The INSANE Economics Of Tesla Robotaxis.

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  • Опубликовано: 28 май 2024
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    TIMESTAMPS
    0:00 The IMPOSSIBLY Insane Impact Of Tesla Robotaxi
    6:38 Waymo Goes WRONG WAY - Embarrassing
    6:58 Tesla Robotaxi: Insane Numbers
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Комментарии • 398

  • @SolvingTheMoneyProblem
    @SolvingTheMoneyProblem  20 дней назад +7

    RIP Cruise, Waymo, Uber, Everyone.
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    • @anthonylosego
      @anthonylosego 19 дней назад

      Wow. "Safe miles came off the road during the pandemic..." That says a lot. Who was going out and mixing and mingling during the pandemic and who was staying home? Food for thought.

  • @sebastianbjorkemar3615
    @sebastianbjorkemar3615 19 дней назад +63

    Omg..it's going the wrong waymo

  • @MossMini
    @MossMini 19 дней назад +85

    If a Tesla car went the wrong way, the Media would make it the end of the world.

    • @casperhansen826
      @casperhansen826 19 дней назад +12

      But if a human does it, which happens multiple times per second, nothing happens

    • @KC-uw6ph
      @KC-uw6ph 19 дней назад +7

      It would be breaking news streamed across the world for a week I reckon.

    • @georgem5589
      @georgem5589 19 дней назад +2

      My Tesla tried to go down a road the wrong way, I stopped it. It's awesome but not there yet.

    • @Jstuckey
      @Jstuckey 19 дней назад +2

      Yea if a Tesla did that, people would start protesting and lighting shit on fire, throw babies out windows, you would think the world is over, Waymo or Cruze, “ah their learning, they’ll be better one day”, so much optimism in companies that fork over shit tons of money for AD revenue 😂

    • @markmercieca5569
      @markmercieca5569 19 дней назад +2

      Top headlines....

  • @andrelecomte
    @andrelecomte 19 дней назад +29

    Removing the steering wheel nag in FSD 12.4 is a big deal.

    • @maxflight777
      @maxflight777 19 дней назад

      I think you are confusing autopilot with FSD ! there is no need to hold the wheel with FSD

    • @andrelecomte
      @andrelecomte 19 дней назад +3

      FSD frequently requires the driver to apply light force to the steering wheel or adjust the volume control on the steering wheel.

    • @mnhsty
      @mnhsty 18 дней назад

      Really? I got locked out of FSD on a test drive because I did not touch the wheel enough.

    • @my_RS4
      @my_RS4 17 дней назад +1

      Major!!!!

  • @wack-a-mole9250
    @wack-a-mole9250 19 дней назад +25

    There's a reason why - in the US - Tesla does not offer the option to purchase the vehicle at the end of the lease period. All these vehicles are coming back to Tesla. Currently they are resold as used thru the Tesla website. In the future, after a quick refurb., they will be added to the Robotaxi fleet.

  • @pieterdijkstra4259
    @pieterdijkstra4259 19 дней назад +10

    Hi Steven, I might just be an old guy who knows nothing about anything but I think most people are missing an important connection it the shift that Elon has made regarding a vehicle for the lower income group, worldwide. The people in this group purchase inexpensive cars to get to work, fetch the children, go shopping etc etc, But in reality they cant afford the cost of the vehicle and all the related costs, They are doing what they are doing because there is no other viable alternative and busses and taxis are not the answer. But the moment the robotaxi becomes a reality and ride hail is a service, for a fraction of the cost of owning and running a vehicle, and here's the significant point, PEOPLE WILL STOP BUYING CARS. Why purchase a car and take on all the related cost, when you only use the car for a few hours every day, and you can have all the transport you need, in minutes, for a fraction of the cost. Point to point transport. No parking, no insurance, no charging,. All the service and benefits you want, when you want, without any of the hassle. Wealthy people will always want and own their own stuff, but Mr and Mrs, Miss, average, will be far better served by ride hail. Conclusion. The market for inexpensive vehicles will disappear. And as Tony Seba would predict, it will happen faster than anyone can predict.

    • @darylfoster7944
      @darylfoster7944 19 дней назад

      I would question your "fraction of the cost" argument. I doubt that robotaxis will be less than $.50/mile. It really isn't that expensive to own and operate a used car, once it's paid for.

    • @svenhodaka9145
      @svenhodaka9145 19 дней назад

      @@darylfoster7944yes, but those who have challenges buying a car are also likely more vulnerable because of lack of maintenance, and possibly under insured.

    • @alanhall6909
      @alanhall6909 19 дней назад +1

      Yes, it will be cheaper for them to use a low-cost robo taxi. It already is for many retired people who don't feel as safe driving themselves to use uber or lyft instead of owning a car. And those people are changing their transport schedules to take advantage of lower cost times, off peak. They avoid peak hours when the cost is high. Boomers are a massive demographic who are all getting old. This will continue to lower the delta between peak and off peak traffic.

    • @officalinternetman
      @officalinternetman 15 дней назад

      Thankyou! I've been saying this for ages, it's pure logic and common sense. I am in that demographic, and I would ditch my car (that I love) for ride hail purely because the government keeps increasing road tax, fuel tax and every other tax so that when I have to replace it I'll have even less money to do so than when I got it.

    • @rp-wb6xn
      @rp-wb6xn 10 дней назад

      @@darylfoster7944in metro areas it will be cheaper for 10’s of millions in us alone. People with cheap used cars hate the maintenance, insurance and emission regulations. 200$ a month for gas and insurance vs 400 miles or more in robotaxi. Lots are going to get rid of the cheap used cars.

