Download Raid to get Legendary Loki t2m.io/FalseSwipeGaming + 2 strong Epics ⚡ Epic champions are available only via my link and for new players Hurry, Loki the Deceiver is a limited edition Champion, available by October 23rd by logging into RAID for 7 days Stopped playing Raid??? A limited time reward including the Epic champion Tagoar awaits! Click now to redeem t2m.io/WelcomeBackLink_2024
Perhaps the next theorem video could be why move sets (like mix attacking, fast physical, bulky special, etc) are close to everything or the Dragonite theorem
@@swallowmikeuhm6744tera is good defensively, z moves are good status wise, mega evolution is very offensive, and d/g max is very good at buffing/debuffing
Unironically that does fit into the theorem where if you can get bailed out by rng. They might get frozen or flinched by ice fang and your prediction was worked even though your opponent out predicted you
@@pmahcgop6693 basically if all options sucks (switching a defensive mon into a choice spec draco meteor maybe versus staying in and attacking but not KOin) but you outspeed, always go for the flinch, freeze, paralyze, sleep, or whatever chance
One time I fought someone with a tyranitar named "plz no lando", so I could instantly tell this was bait for me to send in lando or tusk or whatever ground type I happened to have to block the stone edge only for them to one shot me with ice beam. It was so incredibly obvious. I even said it in the chat. So naturally like a complete idiot I sent in my tusk anyway and it died to ice beam. Idk what's wrong with me. Even when I see something so obvious I get possessed into sabotaging myself.
Title of Video: "Why Prediction Isn't Everything" Content in Video: Extensive monologue about how important and decisive being able to make and execute on predictions are.
moral of the story: sometimes the optimal play is to turn your brain off and press the pretty button while your opponent does spectacular logical backflips and calculations without actually getting out of the way of the bus you're about to drive into them
That shot of Empoleon and Infernape both setting up Stealth Rocks when either one could kill the other is peak common singles behaviour. Sure, rocks are great, but shooting them out at the beginning of a fight isn't always the best idea
Literally. Some of the World Champions have degrees in economics and data analytics. It’s no wonder there’s a dearth of women who play. We’re systemically categorized into more “female friendly” career paths 💀
One of my favorite adages from Alpharad is "But what if it worked, though?" I like the man a lot, but he throws away perfectly good games (in multiple different contexts) because sometimes making the ludicrous read would've been more fun to watch if it worked. Which is showmanship over actual competitive strategy, to be sure, but he ain't wrong. Hard reads feel amazing to pull off, and you don't get those by playing too safe.
I never thought my art would wind up in an FSG video, but here I am! Thank you guys for showing it and properly crediting me. For reference, I'm at 10:00.
“You might know everything I’m going to do, but that’s not going to help you, since I know everything you’re going to do! Strange, isn’t it!? Grrrr!!!” -Legendary words from Sanic
My normal process for picking an option 1. Thinking about the logical move 2. Thinking about what risky opportunity that i can make 3. Thinking about the safe middleground play 4. Yoloing it with something random that just sprung to my mind 5. Either watch ur enemy lose their face or feel stupid
I tried to teach one of my friends competitive pokemon a long time ago. The hardest part was getting them to understand how to predict. I tried to tell them to think "if I was my opponent what would I do?" But they just couldn't get it
I was in my late 20's. My cousin was in his low teens and was just barely was getting into Pokemon. I gave him a unbalanced team of six that he wanted and I took him on with my Rain Dance team. The reason he wiped the floor with me? I kept expecting him to switch in unfavorable matchups. I literally mindgamed myself with the skill diff. Prediction indeed isn't everything. Even a starting trainer can beat a seasoned one if the seasoned trainer is used to higher level play. _NOW IF ONLY HE WASN'T SO BLOODY SMUG ABOUT IT._ Bragged his mouth off and I didn't say anything because him having self confidence was something I wanted to encourage. He never battled me again, so I don't know if I was a positive influence on him or not..... EDIT: Holy crap, this blew up. Okay....I'll try to answer you all out of kindness.
