THIS Is Why You Take Risks In Poker - WSOP $3.7 Million One Drop
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- Опубликовано: 16 ноя 2017
- Let's take another look at the crucial bluff from the $111,111 One Drop final table. I briefly covered this in my documentary-style vlog covering that day, but today we're going to get into a bit more detail. Many people have asked me about this hand, as the decisions from both players have perplexed observers. This is my favorite hand from my WSOP bracelet win this year, so let's dive right in.
Watch: I WON THE WSOP ONE DROP FOR $3.7 MILLION!!! - • I WON THE WSOP ONE DRO...
See more WSOP coverage from PokerGo: www.pokergo.com
Subscribe for more wsop vlog, news, comedy, and hand breakdowns. Poker Hands is the show where Doug analyzes live poker hands from tv poker shows such as Poker After Dark, EPT (European Poker Tour), High Stakes Poker, the World Series of Poker (WSOP), the Aussie Millions, WPT (World Poker Tour) the Big One For One Drop, and the PCA (Pokerstars Carribean Adventure). He especially enjoys reviewing hands by popular high stakes pros like Viktor "Isildur" Blom, Fedor Holz, Dan Cates (Jungleman), Tom "Durrrr" Dwan, Phil Ivey, and Daniel Negreanu.
I documented my One Drop journey on video from Day 1. Watch the behind-the-scenes view of winning the bracelet: ruclips.net/video/MwI0Ucc6lJU/видео.html
Doug Polk Poker How d'hell did he ever fold?
I Beast Everything T-shirt - Awesome Pigeon
Doug Polk Poker you're a clown for wearing that i neast everything shirt lmao i caught the reference
I remember it like yesterday...great vlog, amazing run, and now a very favorable hand analysis. Thanks Bruh
The Tournaments miss out on a great chance to help popularize poker. They should "rabbit cam" all the hands in the last 3rd of the tournament, so that they, and you among others, can show what the outcome of bluffs like this one (and others even more dramatic) would have been, but later after the tournament is over.
Knowing that the "Rabbit cam" is being recorded would also encourage more viewing in re-runs done by their subscription sites, facebook, youtube, twitter ... ad nauseam ... for years and years ...
It's certainly something I would like to see in analysis done like this one, Doug :)
Mike Postle would've called!
@@LouisE-mp8lx of course the dick move works Everytime when you're poker God.
It’s called Crotch Theory Optimal
Mike would have checked through to keep the pot small.
All in
GAWD!
Meanwhile at the local casino they call with J6 and hit the J in the river
OMG just last night we had a guy keep calling with JD 6? and he got his 5th diamond on the river. The pocket kings who did everything right tilted and we all enjoyed splitting his buy-in, but COME ON MAN!!!
Adjust your game accordingly. If they are calling stations, then you should be overbetting your good hands and checking or betting light your draws/mediocre hands. If youre losing consistently at weak games at a local casino then instead of blaming others, you should look at yourself. Just some food for thought.
You can always find your play against those calling stations and loose players. Play tight, set traps, and dont bluff them. That would be a good start.
Loosing against one pair is nothing to cry about. I played a micro tournament online against a calling-station recently. I had AA, to my left KK, calling station had J5o. Eventually we were all-in. J5o wins, three of a kind. That guy had about 1 hour of amazing luck.
^ Lmao Frankensteiny boi chill 😂
"Terrible fold."
-Mike Postle
I hung out with Doug last year and he told me he just unloads the clip in these spots, then comes up with these rationales afterwards for his channel. The guys a genius!
Hahaha exactly
😁😁😁
Lmao
I’ve tried a similar move in $100 satellite tournament. I opened and was in position with two callers. I had 9T off suit. Flop came Queen high rainbow. First two guys check and I check back. Turn brings in a low second club. Now under the gun takes a stab and middle position folds. I decide to 3x raise knowing this guy doesn’t even have a Queen. He thinks for a minute and calls. River brings in back door clubs and he checks. I unload the clip and he snaps with A high flush.
I know you might think I should have shoved on the turn, but this same player called off all his chips putting his tournament at risk with a flush draw one orbit earlier and hit it.