  • @MKI4EVA
    @MKI4EVA 18 дней назад +1

    I think the missing piece now is the last mile support stuff. Like how issues are resolved for rides gone wrong like accidents, vomits and channel for customer comms during rides where required.

  • @maxflight777
    @maxflight777 19 дней назад +7

    21:30 his point about Uber eats and McDonalds is spot on … That’s exactly how it will play out

  • @Jstuckey
    @Jstuckey 19 дней назад +1

    Would love to see you in an interview/discussion with these guys, running numbers with logic, the debate would be very entertaining and educational, and would need to be bare minimum 1hr episode, can’t wait. C’mon bro, make it happen.

  • @Jstuckey
    @Jstuckey 19 дней назад +25

    It’s unreal how many people I talk to about Tesla, are just absolutely sleeping and/or talking shit on this company and Elon.
    Tim! Anthony!

    • @rwhirsch
      @rwhirsch 19 дней назад +2

      yes, all my dem friends ...who are very enviro/human well being centric...loathe elon...it's bizarre.

    • @AllanSustainabilityFan
      @AllanSustainabilityFan 19 дней назад

      ​@@rwhirsch I can't stand the guy's xenophobic takes these days, but he's done allot of good for humanity in triggering a disruption toward sustainable transport and autonomy, which should save many lives.
      He also worked hard to get there, was no easy journey, and he earned his success, many people seem to fall over themselves trying to detract from it. Petty.
      He's kinda like Henry Ford in that regard, another great pioneer and visionary, but with notable character flaws. Likewise with Edison, etc. Nobody is perfect.
      The left have pushed Elon from center to far right by their mindless intolerance for success, and now he's hanging out with a bad influence of conspiracy theorists and such. The left, with their own flavor of intolerance, have only themselves to blame here for losing a former torch bearer - and I speak as a progressive/recovering progressive.

    • @jeffg4570
      @jeffg4570 19 дней назад +4

      ⁠​⁠@@AllanSustainabilityFan Xenophobic relates to a fear of anything foreign. This guy is from South Africa, moved to Canada than the United States, and has built factories in Germany and China. He seems to enjoy talking with people from all over the world.
      Or is this “if you stop anyone from entering your country then you’re xenophobic” ? In that case, wouldn’t most countries be considered xenophobic?

    • @darylfoster7944
      @darylfoster7944 19 дней назад

      @@jeffg4570 Elon only wants them stopped from entering illegally, which should be the thought process of any sane, rational person.

    • @AllanSustainabilityFan
      @AllanSustainabilityFan 19 дней назад

      @@jeffg4570 I know the guy's roots, but I see his posts, what he likes and who he follows regularly these days. Apparently he's got in with a bad crowd and their influence on him has gotten pretty deep, he's no longer a centrist it seems.
      It may be his Asperger's at play, sharp in technical matters, but almost child-like on social topics.
      And yes, his recent venture into xenophobia is selective, for example in matters that benefit his businesses.
      Again, this doesn't detract from his achievements in autonomy and the EV disruption.
      I can respect the guy's hard work and struggles, while lament him losing his way on some non-technical matters, as well as understand the betrayals and witch-hunting that drove him to adopt some of his bad social/political stances.

  • @Chris-ji4iu
    @Chris-ji4iu 19 дней назад +1

    Purchased FSD for a road trip this past weekend. Incredible. Total of 22 hours of driving over 4 days through construction, highways, back roads & heavy city traffic. Incredible performance - safe & efficient. Best part? I felt much less fatigued when I arrived at my destinations.

    • @my_RS4
      @my_RS4 17 дней назад

      Yeah it's great for road trips and traffic

  • @natsidruk86
    @natsidruk86 19 дней назад +20

    when Robotaxi and FSD goes live, Waymo is history. Can't compete in any way.

    • @oldbloke204
      @oldbloke204 19 дней назад +2

      Looks like they're safe then eh?

    • @rwhirsch
      @rwhirsch 19 дней назад +1

      maybe waymo can shift its business model to that of a thrill seeking ride....you get in and it does things that are unpredictable and dangerous without quite killing you...and you arrive eventually at your destination sweaty and adrenaline pumping.

    • @themodfather9382
      @themodfather9382 19 дней назад

      No, their cameras have blind spots.

    • @robertweekley5926
      @robertweekley5926 19 дней назад

      ​@@themodfather9382 - Like, Yellow Cab Drivers in New York City don't have "Blind Spots?" And yet, they do a "Ton" of Rides/Miles!

    • @brettrules95
      @brettrules95 19 дней назад

      You driving has more blindspots. Your 2 eyes versus there 8. Do the math ​@themodfather9382

  • @SteveWindsurf
    @SteveWindsurf 19 дней назад +2

    Waymo tech is a complex remote controlled car, with GPS navigational guidance & a virtual bumper (lidar) for a brain.
    Tesla tech is like a simple human brain with super human vision.
    One is learning to be super human too.

  • @richspillman4191
    @richspillman4191 19 дней назад +4

    "You don't pay them to come, you pay them to leave." Charlie Sheen

  • @xXxjayceexXx
    @xXxjayceexXx 19 дней назад +2

    Can you imagine sitting at your computer at work, watching TV at home ect. and getting an alert on your phone. Peak pay alert would you like to send out your car? Boom free money.

    • @darylfoster6133
      @darylfoster6133 19 дней назад

      Won't peak pay be at rush hour? How are you going to get home from work if your car is in use?

    • @alanhall6909
      @alanhall6909 19 дней назад

      Yes, Saturday night! But then you may have to clean the vomit on Sunday morning.

    • @alanhall6909
      @alanhall6909 19 дней назад

      @@darylfoster6133 Not everyone works "normal" hours, or at all.

