Parag Khanna maps the future of countries
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- Опубликовано: 27 сен 2009
- www.ted.com Many people think the lines on the map no longer matter, but Parag Khanna says they do. Using maps of the past and present, he explains the root causes of border conflicts worldwide and proposes simple yet cunning solutions for each.
TEDTalks is a daily video podcast of the best talks and performances from the TED Conference, where the world's leading thinkers and doers give the talk of their lives in 18 minutes. Featured speakers have included Al Gore on climate change, Philippe Starck on design, Jill Bolte Taylor on observing her own stroke, Nicholas Negroponte on One Laptop per Child, Jane Goodall on chimpanzees, Bill Gates on malaria and mosquitoes, Pattie Maes on the "Sixth Sense" wearable tech, and "Lost" producer JJ Abrams on the allure of mystery. TED stands for Technology, Entertainment, Design, and TEDTalks cover these topics as well as science, business, development and the arts. Closed captions and translated subtitles in a variety of languages are now available on TED.com, at www.ted.com/translate. Watch a highlight reel of the Top 10 TEDTalks at www.ted.com/index.php/talks/top10
I love that quote:
"History doesn't repeat itself, but it does rhyme." (Mark Twain)
Can you do an update of this? It's 2019 now.
Russia has become more nationalized and the Chinese influence in the east has been somewhat curtailed as Russia is more in need of the resources that were leased out. They haven't been booted out but that's probably coming soon or they will ally with each other which I don't see as being any sort of lasting thing.
He would have to admit to himself how badly his predictions failed, so don't hold your breath.
@@donaldduck830 Indeed. That's the nature of politics. The maps may not have changed but the traffic has.
Not much has changed, though Syria and Libya have exploded, and the resulting migration pressure has impacted the politics of the EU and US. Underlying it all is climate change.
@@awuma re climate change?
People are building luxury housing and resorts on that island country that was supposed to drown. I think about 15 there they sent a scuba team to Copenhagen. This crap is gettig old already.
Looing at comment section, suddenly it is recommended a lot after 10 years.
Yes, PISSLAM.
Google, wikipedia manipulation
An Indian origin man talk about whole world except his origin
vishal Kumar the talk was much more than just talking about ethnic origin. You missed the point entirely. Let the other billion people pick up where he left off and talk about India. 😝
@sridam biswas stable? its far from stable.
1st rule of political science - never try and predict anything becuase you will always turn out to be wrong.
couldn't agree more on that
But whatever Propher Muhammad (pbuh) predicted has come to true
@@jav65 you are dumb , aren't you ?
Political science is all about prediction, informed prediction
There are models for people who believe in such things, KorteZ. Then there are the few people who know what it was really about. Unless you are one of them, you may as well give up. Unless you think of a way to outsmart them.
This is a 10 year old video! Watching in 2019. His theories didnt really pan out.
which ones exactly ?
@@indianextinhindi8280 the one he said that Greenland is becoming a country for example . is Greenland a country now? Please correct me if I am wrong.
@@aranalan4199 No, Greenland is not a country in 2019
ruclips.net/video/VX_Z4qIBrfc/видео.html
ruclips.net/video/3715FIdHkJE/видео.html
Not exactly the same talk , but 2 other Asia / China centric talks (2019)
PISSLAM
He knows exactly what he's talking about.
The Balkans are the east European countries lying between the Adriatic and the Black Sea. Look it up on Wikipedia.
Gold is only a small part of the Mongolian mineral extraction industry. Copper, coal, molybdenum, fluorspar, uranium, tin, and tungsten collectively dwarf gold mining, and China is the largest investor in those.
So in both of the cases that you cite, the speaker was correct.
Quit politics... that's what I did. Lead a simple life. Offer a service integral to the future of humanity.
How is it going? I mean the simple life ....
Amazing I did the same
It’s a great idea in theory, but People don’t trust their elected officials because of corruption. How can we trust any ruling party over the rest?
Show us one that’s noble whose footstep are admired and mirrored across the planet, and we’ll show you the pipeline!!!
The predictions are highly simplistic
You could say the same thing about a 19 minutes lecture that I would hypothetically give on home renovations... in my own house. As for myself, I learned stuff and I will try to learn more on various aspects of this talk. Time relatively well spent is my conclusion.
These so called predictions are designed for a TED talk, not for the director of CIA.