This is why prediction is less about knowing the mechanics/meta and more about knowing the player. You would've probably made a solid comeback if you had realized your bro's stubbornness and noob switching game halfway through, adjusting to play more aggressively by punishing him for staying in. In online matches against randoms this would be much harder, yea, but observing what they do throughout the match and if they're showing any patterns does help.
Recently fought a Trick Room team on ladder. I thought that the Indeedee would be Tera Fairy to dodge Dark Pulse so I used Tera Poison Tera Blast and it DIDNT TERA and I lost
Im surprised Dracovish wasnt mentioned, since that thing doesnt bother with predicting or being predicted. It just knows one thing. Kill anything without water absord, storm drain, or sturdy
If you can't make predication because you don't know the player, you should try to slowdown the game so you can learn your opponent. This is one of the reasons why hyper offense is a very high rist and high reward kind of team, and stall being the opposite. Because in hyper offense, you don't have the time to learn your opponent, you have to make dangerous choices.
Just tell them exactly what you are going to do, watch them panic, think you are baiting, then do exactly what they shouldn't. By the time they realize you were telling the truth you already won
I like to stall to read teams, see if they swap well or stay in etc, see if they click super effective or predictions too. And stop predicting swaps when they are not swapping etc, also if a super effective 1v1 would not hit a swap, just click neutral to both that might also status effect etc
Prediction IS everything but predicting everything is impossible. You have to consider all of your opponent's options instead of always doing something to counter one specific option
You addressed exactly the problem I had with prediction, the idea that once you think far enough up the prediction scale, it turns into wild guessing. But it turns out, the mistake was thinking one must be predicting all the time. I see, so the overarching skill isn't the prediction itself, but _when_ to make predictions. I had been put off PvP in turn based games, but this new understanding might spark my interest again. ❤
"'Predict!' They demand from me. 'You need to predict!' They exclaim. PREDICTING IS SAVED FOR THOSE WHO ARE NOT GIFTED BY LADY LUCK HERSELF NOW SIT BACK AND WATCH ME LAND THIS FOCUS BLAST" -Words your team never wants to hear in a Team Tourney (we went 3-1)
Gyarados being my favorite Pokémon I’ve been waiting for years for its remake vid, but I am very pleasantly surprised it gets a whole theorem video themed around it!!
@@RestingStitchFace0 I feel you, Gyarados is in my top 10 and power creep was not kind to him. Other than Lopunny and Bellossum (Both which are trash anyway) power creep was harsh too. At least Gothitelle is decent in early VGC formats. Gyarados had some success in early gen 9 VGC play.
are predicts optimal most of the time? no, are they cool, hype and make you feel like a G.O.A.T? yeah, and honestly that's good enough for me, I'm playing this game to have fun after all no need to overthink it
Little did you know that your opponents predicted that you would make outlandish plays and responded with what was seemingly a boring move when in reality they were playing 4D Chess!
This is my favourite video that you've done. The historical reviews of various competitive pokemon are always interesting but this felt like far more useful information than "This pokemon was pretty good in gen 5."
People are talking about predictions and stuff, and how the Miss chance in moves can just happen and you either account for it or just cry about it. But here I am, thinking on the Gyarados vs Infernape dillema part of the video: 'But what if, while I attack or set up dragon dance I get outsped in the first scenario or dont kill him in the second... But what if it burns tho?" Like, the chance is there if they're gutsy enough to risk it ... Remember folks, these predictions and calculation stuff are also being done (probably) by the opponent, be it on a more superficial or a more complex level, but it still is.
I'm not even halfway through and there's already so much useful and well laid-out information for new players, this video is gonna be a banger resource
Theorem Series is One of the Best, this time another of My favs gets the Mention Gyarados. I still remeber the time when I used to just play without even thinking about predictions and switches
The trick is to make the choice that has the greatest gains with the least amount of risk. Your might ohko the enemy if they switch into a water resist, but if their resist is has low bulk and you have a switch in go for the water move because even at half damage it’s worth it.
Very interesting video to watch! I specifically enjoyed your break down of how one needs to think about the end goal of a pokemon match (reminds me a lot of how in chess the middle game is supposed to be played towards a favourable end game) as well as showing how the to evaluate risk and reward in different situations. Very instructive!
