you know were one-offs, and watch the forecast get adjusted automatically. That's the good side of this function. The bad side is when you're presenting the forecast to the VP of Sales and the CFO, and they ask you so what did you base your forecast on? and you're like "ahhhh, dunno, some excel logarithm that I don't understand" LOL

  • @SabtechOnline
    @SabtechOnline 2 года назад +1

    Thanks Leila, your tips are always inspirational in building my Data analysis carrier and RUclips channel growing positively

  • @casinogeno1
    @casinogeno1 2 года назад

    Love the shorter videos that give me great ideas/info. Thank you!!!

  • @chh8860
    @chh8860 2 года назад +2

    Thursday Mornings With Leila ... (with hot black coffee and a small slice of crumb cake) ... always eagerly anticipated ... rarely (if ever) disappointed.
    LOVE IT ... LOVE IT ... LOVE IT!!! ... directly relevant for me ... I was totally unaware of this gem from the Excel vault (beautifully explained by Lady Leila ... no surprise) ... I have been stringing together a series of Excel functions nested a few layers deep. I am definitely looking forward to taking this function for a spin ... thank you ... thank you ... thank you.
    PS
    Thankfully Leila did not begin the video with "Exponential Triple Smoothing" ... 😲 ... or I might have slumped over my desk clutching my heart.

    • @LeilaGharani
      @LeilaGharani  2 года назад +1

      Glad it's something you find helpful. Thanks for the laugh on the ETS 😂

  • @chipturner495
    @chipturner495 2 года назад +2

    Yet another tool you've taught me! Thanks again and I'm forecasting greater success for you!

  • @danielricohuerta6956
    @danielricohuerta6956 2 года назад

    Ma'am you're amazing!! I did a budget based in school forecast, buy when I saw yours, I did it better, so thanks so much and I've subscribed at your channel

    • @LeilaGharani
      @LeilaGharani  2 года назад

      Great! Happy to have you aboard.

  • @FrancisNelson-h5n
    @FrancisNelson-h5n 9 месяцев назад

    thank you for the tutorials. everyone is excellent and extremely helpful.

  • @samuelofosu-wiredu1259
    @samuelofosu-wiredu1259 2 года назад +2

    Great thanks for the info you bring us regularly.

  • @redrum4486
    @redrum4486 2 года назад +1

    you the GOAT, always coming in with these gems

  • @hn5312
    @hn5312 11 месяцев назад

    Thank you.... you are such a great teacher. I love your videos.

  • @harshababu8321
    @harshababu8321 2 года назад

    More than the function I admire your explanation, and the super topics you deliver. 🙂🙂🙂

  • @savioseona
    @savioseona 2 года назад

    Wow. Yet another great feature of Excel I wasn't aware of. Thanks for sharing.

  • @martapunsola2025
    @martapunsola2025 2 года назад

    I m so happy to discover this functionality.big thanks Leila. Of course you need to consider the environment after using the formulas but still Save the time to fill in gaps

  • @jedt3d
    @jedt3d 2 месяца назад

    marvelous explanation! concise and informative! 🎉

  • @tridibbiswas3361
    @tridibbiswas3361 2 года назад +1

    Your videos have always been my source for go to for anything Excel. Thank you for the sharing these videos. Could you share a video on the feature differences in Excel for Windows and Mac.

    • @Yachid
      @Yachid 2 года назад +1

      'Queen of Excel' 😉

    • @LeilaGharani
      @LeilaGharani  2 года назад +3

      Unfortunately, we don't have any Mac in the office. But maybe it's time for that :) Thanks for the suggestion!

  • @Bill0102
    @Bill0102 10 месяцев назад

    This material is top-notch. A similar book I read was a breakthrough for me. "Mastering Money Mindfulness" by Benjamin Hawk

  • @hansscholl6346
    @hansscholl6346 2 года назад

    Love It! Cool channel, thanks for having you here☺️

  • @ramaswamyg5919
    @ramaswamyg5919 2 года назад +6

    Hi Leila!
    This is brilliant.
    Can I get the math behind the statistical points please (Eg: Formula of exponential forecasting) ?

  • @Allandy001
    @Allandy001 2 года назад +1

    Amazing. Very useful for my work. I do forecasts all the time and I have to always do a lot of calculations. Thank you Leila!!!

  • @mirach274
    @mirach274 Год назад

    I love you Leila you are doing an amaziiiing job 💖 ❤ Thank you for your help 💜

  • @michaelsanders5938
    @michaelsanders5938 2 года назад +1

    Leila, thanks for the another very useful video. And my regular request for you to do an ASMR channel or podcast.....I love you voice. Thanks.

  • @craftpassion1812
    @craftpassion1812 2 года назад

    Always learn something new. This video came in very handy. Thankyou

  • @afshindejbodi6702
    @afshindejbodi6702 2 года назад +1

    I literally worked with this function 👍

  • @abdullaalturabi6526
    @abdullaalturabi6526 2 года назад

    the terms used in the video reminded me of cfa days

  • @andrewkhan6126
    @andrewkhan6126 Год назад

    Thank you, this vide was extremely helpful. OMW to check the rest of your videos now!

  • @Seftehandle
    @Seftehandle 2 года назад

    Im impressed Laila.we finance people eed more of this!!!!

  • @ViderickMutwiri
    @ViderickMutwiri 4 месяца назад

    Indeed such an educative video thank you for posting this for us.❤

  • @gigimalvassora9682
    @gigimalvassora9682 2 года назад +1

    FANTASTIC!!!
    Thank you!