And his allegations lack investigation.
still, you cannot predict blockchain tech, elon musk and many other things...
A macro-view is always simplistic my friend. That too 9 years ago in a dynamically changing world. He did talk about the geo-political equation.
this is the most interesting tedx talk i have seen in a long time
so many factual errors...
I've checked and the errors there now at the time of posting was factual. Quit thinking of a talk given in 2009 as totally relevant in 2019. A lot has changed just in the last 2 years let alone 10.
@@cOr3t3ecks Well, the maps did not change that much and they were criticized by many commentators. Ofc he could not know about the arab spring, but assuming Europe could work together with Erdogan... (seriously, anybody with more than 2 braincells knew he was a catastrophe waiting to happen on the day he was elected. And he became the executive leader of Turkey in 2003.)
Others correctly pointed out even before the 2008 economic downturn that there was a large but limited demand for oil, not all proposed pipeline projects could be built and refinanced simultaneously. There was massive lobbying and threats of war even back then. Google for Southstream and compare to Northstream (now even on iteration 2 with bigger capacity) and see who profitted from violence and uncertainty in the middle east.
What you are saying is worth exactly nothing because many won't know what you meant at all...
Now, can you name what was wrong exactly in the talk and what the correct facts are?
@@tomk2747 My comment not enough for you? 3 distinct examples... Ofc some climate sceptics did a 2 hour video to debunk Gore's "Convenient Lies". If you want sth like that, you got to pay for it!
@@tomk2747 Ok I didn't name them exhaustively because they were so many
in just the first five minutes, he says:
"in 1945 there are 100 sovereign countries" when even counting occupied Axis nations it's hard to get to 75
"the Russian Far East population is 6 million" when in the mid 2000's it's closer to 9 million
"Helionjiang (Harbin) population of 100 million" when it's actually 49 million in 2009 & even if you add Inner Mongolia its still adds up to only 70 million
" greater than the population of russia" when he just said the population of Russia is 140 million
"600 thousand Chinese emigrate each year to the Russian Far East". Russian census in late 2000's puts them at 30 000, and even the highest estimates from other sources give a 400 000 - 500 000 of Chinese nationals living in all of the Russian federation in total (that's less than his own fantasy arrivals in one year!)
It goes on and on but fact checking this ted talk is really not worth it....
So this brings us china's belt and road program
Sukh Brar - Israel’s belt and road program, not China’s my mate!
That didn’t age well
very detailed analysis. update will be aprreciated
Six years later this guy's predictions are well below 50/50.
SilvanaDil follow the $$$. He’s got al
Lol. 😂😂😂😂
Just an Indian trying is futile best to propagate the Indian propaganda but failed miserably.
Go and cry Khanna. 😂😂😂😂
India is breaking into Kashmir, nagaland, tamil nadu, etc.
@@ahmed5iddiqui Tamil Nadu??????ROFL You immature dumb pak chap first of all do you know anything about TN?? get out of your madrassa mindset and grow some brain cells
Ahmed Nurullah : And a Pakistani as usual thinks that he caught a RAW agent and failed a bid....he thinks that everything mentioned in filthy Q book is correct !
Earth flat ??
Sun rotates around the Earth??
Sky falls on Earth(as if it’s a slab) but Mr A stopped??
@@ahmed5iddiqui Pakistan is now Bankrupt.
As long as you use watery phrases like "strategic borders", "globalisation Chinese style" you can sound intelligent without saying anything meaningful.
Fundamental error is to assume that "globalisation Chinese style" is being orchestrated by some central actor in Beijing.
San Patch
Lol. 😂😂😂😂
Just an Indian trying is futile best to propagate the Indian propaganda but failed miserably.
Go and cry Khanna. 😂😂😂😂
India is breaking into Kashmir, nagaland, tamil nadu, etc.
San patch 👍👍👍
An Indian scaring USA against China. The objective must be to gain something for India (military technology and economic growth) at the expense of USA.
@@ahmed5iddiqui and pakistan into 4 parts lol
@match box actually its both ways, we want to buy and US wants to sell , we fear china will invade india, US fears china will encroach petro-dollar hegemony
Men, how wrong you were regarding the EU, Turkey and the Mediterranean! No indication of the rise of nationalism and populism...
