New American Military Aid for Ukraine - What's in the package and what impact will it have?
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- Опубликовано: 13 май 2024
- In early 2022, the US quickly emerged as one of Ukraine's most important military suppliers, supporting Kyiv with everything from artillery to armour & millions of rounds of artillery ammunition.
In late 2023, that vital flow of supplies began to stall as debate in Congress continued. And as supplies ran short, Russian forces took advantage and ground the front forward in several places.
Now, the US has passed a new package and the flow of supplies is resuming. In this video, we look at that package, examine its contents and ask what impact it might have as Ukraine reportedly faces some of its hardest defensive battles since 2022.
Patreon:
/ perunau
Relevant Reading/sourcing:
H.R.815 - Making emergency supplemental appropriations for the fiscal year ending September 30, 2024, and for other purposes.
www.congress.gov/bill/118th-c...
Estonian MoD: A Military Strategy for Ukraine’s Victory and Russia’s Defeat
kaitseministeerium.ee/sites/d...
IMF - Third Review of the Extended Arrangement Under the Extended Fund Facility - Ukraine
www.imf.org/en/Publications/C...
US DoD on recent USAI and Ukraine Contact Group meeting
www.defense.gov/News/News-Sto....
Reporting on Ukraine's ATACMS usage
www.theguardian.com/world/202...
Article on mentioned Kyiv spending protests:
apnews.com/article/russia-ukr...
www.nytimes.com/2023/12/22/wo....
Featured demonstration of shifting US policy position on aid:
www.reuters.com/world/us/us-q...
www.reuters.com/world/europe/...
Featured article reporting the Pentagon replacement deficit
www.politico.com/news/2024/03...
US Congress passing aid
www.reuters.com/world/us/long...
www.voanews.com/a/us-house-pa...
UK sending largest ever package to Ukraine
www.theguardian.com/world/202...
Reporting on Russian offensive
apnews.com/article/russia-ukr...
apnews.com/article/russia-ukr...
Reporting on Russian budget passage
apnews.com/article/russia-bud...
Featured article on Putin's war goals and expectations
www.theguardian.com/world/202...
Macron warning Europe cannot rely on the USA
www.politico.eu/article/emman...
www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
Ukraine needing $3B per month - (reporting, see IMF source for more detail)
www.reuters.com/world/europe/....
Caveats & Comments:
All normal caveats and comments apply. In particular - I would like to note as always that this material has been created for entertainment purposes and is not intended to be a complete or comprehensive examination of the topic in question and should not be relied upon to inform financial or other similar decisions.
Timestamps:
00:00:00 - Opening Words
00:00:57 - What Am I Talking About?
00:01:40 - The 23/24 Delay
00:08:28 - What's In The Package
00:26:09 - Aid And The Usa
00:27:54 - What Aid Will Do
00:30:58 - Working The Ammo Example
00:41:08 - The Valley Of Death
00:48:11 - Economic Sustainability
00:58:08 - The 24/25 Dynamic
01:03:21 - Channel Update00:00:00 - Opening Words
00:00:57 - What Am I Talking About?
00:01:40 - The 23/24 Delay
00:08:28 - What's In The Package
00:26:09 - Aid And The Usa
00:27:54 - What Aid Will Do
00:30:58 - Working The Ammo Example
00:41:08 - The Valley Of Death
00:48:11 - Economic Sustainability
00:58:08 - The 24/25 Dynamic
01:03:21 - Channel Update
Well, after months of back and forth debate in the USA, here we are. This topic was one that needed to be revised more or less up to the point of final release as follow up announcements were made, but hopefully this gives a decent picture of the scale of what has just been committed and what it will (and won't) do for Ukraine. The broad takeaway is that from a purely materiel centred perspective, there might be enough here to make a difference once deliveries start in earnest - but it isn't an answer to all of Ukraine's requirements.
Barring any more major and sudden developments, we should be back to the regular topic list next week. Thank you all for your ongoing engagement and support.
Do you do voice work for other channels or just this one? I ask because I've noticed your voice popping up on several other war videos that are similar to this and I've been trying to figure out if people are using AI to rip off your voice for their channels.
That corruption in DC is out of control is obvious. That we seem incapable to fix this is/has been a national security threat we have created for ourselves pretty much as a wedge issue generated out of thin air to beat the electorate into a near brain-death. The war that is coming will fix this and young people will die at the expense of partisan politics which is a very old and tragic story. Extend to US draft to females, that might help.
@@colin8696908 only this channel. can you link me an example?
@@colin8696908 That sounds plausibly bad, P definitely needs examples. Cheers.
@@colin8696908 His voice is simply so great it transcended space, time, and all the write protections of the RUclips servers to appear in other videos!
'Your existential struggle for survival is important to us....etc..' Absolutely priceless!
The biggest thing Ukraine has done for the US/Europe is show that in reality, the russian military is a complete joke. At the top levels this is totally known, and russia was even downgraded from "near peer" to "hold my beer" lol.
The biggest thing Ukraine has done for the US and Europe is show that the russian military is nothing more than a joke. Just last week the russian military was downgraded from "near peer" to "hold my beer"😅
@dpelpal Nail'd it.
@@dpelpal
That was a year ago. Russia has learned a lot from their mistakes, built up their military industrial base, and have gained plenty of experienced combat veterans.
Untested European NATO members probably don't stand a chance against a Russia allowed to rebuild their forces after defeating Ukraine. It is also why it is important to make sure Russia never wins.
@@badluck5647 Russia has now lost half the land they held in July 2022. Ukraine didn't even have an army in 2020. Russian military is a complete and utter joke.
