depends other countries can bring cheaper items and the consumer pays for the cheaper item. Vietnam, Mexico, France, Peru and others benefit from this.
@LouiseChong-xk5xp Exactly! The doctrine of America First means no one is exempt. China is only the poster boy. But how you trash everyone else (friend and foe) and still become "great again" is what will keep scholars scratching their heads for decades to come. Great to who, and acknowledged by who? And those people won't equally tariff your products as you seek becoming 'great again?' I predict other formations such as the EU, BRICS, and ASEAN will get renewed strengthening. Then 🇺🇸 America will become 'great again' in its own eyes.
I think Mexico will do very well in my opinion. Many of these western and American companies in China may want to relocate in Mexico. China is no longer good for business
Well the difference is he goes crazy like 60% -300% 1008257251515% on China and on others like 20% …… Like that dude will just kill the American Purchasing power and say: it’s beautiful…. Best economy in the universe….
They love to live in their self delusional parallel universe of self created drama and misinformation to self deceive. It’s what the Chinese call “stealing bells with ears covered” 😂
In coming tax increases of goods to the American people. Sorry, you may wish to check that several companies have already stated they'll increases prices if tariffs are dropped.
I mean of course, that is not a threat, that is not a surprise, that is the intended purpose of tariffs. They are literally designed to make any goods outside the country more expensive. The only thing it is ment to do is make US companies more competitive. Prices will increase, the only question how big and on what he puts tariffs on and if any tax breaks he might do will compensate for the higher prices. Even if americans have to pay more if it increases GDP by creating more jobs then it could potentially be worth it. I am very skeptical of it working, and think there is a lot of negatives that will come from this but we will see
@@kumiq17 "Even if Americans have to pay more if it increases GDP by creating more jobs". Well how far can you blow this ballon? Based on data from the Federal Reserve Bank, a significant increase in the percentage of credit card balances transitioning into delinquency, reaching levels not seen in over a decade. Home prices have increased significantly since 2020, with the national average rising 47%.
@@kumiq17 Kind of delusional what you're thinking. Jobs are not coming back. Maybe they move to Vietnam and India but not coming to US even long term. With a society where 50% of the households have no savings, there is no power to buy stuff US made. That's why they went overseas. Another reason is corporate greed. The more you give the wealthy and less to the rest the more jobs are getting exported with no coming back.
@kumiq17 Walk into any random store and pick a product. The product will almost certainly be from China, Vietnam or Bangladesh (if it is textiles,) or one such other place. And these items have essentially become a must-have, whether they be toys, small appliances etc. Even on 1000% tariff, the products will still be cheaper than anything made locally. Moreover, there is just no local capacity to manufacture these things - and there won't be for a very long time, if ever. Bottom line is that the pain in the pocket-book is coming, and it won't be temporary. Those are the facts. And I think China won't be caught flat-footed. They are ready this time around. American farmers and ranchers must be bracing for what's coming.
@@santostv. India best achievements so far India's Hunger index 2013: 63rd rank 2022: 107th rank India's Happiness index. 2013: 111th rank 2022: 136th rank India's press freedom rank 2013:79th 2022: 150the the fourth pillar of worlds largest democracy is no more India's unemployment rate 2013:4.9% 2023:7.5% Unemployment rate never increase in growing economy.. india is growing only on paper and by loan India's Debt before 2014: ₹55 lakh crore 2023: ₹155 lakh crore India's GDP from 2004 to 2014: $709 billion to 2.04 trilion (almost triple) India's GDP from 2014to 2024: $2.04 trillion to 3.6 trilion (expected)...not even double
Largest market ? The US, Eu, Canada, UK and Australia make 50% of the world GDP. China makes 17%. …. True China is massive… but it is not like the west is doomed or anything like that. I mean countries with a GDP per capita of 50.000 or more can’t grow 5% …. It is close to impossible. They are matured economies…. I also don’t see the point in a trade war with China… but … there is still a difference in size ….
@@Nope_1567the reason for a trade was is to pick a fight and make money off the chaos. In chaos comes opportunity to those who don’t hesitate and seize the moment.
@@jimlopez5992 China lies about everything. Their population which is actually 800k not 1.4b they lie about their gdp which this year will have negative growth
Do you know China is only developing country which can manufacture 2 types of stealth jet fighters J-20 and J-35, aircraft carriers with electromagnetic catapult and send crew into its own space station? China’s big advantage over India and other developing countries is its one party system: very efficient and always choose experienced, capable leader.
every year each member of the politboro must speak for 2 hours to his fellows explaining why he should remain in his position. what a great idea for west to adopt.
censorship on RUclips is something else. if i critiqued china several years ago for discrimination of Uighurs, RUclips was all to fine to leave it. but criticism of that western friendly country we all love to hate now, is a no no
China has no interest in keeping a big export surplus to the US, so the tariffs don't bother them too much, besides, the US represents only 12% of the world's GDP PPP. China wants to diversify their exports to other countries and stimulate the national consumption. The tariffs are only going to make the US share of the world's gdp fall even more.
Lie. China most definitely has an interest in keeping a big export surplus to the U.S and the tariffs will hurt China, as long as it hurts China, we will be ok.
How can the national consumption be stimulated when many jobs in China are taken by the export relocations and the outflow of the FDIs? Everything is moving out from China but you expect the consumption to be improved, this is so unrealistic.
Where is the money gonna come from???? Like how America print money from thin air and export inflation to whole world,china can do the same..,and export cheap goods all over the world and do trade in alternative currency.
Yes, China can print money as long as US dollar keeps depreciating, because China wants to link the US dollars in about the same exchange rate, otherwise Chinese Yuan will appreciate and affect the exports.
