Bayes' Theorem of Probability With Tree Diagrams & Venn Diagrams

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  • Опубликовано: 25 дек 2024

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  • @TheOrganicChemistryTutor
    @TheOrganicChemistryTutor  Год назад +30

    Probability - Free Formula Sheet: bit.ly/3zb22rW
    Final Exams and Video Playlists: www.video-tutor.net/
    Full-Length Videos & Worksheets: www.patreon.com/MathScienceTutor/collections
    Next Video: ruclips.net/video/3PWKQiLK41M/видео.html

  • @Meta-Drew
    @Meta-Drew 3 года назад +483

    So amazing how many times I find my way back to this channel since using it for actual organic chemistry back when the channel was young, came back for calc 1+2, and now discrete math 1+2. He teaches every subject perfectly every time. He has saved me so many times. This man is a gift to the world of learning. Thank you!

    • @mavisqueen6769
      @mavisqueen6769 3 года назад +6

      me too in that exact order omg

    • @racheldebella6966
      @racheldebella6966 2 года назад +5

      I am in total agreement...I purposely seek out this channel to help explain difficult-to-understand concepts!!! Thank you for sharing your knowledge!!

    • @sahadatislam.6336
      @sahadatislam.6336 2 года назад +1

      he is literally my university

    • @Gsalinas4869
      @Gsalinas4869 Год назад +1

      what is the playlist for discrete math, I can't find it

    • @RajpalTiger
      @RajpalTiger 9 месяцев назад

      bro bouncin on it 😭

  • @chiefskittlez1690
    @chiefskittlez1690 2 года назад +266

    When I hear your voice. Peace comes. And I know all my studies are gonna be okay. Literally all my studies. Physics, Math, Chemistry, Electrical Engineering, Quantum Theory, it's all covered. When I graduate I'm donating a large sum to you. I highly encourage those struggling and do well for themselves to do the same.
    We need to become like you. And spread out knowledge as articulately as you sir. Thank you. Thank you so much.

    • @HotFiya05
      @HotFiya05 2 года назад +15

      He deserves all of our tuition in these classes. My college professors suck!

    • @MathNINJA-hf5mv
      @MathNINJA-hf5mv Год назад +1

      I am in A Levels and Studying this concept. What College Year are you in and what's your major in which such concept is being taught ?

    • @sohailkhan-eu6uo
      @sohailkhan-eu6uo Год назад +4

      zip it up when ur done

    • @anon1963
      @anon1963 Год назад +1

      @@MathNINJA-hf5mv what does it matter?

    • @jaddaoud3532
      @jaddaoud3532 Год назад +1

      ight bro i think he came

  • @MarkLikesSpace
    @MarkLikesSpace 5 лет назад +167

    You are single-handedly saving my Theory of Probability grade. Thank you.

  • @chloehealy476
    @chloehealy476 5 лет назад +223

    i listen to this guy so much, i'm starting to fall in love with his voice

  • @debasismondal3619
    @debasismondal3619 3 года назад +37

    I have never seen such an easier explanation or believed that Bayes theorem is so simple. Can not thank you enough!

  • @jeromechua1820
    @jeromechua1820 5 лет назад +180

    best explanation of Bayes' Theorem on RUclips by far

  • @1989sherif
    @1989sherif 2 года назад +32

    You are truely a tutor. I struggled to undestand this theorem for 2 days, looked everywhere and nobody could explain in simple words, but YOU. Thank you for your work and time and dedication to channel. Bless you!

    • @ilhamusman3252
      @ilhamusman3252 2 года назад

      Thanks for simplifying these complex bayes theorem am so gratefull

    • @Neo_Vuyelwa
      @Neo_Vuyelwa Год назад +4

      I struggled for a semester with math and now I understand everything within a week of studying all of my chapters covered , I really am looking forward to donating when I graduate .

