Controlling the baseball is one of the hardest things in sports to do. When you truly understand this, it makes you realize how much of a unicorn guys like Greg Maddux were
Did you even watch the video, yes that is a good strategy but Skubal nor the video was talking about splitting the zone. Its about your natural miss direction.
Hey man, never seen your channel before but I really liked the video. Keep putting clips of yourself in your vids, a lot of baseball channels are popping up but the scripts and narrating are very obviously AI generated for many of them. It’s great to see a guy making genuine baseball content, keep up the good work
Appreciate that! And yep, this one has more of other people in it, but I’ll be in all of my own vids. Super important to me from a brand growth standpoint 👍
Another great video Lance! I don’t know if you’ve talked about Sean Manaea yet but I’d love to see something on his performance in the second half. Keep up the content man!
Wondering if fatigue has been tracked on these plots. Are they finding more misses on breaking balls later in the game? Is there a drop off with certain pitchers and is that why we see pitchers pulled after 85-90 pitches these days? Has any of the data worked through stressful innings or if pitchers are missing more from the stretch or windup? This topic is fascinating and hasn’t seen much coverage so I’m curious if there was any data that you were able to see.
I think for the most part fatigue isn't as much of a factor with starting pitchers as people think. Most of the third time through the order penalty is due to pitch familiarity. Starters who get fatigued are pulled pretty quickly, no longer are starters, etc With that being said, I don't believe the numbers in terms of miss are fatigue adjusted. I wouldn't be surprised if there was some correlation there to a great chance for a "mistake" pitch. Just don't think it's a major factor in this macro analysis.
For me personally when my mechanics are more efficient I throw harder and can repay my mechanics better which leads to confidence and not being afraid to miss
Any catch worth his salt doesn’t always put their glove where they want the ball to go they place the target where they think will help the pitcher throw the ball to the spot they want them to. For example pitcher keeps missing glove side down with the SL I will set the glove up and in to the ball into the spot I want. Or pitcher is missing up and in with the fastball I may set the glove up low and away to get the ball back into the zone. So to me basing intended target based upon the catcher is a very flawed assumption.
Maybe I didn't make it clear in the video, but intended target isn't purely where the glove is, it's where they believed the ball was intended to be thrown. There's obviously some error in it, but some information is better than no information.
@@LanceBroz No doubt, but as you allude to in your video a facility like Driveline can just confirm this through doing an in house study. My only 2 cents is that when they do their command training they should have some sort of batter. Live or dummy in the box. IMO perception really shapes command. Example guy dots up in the bull pen then gets into the game and can’t find the zone. Flip side guy can find the zone in the pen breaking ball has bad shape then you put a batter in there (usually a specific handed batter) and all of a sudden he can find the zone and the shape is good too.
Lol 😂 while I love that idea, the key is probably having coaches who can speak both player and R&D Make actionable things a pitcher can digest rather than crushing them with numbers
I cant believe that mlb and players dont understand how to avoid injuries and why theyre on the rise. Is for one thing and very simple. They do not train for withstanding more throws they inly train for increasing velocity. Tell me which pitcher in the offseason goes all the way to 100-150 pitch bullpens? Nobody absolutely nobody. The only way to be prepared to throw 100 throws in the game is that in the offseason you slowly progress all the way to 100-150 throws. You might call me crazy to encourage offseason bullpens of 100-150 throws but its even crazier to think that 30 pitch bullpens will prepare you to throw 100 in the game. That is foolish nonsense. The arm doesnt know how many throws is doing it only knows stress. If youve only throwing 30 pitch bullpens and the increase it all of the sudden to 100 youre increasing more than double of what your body can handle. Now if you slowly progress in the offseason to 150 throws your body and arm are going to get use to that stress. But pitchers from today dont give their body the opportunity to get use to the stress. Sometimes you only need logic and common sense to solve a problem. Its ironic that sometimes common sense is the less common sense the human uses.
Controlling the baseball is one of the hardest things in sports to do. When you truly understand this, it makes you realize how much of a unicorn guys like Greg Maddux were
Skubal basically is saying exactly what Dan Blewetts strategy for throwing inner half vs outer half is and not focusing on pinpoint accuracy.