This guy doesn't really understands what this debt resturcturing does! The debt resturcturing basically provide interest relief to local government. In China local governments are not allow to issue bonds unless the central government permits them to. So these local governments borrow via LGFVs and incur very high interest some may exceed 12% pa. So the debt swap is analogus to U swapping 35% pa credit card debt with a much lower interest bank loan. That will free up some money allowing local governments to pay salaries. But he is right about China saving dry powder to see what Trump actually does.
Those EU countries that voted "yes" to the EV car tariffs either produced no cars or produced far fewer cars. This convinced everyone that this is to deindustrialize Germany. Not helping workers.
Well well the way I see is China is non stoppable what ever takes place ! Chinese think 100 years ahead and USA not even 4 years ! China doesn’t play gamble but USA 99.9% gamble! China is in surplus buys American debt where as USA in on heavy debt !!!! We just have to use our common sense !
I realise the video is all about how Doom and Gloom it will be for China when Trump takes office and not focused on what impact the tariffs will have for the Regular working class in America.
It’s not a stimulus at all. It is just a restructuring of debt. Provinces were facing default and Beijing bailed them out. It does not increase demand for anything. It likely just improves confidence in provinces again. But only a bit. They still cannot spend more.
LOL. A guy (China skeptic) in Taipei no less not disappointed? It will be a miracle. Someone is working hard to get his hands on those 1.6 billion dollars to slant China money.
5:00. paradigm shift. You don't need money when you have "overcapacity". Production capacity is a form of capital. Apparently China have plenty of that.
Companies have been preparing for this for ages. They are shifting to other countries like Cambodia. Manufacturing is never coming back to the US in any way other than automation.
West Media often said China subsidy, if that is True. You must thanks to China Gov give discount to West people. Now, China people work so China gov can give west people money/discount.
The subsidy means that other countries can't compete/build up an industry and Chinese companies can build up factories and then run them at basically cost price to keep an industry and increase the price over time.
Western govt. not people as they are tarriffed and negated for people. So technically China is investing in the EU and US government and potentially their military
You only get cheap products from china during dumping phase. After they're are no competition from another company (country) to chineze they skyrock their prices
@@MasterrunescapeerTheory is give low price after that increase price, but this is already 20 years, price still low. US still blame subsidy. So Chinese people still pay money to Western people. Chinese people make western people rich....
When areas that have extremely parched soil due to drought are hit with sudden storms, the ground can be in such a state that it cannot readily absorb the water, increasing the chance of severe flooding, much of which will run off out to sea in the process. European civil engineers need to take inspiration from the massive mega cistern project beneath tokyo to investigate strategic in ground water storage capacity projects in municipal areas to possibly reduce flood intensity while also harvesting water for use later. Even if it isn't kept at drinkable quality it can be used for agriculture, industrial, or grey water purposes. Just a thought.
China actually shaking hands with a lot of countries, while Trump hitting tariff on every country, though China has the low, but has a lot of resources than US. US though has resources, but it is expensive. That's the difference.
Tariff is to save the US govt from going bankrupt since high US govt debt means it can no longer use high interest rates to fund the US govt deficits. By right, the U.S. govt need to cut head count and executive level salaries to be accountable to the U.S. citizens who are suffering from their failed policies.
Based on Chinese Custom full year 2023 data, US trade with China is barely over 10% of total China world trade (664B vs 6 trillion). US trade war, even total decoupling is not going to break China.
China actually shaking hands with a lot of countries, while Trump hitting tariff on every country, though China has the low, but has a lot of resources than US. US though has resources, but it is expensive. That's the difference.
@@Masterrunescapeerthat’s problem. If you check this credentials, he is an independent without any professional or job affiliation. He has no effective source of information. That’s why he is keeping saying I don’t know how that could be effective, I don’t know where the money comes from etc.
Investment in India, simply feels like China 2.0 ...just feels just as dangerous. Id be looking to invest manufacturing in Mexico, or at home. Save on shipping costs, reduce carbon footprint etc
Trump can impose as many tariffs as he wants. But he wants to be with the G7 until the midterm elections. In addition, Trump should strongly impose tariffs on the supply chain (China-Vietnam-Mexico) and South Korea, which have accumulated a trade surplus of over $200 billion for the past four years. Chinese parts can go through these countries. Tariffs should be raised at a controlled pace to reduce the damage to American companies. After the midterm elections, JD Vance will be elected and use tariffs for 8 years.
German machine builders are sounding the alarm, threatening a mass exodus from the country due to poor production conditions. "We are not yet deindustrialized. But, if you don't take action immediately, it will happen. Deindustrialization is a real threat," Bertram Kavlat, president of the Union of Machine Builders, said in an interview with Welt am Sonntag.
Is it a good idea if I get a consolidation loan to free up space on my credit cards so I can spend more on my credit cards? It sounds like that's what China is doing.
why are they asking a reporter based in taiwan (and probably doesnt speak the language) about the economy of China? Might as well ask a Mexican about the inner workings of American poltics
The large USD Treasury bonds held by Japan, China and other countries will likely be the major sources of funds to use to rescue their national debt repayments in 2025 ? For example, if a family has a lot of household debts, and why bother to keep the reserve savings when the debts are drowning the family's finances?