  • @ahsank.
    @ahsank. 4 года назад +777

    I'd rather pay you my 2500$ tuition fee than paying it to a university

  • @camerongridley9065
    @camerongridley9065 5 лет назад +60

    Wow, terrific. I have watched a lot of videos on Bayes Theorem and this is by far the best one. Thank you, JG!

  • @SciHeartJourney
    @SciHeartJourney 4 года назад +11

    I just realized something:
    P(A|B) = P(A & B)/P(B) is the same as P(A & B) * 1/P(B). This might seem trivial, but consider what the inverse of probability is!
    It's a "rate of occurrence", or something like that. Because you already know event B happens, it only makes sense that we need to use the inverse of probability to properly scale the probability P(A & B). Dividing by a probability "increases" the conditional probability, which is what you would expect given that event B is known to have happened.
    Consider that the P(B) is very low, like 1/1000. If event B known to happen, that makes P(A|B) 1000 x more likely than P(A&B), which is 1/P(B).
    When I realized this, the concept seems to sink in easier. Thanks for this video that helped me make the connection!

  • @RayRay-yt5pe
    @RayRay-yt5pe Год назад +2

    Man, I just want to say that, I am grateful for all your videos. They all involve examples and are straight to the point.

  • @shantanu925
    @shantanu925 2 года назад +4

    I love you.
    Note to self: When in future, I pass my classes and get a job, make sure to pay him back by supporting his patron!

  • @ronefana4015
    @ronefana4015 7 месяцев назад +21

    i have final exams in medicine but studying it to teach my gf whos architect :) worthy baby i love you honey soooo muchhhhh

  • @michaeltheisen
    @michaeltheisen Год назад +6

    Thanks for getting me through pre-algebra in Highschool. And, now, thanks for getting me through A.I. and ML. I graduate with my CS degree next week!

  • @josephlam6560
    @josephlam6560 2 года назад +2

    Best illustration of what Bayes Theorem is - dealing with 2 probabilities in series. Thanks a lot.

  • @muhammedashrafyunusa4862
    @muhammedashrafyunusa4862 Год назад +1

    Truly this guy is a master class teacher, He makes learning completely easy. I love you man

  • @samanthastricker180
    @samanthastricker180 2 года назад +8

    You have literally carried me through my degree since day one, thank you legend

  • @rubyl6249
    @rubyl6249 3 года назад +24

    I hope you are a teacher irl because our societies need teachers like you, instead of the ones that teach nothing but earning our tuition salaries....

  • @黄嘉宇-z6l
    @黄嘉宇-z6l 3 года назад +12

    step 1: play uni recording
    step 2: find the topic
    step 3: search in TOCT
    step 4: REALLY starting learning

  • @professorpanda5050
    @professorpanda5050 4 года назад +9

    Wow that second method where you create a tree diagram based off of an actual population estimate was really cleaver! Thanks for sharing.

  • @ndeshi_m_w
    @ndeshi_m_w Год назад +5

    We need more teacher that teach like this maybe then passing rates will be much better than now

  • @emiliospowerballer1441
    @emiliospowerballer1441 5 лет назад +44

    what i learned from this:
    if you have cancer, relax, just use the conditional probabilities and see that its all just a probability, that will cure your depression for sure

    • @الإسلامدينالحق-خ5ت
      @الإسلامدينالحق-خ5ت 4 года назад +1

      Just trust in Allah Almighty, and know that this is what He has determined for you to test whether you will be patient or not, and that if you are patient, he will be satisfied with you and you will attain eternal paradise, just do this and you will always rest, nothing is more comfortable psychologically than being a true Muslim

    • @ItsTornHD
      @ItsTornHD 3 года назад +1

      @@الإسلامدينالحق-خ5ت fuck man, the Christian I met last week was telling me the same thing. Idk who to choose. Can you demonstrate why I should pick Allah over the Christian god?

    • @adityabhardwaj3495
      @adityabhardwaj3495 3 года назад

      @@ItsTornHD wait.. what?