Is this for real ? Lol
11:24.....Robl face looks like he's trying to lowkey figure out exactly who farted but also trying to make sure everyone knows it wasn't him.
how do you notice that haha
Should have looked back at your rail and shouted, "Get your cookie jars out!!!!"
Finally a TV poker hand where you bluffed and they folded. :)
seems like Jacobson is just too used to how mtt shitregs play and how they almost never have check jam bluffs on the turn in these huge icm spots..Doug is actually somewhat balanced in these spots
RandomThoughts that is what the comment you’re commenting on is saying.
@RandomThoughts Well but KJ spades is one of the best hands he can have here for the line he took. And since Doug can have tons of bluffs in this spot I think the call is mandatory. If you lose it, its just not your day but waiting for an even better hand and an even better spot will get you nothing but ur stack drained from blinds and pots like this that you give up with already strong hands just because they're not totally OP.
@@timmtheilig6827 The issue is, even if he's "way ahead" (70-80%), he's still looking at a minimum 20% chance of busting, and not getting overwhelming upside. I do think he has to call, but probably shouldn't have bet in the first place if he can't call a shove (as Doug mentioned).
You've started explaining things so well. I have taken a lot from your last 2 vids
Great play great analysis. Thx Doug! Really love your channel, I've learnt a lot from you!
That was super dope to watch and helped me learn a bit more and understand bluffs a bit more thanks for the recap
Watch your videos about a year ago and they were way over my head been studying for about a year and now they're very informative can't wait to go back and watch them all thanks my man. Oh. And Danny boy doesn't stand a chance👌
How on earth do you only have 151k subs? You deserve to be well into the millions. Another nice video and another nice play. Keep it up, Polka Dot!
Foooooold !!
Lmfao
One of the best hand breakdowns I've seen, bravo, thanks Doug!
Doug back to delivering quality poker analysis. Welcome back :-)
+Scott Hall Thanks Scott!
Love this video. Great analysis as always .Im wondering,If you could see his hand would you still do this? I don’t know many players that would ever fold that.
its always nice to see poker commentators go out on the felt and battle it out with the pros. doug proves he can hold his own. reminds me of when gable kaplan played on HSP, very impreesive kudos to doug
Is this sarcasm ?
Great play by play analysis, strong moves and even sicker sunglasses against the opponent. Keep the videos coming ! SN as a WC3 player whats your take on the Dota.
Doug - these videos without the sarcasm, posters and lame jokes are when you're at your best. Do more videos like this.
Nice win Doug! I'm glad you are still crushing dreams on the felt.
Def a hand I’ll remember forever. Thanks for the added insight! Situationally I’m 50/50 on MJs turn lead, BUT given that you’re very bluff capable I’d like to see a check.
17:36 that moment !!! awesome video doug keep up the great job your awesome !!!!
I remember watching this hand live...I was so nervous for you I thought he was gonna call and hoped you were gonna get there with the flush on the river lol. No need for that though cause Polk has the balls to balance his range even in the biggest spots
just as original as your lame ass reply
Why do you come on here and talk shit to someone who's a fan of Polk? Let him FanBoy as hard as he wants, man. To each their own.
i enjoyed both replies, there's no winner here folks
and I got the balls to balance my range on your moms forehead
Jay D No bro you just don't
While this was a re-watch for me, it reminds me of how much I miss Doug and these analyses. Funny to listen to the commentators v. Doug's take and decision-making.
Glad you took this thing down Doug. And, since it's been awhile, it was good fun watching you take down DNegs, especially as since he improved so much, he challenged and got the arrogance bitch-slapped away by Hellmuth (not that I'm a big fan of him).
Cheers!
Its so sweet to see an EDGE so nice and clear. Thanks bro
Just wondering was this your actual thought process in the moment or your breakdown after re-watching or maybe a combination of the two?
If this was online poker you would have been snapped called and be out of tourney #rip.
Striker yep no question lol. Barely got the chips in the pot called.
and if this was an MMA fight i think doug has the advantage cause he is much bigger
if this was online poker he would have been snap called and had 30% equity. fixed.
Nah he would have binked the diamond on the river
He didn't have a hud to tell him what to do
You got to risk it to get the biscuit!
That's a snap call by most home players.
That's a snap call for most pros as well. Come on now top pair second nut flush draw. Scared money fold !!!!!!!!!!!!!