fundamentally the direction China is going is correct, no one in China agrees to adopt American style economical management of printing more government bond to fuel growth which result in the level of debt out pacing the growth rate which result in America current rotten system and dilemma. Either lower interest rate to lower inflation but at the cost of reducing the competitiveness of the USD and reduce attractiveness of American government bond or either increase interest rate to attract USA government bond buyer but at the cost of higher interest rate. American government is running at such a tight window that they are printing bond to pay of last year bond interest which mean the amount of interest being paid the next year is growing more and more which also mean they need to print more and more bonds. This is a rotten negative cycle which is far dangerous than chinas bad debt economy which like Japan would need time to filter out. Japan took 10 year however they are not as self sustainable or as big as the Chinese economy. I would prefer Chinese bank do more heathy debt loaning to companies to do share buy back. This can dilute the amount of bad debt in the economy and companies and reduce there bottom line cost buy buying there own shares at a discount and at the same time this can improve the value of current shares and current share holder will see a increase face value of there stock assets which may improve spending sentiment slightly. This is much more concrete capital deployment to simulate consumption instead of these speculative mega projects
there is no country or group of countries in the world that can replace China. Under ideal conditions it will take at least 20-30 years to build up the capacities and it will still be more expensive than Chinese products.
So many China experts on DW payrolls. Can I be one of them? I'm Chinese, I know China (for real). And I will say whatever DW's target audience like to hear - as long as DW pay me money to build my beloved hometown. I want my hometown to be covered by those fancy driverless taxis that are currently only available in first-tier cities.
Why these reviewers cannot see so many economic stimulating policies issued and landed by Chinese government? This is not educated to give comments based on the shortage of info. China's policy is whatever you did, I follow my own road of recovery.
The long game is to hopefully have Made in USA replaces the now higher priced Made in China similar items. Time will tell if we can close the gap on production.
@@MacNCheese68 time told that Funny everthing Trump grifts, bibles, ties, sneakers, watches, etc, etc all come from China. haba. Even when je built buildings he'd use Chinese steel over American as cheaper. The fools that elected this liar.... haha
China have long term policy unlike Europe and many countries policies are factor in to election cycle. China,didn't pray and hope for a Harris administration, it planned for the last few months for an anticipated Trump return.China had a bad hiccup the last few years and very bad hiccup the next 4 years. But it wouldn't be fatal for China.
@@袁大陸 no one lies more about China than China itself. Nothing China reports can be believed or trusted. Regardless the worlds democracies must sanction China and disconnect their trade for all of Chinas international violations
Chinese people have a lot of savings in their Banks . This is just one step to provide Gov't Bonds w/ higher interest rates so that people can draw idle money from their Banks and earn more . More stimulus plans will come out eventually on local consumptions to boost the economy . Let's spend more time to solve Germany problems !!
So, who is going to pay those Tariffs? The US consumer😂😂😂😂
Go track the price of steel after Trump put tariffs on it.
depends other countries can bring cheaper items and the consumer pays for the cheaper item. Vietnam, Mexico, France, Peru and others benefit from this.
@juan1189 oh, trump also said others will have a 10 or 20% tariff. There is no escape from that😂😂😂
@@juan1189 No, the Vietnam, Mexico, France, Peru buy from China. and they sell to USA . so, Eventually . US citizen is paying for the TARIFFS COST.
@LouiseChong-xk5xp Exactly! The doctrine of America First means no one is exempt. China is only the poster boy. But how you trash everyone else (friend and foe) and still become "great again" is what will keep scholars scratching their heads for decades to come. Great to who, and acknowledged by who? And those people won't equally tariff your products as you seek becoming 'great again?'
I predict other formations such as the EU, BRICS, and ASEAN will get renewed strengthening. Then 🇺🇸 America will become 'great again' in its own eyes.
Next year will be really interesting for global politics
As Mexicans Trump will put over our economy the sword of Damocles.
We could end getting moderately wealthy or poor (far more).
I think Mexico will do very well in my opinion. Many of these western and American companies in China may want to relocate in Mexico. China is no longer good for business
Nope . More countries are song usa is a predatory nation
@urbanstrencan With the ultra-hawk, Marco Rubio, as Trump's chief diplomat! I can imagine him doing that diplomatic dance with Lavrov.
Scary, to be precise.
Asking a man from Taipei to comment on Chinese economy? Smart
I mean, he is in China.
😂
Taipei is the capital of Taiwan province, China
You sound vaccinated.
@@RP-dy5mu not according to him
Thing is Trump wants tariffs on all goods not just China goods
Including goods from EU. 😂😂😂
That would be economically suicidal
@@neothakaThat's Trump for you 😂😂
Well the difference is he goes crazy like 60% -300% 1008257251515% on China and on others like 20% ……
Like that dude will just kill the American Purchasing power and say: it’s beautiful…. Best economy in the universe….
You need US we don't need you. Brexit is only the beginning. Europe showed their colors and disdain.
DW cant get one Chinese economist to interview? They love listening to themselves speak
They love to live in their self delusional parallel universe of self created drama and misinformation to self deceive. It’s what the Chinese call “stealing bells with ears covered” 😂
I’d be more worried if I was German!
LOL, precisely! 😂😂😂
As a wumao me too.
China trades far more with America than Germany does.
I’d be worried if I was chinese, the ccp is walking you into another 100 years of shame.
Why? you'd still deliver food for cheap to my door :))
In coming tax increases of goods to the American people. Sorry, you may wish to check that several companies have already stated they'll increases prices if tariffs are dropped.
I mean of course, that is not a threat, that is not a surprise, that is the intended purpose of tariffs.
They are literally designed to make any goods outside the country more expensive. The only thing it is ment to do is make US companies more competitive.
Prices will increase, the only question how big and on what he puts tariffs on and if any tax breaks he might do will compensate for the higher prices.
Even if americans have to pay more if it increases GDP by creating more jobs then it could potentially be worth it.