    • @khadijasallam8662
      @khadijasallam8662 3 года назад

      @@ItsTornHD they're the same God

    • @ItsTornHD
      @ItsTornHD 3 года назад

      @@adityabhardwaj3495 he claimed trust Allah, a Christian says the same thing. Demonstrate way Allah is more trustworthy over the Christian god

  • @michaelchapisa3709
    @michaelchapisa3709 8 месяцев назад

    This is after 5 years but your information is clear as day. you're the GOAT

  • @ducbinhnguyen6721
    @ducbinhnguyen6721 10 месяцев назад +1

    I will never thank you enough for making these videos. I am grateful for that !

  • @thobekalanga1452
    @thobekalanga1452 2 года назад +6

    You Sir are awesome :-) I have an exam in 2 days time and you have helped me understand Bayes' Theorem much better and fun to learn than other sources.

  • @elsiegama1474
    @elsiegama1474 2 года назад +4

    You don't know how many times you have saved my life!!!

  • @AlvinCwk
    @AlvinCwk 5 лет назад +579

    p(A video from you is awesome) = 1

  • @zzoldd
    @zzoldd 2 года назад

    from AS level organic chem in 2018 (11th grade) till biostatistics in 3rd year of medicine. I love you.

  • @cihancanatan6749
    @cihancanatan6749 3 года назад +2

    From chemistry to statistics this teaches almost everything

  • @deadxaim
    @deadxaim 4 года назад +10

    Thank you very much for this series of videos! I have been struggling with my WGU course for a few weeks, trying to understand these concepts, and this video is really helping me to turn a corner.

  • @sidekick3rida
    @sidekick3rida 2 года назад

    My favorite thing about your videos that so many others get wrong is that you're not reading from a script (talking to us instead of at us makes a huge difference)

  • @exxodas
    @exxodas 3 года назад +2

    This is the most elegant explanation of Bayes Theorem I have ever seen. Thank you sir.

  • @irvanlie7320
    @irvanlie7320 3 года назад

    I swear that this guy is an angel of all subjects. He will answer all of your curiosity and doubt through his magical videos.

  • @tech2day365
    @tech2day365 2 года назад +1

    Damn this man teaches every course you could imagine of, truly a gem

  • @engguray6152
    @engguray6152 2 года назад

    I started watching your videos when I was Freshman at university and Currently I'm Anesthesia student who studying Biostatistics Course in this semester. That's why I'm studying Statistics and probability.
    You deserve Noble price💎💎

  • @Syntaxxed
    @Syntaxxed Год назад

    I cannot believe the sheer simplicity of the last example where you used a simple tree diagram to get the same result as with the bayesian method!

  • @yeeshenlee5619
    @yeeshenlee5619 3 года назад +1

    I have a good lecturer to explain well in 3 hours, but here only need 19 mins. Time saver :)

  • @MosesKasila
    @MosesKasila Месяц назад

    Was scared of the theorem b4 but now it is in my blood,, really appreciate

  • @lancemelocoton198
    @lancemelocoton198 3 года назад +5

    The best professor so far, thank you

  • @TakoGoksadze
    @TakoGoksadze 2 года назад +2

    These explanations are so good that everything seems obvious, as if you already knew this. Thanks.

  • @Yaz71023
    @Yaz71023 Год назад

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    Good Job, and keep going, please.

  • @mukundchaffy3176
    @mukundchaffy3176 Месяц назад +1

    THIS IS VERY USEFUL FOR MY 8TH GRADE THANKS 🙏🏻

  • @husnainhyder6713
    @husnainhyder6713 4 года назад +3

    You have made something very easy which I regreted to learn in college
    Thanks a lot

  • @yuppmanky
    @yuppmanky 3 года назад +1

    Thanks man, Your tutorials are amazing...... Started following this channel when I was in 9th grade and now I am in college and still find my Problems being solved here. Thanks very much

  • @BMSKARATE
    @BMSKARATE 3 года назад +1

    Followed this in my Jupyter Notebook. Plugged in all values as they came. Amazing lesson!

