Ukraine: the war is ending and here is why

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  • Опубликовано: 2 авг 2024
  • This is a rare (for me) video about the Ukainian offensive and the Ukraine war in general.
    I will quickly go back to planes.
    / @weebunionwu
    / @dpa-war
    / @historylegends
    00:00 Apologies
    01:07 What Happened?
    04:43 The Battlefield is Transparent
    15:26 The Battlefield is Empty
    19:57 The Armchair General
    28:05 How to Change all of This
    38:20 Outro
    Join this channel to support it:
    / @millennium7historytech
    Support me on Patreon / millennium7
    One off donation with PayPal www.paypal.com/paypalme/Mille...
    Join the Discord server / discord
    Buy an Aircraft Model at Air Models! airmodels.net/?aff=173
    ----------------------------
    Ask me anything!
    Take part to the community Q&A clicking the link below!
    forms.office.com/r/LNPQtf3Tc0
    --------------------
    Visit the subreddit!
    / millennium7lounge
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    All images and additional video segments contained in the Thumbnails and/or B-roll segments are used in strict compliance with the appropriate permissions and licenses required from the source and in accordance with the RUclips Partner Program, Community guidelines & RUclips terms of service.

Комментарии • 4,9 тыс.

  • @Millennium7HistoryTech
    @Millennium7HistoryTech  Год назад +246

    This is a rare (for me) video about the Ukainian offensive and the Ukraine war in general.
    I will quickly go back to planes.
    www.youtube.com/@WeebUnionWU
    www.youtube.com/@DPA-War
    ruclips.net/channel/UCHqqf2BwNM4Oih-a_ikbWww
    Join this channel to support it:
    ruclips.net/channel/UCVDkfkGRzo0qcZ8AkB4TMuwjoin
    Support me on Patreon www.patreon.com/Millennium7
    One off donation with PayPal www.paypal.com/paypalme/Millennium7star
    Join the Discord server discord.gg/nCHxkzyH9T
    Buy an Aircraft Model at Air Models! airmodels.net/?aff=173
    ----------------------------
    Ask me anything!
    Take part to the community Q&A clicking the link below!
    forms.office.com/r/LNPQtf3Tc0
    --------------------
    Visit the subreddit!
    www.reddit.com/r/Millennium7Lounge/
    ---------------------
    All images and additional video segments contained in the Thumbnails and/or B-roll segments are used in strict compliance with the appropriate permissions and licenses required from the source and in accordance with the RUclips Partner Program, Community guidelines & RUclips terms of service.

    • @thunderkus290
      @thunderkus290 Год назад +13

      Insight appreciated even if limited. Don't stop bro you got this🤘

    • @enchated1847
      @enchated1847 Год назад +5

      No worries man! Just saying if u ever run out of ideas, india's 5th gen program (AMCA) is always there for analysis

    • @gaborjuracsik4847
      @gaborjuracsik4847 Год назад +10

      Stick to planes.
      You asked for it, so you got it. And now I'm going to watch the video.

    • @88njtrigg88
      @88njtrigg88 Год назад +1

      @@gaborjuracsik4847 Agreed.

    • @davejob630
      @davejob630 Год назад +3

      For what it's worth, I think you gave an excellent analysis. It's a shame the Ukrainians don't have the air support the allies had in the European campaign.

  • @robertharper3754
    @robertharper3754 Год назад +70

    The fields are so thick with mines, and the Russians are dug in deeper than a tick, that ANY military would have a terrible time with advancing through.

    • @pierredelecto7069
      @pierredelecto7069 Год назад +16

      You'd need a ton of air power to be able to bypass the defense lines and directly hit supply bunkers, trenches and artillery.

    • @pilotmanpaul
      @pilotmanpaul Год назад +6

      This is why you need a crap ton of airpower. To breakthrough those lines, you need to hammer those trenches with GBUs months in advance.

    • @A2Z1Two3
      @A2Z1Two3 Год назад +3

      This is what the cluster munitions are for , they will destroy paths through the minefields then destroy invaders in their trenches prior to the tanks and infantry attack .

    • @rogerc6533
      @rogerc6533 Год назад +38

      @@A2Z1Two3 The whole reason cluster munitions have such a bad humanitarian rep is because of the high incidence of dangerous unexploded ordinance they leave behind, essentially turning them into mines. Targeting minefields with cluster weapons is essentially adding your own mines to the mix.

    • @billhanna2148
      @billhanna2148 Год назад +16

      To see the Ukrainians trying to do this WITHOUT an air force is bonkers

  • @captainthunderbolt7541
    @captainthunderbolt7541 Год назад +245

    There is no negotiated resolution that allows Ukraine to prepare for a round 2. That is a complete nonstarter.

    • @doomedwit1010
      @doomedwit1010 Год назад

      This is funny if satire :-D. But also may be true - there is no sign Russia will settle for anything less than the total conquest of Ukraine.
      The war ends the day Russia withdraws to its own borders, and is over until Russia starts another unprovoked war of conquest.
      So it doesn't matter if neither side can win. The war won't end.

    • @djbabbotstown
      @djbabbotstown Год назад

      Exactly. The Russians have the bit between their teeth and they’ve been crossed and fooled too many times with delay strategies and agreements that are never signed in good faith.

    • @whitescar2
      @whitescar2 Год назад +89

      Yeah, the biggest issue here is that:
      A. Russia is not a reliable partner in negotiations. Russia had negotiated so many treaties with Ukraine and about Ukraine, and broke all of them.
      B. Russia's political goals in this war are, as was proven by a mistakenly posted article on the 2nd day of the war in a prime Russian newspaper, to "solve the Ukrainian question". This isn't a war that Russia will negotiate a settlement to, nor can Ukraine afford to do so because it ends Ukrainian existence as a state.
      So as much as we may like to kid ourselves that negotiations will somehow save us, they won't happen. Ukraine offered terms and Putin threw them back, because he wants everything, and after seeing what Russia has done to Ukraine and Ukrainians in the territories it has occupied, Ukraine knows what's in store if they lose or give up.

    • @alispeed5095
      @alispeed5095 Год назад +108

      @@whitescar2 Russia broke treaties? interesting....

    • @anteeko
      @anteeko Год назад +50

      "There is no negotiated resolution that allows Ukraine to prepare for a round 2. That is a complete nonstarter."
      And it is a non-starter as a cease fire would allow Russia to re-arm too (and put Ukraine in a greater danger). This a fight for survival to them.

