Same. I think it's the first time that I have Serbia as one of my potential winners. The song is so particular and it can be a good winner at my point of view, I think it can bring good attention back to Eurovision (lately Eurovision was having a bad reputation).
Thank you! I am a Serb, but even if I weren't, this would be my favourite song. I actually love Konstrakta and all of her work. Deep thinking, refreshing, extremely smart.
@@lenibenenosh2805 we officially condemned the war and voted in the UN for aggression to stop. And even if we actually did, Eurovision isn't about politics.
Voting for Ukraine by all means and all the way !!! And true, being one of the 3 best songs is super legit reason as well 🇺🇦💙💛. The rest is our basic humanity, support and hope for a better world 🌍❤️. They need our support and unity to beat this evil !
@@mesperanzavegamartin3864 hija mia déjalo ya! Tu Chanel no va a ganar y no tiene nada que ver con la guerra en Ucrania. Es que lo que presenta está ya más que visto!
Thanks for your considered thoughts on Ukraine. I'm so angry with people's comments. thanks for use of phrase 'solidarity' vote. When I first heard the song I thought wow this could win and the comments under the semi-vid are very much from people unfamiliar with the song / eurovision and there is a lot of support for THE SONG. I'll be happy if they win. I'll be happy if Spain win. I'll be stoked if UK win. I've grown to love Lithuania too hahahah she won't win but it's the classiest in the show! Enjoy the show!!!!....oh and yessssss Konstrakta!!!!! I'll take a win on that!
I know a lot of people would be so angry and furious if Ukraine wins. They would fully support Russia and Belarus to come back to Eurovision. This is because Ukraine is taking over European politics already, it will be so repulsive to people if they take over art and entertainment.
Ukraine are always great. This year they have sent a good song. If there was no war, this would not be at the top of the polls. I feel that they will win because of politics and not on its own merit. This is not the right way to win this contest. So if Ukraine win, I will be unhappy as its not in my Top 10. I dint expect them to win though. I do believe they had a potential winner with Alina Pash and I would have been fine with that winning as its a very good song. Just my thoughts
Rap part is straightforward tragic and ruins the whole song for me. I can't lie to myself I like it because I don't. And Eurovision shouldn't be a solidrity virtue signaling but music contest (but i know it is inevitable sadly)
As an Irish-British lad, I’m pissed that Brooke didn’t qualify but I’ve never been more excited for one of my countries in the final (UK) since Jedward and I was about 6 back then 🤣
I think Poland and Serbia can be in the top 10 with Ucranian, Italy, Greece , United Kingdom, Spain, Sweden, Norway, Finland. One of this countries will be the winner .
i have the Netherlands as my dark horse. The running order is a bit first half: 'warm up - all favs' second half: 'cool down - all favs'. I hope that a great entry like Portugal won't be forgotten...
Tom you're saying everything I would want to say about Ukraine but just a lot better than I could ever say it 👏. I just want to add: purely based on the entry, if they didn't win with Shum, they shouldn't win with this song because it's not as good. But I totally agree with you. I will be absolutely delighted if Spain wins! Of course I'm rooting for the Netherlands too, I'd love us to win but I'm mostly confident we'll be top 10, and pretty good top 10 too
Nothing bad you could ever possibly say about the Netherlands could keep me from following your channel, you're way too funny... and having watched this video just minutes before the start of the final has got me all pumped 👌🏽😄 Let's go!
By far the best and most insightful Eurovision fan channel on RUclips right now! As always, excellent analysis Tom! I'm especially impressed that you're covering the event with such high quality despite not being in Turin! I used to get my Eurovision week fix from Wiwiblogs for their on-ground insights and analysis. Unfortunately the quality of their reviews has gone down. It's just William who's saving it for me since Deban and Padraig are missing in action. Imagine if William and Tom joined forces! That would be a dream come true for me! Keep up the great work! 👍💯
Great analysis! Insightful and thoughtful! I am so excited that there are so many amazing entries this year and the final show should be epic. My two cents, Spain is one of the best performances ever! Congrats to the UK, finally! And whoever wins, it’s been a great year!
yea if she get from 10th in final it could be easy now to win,also think..she started in beginning in semi,and now its better to start in end,when its most rating,people,voting...
Thank you for speaking so openly about Ukraines chances and the reasons behind it. Eventhough I do feel a bit less excited (maybe because I personally am not so fond of Ukraines song) about the potential result, it is a good point to not get bitter and try to have appreciate the competition. I think there are so many good participants this year and Im sure the final show will be incredible. Good luck to everyone!
Bookies' odds are irrelevant. They're out to make money, not provide a reliable insight. They're ridiculously over hyping the UK entry just as they do with England football.
From my prediction spreadsheet, I've got Spain - Ukraine - Sweden - UK - Italy as the 1-5. You'll be pleased to hear Netherlands sneak into 10th haha. I just want to mention here that France seem to be the forgotten entry. With3 of the Big 5 in consideration for winning, and Germany being talked about as a potential last place (at least it's being talked about), France have disappeared from all the conversations entirely. So, in a way, they're the ultimate wildcard (not for winning, but no idea where they'll end up). I've got them in 20th, but I'm expecting them to be the biggest discrepancy in my prediction.
Oh, look a new video... lets "Kiki...." 😂😉. My top 3: 1 Greece 2. Poland 3. Italy .... But if Spain, Sweden, Ukraine, Uk or Serbia will win. Fine. I am looking forward to tonight.
Thank you for your comments. I also think Chanel is the best this year - so professional, so technically demanding, so well done! Amazing. Hope they win.
I hope the Netherlands can still get a good result after being squished in between two giants…. Ukraine and Spain. Definitely going to cost a lot of televoting points…… I just hope it can still end up in top 10, but I am afraid being squished there people will forget about it. Such a shame man the song is awesome and I think it deserves too 10. The running order literally killled it.
you're putting way too much thought into the running order, especially the song that come before or after barely has any inpact on the score (if any with the juries) a good song will rank high regardless i really do believe that after following the song contest for 20+ years.
I agree with a lot of what you said, but I think the winner will either be Sweden or Poland. People are still underestimating Poland and I don’t understand why, it might even win the televote. Sweden will get a better jury score, both countries I think will be top 3 in both jury and televote so it’s a matter of maths really.
When the song first came out, Poland was my absolute favorite to win. But Ochman is very shy/reserved which is why I don't think the televote will go crazy for him. Cornelia on the other hand is a bit of a mess but has a lot of personality. I do love his voice, and you can really hear his classical training, so its a pleasure to hear him either way.
Sweden is nothing special... they always take a popular song and turn it inside out, mold it a bit and tadah... another 'safe' song. I really don't like them for doing that over and over.
Music First! Winner The Netherlands 🇳🇱 No dancers, Fireworks or other not important things, just only the Song. S10 : best Song, best Artist Going back to Rotterdam in 2023 🇳🇱
I think Serbia has good chances to win, it could be a good winner. 🇷🇸🇷🇸🇷🇸 Hope Ukraine don't get in the top 10, besides the song has weird lyrics, that country was being supported with a lot of propaganda for many years. Armenia and Azerbaijan were in war also and I didn't see the huge propaganda that I saw with Ukraine (I'm tired also to hear "Ukraine").