Can't stress enough how much i apreciate it that the presentation just "starts". No "hello", no "intro" no nothing. The world would be a better place if more RUclipsrs would make it that way.
You don't like a 10 minute intro?
Where the first 30 seconds is an appeal to subscribe and turn on the bell before you have a glimmer of whether the site is of any interest.
He has only an hour, and there's a lot of PowerPoint to fit in.
Agree, if more RUclipsrs did this it would save us so much time.
I mean a short intro never hurt anybody lol
“No other donor, not even the Russian military” Perun comin out hot!
Lol 10 seconds in and I'm already laughing
Russia is still the biggest donor of tanks to Ukraine.
I don' expect anyone is going to risk themselves for a Ural with a cope-coop or a Chinese golf cart lately
tbh, "Russian military" hasnt been "donating" since end of the ukro Kherson and Kharkiv offensives, at all, +90% of trophies are now been collected by Russian army, for like 2 years and child like meming wont change that.
@@thiscouldntblowmore You’re already blowing it, but you’re not blowing hard enough.
The United States was not designed with bipartisanship in mind. George Washington warned about the risk of forming partisan political parties at all. The system was designed for a non-partisan Representatives with no political parties.
And that concept pretty much failed by the second presidency.
Yeah, but ~250 years of iterative design later and we have things like the filibuster, the Hasert rule, etc. etc.
@@scoobydoobers23None of which are law. Congress is too chicken to make law and let the voters sort it out.
@@richardarriaga6271 some would say, this is what they want. Any power you have you don't easily give away
it failed before the constitution was passed, Anti-Federalist vs Federalist. It was never realistic to not have them. But are the founding fathers did their best to limit one small group or person from having to much control
Many mistakes were made, including 1965, 19th, and unqualified franchise.
I would just like to point out that their are multiple videos of lectures/talks/personal remarks of high-ranking British officers (Brigadiers and generals) referring the public to Perun as a reliable source accessible to non-experts.
So congratulations on that Perun.
@@SpoOoOoOoOoOod I saw it on other channels.
It's up to each viewer to check multiple channels.
It's a while ago so I don't recall the exact channels but it was merely a personal opinion, as is everyone else's comments.
Seems odd that you would seek out what I considered a fairly non-controversial comment not aimed at anyone but Perun.
Isn't rule 1 to accuse others of the very thing you are doing?
@@SpoOoOoOoOoOod BTW I see you have 2 subscribers. I'm almost sure I have none, but then I'm not attempted to appear something I'm not.
I was responding to a Russian talking about the entrenching tools meme but looks like they deleted the comment, nothing against you
" A billion here a billion there. Pretty soon your talking about real money."
Thank you, senator dirksen
The US will need to send about 90-100 billion in military aid if it wants Ukraine to actually win.
@@pogo1140 Tragically Europe has no money. Were they were faking it instead of making it? Who knew it was bankrupt?
@@pogo1140 I don't give a fuck about if Ukraine wins. They're not my ally. Their the buffer state between me and my ally. And I need my ally to stop using my paycheck for security anyway.
Why US?
When I look on the map, the United States isn't on that continent.
The fing EU needs to kick in that money.
Lol, the adage of 'amateurs talking systems, professionals talking logistics' just got expanded with 'experts talk accounting'..
By systems I guess you mean weapons platforms?
Because it’s all systems, just at different levels. The U.S. DOD is a system of systems, and the DOD in turn is a subsystem of a higher level National Defense (or National Security) system.
Economics and accounting are important at all levels.
What is the highest system level? Geopolitics. This is why it is so important for a nation to have a long term strategy and a network of friend and allies to buy into your geopolitical strategy.
(And to be perfectly frank, this is why Blinken is shit at his job. He’s the architect of a really dumb geopolitical strategy (going back to the Obama administration) that reversed the previous Kennanian strategy of containment. (Although it can be argued that it was the Bush-Cheney-Rumsfeld neocon strategy that kicked off the reversal.))
((Note: a Keenan grand strategy would also support aid to Ukraine and support for our friends and allies.)
If you don’t understand what I’m talking about, you need to reach up to these higher levels and learn what different experts have been saying. I’m not an expert myself, but I’ve learned enough to form an opinion about the wrongheadedness of the neocons under Bush, the soft neocons (under Obama and Biden), and the isolationists (under Trump). I hold out some hope that Biden will return to a policy of containment that will avoid a shooting war with any of the rogue nations.
Savants talk politics.
😂
And wonks talk cope.
The most important accounting not mentioned in these video with regards to war outcome is manpower which Ukraine has almost close to empty now.
My half sister and her husband both work in an ammo factory here in the US. Let’s just say they’ve been….”busy” the last few years. OT has not been a problem.
Got themselves a nice new VW recently.
next time you hear MTG talking bs, think of this x 1000's of workers
@@seth1455 Exactly! Good paying jobs too, very often.
Won’t be nearly enough unfortunately
In my area they’re hiring hands to load naval vessels with supplies.
"
"Every gun that is made, every warship launched, every rocket fired signifies, in the final
sense, a theft from those who hunger and are not fed, those who are cold and are not clothed. This world in arms is not spending money alone.
It is spending the sweat of its laborers, the genius of its scientists, the hopes of its children.
The cost of one modern heavy bomber is this: a modern brick school in more than 30 cities. "
Dwight Eisenhower.
You keep telling yourself that building weapons and sending them overseas helps this country.
Like Churchill's apocryphal quote, the Americans can always be trusted to do the right thing, once all other possibilities have been exhausted.
Americans are very prone to do the 'right' thing....history shows that. However, the US government, especially the CIA, cannot be trusted.