  • @JGL841
    @JGL841 Год назад +330

    "....and I'll go back to making aviation videos that nobody watches."
    224K views on this video alone is nothing to be ashamed about! I watch because I love your passion and your dedication to educating me on aviation science and engineering. You're approaching 100K subscribers as well, something that's not that easy to do these days. You are appreciated! ❤

    • @combobreaker228
      @combobreaker228 Год назад +8

      laughed so loud at this moment xD

    • @ronnymcdonald2543
      @ronnymcdonald2543 Год назад +5

      Huh there are some nice people left online, good onya matey

    • @Microphunktv-jb3kj
      @Microphunktv-jb3kj Год назад +2

      That was some weird cheapshot...
      225k is def succesful yt channel... its almost like 1/5 of entire Estonian population...
      :DDD

    • @peka2478
      @peka2478 Год назад

      he's going the Perun way, who also, at the end of his very first military analysis video, said something to the effect of "yeah i know i should go back to commenting on computer games" ;)

    • @jclarke713
      @jclarke713 Год назад +1

      I'm an Aviation Fanatic too .... I have an extensive collection of mostly WWII airplanes but I grew up in an area loaded with early aviation history , probably one of the most impressive people in the field was knowing Igor Sikorsky ( from my Hometown once settled in America and His Personal history , This is also the home many fabulous planes including the F4-U and many flying Boats ... Fascinating...

  • @vapelord2705
    @vapelord2705 11 месяцев назад +17

    I never truly believed Russia would win in a flash, but one thing I've always been certain on is that Ukraine WILL eventualy lose, is just a matter of time, and at least from my point of view, after the recent Wagner incursion on Moscow, Putin may even be with more morale than before.
    Though it's all my opinion, just that.

    • @lexburen5932
      @lexburen5932 12 дней назад

      it could. but russian uses the strategy : attrition war. ever heard about it ?. ukraine could be completely flattened in couple hours if russia really wanted.

  • @bobbycarlin6136
    @bobbycarlin6136 Год назад +281

    I couldn't see serious negotiations taking place without something majorly changing the situation. The Ukrainians are not ready right now to cede 5 of their oblasts in their entirety to Russia. And now that Russia has annexed the oblasts, they are not yet ready to accept anything less. Something needs to dramatically change the calculus for any agreement to be reached.

    • @4Fixerdave
      @4Fixerdave Год назад +115

      Especially when you consider that if they do negotiate a cease fire, knowing full well that Russia will opt for round 2, there is little chance Ukraine will get the same level of support for said second round. They are in this to the end. They will continue fighting until Russia decides to lose. They have no other choice.

    • @1988jeffy
      @1988jeffy Год назад +76

      ​@@4Fixerdavethey arent going to get the same level of support going forward. Doesn't matter what leaders say - public opinion will turn, the UKR flags in the bio's will go, people are engaged with this in a shallow manner. As US elections approach this will shift for the worse for UKR

    • @4Fixerdave
      @4Fixerdave Год назад +112

      @@1988jeffy Not the view from where I'm living. Not going to speak for the rest of the world but, for what it's worth, polling so far indicates pretty broad support, including increased support for sending more weapons. And, considering the nations currently supporting Ukraine make up 40% of world GDP compared to Russia's 1.4%, even if half got distracted it would make little difference. 20% compared to 1.4% is still no contest.
      Bucha, abducting children, causing famines in Africa, nuclear sabre rattling every other Tuesday... Yeah, I really don't expect world sympathy to shift from Ukraine to Russia anytime soon. If Ukraine loses, Russia becomes *our* problem so we'll keep supporting Ukraine to make sure that doesn't happen. The EU could and will do that alone if they have to. Supporting Ukraine is way cheaper than garrisoning Eastern Europe.
      My point was that if Ukraine opted for a negotiated settlement then everyone would forget about it and support would dry up. If that happened, they would get rolled over when Russia attacked again. So, they're not going to negotiate unless it comes with absolute security guarantees, basically immediate NATO membership. And, NATO wins so long as the war continues... no... I don't think they're going to negotiate.

    • @Mortablunt
      @Mortablunt Год назад

      Zelensky admit:
      1. Crimea and Donbass ARE Russian and ARE Russia
      2. EU won't happen
      3. NATO won't happen
      4. Making nice with Russia is the only way to not get hanged in Red Square like he deserves

    • @bobbycarlin6136
      @bobbycarlin6136 Год назад

      @4Fixerdave I am not sure. But no matter what happens i agree this is a huge victory for the west. Sweden and Finland have joined NATO. If there is a ceasefire the west will have the powerful Ukrainian military as a bulwark against Russia right on its border. Europe is taking defense more seriously and will not put up with Russian aggression the way they have in the past. The Russian military is squandering many of its modern warfighting capabilities and political capital on the world stage. And the west is able to test weapons in real world scenarios and learn the best ways to fight land wars for decades to come. All while providing a boost to the military industrial complex and sacrificing the lives of zero western soldiers. Aside from the obvious humanitarian reasons there is no incentive for west to want this war to end without a total defeat of Russia. The west wants to keep on winning so the low effort support that has helped keep Ukraine afloat will keep flowing as long as there is someone semi competent in charge. The only way I could see it change is if that Trump lunatic wins again since he is in Putin's pocket.

  • @pedroluciano2643
    @pedroluciano2643 8 месяцев назад +10

    I have been a fan of aviation techonology since childhood, reading and studying extensively about military aircraft from the entire world. I learn a lot with your videos, thanks for the very professional work.

  • @0815Snickersboy
    @0815Snickersboy Год назад +249

    I like the video because it highlights the strengths of the russian military as well and therefore gives a more objective view than many other videos on the topic. But I dislike the title because nothing you said in the video indicated that this war will end anytime soon.

    • @juryfilatov4520
      @juryfilatov4520 Год назад

      Yes you are right. But this is not a war between Russia and Ukraine, this is a war between China and the United States. It's just that Russia is a military partner of China and the United States considered Russia a weak link and struck through a proxy force.
      Russia withstood the blow, and now the expression "war to the last Ukrainian" will soon cease to be just a saying. The United States will actually destroy all Ukrainians in this war, then the Poles will go to the slaughter. And all this in order to break Russia, leave China without resources and gain access to China by land through its north.

    • @googlekullancs564
      @googlekullancs564 Год назад +88

      Thanks, to saving my 40 minutes.

    • @far_centrist
      @far_centrist Год назад +38

      bad losses and small progress are indication of war ending. this is because you can't build more and more well trained units indefinitely. ukr is already on multiple conscription while rus only ever did one. if ukr somehow succeeded in their offensive, it will end up as a pyrrhic victory.
      unfortunately lots of polarized people would go "what about kharkiv" something like that. the thing is that minor or major frontline changes happens all the time. what mattered is the strength and resources to conduct the war and see to its conclusion. i can name lots of nations or kingdoms that seized literal nation's sized land, only to lose it all by the end. one great example is how germany took a major swath of lands in europe, many times it's own size, only to lose them all in 5 years and having itself split between two superpowers by the end.