Someone posted a side by side video comparison of her Benidormfest performance vs her Eurovision Finale performance on RUclips (it's still up) and honestly, aside from the staging changes with the lighting and camera angles, and her outfit, there's not much else that massively different in all honesty. I noticed that they broke up the repetitive nature of the latter quarter of the song by adding a slight change in the choreo which was much needed. It really does elevate the whole thing, and i noticed the subtle whip crack noises added to that section to add more drama to that final part. I do personally really love that song, more so because of Chanel who really does work her arse off to sell the whole package, and it's definitely up there looking for the win, but I just have a really strange feeling that she'll be beaten to the punch by someone else. I'm absolutely loving the Big 5 this year (well, four of the Big 5). So excited to watch the show now! Ps: don't worry about offending people with what you say. I find that the fandom expect to throw their opinions out there but they can't accept other peoples opinions! People don't think twice about offending each other, so don't worry if you lose a few subscribers. You'll gain the right ones that love and appreciate you for all your hard work and content
Tom you are so thoughtful, kind and truly love the competition. Thank you so much for all your work. So fact-based! As one can be... I love it. Let's all have fun tonight.
I disagree with the bookies favouring the UK and over hyping them because they haven't been favoured really for the last few years. The reason why is because it generally is a really good package of an entry and is winning potential
omg I didn´t know you had a website, otherwise i would´ve voted, in any case love your synthesis of potential winners, great job., Cheers from Barcelona
I know of a UK local who believes Serbia wouldn't win because it wouldn't be getting a lot of points form thier neighbours because of Serbia's support for Russia. I was a bit dumbfounded by what they said because I seriously don't think televoters would not vote for Serbia just because they are supporting Russia. The televoters are going to vote because they like the song and its message. The UK local even referred to the song as the 'clapping song'. I was speechless, I didn't know what to say to that.
yea that logic makes no sense as you cant vote songs down. they can snub serbia, but if 10% of the pop doesnt care and votes heavy, she will still win there. the song has gona super viral in that part of europe so she deserves those televotes
Well Russia supported Serbia im the Yugoslav wars, Serbia pays back with the Ukrainian war. Also not to mention both nations are Orthodox and Slavs with Serbia also baving a big connection to socialism
Serbia do not support Russia, Serbia is having part of it territory annexed, same what is going on in Ukraine. Region will vote for Serbia this time because this song is amazing specially when people speak language and many countries in the region understand it perfectly. I wouldnt be shocked if Serbia get at least 8 points from Albania this year let alone ex YU
@@johnxina5126 and what are Ukrainians? Most are orthodox as Serbs. They are Slavs as Serbs. Ukrainian and Serbian langages are much closer that Serbian to Russian. Serbia has Ukrainian minority living here and Ukrainian language is co official in Serbia too. Russia didnt supported us while Serbia was destroyed by NATO bombs. it was neutral. I cant wait to see how many televote points will Serbia get from Albania because people love it there. Peace to all
Even Ukrainians will vote for Serbia and a lot of Ukrainians honestly support our song and give back our Serbian support, egually ! Because we are both Slavic and we have veryyy similar language, understand each other and they excellent understand strong message of our amazing song and artist Konstrakta . She is Strongly against War in Ukraune and wordwide too, as MOST OF SERBS and our fellow Balkan Slavic people :)
the whole big 5 performances are uploaded after the semis, I posted Chanel's on my facebook and got a reply of a friend who is a galician Tanxugueiras fan already diminishing the entry, get over it, 5 months have passed, my god! Marvin, SJB and Fokas have a big competitor in Kyle Hanagami as art director and coreographer. Next year he's going to be very busy. His work with the spanish delegation has been flawless and never we had a so professional and rounded entry in the last 20 years or more.
I've seen Sweden's performance for the first time in semifinal and it gave me winner vibes. Spain I think has some shaky vocals here and there because of all that stretching she does :-)
i really dont think the juries will punish spain like many people think they will. there have been plenty of times when upbeat and especially radio friendly songs have been rewarded by the juries (eg: heroes, je me casse), and we know slomo can win jury points because thats how it won benidorm fest. i actually wouldnt be shocked if spain does better with the jury tbh
I hope you enjoy the Grand Final, Tom, and thank you for your content. I’m having a Euro house party in Guadalajara 🇲🇽 this afternoon. We’re seven hours behind Turin. Christ knows how many behind Shanghai 🇨🇳. For what it’s worth, my #ESC2022 predictions are as follows: 🥇 UK 🇬🇧 🥈 Ukraine 🇺🇦 🥉 Sweden 🇸🇪 4. Italy 🇮🇹 5. Greece 🇬🇷 6. Spain 🇪🇸 7. Norway 🇳🇴 8. Serbia 🇷🇸 9. France 🇫🇷 10. Estonia 🇪🇪
As much as I love Serbia, and as much as this will score very highly with The Balkans, I don't see it as a potential winner. Within the fandom there is a real hype because we also understand the context of the song. The casual ESC viewers (like 90+%) will watch this and probably think WTF is this? They will certainly get votes for the quirkiness, but I think they will rely too heavily on The Balkans and the fandom to achieve a really good result. For me, the dark horse outside those Top 5 is Poland. I'm surprised you are sleeping on this, I think the song and performance cross boundaries from East to West and from all demographics. This could be the neutral winner in much the same way as Arcade
Love your charts. You are the statistics professor I wish I'd had in college. Italy: I get it. The music video didn't grab me. The song doesn't grab me. BUT, their performance in San Remo was electric. Recreating that could push them to the top. Sweden & Ukraine: I like both songs. The narrative among the fandom I've seen is these are the ONLY two vying for the win. I might have bought into that but I hate the notion that there are only two songs worthy of a win this year. Serbia: This is a fan (and personal) favorite. I would love it if she could pull off an upset, but def a dark horse. UK: I love (4 of) the Big 5 getting off their duffs and investing in Eurovision again. Great song. Great personality in Sam Ryder. Keep it up, UK. Spain: From Benidorm Fest, I thought Chanel was already giving a winning Eurovision performance. Chanel is whom I'm most excited to see this evening because I know she will deliver. I feel like my favorites this year have already achieved what they came to do. Netherlands: This is a brilliant song. The composition is dark and edgy and S10 adds a coolness to the whole package. Iceland: Boring? No. Restful and calming and the sisters add their special brand of magic and mysticism. My favorite song this year is Portugal. Saudade is now among my Top 5 songs in all Eurovision. MARO's sultry voice reminds me of Sade in the best possible ways. The song itself is emotional and moves me on a deep level. While everyone argues their justification for who they want to win, all I want is for Netherlands, Iceland and especially Portugal to be recognized with high placements. Best of luck to everyone tonight!
Agree about the UK. I think the juries will show some love to Sam but my fear is when it comes to the public we will be the 'Malta 2021' moment (i.e. high up the jury ranking but largely overlooked by the public).