  • @janewillis978
    @janewillis978 19 дней назад +6

    What’s the bet that the group of investors Bill spoke to about insurance in the Midwest were Berkshire Hathaway? This aligns with Warren Buffet’s recent comments about insurance.

  • @MKI4EVA
    @MKI4EVA 18 дней назад +1

    So I Uber and have worked out there’s about 112hr/wk where robotaxi could be put to work. Currently a car avg $30/hr with over. So say robotaxi undercut in terms of pricing so maybe $20-$25/hr (could be a lot less over time). Gross revenue works out to be around ~$134k/yr. So based off that depending on cost of car you can roughly work out break even period. Pretty interesting.

  • @geminicraftworks
    @geminicraftworks 19 дней назад +1

    they already aell the insurance in many states. the difference is that they will also be one of the primary locations for repairs. so they control the claims cost much more effectively.

  • @Digital-Dan
    @Digital-Dan 18 дней назад +1

    Waymo's Mountain View headquarters is located not 500 yards from where I am sitting. Thus, our neighborhood was used for a lot of their early training. I recall reading at that time that AI was also playing a role in their training. I don't know what part of their process involved machine learning, but it is not zero. The cars always seemed to be behaving themselves, but there was also always a human behind the wheel, so who knows?

  • @andrewblack203
    @andrewblack203 19 дней назад +2

    damn these guys are brilliant!!! thank you for sharing this

  • @gunningdesign
    @gunningdesign 19 дней назад +4

    Tesla's Robotaxi capex has, at the moment, been paid for by Tesla car owners... Tesla will incentivise owners to share their cars at peak times, like Autobidder for energy. Also that capex can make money while not being active robotaxis. Grid stabilisation, distributed computing, being useful personal cars for their owners.

    • @darylfoster7944
      @darylfoster7944 19 дней назад

      Most people use their cars at peak times to get to and from work.

  • @Greg_lark
    @Greg_lark 19 дней назад +1

    The only problem with x, is that this feels like old news to me. 🤙🏽

  • @user-jg2mo5tg7q
    @user-jg2mo5tg7q 19 дней назад +12

    What Elon is doing with StarLink, he will do with Robotaxi.

  • @KillaKiRawBeats
    @KillaKiRawBeats 19 дней назад +1

    I think it would be wise to start in Logistics and Cross Country truck driving. Delivery testing. Opimus and the car can deliver pizzas or partial services. It doesnt ruin the bots with people.

  • @tslaryrad
    @tslaryrad 19 дней назад +1

    "Get paid for fucking somebody" love it haha. True definition of a prosecutor

  • @lukeknowles5700
    @lukeknowles5700 19 дней назад +3

    These guys are very sharp. How nice to watch them brainstorming.

    • @oldbloke204
      @oldbloke204 19 дней назад

      Sharp or desperately hoping it all works out for the share price?

    • @themodfather9382
      @themodfather9382 19 дней назад

      I mean if you're literally a know nothing, you might think they are sharp

    • @georgem5589
      @georgem5589 19 дней назад

      Disagree. Anyone that becomes a billionaire that decides to trade in these ideas publicly has no idea what to do with their time or money. Elephant in the room.

  • @Guest_1138
    @Guest_1138 19 дней назад +17

    You're forgetting that Wamo has humans monitoring all those cars. They have NO cars that drive without some sort of monitoring. And only in the mapped area

    • @themodfather9382
      @themodfather9382 19 дней назад +2

      If you mean monitoring remotely, then you're right

    • @damo87araimo
      @damo87araimo 19 дней назад +1

      Waymo is on rails.

    • @robertweekley5926
      @robertweekley5926 19 дней назад

      ​@@damo87araimo - If "True", then that "Wrong Way Waymo" clip, says, that was a "Derailment!" 🤔🧐😲🙄

    • @damo87araimo
      @damo87araimo 19 дней назад

      @@robertweekley5926 "on rails" meaning its limitations. Not literal rails

    • @anthonylosego
      @anthonylosego 19 дней назад

      Being that the vehicle was still moving, I doubt it thought it was in trouble and didn't notify them. How is it supposed to know when it is screwing up if it is clearly still following its code?

  • @stvybaby
    @stvybaby 19 дней назад +1

    The market needs to realize that FSD means NO MORE CRASHES, INJURY DEATH.

  • @rhiantaylor3446
    @rhiantaylor3446 17 дней назад +1

    I agree that insurance is an issue for Tesla but we shouldn't forget that the cars capture a lot of evidence that could counter frivolous claims.

  • @Kingluffy45162
    @Kingluffy45162 19 дней назад +3

    Robo taxi getting clean by ooptimus and great video

  • @fpost337
    @fpost337 19 дней назад +1

    Why is insurance so much higer in the US? .... a few moments later.. the companies have to ask the government to adjust their prices.... say no more

  • @chriscashman2840
    @chriscashman2840 19 дней назад +5

    ICE vehicles have "Collision Avoidance" that doesn't avoid all collisions, is anyone challenging them the way they are challenging Tesla over FSD? No? Then why not?

    • @Dularr
      @Dularr 19 дней назад

      Government requirements

  • @thomaspflasterer7366
    @thomaspflasterer7366 19 дней назад +1

    Just so you know, your customer service folks are awesome!

  • @andrewhammond3114
    @andrewhammond3114 19 дней назад +5

    These guys are smart

  • @rcokford
    @rcokford 19 дней назад +1

    The current fleet of cars on the road will never be robo taxis . I fully believe Tesla is going to solve FSD soon. I am currently using FSD for most of my driving and it works great. The problem is human passengers, it is too easy to mess with an autonomous car. For example just leave the door open, current M3 and MY can't close their doors automatically. The robo taxi is going to specifically built not just to drive itself but handle other passenger related contingencies

  • @my2cents395
    @my2cents395 19 дней назад +1

    An Uber driver that has a Tesla will be able to have their car working when they are not. A Tesla owner may add their car to the fleet and re-invest the income to purchase another Tesla. A dedicated Robo Taxi may be Wheelchair capable. A business may own a Tesla and use it to pick up and drop off customers. Stores that do shopping for you may now also deliver. Competition will drive demand and if a Robo Taxi gives a business an advantage they will use it. Not to mention when these cars are not being used they can be connected to the grid to balance demand.