I really like double switching right after u switched something in because u needed to and know they will switch to, it goes from u having the lower hand for which u needed to switch, to u having upper hand out prediction and scaring them
In fairness, even if he tells his opponent what he's going to do, the opponent doesn't necessarily know that he's telling the truth, so it's not entirely a fair comparison.
It feels amazing when I predict an Ogerpon wellspring switching into my sun boosted Walking Wake expecting a Hydro Steam and I snipe them with Draco Meteor. I chose to not take into account the times they switch in their dragon resist
The way that you consider these things in singles versus doubles is so crazy. I started learning VGC last year and it is so difficult for me to shift my mindset to where I'm willing to make risky plays when I know I could lose half my team in one turn as a result or they might double in on it my switch.
Another part of the theorem with discussing is actually in game rng and not just the random nature of mind games. If you click waterfall on thunder punch jirachi predicting they’ll switch into a ground type cause they’ll predict your switch into heatran even if it doesn’t work you Atleast made progress on that jirachi but could win the game with a lucky flinch which would be the opponent couldn’t even describe as being unfortunate. Opposingly thunder punching with jirachi has a chance to bail you out by getting a para on heatran or any other non ground type switch in, making long term progress with a crippling status.
Yep, ive definitely been caught by good predictions that i considered but didnt think y opponent would do. And I've had my games where i predicted my opponent perfectly, including the exact moment I predicted their prediction of me. This stuff is what really makes pokemon into a complex and engaging interaction.
Fun story, I was playing Stadium with my best friend a few weeks ago, and I had my Charizard out against his Gyarados. I figured that the best play I had was to switch out to my Gengar because the Gyarados I made for the custom format was too centralizing, only to get slammed by Earthquake and lose the game. Later in another game, I kept my Charizard in against his Golem so that I could give my Blastoise a free switch in after I die to Rock Slide, but stayed in as Earthquake did no damage to the fire type Charizard. It turned out his 10000 iq play of using Earthquake on Charizard expecting a switch in weak to it was actually a 0 iq play not knowing that Charmander evolves into a bird
This video should've been "Why Tiering is Everything" Ubers: everything is broken, but you get to play with pokegod. OU: sweaty tryhards who love the burn UU: sweaty tryhards with some personality RU: tinkering gods who manage to make teams out of situational and dysfunctional mons. NU: OU but the burn is slower and there's a lot more playing than mind gaming. ZU: the true casual mode LC: everything is extremely balanced (it's either a 1HKO or a 10HKO) and you feel like a pokegod when you manage to control the chaos contained within small margins and small numbers.
I think this theorem is predicated on two skills. 1: knowing how your resources match up into the opponents resources 2: making sure not to risk your one counter to the opponents mon-in-the-back. To strategically use your resources you first have to understand your own, your opponents and they match up. You can't make a strategy unless you have that understanding first.
This video is very helpful. Maybe a "team preview isn't everything" would be a great followup because I'm curious how the meta of generations after its inclusion adapted to not signposting a strategy before a match. Apparently it's even more front loaded in official tournaments where you submit your teams prior to entry and can see other people's teams, moves, Stat spreads etc (feel free to correct me if Im wrong)?
![Kodak Black - Catch Fire [Official Music Video]](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/A4ch-olIuZo/mqdefault.jpg)
Download Raid to get Legendary Loki t2m.io/FalseSwipeGaming + 2 strong Epics
⚡ Epic champions are available only via my link and for new players
Hurry, Loki the Deceiver is a limited edition Champion, available by October 23rd by logging into RAID for 7 days
Stopped playing Raid??? A limited time reward including the Epic champion Tagoar awaits! Click now to redeem t2m.io/WelcomeBackLink_2024
no
Perhaps the next theorem video could be why move sets (like mix attacking, fast physical, bulky special, etc) are close to everything or the Dragonite theorem
😢😮😮
Raid = Thumb down..sorry 🤷🏻♂️
ew tencent games
"if this works I'm a genius, if it doesn't I'm a dumbass"
I think that sums up most curiosity driven experiences.