    • @fogellmclovin3740
      @fogellmclovin3740 Год назад

      ​@@far_centrist I disagree. In WW1 the first opening months were a very mobile war, with major changes to the frontlines, mostly because the battlefield was a game of chess, troops werent stationed at the first line and told to hold. Then both sides decided to dig trenches to stabilize their gains and inflict losses to the enemy. This caused the entire frontline to be manned 24/7 by millions of troops in only a few km in depth. I think the same has happened in Ukraine, but obviously in smaller numbers. In Kharkiv, Ukraine didnt assault trenches in platoon or company elements (as they do now), they assaulted villages in battalion attacks. Clearly the current offensive is so slow and costly because Russia has decided to put thousands of men at the first lines of defense, which in a lot of places is the only line of defense. This can work both against Ukraine and in favor of Ukraine, it just depends on how they play their cards. If Ukraine gets F16 quickly, effectively, and in numbers, then maybe they can achieve air superiority. Air superiority was ABSOLUTELY VITAL to Desert Storm and Iraq 2, where Iraqi forces got bombed to shreds in their fortified lines of trenches. Neither side wants to use trenches in the modern era, I mean look at how many Russian positions have been documented by satelite imagery. They're there for everyone to see!
      Small progress isnt an indication of the war ending, it's an indication of an uncertain offensive.

    • @marsdriver2501
      @marsdriver2501 Год назад +8

      @@far_centrist you are saying "war ending", like both sides are absolutely static and stable, they are not. Prigozhyn proved that russia has problems inside meaning instability, Ukrainians rely on the western support, which can be the point for instability with delays or small deliveries of sometimes poorly maintained vehicles

  • @FloraJoannaK
    @FloraJoannaK 11 месяцев назад +10

    Exceptional analysis. I learned a lot, and know now where to look for more on key concepts. Thanks!

  • @WeebUnionWU
    @WeebUnionWU Год назад +52

    Thank you very much for the shoutout my brother is a regular watcher of yours and has many good things to tell me about you and he let me know about it. I'm looking forward to watching this video!

    • @Millennium7HistoryTech
      @Millennium7HistoryTech  Год назад +15

      Thanks! Your daily videos, and DPAs', are the first daily news i watch, before moving to anything else.

    • @chrisrobert5252
      @chrisrobert5252 Год назад

      a lot of comments from pro-genocide Zniks here, like on Weeb Union. It's no coincidence...

    • @ajc5479
      @ajc5479 Год назад

      @@Millennium7HistoryTech Don't worry, lots of idiots watch those Kremlin paid for channels

    • @rosomak8244
      @rosomak8244 Год назад +1

      @@Millennium7HistoryTech Be careful with them. They are not independent sources either. And they are sensationalising "battles of the next barn around the corner".

    • @diegosalazar550
      @diegosalazar550 Год назад +4

      @@rosomak8244I’ve ​noticed they do tend to be much more objective than most sources, a true unbiased source of information is not currently possible (Even if the creator himself is trying his best to be unbiased). The best we can get at the moment is creators that instead of blatantly pushing propaganda actually try to be honest with the audience and lower their own biases; examples are WillyOAM, Free Russia Channel, DPA, Weeb Union, Military Summary, History Legends, Perun, etc. Some of these are self-admitted pro-ukraine (two actually), the others keep it ambiguous but claim neutrality. Personally I try to stay away from the most biased sources, I’ve found blatant pro-russian channels that I dislike as well as pro-ukraine channels that I also dislike because they are blatant propaganda (I have something against propaganda channels, I hate their inauthenticity) some examples are Denys Davydov, Artur Rehi, Airpower, and Hindustan Times, as well as most mainstream media.

  • @famnyblom6321
    @famnyblom6321 Год назад +191

    This video is a rare sight on RUclips when it comes to the war in Ukraine. Someone actually trying to be objective and also seemingly succeeds. Well done!

    • @yonkeuulen8380
      @yonkeuulen8380 Год назад +16

      Jackson Hinkle
      Scott Ritter
      Douglas McGregor

    • @famnyblom6321
      @famnyblom6321 Год назад +8

      @@yonkeuulen8380 thanks, it is so easy to get stuck in a bubble with a lot of biased content.

    • @ghostmourn
      @ghostmourn Год назад

      War on the rocks.

    • @ProtonSucks
      @ProtonSucks Год назад

      No he's not, he's obviously biased, saying "let's hope that" the incident that happened in Dec. 2011 when Iraq captured an american drone won't happen again. Quite a big hint that he's pro-Ukrainian and anti-Russia. LOL look at this joker, "objective". ROFL!

    • @annoloki
      @annoloki Год назад

      @@yonkeuulen8380 I wouldn't say Ritter and McGregor are particularly trying to be objective... yes, they're mostly right, apart from McGregor's recent points on whether the US makes countries pay off their war debts... they do, this is largely the point here, Ukraine wasn't giving up enough of its country to Western capital that wants more assets to own, control, profit from, these war debts are forcing Ukraine to be sold off... that's why the F16s are coming for after the war, the investments will need protecting. Hinkle's not even close... like... it's a war for raw greed and power, it has nothing to do with "woke leftists" or whatever... when you need to trick people into supporting a war, the ideology of the tricked people is not the cause of the war... it's simply a tool that they have left themselves vulnerable to be controlled with.

  • @charlie44266
    @charlie44266 Год назад +38

    To the contrary, I love your flight dynamics videos and watch all I can find.
    This was a good start and as close to comprehensive as one could get within a few minutes. Keep going! Please!

  • @shadownor
    @shadownor Год назад +6

    I know that it is a different kind of video for you, but I enjoyed it and feel informed. I was an F-15 A-D flightline weapons troop back in the 80s, so this is a nice channel.

  • @richardwhitejr.5202
    @richardwhitejr.5202 Год назад +23

    Be encouraged brother! I always watch to the end and appreciate the all of the hard work that goes into producing such in-depth analysis. I also very much appreciate the balance you show and the discussion of alternative opinions which are so often part of your presentations.

  • @rockapedra1130
    @rockapedra1130 Год назад +146

    Very good. Clear exposition of facts. Analysis. Zero politics. Haven't seen anything like this before! Good job! 👍👍👍

    • @An1Kum
      @An1Kum Год назад +8

      Zero politics ? He didn't even tried to discuss options Russians have to win the war.

    • @ololoken
      @ololoken Год назад +6

      @@An1Kum because all other options, except 4 mentioned by author, leads to Russian win.

    • @hb1338
      @hb1338 Год назад +1

      @@ololoken ALL ?

    • @gianmarionava
      @gianmarionava Год назад

      It is all politics! How many losses can you bear is politics, how many weapons can you receive is politics. Don't be naive, war is politics, you can not wash your hands and not take side.

    • @andrews.5212
      @andrews.5212 Год назад +7

      Very brave from you to speak openly about the russo-ukranian conflict.
      The moment one doesn't kiss the feet of Kokeinsky the western NAFO bot assault hin as a Putin apologist.
      Being objective on this conflict mean recognizing Russian reasons and realizing that both the battlefield and the diplomatic scene favour Russia, not Ukraine.
      The more this war drags on the more Kiev loses.
      I am surprised that "NATO doctrines" are still taken seriously..
      NATO doctrines of "maneuver warfare" and "shock and awe" are only effective against forces that cannot shoot back. They have only worked against prostrated technologically interior and ammunition starved formations.. whenever Russia or Ukraine tried manuever warfare against a near peer enemy with plenty of drones, AA and AT weapons they have always suffered heavy losses.
      Russia learned this and stopped charging head first and started degrading ukr firepower, Ukraine just doubled down. With predictable result.