  • @michelemichele6387
    @michelemichele6387 19 дней назад +2

    Excellent episode 🤩

  • @DeckEdge
    @DeckEdge 19 дней назад +2

    I would book from Tesla all day long before Uber given they have the safest cars on the road among other things.

  • @philipjones3599
    @philipjones3599 19 дней назад +1

    That explanation for insurance increasing was interesting.

  • @lindalealphamale
    @lindalealphamale 19 дней назад +4

    The thumbnail is ironic. Tesla not competing in many areas Elon claimed they would.

    • @davidbeppler3032
      @davidbeppler3032 19 дней назад

      What areas are those? Semi, Truck, Crossover, sedan, robotaxi, AI, factory construction, battery production, factory software, car software, phone app, insurance, electric motor design, electric motor production, and car parts manufacturing.

    • @davidbeppler3032
      @davidbeppler3032 19 дней назад

      Probably car financing in the future if they are not doing it already.

  • @richmargin6082
    @richmargin6082 19 дней назад +1

    3:53 tesla just got approved today for building a megafactory in china too!! Expected to start building in may 2024 (so right now) and is expected to start production in early 2025

  • @gwgplate2
    @gwgplate2 19 дней назад +2

    I wonder if a counter law suit against the law firm for the costs of all accidents outside the safe Tesla FSD zone would be the shake up.

  • @bootiemacarthur9182
    @bootiemacarthur9182 19 дней назад +1

    I can easily see employees going for shorter work weeks and utilizing their personal cars to supplement income or even get additional time off work.

  • @codingispower1816
    @codingispower1816 19 дней назад +1

    FSD had to be SO good that no one can doubt it. It has yet to get there.

  • @PolineChan
    @PolineChan 18 дней назад +1

    I thinking the pricing of Robotaxi is done by tesla via tesla app. If you put your car into the fleet, you will get say 70% of the revenue for the rides made with the car. Tesla manages the customers and payments.

  • @fscott1134
    @fscott1134 18 дней назад +1

    Your idea about fixing lawfare ignores the fact that insurance is regulated by state, not by washington AND many lawmakers are lawyers….

  • @SlickSydney
    @SlickSydney 19 дней назад +1

    Thx

  • @zlozlozlo
    @zlozlozlo 19 дней назад +1

    If you want to know why car accidents went up in the US during Covid, I'll tell you. But it's quite disheartening.

  • @davidbeppler3032
    @davidbeppler3032 19 дней назад +1

    The math is simple. Sell a car for $5.5k profit or rent it out for 3 years for $100k profit.

  • @erikbarsingerhorn4485
    @erikbarsingerhorn4485 19 дней назад +2

    Don't forget customers on the X app.

  • @KillaKiRawBeats
    @KillaKiRawBeats 19 дней назад +1

    I think a special paint would help the cameras behave in code

  • @TwilightKid
    @TwilightKid 19 дней назад +1

    Can ypu imagine of they deployed a TeslaBot @ Superchargers to clean cars, plug & unplug them?

  • @mnhsty
    @mnhsty 18 дней назад +1

    I agree with loser pays to some extent, but not all losing causes are unfounded. Let’s not give the wealthy an unfair advantage in court, as they often do already.

  • @chrisg8995
    @chrisg8995 19 дней назад +1

    Who is going to keep robos clean? The future is here and the future is filthy!

  • @Matzes
    @Matzes 19 дней назад +6

    This whole robotaxi scenario business opportunity thing is so fascinating. I can't wait to see how it shakes out. This will be studied in economics classes of the future. So many economic/financial concepts in there

    • @davidbrayshaw3529
      @davidbrayshaw3529 19 дней назад

      The world's governments aren't going to want to see commercial drivers on the unemployment lines. I can tell you that much. And I can also tell you that if the Robo Taxi project does take off, it might take those driver's jobs, but it won't get you to give up your car. You'll catch Robo Taxis to the airport or home from the restaurant when you've had too much to drink.
      Everywhere else, you will drive your car just like you do today, because that is a cultural thing, and nothing will change that.

    • @Matzes
      @Matzes 19 дней назад

      @@davidbrayshaw3529 you say that as a sure statement when its 100% speculation. personally. i would drop my car instantly if I have the opportunity to cheaply catch a robotaxi ride anywhere. . all the money upfront, financing, insurance, taxes, maintenance off my mind? sign me up. economics beats "culture" any day of the week, twice on sundays. many people already went "full uber" and dont own cars anymore, and thats when uber isnt even that cheap. imagine the economics of robotaxis, they can easily undercut the prices of uber.
      but all that isnt even the interesting part. its already a given that robotaxis will be cheaper than uber. I am wondering how exactly they gonna decide HOW they do it. own their own fleet, how they solve the demand spies, do they outsource it, do they finance the cars, do they just sell and make money from profit shares, sell to individuals or fleets. only allow tesla users to use the network, drive sales through that. offer the whole transportation experience in a netflix lie subscription of like 500$ and thats including ownership of car/robotaxi, insurance, charging,fsd....
      i have no idea and i find it fascinating