Well it's like a lecture in biology that states that for a bacteria the best way to thrive is to gradually dissolve the cellular wall and let osmosis have its way. Of course if any bacteria actually does it then... well... It bloats from incoming water and all the nutrients inside are dissipated. Eventually it will be ripped apart by internal pressure.
Funny that there are actually a quasi-living organisms that routinely "persuade" bacteria to do just that. They are called viruses. Intra-cellular parasites that want to spread and infect more cells.
@@bnmishra2328 Excuse me, but I live in Hungary and there are no rising right wings here. You know nothing other than what the media is puking into your mouth.
One of the best talks i have ever seen , Hands Down !
Why they are recommending it in 2019.
💰
To prove that guy was wrong.
Brexit gave all these talking heads a second run-through.
2021 now lol
How come his other videos have disabled comments. I found out that business ventures were headed toward Asia a couple of years ago.
Ok RUclips as per your recommendation I watched this video 👍
Just downvote, youtube's algorithm must have had an aneurysm to recommend this crap to so many people.
And what did you think?
12 years after this video, still seems it is talking about today.
Simply awesome man
I am Proud Pakhtoon, A PROUD PAKISTANI! Long live PAKISTAN! Those who talk about Pakhtoonistan or Separate Balochistan don't know the ground reality "PAKISTAN HAI TU HUM HAIN!"
He Talked so well, I couldn’t smell any bullshit until I got to the comments. 😁😁😁
Ye delhi se to nai hai kahin?
2019: Performance over substance. He was ahead of his time.
I agree Khanna's explanations are very simplistic, perhaps he can fool freshmen but not the people that matter.
This is a 10 year old video some of the stuff he had talked about has already happened like the independence of South Sudan of course. It became the newest sovereign nation in 2011.
@@canbot1 wasn't hard to predict when the referendum was already on the calendar
Great Informative Video. 👍👍👍
Great Ted talk! Awesome!!
visionary work / belt & road 2019
Surprisingly, he being an Indian didn't talk about India. How can he not point indian politics, the most complex one.
Avirag Vishwas he is of Indian origin but not actually an Indian. He is a PIO.
Avirag Vishwas ! A decade a go (when he made this presentation) India was still not in focus as is it is now. Speakers have to contend with many imponderables (about India) then.
In India state reorganization is issue . No new nations
And India is projected to become a super power. They have minimal immigration like China and a birth rate over replacement level.
I wonder why he didn't speak about it.
m.ruclips.net/video/bSAgHvETNSg/видео.html
Watch this.
thanks for explaining this!
OLD IS GOLD.Thanks RUclips algorithm for putting this GEM in my streaming thread💘💘💘
Would be interesting to have an update on this...after the european elections !
I wish the world would be as simple as he described but clearly it’s not the case. Also he forgot to mentioned “Kashmir” issue that’s a conflict between 2 nuclear powers India & Pakistan.
Remember this is ted talk was taken place in 2009, kashmir people is pretty much recent
Kashmir was Muslims Majorty state except for the ruling party that manipulated with brits to make Kashmir part of India . Even still after 70 yrs Kashmiris are still protesting to become free and when they try to raise their voice, they’re portrayed as “so called Terrorists”
What about 1 million of Uighur Muslims of China where Quran is banned !
@@triptirathore4752 what about Kashmir where breathing is banned
@@zairahshahid33 problem arises when kasmiris start wrapping jammu and laddakh in the mix too, kashmir in itself is not big land stretch and pakistan won't gain any advantages by just kashmir valley, they need J&K as a whole, and also if paying the protesters 150rs a day to pelt stones counts as free speech, balochistan is already a sovereign state
Most people haven't studied geopolitics, so they have no idea what Prarag is talking about. Most of them studied Political Science or International Relations and don't know much about the real world.
Even more relevant in 2019! This explains a lot.
Something wrong with the map... Taipei is in the Philippines and Taiwan is missing whose capital is Taipei.
2019: euroturkish superpower ... hahahaha
i appreciate it! i am gonna have to reAD it three times & look up a few terms. thans so much. no its not boring.
Very well stated. Thank you from INDIA...
Almost 90% of his perception was right. Genius.
how ?
Not even 50% is true lol
Love this video. The only error I want to correct is that the population of Greenland is less than 60.000, not 600.000.
Which is less than 600000 anyway.