In itself it wouldn't be too bad, exhausting all other options firstly. The scary thing is that, inevitably someday, if not already, the Americams will have taken so long doing so, it'd be far too late.
Do the right thing yourselves. We’re tired of European entanglements.
@@slimdiddyd Lol, you're one of those accounts that have a first name as a last name, aren't you? Taking a break from scamming lonely spinsters?
“Now at this very moment I knew that the United States was in the war, up to the neck and in to the death. So we had won after all! ... How long the war would last or in what fashion it would end no man could tell, nor did I at this moment care ... We should not be wiped out. Our history would not come to an end ..." Winston Churchill
There is a petition going on in Lithuania to increase government spending towards defense to 4% GDP. Other countries should probably look into increasing their spending towards arms production as well. We need to think long term. Produce what UA needs in our own countries.
Agreed. Something is wrong that Europe isn't supplying more. Due to decades of underfunding, 4% is the minimum. For a decade.
The US has, for better or worse, lost its taste for being the world's policeman.
Europe has the money, step up and make the factories.
America still wants to be the world policeman but has lost its balls to do the job. Probably because of 60 years of nearly unbroken failures and defeats have made us reluctant to actually deal with any risk ourselves when we can just bribe other countries and rig governments to do it for us.
@@External2737 It is ok for the United States to play such games against Europe. But it is not ok to play them with Ukrainian lives - it is not their fault that Europe did not spend enough on defense.
The United States choosing to withhold aid from Ukraine, just for the sake of sending a message to Europe, is appalling.
@@External2737Polska 4.3% PKB . Jeżeli stwierdzimy ze trzeba dojdziemy do 8% PKB
@@highdefinist9697Slow your roll, hero. I think Biden was too cautious and slow in his support, Trump is a jerk, and Congress is full of clowns. However, Ukraine helped get themselves into this mess, and their lack of volunteers isn’t making them look good either. It’s not the US playing around with Ukrainian lives which it’s not the US’s job to protect. We ought to do it, but it’s not our responsibility.
Many moons ago during GWOT I spent 3 weeks at an Italian controlled fire base and I _still_ dream of the food their pop up tent chow hall made. Seriously, it was all that good.
🤌🏼🤌🏼🤌🏼
I don't mind Swedish army food, but I can imagine the effort Italians put into it.
The best part of waking up
Is Perun in your feed.
Yeesh. Bad sign then that I'm just going to sleep when this video came out..
@@jooot_6850man, it really must suck not living in America... 😉
It's ok, the video will be here when ye wake up, mate.
If only defense economics weren’t such an exciting topic, you could just play the video as you fall asleep.
🎶
@@swj719 na, it's fine, for me it was released around 4pm, coffee and cake time. I don't get the videos when i wake up, but at least over here no farmer pulls a gun on me for walking over his field 😉
Looking at the artillery numbers, Europe has been crucial to keep some modicum of supply going while the US was struggling with internal politics. I can't imagine how horrible these last months could have been if the EU has also abstained from sending shells
Always the us fault, classic European brain
The EU+UK has spent more than America, the Americans need to grasp that AND realise that WE are buying THEIR security.
There's zero chance of that.
For us it's a existential threat.
And I might be wrong, but I think about half of that European ammunition is produced in nordic countries, and we practically *border* Russia.
*All* of us have bomb shelters for most of our population and yearly bomb raid drills to be prepared for a Russian invasion...
For us this is about as serious as it gets.
Ammunition factories have been granted temporay exceptions to environmental laws allowing them to pollute almost freely.
That's not something we usually permit up here.
Worker rights laws are being set aside.
We're not exactly entering a true war economy.
But Ukraine has been given priority here and we *are* stepping up our production and funding both for Ukraine.
@@Luredreier The Germans apparently said, "We only have 20,000 rounds of ammo, we can't send any." Rheinmetall said, "Well, how about you order some more? We have lots of capacity." Germany said, "Shut up!"
Russia is out producing all NATO nations combined, by many times. There is no artillery available, the West failed Ukraine and now they will pay.
Seriously though, who put a line for "stuff" in their procurement budget?
pretty sure it was the CIA
its better than "misc."
Though it wasn't, it sounds almost USMC.
We need money.
Why?
To buy stuff.
What sort of stuff?
Stuff to put on a boat and take over there.
Then what?
Take it off the boat and use our stuff to break their stuff.
goods and materials
articles and effects
@@christopherconard2831 Well they couldn't just put down "crayons".
"The Ukrainian-Russian war being a proxy war of North and South Korea" is GOLD
but no one wants to end it with the 38th parallel
Nope the 2 Korea`s are small countries...It is the West vs. Russia and at the end to show China its determination. The half hearted support for Ukraine is the main reason China still wish to take Taiwan.
-In 2022 as the war began I expected the West to provide Ukraine some > 1000 of the M1, M113 and Bradleys that are mothballed in the USA.
- I would have expected the USA to send dozen of F16, F18, A10 that are currently replaced by F22 and F35.
- I would have expected the West to motivate such company`s as Panasonic, LG to make millions of drones.
- I would have expected that the West would increase its artillery ammo production to > 1 m rounds/month (in ww2 the USA produced some 10m rounds of artillery ammo per month, Germany perhaps 6 - 8 m rounds). Now they are begging South Korea, Egypt, South Africa for it.
The bit about the cheese pizza mre sparking a debate for Italian justification to commit friendly fire against their American counterparts had me fucking rolling.
idk what i love more about Perun videos-- the above and beyond in-depth research-- or the snide jokes
😂
Yes, I thought about commenting on this...PerunAU busts out the humor. A first? ;-)
Data is good.