Spain always not in top 20 while eurofans loving their entries, this year is no different, it is just generic and bland song and nobody cared about it, it only got 3 percent in her own selection
Am I going to watch for 19 minutes to hear you say Spain is going to win when I can't stand the song lol. Only kidding Tom, great work this season, thanks for all you analysis ... and yes I am going to watch
I love your comments. Detailed and relevant explanations. It is evident that you know the topic well. I like Ukraine but i also doubt it will win. Its part of the betting game. Love from Cyprus
Honestly, all six of these entries would deserve to win and have put a lot of effort into making their entries look as good as they possibly can. I'm not overly invested in any of them winning over the others and would be happy with any of them taking it. Except maybe Italy. Just because the double win would be So boring. lol. I really want Greece to place well, I think her song and performance is just stunning, really up there in my favourites. And I'll probably vote for Estonia again. haha. I tend to vote for underdogs over the frontrunners.
My feeling is that UK (jury) and Ukraine (televote) will be such big winners that it will be impossible for anyone else to win like Jamala or Duncan. I keep changing my mind about which one of the two will get the highest combined score though, because I think a lot of the juries will also give sympathy votes to Ukraine, and I don't see the UK flopping in the televote in any way, with Sam's following and the familiarity of Space Man. I would love my country, Spain, to do really well, but sometimes I fear the juries will mark it down, sometimes I fear the televoting audience has moved on from this kind of diva numbers... Anyways, as usual I reach Grand Final day rather tired mentally because of all the speculation and just wanting the whole thing to be over 😂😂
Thank you Tom for all your videos love watching them. My favorites this year is Ukraine, Serbia and Australia, my mom who is 83 years old will be voting for Ukraine. My best wishes to you from Iceland 🇮🇸
if ukraine wins then its mostly because of politics and thats the end of eurovision for me i dont support politics in a song contest at all everything gets politicized nowadays
Honestly I’m still pulling for my faves Norway and Moldova. I have been vibing to their entries the Most and I just want both of these countries to do well
your content is a big w for annoying people, i dont feel so alone with my eurovision stats obsession anymore 😌 Also thanks for the lovely comments from serbia 💕💕
Tom, your chart is perfect, one of the easiest ways to explain the voting, provided people understand basic maths. Are you serious about people unsubscribing because you've said something against their entry one year? lol How childish they are! I don't want to watch commentators who are an echo-chamber of my opinions. I want to hear interesting, intelligent comments regardless of if I support them I not. I like debating you in my head. I understand everybody has different tastes & it's ok for us to disagree. Personally I've enjoyed this Eurovision season more than usual. Not because of the songs because they're not as good as last year's, but because I've taken a more active role in it, joining in several live videos. I'm lonely, I've been bed-bound since 2008 & I only see my wife & the odd nurse or doctor who visits. Unfortunately my wife hates Eurovision. She watches the final to keep me company but it's too much for her to watch the semis, & her eyes glaze over when I try to talk about any of the songs. I won't hold it against her because she's fantastic in every other way. lol It's just been wonderful talking to others about something that interests me so much.
Evrovizija pre svega treba da bude muzicko takmicenje a ne politicko,sto se tice pesama i izvodjaca, 80% pesama je vec vidjeno i dosta toga je slicno i ponavlja se iz godine u godinu. Kada se sve uzme u obzir,mislim da Srbija definitivno ima najbolji nastup i najkvalitetniju pesmu,tekst,scenski nastup,originalnost,veoma jaku i duboku poruku celom svetu. Nadam se da ce to glasaci prepoznati. Puno srece svim ucesnicima a moje srce kuca za neponovljivu,originalnu i predivnu KONSTRAKTU💓💓💓💓💓💓💓💓💓💓💓💓SRECNO SRBIJAAAA !!!
@@palatasikuntheyoutubecomme2046 when they didn’t win Vidbir, the group were not happy. They harassed members of the crew convinced they actually won but yet also believed it was always rigged for Alina Pash who did win . Never had they apologised when they finally got approached to come to Eurovision And for that I don’t like that. They’re arrogant sore losers end of story
I have a feeling that Chanel will be another Destiny from last year. Very hype within the community, high in the odds, liked by the jury, but flopping with the general public for being too dance/pop-ey. The entry is relying a lot on the staging and there is some people who dislikes songs that focus too much on dancing instead of the singing (thursday evening I saw someone tweeting about a song that had too much dancing for their likening). UK on the other hand have a big focus on the song and his voice. There isn't a lot of moving around, and the staging, while being a big prop, do fit the space theme of the song. The way it opens later on also parallels the song evolving~ Also, unlike Chanel's song, I feel Space Man is a song targeted towards everyone, while I have noticed a large male bias towards SloMo, especially a lot of gays seems to support it a lot, not as many women. At least not everyone has been as vocal. Sam also have a massive fanbase on TikTok that could help support him. I wouldn't mind if either songs win. They both deserve it!
I promise you this won’t be another destiny. Destiny is a star but her staging was bad. This is some of the best staging I’ve ever seen. Wait til you see it
@@ESCTom destiny did win her semi with « bad staging » though and did very well with the jury in final. The reasons it lost points with the televote are other. Definitely not bad staging.
She is just a bad Foureira clone.. most people are laughing. VERY overrated, prepare for disappointment but to be honest she deserves to flop cause she added nothing to the competition..
@@ESCTom they already uploaded their performances on the RUclips channel, so we already know 😆 I personally don't find it any more interesting than a lot of other entries
I agree with most of your points. I might be biased because I dislike pretty much everything about their entry, but I think Spain is too overhyped within the "bubble". I don't even see them in the top 5. Speaking of the top 5, out of the bookies' top 5 Ukraine stands out as the most interesting, unique, and lyrically strongest entry with a striking, albeit sun-blighted, staging, and I believe they will (deservedly) win. I'm not looking forward to the toxic, salt-filled fallout from the "solidarity vote" accusations. As always, I will be absolutely ecstatic if there's a shock winner, especially if it's one of the more unusual entries from the Moldova-Norway-Serbia combo.
Very good points! I was aware of most of the points but one chimed in me quite a lot. I didn't really like the first semi at all, but my favourite was Albania. And I can for sure admit it wasn't because of the music. :D But overall I feel like this year's catering is very very poor. Seems like there's a lot of humorous acts which for me is often a big turn-off. There's been some good ones but that's quite rare. Being from Finland myself I don't really like our contender even though their genre is totally my taste, but compared to other competitors I'm hoping extra much that we will be doing well. To be brutally honest, compared to last year's contenders I'd put half of the last year's contenders above any of this year's ones.
It's not.. just a lesser version of Foureira. She really TRIES to perform while for Foureira was natural. Open your eyes please.. the song is awful btw.
I hear that Sam Ryder did tops with jury vote yesterday. That’s why we had a jury vote come in for half the votes because people voting for their neighbours or political.
I, after seeing the big 5, have been saying for days that the winner is between the UK and Spain, and they both deserve it, Sam has an incredible voice and a good staging, Chanel, does the most difficult, sings and dances and takes the Eurovision show to another level, which has never been simply wonderful! I agree with you that Swden, although he has many followers, should not win, neither in jury, nor in televoting, for me, a disappointment, same lights, same clothes... law of minimum effort. Greetings from the Principality of Andorra and good luck tonight
I'm sorry, but not once in your tribute to Spain's "SloMo" do you mention Chanel's vocals or the melody, probably because there is not much substance there, nor in the lyrics. Advocating a contribution based only on the show, beat and bare buttocks is quite a deviation from what I see in a winner in Eurovision SONG Contest, even if it happened previous years.