  • @thirzel
    @thirzel 10 месяцев назад +5

    Deeply impressed! This is at a very high technical and scientific level. Thank you for such a reasonable insight.

  • @sharpiefps7630
    @sharpiefps7630 11 месяцев назад +6

    Great video, because of the absence of this video format everywhere. Someone like you who gathers facts and asks a lot of questions instead of forcing down your opinion. All you can see, and nothing else, in the media, is people blindly rooting for one side or the other, which can be really tempting at times. While the fog of war is thick, there is a lot of provocative questions that can be asked. Just like in politics, transparency of information, checks and balances must be present. There are simply no unbiased sober Ukraine-Russia conflict critics currently, not that I know of, personally. Keep it up, sir. 👍

  • @javierititin
    @javierititin Год назад +3

    "I recommend History Legends" well that's all I need to know.

  • @1Shapic1
    @1Shapic1 Год назад +183

    Nice video, however it is weird that you totally omitted Russian lancet drones that seem to be pouring en masse to frontline past 2 month. Amount of published videos is staggering (you can check the site that tracks them) especially considering their scarcity past year. Zala + 2 lancets combo has proven to be really effective and is mostly used in counter artillery now.

    • @andreycham4797
      @andreycham4797 Год назад +19

      And I do not get why Ukrainians shoot Turkish Bairaktars when Russians did not have them

    • @swordsman1137
      @swordsman1137 Год назад +18

      ​@@andreycham4797blue on blue also known as friendly fire

    • @christophmeier3185
      @christophmeier3185 Год назад +46

      Exactly!
      Not mentioning Lancet - it's a strong indicator that "Millennium 7" has no clue about what's going on in the that war ... or that he likes to cover up things.
      I appreciate his knowledge and some of his vids about airplanes. But him talking about the war ... he's very bad informed or likes to repeat narratives of the "West".

    • @hippoace
      @hippoace Год назад +55

      ​@@christophmeier3185well cant blame him, those who dont repeat the narrative gets cancelled and lose their livelihoods

    • @saattlebrutaz
      @saattlebrutaz Год назад +4

      There are 'more' of them but not 'en masse'.

  • @Scott7137
    @Scott7137 Год назад +3

    There we go... You're FINALLY starting to get 100k+ views for these videos. Congrats!!! Hoping to see 250k soon. You deserve it. Keep up the great work!

  • @peka2478
    @peka2478 Год назад +5

    I have not seen a single commentator, neither western nor russian, who'd argue that Prigozhins munity left Putin stronger than he was before - Id like to hear your arguments there...

    • @gunzishere
      @gunzishere 11 месяцев назад

      Do you have proof that he is weaker now?

    • @peka2478
      @peka2478 11 месяцев назад

      @@gunzishere what kind of fact would you accept as proof?
      Besides every political commentator saying it is so?
      And people now actually seeing that his regime is not eternal, and will not neccessarily survive until he dies?
      And people openly talk about what possible successors there might be?
      There can be no proof, in the strict mathematical sense, in social science or in political science.
      But we can take visible indications and go from there..

  • @randymarsh1471
    @randymarsh1471 Год назад +31

    It is always enjoyable to listen someone with knowledge. I always enjoy whenever you post something.
    Greetings from Serbia.
    Свако добро!

    • @hawkbartril3016
      @hawkbartril3016 Год назад +1

      The idea that a force that fires up to 10 × more than the other force but they have equal casualties is just one of his western view because that's who he gets most of his info from. So he will always be wrong following that strategy.

    • @randymarsh1471
      @randymarsh1471 Год назад +2

      @@hawkbartril3016 I'm not saying that he is 100% correct, there is always room for mistake. But my comment is not directed only on this topic, he generally is very good on keeping attention. And of course everyone is making mistakes, we are all humans

    • @frustrateduser9933
      @frustrateduser9933 Год назад

      ​@@hawkbartril3016combat casualty survivability factors into Russia's higher casualty count. Russians with injuries are not getting the kind of care that you see elsewhere.

    • @hawkbartril3016
      @hawkbartril3016 Год назад

      @@randymarsh1471 someone made the comment that he should stick to what he knows. But for someone who doesn't normally cover this subject, then he fared it very well, it's just there is a lot of emotion out there, so one has to be wary of the hot replies etc . I wasn't going after you man, but wanted to post something to be 'from the other side' as most here seem to back the Ukrainians. I have to say that I was instantly put off them as they had so much nazi influence and more. And if anyone says that is propaganda then look up ' Ukraine nazi's 2018' and then the US says they all disbanded. Well you believe that all you want but I've seen way to much evidence that says the contrary. Yes they washed the nazism from their minds just like that, right OK whatever. Do you know who that man is they carry big images of around ? They have a national holiday in memory of him, he is regarded as a hero and inspiration to Ukrainians. His name is Stephan Bandera, who every Ukrainian supporter should be made to look up and study. Take care and please stop supporting the wiping out of fighting aged men in Ukraine, as sending these men with little artillery cover to speak of plus crucially no air support. No 'normal' army would do that to there men, controlled suicide is how I call it. But remember who is their ultimate controller being the US & UK and they couldn't give a flying fu.......

    • @hawkbartril3016
      @hawkbartril3016 Год назад

      @@frustrateduser9933 man how do you figure that when as I've said Russia fires up to 10 × artillery, have superior air defense, superior electronic warfare for drones and missiles, can kill any tank up to a distance of 9.5 km from a tank or any vehicle, has superior drones in fact they are the main reason Russia is winning, plus they have so many more troops, of which some have not done any fighting so far. Trained men not kidnapped off the street as in the Ukrainians case. Stop looking at western sites that are blatantly behind Ukraine because they will full you up with rubbish. When I first looked to find out, what was what, I found two professors and two ex-presidential advisors who also happened to be ex-army Col. Douglas MacGregor & Col. Richard Black , but look for geopolitical commentators that have a balanced view as their are many who are there to lead people astray. Good luck.

  • @NeerajLalu
    @NeerajLalu Год назад +75

    "Wow, these independent RUclips channel consistently delivers nothing but insightful analysis and extremely professional content! I'm always impressed by the in-depth research and thoughtful perspectives they bring to each topic. These channels have quickly become my favorites. Keep up the fantastic work be it Plans, Trains Automobiles, and even War

    • @operator0
      @operator0 Год назад +1

      Much better than legacy media. This is why Bob Iger has floated the idea of selling off Disney's portfolio of terrestrial media channels (except sports). He knows the days of legacy media are almost over.

    • @rebelmango2141
      @rebelmango2141 Год назад +1

      They're pro Russian channels they being you what you want hear

    • @operator0
      @operator0 Год назад

      @@rebelmango2141 You're sounding a lot like the people who were denigrating the people in alt-media who were skeptical of the main stream COVID narratives, calling them conspiracy theorists, and misinformation peddlers. As it turns out, they were mostly right, while the mainstream media, and their cheer leading internet trolls, were the conspiracy theorists and big pharma shills.
      Honestly, after everything that's happened over the past 6+ years, you really can't blame anyone for questioning a narrative that seems written by someone with an office in the C suite of a D.C. think tank, repeated almost verbatim by the talking heads on network TV, while alternate views are squelched by social media.
      People have become much better at sniffing out manufactured propaganda, and their paid internet trolls.

