Picked up Wright at 2.13, Lloyd went 2.14… kind of wondering if I made the wrong decision. Numbers here say yes, my gut says yes… hoping I’m wrong. I’m just banking on Mostert missing time and Wright getting the rock
I would put Ray Davis over Marshawn Lloyd even if he is 24 years old. Braelon Allen is too high and Jaylen Wright is too low. Irving and Shipley are too high and Vidal and Tracy too low. Thanks for this content, much appreciated.
Louisville and Wisconsin are both power 5 schools & Jordan mason was a UDFA who they’re clearly not overly high on otherwise they wouldn’t have drafted Guerendo
Drake Maye fell to the 1.09 in my 12 team sf start 10 1.75 tep Bestball league. I traded Bryce young and a mid-late 2025 second for the reroll on Drake Maye. My league flamed the hell out of me saying I made a big mistake but I like it. What are your thoughts?
@@FantasyStockExchange i understand the not necessarily part. youre sayin experience is whats being measured by age and early declare more definitively associated with early declare. just seems from a model building standpoint theres going to be such an overlap takes away from the model. what happens when you make age conditioned on early declare? does th explanatory power/correlation increase or decrease?
I'm trying to get my hands on 2 RBs (any 2 of Estime, Vidal, Ray Davis) & Rattler. But I have little roster room to operate. Should I keep/cut Roschon, Mingo, & AT Perry in favor of these rookies? Help, please
Let's goooooo. Started my 1st draft loaded with picks: MHJ, Nabers, Brooks, Penix. Now looking to hammer bpa rest of the way, specifically targeting calculated RB dart throws
One of the problems in what id call a good league is nobody is going to trade rbs, so rbs almost never get traded . So you cant trade for 1, and then you have to overdraft rbs in the rookie draf since thets the only way to acquire them , wr are a dime a dozen so they rifhtfully so get pushed back for rb needy teams which is 90% of tbe league .....i predict 2 to 3 rbs taken in tbe first in my league and anotjer 4 to 5 in the 2nd ...
Yeah depends what else is on the board, but I'm okay pulling the trigger 1.11/1.12, can't do it over Worthy for me but as long as him, Bowers, Odunze, JJ are gone in superflex I'm fine with it
SORRY! TRADE pick #12 or #15 for JSN ? I was projecting Brooks and Benson at those picks. I may have to include Zamir White or Christian Watson. So, I trade pick #15 and Zamir White or Christian Watson for JSN and pick #30 My RBs are Bijan, James Cook, Josh Jacobs, Javonte Williams. WRs are Puka, London, Devonta Smith, Nico Collins, Christian Watson 10 team superflex start 9
Is it 1 or the other or Brooks vs Benson & JSN cause Ill take Benson side easily then As of now I lean JSN, Brooks then Benson just in terms of startup value but those 3 would all be super super close
I am curious where these Rookie adjusted values fall compared to the veterans you had. Are there any comparisons of rookies to those vets you are comfortable making?
You mean like player comps? or where they're ranked? Player comps are in the draft guide on FlockFantasy.com/FSE so are the overall rankings that include the veterans, but if you have any specific ones you're curious about I can let you know
@@FantasyStockExchange yeah I’m currently drafting and looking at possibly Lloyd and Corum (late 2nd), and Davis (in 3rd). I am curious what veterans they might compare to based on this analysis. I know it can be dangerous to say “oh this guy is a value of 1 based on this model and so was Ekeler, so they are the same” haha but might be nice to see that side by side, even if you don’t share the entire list. Also, do copies your excel sheets make it to the flockfantasy website too or just within these videos? Thanks in advance!
Loving the content - Jalen Wright is kind of in that category where he gets an elite landing spot, behind 32 year old Mostert. What stood out to you as a negative. He’s falling in most drags for me.
He's not a patient or nuanced runnner and that Tennessee scheme did him a lot of favours but he was my RB3 pre-draft and guess what he's gonna have the Dolphins scheme do him a lot of favours also. I don't think you could've asked for a better spot legitimately
We’ll talk about him in tomorrows sleeper vid, I still love the opportunity but he’s a low ceiling, blip on the dynasty radar type of bet if he hits, probably a sell if we get him leading that chargers backfield
I heard someone talking on RUclips about how he projects that Benson will be better than Brooks because he says that Brooks is under a terrible ownership, which history shows outweighs good coaching and hurts players
would you take trey benson over a guy like keon coleman or xavier legette (around pick 15)? I saw you WR model actually had keon pretty high, and I worry trey won't be a work horse and thus will be not useful to a contender like me. Also, I'm weirdly high on legette
I discussed him, mentioned that he was solid across the board but not elite in any area so it's hard for him to stand out here, certainly has good film and opportunity for touches in LAC
NEW LISTENER DYNASTY LEAGUE BEGINNING IN TWO WEEKS:
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Managed to land Wright at 3.01 and Allen at 4.12. Loving the low cost on each!