The way i see it Spain's vocals aren't bad and she definitely represents the country, i don't think i've ever seen a more "spanish" entry. The only problem i see is the song feeling "choppy" at times cause of the intensive choreo, but the vocals aren't bad, i do see the entry as the full package. I find it unnecessary to discuss lyrics, first cause of the many language barriers in the contest and second cause if we bring lyrics into this we have to scrutinize the massive heap of gibberish, "funny" or commercial mainstream lyrics a lot of entries present each year, it's not the point.
Good balanced analysis Tom 😀 On the whole, my decision as to who to vote for still majors on the song itself, although many factors effect the overall outcome. In regards to Ukraine I think there should be jury points as, unless they measure vocals on an operatic scale, the lead singer has a strong honest vocal and he has a great connection with the camera, also, although I dont really enjoy rap the rap is delivered in a really sharp manner 😉 The attention on Spain, for me, seems really focussed on presentation with not a lot of high praise for the song itself - however I am standing by to be blown away 😉 Sweden, for me, is just average on each of the components, its not a stand out for me as a potential winner. As a Brit, I wish maybe we had been say 10th in the odds and then be happy if we did better than that. However I still cant shake off that I think Sam has the best level amongst all the factors that determine a winner 😉 If our televote bombs Im going to go into a mad huffy fit! 😂 BTW im still sad that Brooke didnt make into the final 😔
Ukraine will win for political reasons. This show is a weapon. Why else would Israel be in the competition while Russia is out. Or Franco's Spanish dictatorship (despite being Adolf's ally) could participate and win yet Belarus not allowed to participate.
The ones l like....not the ones that will win....1 Netherlands..2 Czech...3 Australia ..4 Estonia 5..Azerbijian 6 Greece 7.Espana 8 .Iceland 9..Portugal..10.France......Well thx Tom for your massively big efforts to bring such crafted...inciteful...observations to our screens....onwards & upwards!!!...check you at 5am!!...
Thank you for your comment about Ukraine! I see a lot of hate about our song and possible win and this fact break my heart. I saw an amount of reactions on Kalush BEFORE the war, and European people loved it! So I dont understand why people think it would be not deserved winning. This year Eurovision doesnt have one particular leader so the winner is not that obvious. It could be Moldova or Spain, it could be The Netherlands (which is in my personal top 3) or Serbia (audience went WILD during their performance). So why everybody is so angry at us right now??? 100% we will not win in jury voting, so why everybody think that our winning is already a fact?
Because bets is agregating unbelievable ! To even 60 % ! OMG ! It mad people because evryone came to fair compete . That 60 % is biggest nonsense ever in Eurovision .
@@asyabovt4241 no i'm sorry for that . As a Serb i like your song a lot and she deserve to be high positioned on the final as will be anyway, without any Bets extra agreggating, and veryy sorry for War between Slavic brothers :'( (((((((( You have my all human's support that War will be STOPPED as fast as possibile !
@@goranjovic3174 This is not the war between two Slavic brothers... Anyway, we REALLY grateful for all the countries and people who support us and we dont want people to hate us((( We will win our main battle. And Eurovision should stay an event of life, love amd music. Lets just have some fun in this tough times.
The only thing I am worried about if Ukraine wins is hosting. Will they just give the honors to the runner up? Will they choose a neutral location away from battle but the broadcaster host it? That’s only reason why I haven’t completely warm up to them winning. And to be honest, I never listen to the bookies. While I agree with the six countries having a good chance of winning, I would add Greece to the list. Seems like a lot of people like it and could see it pulling an “upset”.
Personally, I would love for Serbia to win. It's just so captivating!
Same. I think it's the first time that I have Serbia as one of my potential winners. The song is so particular and it can be a good winner at my point of view, I think it can bring good attention back to Eurovision (lately Eurovision was having a bad reputation).
Thank you! I am a Serb, but even if I weren't, this would be my favourite song. I actually love Konstrakta and all of her work. Deep thinking, refreshing, extremely smart.
Serbia the only country that supported Russia????
@@lenibenenosh2805 we officially condemned the war and voted in the UN for aggression to stop. And even if we actually did, Eurovision isn't about politics.
The Spanish song is so awful I hope they would wait 54years more..Channel is Eleni version for working girls 🤦♂️
Serbia will be shock tonight 💋🥰🇷🇸
omg i would love that. it would be very funny 😂
@@ESCTom yeah 😁😁😁
I wish Konstrakta wins. She is really art. I'm voting for her. She must win.
Regards from Slovenia.
I want Greece and the Netherlands so badly to be in that top 5 💙Also: I feel that probably Konstrakta will win.
Biti zdravaaa moze moze 😍😍😍😍
I want the UK so extra badly to be in the top 1 🤣
I think poland, norway, estonia or sweden win
as a Russian, if I had the opportunity to vote, I would vote for Ukraine for A LOT OF REASONS, and great song is definitely one of them!💙💛
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What you have to do is voting against Putin and let win the Eurovision contest the better performance.
Voting for Ukraine by all means and all the way !!! And true, being one of the 3 best songs is super legit reason as well 🇺🇦💙💛. The rest is our basic humanity, support and hope for a better world 🌍❤️. They need our support and unity to beat this evil !
@@mesperanzavegamartin3864 hija mia déjalo ya! Tu Chanel no va a ganar y no tiene nada que ver con la guerra en Ucrania. Es que lo que presenta está ya más que visto!
Absolutely WiNNER SERBIA 🇷🇸🇷🇸🇷🇸🇷🇸
Thanks for your considered thoughts on Ukraine. I'm so angry with people's comments. thanks for use of phrase 'solidarity' vote. When I first heard the song I thought wow this could win and the comments under the semi-vid are very much from people unfamiliar with the song / eurovision and there is a lot of support for THE SONG. I'll be happy if they win. I'll be happy if Spain win. I'll be stoked if UK win. I've grown to love Lithuania too hahahah she won't win but it's the classiest in the show! Enjoy the show!!!!....oh and yessssss Konstrakta!!!!! I'll take a win on that!
I know a lot of people would be so angry and furious if Ukraine wins. They would fully support Russia and Belarus to come back to Eurovision. This is because Ukraine is taking over European politics already, it will be so repulsive to people if they take over art and entertainment.
Ukraine are always great. This year they have sent a good song. If there was no war, this would not be at the top of the polls. I feel that they will win because of politics and not on its own merit. This is not the right way to win this contest. So if Ukraine win, I will be unhappy as its not in my Top 10. I dint expect them to win though. I do believe they had a potential winner with Alina Pash and I would have been fine with that winning as its a very good song. Just my thoughts
Rap part is straightforward tragic and ruins the whole song for me. I can't lie to myself I like it because I don't. And Eurovision shouldn't be a solidrity virtue signaling but music contest (but i know it is inevitable sadly)
You won on solidarity...