    • @Lookmaxxed_Pikachu_69
      @Lookmaxxed_Pikachu_69 Год назад +1

      ​@@rebelmango2141anyone saying something against your narrative is pro russian right? Seems very convenient to dismiss facts

    • @rebelmango2141
      @rebelmango2141 Год назад

      @@Lookmaxxed_Pikachu_69 no actually just the people I happen to argue against end up being that I've been provided non tho

  • @joaorcosta
    @joaorcosta 10 месяцев назад +3

    very good and realistic analysis! thank you for putting this message together!

  • @Captaincinquo
    @Captaincinquo Год назад +3

    That was very informative! Thank you very much!

  • @sharokhankhan23
    @sharokhankhan23 Год назад +7

    thank you very much for all the work you do !! it is really appreciated

  • @jado3069
    @jado3069 Год назад +179

    Thank you! Finally some explanation for these ridiculously small size groups of mechanized infantry attacking. The rest of the world seems to have missed this aspect completely.

    • @Millennium7HistoryTech
      @Millennium7HistoryTech  Год назад +13

      Glad it helped!

    • @fifi23o5
      @fifi23o5 Год назад +36

      Gen. Milley has criticised and expressed disapointment in Ukrainians to abandon the tactics they (US and allies) taught them. Well, maybe they abandoned it (most likely) because it is not working. It is the thing of the past, obviously. Besides, US has not encounter a peer or, at least, near-peer oponent.
      There are only two armies in the world who have mastered modern warfare. Ukraine and Russia.

    • @markb8468
      @markb8468 Год назад +26

      Everything NATO plans for is based on the (probably correct) assumption that they will at the least have air support if not outright air superiority. This offensive was questionable at best without that.

    • @cdeford
      @cdeford Год назад

      The Russians had some success with it because they could bring a huge amount of artillery to bear. The Ukrainians can't match the Russian artillery, so what they are actually trying to do is keep bashing away with small units in the hope of wearing out the defenders. They are taking very heavy losses in exchange for minimal gains, but then losing those gains to counter attacks. This is not a successful tactic, just the only one they have left.

    • @Poxyquotl
      @Poxyquotl Год назад +7

      @@fifi23o5 I think it's obvious that Ukraine can't mass fires like the West can in support of a large scale mechanized operation. Ukrainians are also still short handed on equipment and competence operating that equipment. Some of the guys that come to receive western training have trouble getting down buddy rushing, let alone mastering complex company and platoon level combined arms fire and maneuver at the level of western armies. There is also still a serious shell crisis for both sides, and its yet to be seen which one will eventually gain the material advantage in that respect. I still think it's too early to tell, especially without either side being able to mass airpower effectively this is going to continue being a grinding attritional fight which either could ultimately win.

  • @user-ym1uv7sr8q
    @user-ym1uv7sr8q 10 месяцев назад +4

    There shall be no second round for Ukraine. I think Putin will not make the same mistake to sign any treaty with those who do not intend to fulfill it.

  • @Profffesor
    @Profffesor Год назад +7

    Recomending History Legends as a source hurts the credibility of this video even before its starts...

  • @JarlPeregrine
    @JarlPeregrine Год назад +111

    An excellent presentation. You are one of only a handful of channels providing an objective analysis of both the technical systems of both sides, and the physics principles behind how they work. Thank you for trying to educate watchers who unfortunately view the conflict from more... ideological perspectives. Good work!

    • @danielsea0019
      @danielsea0019 Год назад

      Exultant "western " wishful thinking ... alas forgot , All ports and shipping equipment Blown .
      Odessa was Main feed to front ..Worse ? ..All Bridges to Moldova blown [ Romanian connection ] .. As plan last hub is Poland to Lviv .. For fun you may wish to check Putin speech
      he references Rule # 1 of war [Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact ] .. and why ,, The man does not bluff

    • @danielsea0019
      @danielsea0019 Год назад

      mined declared no go zone America acknowledge

    • @Teber256
      @Teber256 10 месяцев назад

      "ANALYSIS", "REVIEV" in every comment, dumb russian bots...

  • @r123ingelderland6
    @r123ingelderland6 Год назад +47

    Excellent! The only thing I disagree with is the high-tech stalemate. I see high-tech attrition warfare. Which looks like a stalemate until one side runs out of high-tech or munitions or people.

    • @jimh527
      @jimh527 Год назад +12

      And most of the attrition is occurring on the Ukrainian side.

    • @MrKook
      @MrKook Год назад +2

      ​@@jimh527and China, the manufacturing center of the world, is backstopping Russia on the tech front.

    • @dekik.979
      @dekik.979 Год назад +8

      It doesn't take a rocket scientist to figure it out who's going to run out of those 2 first

    • @dzcav3
      @dzcav3 Год назад

      Russia probably starts running low on tanks early to middle of 2024. Perhaps some other equipment as well.

    • @stubones
      @stubones Год назад +3

      There is zero stalemate. That’s just nonsense. It’s a case of Russia waging a war of attrition. If they wanted to steamroll their way east they would.

  • @secondlook
    @secondlook Год назад +1

    Excellent analysis! So glad I found your channel :)

  • @DiegoMazzola
    @DiegoMazzola 11 месяцев назад +12

    I would like to express my heartfelt congratulations for your analysis, which is very effective and precise.
    It is rare in recent times to find people like her capable of analyzing the Russo-Ukrainian war in such a superpartisan way, without taking sides.
    You should continue to be interested in the subject!
    Congratulations again!

    • @rodjarrow6575
      @rodjarrow6575 10 месяцев назад

      This is not a Russian-Ukrainian war! This is a Russian-NATO war on the territory of Ukraine! It is obvious that you, as well as millions of Europeans and Americans, are deceived by the false propaganda of the media of the NATO countries, which are controlled by Washington and London! Because the truth is that NATO started this war in Ukraine in February 2014, not Russia! This war has been going on for 9 years, starting with the bloody coup in Kiev, in the capital of Ukraine, which was carried out by NATO in February 2014, and established a puppet government in Kiev, which is controlled by NATO (Washington and London), which immediately, in 2014, unleashed a war against the rebellious regions of Ukraine that refused to obey the occupying forces of NATO (they refused to submit to Washington and London)... In the beginning, from 2014 to 2022, it was a war on the territory of Ukraine by the occupying forces of NATO in the person of the puppet regime in Kiev against the armies of the popular resistance forces in the east of Ukraine in the Donbass. But, in 2022, Russia came to the aid of the forces of popular resistance of Ukraine in the war against the occupation forces of NATO on the territory of Ukraine.