Einar Ólafsson ! Oh you mean sixty people with no fractioned people when you say 60.000 or six hundred people (with no fractioned individual people) when you say 600.000 !
That was excellent!
RUclips played dirty with my man😂
'Europe has brought down its borders' - but Europe still has many borders in the way that Brazil or India or Australia do not have!
Simplistic. Naive. Regarding "Palestine," Parag's solutions has been offered many times over many years. Turkey will not integrate into Europe. No one will easily let Pakistan divide when it is already a nuclear power. Talks alot about pipelines, but doesn't seem to know a damn thing about the information age. We'll have borders for an eternity. Communities of nations and communities in nations cannot exist to govern without political divisions.
Great Lecture....
I wonder if Mr. Khanna has an updated version of this presentation.
Hé says that North Africans dont identify today as Middle Easterners. They NEVER did. They have always identified as Amazighs
he is like hillary born to privilege he hasn't walked our streets and alleys or walked through Africa
It's 10 years old
@@omshree2448 funny silly people still promote it
They do identify as Muslims, actually.
@@grubbybum3614 he is talking about region. they north africa never identified it self as middle east. it is mostly confused because of the religion and, specially egypt and libya, tunisia are arabic speaking countries. which is stereotypically realated to middle east.
World Map..........does NOT show the Island of Sri Lanka (Formerly - Ceylon )
40 miles south of India - 25,000 Sq Miles - Population 21,500,000
with an recorded History of nearly 3,000 years.....
Fix that World Map..............
Ikr!
BTW, Your Surname is Same as your PM!
its not a factual map, just crudely drawn, a lot of borders and islands aint correct
I felt that same
it is the worst map i've ever seen. if i ever meet this guy i will punch him in the face. but tbh no one cares about Sri Lanka
you have some great stuff here
Wow, how things have changed since he gave this talk.
Awesome video.
Parag Khanna says South Sudan will be an independent country through a referendum in 2011 and indeed it is today.
HE also predicted 10 years ago about problems in Balochistan and among the Pakhtoons of Pakistan.
It is unfortunate he didn't mention India.
Mention for what.? Killing people in the Nwme cow killing Christian in the Name of outsider killing Human in the Name of low cast people..buy Weapon in the Name of War People sleeping hungry drink Dirty water..
@@kamlipaul8498
I think u follow BBC seriously
@Adil you missed Kashmir
The elders have saved India for a different agenda. So don't think "THEY" forgot,... Just relax and see what happens to India after "THEY" clear with the zoned areas shown or displayed by the "SMART" guy/presentor ...All will come to pass..!!
@@rabbithare381 lol elders haha you primitive creatures
So this was almost 10 years ago.....
He had such a good idea about future
Thank you for reminding me why I don't read youtube comments.
You're right, the guy who has studied this kind of events for decades doesn't have any idea of what the reality is.
He forgot to talk about US imperialism which promotes land without borders in order to easy the way it exploits poor people. Example: invasion of Iraq, setting so-called democracy (actually it's market liberalism), buying up companies that fail to survive in the newly created system and taking resources out of that territory.
In that so-called global economy, there will be some spots that accumulate all, and the rest will sink in poverty.
Here it is, May, 2019, & you, precisely, nailed the situation we're currently living in... your comment was 💯% on point.
😕🤨
I just love he uses physics terminology throughout his Ted talk. Terms like post-colonial “entropy”, and “inertia”.
That was what he said. He said that it would decline untill it reached about 120 million people.
How come so much knowledge compress in a single man. It is amazing.
Amazing how wrong he was :D
This guy is way out of his depth
TED, before expose something make sure all the facts are completely accurate ,you missing lots of details in geography and history...
TED is getting worse.
It's actual happening
It's 10 years old . Being outdated makes sense here .
When I l see the world map at 1:47 and see what Parag Khanna has done to Australasia, I wonder how much geo-politics he really knows. :)
Very interesting.
Before giving the projections about future the speaker should first learn some facts. Too many things he said are not true, eg Bosnia not having other currency then Eur? C'mon?!
Mislio je na CG ;)
This guy made a career out of this nonsense.
qweqweqwe112233.....are you as smart as this guy? If not, it’s best to keep quiet.
@@jpathak6227 I don't go and pretend I understand ALL regions and countries in the world. He does. And on the few countries I am an expert on , he completely fails with his analysis.