As an Irish-British lad, I’m pissed that Brooke didn’t qualify but I’ve never been more excited for one of my countries in the final (UK) since Jedward and I was about 6 back then 🤣
I think Poland and Serbia can be in the top 10 with Ucranian, Italy, Greece , United Kingdom, Spain, Sweden, Norway, Finland. One of this countries will be the winner .
Seeing this after the actual show it is impressive how accurate you are! Congrats!
Konstrakta, of course ❤️
i have the Netherlands as my dark horse. The running order is a bit first half: 'warm up - all favs' second half: 'cool down - all favs'. I hope that a great entry like Portugal won't be forgotten...
Poland deserves a win this year because Ochman has an amazing voice.🇵🇱🇵🇱❤️❤️
Serbia is my favorite!!!
Tom you're saying everything I would want to say about Ukraine but just a lot better than I could ever say it 👏.
I just want to add: purely based on the entry, if they didn't win with Shum, they shouldn't win with this song because it's not as good. But I totally agree with you.
I will be absolutely delighted if Spain wins! Of course I'm rooting for the Netherlands too, I'd love us to win but I'm mostly confident we'll be top 10, and pretty good top 10 too
Stefania wasnt even good enough to win national selection! they are only here because the real winner was banned later (due to politics of course)
Verka Serduchka anyone ?
I’d also add Greece to having a shot at winning honestly
This chart is sublime.
I'm addicted to the refrigerator magnet content.
I think Poland has good chances to win.
Nothing bad you could ever possibly say about the Netherlands could keep me from following your channel, you're way too funny... and having watched this video just minutes before the start of the final has got me all pumped 👌🏽😄 Let's go!
By far the best and most insightful Eurovision fan channel on RUclips right now! As always, excellent analysis Tom! I'm especially impressed that you're covering the event with such high quality despite not being in Turin! I used to get my Eurovision week fix from Wiwiblogs for their on-ground insights and analysis. Unfortunately the quality of their reviews has gone down. It's just William who's saving it for me since Deban and Padraig are missing in action. Imagine if William and Tom joined forces! That would be a dream come true for me! Keep up the great work! 👍💯
Great analysis! Insightful and thoughtful! I am so excited that there are so many amazing entries this year and the final show should be epic. My two cents, Spain is one of the best performances ever! Congrats to the UK, finally! And whoever wins, it’s been a great year!
I’m hoping Konstrakta and S10 get Top 10 finishes at least.
yea if she get from 10th in final it could be easy now to win,also think..she started in beginning in semi,and now its better to start in end,when its most rating,people,voting...
Serbia of course!!!
Thank you for speaking so openly about Ukraines chances and the reasons behind it. Eventhough I do feel a bit less excited (maybe because I personally am not so fond of Ukraines song) about the potential result, it is a good point to not get bitter and try to have appreciate the competition. I think there are so many good participants this year and Im sure the final show will be incredible. Good luck to everyone!
Bookies' odds are irrelevant. They're out to make money, not
provide a reliable insight. They're ridiculously over hyping the UK entry just as they do with England football.
From my prediction spreadsheet, I've got Spain - Ukraine - Sweden - UK - Italy as the 1-5. You'll be pleased to hear Netherlands sneak into 10th haha. I just want to mention here that France seem to be the forgotten entry. With3 of the Big 5 in consideration for winning, and Germany being talked about as a potential last place (at least it's being talked about), France have disappeared from all the conversations entirely. So, in a way, they're the ultimate wildcard (not for winning, but no idea where they'll end up). I've got them in 20th, but I'm expecting them to be the biggest discrepancy in my prediction.
Oh, look a new video... lets "Kiki...." 😂😉. My top 3: 1 Greece 2. Poland 3. Italy .... But if Spain, Sweden, Ukraine, Uk or Serbia will win. Fine. I am looking forward to tonight.
or any other country for that matter.
Thank you for your comments. I also think Chanel is the best this year - so professional, so technically demanding, so well done! Amazing. Hope they win.
Chanelazo! It wasn't my number one but the more I see it the more I fall in love with it. I even have a Spanish flag for the viewing today :)
I hope the Netherlands can still get a good result after being squished in between two giants…. Ukraine and Spain. Definitely going to cost a lot of televoting points…… I just hope it can still end up in top 10, but I am afraid being squished there people will forget about it. Such a shame man the song is awesome and I think it deserves too 10. The running order literally killled it.
I'm from Ukraine and I LOVE The Netherland's song! I would prefer to see them at the second half, but it is what it is...
Or maybe people will really remember the dutch entry now. :) Beautiful song. :)
you're putting way too much thought into the running order, especially the song that come before or after barely has any inpact on the score (if any with the juries) a good song will rank high regardless i really do believe that after following the song contest for 20+ years.
I agree with a lot of what you said, but I think the winner will either be Sweden or Poland. People are still underestimating Poland and I don’t understand why, it might even win the televote. Sweden will get a better jury score, both countries I think will be top 3 in both jury and televote so it’s a matter of maths really.
When the song first came out, Poland was my absolute favorite to win. But Ochman is very shy/reserved which is why I don't think the televote will go crazy for him. Cornelia on the other hand is a bit of a mess but has a lot of personality. I do love his voice, and you can really hear his classical training, so its a pleasure to hear him either way.
neither will win that is granted and both will not be in top 5, maybe none
Sweden is nothing special... they always take a popular song and turn it inside out, mold it a bit and tadah... another 'safe' song. I really don't like them for doing that over and over.
.... Italy won the lyrics prize...
@@XanArt21 it's the only one I could relate to and had some effect in me. Guess I am manufactured and turned inside out as well.
Estonia 🇪🇪
Portugal 🇵🇹
Greece 🇬🇷
Sweden 🇸🇪
Poland 🇵🇱
Ukraine 🇺🇦
UK 🇬🇧
Music First!
Winner The Netherlands 🇳🇱
No dancers, Fireworks or other not important things, just only the Song.
S10 : best Song, best Artist
Going back to Rotterdam in 2023 🇳🇱
I think Serbia has good chances to win, it could be a good winner.
🇷🇸🇷🇸🇷🇸
Hope Ukraine don't get in the top 10, besides the song has weird lyrics, that country was being supported with a lot of propaganda for many years. Armenia and Azerbaijan were in war also and I didn't see the huge propaganda that I saw with Ukraine (I'm tired also to hear "Ukraine").
I agree!
neither was Bosnia, Croatia, Serbia, Georgia who all has terrible wars. this pumping for Ukraine to win with nothing more than solid song is obnoxious
Someone posted a side by side video comparison of her Benidormfest performance vs her Eurovision Finale performance on RUclips (it's still up) and honestly, aside from the staging changes with the lighting and camera angles, and her outfit, there's not much else that massively different in all honesty. I noticed that they broke up the repetitive nature of the latter quarter of the song by adding a slight change in the choreo which was much needed. It really does elevate the whole thing, and i noticed the subtle whip crack noises added to that section to add more drama to that final part.
I do personally really love that song, more so because of Chanel who really does work her arse off to sell the whole package, and it's definitely up there looking for the win, but I just have a really strange feeling that she'll be beaten to the punch by someone else.
I'm absolutely loving the Big 5 this year (well, four of the Big 5). So excited to watch the show now!