Telling a story to keep people engaged is absolutely priceless.
@@chrisrautmann8936🎉😂
The Cheese Pizza MRE is way better than the Ravioli MRE. You'd think the Italians would be more insulted about that XD
Your closings remark about overeconomizing reminds me of popular sayings in Ukrainians volunteering circle: refusing to give 1 dollar to military efforts will lead to the need of giving 5 dollars to humanitarian one.
@@nickcharles1284please, take me through the mental gymnastics of what the US gameplan, according to you, is here...
Ukraine is done. Money won't buy more manpower.
@@nickcharles1284How did surrender work in 2014? Russia is the wendigo of Eastern Europe.
I understand now. If only Ukrainians weren't hypnotized by CIA mind control space lasers they'd realize they actually want to surrender to Russia!
@@emildavidsen1404 As above: the current 'plan' is to keep Ukrainians dying until the presidential elections in the US are over. Whereupon the most likely move by the US will be to blame the Ukrainians for losing the conflict, and the washing of their hands of the whole thing. Like they did in Vietnam, Iraq, Afghanistan, etc. Its the same old plan. Remember the women of Afghanistan? Hillary sure doesn't. Its really less of a plan, and more of a dodge.
There's an upside to reducing complacency on the part of US allies, some of whom have been content to outsource their defense burden to the US. The EU has an economy 10X larger than Russia, yet they are unable to supply such basics as 155mm shells to Ukraine. That is at least as damning about European preparedness as US reliability. The fact that a pittance of 10,000 155mm shells is a major burden for Germany points to a dangerous overreliance on the US to do everything for them.
But western countries set up their military with air supremacy in mind. What is the point of having millions of shells in stock for defensive trench warfare, when your strategy is to bomb enemy before they come towards you, so there shouldn’t be any static trench warfare.
Ukraine relies on artillery because they don’t have air-force with long range missiles.
But yeah, your point stands for those long range missiles. Since they don’t have enough of those either.
It has been too easy for Europe to hide behind US skirts.
If they had done their 2%, this wouldn't be a problem
True. The Ukraine war is in EUROPE, not North America.
Whilst I don’t necessarily disagree, various US administrations over the past 50-years have also pushed Europe to “just buy American”, because it puts the profits in their pockets. Unfortunately it also seems like a good idea at the time, because of the efficiency of scale that the US offers, which means you get much more bang for buck (yeet for your Euro?!). All of which is fine until you find yourself trying to support an attritional war and your primary supply chain is on the other side of the planet and being stymied by internal political wrangling.
The reliance on US military was a win win though, EU countries having large armies gives them incentive for more domestic production.
Which makes them a US competitor rather than a customer.
Offering a US MRE cheese pizza to an Italian soldier would likely be considered a legal argument for blue on blue violence.
Offering them the Veggie Omelette has been declared an actual war crime.
If you haven't seen the video
Italian 🇮🇹 and American 🇺🇸 soldiers swap rations
It's a crime against humanity.
We will have to Ask Steve1989MREInfo
@@Trumben It's NATO youtube channel's most popular video, a US soldier giving an Italian a pizza MRE.
MREs aren’t trying to taste good as a primary purpose. The goal is to provide energy, being appealing is secondary.
Chicken a' la King from the 80s had to be discontinued as it violated the Geneva Convention.
One *instant effect* of the aid package passing was that Ukraine could stop rationing ammunition straight away, as they knew they would soon be getting more delivered.
So Ukraine could start burning through their backup stocks they'd kept to last for a long while.
That is not how it works. Ukraine has been burning though ammuntion while allies didn't supply any in the winter
Excellent point. And on top of that, a lot of the first billion dollars worth of Aid was sitting on trucks at the Polish border so it was going to arrive within 24 hours.
@@ivanovd.8279you completely missed the point of what he said. He said that they can use it more because they are getting more ammo. They don't need to pass on as many targets
It was already past that point, they had batteries that only had smoke shells to respond with
@@macmcleod1188
That's *very* optimistic...
Getting anything from the Polish border to the front in 24 hours is optimistic...
Croatia-Serbia Soccer Match LMFAO
War by other means.
This guy is the shit. Big picture set-up, details where you need it to understand, and humor to say that he knows that you know (a little bit). I have to listen at .75 speed. Just as informative and amusing, if you’ll pardon the expression. There is absolutely nothing in so called mainstream media to compare with this. He is the tip of the spear in the new media age. Thank you.
Thank's for the tip! As a non native English speaker, listening at somewhat reduced speed seems a very good idea!
There is much to be said. Is it me or did he up the speech? I too would play at 3/4 speed some of the passages.
I think this speed is a RUclips thing. I have done and supervised voiceover sessions for 40 years. Very few people can keep up this pace over a one hour video. Probably no one. So, it’s editing and a slight digital acceleration. He can probably go almost this fast, but I am skeptical. It’s way, way too fast for most listeners, and I am a native speaker of English who does voice overs. I love the content, but the VO speed is problematic
It's too fast for me to.
@@johnglenn30csardashe does talk fast but it might be a choice to confine the videos to an hour or less if possible.
Honestly the 0.75 speed is a good idea and if it helps understanding better than that’s awesome. Personally as an Australian this is usually how fast people can talk in a presentation especially when they give themselves a time limit.
If the Nobel literature prize considered wit and sarcasm , perun would have it in the bag.
Nobel Prize for POWERPOINTS
Like “Ukraine is winning”. Peak sarcasm 😂
Sarcasm is the official language of Australia mate.