    • @frankleroy3684
      @frankleroy3684 19 дней назад +3

      David. I bet your grand parents said the same thing. Not giving up my horsey! FSD enabled car allows u to decide when you want to drive and when you want the car to drive autonomous. Eventually insurance will require u to have FSD bc it will be proven to be safer than human drivers

    • @davidbrayshaw3529
      @davidbrayshaw3529 19 дней назад

      @@frankleroy3684 How many people can and will be able to pay for FSD as an option?
      The biggest car market in the world is the "cheap" small hatchback/SUV market. Why? Because they're cheap.
      FSD is going to have to be next to free in order for widespread adoption to occur.
      And that sort of compromises the whole business case for it.
      Perhaps legislative amendments or insurance costs will dictate the adoption of FSD, but if that is the case, we'll be looking at a whole new underclass that can't afford to drive a car at all.
      Oh, and on the topic of my grandparents, my maternal grandparents neither owned a horse, car nor motorcycle. They walked and relied on public transport.
      On my Father's side, my grandfather owned
      a Brough Superior motorcycle, a French Amel car, a Morris, when they moved to Australia in 1933 which they traded 27 years later for a used 1958 FE Holden which my Grand mother had until 1988.
      They kept their vehicles in good working order and they didn't own a horse, either.

    • @darylfoster7944
      @darylfoster7944 19 дней назад +3

      @@davidbrayshaw3529 the 60 year olds won't give up their cars, but I think that younger city dwellers will definitely consider going full robotaxi. Many of them never even got a driver's license, and owning a car in many cities can be a major hassle, especially if you want to go electric. Parking is expensive and/or non-existent, and charging is nearly impossible. Add in outrageously expensive insurance, and there is plenty of motivation to give up car ownership.

  • @kellymoses8566
    @kellymoses8566 13 дней назад +1

    Waymo is actually providing 50,000 driverless trips a week. Tesla is delivering ZERO.

  • @mikemulrooney4824
    @mikemulrooney4824 19 дней назад

    Good vid

  • @spacep0d
    @spacep0d 19 дней назад +1

    The guy in the glasses needs a proper guitar stand. Maybe he has one that holds the base bit that guitar that seems to be leaning against the wall makes me nervous. :D

  • @jtyler81
    @jtyler81 19 дней назад +1

    Looks like the remote waymo driver was drunk

  • @rwhirsch
    @rwhirsch 19 дней назад +2

    just a dedicated tesla fleet scenario....30k$ profit/car/yr * 10million cars = 300 BILLION!! $$ profit/yr.... 30 p/e ratio = 9 Trillion $ market cap / 3.2 billion shares ~ 2800 $ share price (just off the in-house tesla fleet). Then add private tesla robotaxi...license to other oem's and everything else tesla does...oh, and then optimus kicks in...etc...

    • @darylfoster7944
      @darylfoster7944 19 дней назад

      The $30k profit seems high to me, but I guess it depends how many miles it drives. Uber drivers only average about 45k miles per year. They would have to charge at least a dollar a mile, maybe more, in order to net $30k after expenses and taxes. And it's going to be a hell of a long time before 10M of them are operating.

  • @plantstho6599
    @plantstho6599 19 дней назад +5

    Wait until Optimus can move 10x faster than human and help pump out cyber cabs as fast as they can make batteries to fill them up.

    • @Jstuckey
      @Jstuckey 19 дней назад

      Dude! Hell yea, agreed! So the basic “error correction” we see the bots doing now (ie: when putting the battery in and one tipped over, it was able to fix it). Imagine they get better and faster at “reacting”, similarly how the bot reacted to the battery, until they are fast and reactive enough to dodge a bullet. The hardware AND the software would need to go a lot further than what it is right now, but the consistent theme here with Tesla is they are CONSTANTLY getting more and more efficient with everything they do, and throwing AI into the mix makes a recipe for unlimited growth potential, and unlimited possibilities.
      Imagine an Optimus “Peace Officer”, maybe one on every other street corner in a bustling city, able to use it’s advance tracking on the same damn cameras that are on the cars, use that to LITERALLY SAVE LIVES, with a response time and powerful enough quickly jump out and pull back a pedestrian from getting struck by a car (if the cars are still this dumb by then, looking like probably not 😉) or able to INSTANTLY spot a crime or threat, jump in a burning building, get deployed to natural disaster relief locations, and have the ability and computing power to again, INSTANTLY ANALYZE and then react to anything. It’s going to change the world forever, for the better mostly, until some dickhead comes along i’m sure, but surely these bots are going to be everywhere, and #TSLA will be reaping the benefits, makes me glad I’m part owner.

    • @geoffthompson1215
      @geoffthompson1215 19 дней назад

      Optimus won't 10x in speed because of durability and energy usage. Increased acceleration and deceleration of axes is energy hungry and massively increases load and therefore wear on moving parts.

    • @Jstuckey
      @Jstuckey 19 дней назад

      @@geoffthompson1215 “electric cars will never work” said someone once. Can’t make rockets land back on Earth either, or give the ability to someone to play chess with their mind with a brain implanted chip, yea that’ll never happen, must be impossible. Wrong channel bro. 😎

    • @geoffthompson1215
      @geoffthompson1215 19 дней назад

      @@Jstuckey of course boundaries can be stretched but the first principles design mentality of Optimus and the secret of its eventual dominance is based on the energy density of current battery technology. EVERYTHING in its design is determined by that density, and the fact that it dictates a capacity of around 2.5kWh.
      Yea, future robots in maybe 10 or 20 years time might have power density that allows different architecture and dynamic performance, but not Optimus, not this Optimus.
      The pursuit of dynamic performance has meant that Atlas will never be a success.

    • @plantstho6599
      @plantstho6599 18 дней назад

      @@geoffthompson1215 my theory is that once AI takes over the design of its own physical manifestation, things will go bonkers.