Qoute me every game.
Ill take those odds , no regrets !
i think that is commonly referred to as "being real" because you arent real if you dont potentially throw for a 5% chance of the most shiest play ever
Unfortunate
Button one: Set up spikes
Button two: Attack
*Presses both*
Hisuian Samurott: 👍
Hisuiamurott: "Pssst! 🫴 It's free real estate. 😏"
*ceaseless edge missed
@@pmahcgop6693😢
@@pmahcgop6693 do it again
*low BST, especially speed enters the chat
"Why Prediction IS Everything - The Sucker Punch Theorem"
YES!
The kingambit theorem would go crazy
@@marcelomelo9977 Why endgames are everything
The Pursuit Theorem
pov: pokemon reborn new world field
- "He's not gonna Tera here. Why would he?"
- _Opponent immediately Teras and either sets up or kills my guy on the spot_
- Great game
Gen 9 in a nutshell
still more balanced than every previous gen metagame lol
@@swallowmikeuhm6744tera is good defensively, z moves are good status wise, mega evolution is very offensive, and d/g max is very good at buffing/debuffing
@@swallowmikeuhm6744ADV OU wants a word
@@swallowmikeuhm6744yeah no
Exclusively run Metronome on everything. Your enemy will never know your next move.
You can't get predicted if not even you know what your next move will be!
Infinite IQ
Isn’t this what they did in South Korea to protest their tournament system? I think they were banned
@@pokelover02 I didn't hear about that but it's hilarious if it's true!
Neither will you tho.
"Blunder with the offical agency gangsign" by kellen was NOT on my today's bingo list
CTC*
"I'll double switch over to your gf's house" is wild.i'd just apologize
Hell nah, you just have to use your strongest, more inaccurate move as you shout "Agency Agency" and you will be good
Its the only way
Facts
This comment made me chuckle
Damage
Don’t forget the “far more sinister” moment as well
LMAOOOOOO thanks for the shoutout goat
L’agency is now scientifically proven
AGENCY AGENCY
Yo agency never fails
this the CTC theorem
What IS the official agency gangsign?
Everybody gangsta until Bulky DD Gyarados Paralyzes you with Bounce.
Unironically that does fit into the theorem where if you can get bailed out by rng. They might get frozen or flinched by ice fang and your prediction was worked even though your opponent out predicted you
Never forget it can learn Thunder Wave
@@pmahcgop6693 basically if all options sucks (switching a defensive mon into a choice spec draco meteor maybe versus staying in and attacking but not KOin) but you outspeed, always go for the flinch, freeze, paralyze, sleep, or whatever chance
One time I fought someone with a tyranitar named "plz no lando", so I could instantly tell this was bait for me to send in lando or tusk or whatever ground type I happened to have to block the stone edge only for them to one shot me with ice beam. It was so incredibly obvious. I even said it in the chat. So naturally like a complete idiot I sent in my tusk anyway and it died to ice beam. Idk what's wrong with me. Even when I see something so obvious I get possessed into sabotaging myself.
😂😂
Nickname meta genius
Me: reaches elite four. “This seems like a good time to level up that level 5 magikarp I bought before mt moon”
I'm surprised Pursuit was never brought up in a scenario.
What's Pursuit? I know not of Pursuit. There's no such thing as Pursuit, you're crazy.
My only regret is Breloom/Scrafty don't learn Pursuit so they could run Focus Punch/Counter/Snatch/Pursuit.
BRO PREDICTED IT 0:29 😮😭💀
FSG: Came for the Pokemon tips, stayed for the psychological warfare advice
Title of Video: "Why Prediction Isn't Everything"
Content in Video: Extensive monologue about how important and decisive being able to make and execute on predictions are.
Can't wait for: Battles aren't everything, The Zigzagoon Theorem
Me yoinking items off the ground
Rider Willie enters the chat
*Bibarel theorum
Zigzagoon is the ZigzaGOAT
Can we get a “playing isn’t everything: the romhacking theorum”
moral of the story: sometimes the optimal play is to turn your brain off and press the pretty button while your opponent does spectacular logical backflips and calculations without actually getting out of the way of the bus you're about to drive into them
That shot of Empoleon and Infernape both setting up Stealth Rocks when either one could kill the other is peak common singles behaviour. Sure, rocks are great, but shooting them out at the beginning of a fight isn't always the best idea
The first step to being a Pokémon Master is getting a BA in economics or international relations with a focus on Game Theory models
You can also go for a BA in mathematics because statisticians are secretly masters themselves.