And understatement@@user-sc6sr2zz5z
@@lukeneill1568 How is Mordor going to win against half a Billion Europeans? Did you ever think of that?
This is the powerpoint presentation that Perun was born to make
One of the bilateral agreements skipped is GER buying 100k 122mm from Bulgaria for delivery by end of April.
Also, with the pipeline reopened, Ukraine can empty its remaining reserve ammo stocks.
So the arti situation on the front should be improving soon.
Thank God.
100k rounds would last like a month.
@@TopShot501st If it was the only delivery. And if Ukraine was mostly using 122mm.
But it's using - and constantly getting - 155mm, 152mm, 122mm, 105mm plus divers mortar rounds.
100k rounds does allow Ukr to increase 122mm use by 1000 rounds per day for 3 months.
By which time lots of 155mm will have arrived in country, from
- the original EU package
- the CZ initiative
- the new US package
@@positroll7870 the Russians are producing 250,000 arty rounds a month... The west hasn't produced mass arty before and has limited production capacity.
Most of the US $$$ will go towards patriots resupply.
The EU package doesn't kick in until 2025.
@@TopShot501st One month is quite critical and can make all the difference at the moment...
There’s 1+K comments. Mine overall are insignificant. I give myself one exception, no one is your equal in analysis, projection, and information content. You are unique and invaluable. Poulsbo,Washington
60% people reiterating that yes, Perun is still great, 15% undisguised Russian propagandizing, 5% subtle Russian propagandizing, 20% people arguing with Russians.
There’s actually $1.6 billion in FMF for Ukraine and another $8 billion in FMF for Ukraine, NATO, and non-NATO allies, but that $8 billion is shoved way into the back of the bill and exists as amended text to some other preexisting policy, so no one really talks about it. There’s also another $600 million in various drawdown authorities. That $6 billion USAI announcement came from remaining USAI funds from previous bills, so they haven’t touched the new $14 billion in USAI yet. And similarly, they’ve used $1 billion of the remaining $3.9 billion of PDA, so they actually have $2.9 billion of preexisting PDA left + the $8 billion in new PDA. Cheers mate!
Where are you getting this false information. These funds are use it or lose it. Once they expire the funds arent available anymore to be used but have to be reauthorized by Congress. All those past monies are gone and cant be used.
@@huntergatherer7796 'As PDA is an authority, not a funding source, once notified to Congress there is no ‘expiration date’ for the provision of defense articles and services up to the value that was notified. ' www.state.gov/use-of-presidential-drawdown-authority-for-military-assistance-for-ukraine/#:~:text=As%20PDA%20is%20an%20authority,the%20value%20that%20was%20notified.
@@huntergatherer7796 "PDA is an authority, not a funding source, once notified to Congress there is no ‘expiration date’ for the provision of defense articles and services up to the value that was notified"
Why are their unallocated funds from last packages when the Ukranian military is in such a dire situation? it makes no sense!
Probably nothing to spend it on
The thing that blows my mind is the CZ artillery initiative has tried flat out to get shells for months now but has likely been beaten in a week by the US aid package. It just shows the military capability of the US.
No, it shows how weak, US dependent, and non-functional the European countries of NATO have become.
That's if you believe in the CZ 'initiative'. So far there's been a lot of talk but not much action, while the Iranians and North Koreans have been getting on with it.
Astounding how far (most of) Europe's and Canada's emasculation has gone.
If only someone had warned them. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
No it hasn't. The US is incapable of supplying any meaningful quantity of artillery shells.
If both deals work as advertised, CZ's still going to be very beneficial as it'll be more ammo added to the stockpile of currency existing ammunition.
Ukraine is not going to complain about receiving too many artillery rounds (well as long as it's not from Russian artillery fire....)
Apparently Italian soldiers don't even hate American MRE's. Ours are decent quality, and military rations are always graded on a curve. The Italians are just confused about why we accidentally used an Italian sounding word on the packaging for our weird American food. As far as they can tell, it's purely a coincidence that the weird American Cheesy Bread snack is spelled "pizza" despite obviously being etymologically unrelated to the Italian food called pizza.
I’ve lived in the Us for many years and most “Italian” food here is good but very different and it is rather perplexing, but marketing is king and it’s good PR
Well that’s just what happens when you have a large portion of Italian Americans who are separated from Italy for over 100 years, the culture and food diverge enough that it makes its own. Italian food in America, Americanized and so did everything else. A huge melting pot of cultures mixed and matched foods together and eventually you get the American pizza concept which has far surpassed Italian pizza both culturally and globally that people don’t even think about Italy when it comes to pizza, especially for Americans. Italian style pizza is considered fancy pizza in the US.
@@ComradeTomatoTurtle To add to this, New York style pizza is considered fancy/pricey where I live. There is a chain here call Sal's that supposedly import ingredients like meat and cheese from the US. It's next level tasty compared to Pizza Hut. No, Dominos (Barf) doesn't exist here, we don't talk about it, stop asking.
Put up a barrier or restrict availability, things can diverge pretty quickly, not just food.
Plus even in America taste buds and regional cuisine can differ greatly. Some Europeans may complain about American milk chocolate and American ham. Meanwhile some Americans would get confused if you put Albanian sausage or Eastern European fermented foods like potted meat or Swedish fermented cod on the table. America probably has more varieties of tomato sauce than Italy and more varieties of wine than France.
Those of you getting over usa (non-mre) pizza haven't tried Russian pizza.
Who knew a PPT of military economics could be so riveting (or welding).
I see what you did there... ❤
I'll never think of friendly fire the same again.
fighting over pizza had me laughing out loud
@@seth1455considering it's a Meal, Rejected by Ethiopians, that should probably be "pizza".