Still better than being a Pornstar
Solutions to historic problems - seriously what a waste of time. He overlooks and oversimplifies things and gets paid for it (useless stuff ) . A third party cannot solve a border dispute between 2 nations . It depends only on the trust between those 2 nations , peoples and goverments . Russia and China solved some of their long running disputes after tensions cooled and egos had calmed. But many other disputes will not get solved that easily.
@Gojohnny gp1 smart enough to watch a 10 year old video, hahahahah . We know how smart you are just by the fact that you have time to comment on a ten year old video . Lol 😂😂😂😂😂
I don't agree that Baku was a forgotten part os Caucasus. Decates before Europen countries, Russia were trying to add/connect Azerbaijan (pre-Caspian areas) to their therritory and even being under the authority of Sovet Union Baku was in the middle of attention of Russia bcuz of its oil, especially during the world war 1st and the world war 2nd.
It was an interesting talk; however, some of the facts, numbers and dates mentioned in the talk can be heavily debated.
there seems to be something wrong with your map- what you indicated as taipei is actually the philippines which china is now trying to sly destabilize.
elizabeth coopersoutham ! He has tilted the maps with the north direction askew, at times 45 degrees away to the left. In such a case Philippines would look in the same place as Taiwan.
this guy's maps were worse than most war crimes
We demand an update! It's 2019 yo
many, eg this ruclips.net/video/pJ-UQEmQU6Y/видео.html
Or this: ruclips.net/video/U7y4GlmwPLQ/видео.html (TED)
You need associaate speakers on Abcazia -South Ousutia &Georgia
very good. let us think.
Why is RUclips recommending this now. They guy is lost.
good lord. so many factual errors. Singapore never banned Chinese language education... etc etc.
was wondering about the same...
MojoRisin
He's Indian
Same here. Growing up in Hong Kong I never heard that Chinese was banned in Singapore. I think what happened was back in the 60's and 70's the leader of Singapore Lee Kuan Yew PROMOTED the use of English over that of Chinese because of the different ethnic groups that live on the island nation.
they only banned the dialect and ask for Mandarin education and use the simplistic script like in mainland china.
He was talking about Chinese language schools. In Malaysia, you still have Chinese language schools. But in Singapore, the language of education is English but you still can learn Chinese as a second language.
Wow I didn't realize that Tasmania the southernmost island state of Australia was a territory fo New Zealand. Great map there.
great........ u were right.
On top of that, in 2013 Russia actually has a higher birth rate than America does.
Could you send me a link for that?
@@jasonmartin4775
2019 numbers:
United States 1.776 children per woman 142
Colombia 1.82 children per woman 141
Russia 1.821 children per woman 140
worldpopulationreview.com/countries/total-fertility-rate/
Predict a Russian collapse always results in error. The best strategist in History, Napoleon, did that mistake. The leader of the strongest army in the XX century did it too. Russia is unbeatable.
No, not unbeatable, but unconquerable. Japan, Germany and Poland defeated Russia a century ago and more, but certainly could not conquer it and did not try. Napoleon and Hitler tried conquest, and destroyed their own empires in the process.
the automatic captions get disturbing at 4:10
nice presentation captain
he didnt map India! Not surprised there
Ajmal Khan
Lol. 😂😂😂😂
Just an Indian trying is futile best to propagate the Indian propaganda but failed miserably.
Go and cry Khanna. 😂😂😂😂
India is breaking into Kashmir, nagaland, tamil nadu, etc.
@@user-pr9pq8en2d inko imf bheekh bhi nahin we rahi bechare ....sathiya Gaye hai el roti kha kha kar
@@dishha4272 wow... with India's debt of 52 Billion plus this Indian thinks he is telling us facts about taking loans...🤔... what a joker🤣
@Nope Yup Haha... yeah, do you?
@Nope Yup or are your facts like Modi jee... he was using boxes for digital camera and then sending the pics of Advani jee via e mail...🤣
Isn’t EU a disaster. I mean when you impose severe austerity to save the banks ie Germany. Euro works for Germany but not for Southern Europe.
That is rubbish Southern Europe has a warmer climate work patterns are different than the Northen Countries.Don't blame it all on Germany a simplistic opinion.