  • @eplugplay8409
    @eplugplay8409 19 дней назад

    Exciting times!

  • @coolco1619
    @coolco1619 19 дней назад +3

    Eventually Uber will join Tesla. And Hertz will buy Tesla FSD or ribotaxi to hire out at airports to people who just arrived the country and the car will take them to their destination without worries about the routes.

    • @dwylhq874
      @dwylhq874 19 дней назад

      Nope. Neither of these things will happen. Hertz failed to provide service for EVs and have gone back to ICE. Uber’s management are only interested in quarterly numbers not long-term thinking. They will go the way of Kodak.
      Old people will still use them for a while …

  • @ahowl7mx
    @ahowl7mx 19 дней назад +1

    Dumb question - Why can't we summon a driverless Tesla but drive it? Then the driver drops it off wherever they are going and lets the FSD take it from there. Why sit in the back when fully qualified drivers are capable?

  • @QuiLe-qw5jb
    @QuiLe-qw5jb 19 дней назад +2

    These 2 are writing a Fantasy Book?! 😅😅😅

  • @georgegale6084
    @georgegale6084 19 дней назад

    Great Point - Tesla has a Killer Business Model…..besides the best technology. Great material for an MBA course.

  • @Ash-zp4ov
    @Ash-zp4ov 19 дней назад +1

    Nice

  • @brunopadovani7347
    @brunopadovani7347 19 дней назад

    If a specific location has unique rules, the AI can still be taught, especially if the system allows for the very heavy weighing (like 1000x) of the small number of driver assisted prompts for those specific circumstances.

  • @thefish5861
    @thefish5861 19 дней назад

    As an investor and three-time car owner, I have said for years that it all is going to come down to FSD working. We should all cross our fingers.

  • @asajelfs8170
    @asajelfs8170 19 дней назад +10

    I ain't getting in a car with Waymo behind the wheel.

    • @rwhirsch
      @rwhirsch 19 дней назад

      we should start calling it Whammo!!

    • @MrMinecraftLestFail
      @MrMinecraftLestFail 19 дней назад

      ​@@rwhirsch Or MoWay I'm getting in that.

    • @davidbrayshaw3529
      @davidbrayshaw3529 19 дней назад

      I got in a car once with a guy called Wayne behind the wheel. I wouldn't do that again, either.

    • @kellymoses8566
      @kellymoses8566 13 дней назад

      Waymo is actually providing 50,000 driverless trips a week. Tesla is delivering ZERO.

    • @MrMinecraftLestFail
      @MrMinecraftLestFail 13 дней назад

      @@kellymoses8566 0? :0 Give me your source uwu

  • @kuang-chengyushankao1395
    @kuang-chengyushankao1395 19 дней назад +2

    謝謝!

  • @jburdman7
    @jburdman7 6 дней назад

    Capital will flow into robo taxies until the rate of risk / return is in line with other investments therefore the longer projections speculated here will not come to pass. Tho I'm not dissing this as a growth business

  • @steventaylor4159
    @steventaylor4159 19 дней назад

    An idea I have is when the cars don't have human customers in non-peak hour places like ups and FedEx could use them for business deliveries or maybe last mile delivering from big warehouses.

  • @franckiewicz0831
    @franckiewicz0831 19 дней назад +1

    Do we know if anything about FSD in China? How many adopted it? Do they all get a trial? Is it a buzz around the county? Uptick in Tesla sales and website views since announcement?

    • @andrelecomte
      @andrelecomte 19 дней назад +1

      It's not publicly available in China yet.

  • @earleyelisha
    @earleyelisha 19 дней назад

    You can’t collect enough data to “solve” the current implementation of FSD
    See paper:
    No "Zero-Shot" Without Exponential Data: Pretraining Concept
    Frequeney Determines Multimodal Model Performance

  • @Mrbfgray
    @Mrbfgray 19 дней назад +3

    S3XY are good taxis already, robo or not.
    Could ramp existing production lines, for now, when FSD ready.

    • @robertweekley5926
      @robertweekley5926 19 дней назад

      Model X is an Interesting "Taxi" choice, and so is the Model S, and they might fit right in, in a Future "Robotaxi Premium" Model!
      Also, while you "Could" send out your "Personal Car" to do "Robotaxi Work" without you in it, I wonder if that "Absence" of you, would be "Mandatory", or, if you could go along, as a "Comfort Service" to give Passengers more Confidence in their "Safety?" (And, to keep an eye on your passengers and your property, making sure it's not unduly "Dirtied!" )

    • @Mrbfgray
      @Mrbfgray 19 дней назад

      @@robertweekley5926 Driving a taxi not something I'm interested in doing and many ppl, women in particular, don't want to step into a vehicle with a stranger if they can avoid it.
      I only see driver in Tesla taxi as a brief transitional possibility, it defeats most of the economic case for FSD taxi.
      Small group of us in SF at night hailed a GM Suburban once, it was right size for our group. Point being that 2 seater not always the ticket and such as Model X has potential transitional role.

    • @dattajack
      @dattajack 19 дней назад

      Model 2 = hatchback
      Model 4 = minivan
      Both unveiled 8/8

  • @halfamoose
    @halfamoose 19 дней назад

    The parallels between FSD and the other's approcah is so reminicent of the whole Tesla AC power vs Edison's DC ordeal.

  • @chloefreeman4796
    @chloefreeman4796 19 дней назад +29

    How can i make more profits from the crypto market?

    • @reginaphilip3582
      @reginaphilip3582 19 дней назад

      I would suggest holding, but there are better options like day trading.

    • @joaniesusan3359
      @joaniesusan3359 19 дней назад

      But trading gets risky and a lot of persons loose funds to it.