    • @andresfelipeod6819
      @andresfelipeod6819 10 месяцев назад +2

      people who stands with the ucrainians wake one morning, like this guy, and will change from stop the "oh, we win, we defeat those Russians 🤬🤬" and start saying "oh, please negotiate, so many deads I want Peace, a frozen conflict" But , this train passed a year ago. in Septembre 2022, when Ucraine has the only one opportunity to negotiate. after that. becomes de downfall of the regime of Ucraine, Because perhaps the half of the country remains. but the 2014-Regime? men, this will fall down in the Half that remains the west, because the Half of the East, will be part of Russia, could be as new republics, or as Slavis Puerto-Ricos (an protectorate of U.S, that I think will be the destiny of many, many ucrainian provinces)
      this war starts because NATO greed, ¿what was the need to enter more countries? you have 27 in your own. you have encircled Russia, and now NATO is starting to crumble in the next years. this stupid american strategy of bleeding Russia, when America puts the money and Ucraine put the deads, just in order to get Bleeding Russia. was a very-very-very stupid strategy, and now , with the imminent destrucción of Ucraine are we seing the ressult

  • @tomschmidt381
    @tomschmidt381 Год назад +161

    Thanks for your analysis of the situation. I better understand now why Ukrainian progress has been so slow and the Russian strategy of trying to run out the clock may have some merit.

    • @mtf_savage_beasts2565
      @mtf_savage_beasts2565 Год назад +3

      It's a battle between Hammer and Anvil. In this was Hammer Wooden handle will break.

    • @stupidburp
      @stupidburp Год назад

      Russia only needs to keep the conflict ongoing with a toe hold in Ukraine to block Ukraine from joining NATO.

    • @charitomunoz8537
      @charitomunoz8537 Год назад +1

      Ukraine will never be admitted to NATO. Ukrainiann soldiers are dying and getting maimed for the vanity of the United States.
      WHY and HOW????
      In 1993, George Soros hatched a plan to keep NATO alive. NATO's role is to expand - invite Japan, create Soros' mumbo jumbo open societies & partnership for “peace”, and to ensure that the US remains the only super power.
      As for the manpower, he presented his masterplan and perfected formula: (a) Arm Eastern Europeans with US-NATO weapons (& intel); and (b) Avoid NATO body bags. No US body bag either.
      You are seeing the Soros' master plan involving Ukraine playing out since 2014. The Eastern European Ukrainians have been armed with NATO weapons. As the Russian SMO progresses, no NATO boots in Ukraine and no US & no NATO body bags either. That is bad for US elections but great for the US/EU weapons manufacturing industries.
      LOTS of Ukrainian body bags are okay for the US & NATO. That is because the Ukrainian troops are just tools, war proxies and cannon fodder to ensure that the US remains the only super power.
      Hard to believe??? Go read George Soros article, "Toward a New World Order: The Future of NATO" Published by: Open Society Foundations, November 1, 1993. www.georgesoros.com/1993/11/01/toward-a-new-world-order-the-future-of-nato/
      Hit Alt+F, use keyword "manpower".

    • @ArchOfficial
      @ArchOfficial Год назад +16

      @@mtf_savage_beasts2565 70% of the Russian active equipment and reserves have been depleted. 0.5% of NATO's active equipment and reserves have been depleted. Just something to consider.

    • @rockgut7905
      @rockgut7905 Год назад +101

      @@ArchOfficial If this was true, Ukraine would have pushed Russia back to their borders and taken back Crimea by now. The fact is, Ukraine is nowhere near doing that and getting demolished on the southern front while Russia just deployed 100,000 troops and 1,000 tanks on the northern line.

  • @neolynxer
    @neolynxer Год назад +23

    You added a lot of value to the conversation.
    Maybe you did not get the views you hoped for, but I'm sure you are pleasantly surprised with the ratio.
    You should do more of those. Hopefully the views will come. Your opinion on the mutiny and it's results is very interesting.

  • @Ghredle
    @Ghredle 11 месяцев назад +2

    Some of the most honest analysis of this conflict. But that ceasefire would be the ultimate admission of defeat by the Us and Nato

  • @johnbwill
    @johnbwill 11 месяцев назад +2

    Very good work. Thorough overview - thanks for your efforts.

  • @jop4691
    @jop4691 Год назад +8

    The objective style of this video is why I love watching. Keep it up!!!

  • @jasondykstra5257
    @jasondykstra5257 Год назад +4

    Mate, fantastic analysis! So in-depth, I really hope you persevere with your armchair general point of view, phenomenal job. Thankyou.

  • @faustinae3927
    @faustinae3927 11 месяцев назад +2

    Very informative and well thought out article. Thank you ❤🇺🇸🌹

  • @oleblack423
    @oleblack423 8 месяцев назад +1

    This is the most sober analysis of the conflict i have seen without biases or promising victories that are non existent

  • @viperbot2k9
    @viperbot2k9 Год назад +8

    Dude, you make incredibly detailed videos. I have just watched my first. Wow. Great job, unbiased totally. Thank you.

  • @slikkyhelp
    @slikkyhelp Год назад +4

    Thanks so much for this, I just finished watching History Legend and your video was suggested. And you mention all other go to for in-depth non biased analysis that I frequently visited, that’s how you won me as a subscriber. Thanks 😊. For the good work.

    • @tcritt
      @tcritt Год назад +1

      History Legends... hahahaha.

  • @OctavChelaru
    @OctavChelaru Год назад +18

    Thank you for your in-depth and fair analysis. While clearly possible, I feel your confirmation bias plays a big role (sources and their community are quite telling) in your analysis and my confirmation bias hopes you're wrong on many fronts yet I, too, hope for a solution that leads to lasting peace and no more loss of life.

    • @JG-xk7ve
      @JG-xk7ve 11 месяцев назад

      How do you want to find a solution when one of the contenders wants to commit a genocide and make a country disappear? Ukrainians must fight till the end, russians can stop fightingand go home.

    • @andresfelipeod6819
      @andresfelipeod6819 10 месяцев назад

      people who stands with the ucrainians wake one morning, like this guy, and will change from stop the "oh, we win, we defeat those Russians 🤬🤬" and start saying "oh, please negotiate, so many deads I want Peace, a frozen conflict" But , this train passed a year ago. in Septembre 2022, when Ucraine has the only one opportunity to negotiate. after that. becomes de downfall of the regime of Ucraine, Because perhaps the half of the country remains. but the 2014-Regime? men, this will fall down in the Half that remains the west, because the Half of the East, will be part of Russia, could be as new republics, or as Slavis Puerto-Ricos (an protectorate of U.S, that I think will be the destiny of many, many ucrainian provinces)
      this war starts because NATO greed, ¿what was the need to enter more countries? you have 27 in your own. you have encircled Russia, and now NATO is starting to crumble in the next years. this stupid american strategy of bleeding Russia, when America puts the money and Ucraine put the deads, just in order to get Bleeding Russia. was a very-very-very stupid strategy, and now , with the imminent destrucción of Ucraine are we seing the ressult

    • @OctavChelaru
      @OctavChelaru 10 месяцев назад

      @@andresfelipeod6819 Perhaps, but even if that's the case, it does not exonerate Russia in any way, it's just that the Bully gets to win this time and the good guys lose.