Interestingly, Mr. Khanna talked about Pashtoons and Balochistan but did not even mentioned the possible new countries emerging from India i.e. Kashmir, Khalistan, Assam, Manipur, Tripura, Nagaland and many others. :-)
Yes and you see he is correct .China , you see how they are buying Pakistan and other countries. Chinese men are buying Pakistani girls, and the pashtun movement.sorry , but true.
@Tanmoy Debnath , sorry for my poor education system...you are correct, Indian kashmir is a peaceful region and there are no independence movements in eastern India. ...darn brain washing
@@52074sam Yes keep dreaming, this what keeping Pakistani's alive a belief that India will break one day. You have been dreaming this from the last 70 years and keep dreaming for the rest of your lives. Yes, Indian Kashmir is not peaceful but who is supporting militancy there. Kalisthan memory lives only in Canada. The revolutions in the eastern part are between tribes for supremacy some of them wish a statehood for its own tribe, not a separate country. If it has paid attention to its own development Pakistan had great resources, a huge talent pool and has everything to become a better country but rather it decided to remain dreaming for someone else collapse and in the name of morality and religion kept interfere in others internal affairs.
Find his other talks on youtube and/or read his articles and book.
What he said about 'change' being the only constant feature is true. After (almost) a decade after he delivered this speech of his, the world is significantly different, though not with any more new borders, but that as a potential factor. He hasn't covered much on trade, but now 'trade' has become a new force & an alternate to war - its war by other means. Gone are the days when people used to think 'Trade' as all peaceful or a vehicle for peace. Trade can trigger wars.
I love sovereign independent nations... That is true diversity.....
A German saying goes like that: "Der Mensch denkt, und Gott lenkt." Which means in English: Man thinks, and God directs. Which is mostly interpreted like this: Things develop differently from what man expects in his imagination.
This is what Evgeny Morozov had to say about Parag Khanna in one of his book reviews published by The New Republic:
All of these insights are expressed in linguistic constructions of such absurdity and superficiality (“a world of ever-shifting (d)alliances,” “peer-to-peer micromanufacturing marketplace”) that Niall Ferguson’s “Chimerica” looks elegant and illuminating by comparison. Khanna must be a gifted schmoozer, too: the acknowledgments sections of his books are primary documents of contemporary name-dropping.
Khanna’s contempt for democracy and human rights aside, he is simply an intellectual impostor, emitting such lethal doses of banalities, inanities, and generalizations that his books ought to carry advisory notices.
Khanna does not really care about the details of policy. He is a manufacturer of abstract, meaningless slogans. He is, indeed, the most talented bullshit artist of his generation.
newrepublic.com/article/105703/the-naked-and-the-ted-khanna
10 years later his predictions on Asia are accurate. but the ones on Europe are bleh, he didn't account for western arrogance.
Lol.
Anyone in 2019?
Unfortunately, 🙋🏻♂️ LOL
Personally, I'm still waiting for ARC reactors for my car.
Lets all unite. Whites, Blacks,Browns,Yellow erc..all of us.. stay happy and dont fight each other plz!
But one thing he forgot to mention... #Kashmir
Nhi mile ga
Abdul rahMAN yes he didn't mention the nation where Kashmir is the state . India will always be the nation and Kashmir is an integral part of India . So is entire nation of pakistan ,which is an integral part of India
@@AbdulRahman-zc7zh yeah you pig..he is an Indian and will never mess with integrity of India...
BEFORE WATCHING:
Önce kendi geleceğini çizsin.
Ülkelerin geleceğini saptamak, planlamak [Mapping the future of countries]
Mr. Khanna, Map your own future first.
AFTER WATCHING:
Great mixture of fact and fiction. Persuasive mash-up.
RESULT: (THE OLD STORY) DIVIDE AND RULE
Ibrahim E. Bilici
Lol. 😂😂😂😂
Just an Indian trying is futile best to propagate the Indian propaganda but failed miserably.
Go and cry Khanna. 😂😂😂😂
India is breaking into Kashmir, nagaland, tamil nadu, etc.
update needed please
good talk.
The time has come for the powers that be to honour their promises to the brave Kurds.
After all, it was the Kurds who put the dead in great measure to defeat the diabolical Daesh.
The road to Kurdistan is to hold steadfast onto the pipelines under their control.
who told him that we want a border less map? maybe him want, I don't.
Great Speaker.
说的很有道理。