Well Doug even said its a call
@@thedude5599 I would've been scared of A5
Doug not going to lie most the time I fast foward through yojr analysis to see the hand but the all-in move I never seen coming. That was gold
Lmao "got one through"!
haha, loved that back watching it live.
I dunno why people find this funny. Horrendous etiquette lol
@@stevenpasche7676 "got one through!"*
Dumb fucking idiot
@@darrenm394 there is no etiquette when playing for millions at the final table. Getting the opponent tilted might literally mean you making a few extra million..
Jambo city i liked the jam here you have some blockers ,straight draw, nut flush draw could still peg the ace. You were live & a GTO bluff shove IMO... Players who have never run deep in an an event may have trouble understanding pay jumps added pressure etc...
"FOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLD"
Really nice analysis Doug. More like this one, please
Another Polk burner account
Hey Doug! When you analize the turn you mention that now you can have hands like 43 and 32. Is such hands really in your preflop calling range in this situation?
Well Played Doug, We love your channel. Thanks for the work you put in. It's appreciated. Be well and best of luck at the tables.
Hello, Your videos really help me out alot and i learn alot from what you say, but for me its not what i should be doing, its the hands and the situations i get involved in that i should not be doing that would help me out alot more, so maybe in the future could you do a video about getting involved in situations and doing things you should not be doing?. keep up the good work, John Constable
Doug i have one question!You have been in the game in online Poker for years and have great success. Could you make an video on how to recognize a bot or bots that is/are by the table ?Online Poker has change to unfair game. How minimize the risk to play against a bot? Stop playing ?
AWESOMMMMEE!!!! What site is the best for making money? bc on your last video u said pokerstars was the hardest.
I really do like this video. I have been playing poker for a while but also am not a professional. So it also changes my view on how to play from a psychology major point of view.
Love the plays and commentary
Seing this is very gratifying. I freerolled into EPT Monte Carlo many years ago and had Martin Jacobson run all over me on day one at my starting table :D Seems like a great guy though and obviously a great player.
Hahaha poor guy , Jacobson won that one tournament for 10 mil not too long ago
Wow I can’t believe you pulled that off 😯 great moves like that win you a tournament 👍
Hey Doug,
do you really think about all the things you say in 3 minutes in the 30 seconds after he bet the 1,000,000? Or does a lot of the stuff comes afterwards ? Just wondering ;)
Fast thinking about these things is crucial for being a successful poker player. Also, if you play for years, you have seen similar situations a lot of times, especially in NL.
YES AND NO. HIS SUBCONSCIOUS IS. IF YOU HAVE TO THINK ABOUT IT YOU'RE DOING IT WRONG.
For sure. Doug plays poker in the highest levels so it comes automatic since he is a thinking pkayer.
No. It’s only a matter of experience.
giving the fact that this is probly the biggest tourney most these players has ever played pushing ther is probly the best move, Polk you got guts man! hell of a play sir, i mean if he calls hes really only has AK or AAs or set, but a set probly would have made a bigger turn bet, no way hes got 2 pair and like you said your bb range is nailing that board, damn beautiful play, i lot to learn in this hand, i think thers some spots and room for improvement in my game on the turn like semi bluffs that a lot of times i would just call or fold. Perfect example of a tourney ICM pressure play here, way to go Polk!
Bad bet on the turn by Jacobson.
Why would you bet KJ with a flush draw on the turn if you're gonna fold to a jam?
maybe he think he had AK or Kk or KQ not only hand of flush wvich they beat him
The turn bet was fine but lol @ bet/fold
Exactly what dough pointed out. In his position with his chipstack, and you're betting on the turn you absolutely HALF to call a ship.
he could have just checked it down... i think the bet is why polk jammed him, he saw opportunity in that the guy wasn't willing to risk his entire stack to win that hand? simple explanation without all the "value bet" nonsense
Exactly. He wasn't counting on Doug jamming.
You are a sick human being, Doug Polk. Thanks for the analysis, I was waiting for this one.
Weird how I can care about poker for years and years and years, then one day, I just stop caring...
it is just not that much fun. for some people it takes a while to understand :-P
TheHumanity! Hmm...breaking even I'd say
im winning and play full time but have trouble putting in good samples due to not caring
Poker Burn Out. It happens.