    • @Colestephen261
      @Colestephen261 19 дней назад

      Usually it's risky trading the crypto market even as an expert but then professional advise and guidance is always the best else losses becomes inevitable.

    • @masongerald986
      @masongerald986 19 дней назад

      That's true, but the risks are minimal when you make those moves with the guidance of a professional. People still make huge ROI on a daily.

    • @timkol2621
      @timkol2621 19 дней назад

      Do you have a program I could be a part of? Would really love to increase my trading knowledge.

  • @andrewmarks300
    @andrewmarks300 19 дней назад

    The best part is the ability to limit the people you share it with.
    Think community cars. Your street buys 5 cars for anyone to use with the cost shared.
    Pubs and clubs, retail outlets etc use them as a courtesy for their customers if they spend x in store and share the cars amongst participating shops..... possibilities endless beyond the simple buy to rent or renting to anyone

    • @robertweekley5926
      @robertweekley5926 19 дней назад

      In the "Small Piston Engine, Light Plane Market", there are already business models of Combined Ownership, or "X" number of people, buying a Plane, new, or even used, and each person can Fly it, according to its availability. And some of those are "Clubs" that others can join, and some are just "Fixed" to the specific owners!
      Can't imagine why, similar things can't happen, for Electric Vehicles? Like, ok, you bought a Standard Range Model 3, for your "Typical Daily Driver", but, you'd "Like" to use a "Model X" to go on Vacation! But, you don't "Need" that for Commuting, or Grocery Trips, General Errands, etc! So, you join a "Model X Club" that has a few of them, for a Flat Fee per Year, and then a User Fee per "Week" when you want to go on Vacation with it! A "Time Share" business model, if you like!
      Funny enough, If such existing business exists, I have not yet heard of any! Doesn't mean no one has done so, but, it's not well known, if it is done!

    • @darylfoster7944
      @darylfoster7944 19 дней назад

      I would never have joint ownership of anything with a bunch of strangers on my street. That's a lawsuit waiting to happen.

  • @alefernaqwe
    @alefernaqwe 19 дней назад

    Heres how: step one buy a Tesla. Step 2: copy paste the fsd model. Step 3 build a car and hw that ises the model

  • @andypcguy1
    @andypcguy1 19 дней назад

    I dumped half my position in tesla. I still believe in tesla over the long run but I think the rest of the market is going to behave irrationally over the short term for a variety of reasons. So I might be able to get a few extra shares by buying the dip. I don't have a lot to work with so I really need that needle in the haystack. If you have enough, you just buy the entire haystack and big gains are inevitable.

  • @learnprogress6618
    @learnprogress6618 19 дней назад

    True ,

  • @geminicraftworks
    @geminicraftworks 19 дней назад

    incorrect on the reasons for insurance premiums increasing. it's due to their over reliance on AI handling claims. it has eroded cost controls across the board.

  • @jonbowes5999
    @jonbowes5999 19 дней назад

    Ok so what about that demand peaks issue LoL That one always makes me laugh as the answer is so obvious. Now we have small bus like 5-12 passenger vehicles they can have wide opening doors and flat floors, when passengers are in shorter supply they will carry goods. Call a vehicle load it up and send it unload at the other end, maybe have a Tesla bot onboard to do the loading unloading.

    • @robertweekley5926
      @robertweekley5926 19 дней назад

      I just heard, from my "Plumber" actually, about information he got, about 5 weeks ago, regarding a "Soon to be" - "Tesla Van" that is "Coming!"
      He was enquiring about such a vehicle from Tesla, as he described, and was informed such was "Coming Soon!"
      ("Soon" might be a Random Guess, or something more definitive, I don't know! But, still interesting, in any case!)

  • @BernardAtwood
    @BernardAtwood 18 дней назад +47

    I will be forever grateful to you, you changed my entire life and I will continue to preach on your behalf for the whole world to hear you saved me from huge financial debt with just a small investment, thank you Michelle Stewart.

    • @ELenaGarcia-jy5co
      @ELenaGarcia-jy5co 18 дней назад

      Wow. I'm a bit perplexed seeing her been mentioned here also Didn’t know she has been good to so many people too this is wonderful, I'm in my fifth trade with her and it has been super.

    • @lucasadkings4868
      @lucasadkings4868 18 дней назад

      She is my family's personal broker and also a personal broker in many families in United States, she's a licensed broker and a FINRA AGENT in United states

    • @JackWalter-wh3vh
      @JackWalter-wh3vh 18 дней назад

      You trade with Michelle Stewart too? Wow that woman has been a blessing to me and my family.

    • @Kareenwood8738
      @Kareenwood8738 18 дней назад

      I'm new at this, please how can I reach her?

    • @FedrickLeonard
      @FedrickLeonard 18 дней назад

      I was skeptical at first till I decided to try. Its huge returns is awesome. I can't say much

  • @Just_me_73
    @Just_me_73 19 дней назад

    31:00 I don't think he is talking to account ho is paying for the expenses of the car.

  • @tresbb03
    @tresbb03 19 дней назад

    Yeah ill have my cars pair up with an optimus each to maintain them. Done. The perfect money printer in the next decade.

  • @Anayea10
    @Anayea10 19 дней назад

    Waymo oh please! I saw the video where the stupid waymo was going the wrong way!!

  • @t3hpwninat0r
    @t3hpwninat0r 19 дней назад

    Imagine what happens when a Tesla vehicle owner adds their vehicle to the RoboTaxi fleet and also needs to use their vehicle at peak times:
    I'm going to a club on a Friday night. I need a ride to the club. For the next X amount of time I need my car to be somewhere, but there's probably no parking available nearby, so I am incentivised to let my car go and make me some money instead of sitting in a no parking zone. This just happens to be during peak hours. When I want to leave the club I tell my car to leave the fleet so it finishes its current route and comes to me, so you could say as the owner I have priority on that vehicle. Good for me, good for the fleet.
    If there are more people needing rides at peak hours, there are more Tesla owners going places at peak hours and the places they are going to are also the places other people are going to. The fleet is automatically in the right places at the right times.