  • @divyakanchi5773
    @divyakanchi5773 2 года назад

    Hi, your explanation is amazing. Thank you

  • @gecemetrosu9734
    @gecemetrosu9734 2 года назад

    Very useful and intelligent teaching method

  • @abdallah.kandiel
    @abdallah.kandiel 2 года назад +1

    Brilliant as always
    Happy Thursday your highness

  • @tifouraamina1761
    @tifouraamina1761 2 года назад

    Impressive Liela 😃I'll use it for other purposes then financial analysis 😃you just gave me a great idea

  • @prakharmehrishi5284
    @prakharmehrishi5284 2 года назад +1

    I love your voice, love your skills ❤️

  • @CaribouDataScience
    @CaribouDataScience Год назад

    Thanks, that was easy!

  • @arcusznik
    @arcusznik 2 года назад

    I'm gonna try it this monday, hope it'll help me :)

  • @jasonipfatsiong2062
    @jasonipfatsiong2062 2 года назад

    That’s great very useful. Thank you so much Leila take special care

  • @wooddog007
    @wooddog007 2 года назад +2

    Good tutorial ... but was disappointed you did not explain what the "Include forecast statistics" tick box does.

  • @alimanchester
    @alimanchester Год назад

    Great, direct and it is too clear

  • @jaychowdhury7251
    @jaychowdhury7251 2 года назад

    Hi Leila, it's so gud to c ur videos always...all this knowledge really helps for people who want to excel or r always eager to learn something new...can u plz upload a video on budgeting in excel...it wud really help..

  • @jithgopi6310
    @jithgopi6310 2 года назад

    Very good presentation..You sound soothing..

  • @hacksawridge8
    @hacksawridge8 2 года назад

    Great tip Leila! I really enjoy your videos, good stuff!

  • @SerdarTatar5665
    @SerdarTatar5665 7 месяцев назад

    Ağzina sağlık ses hayran kaldım

  • @samuelkodjoe1645
    @samuelkodjoe1645 2 года назад +1

    very insightful....loved it!!

  • @Tommie_Rogers
    @Tommie_Rogers 2 года назад +4

    Hi Leila. I use a remarkably similar method. I place 0's (zeros) for the number of 0's I need and then use the # symbol for the number of numerical digits. Guess they are the same, just slightly different

  • @sultanfolawiyo355
    @sultanfolawiyo355 2 месяца назад

    Thank you so much for this

  • @barttitulaerexcelbart9400
    @barttitulaerexcelbart9400 2 года назад +3

    Great Video Leila! This function also works with less regular seasonality, like a peak in december and a low in summer. One remark (as usual...), great idea to compare actuals with forecast in order to show the reliablity of the forecast. But if you create a new one, you should always (in my oppinion) use the latest actuals available. Also interesting to explore all FORECAST functions, there is so much gold in Excel.....😃

  • @RajeshBachuRadhika
    @RajeshBachuRadhika 2 года назад

    Thanks Leila for the video.. this is great help

  • @chrism9037
    @chrism9037 2 года назад +1

    This is great, thanks Leila!

  • @gianluigiredolfini6154
    @gianluigiredolfini6154 2 года назад

    You are unbelievable thanks 🙏 so much

  • @munene11.11
    @munene11.11 Год назад

    All my statistical lectures have been summed up with excel.

  • @davep1875
    @davep1875 2 года назад

    Thanks for that video , very helpful!

  • @GemsGreenBox
    @GemsGreenBox Год назад

    ... thank you..very useful for my DBA....

  • @ateeqahmad
    @ateeqahmad 2 года назад

    Thanks so much for all your videos!!!

  • @puneetshetty9715
    @puneetshetty9715 2 года назад

    Thanks lot Maam this will be great help for me...in past I did ask for any assistance on glide paths, these would certainly suffice it.. thanks again

  • @mufasa6272
    @mufasa6272 9 месяцев назад

    This is awesome, thank you so much

  • @dnb-jr
    @dnb-jr 2 года назад

    Thank you Leila.

  • @justine9752
    @justine9752 2 года назад

    Just what i need. Thanks!

  • @wayneedmondson1065
    @wayneedmondson1065 2 года назад

    Hi Leila. Great video! Thanks for the Forecasting feature demo and also the explanation and details.. very helpful :)) Thumbs up!!

  • @DougHExcel
    @DougHExcel 2 года назад

    Revisiting your economics background on this one! Great video Leila!

  • @juanmd26121
    @juanmd26121 2 года назад

    You are a god of excel

  • @shakibshaker7689
    @shakibshaker7689 Год назад

    Rolling Forecasting more video need.

  • @ExcellentIdeasTips
    @ExcellentIdeasTips 2 года назад

    Nice video and explanation. Now is time to forecast something :)

  • @ibrahimolufisayo8401
    @ibrahimolufisayo8401 2 года назад

    Woow.... I'm awed. Econometrics made easy.

  • @rseeram
    @rseeram 8 месяцев назад

    Excellent Thanks Leila Gharani

  • @Kermit1479Clips
    @Kermit1479Clips 2 года назад

    Thank you. Great tips as per usual!

  • @davidcooper3871
    @davidcooper3871 Год назад

    Been looking for something like this!

  • @tarnapro77
    @tarnapro77 2 года назад

    Thanks for the video. If I understood correct then this does not allow adding a field/dimension on the forecast so the data needs be first summed up on total level. E. g. if I have sales data for few different brands I need to create forecast for them separately. At least for now. Maybe future update will even add this possibility.

  • @metimeOlympiad
    @metimeOlympiad 2 года назад +1

    Amazing 👏 and very useful 👌

  • @lindachall8372
    @lindachall8372 6 месяцев назад

    Thank you, I enjoy your videos

  • @varchar3587
    @varchar3587 2 года назад

    Thanks a lot Leila. Would yo have more advance videos about Excel+Forecast ?

  • @amitkgupta.
    @amitkgupta. 2 года назад +1

    Can you show a similar video for manpower forecasting / requirement ?