Great acquisitions!
Should be able to get brooks in one or two legs thanks for the great breakdown with all the statistics 🤝
Always!
Thanks for doing as you said you would and dropping this vid next day
You bet
best fantasy channel amirite boys
Algo type beat
Great video. I’m basically going full RB depth with late picks after receivers like Polk. Safe travels to Italy.
Picked up Wright at 2.13, Lloyd went 2.14… kind of wondering if I made the wrong decision. Numbers here say yes, my gut says yes… hoping I’m wrong. I’m just banking on Mostert missing time and Wright getting the rock
I think those are good values in a 14 teamer
No one works harder than this guy this time of year.
Thanks boss!
I would put Ray Davis over Marshawn Lloyd even if he is 24 years old. Braelon Allen is too high and Jaylen Wright is too low. Irving and Shipley are too high and Vidal and Tracy too low. Thanks for this content, much appreciated.
You had dpiller and Pierre strong ahead of Pacheco? What do you mean you were high on him? You didn't even list him in your 22 rookie RB video.
I was high on him relative to his cost which was a 4th round pick/taxi squad stash but yes I did have Spiller and strong ahead
Guernado with 4.33 speed 👀
“Guernado” 😂😂
Do you have a multi position Big Board, using all of your metrics?
My rankings are essentially that, all of this goes into it
Your model is dope!!!
Gonna be even better when the RB model isn’t so rudimentary
@@FantasyStockExchange I bet! I can’t wait to see these WR’s/RB’s hit!
Would you take Malik Washington or even Theo Johnson over some of the Rbs. Are you going to make a Tight end video or naw? Appreciate the video.
15:10 so Jordan Mason running back 49ers is zero competition for this rookie from a small school?
Louisville and Wisconsin are both power 5 schools & Jordan mason was a UDFA who they’re clearly not overly high on otherwise they wouldn’t have drafted Guerendo
@@FantasyStockExchange still he’s not zero competition.
Trade away Dj moore for Dotson, 26 2nd, and 25 3rd? Thoughts? Superflex
Terrible
Yeah Imma keep it buck dawg I think you got fleeced
Ahahah thank goodness I I didn’t do it needed advice before pulling the trigger thanks boys
@@alshiram6484 only way its worth it is if its a 24 2nd and 24 3rd. Even then, its not a great trade
I have all 12 4th round rookie picks I can't wait to profit off of all of these RBs
lol all 12?
@@FantasyStockExchange yeah I'd send a screenshot if I could. Can't miss on the next Puka when you're the only one shooting for it
Drake Maye fell to the 1.09 in my 12 team sf start 10 1.75 tep Bestball league. I traded Bryce young and a mid-late 2025 second for the reroll on Drake Maye. My league flamed the hell out of me saying I made a big mistake but I like it. What are your thoughts?
I like it too
Tracy scoring low scares me. Thought he’d be better
Still betting he’s the RB1 by the bye week. Singletary is not him
He's a film based prospect, didn't shock me he scored low, Tracy didn't play RB till his final year so I'm even shocked he scored this high tbh
isnt age and early declare double counting? gonna be hard to find 25yo juniors
Not necessarily, Trey benson is 21.8 years old but is a senior
@@FantasyStockExchange i understand the not necessarily part. youre sayin experience is whats being measured by age and early declare more definitively associated with early declare. just seems from a model building standpoint theres going to be such an overlap takes away from the model.
what happens when you make age conditioned on early declare? does th explanatory power/correlation increase or decrease?
@@FantasyStockExchange more to this point, you WONT get an early declare that is over the age, but you can get a not early declare who fits the age.
Another banger. Appreciate all the work you put in! 🙏
My pleasure!!
I jumped up to the 2.07 to snipe Wright from the next guy, and ended up with Lloyd at the 3.01
Do you have the video/chart for last year’s rookies? I’d love to compare them.
I'm trying to get my hands on 2 RBs (any 2 of Estime, Vidal, Ray Davis) & Rattler. But I have little roster room to operate. Should I keep/cut Roschon, Mingo, & AT Perry in favor of these rookies? Help, please
I’d keep roschon and cut Mingo and Perry
Thank you for your video looking forward to that part 2 🙏🏻
You got it!