    • @robertweekley5926
      @robertweekley5926 19 дней назад

      Generally, it seems you have described a situation where, in a City, the "Penetration" of Tesla's, is sufficiently high, to fit that reality!
      And, guess what? Lots of Cities are already like that!
      Wyoming? Not so much! But, that's "OK", for now! It will continue to expand and improve available areas!

  • @chetgray2424
    @chetgray2424 19 дней назад +1

    Number 1

  • @maltheskak8025
    @maltheskak8025 19 дней назад +2

    You don't think there will be extremely embarrassing situations for FSD once it's unsupervised? 7:05

    • @nkau7788
      @nkau7788 19 дней назад

      no it wii be perfect

    • @robertweekley5926
      @robertweekley5926 19 дней назад

      Well, what would have caused this "Monitored" Waymo, to "Proceed" out from the Stop Sign, to the Left Turn, if it understood it needs to be further forward, to join the lane that was, at that moment, having "No Room" to fit in? And, what was happening at "Base" (Monitoring Center), that Nobody "Caught" that mistake?
      And, we have already seen, even on FSD V11, Proper, and Safe, "Unprotected Left Turns", and FSD 12.3.6 making *its "Own" choices, to make a "Proper Left Turn", avoiding a Right Turn, and then a U-turn, that Mapping & Navigation "Chose!"
      If current FSD 12.3.6 is operating, as so many say, as smooth as a Great Human Driver, what is your take, that it won't be even better, by the Time it is "Unsupervised?"
      And it's only "Early May!" With the Unveiling on August 8th, 2024, of "Robotaxi" that's about 8-9 Weeks forward, from FSD 12.3.6! Still time to continue improving it between now and then, and probably even after, as "Unveiling" usually is some "Months" before "First Delivery Event!" 8/8 is just the Unveiling, remember!
      So, in the "Common Idea" based on "The Pessimistic View", sure, "Something" could be a "Strange" situation, or event, that might show up, but that clip with the Waymo, was like someone from America, driving first Time in Great Britain, solo, after a too long Visit to a Pub, or Bar!
      Not so different than the "Cruise" vehicle, stopped, in front of a Construction Job, in the Intersection, that it could have easily gone around, but, it had no idea what to do!
      While a Tesla, has already shown it can "Think" its way around avoiding a Large Truck coming into its Lane, by going "Wide" and slightly "Off The Road" for Safe Avoidance!

  • @philipbrooks1794
    @philipbrooks1794 19 дней назад +4

    You are a relentless coach. We are mere mortals -a veteran family completely dependent and living 100% on disability - and we have increased our position by nearly 1/5 in the famous $TSLA fire sale of 2024. This gift from Elon who is trying to better humanity is a wealth elevator democratizing capital for the everyday investor. What the Teslabot world will soon demonstrate literally is the old golden rule that your capital can work harder than even the most productive human.

  • @gregspeth7910
    @gregspeth7910 18 дней назад

    8 cameras, no pay outs . Insurance is profitable

  • @javierisaai
    @javierisaai 19 дней назад +1

    So, is Uber profitable at this point? Genuine question. I know most delivery (EATS) platforms are a money wasting machine but I do not recall the state of ride hailing.

  • @Digital-Dan
    @Digital-Dan 18 дней назад

    I'm about 3X to 5X more likely to call a robotaxi than a human-driven one. Interacting with strangers, their choice of temperatures and music, their other habits, etc., puts me off, and I would do it only if absolutely necessary. So there's more to it than saving the labor costs.

  • @straitjacketstudios
    @straitjacketstudios 19 дней назад

    I predict (1) Uber will become the first TESLA ROBO FLEET of robo taxis by purchasing a fleet of TESLAS or (2) TESLA will acquire UBER CORP and do it themselves.

  • @lecisko
    @lecisko 19 дней назад +1

    Realistically, what portion of the current Tesla vehicles would be made available to robotaxi by their owners? 5-25%?

    • @gustavgyll3291
      @gustavgyll3291 19 дней назад

      And that’s only in the North America market. Non in the EU och China at the moment.

    • @dougm659
      @dougm659 19 дней назад

      It’ll start low and accelerate imho, once people hear how much money others are making from their, otherwise mostly stationary, cars, they’ll dive in!

    • @NaughtyGoatFarm
      @NaughtyGoatFarm 19 дней назад

      ​@@dougm659agree, and all second hand tesla cars and end of lease vehicles will get snapped up and put to work as robo cabs.

    • @robertweekley5926
      @robertweekley5926 19 дней назад

      ​@@NaughtyGoatFarm- If Tesla hasn't already taken them for that, themselves! 😲

    • @darylfoster7944
      @darylfoster7944 19 дней назад

      @@dougm659 depends how many trustworthy passengers there are. You would be a fool to let just anyone ride in your car. It also depends on how many people are going to call a robotaxi at 11 AM, when your car is stationary.

  • @Matt-xt4hx
    @Matt-xt4hx 19 дней назад

    Gordon Johnson price target is currently closer to the mark than SMRs…just sayin’. INSANE!

  • @KillaKiRawBeats
    @KillaKiRawBeats 19 дней назад

    Fs- D 12

  • @andrewmarks300
    @andrewmarks300 19 дней назад

    Optimus sitting in the car in a unused spot (could be the trunk) to clean and look after the car
    Doesnt sound exceptionally unlikely!