The fact that I'm doing exactly that 💀
you say this but blunder has a degree in business
lmao i'm getting a degree in economics right now
Literally. Some of the World Champions have degrees in economics and data analytics. It’s no wonder there’s a dearth of women who play. We’re systemically categorized into more “female friendly” career paths 💀
One of my favorite adages from Alpharad is "But what if it worked, though?" I like the man a lot, but he throws away perfectly good games (in multiple different contexts) because sometimes making the ludicrous read would've been more fun to watch if it worked. Which is showmanship over actual competitive strategy, to be sure, but he ain't wrong. Hard reads feel amazing to pull off, and you don't get those by playing too safe.
0:10 I have met people who didn't and were flabbergasted at the idea of prediction
"I don't like your playstyle, stop switching"
- Guy I fought one time
I never thought my art would wind up in an FSG video, but here I am! Thank you guys for showing it and properly crediting me. For reference, I'm at 10:00.
That art is fire bro. Great work.
“You might know everything I’m going to do, but that’s not going to help you, since I know everything you’re going to do! Strange, isn’t it!? Grrrr!!!”
-Legendary words from Sanic
What piece of sanic media was that??
@@CatLover-lk9gz first animated movie with metal sonic
@@CatLover-lk9gz Sonic OVA when he clashes with Metal Sonic.
My normal process for picking an option
1. Thinking about the logical move
2. Thinking about what risky opportunity that i can make
3. Thinking about the safe middleground play
4. Yoloing it with something random that just sprung to my mind
5. Either watch ur enemy lose their face or feel stupid
I tried to teach one of my friends competitive pokemon a long time ago.
The hardest part was getting them to understand how to predict.
I tried to tell them to think "if I was my opponent what would I do?" But they just couldn't get it
Showing actual battles with predictions in them might help
Haydunn is a very good channel, since he explains everything he's gonna do next
Some peopls just can't change perspective.
I was in my late 20's. My cousin was in his low teens and was just barely was getting into Pokemon. I gave him a unbalanced team of six that he wanted and I took him on with my Rain Dance team.
The reason he wiped the floor with me?
I kept expecting him to switch in unfavorable matchups. I literally mindgamed myself with the skill diff.
Prediction indeed isn't everything. Even a starting trainer can beat a seasoned one if the seasoned trainer is used to higher level play.
_NOW IF ONLY HE WASN'T SO BLOODY SMUG ABOUT IT._ Bragged his mouth off and I didn't say anything because him having self confidence was something I wanted to encourage. He never battled me again, so I don't know if I was a positive influence on him or not.....
EDIT: Holy crap, this blew up. Okay....I'll try to answer you all out of kindness.
This is why playing on lower ladder can be so difficult sometimes
This is why prediction is less about knowing the mechanics/meta and more about knowing the player.
You would've probably made a solid comeback if you had realized your bro's stubbornness and noob switching game halfway through, adjusting to play more aggressively by punishing him for staying in.
In online matches against randoms this would be much harder, yea, but observing what they do throughout the match and if they're showing any patterns does help.
Recently fought a Trick Room team on ladder. I thought that the Indeedee would be Tera Fairy to dodge Dark Pulse so I used Tera Poison Tera Blast and it DIDNT TERA and I lost
Giving him confidence is a good call. But on the other hand have you considered violence?
It often becomes a game of rock, paper, scissors
Im surprised Dracovish wasnt mentioned, since that thing doesnt bother with predicting or being predicted. It just knows one thing. Kill anything without water absord, storm drain, or sturdy
Or Dry Skin.
That's something BKC would say, but with Kellen's voice
He made a video on prediction not being everything a while ago.