Fortunately it is clear that Perun is really a good spirit wielding a powerful stick to motivate those needing insight.
Amazing you got +79k views with a powerpoint presentation and without any advertisment, this is something else. Thanks for your work.
He does good work. Im not surprised
Cheers from Ohio, thanks for the presentation Perun. Great work as always!
Perun, I said it last week - your production quality and the value of the information and its delivery are incredible. I only found your channel 2 weeks ago and you are still pumping out INCREDIBLE content. Thank you so much for diving deeper than what you find on ground news or wiki. Keep up the amaZing work!!!! Lemme buy you a coffee!
Well, it's in line with his professional work. He IS a pro.
You can work backwards, lucky guy. The stuff is that gdmf’n good and of course still stands, ive watched many of em more times than might be considered complimentary, but to be polite: i’d start with the 6th Gen Fighter vid, South Korea one, or of course the legendary ‘Destroys Armies’ triptych - every one of them the grad level college course Perun gets nice on weekly.
So if he’s so reliable, why is Russia still winning and why hasn’t Ukraine won already?
@@Mortablunt so, you’re not watching the channel and just raiding the comments? Cause i cant think of a single instance of Perun getting out front in any kind of predictive fashion that wasnt data supported or thoughtfully caveated (see: this episode dawg) so im guessing youve already done as much citation/explanation as you are prepared to do, but if you are in earnest, lemme recommend to you my fortune-telling friend the ‘Death of Prighozin’ episode. Thats about as much conjecture as you’ll get from Perun and guess what? Stands up, coulda dropped it earlier today and might not be much different - that was released (i think) within 48-72 hours of your boy meeting the world. Please, do tell me where im wrong.
@@Mortablunt When did Perun say that Ukraine would win? All he has ever done is to (as objectively as possible) describe the current situation at specific points in time and the various possibilities going forward.
Ya know, the ammo will be arriving just as the Russians are getting their supply depots topped up in anticipation of their summer offensive. Not to mention equipment, vehicles, and troops assembling at forward bases, too.
My guess is that one side effect of an ammo shortage is that your list of things that need to go boom as soon as you DO have ammo gets quite long.
Himars o'clock
Well true, there's been a notable increase of Russians attacking on foot, on motorcycles, and in non-military vehicles. It's possible they have run through their stockpile and they can't produce new equipment as fast as the ukrainians are destroying it.
Just in time for ATACMS
Wow, I can't imagine what got my post censored. But since I'm going to get notifications I might as well put in another post
What I said was Russia's built up stockpile of equipment has gotten so low that recently Russian soldiers are using motorcycles or even walking in on foot instead of being transported to the front. And
... andThat Russia's current production capability appears to have failed to replace equipment as fast as it's being destroyed.
The throwaway line of "rounded to the nearest billion" is pretty wild
Thank you for explaining the aid package so well. In particular it clarified and dispelled some misunderstandings about the major "acquisition parts", that among so many others I myself held too.
"Justifiable Friendly Fire" nearly killed me...was choking on my lemonade for quite a bit.
Love ya Perun !
Cheers from Boise, Idaho. PowerPoint go brrrrrrrrr
So from what I gather, the reason we didn’t get a breakdown of what Ukraine will be getting in this aid package is that we don’t actually know.
Might be the “last call” for politians….. which is problematic if it is….
It better be $61 billion of shovels and washers because that’s what Russia has been winning battle after battle with!
@@Mortablunt settle down, orc. You'll get yours.
we do know, we'll get *stuff*.
@@Mortablunt Screw shovels, I hope there is some proper earthmovers in the package. Why dig by hand when machines can do the work so much faster?
If I could give TEN thumbs up for this video presentation, I would.
Excellent analyses, research and explanations.
Instant excitement, instant like, instant download. Perun has uploaded!
can't wait to binge 1 hours of slideshow :D
Perun, I look forward every week to your quirky .ptt presentations of high quality, researched, cited, and intelligent information. I have become interested in geopolitics and much more aware of war as 'diplomacy by other means'. Thank you for giving these presentations for us, but also the world.
Eric,
USA
Perun! Please do a video explaining how military aid works. I’m tired of seeing people say why are we sending billions of dollars to Ukraine, let’s have free [insert something expensive you can’t afford for yourself]. Please explain, if you know, how military aid works and how the accounting works. That way I can send it to idiots I know so they can learn them something.
Borrowed money is still borrowed money, even if it is spent in the states.
The other way to look at this is that it is a huge money transfer from US tax payers to arms manufacturers under the guise of "aid".
If money is well spent for a good cause, it should not bother anyone and may or may not be borrowed in this case. It's US taxpayer money being spent to hopefully avoid sacrificing future American lives by supporting allies willing to sacrifice for a shared common interest.
As described in this video, the amount isn't even very much at all, about 1/5 of one percent of the US budget, all the economic activity benefits only Americans and the US MIC gains new insights into modern weapons needs. Americans are winning in this aid package every which way.
@@Kyle-sr6jm These old stocks would have been replaced anyway, so the spending might have been somewhat delayed, and labeled different. But the money would in any case have been spent. The USA isn't going to disarm.
@@Kyle-sr6jm Money borrowed 30 years ago will be blown up or thrown into the sea.
Old military equipment is donated, sold for pennies to less wealthy countries or straight up disposed of. Tanks and IFVs are famous for being ripped out of stuff that could release dangerous chemicals and thrown overboard to make coral reefs.
You're not going back in time to prevent that money from being spent.