I am very skeptical of it working, and think there is a lot of negatives that will come from this but we will see
@@kumiq17 "Even if Americans have to pay more if it increases GDP by creating more jobs". Well how far can you blow this ballon? Based on data from the Federal Reserve Bank, a significant increase in the percentage of credit card balances transitioning into delinquency, reaching levels not seen in over a decade. Home prices have increased significantly since 2020, with the national average rising 47%.
@@kumiq17 Kind of delusional what you're thinking. Jobs are not coming back. Maybe they move to Vietnam and India but not coming to US even long term. With a society where 50% of the households have no savings, there is no power to buy stuff US made. That's why they went overseas. Another reason is corporate greed. The more you give the wealthy and less to the rest the more jobs are getting exported with no coming back.
@kumiq17 Walk into any random store and pick a product. The product will almost certainly be from China, Vietnam or Bangladesh (if it is textiles,) or one such other place. And these items have essentially become a must-have, whether they be toys, small appliances etc.
Even on 1000% tariff, the products will still be cheaper than anything made locally. Moreover, there is just no local capacity to manufacture these things - and there won't be for a very long time, if ever. Bottom line is that the pain in the pocket-book is coming, and it won't be temporary. Those are the facts. And I think China won't be caught flat-footed. They are ready this time around. American farmers and ranchers must be bracing for what's coming.
This will accelerate the behavior of those who take items from stores without paying for them.
Why do dw News interview these “expert” when he clearly has no idea what’s he’s talking about.
did not hear one accurate item
You must not have answered when they called you, I guess.
And you have? Lol
Because anti-China rhetoric is given center stage
Because they did not have enough money to ask some clown from the RUclipscomments.
Germany is falling apart and dw is worrying about china how dumb can one be
“Falling apart”? Pearl clutching personified.
This is a international channels, also I doubt dw has any power over Germany economy 😂
@@santostv. India best achievements so far
India's Hunger index
2013: 63rd rank
2022: 107th rank
India's Happiness index.
2013: 111th rank
2022: 136th rank
India's press freedom rank
2013:79th
2022: 150the the fourth pillar of worlds largest
democracy is no more
India's unemployment rate
2013:4.9%
2023:7.5%
Unemployment rate never increase in growing
economy.. india is growing only on paper and by
loan
India's Debt
before 2014: ₹55 lakh crore
2023: ₹155 lakh crore
India's GDP from 2004 to 2014:
$709 billion to 2.04 trilion (almost triple)
India's GDP from 2014to 2024:
$2.04 trillion to 3.6 trilion (expected)...not even
double
What do you want DW to do ?
This commentator knows nuts about China
so i noticed. nothing
5% growth from the largest market, while the rest of the so called developed word is stagnating or in decline.
Largest market ? The US, Eu, Canada, UK and Australia make 50% of the world GDP.
China makes 17%. ….
True China is massive… but it is not like the west is doomed or anything like that.
I mean countries with a GDP per capita of 50.000 or more can’t grow 5% …. It is close to impossible. They are matured economies….
I also don’t see the point in a trade war with China… but … there is still a difference in size ….
@@Nope_1567the reason for a trade was is to pick a fight and make money off the chaos.
In chaos comes opportunity to those who don’t hesitate and seize the moment.
@@jimlopez5992 China lies about everything. Their population which is actually 800k not 1.4b they lie about their gdp which this year will have negative growth
Allegedly 5% growth. Growing unemployment paints a bleaker picture.
@@DagNeb_It Or it implodes and you end up losing everything
Do you know China is only developing country which can manufacture 2 types of stealth jet fighters J-20 and J-35, aircraft carriers with electromagnetic catapult and send crew into its own space station?
China’s big advantage over India and other developing countries is its one party system: very efficient and always choose experienced, capable leader.
One party system always degenerate as history teaches us. Always, there is nothing interesting about it, it is logical and just takes some time.
As an indian I agree
every year each member of the politboro must speak for 2 hours to his fellows explaining why he should remain in his position. what a great idea for west to adopt.
Democracy?
censorship on RUclips is something else. if i critiqued china several years ago for discrimination of Uighurs, RUclips was all to fine to leave it. but criticism of that western friendly country we all love to hate now, is a no no
@@matthias8582
Some only lasts for 20 seconds. Disappears after that
TikTok is better, i don't use RUclips that much anymore
@@TXT-im7dnno, Twitter is the best. There is nothing like it.
You're free to use a different service. Unlike in China where the government is the one that censors everything.
@@ij4674 you mean "x" ?
Instead of consulting experts, they put on one of their talking head journalists with no new insights.
China has no interest in keeping a big export surplus to the US, so the tariffs don't bother them too much, besides, the US represents only 12% of the world's GDP PPP. China wants to diversify their exports to other countries and stimulate the national consumption. The tariffs are only going to make the US share of the world's gdp fall even more.
12% is huge and China is absolutely keen on a bug surplus with the world's #1 economy and consumer.
Lie. China most definitely has an interest in keeping a big export surplus to the U.S and the tariffs will hurt China, as long as it hurts China, we will be ok.
USA gdp expand to 28 trillion usd and china stayed at 17 or 18 trillion usd over the last few years
How can the national consumption be stimulated when many jobs in China are taken by the export relocations and the outflow of the FDIs? Everything is moving out from China but you expect the consumption to be improved, this is so unrealistic.
You clearly don't know any better.
Always interesting to watch the Brits talking about China’s Doomsday ;)
Xi Jinping fondly remembers when Trump’s granddaughter Arabella serenaded him with a song sung in Mandarin.
She’s pretty good
The Kushner children, Arabella, Joseph, and Theodore, have all been formally schooled in Mandarin.
Here comes the endless circus trump s**tshow.