    • @andresfelipeod6819
      @andresfelipeod6819 10 месяцев назад +1

      situation of Ucraine is today, the same situation of Nagorno-Karabaj. yes , oh my, so bad Azeries take the home of many armenians, and... ¿so what? do you see U.N. saying or doing something real? not the clasical polite wordks, doing or saying something real? nope.
      the same thing is the fate of Ucraine. is lost.
      you are talking about moral judgements, @@OctavChelaru I am talking about the reality of life. yes, Russia was bad , América is bad for invading panama, Irak, and the long etcétera. even the Morroco is bad for invading western Sahara. and what´s the response? is : ¿so what? because the invasions never, or almost never in history get any punishment. neither minimal, but in real life, you play your cards. and Ucraine make a lot of mistakes that causes this invasion, mistakes like kiling a population of the country, only because they spoke another language, or mistakes like reject all the work that Israel Do in May of 2022, to sit both parts on a table to negotiate.
      right now , i think Ucraine is a lost cause, they are right now, the republic of South-Vietnam. a terminal patient who only survives with the assistance given by the U.S.

    • @OctavChelaru
      @OctavChelaru 10 месяцев назад

      @@andresfelipeod6819 Thank you for your opinion.

  • @csk4j
    @csk4j 3 месяца назад +1

    Brilliant video..and wow..months later, I believe you nailed it! A tech stalemate where complete victory is probably too costly on both sides...peace and negotiation is the best solution especially given what we now know

  • @martinbowen4951
    @martinbowen4951 Год назад +6

    Loved this one, loved your perspective on it. Thank you for your efforts.

  • @cmbbfan78
    @cmbbfan78 Год назад +35

    Thank you, Sir! Your analysis of the changes of the wars / fighting methods was the deepest, most logical and it made sense. I knew many points of it, but you joined the puzzles great!

  • @novascotianinfj
    @novascotianinfj 11 месяцев назад

    you did a good job. all i watch is this type of video (DPA etc) and you fit in great

  • @nikolaosaggelopoulos8113
    @nikolaosaggelopoulos8113 10 месяцев назад

    This was the most interesting, realistic and objective coverage of the war I have come across so far. I do not know what kinds of people do not want peace and, consequently, I do not know why the war is still going on. I expect that the military industry and arms trade must be benefiting at the cost of human lives and I expect the former have better advocacy than the latter, especially those dead have none.

  • @IanJohnstonblog
    @IanJohnstonblog Год назад +7

    Excellent video, and as always a well reasoned perspective.

  • @personzz1789
    @personzz1789 Год назад +36

    Thank you for this video. A refreshing and balanced take on the whole business. I totally agree that the cost of this war is too dreadful for everyone, and I truly hope we all get to wake up and hear the whole thing has ended for good.
    A funny introduction to a channel about aircraft though. Massive respect for loving the Mirage 2000, what a wonderful plane.

  • @KingdomRepublic
    @KingdomRepublic 10 месяцев назад +1

    Awesome and detailed analysis, One of the best so far along side History Legends, You should make a collaboration video with him, In short nothing can change this war on the short term for both sides.

  • @simulatedpilot3441
    @simulatedpilot3441 Год назад +70

    A good insightful video sir, One distinction I would make is, I think it's very hard to advance without air power. I'm not sure the Russians are interested in advancing. As most assume. And I agree with you 100%. The Russians are not giving it all they got They have to hold back in case of a NATO intervention, And I'm sure that's in more ways than just cruise missiles.

    • @Max_Da_G
      @Max_Da_G Год назад +6

      Russians are indeed trying very very hard to work in a way that wouldn't trigger direct NATO intervention. There is manpower support from Poland, but done by personnel that have discharged from military and became volunteers/contractors.

    • @ZDemon340
      @ZDemon340 Год назад

      If Ukr had a reasonable sized air force with even semi up to date advanced weapons tech back when this first started OR soon after, this conflict would nearly be over...and heavily in Ukr's favor. But that was not nor did it 'become' the case because of the nuclear threat Russia presents esp. un Putin's crazy, delusional and unstable mentality. We (US & Nato) should been prepping prepping Ukr with every thing needed except the planes...sent Ukr all the weaponry, maint. and support hardware and training they req. Then send in then planes (fully loaded with anti-radar missiles) w/ Ukr pilots and backed by a couple dozens of tank killing Apache AH-64s and several A-10s for badley needed close air support. Again, pre-shipping everything needed and release them just soon as training is complete...w/ zero warning! But we didn't and now Russia had time to mine the hell outta the lines and prep. Nato totally blew it! Smdh!

    • @georgethompson1460
      @georgethompson1460 Год назад +9

      @@darrenyorston Because Russia doesn't have the logistical capacity to supply the army it can theoretically raise. Heck They've had to resort to using T-62's and T-55's.

    • @getsideways7257
      @getsideways7257 Год назад +2

      If they are not "interested in advancing", then what exactly is their end game?

    • @vojins9203
      @vojins9203 Год назад

      @@getsideways7257 obviously the endgame is to have a destroyed military capability of Ukraine, as it is a proclaimed goal: demilitarization of Ukraine.
      If the Ukraine themselves sends their troops to the russian arty, why should Russia advance then?
      On the other hand the Ukrainian (US/western) logistics (ALL of Ukraines logistics are planned, supplied and financed by the west) have to come over more then a thousand kilometers from the polish border to Donbass... Why should Russia at this stage shorten the Ukrainian/western logistic lines? For instance, a salvaged damaged western tank has to be moved back to Poland for repair, and then back to the front lines!
      Once Ukraines military runs out of manpower and air defenses, Russia's advance would be way less costly.

  • @diegosalazar550
    @diegosalazar550 Год назад +69

    I came here from DPA’s community post, it’s refreshing to see such a detailed analysis of the general state of the war from a source as honest as can be.

    • @emlillthings7914
      @emlillthings7914 Год назад +1

      DPA is badass, both the DPA War (link in description on this vid), but also the geopolitical analysis on the main channel (Defense Politics Asia), as well as the very interesting weekly gathering on the DPA Open Mic.
      On the latter, folks watching DPA get on stream, and converse a broad range of topics, ofc including the Ukraine war.
      Highly recommend everyone her to take a peek at DPA.

    • @primilumi7472
      @primilumi7472 Год назад

      ha ha ha...nothing here is refreshing just the tons of bullshit and deluded fantasies of some middle age fat guy who thinks he is the grandmaster of war strategies and general who plays too much his PC games alone in his mother's basement.
      First of all Ukrainians are not some kind of super people that can simply just invade Russia and depose Vladimir Putin from his throne.
      Ukraine is one extremely dysfunctional, disorganized, heavily corrupted and failed rumped state in eastern Europe that has sustained ultra heavy losses on the battlefield against Russia in this war of attrition and lost more than 50 % of it's army and donated equipment by the NATO.
      Russia on the other hand is like Taliban in Afghanistan or Vietcong in Vietnam. Waiting for it's chance when Ukraine and NATO will suffer some catastrophic defeat on the front.