Ps: don't worry about offending people with what you say. I find that the fandom expect to throw their opinions out there but they can't accept other peoples opinions! People don't think twice about offending each other, so don't worry if you lose a few subscribers. You'll gain the right ones that love and appreciate you for all your hard work and content
Thank you for this video Tom . You’re Amazing. Even in USA I’m a big Fan 💜💜
Tom you are so thoughtful, kind and truly love the competition. Thank you so much for all your work. So fact-based! As one can be... I love it. Let's all have fun tonight.
thank you, this was brilliant and needed.
I disagree with the bookies favouring the UK and over hyping them because they haven't been favoured really for the last few years. The reason why is because it generally is a really good package of an entry and is winning potential
I agree 💯 Serbia will be shock tonight..and of course personally I would love for Konstrakta 👑 to winn Eurovision 2022
When you listen "Brividi" the gates of heaven open wide. Good luck guys❤️🇮🇹
Remember guys to vote for the song you like the most and not for political reasons.
omg I didn´t know you had a website, otherwise i would´ve voted, in any case love your synthesis of potential winners, great job., Cheers from Barcelona
All RUclips channels have a community section 😊
Wowwwww you nailed it!
I know of a UK local who believes Serbia wouldn't win because it wouldn't be getting a lot of points form thier neighbours because of Serbia's support for Russia. I was a bit dumbfounded by what they said because I seriously don't think televoters would not vote for Serbia just because they are supporting Russia. The televoters are going to vote because they like the song and its message. The UK local even referred to the song as the 'clapping song'. I was speechless, I didn't know what to say to that.
yea that logic makes no sense as you cant vote songs down. they can snub serbia, but if 10% of the pop doesnt care and votes heavy, she will still win there.
the song has gona super viral in that part of europe so she deserves those televotes
Well Russia supported Serbia im the Yugoslav wars, Serbia pays back with the Ukrainian war. Also not to mention both nations are Orthodox and Slavs with Serbia also baving a big connection to socialism
Serbia do not support Russia, Serbia is having part of it territory annexed, same what is going on in Ukraine. Region will vote for Serbia this time because this song is amazing specially when people speak language and many countries in the region understand it perfectly. I wouldnt be shocked if Serbia get at least 8 points from Albania this year let alone ex YU
@@johnxina5126 and what are Ukrainians? Most are orthodox as Serbs. They are Slavs as Serbs. Ukrainian and Serbian langages are much closer that Serbian to Russian. Serbia has Ukrainian minority living here and Ukrainian language is co official in Serbia too. Russia didnt supported us while Serbia was destroyed by NATO bombs. it was neutral. I cant wait to see how many televote points will Serbia get from Albania because people love it there. Peace to all
Even Ukrainians will vote for Serbia and a lot of Ukrainians honestly support our song and give back our Serbian support, egually ! Because we are both Slavic and we have veryyy similar language, understand each other and they excellent understand strong message of our amazing song and artist Konstrakta . She is Strongly against War in Ukraune and wordwide too, as MOST OF SERBS and our fellow Balkan Slavic people :)
the whole big 5 performances are uploaded after the semis, I posted Chanel's on my facebook and got a reply of a friend who is a galician Tanxugueiras fan already diminishing the entry, get over it, 5 months have passed, my god!
Marvin, SJB and Fokas have a big competitor in Kyle Hanagami as art director and coreographer. Next year he's going to be very busy. His work with the spanish delegation has been flawless and never we had a so professional and rounded entry in the last 20 years or more.
Och, Man!
Thank you so much from Spain
I've seen Sweden's performance for the first time in semifinal and it gave me winner vibes. Spain I think has some shaky vocals here and there because of all that stretching she does :-)
Serbia - Konstrakta - Sanity
1. England 😍🚀
2. Ukraine 🇺🇦 Slava Ukraini ❤️
3. Norway 🍌🐺
4. Serbia👏
5. The Netherlands 🥰
6. Greece 💇🏻♀️
7. Iceland 🎸
8. Italy 🌈
9. Check republic 🎹💫
10. Sweden 🟢
11. Polen 👀🧛♂️
12. Spain 👠🐝
Support for something different original and let's playing good vibes and supoting art❤ Queenstrakta 👑
i really dont think the juries will punish spain like many people think they will. there have been plenty of times when upbeat and especially radio friendly songs have been rewarded by the juries (eg: heroes, je me casse), and we know slomo can win jury points because thats how it won benidorm fest. i actually wouldnt be shocked if spain does better with the jury tbh
yep totally agree. its really impossible to look at this and not see how its very professional
I hope you enjoy the Grand Final, Tom, and thank you for your content.
I’m having a Euro house party in Guadalajara 🇲🇽 this afternoon. We’re seven hours behind Turin. Christ knows how many behind Shanghai 🇨🇳.
For what it’s worth, my #ESC2022 predictions are as follows:
🥇 UK 🇬🇧
🥈 Ukraine 🇺🇦
🥉 Sweden 🇸🇪
4. Italy 🇮🇹
5. Greece 🇬🇷
6. Spain 🇪🇸
7. Norway 🇳🇴
8. Serbia 🇷🇸
9. France 🇫🇷
10. Estonia 🇪🇪
As much as I love Serbia, and as much as this will score very highly with The Balkans, I don't see it as a potential winner. Within the fandom there is a real hype because we also understand the context of the song. The casual ESC viewers (like 90+%) will watch this and probably think WTF is this? They will certainly get votes for the quirkiness, but I think they will rely too heavily on The Balkans and the fandom to achieve a really good result.
For me, the dark horse outside those Top 5 is Poland. I'm surprised you are sleeping on this, I think the song and performance cross boundaries from East to West and from all demographics. This could be the neutral winner in much the same way as Arcade
Love your charts. You are the statistics professor I wish I'd had in college.
Italy: I get it. The music video didn't grab me. The song doesn't grab me. BUT, their performance in San Remo was electric. Recreating that could push them to the top.
Sweden & Ukraine: I like both songs. The narrative among the fandom I've seen is these are the ONLY two vying for the win. I might have bought into that but I hate the notion that there are only two songs worthy of a win this year.
Serbia: This is a fan (and personal) favorite. I would love it if she could pull off an upset, but def a dark horse.
UK: I love (4 of) the Big 5 getting off their duffs and investing in Eurovision again. Great song. Great personality in Sam Ryder. Keep it up, UK.
Spain: From Benidorm Fest, I thought Chanel was already giving a winning Eurovision performance. Chanel is whom I'm most excited to see this evening because I know she will deliver.
I feel like my favorites this year have already achieved what they came to do.
Netherlands: This is a brilliant song. The composition is dark and edgy and S10 adds a coolness to the whole package.
Iceland: Boring? No. Restful and calming and the sisters add their special brand of magic and mysticism.
My favorite song this year is Portugal. Saudade is now among my Top 5 songs in all Eurovision. MARO's sultry voice reminds me of Sade in the best possible ways. The song itself is emotional and moves me on a deep level.
While everyone argues their justification for who they want to win, all I want is for Netherlands, Iceland and especially Portugal to be recognized with high placements.
Best of luck to everyone tonight!