@@teddyhaines6613 Yeah, that's why i said that
according to the description it was written by BKC so that makes sense
Considering BKC is the primary writer for FSG that makes sense
The 6x moonblast example is literally just his chomp vs 6 heatran example
You can predict all you want, but it won't change the fact you will miss a 95% accuracy move (even with boosted accuracy moves?)
"I predicted that I'd miss, this is why I ran blunder policy on my pokemon"
@@tomrejor4842tfw it always hit and you basically get to use zap cannon for free
@@tomrejor4842 only way to hit 8 Inferno in a row
pokemon players learning advanced war tactics so that they can get flinched 4 times in a row by dark pulse
...Wait a minute, I thought the Gyarados Theorem was about dual types not always being better than monotypes!
Oh, no. That’s the Aggron Theorem.
Prediction in Pokemon is the gateway to a gambling addiction
🤔
I feel like this comment is so right and so wrong at the same time
If you can't make predication because you don't know the player, you should try to slowdown the game so you can learn your opponent. This is one of the reasons why hyper offense is a very high rist and high reward kind of team, and stall being the opposite. Because in hyper offense, you don't have the time to learn your opponent, you have to make dangerous choices.
Just tell them exactly what you are going to do, watch them panic, think you are baiting, then do exactly what they shouldn't. By the time they realize you were telling the truth you already won
I like to stall to read teams, see if they swap well or stay in etc, see if they click super effective or predictions too. And stop predicting swaps when they are not swapping etc, also if a super effective 1v1 would not hit a swap, just click neutral to both that might also status effect etc
Similar principal to fighting games; sometimes you gotta make the crazy read that will blow up your opponent if its right.
And sometimes you do the splits IRL.
0:30 BKC jumpscare
Prediction IS everything but predicting everything is impossible. You have to consider all of your opponent's options instead of always doing something to counter one specific option
BKC plugging his own videos into FSG. Amazing work.
We’ve all had that moment where we’ve had Joey’s inner thought process in the Duelist Kingdom final vs Yugi when it comes to prediction
You addressed exactly the problem I had with prediction, the idea that once you think far enough up the prediction scale, it turns into wild guessing.
But it turns out, the mistake was thinking one must be predicting all the time. I see, so the overarching skill isn't the prediction itself, but _when_ to make predictions.
I had been put off PvP in turn based games, but this new understanding might spark my interest again. ❤
Should've called it the Unfortunate Theorum
Unfortunate does not begin to describe…
My series…
I watch every video, but have barely played myself. This feels like the single best explanation you have of how this game is ACTUALLY played! Love it!
Nah I’d make a hard read
(I lost to a crit regardless)
9:37 Watching this Breloom vs Roserade interaction triggered my Gen 9 brainrot thinking "Wait Roserade can't be Spore'd!"
That's not brainrot, that's called living in your time lol
"'Predict!' They demand from me. 'You need to predict!' They exclaim. PREDICTING IS SAVED FOR THOSE WHO ARE NOT GIFTED BY LADY LUCK HERSELF NOW SIT BACK AND WATCH ME LAND THIS FOCUS BLAST" -Words your team never wants to hear in a Team Tourney (we went 3-1)
Probably the most informative Pokemon video you’ve ever made. Thanks!
Gyarados being my favorite Pokémon I’ve been waiting for years for its remake vid, but I am very pleasantly surprised it gets a whole theorem video themed around it!!
Same, brother. Though I may cry when we get to Gen IX.
@@RestingStitchFace0 I feel you, Gyarados is in my top 10 and power creep was not kind to him. Other than Lopunny and Bellossum (Both which are trash anyway) power creep was harsh too. At least Gothitelle is decent in early VGC formats. Gyarados had some success in early gen 9 VGC play.
@@RestingStitchFace0 Gyarados needs SOMETHING like Liquidiation or Wave Crash. I do not want to live to see the day it drops to PU….
@@beebobber546 Give it a decent Flying STAB, or make it Dragon type, or Flip Turn.