Same thing happened to me but not poker, it was dota 2
@doug Polk poker what would you have done if Martin checked the turn?
Doug learned a new word. "ICM". Never heard it before in a vid ;) .
wow...literally the coolest hand Ive seen him play. I woullllllllddddd kkkkkillllll to seee that river!
One of my favorite hands u analyze
It's a little risky but I think the check raise might have been good because it's a good way to sort of camouflaging your hand also. And the raise might have stopped him from making a bigger 4 bet
The half-pot continuation bet is magic. It serves several purposes.
1. When you have the goods, your opponent is less likely to even attempt to draw out on you.
2. When you DON'T have the goods, you have standardized your betting... so your opponent has to try to call with less information... which they won't want to do.
3. When your opponent has the goods, you'll know it. If you've standardized your betting, they will likely only call with something good, and they will rarely raise... because that would be telegraphing their hand.
4. When your opponent doesn't have the goods, they will be given the choice of either folding to a strong bet or engaging in a big pot with an opponent that they have basically no idea what is in their hand.
If you standardize your pre-flop raising (I play about 1/4 hands and 3x raise half of those) and you ALWAYS make a continuation bet of half pot, you will be SHOCKED how quickly you are out ahead and bullying the table.
Until you start playing against good, aggressive players who will quickly figure out what you're up to, and they will start check raising you with impunity, forcing you to fold many hands that had decent equity.
I wanted him to call just so I could have seen how this was going to play out, whether you got your flush or he came up with another king, it would be interesting if you invited him to do a side by side with you .....Like Hagler and Hearns used to do after a big fight..haha, to see what his thought process was at these same junctures , and what decision making process he went through not to call. Good vid
Love it. Nothing like being in your backyard 🤓🤓😂😂😂😂😂
Great video Doug!
lol @ ".. if the BB is a little bluffy .. and this one is"
Doug is a guy I would never wanna hangout with but man guy knows his poker so respect to him.
CONGRATS DOUG!!!!! It is weird, I have watched and listened to you for so many hours I feel like we are buddies. I am such a great guy I know you would want to join my posse!! Wait..... uhhh .... no I mean... Nevermind anyway nice win Mr. Polk
Really great play. I'll try to make fold that kind of hand on my next 50$ local tourny buy in, hope it'll work =))
can you please do a series on pro's favourite and least favourite starting hands
This play obviously only works in tourneys that have a serious impact on your bankroll.
TD best comment on here
It's almost like Doug repeatedly talks about the tourney payout structure affecting play throughout the video
Listen to Dougs Videos is like a marriage - up some Point you cant live with or without it!
Its funny to hear the commentators call Dougs play splashy and agressive, even though he always advocates a balanced GTO approach. Just proof that his strategy works
It's because most regs underbluff, so if you're balanced, you look bluffy in comparison.
Tuomas Kallio GTO didnt reached yet most of the players 😂😂😂😂
@Error Eliminator You might not be able to be GTO exact without being a bot, but you can strive to be as GTO as humanly possible.
Cheers doug great content
Doug, you beast EVERYTHING.
Yah I'm kinda wondering how a World Champ folds there. But Hey, GREAT HAND DOUG!
I am sure that in cash game was an easy call. Now he have at worst case the flush outs. (and maybe not all if you have set) possible out was k or j if you have AA but if he had a set? How much change you have to hit flush or straight
i came back to this video because i was in basically the same spot, i had the nut flush heart draw with 2 hearts on the flop queen high board and a club, with a club on the turn. i ended up calling an all in, villian had Q 10 of clubs and i didnt hit the flush on the river, however i did end up hitting an ace which was good enough to take it down. Ended up doing 3rd place in a 10 dollar tourney on global for a decent payday of 830 bucks.
I understand that everything I do at the poker table conveys information.
i understood this reference...
Big balls wins 60% of the time , everytime
What? That's if he knows what hes up against dumb fuck. I hate Polk but this statement was dumb af n got liked by 20 other dumbfucks
Got one thru lol when no matter what he was up against he wins 4outta 10🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣 pudgy fuck
So if hes up against the nut strait he wins 60%? How about any strait? How bout a set? None of those r favorites or" 60%" moron
@@joehenderson2012 i don´t get iy. Could do explain it to a dumb guy like me so I can understand better please?