Trump's President. Congress is GOP controlled. Massive Popular Vote Victory.
Watch the world contract & economies go haywire ... but weapon manufacture go through the roof, with the price of gold.
Well it will end by 2029 (if not sooner).
@@Steven-vo4ee Trump will die in office. If he's still in office in 2028, he will find a way to cancel the election.
We just avoided a huge world conflict. She was so bad
Taipei bereau to report on China?
That's how you know it's accurate!
@SodaDjinn then why we don't have Beijing bereau to report Taiwan?
Because reporting honestly in China will get you banned or disappeared.
DW and the Taiwan government news agency are in the same office building. Figure that out. 😎
Anyway Taipei is a Chinese city according to Germany government's One China policy.
Can you report anything without using the word war 🤔
Where is the money gonna come from???? Like how America print money from thin air and export inflation to whole world,china can do the same..,and export cheap goods all over the world and do trade in alternative currency.
I guess they just pretend to be blind or not willing to have a modern China.
They forget china is currently interested in capturing emerging markets like Africa and South America,
Yes, China can print money as long as US dollar keeps depreciating, because China wants to link the US dollars in about the same exchange rate, otherwise Chinese Yuan will appreciate and affect the exports.
Why not asking an expert in Germany. They have their own crisis to worry about.
This $1.4 trillion is not going to make any difference. The Chinese economy has structural issues that need to be addressed.
They have overbuilt the overcapacity then making a Uturn, supporting the West enemies. Classic Confucius
1.4 trillion not making any difference? are you an expert of money?
@1.4billion65 Yes, I am. China is more corrupt than Africa. How much of that stimulus is going to be lost due to corruption?
@@1.4billion65 How much of that stimulus will be lost because of corruption?
@@summer031977 0
This guy doesn't really understands what this debt resturcturing does! The debt resturcturing basically provide interest relief to local government. In China local governments are not allow to issue bonds unless the central government permits them to. So these local governments borrow via LGFVs and incur very high interest some may exceed 12% pa. So the debt swap is analogus to U swapping 35% pa credit card debt with a much lower interest bank loan. That will free up some money allowing local governments to pay salaries. But he is right about China saving dry powder to see what Trump actually does.
Those EU countries that voted "yes" to the EV car tariffs either produced no cars or produced far fewer cars.
This convinced everyone that this is to deindustrialize Germany.
Not helping workers.
i think EU needs to strengthen its trade relations with China. "EU first".
This
Like VW did? Nah.
hahaha ok wumao, you make us laugh
Make EU and china great again
@@flyhighseeall8271 china is going to have another 100 years of shame again lol
"china is going to have to be a international player in trade again" are you seriously making that statement with a straight face!
😐
Yes, it has to be for our prosperity to continue. We all succeed together, or fail together.
Think global, not local.
EU and US raise tariffs on Chinese good while complaining that China isn't being an "international player in trade"?
Well well the way I see is China is non stoppable what ever takes place ! Chinese think 100 years ahead and USA not even 4 years ! China doesn’t play gamble but USA 99.9% gamble! China is in surplus buys American debt where as USA in on heavy debt !!!!
We just have to use our common sense !
I realise the video is all about how Doom and Gloom it will be for China when Trump takes office and not focused on what impact the tariffs will have for the Regular working class in America.
Taxed remittances will cover it. And we can always take away democrats pet social programs. Thought everyone cared about workers job security.
Clifford! Come on!
I can’t reconcile Trump’s deep admiration for Xi and his reckless trade war hijinks.
Newsome cleaned the streets for Xi. St fu
😂😂😂 DW dont talk about china, talk about germany economy going sink😂😂😂
one problem does not erase the other big brain
Mereka lupa akan diri mereka , mereka perlu target untuk menghibur kebodohan mereka 😂😂
No, a guy from Britain and a guy from Ireland talking about China 😂
It's sad how china is just falling apart at the seams
Stay in school
Trump is more of a president than Joe even when he not in office yet lol. Some people still don’t get it.
It’s not a stimulus at all. It is just a restructuring of debt. Provinces were facing default and Beijing bailed them out. It does not increase demand for anything. It likely just improves confidence in provinces again. But only a bit. They still cannot spend more.
LOL. A guy (China skeptic) in Taipei no less not disappointed? It will be a miracle. Someone is working hard to get his hands on those 1.6 billion dollars to slant China money.
First, dude from Taiwan is ur china analyst??? Second once trump puts his tariffs prices are gonna soar in
Buy local easy
That 100% tariffs on China will make Israel and the US great again 😂😂
China can invite a Cambodian “US expert” living in Laos to comment on the US economy 😂😂😂.
5:00. paradigm shift. You don't need money when you have "overcapacity". Production capacity is a form of capital. Apparently China have plenty of that.
Taipei bureau?
Companies have been preparing for this for ages. They are shifting to other countries like Cambodia. Manufacturing is never coming back to the US in any way other than automation.
It's on!!!!!!!
I think the Germans should be more nervous. The Chinese should have gotten used to the hostile policies of the United States.
West Media often said China subsidy, if that is True. You must thanks to China Gov give discount to West people. Now, China people work so China gov can give west people money/discount.
😅😅 pls get an education first
The subsidy means that other countries can't compete/build up an industry and Chinese companies can build up factories and then run them at basically cost price to keep an industry and increase the price over time.
Western govt. not people as they are tarriffed and negated for people. So technically China is investing in the EU and US government and potentially their military
You only get cheap products from china during dumping phase. After they're are no competition from another company (country) to chineze they skyrock their prices
@@MasterrunescapeerTheory is give low price after that increase price, but this is already 20 years, price still low. US still blame subsidy. So Chinese people still pay money to Western people. Chinese people make western people rich....