I can’t tell you a single thing that money to Ukraine has done for me other than see my tax refund turn into a tax bill all the past couple years!
We get fed buzzwords and dogma instead of concrete benefits. What is every American entitled to one lay per month from Ukrainian a hottie? Are we getting cheap tax free vodka if we help Ukraine? Did we get 25% off Stalker 2 if we help them? Do we get a $200 voucher off a package vacation to Ukrainian Black Sea? Do American students get priority placement at Ukrainian universities? Will we get Ukrainian labor from some sort of guest worker program?
We’re not answered anything, we’re just told something something freedom something something democracy, Russia bad Russia bad Russia bad.
I couldn’t tell you what benefit we get out of saving the Nazi regime in Kiev. Ukraine doesn’t give us anything special we don’t have any special great deals with them. They aren’t the supplier of any rare material they don’t send us intellectual capital they don’t send us really anything at all except hot chicks for sale and rent. Well, except for Nazi indoctrinated mass shooters like at Buffalo and in El Paso.
So we are burning money in a big fire, pretty much when it comes to Ukraine, for no actual benefit to us.
Thanks.
While almost all Perun videos are "should watch" or "must watch", this one is a "must re-watch".
This one has data that any American needs on the tip of their tongue when confronted by the loud folks who never venture beyond the shallow end of the pool.
*BRO! This is SO important for ALL my fellow Americans to see!*
I love the Squid Game comparison with Red Light, Green Light, lol. It was probably the same analogy used to convince Mike Johnson to bring the bills up for a vote, lol.
Yes out tax dollars squandered on a war the Ukrainians can’t win
How much better the democracies - and to some degree, all countries regardless of their government type - would work, if all their people understood the value of sober analysis like Perun's.
Sunday night is Perun night.
God bless you Per! Fawkkkkkk this is on *POINT* and legit I hope everyone is sharing this with everyone
How many blokes can produce a YT slide show from financial spreadsheets and gain this many views? This bloke is brilliant! Well done Perun.
Seriously strangest protest ever: "We demand more spending on the war economy and less on local projects! I don't want a park! Why do I need paving stones?" In my town we complain constantly about unrepaired potholes. Nothing makes us more mad than a front end re-alignment caused by giant holes in the street!
What a wonderful day! It's my birthday AND Perun puts out another slideshow!
Happy Birthday ! 🥳🎉🎉🥳
Is every Sunday your Birthday 🎂?
Happy birthday!
Bappy Hirthday
Happy Birthday, fellow PowerPoint lover.
One thing to consider on funds being allowed in 2025. US federal budget years do not line up with calendar years, they start in October. So it seems pretty standard for a bill allocating at least some funds from the 2024 budget to be allowed spent well in 2025.
You seem confused though. This is still the bill for 2023-2024, which should end in September 2024. It's just so late that the 2023 portion is moot.
Super work thanks Perun!
Amazing video as always, I really enjoyed this one! Thank you and the team for all the hard work!
Thank you once again for an amazing update.
Basically having a garage sale only your friends can attend 😂😂 love you perun. Nailed it
Thanks for the update
awesome analysis once again, thank you!
Thanks for you great work
Thank you for the video, Perun!
Thank you for all you do to keep us informed.
Another great video. Thanks.
Air Force getting 3.3 billion for the Stargate program... I mean, uh, "Deep space radar telemetry"
Thanks, Perun!
Watching this during a cross country roadtrip to my wedding. Really completes the experience.
Is your spouse going to give up Kalingrad?
"Honey, no...later...Perun has a new video." 😉
I hope you're not the one driving...😬
It's good to make Europe in general not rely entirely on the US to fight and supply any conflict. Allies shouldn't be taking each other for granted.
Great presentation. Witty, well thought through and highly informative. Thank you.
Perun's videos are what I imagine national security briefings are like. And probably more accurate. Great job as always sir.
Good to see you Perun. I've been looking forward to this
Week 20 of liking before watching.
Actually, algorithm doesn't like it. You better watch more than 50% before you like
Thank you Sir!
Thanks for these comprehensive overviews you produce.
these powerpoints have become my weekly ritual that makes my Sunday nights (aka pre-Mondays) a vastly better experience
Congratulations on over 500k subs.
Amazing analysis, thank you.
Thanks for another great vid!
Thank you, Perun! Ukrainians complaining about spending money to fix roads and stuff impresses me so much about the Ukrainian spirit and focus on what’s important right now - that is to win and end this war!💖🇺🇦💖🇺🇸💖
I suppose gifting shiploads of military equipment is a fairly public display of affection.
Keep it up. A great part of each Sunday is your videos
Thank you for your coverage and insights
🇪🇺🇺🇦🏴🇺🇦🏴🇺🇦🇬🇧
I don't know why USA does this, the delays, the announcement of equipment being delivered and then giving russians months in advance to prepare for it. Did russians or the Chinese do this while USA was in Vietnam? Did they announce the systems they were giving to the VC?
Red light green light had me laughing to hard in this.. but hey great video as always!
Well done, and I'm glad you finally got to make this one Mr. Powerpoint man😊
The automated message parody was fantastic...& prob in the funny-cuz-true & true-is-funny-cuz-surreal zones.I appreciate the wit on these really upsetting updates. Tough needle to thread & Perun practically needlepoints.
Timely report! Helps build the case. Europe certainly needs to do the necessary. Best if USA in a support role. But not abandoning Ukraine 🇺🇦
Let's remember it took the US years to stockpile as much ammunition, which is why Europe can't just re-create it fast while also delivering to Ukraine at the same time.