Agree about the UK. I think the juries will show some love to Sam but my fear is when it comes to the public we will be the 'Malta 2021' moment (i.e. high up the jury ranking but largely overlooked by the public).
Na, I think the UK is good. Australia will be the Malta of 2021.
If you vote by political line, then Ukraine wins. If you vote for the best song, then my favorites are the UK and Serbia
Greece main contender
Then Serbia
Then France
Don't see any other option
Spain always not in top 20 while eurofans loving their entries, this year is no different, it is just generic and bland song and nobody cared about it, it only got 3 percent in her own selection
Am I going to watch for 19 minutes to hear you say Spain is going to win when I can't stand the song lol. Only kidding Tom, great work this season, thanks for all you analysis ... and yes I am going to watch
haha its time stamped so you can skip the spain section 😅
My winner is Australia
But i think it will be Ukraine (you know why)
And Serbia cus of PERFECT place 24
The big 5 performences were uploaded after the semis they were ntroduced in , so it's there for every one to see
I love your comments. Detailed and relevant explanations. It is evident that you know the topic well. I like Ukraine but i also doubt it will win. Its part of the betting game. Love from Cyprus
Honestly, all six of these entries would deserve to win and have put a lot of effort into making their entries look as good as they possibly can. I'm not overly invested in any of them winning over the others and would be happy with any of them taking it. Except maybe Italy. Just because the double win would be So boring. lol.
I really want Greece to place well, I think her song and performance is just stunning, really up there in my favourites. And I'll probably vote for Estonia again. haha. I tend to vote for underdogs over the frontrunners.
Lol always in favour of anderdogs
Serbia is definetly dark horse here and i like how she contols the crowd that's what I love to see.
My feeling is that UK (jury) and Ukraine (televote) will be such big winners that it will be impossible for anyone else to win like Jamala or Duncan. I keep changing my mind about which one of the two will get the highest combined score though, because I think a lot of the juries will also give sympathy votes to Ukraine, and I don't see the UK flopping in the televote in any way, with Sam's following and the familiarity of Space Man. I would love my country, Spain, to do really well, but sometimes I fear the juries will mark it down, sometimes I fear the televoting audience has moved on from this kind of diva numbers... Anyways, as usual I reach Grand Final day rather tired mentally because of all the speculation and just wanting the whole thing to be over 😂😂
lol yea im feeling exhausted now as well 😂
Before watching the rest: I am quite sure about the Ukraine, I fear it might be Sweden and I would be more than happy for Spain or the UK. ✨
Thank you Tom for all your videos love watching them. My favorites this year is Ukraine, Serbia and Australia, my mom who is 83 years old will be voting for Ukraine. My best wishes to you from Iceland 🇮🇸
if ukraine wins then its mostly because of politics and thats the end of eurovision for me i dont support politics in a song contest at all everything gets politicized nowadays
Poland, UK, Ukraina, Litwa
Honestly I’m still pulling for my faves Norway and Moldova. I have been vibing to their entries the Most and I just want both of these countries to do well
your content is a big w for annoying people, i dont feel so alone with my eurovision stats obsession anymore 😌
Also thanks for the lovely comments from serbia 💕💕
I liked your analysis!
However I want Romania, Uk to do well
Unfortunely Romania is in death spot, nr 2 :(
1. Serbia
2. Netherlands
3. Sweden
4. France
5. Armenia
Very good analysis!
Tom, your chart is perfect, one of the easiest ways to explain the voting, provided people understand basic maths.
Are you serious about people unsubscribing because you've said something against their entry one year? lol How childish they are! I don't want to watch commentators who are an echo-chamber of my opinions. I want to hear interesting, intelligent comments regardless of if I support them I not. I like debating you in my head. I understand everybody has different tastes & it's ok for us to disagree.
Personally I've enjoyed this Eurovision season more than usual. Not because of the songs because they're not as good as last year's, but because I've taken a more active role in it, joining in several live videos. I'm lonely, I've been bed-bound since 2008 & I only see my wife & the odd nurse or doctor who visits. Unfortunately my wife hates Eurovision. She watches the final to keep me company but it's too much for her to watch the semis, & her eyes glaze over when I try to talk about any of the songs. I won't hold it against her because she's fantastic in every other way. lol It's just been wonderful talking to others about something that interests me so much.
Evrovizija pre svega treba da bude muzicko takmicenje a ne politicko,sto se tice pesama i izvodjaca, 80% pesama je vec vidjeno i dosta toga je slicno i ponavlja se iz godine u godinu. Kada se sve uzme u obzir,mislim da Srbija definitivno ima najbolji nastup i najkvalitetniju pesmu,tekst,scenski nastup,originalnost,veoma jaku i duboku poruku celom svetu. Nadam se da ce to glasaci prepoznati. Puno srece svim ucesnicima a moje srce kuca za neponovljivu,originalnu i predivnu KONSTRAKTU💓💓💓💓💓💓💓💓💓💓💓💓SRECNO SRBIJAAAA !!!
Tako je ! / That's it ! :)
Must to win a cheerful song that will take everything out of you. The song of 🇲🇩🇲🇩🇲🇩🇲🇩🇲🇩🇲🇩 M O L D O V A 🇲🇩🇲🇩🇲🇩🇲🇩 is unique and special. Winner!!
Honestly the ukraine song was just a fucking banger
They are getting so much hate for no reason
Did you not see the way they acted after Vidbir?? They’re very sore losers
@@henryriley4958 oh what happened?
@@palatasikuntheyoutubecomme2046 when they didn’t win Vidbir, the group were not happy. They harassed members of the crew convinced they actually won but yet also believed it was always rigged for Alina Pash who did win . Never had they apologised when they finally got approached to come to Eurovision
And for that I don’t like that. They’re arrogant sore losers end of story
I have a feeling that Chanel will be another Destiny from last year. Very hype within the community, high in the odds, liked by the jury, but flopping with the general public for being too dance/pop-ey. The entry is relying a lot on the staging and there is some people who dislikes songs that focus too much on dancing instead of the singing (thursday evening I saw someone tweeting about a song that had too much dancing for their likening).
UK on the other hand have a big focus on the song and his voice. There isn't a lot of moving around, and the staging, while being a big prop, do fit the space theme of the song. The way it opens later on also parallels the song evolving~
Also, unlike Chanel's song, I feel Space Man is a song targeted towards everyone, while I have noticed a large male bias towards SloMo, especially a lot of gays seems to support it a lot, not as many women. At least not everyone has been as vocal. Sam also have a massive fanbase on TikTok that could help support him.
I wouldn't mind if either songs win. They both deserve it!
I promise you this won’t be another destiny. Destiny is a star but her staging was bad. This is some of the best staging I’ve ever seen. Wait til you see it
@@ESCTom destiny did win her semi with « bad staging » though and did very well with the jury in final. The reasons it lost points with the televote are other. Definitely not bad staging.
She is just a bad Foureira clone.. most people are laughing. VERY overrated, prepare for disappointment but to be honest she deserves to flop cause she added nothing to the competition..