Before the U.S had Q1 and Q2 stimulus plans, China could also print money, but I don't think it needs that, it has $3 trillion in foreign reserves
When areas that have extremely parched soil due to drought are hit with sudden storms, the ground can be in such a state that it cannot readily absorb the water, increasing the chance of severe flooding, much of which will run off out to sea in the process.
European civil engineers need to take inspiration from the massive mega cistern project beneath tokyo to investigate strategic in ground water storage capacity projects in municipal areas to possibly reduce flood intensity while also harvesting water for use later. Even if it isn't kept at drinkable quality it can be used for agriculture, industrial, or grey water purposes. Just a thought.
High tariffs will reduce China's export volume, but the price of goods purchased by Americans will also be higher!
This is not good for either party!
China actually shaking hands with a lot of countries, while Trump hitting tariff on every country, though China has the low, but has a lot of resources than US. US though has resources, but it is expensive. That's the difference.
Tariff is to save the US govt from going bankrupt since high US govt debt means it can no longer use high interest rates to fund the US govt deficits. By right, the U.S. govt need to cut head count and executive level salaries to be accountable to the U.S. citizens who are suffering from their failed policies.
China! The higher they fly ? The harder they fall!
中国在戈壁沙漠推进大规模可再生能源项目，如太阳能、风能和沙电池，推动可持续能源发展。这些项目为长期稳定、能源安全和经济利益奠定了基础，不同于股市的短期刺激，这些投资不仅减少对石油进口的依赖，降低碳排放，还支持环境保护，并带来显著的经济回报。以下是这种战略重要的关键原因：
1. 能源安全：减少对石油进口的依赖
中国是全球最大的石油进口国，每年花费约1.5万亿美元用于石油进口。这种依赖国际能源市场的情况使中国暴露于价格波动和地缘政治风险中。仅2022年，中国在石油进口上的年支出就约为1.5万亿美元，给国家财政带来压力。在冲突或海上封锁时期，关键石油供应可能被轻易中断，威胁国家稳定。通过转向国内可再生能源，特别是在戈壁沙漠开发的太阳能和风能，中国可以显著减少这种依赖，确保稳定的能源供应。
此外，沙电池技术通过加热沙子存储多余的能量，进一步增强了能源安全。美国国家可再生能源实验室（NREL）的研究人员正在开发这一新的热能存储技术，使用廉价的二氧化硅沙子作为介质。被称为ENDURING项目的这一系统，将风能或太阳能的多余电力用于超高温加热二氧化硅沙子。加热后的沙子储存在绝缘筒仓中，需要时可用来驱动涡轮发电。单个沙电池可存储高达26,000兆瓦时（MWh）的热能，系统可根据不同需求进行扩展。
NREL的高级工程师马志文专注于长时热能存储、氢生产和太阳燃料过程的研究。他主导了基于颗粒的热存储系统的项目，并在能量存储的计算模型和实验研究方面做出了重要贡献。
ENDURING项目的研究人员马志文强调，使用二氧化硅沙子作为热存储介质是去碳化的重要一步。沙子具有高热保持和传导能力，是一种长时储能的优秀解决方案。沙电池系统不仅高度可靠、成本低、环保，还能减少对煤和天然气等化石燃料的依赖。
王兴超博士是国家可再生能源实验室（NREL）的一名研究人员，同时也是科罗拉多矿业学院的研究教员。他的研究专注于传热、热力学，以及传统和可再生能源系统。他在可再生能源的能量转换和存储方面有专长，尤其是在先进系统模型的开发上。
2. 成本效益：太阳能和风能与煤炭和石油相比
可再生能源成本逐渐低于传统化石燃料。在2022年，中国大规模太阳能发电的成本为每兆瓦时（MWh）20至30美元，而煤电成本为每MWh 60至70美元。在风力资源丰富的戈壁沙漠，风能成本也已低于石油发电。
目前，中国每年在煤炭和石油进口上的花费约为2000亿美元，加重了对化石燃料的依赖，并使经济暴露于更大风险之中。向可再生能源转型将有助于缓解这一经济负担，特别是在全球能源市场日益不稳定的情况下。
3. 宁夏的战略位置：可再生能源和人工智能的中心
靠近戈壁沙漠的宁夏有望成为可再生能源和人工智能的战略中心。这里靠近丰富的太阳能和风能资源，并具备优越的高铁连接，是管理和分配可再生能源的理想位置。该地区的工业基础也支持能源生产和AI驱动的能源管理系统。
4. 经济增长、就业创造和GDP影响
对戈壁沙漠可再生能源的投资将创造1000到1200万个工作岗位，特别是在建设、运营和维护领域。这些工作将为城市和农村地区提供高薪机会。
就业创造：在未来十年，5万亿美元的投资将产生约2000万个直接和间接工作岗位，涵盖建设、运营、维护和研究。这些工作包括可再生能源系统安装、沙电池技术、电动汽车制造，以及运输、基础设施和供应链等支持行业。
GDP增长：每年在可再生能源基础设施上的1万亿美元投资将显著提升中国的GDP。在五年内，这些投资预计将为GDP增加约5万亿美元，由可再生能源部门的产出推动。
5. 环境可持续性：减少碳排放和沙尘暴
在戈壁沙漠的大规模可再生能源开发将极大减少中国的碳排放，帮助实现2060年碳中和的目标。此外，风力发电机可作为屏障，减少北方地区沙尘暴的频率和强度，目前这些沙尘暴带来重大损失和健康成本。通过减少这些风暴，中国每年可节省数十亿美元的损失和医疗费用。
6. 电动汽车：推动清洁能源需求
随着电动汽车（EV）市场的增长，电力需求将上升。EV比汽油车更加环保且经济，因为它们依赖于清洁能源而非化石燃料。通过对可再生能源基础设施的规模化投资，中国可以满足这一增长的需求，减少对石油的依赖，进一步支持碳减排目标。
7. 沙电池：更安全、更可靠、更具成本效益的储能解决方案
沙电池通过热量存储能量，随后将其转化为电力或用于加热。一个典型的5000吨沙电池可存储约210万兆焦耳（MJ）的能量，非常适合在戈壁沙漠等沙资源丰富的地区进行长期存储。
与熔盐电池的比较：
• 安全性：沙电池比传统的锂电池或熔盐电池更安全，因为沙子不易燃且化学稳定。锂电池过热时可能起火，而沙电池即使在高温下也能保持稳定，降低了风险。
• 可靠性：沙电池非常耐用，可以反复使用而不会退化，确保长期可靠性。相比之下，熔盐电池容易腐蚀，增加了维护成本。
• 成本效益：沙子是一种丰富且廉价的资源，使沙电池的建造和维护成本比锂离子或熔盐电池低很多，适合大规模储能。
8. 国家安全：电动汽车和应急系统
使用可再生能源驱动的电动军用车辆和应急系统将带来战略优势。在石油短缺或海上封锁时，电动汽车可以确保军事和应急行动的持续性，提升国家安全。