I liked this theorem a lot, it even applies to fighting games as well. Shoutout to the Evo 2013 roll read clip you snuck in there
are predicts optimal most of the time? no, are they cool, hype and make you feel like a G.O.A.T? yeah, and honestly that's good enough for me, I'm playing this game to have fun after all no need to overthink it
L take
Little did you know that your opponents predicted that you would make outlandish plays and responded with what was seemingly a boring move when in reality they were playing 4D Chess!
"If I miss, I'm just another dude with a bow" is how I'd describe risky reads. Or focus blasts. One of those two.
“You may know everything I’m going to do, but that’s not going to help you, because I know everything you’re going to do!
Strange, isn’t it?!”
Gyarados: "Should I attack or DD?"
Dynamax Moxie Gyarados: "Why not both?"
This is my favourite video that you've done. The historical reviews of various competitive pokemon are always interesting but this felt like far more useful information than "This pokemon was pretty good in gen 5."
People are talking about predictions and stuff, and how the Miss chance in moves can just happen and you either account for it or just cry about it.
But here I am, thinking on the Gyarados vs Infernape dillema part of the video: 'But what if, while I attack or set up dragon dance I get outsped in the first scenario or dont kill him in the second... But what if it burns tho?" Like, the chance is there if they're gutsy enough to risk it
... Remember folks, these predictions and calculation stuff are also being done (probably) by the opponent, be it on a more superficial or a more complex level, but it still is.
Unless your opponent is 100% desperate, they will not stay in hoping that they can get a burn in that scenario. The odds for them are too low.
Blunder's perfect move is sacking the featured mon (100% success rate)
Underrated comment 😂
I'm not even halfway through and there's already so much useful and well laid-out information for new players, this video is gonna be a banger resource
Im impressed with this vid false swipe. I have the feeling you would make an excellemt pokemon professor/teacher.
Me 80% of the time:" f*ck it we ball!"
My opponent:" wow he must be a genius to outsmart me like that"
Aight when is, “Why luck is everything”? Jirachi gotta be the poster pokemon with para-flinch
Cool episode. This stuff applies in life to. Specially for investors, risk vs reward is key
This is one of the best explanations I've ever seen of the psychology of this game
It works like a triangle
No predicting
One of the most well thought out and informative theorem vids yet. Keep up the great work fellas!
The reason I adore this channel is because I get gen 7 frame 1 on videos. Always appreciate gen 7
Theorem Series is One of the Best, this time another of My favs gets the Mention Gyarados.
I still remeber the time when I used to just play without even thinking about predictions and switches
Blunder finally getting the feature
The trick is to make the choice that has the greatest gains with the least amount of risk. Your might ohko the enemy if they switch into a water resist, but if their resist is has low bulk and you have a switch in go for the water move because even at half damage it’s worth it.
Like Hannibal Barca crossing the Swiss Alps in the dead of winter, the line between tactical genius and suicidal idiocy is extremely thin.
This is the Lavos theory
I love the psychological aspect of this video, one of my favorites that you have done
Let's be honest, THIS is the most relatable video they have ever dropped amd ever will drop
This is my favorite of the series so far, since while this is a slightly more abstract concept, it is essential to every format.
Very interesting video to watch! I specifically enjoyed your break down of how one needs to think about the end goal of a pokemon match (reminds me a lot of how in chess the middle game is supposed to be played towards a favourable end game) as well as showing how the to evaluate risk and reward in different situations. Very instructive!
Ay yo the Blunder Double switch on the girlfriend with CTC throwing up agency gang signs is out of pocket
I really like double switching right after u switched something in because u needed to and know they will switch to, it goes from u having the lower hand for which u needed to switch, to u having upper hand out prediction and scaring them
First is the confirmation of my new job. Now a new False Swipe Theorem.
Today is a great day.
Congradulations!
Grats
This might be the most important theorem video so far.
BKC! Like wolfe said, it's all positional. Wolfe did a video where he tells his opponent what he is going to do and STILL wins
In fairness, even if he tells his opponent what he's going to do, the opponent doesn't necessarily know that he's telling the truth, so it's not entirely a fair comparison.
Imagining a Sexy Jutsu from Naruto in Ultimate Ninja 2 and instead he goes for a Rasengan instead to knock you out! LOL
It feels amazing when I predict an Ogerpon wellspring switching into my sun boosted Walking Wake expecting a Hydro Steam and I snipe them with Draco Meteor.