@@ESCTom they already uploaded their performances on the RUclips channel, so we already know 😆
I personally don't find it any more interesting than a lot of other entries
question here!! will there be a wildcard??, i mean like choosing a random entry from the participants that did not qualify from the semis
There’s been some jokes about it online but I don’t think it’ll ever happen personally.
I completely agree about UK. If we are even on the left side of the board I will absolutely cry my eyes out with happiness.
I hope Greece will win ❤️🇬🇷
I also loved Norway and The Netherlands.
I agree with most of your points.
I might be biased because I dislike pretty much everything about their entry, but I think Spain is too overhyped within the "bubble". I don't even see them in the top 5.
Speaking of the top 5, out of the bookies' top 5 Ukraine stands out as the most interesting, unique, and lyrically strongest entry with a striking, albeit sun-blighted, staging, and I believe they will (deservedly) win. I'm not looking forward to the toxic, salt-filled fallout from the "solidarity vote" accusations.
As always, I will be absolutely ecstatic if there's a shock winner, especially if it's one of the more unusual entries from the Moldova-Norway-Serbia combo.
Hello in UKRAINE . My TOP 10 : 1.Ukraine 2. Spain .3. Poland . 4. United Kingdom . 5. Itali . 6 .Sweden .7 Serbia . 8 . Greece. 9.Netherlands . 10 . Moldova .
I hope armenia azerbejan or estonia or poland no one else are as good
Poland winner
I feel same as you Spain have a good chance to win , Channel should win..well deserved..👏
Very good points! I was aware of most of the points but one chimed in me quite a lot.
I didn't really like the first semi at all, but my favourite was Albania. And I can for sure admit it wasn't because of the music. :D
But overall I feel like this year's catering is very very poor. Seems like there's a lot of humorous acts which for me is often a big turn-off. There's been some good ones but that's quite rare.
Being from Finland myself I don't really like our contender even though their genre is totally my taste, but compared to other competitors I'm hoping extra much that we will be doing well.
To be brutally honest, compared to last year's contenders I'd put half of the last year's contenders above any of this year's ones.
Great video Tom. Totally agree with you on Spain. One of the best performances I’ve seen at Eurovision. Totally deserves to win.
were you at one of the shows Stephen? did it get a big reaction in the arena? I cant wait for people to finally see it!
No just from the rehearsal footage Tom.
It's not.. just a lesser version of Foureira. She really TRIES to perform while for Foureira was natural. Open your eyes please.. the song is awful btw.
I hear that Sam Ryder did tops with jury vote yesterday. That’s why we had a jury vote come in for half the votes because people voting for their neighbours or political.
I love Poland. Italy nad Ukraine 😍
I, after seeing the big 5, have been saying for days that the winner is between the UK and Spain, and they both deserve it, Sam has an incredible voice and a good staging, Chanel, does the most difficult, sings and dances and takes the Eurovision show to another level, which has never been simply wonderful! I agree with you that Swden, although he has many followers, should not win, neither in jury, nor in televoting, for me, a disappointment, same lights, same clothes... law of minimum effort. Greetings from the Principality of Andorra and good luck tonight
I'm sorry, but not once in your tribute to Spain's "SloMo" do you mention Chanel's vocals or the melody, probably because there is not much substance there, nor in the lyrics. Advocating a contribution based only on the show, beat and bare buttocks is quite a deviation from what I see in a winner in Eurovision SONG Contest, even if it happened previous years.
ive discussed her vocals and the song already in previous videos
The way i see it Spain's vocals aren't bad and she definitely represents the country, i don't think i've ever seen a more "spanish" entry. The only problem i see is the song feeling "choppy" at times cause of the intensive choreo, but the vocals aren't bad, i do see the entry as the full package.
I find it unnecessary to discuss lyrics, first cause of the many language barriers in the contest and second cause if we bring lyrics into this we have to scrutinize the massive heap of gibberish, "funny" or commercial mainstream lyrics a lot of entries present each year, it's not the point.
Good balanced analysis Tom 😀 On the whole, my decision as to who to vote for still majors on the song itself, although many factors effect the overall outcome. In regards to Ukraine I think there should be jury points as, unless they measure vocals on an operatic scale, the lead singer has a strong honest vocal and he has a great connection with the camera, also, although I dont really enjoy rap the rap is delivered in a really sharp manner 😉 The attention on Spain, for me, seems really focussed on presentation with not a lot of high praise for the song itself - however I am standing by to be blown away 😉 Sweden, for me, is just average on each of the components, its not a stand out for me as a potential winner. As a Brit, I wish maybe we had been say 10th in the odds and then be happy if we did better than that. However I still cant shake off that I think Sam has the best level amongst all the factors that determine a winner 😉 If our televote bombs Im going to go into a mad huffy fit! 😂 BTW im still sad that Brooke didnt make into the final 😔
Ukraine will win for political reasons. This show is a weapon. Why else would Israel be in the competition while Russia is out. Or Franco's Spanish dictatorship (despite being Adolf's ally) could participate and win yet Belarus not allowed to participate.
The jury looks also at lyrics and usually upbeat songs like slomo haven't strong lyrics...
what about czech rep.? what do u think about their entry?
Love it but it’s completely impossible for them to win from the 1st slot
The ones l like....not the ones that will win....1 Netherlands..2 Czech...3 Australia ..4 Estonia 5..Azerbijian 6 Greece 7.Espana 8 .Iceland 9..Portugal..10.France......Well thx Tom for your massively big efforts to bring such crafted...inciteful...observations to our screens....onwards & upwards!!!...check you at 5am!!...
Thank you for your comment about Ukraine! I see a lot of hate about our song and possible win and this fact break my heart. I saw an amount of reactions on Kalush BEFORE the war, and European people loved it! So I dont understand why people think it would be not deserved winning. This year Eurovision doesnt have one particular leader so the winner is not that obvious. It could be Moldova or Spain, it could be The Netherlands (which is in my personal top 3) or Serbia (audience went WILD during their performance). So why everybody is so angry at us right now??? 100% we will not win in jury voting, so why everybody think that our winning is already a fact?
Because bets is agregating unbelievable ! To even 60 % ! OMG ! It mad people because evryone came to fair compete . That 60 % is biggest nonsense ever in Eurovision .
@@goranjovic3174 Agree. But is it our fault?
@@asyabovt4241 no i'm sorry for that . As a Serb i like your song a lot and she deserve to be high positioned on the final as will be anyway, without any Bets extra agreggating, and veryy sorry for War between Slavic brothers :'( (((((((( You have my all human's support that War will be STOPPED as fast as possibile !
@@goranjovic3174 This is not the war between two Slavic brothers... Anyway, we REALLY grateful for all the countries and people who support us and we dont want people to hate us((( We will win our main battle. And Eurovision should stay an event of life, love amd music. Lets just have some fun in this tough times.
@@goranjovic3174 dont believe everything you read:)
Odds have overstimated entries before
The only thing I am worried about if Ukraine wins is hosting. Will they just give the honors to the runner up? Will they choose a neutral location away from battle but the broadcaster host it? That’s only reason why I haven’t completely warm up to them winning.
And to be honest, I never listen to the bookies.
While I agree with the six countries having a good chance of winning, I would add Greece to the list. Seems like a lot of people like it and could see it pulling an “upset”.