9. 空气制水系统：农业用的可再生能源
可再生能源还可以为大气水发生器（AWG）供电，利用风能或太阳能从空气中凝结水分。这种清洁水可用于戈壁沙漠等干旱地区的灌溉，将荒地转变为肥沃的农业用地，提升粮食安全。
10. 中国作为净能源出口国
通过充分利用戈壁沙漠的可再生能源潜力，中国可以从全球最大的石油进口国转变为净能源出口国。太阳能和风电场生产的多余能源可以出售给邻国，增加收入，并增强中国作为清洁能源领导者的地缘政治影响力。
11. 5万亿美元的能源生产投资
通过5万亿美元的投资，中国可以在未来十年新增约4000吉瓦（GW）的太阳能和风能发电能力。每年将生产约8万太瓦时（TWh）的清洁电力。按每MWh 60美元的全球电价计算，这将每年带来约4800亿美元的能源出口收入。加上减少化石燃料进口的节省，这一投资将进一步提升中国的经济地位。
12. 满足中国的全部能源需求
5万亿美元的投资将使中国满足100%的能源需求。目前，中国的总能源消耗约为6000太瓦时。通过增加8万TWh的可再生能源，中国将完全摆脱对化石燃料的依赖。这样将每年节省约1.5万亿美元的石油进口费用，而剩余的可再生能源还可以出口，带来额外收入。
结论：未来愿景
通过专注于在戈壁沙漠的大规模可再生能源投资，中国可以实现能源独立、经济增长和环境可持续性，巩固其在清洁能源领域的全球领导地位。
Based on Chinese Custom full year 2023 data, US trade with China is barely over 10% of total China world trade (664B vs 6 trillion). US trade war, even total decoupling is not going to break China.
US makes more money than China does in the trade of two nations, as US has far more companies operating in China.
A guy from Taiwan isn’t objective
US needs to produce more manufacturing and high technology goods to offset trade deficits.
In Taipei a English speak talk about China economy? Come on YOU CAN DO Better!
China actually shaking hands with a lot of countries, while Trump hitting tariff on every country, though China has the low, but has a lot of resources than US. US though has resources, but it is expensive. That's the difference.
Germany is slave of CCCP😅😊
The Chinese must submit to Trump like us German 🇺🇸 🇺🇸 🇺🇸 🇺🇸 🇩🇪 🇺🇸 🇺🇸 🇺🇸 🇺🇸 🇺🇸 🇺🇸
The US will lose this Cold War
You can't even beat the Taliban
So DW thinks Taiwan is part of China? Or why they re calling someone in Taipei to talk about China? 🤔
😐
Grasping for straws
Because he's their China/Asia business correspondent, and he travels around Asia.
@@Masterrunescapeerthat’s problem. If you check this credentials, he is an independent without any professional or job affiliation. He has no effective source of information. That’s why he is keeping saying I don’t know how that could be effective, I don’t know where the money comes from etc.
because china lies
China doesn't need stimulus or to give more freedom to people, they can just force them to work harder to boost the economy.
😂😂 let the games begin USA are over 780 billion in debt to China as we speak.
It is not China's bet. China is at the receiver's end.
Investment in India, simply feels like China 2.0 ...just feels just as dangerous. Id be looking to invest manufacturing in Mexico, or at home. Save on shipping costs, reduce carbon footprint etc
India is a very peaceful people. They practice Buddhism and don't invade anyone. They don't produce drugs and crime, too, compared to China
Trump can impose as many tariffs as he wants. But he wants to be with the G7 until the midterm elections. In addition, Trump should strongly impose tariffs on the supply chain (China-Vietnam-Mexico) and South Korea, which have accumulated a trade surplus of over $200 billion for the past four years. Chinese parts can go through these countries. Tariffs should be raised at a controlled pace to reduce the damage to American companies. After the midterm elections, JD Vance will be elected and use tariffs for 8 years.
Oooh, China is shrinking. Well Americans and Europeans should be happy, yay. 😂
The main question is Do Trump threaten the German shawarma and kebab industries??? 😢😢
German machine builders are sounding the alarm, threatening a mass exodus from the country due to poor production conditions.
"We are not yet deindustrialized. But, if you don't take action immediately, it will happen. Deindustrialization is a real threat," Bertram Kavlat, president of the Union of Machine Builders, said in an interview with Welt am Sonntag.