@@autohmae yes Europe can. And they seem very willing now to do the necessary. Depending on USA to do it all? Times up to put up?
@@autohmaeWhere Germany really does what it can. Some people repeating Taurus - Taurus, but giving up another patriot system (out of duty) and brand-new IRIS T's, as well as building a new plant for artillery shells, is more than anyone else is doing. Macron talks the talk and Britain can only deliver what it produces. The Netherlands, bc of lack of Patriots, tries to buy something elsewhere. Spain and Italy are effing around. Greece wants to deliver "something" but only if it gets "insurance" that it gets something back. If all who produce artillery shells would deliver what it could produce, Ukraine would get at least 60- 100,000 shells a month + what the US can produce. So, it wouldn't be a miracle if everyone does "a bit" to help. I'm pretty pi**ed how some countries behave and how people are mislead.
Looking for the silver lining here, the delay and uncertainty of U.S. aid seems to have pushed the EU harder and further to do their part.
There’s a very thin silver thread in U.S. domestic politics. The MAGA faction’s power in Congress really has only a small number of hard core true believers, with the main body of the conference being bullied to go along because Trump and Trump allies control campaign funding (and threaten insufficiently loyal representatives and senators with being “primaried”). But the nominally MAGA elected officials appear to be pretty frustrated with the extremists.
(It’s hard to describe the situation without getting far into the details, so I’ll try to simplify.)
While Trump is strong and can focus on party discipline, the likes of Marjorie Taylor Greene can threaten the Speaker and deliver on that threat. This is why the foreign military aid package never came up for a vote.
The Speaker of the House, elected by a very narrow margin, can be deposed with a handful of vote against him (this happened to his predecessor). This made him Trump’s lapdog.
Trump is now (finally) in court, being tried for campaign finance fraud (the Hush Money case). This is taking up Trump’s time and attention that he should be spending on campaigning and browbeating republican congresspeople and senators. Trump has been at his weakest since the trial began.
This is the moment that Mike Johnson, the Speaker of the House, chose to buck the MAGAs and assert the power of his office. He’s taking a big risk but he arguably couldn’t get the aid packages passed before this moment.
He is still under the gun and might lose the Speakership. He doesn’t want to rely on help from the democrats who have sent mixed signals about their support.
But the point is that there is a small window here that Johnson can break MAGA control of the House of Representatives, and maybe, just maybe, begin to work in a bipartisan way.
It’s a very slender thread. A lot of things have to go right. But this thread didn’t exist before.
And this gets us to November, although a new congress won’t be seated until January.
@@teardrop-in-a-fishbowl Let's remember NATO countries and others in Europe all need to have some kind of stock pile in case Russia gets silly ideas and wants to euh... visit an other country. Greece still has a conflict with Turkey which is a country with a fast growing military industry. So I think those kinds of factors do put some limit on what they can do with their existing stockpiles. You also forget something else, I think their are countries who aren't interested in letting Ukraine win in the short term, but a higher priority is to have Russia deplete their resources to prevent Russia starting any new conflicts for a long time.
PERUN definitely covers some of the most wide-ranging subjects on youtube. Absolutely the best in the Power Point catagory. 100% winner in that category. Thanks!
Great job as always, keep up the great work!
Let’s go another upload, thank you Aussie slideshow man
Western aid policy in Ukraine is pretty obvious: extreme moderation. It’s the same policy that worked so well with COVID, where we were all in various levels of restrictions for almost two years, except for a few of us living in places that went for elimination rather than control. And with the climate crisis, same. And the occupations of Iraq and Afghanistan.
Moderation works well when you’re talking about making a deal with someone. In an existential struggle, not so much.
*insert meme of ethnic nationalist and BLM protester with moderate saying to compromise*
"Extremism in the defense of liberty is no vice. And moderation in the pursuit of justice is no virtue. " Barry Goldwater, 1964. I was too young to vote then, but I supported him.
Or you educate and trust people, like Sweden, which had no restrictions, just daily public briefings and Q&A. And people we're trusted to act responsibly. Like socializing outdoors, and everyone that could work from home, did so. No schools were closed, as children didn't get that sick, if at all.
The Swedish deathtoll wasn't bad at all, compared to the rest of Europe, looking back. The economy wasn't hurt, children's education and quality of life remained unaffected. And socializing outdoor, I found a rather minor infringement.
I think Ukraine has so far fought this war in the same spirit Sweden took on Covid.
@@andersgrassman6583 Sweden had people with long COVID and much less population density or shared households than other countries.
It worked great for me but i actually have a funtional immune system unlike the rest of the world apparently
USA should let Ukraine charge them for the 'safe' disposal of all those DPICM shells they are sending to Ukraine. USA is going to pay for disposal anyway.......
We should have sold them to a disposal company which did live fire and testing. In Ukraine.
They could have charged the US billions for testing out weapons for us and then used that to buy more body armor and other things.
These ideas are too obvious and common sense. Next you're going to suggest an across the board policy that if any stored equipment is "unacceptably out of date" it should be sold (discounted to whatever degree) immediately to Ukraine or the EU.
you forget that there were no shells in Europe...none. So US gave what it could and Ukraine accepted.
Great video, thanks for making it. It makes the whole package clearer.
Thank you for your work.
You are a rock of solid intel.
Thank you, Americans!
The other and stuff bit cracked me up.
THANK YOU FOR ALL YOUR GREAT PRESENTATIONS...!!!
These video's are extremely well researched and presented. Well done.
It's worth noting that within the supplemental is a provision requiring the DoD to issue a report on American strategy and financing to win the war
Waking up with Perun.... humour and analysis you didn't know you desperately needed. 😊