I chose to not take into account the times they switch in their dragon resist
A big miss to call this the Sucker Punch Theorem.
Hell, no Sucker Punch even in this vid, as it is the textbook move for this theorem.
The Kingambit Theorem
Defensive pokemon betrayed by their movepool idea...
as Ron Nasty of the Rutles once sang:
“I know you know what you know, but you should know by now that you’re not me”
Possibly the greatest thumbnail I've ever seen, I've been laughing for a solid 5 minutes straight
The way that you consider these things in singles versus doubles is so crazy. I started learning VGC last year and it is so difficult for me to shift my mindset to where I'm willing to make risky plays when I know I could lose half my team in one turn as a result or they might double in on it my switch.
Another part of the theorem with discussing is actually in game rng and not just the random nature of mind games. If you click waterfall on thunder punch jirachi predicting they’ll switch into a ground type cause they’ll predict your switch into heatran even if it doesn’t work you Atleast made progress on that jirachi but could win the game with a lucky flinch which would be the opponent couldn’t even describe as being unfortunate. Opposingly thunder punching with jirachi has a chance to bail you out by getting a para on heatran or any other non ground type switch in, making long term progress with a crippling status.
Yep, ive definitely been caught by good predictions that i considered but didnt think y opponent would do. And I've had my games where i predicted my opponent perfectly, including the exact moment I predicted their prediction of me. This stuff is what really makes pokemon into a complex and engaging interaction.
More than a theorem, this is Gyarados Paradox.
Outlandish soul reads in randbats is so, chefs kiss. And similarly with insane bluffs.
Archaludon is a good example of this. You know exactly what it’s going to do but can’t stop it.
Fun story, I was playing Stadium with my best friend a few weeks ago, and I had my Charizard out against his Gyarados. I figured that the best play I had was to switch out to my Gengar because the Gyarados I made for the custom format was too centralizing, only to get slammed by Earthquake and lose the game. Later in another game, I kept my Charizard in against his Golem so that I could give my Blastoise a free switch in after I die to Rock Slide, but stayed in as Earthquake did no damage to the fire type Charizard.
It turned out his 10000 iq play of using Earthquake on Charizard expecting a switch in weak to it was actually a 0 iq play not knowing that Charmander evolves into a bird
Nah, predicting my opponent would switch out into Gyarados against my Alolan Marowak into my Thunder Punch was euphoric.
love the princess bride reference!!! Anyone who hasn't watched that movie should
This comes off like a jamvad video I love it
This was just like listening to BKC's regular channel. I feel like every other video he breaks into a tangent about finding the middle ground
This video should've been "Why Tiering is Everything"
Ubers: everything is broken, but you get to play with pokegod.
OU: sweaty tryhards who love the burn
UU: sweaty tryhards with some personality
RU: tinkering gods who manage to make teams out of situational and dysfunctional mons.
NU: OU but the burn is slower and there's a lot more playing than mind gaming.
ZU: the true casual mode
LC: everything is extremely balanced (it's either a 1HKO or a 10HKO) and you feel like a pokegod when you manage to control the chaos contained within small margins and small numbers.
“Why the HOW GOOD WAS (POKEMON) ACTUALLY? series isn’t everything”
My talonflame today...Taunt or Tailwind the hydreigon? Taunted, and ate a draco meteor...
XD it happened to me... i Fake out and Roar to stop trickroom and Dragonite just said Cover Cloath is GG
I think this theorem is predicated on two skills.
1: knowing how your resources match up into the opponents resources
2: making sure not to risk your one counter to the opponents mon-in-the-back.
To strategically use your resources you first have to understand your own, your opponents and they match up. You can't make a strategy unless you have that understanding first.
This video is very helpful. Maybe a "team preview isn't everything" would be a great followup because I'm curious how the meta of generations after its inclusion adapted to not signposting a strategy before a match. Apparently it's even more front loaded in official tournaments where you submit your teams prior to entry and can see other people's teams, moves, Stat spreads etc (feel free to correct me if Im wrong)?