E.U and U.S news has turned into a kind of bubble, an echo chamber of sort...
Thank you 👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍
Is it a good idea if I get a consolidation loan to free up space on my credit cards so I can spend more on my credit cards? It sounds like that's what China is doing.
These guys have no idea what they’re talking about
why are they asking a reporter based in taiwan (and probably doesnt speak the language) about the economy of China? Might as well ask a Mexican about the inner workings of American poltics
The large USD Treasury bonds held by Japan, China and other countries will likely be the major sources of funds to use to rescue their national debt repayments in 2025 ?
For example, if a family has a lot of household debts, and why bother to keep the reserve savings when the debts are drowning the family's finances?
fundamentally the direction China is going is correct, no one in China agrees to adopt American style economical management of printing more government bond to fuel growth which result in the level of debt out pacing the growth rate which result in America current rotten system and dilemma. Either lower interest rate to lower inflation but at the cost of reducing the competitiveness of the USD and reduce attractiveness of American government bond or either increase interest rate to attract USA government bond buyer but at the cost of higher interest rate. American government is running at such a tight window that they are printing bond to pay of last year bond interest which mean the amount of interest being paid the next year is growing more and more which also mean they need to print more and more bonds. This is a rotten negative cycle which is far dangerous than chinas bad debt economy which like Japan would need time to filter out. Japan took 10 year however they are not as self sustainable or as big as the Chinese economy. I would prefer Chinese bank do more heathy debt loaning to companies to do share buy back. This can dilute the amount of bad debt in the economy and companies and reduce there bottom line cost buy buying there own shares at a discount and at the same time this can improve the value of current shares and current share holder will see a increase face value of there stock assets which may improve spending sentiment slightly. This is much more concrete capital deployment to simulate consumption instead of these speculative mega projects
I love Trump
Marry him hahahahah
Germany is in a best position. LOL.
Another Gorgon Chang…. Let see in next 2-4 years time….
The western firms would be wise to diversify to South America and select African countries
Or accept that the consumer is just going to have pay 25% more for an iPhone
@@HuskyOwner-bl1jf They already are, mexcio is the US biggest trading partner now since 2021 lol crymore wumao
@@HuskyOwner-bl1jf 25% seems like a low estimate but that's still a lot.
there is no country or group of countries in the world that can replace China. Under ideal conditions it will take at least 20-30 years to build up the capacities and it will still be more expensive than Chinese products.
@@Joelmonterrey 25% is what Trump keeps saying that he's going to use for tariffs against every country that he doesn't like. China, Mexico, etc....
Trump's grand daughter will re-sing mandarin for Xi.
Doesnt china have 4trillion dollars in foreign currency reserves?
A Chinese expert on economy reporting from Taipei 😂
So many China experts on DW payrolls. Can I be one of them? I'm Chinese, I know China (for real). And I will say whatever DW's target audience like to hear - as long as DW pay me money to build my beloved hometown. I want my hometown to be covered by those fancy driverless taxis that are currently only available in first-tier cities.
usa need to read art of war 1000 years more
This video is really low quality, asking a man based in Taipei Chinese economy, so rediculous 😂
This is just an idle speculation as it seems. Not very informative.
Why these reviewers cannot see so many economic stimulating policies issued and landed by Chinese government? This is not educated to give comments based on the shortage of info. China's policy is whatever you did, I follow my own road of recovery.
The long game is to hopefully have Made in USA replaces the now higher priced Made in China similar items. Time will tell if we can close the gap on production.
The problem is who is going to make made in America products. Would it be us or would it be other countries coming into the us?
@@MacNCheese68 time told that
Funny everthing Trump grifts, bibles, ties,
sneakers, watches, etc, etc all come from
China. haba.
Even when je built buildings he'd use Chinese
steel over American as cheaper.
The fools that
elected this liar.... haha
@@What-is-your-purposeUS manufacturing is dead
@@sladewilson377 no Americans just don’t want to work we’re not competing.other countries are just coming here and taking over 🤷🏾♂️
@@What-is-your-purpose exactly the problem
German media is concerned about China? 😂
German tax payers do not invest in you to beat war dram but your roll should be international cooperation and mutual development
Braces for nothing, China right now has its own trading blocs, BRICS and ASEAN, I don't think it still needs G7 which is in recession now
Western media :this is a bout China china china china you know china about china for china and chinese for china about china so china is chinese
Not knowledgeable enough in China's economy!
China is achieving 5% GDP growth in 2024. How about German? 6%? 16%? Does German have a stable government ?
他们是美国半殖民地
badly package bs from this two.
Too little too late.
Clifford is a cartoon.
China have long term policy unlike Europe and many countries policies are factor in to election cycle. China,didn't pray and hope for a Harris administration, it planned for the last few months for an anticipated Trump return.China had a bad hiccup the last few years and very bad hiccup the next 4 years. But it wouldn't be fatal for China.
This guy knows something but not too much😂
No one knows China better than China itself!
True.. also China hides the problems there are..
There is a reason its a closed economy.
@@袁大陸 no one lies more about China than China itself. Nothing China reports can be believed or trusted. Regardless the worlds democracies must sanction China and disconnect their trade for all of Chinas international violations
you all lie lol
@
You lie all at all.
@@袁大陸yeah you the world is a kie😂
Actor has been interviewed...
Chinese people have a lot of savings in their Banks . This is just one step to provide Gov't Bonds w/ higher interest
rates so that people can draw idle money from their Banks and earn more . More stimulus plans will come out
eventually on local consumptions to boost the economy . Let's spend more time to solve Germany problems !!