Did you even watch the video, yes that is a good strategy but Skubal nor the video was talking about splitting the zone. Its about your natural miss direction.
Just amazing content overall, Lance. Thank you.
Thanks! 👍
Hey man, never seen your channel before but I really liked the video. Keep putting clips of yourself in your vids, a lot of baseball channels are popping up but the scripts and narrating are very obviously AI generated for many of them. It’s great to see a guy making genuine baseball content, keep up the good work
Appreciate that! And yep, this one has more of other people in it, but I’ll be in all of my own vids.
Super important to me from a brand growth standpoint 👍
Love statistic deep dives like this, lots of fun data here!
Thanks!
Another great video Lance! I don’t know if you’ve talked about Sean Manaea yet but I’d love to see something on his performance in the second half. Keep up the content man!
Thanks! I wrote about him in my substack. I’ll consider tossing him into an upcoming video 👍
manfred gots this
mandatory 6 innings
(expletive deleted)
Wondering if fatigue has been tracked on these plots. Are they finding more misses on breaking balls later in the game? Is there a drop off with certain pitchers and is that why we see pitchers pulled after 85-90 pitches these days? Has any of the data worked through stressful innings or if pitchers are missing more from the stretch or windup? This topic is fascinating and hasn’t seen much coverage so I’m curious if there was any data that you were able to see.
I think for the most part fatigue isn't as much of a factor with starting pitchers as people think. Most of the third time through the order penalty is due to pitch familiarity. Starters who get fatigued are pulled pretty quickly, no longer are starters, etc
With that being said, I don't believe the numbers in terms of miss are fatigue adjusted. I wouldn't be surprised if there was some correlation there to a great chance for a "mistake" pitch. Just don't think it's a major factor in this macro analysis.
For me personally when my mechanics are more efficient I throw harder and can repay my mechanics better which leads to confidence and not being afraid to miss
Any catch worth his salt doesn’t always put their glove where they want the ball to go they place the target where they think will help the pitcher throw the ball to the spot they want them to. For example pitcher keeps missing glove side down with the SL I will set the glove up and in to the ball into the spot I want. Or pitcher is missing up and in with the fastball I may set the glove up low and away to get the ball back into the zone. So to me basing intended target based upon the catcher is a very flawed assumption.
Or at the very least is going to give you a very noisy data set.
Maybe I didn't make it clear in the video, but intended target isn't purely where the glove is, it's where they believed the ball was intended to be thrown. There's obviously some error in it, but some information is better than no information.
@@LanceBroz No doubt, but as you allude to in your video a facility like Driveline can just confirm this through doing an in house study.
My only 2 cents is that when they do their command training they should have some sort of batter. Live or dummy in the box. IMO perception really shapes command. Example guy dots up in the bull pen then gets into the game and can’t find the zone. Flip side guy can find the zone in the pen breaking ball has bad shape then you put a batter in there (usually a specific handed batter) and all of a sudden he can find the zone and the shape is good too.
I wonder if the Astros like to draft smart pitchers so they can understand what their pitching development guys are saying.
Lol 😂 while I love that idea, the key is probably having coaches who can speak both player and R&D
Make actionable things a pitcher can digest rather than crushing them with numbers
I cant believe that mlb and players dont understand how to avoid injuries and why theyre on the rise. Is for one thing and very simple. They do not train for withstanding more throws they inly train for increasing velocity. Tell me which pitcher in the offseason goes all the way to 100-150 pitch bullpens? Nobody absolutely nobody. The only way to be prepared to throw 100 throws in the game is that in the offseason you slowly progress all the way to 100-150 throws. You might call me crazy to encourage offseason bullpens of 100-150 throws but its even crazier to think that 30 pitch bullpens will prepare you to throw 100 in the game. That is foolish nonsense. The arm doesnt know how many throws is doing it only knows stress. If youve only throwing 30 pitch bullpens and the increase it all of the sudden to 100 youre increasing more than double of what your body can handle. Now if you slowly progress in the offseason to 150 throws your body and arm are going to get use to that stress. But pitchers from today dont give their body the opportunity to get use to the stress. Sometimes you only need logic and common sense to solve a problem. Its ironic that sometimes common sense is the less common sense the human uses.
Cool. Ask Greg Maddox about control
Your title is a bit off
Fixed 🙃