  • @trevorarapu3109
    @trevorarapu3109 Год назад

    3 years ago and this content is still awesome

  • @khadijasallam8662
    @khadijasallam8662 3 года назад +2

    I'm not really sure if I'm watching because I have
    exams or coz I' m falling in love with his voice

  • @Princesses8999
    @Princesses8999 4 года назад +8

    may god bless you for all your good work!!

  • @yayajinji
    @yayajinji 5 лет назад +5

    just watched 2 of your videos & immediately subscribed. thx for the good content!

  • @kcsid
    @kcsid 2 года назад +8

    3 hours before exam 🫂

  • @a22923727
    @a22923727 3 года назад

    My CIS professor should be fire! Your teaching and explaining skills are way better than my CIS professor.

  • @fernandolozano9898
    @fernandolozano9898 2 года назад +1

    Amazing video. This theorem definitely required me to attempt a practice problem to properly understand it.

  • @andurg10
    @andurg10 2 года назад +1

    I was having tough time understanding this concept and you explained it so well. Thank you so much! I like all your videos.

  • @majorswagger2945
    @majorswagger2945 5 лет назад +5

    thank god this video came in time as I just started stats my stats class

  • @Purchase_Uganda
    @Purchase_Uganda 10 месяцев назад

    Why do lecturers make things difficult.. kudos to you💪🏾thanks

  • @jayce0015
    @jayce0015 2 года назад

    Your explanation makes life simple.

  • @Sk8erMorris
    @Sk8erMorris 4 года назад +5

    thanks for this one.. Bayes Rule had me really confused when trying to learn from the book.. first road block in Statistics and Probability

  • @SamuelLisita
    @SamuelLisita 10 месяцев назад

    Uliwakulefye bro, you're the G.O.A.T 🐐 👑

  • @Amhara632
    @Amhara632 2 года назад

    I have never been seen such an interesting channel

  • @iktmx8567
    @iktmx8567 3 года назад +4

    I have watched a lot of the vids from this channel and start to question my self why i have to pay my tuition fee, the only Bayes' theory the lecturer teach me is... *call out its name* and that is, literally teach me nothing and jump to the problem solving. I don't know whether i have to say f*ck my life or the college. Thank you for your vids THANK YOU

    • @chadx8269
      @chadx8269 3 года назад

      F##k them after you leave by not sending them money.

  • @dhruvpatel-ot4zf
    @dhruvpatel-ot4zf 2 года назад

    so easily explained cant imagine any better explaination thanksss a tonnn

  • @mohamid2k438
    @mohamid2k438 9 месяцев назад

    Thanks bro your a hero!!!!!!

  • @Restrux.69
    @Restrux.69 10 месяцев назад +1

    Romba nalla irruk!!
    Tamil!
    India❤🇮🇳

  • @ahmedismailbinamrai1080
    @ahmedismailbinamrai1080 5 месяцев назад

    You are simply amazing, Thank you for this clear explanation.

  • @aryaman4068
    @aryaman4068 2 года назад

    This guy is the god of Teachers

  • @user-wy7wl5on7l
    @user-wy7wl5on7l 2 года назад +1

    This was remarkably clearly explained. Thanks so much!

  • @atajanmamedov1849
    @atajanmamedov1849 3 года назад

    Salam and thank you from your 🇹🇲 follower, doing good...

  • @beatsxrnb
    @beatsxrnb 2 года назад

    U ARE LITERALLY A LIFE SAVER OMG

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    @nashnash3469 2 года назад +1

    You are always very helpful. I appreciate you

  • @ngocnhatnguyen7462
    @ngocnhatnguyen7462 3 года назад

    I understand this at the first time. Thank you so much.

  • @yassine.alouane
    @yassine.alouane 4 года назад

    Your explanation is simple and very clear, you are awsome

  • @sufyansuara7561
    @sufyansuara7561 2 года назад

    I really enjoyed your teaching. Great job, please keep your excellent work going.