It's a semi-quote from Anchorman (Sex Panther cologne). Don't take the 60% equity literally 🤣
I bet you the diamond was coming Doug 😂😂
You’re an amazing player and vlogger. Maybe I’m alone here but your videos are twice as long as they should be. Like I’d love if you’d comment over the action and pause it when needed. Not have us watch the same action twice.
But that’s just me. You’re the man thanks for the lessons 🤙
agreed. too long.
Nice hand, but how right is your reaction after his fold ?
This is how you know most poker analysis is trash. After the fact you can talk about all this nonsense. In reality, we all know most people apply 10% of the stuff they say. He prob thought he pushed him off like a low pair. It’s obvious he thought during the hand, he made a good push play. After the fact, he states a jam is a must call. Knowing this, if you know Jacobson is gonna “have” to call, you would never jam in that spot.
@@c4thenerd171 He says a jam is a must call after the hand because he now KNOWS what Martin had. He listed several hands that Martin could have, and ruled out others based on his open and post-flop play. The jam was a must call, according to Polk, with Kx of spades, or an already made set or wheel. Did you ignore literally all the discussion leading up to the shove?
where can this event be watched ?
thanks
17:36 -- Selbst obviously relieved at opponent's fold! :) (JK, Doug, nice moves!)
this was great doug ty dawg
+Vasluian Thanks!
Jacobson has a permanent pout
The comment section is a pond. I wish I could be in a cash game with this comment section as the line-up
fish usually notice other fish ...just sayin
batchagaloopyTV yo goofy ass corny af 😂
In fairness to the comment section most people can talk a better game than they play. Its so much easier to make a good decision when you are not emotionally involved.
Analyzing this hand without being involved in it, its easy to say that jacobson should call in this spot even without the advantage of being able to see the cards folding here with top pair and good draw just makes you too easily exploitable, but when you are actually in this situation and it's your tournament life that is at stake for a lot of money it is easy to make the wrong decision.
Even if you think your opponent has a set or straight in this spot you really do need to call you are ahead of most of Dougs range here, and have outs against any hand he could have, but that's so much easier to say from behind your keyboard and it's not your money involved.
24magiccarrot ahead of MOST of Doug’s range? Is this a real comment supposed to be intelligent?
Even if you think opponent has a set or a straight you call? Sooo, you have 20% equity tops against those hands, and you should call getting a little over 2-1? You need 30% equity. You wanna go ahead and delete your comment then? Just take the loss and learn from it. You’re welcome 😉
side note, but what is the watch you're wearing in the game?
One of the most interesting hands you covered.
Sweet sunglasses bro
Not sure how your brain can fire that fast yet you sit so still it must be the shades Doug great job really boost your street cred
It looks after your analysis like he should have planed against Doug to bet hands that can call a raise on turn or just check most of range and take it easy. Even if he is giving equity to draws . Still better then giving him fold equity of real hands and increase the variance of geting out of tournament. Btw Doug, tournaments are nuts for you. Your balanced bluffing aproach is giving you huge added value.
Probably a stupid question but do they keep the money they win on these pots? Only reason i ask is sometimes ill see that they win a mill for the tourny but the pots they play are way bigger
Way to put the fish on tilt with the celebration haha
I'm sipping on a nice, smokey, peaty Ardbeg Corryvreckan while I watch this, one of the more heavily peated of the Islay malts. Wonderful stuff. I'd offer to share it, but...
Seeing the river is Blasphemy after that breakdown 😂
Are those Dita sunglasses? Mach one?
Superb m8
If you ask me, the all-in was the clear play, given the opponent's small bets up to that time, and your chance of making a flush, straight or AA. All in at that point was far and away the best play.
Sweet commentary.
That was the most legitimate sigh I have ever heard
by the way you did not look too comfortable in that spot and of course this could be a false tell but I just think based on his possibility of being ahead already, as well as the easy 30% he has to have if he isn't ahead, it's a slam dunk bet and snap call (and for Jacobson a snap call is a 20 second tank)
Well played!!
It can be good a good move in high level tournaments but not in mid or lower.... They are gonna call you always in that spot. Cause they dont see probable straights, sets or two pairs posibilities they only see that they had the top pair with a flush draw.
grande cajones dude - amazing