Let's goooooo. Started my 1st draft loaded with picks: MHJ, Nabers, Brooks, Penix. Now looking to hammer bpa rest of the way, specifically targeting calculated RB dart throws
Yessir!
Loved the WR model and excited if you make a RB model too. Where do you find RYOE for college?
Definitely will & it's available on Campus2Canton!
One of the problems in what id call a good league is nobody is going to trade rbs, so rbs almost never get traded . So you cant trade for 1, and then you have to overdraft rbs in the rookie draf since thets the only way to acquire them , wr are a dime a dozen so they rifhtfully so get pushed back for rb needy teams which is 90% of tbe league .....i predict 2 to 3 rbs taken in tbe first in my league and anotjer 4 to 5 in the 2nd ...
I got Corum and Lloyd at the 3.04/3.05 because people are so high on all these wrs
Nice!
Late 1st would you take Brooks if you need a RB? Asking for a friend...
Yeah depends what else is on the board, but I'm okay pulling the trigger 1.11/1.12, can't do it over Worthy for me but as long as him, Bowers, Odunze, JJ are gone in superflex I'm fine with it
Yeah, I think you need to build a model like you did for WRs. Loved that episode
Oh dw I'm gonna, just had to get something out on the RBs first
SORRY!
TRADE pick #12 or #15 for JSN ?
I was projecting Brooks and Benson at those picks. I may have to include Zamir White or Christian Watson.
So, I trade pick #15 and Zamir White or Christian Watson for JSN and pick #30
My RBs are Bijan, James Cook, Josh Jacobs, Javonte Williams.
WRs are Puka, London, Devonta Smith, Nico Collins, Christian Watson
10 team superflex start 9
Is it 1 or the other or Brooks vs Benson & JSN cause Ill take Benson side easily then
As of now I lean JSN, Brooks then Benson just in terms of startup value but those 3 would all be super super close
I traded #12, #52, Michael Mayer, Zamir White for #30, #34, JSN, Roschon Johnson
Give me all the nerd sh*t!!! I love this. You’ve got a new sub 👍
Appreciate it !! Glad you enjoyed
I am curious where these Rookie adjusted values fall compared to the veterans you had. Are there any comparisons of rookies to those vets you are comfortable making?
You mean like player comps? or where they're ranked? Player comps are in the draft guide on FlockFantasy.com/FSE so are the overall rankings that include the veterans, but if you have any specific ones you're curious about I can let you know
@@FantasyStockExchange yeah I’m currently drafting and looking at possibly Lloyd and Corum (late 2nd), and Davis (in 3rd). I am curious what veterans they might compare to based on this analysis. I know it can be dangerous to say “oh this guy is a value of 1 based on this model and so was Ekeler, so they are the same” haha but might be nice to see that side by side, even if you don’t share the entire list.
Also, do copies your excel sheets make it to the flockfantasy website too or just within these videos?
Thanks in advance!
Loving the content - Jalen Wright is kind of in that category where he gets an elite landing spot, behind 32 year old Mostert. What stood out to you as a negative. He’s falling in most drags for me.
He's not a patient or nuanced runnner and that Tennessee scheme did him a lot of favours but he was my RB3 pre-draft and guess what he's gonna have the Dolphins scheme do him a lot of favours also. I don't think you could've asked for a better spot legitimately
“Fovours” ha 🇨🇦
Wow no love for Vidal.
We’ll talk about him in tomorrows sleeper vid, I still love the opportunity but he’s a low ceiling, blip on the dynasty radar type of bet if he hits, probably a sell if we get him leading that chargers backfield
I heard someone talking on RUclips about how he projects that Benson will be better than Brooks because he says that Brooks is under a terrible ownership, which history shows outweighs good coaching and hurts players
Luv your content
Thanks!
Great videos breaking down individual positions
would you take trey benson over a guy like keon coleman or xavier legette (around pick 15)? I saw you WR model actually had keon pretty high, and I worry trey won't be a work horse and thus will be not useful to a contender like me. Also, I'm weirdly high on legette
for added context I'll also be taking brooks, worthy, and more (BTJ?) in the 1st so needs is not an issue really
Brooks 🔥
Not talking about Vidal in this vid is concerning
I discussed him, mentioned that he was solid across the board but not elite in any area so it's hard for him to stand out here, certainly has good film and opportunity for touches in LAC