  • @DoinksandArctic
    @DoinksandArctic 2 года назад

    How do I keep ending up on this channel lol You're the goat!!!

  • @trenetae
    @trenetae 2 года назад +2

    Another Great lesson, sir! Thank you so much!

  • @nojoodal-ghamdi5579
    @nojoodal-ghamdi5579 5 лет назад +1

    I just CANNOT THANK YOU ENOUGH 😩😩

  • @entertainsremy6808
    @entertainsremy6808 2 года назад

    Mehn your name should be on all academic awards given to these lecturers in my school

  • @KYOUMI5
    @KYOUMI5 Год назад

    If i find the required topic in this channel i will be sure i understand the topic

  • @sirekay4292
    @sirekay4292 3 года назад

    Thank you so much sir, I think I've finally understood my way around these type of questions after a very long time of struggling. Really Thank you.

  • @BrainGainzOfficial
    @BrainGainzOfficial 5 лет назад +4

    Love me some probability! Great vid as always!

  • @marcoventura9451
    @marcoventura9451 3 года назад +1

    Great video, as usual well explained with meaningful example. Thank You.

  • @souvikroychoudhury3612
    @souvikroychoudhury3612 3 года назад

    Outstanding explanation solved all my queries like crystal clear.

  • @lesorax123
    @lesorax123 2 года назад

    thanks

  • @antonbashkin6706
    @antonbashkin6706 2 года назад

    Always great lessons coming from this channel, amazing lesson

  • @senoxshorts9877
    @senoxshorts9877 3 года назад

    good explained, my think is change and i solve every problem in past i cant solved it. thanks for giving this think idea

  • @phionahnamwanga96
    @phionahnamwanga96 2 года назад

    I enjoy your videos alot and are also easy to interpret thank u so much sir

  • @ebenezer9354
    @ebenezer9354 2 года назад

    You're a magician hermano, Gracias.

  • @ajeanvi11e
    @ajeanvi11e 8 месяцев назад

    A brilliant video, thank you 👍🏽👍🏽👍🏽👍🏽

  • @ikartikthakur
    @ikartikthakur Год назад

    I will definitely pay back once I start earning with all the knowledge you gave us . Unless college which sucks money , teaches nothing and annoys with assignment n 75% attendance

  • @jayakumark5186
    @jayakumark5186 6 месяцев назад

    Thanks

  • @inomalgamage
    @inomalgamage Год назад

    Cleared many doubts 😌

  • @Oraini77
    @Oraini77 2 года назад

    Thanks!

  • @miray8939
    @miray8939 Год назад +1

    i have a question, thank you for the video but doesnt a false positive test result means negative? in the explanation you wrote (+/nc) and i think it should be (-/nc) @TheOrganicChemistryTutor, please correct me if i am wrong, thank you

  • @tzitzikas2004
    @tzitzikas2004 4 года назад +3

    Thank you! Excellent video. Do you have a playlist for Probability in your channel?

  • @Sauce-ke
    @Sauce-ke 3 года назад

    Better than my professor 100x!!!!

  • @asokhaleel6591
    @asokhaleel6591 5 лет назад

    Such an amazing explanation
    Good job sir

  • @saramaryammalik5460
    @saramaryammalik5460 3 года назад +1

    Sir
    With due respect, you have covered most of the topic in your videos, including the tiny ones ...
    However, there's a dire need of understanding Laplase Transform from you sir ...
    Hoping for videos on that topic too ...

  • @racingeye3826
    @racingeye3826 Год назад

    thank you so much, you are a life saver. i fully understand this. many thanks

  • @jacksonsinpawa9690
    @jacksonsinpawa9690 3 года назад +1

    Never mind anything but only thing that I really appreciate and serious is about my relationship with my Holy Creater the Father of all living things.

  • @SmitParekh-r1p
    @SmitParekh-r1p 24 дня назад

    "How much of A is in B"
    Bro explained the whole conditional probability with just one line. DAMN 💀
    I wish my college professors could do that.