    • @theangrycheeto
      @theangrycheeto Год назад +3

      Amazing how supporters of russia's invasion of Ukraine swarm this page and have the nerve to talk about 'honest' and 'refreshing'.

    • @emlillthings7914
      @emlillthings7914 Год назад +2

      @@theangrycheeto DPA is not "supporting the invasion", it's almost all speakers are completely anti-war.
      Yes, some or pro-Russia, and there's to a lesser extent pro-Ukraine and/or pro-NATO.
      The vast majority are neither, as the people are from all over the world.
      I'm talking about the DPA Open Mic in particular.
      Typically streams sometime on saturdays. You should join the conversations, be it Ukraine, or other facets of geopolitics
      Always more fun when there's differing perspectives.

    • @DHM49
      @DHM49 Год назад

      Where is the DPA Community post?

  • @jtron113
    @jtron113 Год назад +9

    I commend your bravery and honesty, thank you for your insights and pragmatic outlook.

    • @splifstar85
      @splifstar85 Год назад +3

      Wow.. you have to be brave to speak the truth.. what has the western “free” and “democratic” (😂😂😂😂😂😂😂) society come to 🙈
      (well.. always been, but these days people are starting to notice it more🤷‍♂️)

  • @pnachtwey
    @pnachtwey Год назад

    Thumbs up. I listened to the whole video instead of scrubbing through it. I think this is a realistic assessment of the situation. Especially the part about there can be no surprises because of satellite intelligence. So now this is more like chess were pieces are often sacrificed or traded to achieve victory That doesn't sound very encouraging for the forces of light.

  • @bpsitrep
    @bpsitrep Год назад +3

    Glad I saw your page under recommendations today. Very well done analysis and explanation.

  • @Zboubtoumou
    @Zboubtoumou Год назад +7

    11:50
    Please do !
    I just discovered your channel. You are doing an amazing and comprehensive work !

  • @moristar
    @moristar Год назад +9

    The mention of History Legends immediately disqualified you from unbiased discussion.

  • @silversurfergw
    @silversurfergw Год назад +2

    Interesting analysis. I tend to think those sparsely defended lines are more likely to be meat grinding traps.

  • @justdom1968
    @justdom1968 Год назад +3

    Thanks, actually one of the clearer and sensible video on the subject on youtube. Please keep the good job.

  • @TheBranchez
    @TheBranchez Год назад +118

    Thank you for being who you are. I have been a subscriber long before this conflict began and loved your content (still do ofc!). I am very glad to see that you haven't changed like so many of RUclipsrs did and are trying your best to be objective. Keep doing what you do best and if you want to diverge from "just" the aviation content, you have my full support. I would like to see a video about EW and EI that you have mentioned!
    BTW, how is your health now? Wish you all the best.

    • @Millennium7HistoryTech
      @Millennium7HistoryTech  Год назад +33

      I am good, thank you

    • @TheBranchez
      @TheBranchez Год назад +17

      @@Millennium7HistoryTech glad to hear that man. Take care.

    • @sull5307
      @sull5307 Год назад +1

      I remember when war started I though "Oh boi we are going to have some interesting stuff on this channel in the future"

    • @tintinjailhouse1312
      @tintinjailhouse1312 Год назад

      Lovely to see big brother!!
      And
      ONELOVE TO ALL THE
      PRETTY WOMENS

    • @andresfelipeod6819
      @andresfelipeod6819 10 месяцев назад

      people who stands with the ucrainians wake one morning, like this guy, and will change from stop the "oh, we win, we defeat those Russians 🤬🤬" and start saying "oh, please negotiate, so many deads I want Peace, a frozen conflict" But , this train passed a year ago. in Septembre 2022, when Ucraine has the only one opportunity to negotiate. after that. becomes de downfall of the regime of Ucraine, Because perhaps the half of the country remains. but the 2014-Regime? men, this will fall down in the Half that remains the west, because the Half of the East, will be part of Russia, could be as new republics, or as Slavis Puerto-Ricos (an protectorate of U.S, that I think will be the destiny of many, many ucrainian provinces)
      this war starts because NATO greed, ¿what was the need to enter more countries? you have 27 in your own. you have encircled Russia, and now NATO is starting to crumble in the next years. this stupid american strategy of bleeding Russia, when America puts the money and Ucraine put the deads, just in order to get Bleeding Russia. was a very-very-very stupid strategy, and now , with the imminent destrucción of Ucraine are we seing the ressult

  • @davidndahura7437
    @davidndahura7437 Год назад

    You know what you are saying it was more of class lesson to veiw the I can not comment because you have been transparent, smart of I do appreciate it.

  • @mathewwinsor9111
    @mathewwinsor9111 Год назад

    Brilliant analysis ! Thank you.

  • @cycle71cycle
    @cycle71cycle Год назад +8

    I think you navigated this minefield very well, please do so again when you feel the need.

  • @kamalchandramoney3541
    @kamalchandramoney3541 Год назад +4

    The best military analyst in this conflict is Brian Berletic from the new atlas

  • @ovidiudraghici9941
    @ovidiudraghici9941 Год назад +8

    Excellent analysis. Unfortunately, it seems we're beyond negotiations by now.

    • @joachimfrank4134
      @joachimfrank4134 Год назад +1

      As long as both sides still think they can win, the war will go on. Both sides think they'll reach a more favorable starting point for negotiations.
      When the results of the counter offensive are visible they'll be the starting point of negotiations.

    • @jesan733
      @jesan733 Год назад +4

      @@joachimfrank4134 if the results of the counteroffensive is negative for Ukraine, they'll try again next summer with F16s and more equipment, after more attrition of Russian artillery and other equipment. They're unlikely to accept a status quo, and Russia's historical equipment advantage is melting away.

    • @michaelgrossmann6902
      @michaelgrossmann6902 Год назад +1

      @@jesan733Very much would be my point as well. Frankly, whilst the West is united behind Ukraine, her victory is assured

    • @pavelmakarov8808
      @pavelmakarov8808 11 месяцев назад

      @@jesan733 you are forgetting about the rate Russia is producing new warfare: unlike the non-homogeneous Western coalition, Russia can concentrate immense resources for replenishing practically all the required items. In particular, the number of combat airplanes and helicopters is already practically the same, if not more, that prior to the war (despite heavy losses in the 1st few months).

    • @pavelmakarov8808
      @pavelmakarov8808 11 месяцев назад +1

      @@michaelgrossmann6902 human resource of Ukraine is the limiting factor: even trading 1-to-1 with Russia, it is doomed to run out of combat-capable troops. And since Ukraine is desperately trying to attack, while Russia has
      1) more artillery
      2) air superiority
      3) effective drones like Lanzet
      4) well-established defense lines
      it is quite hard to believe that even 1-to-1 is possible (much worse for Ukraine, I believe)

  • @Fenrisson
    @Fenrisson 11 месяцев назад +1

    That was a most interesting video. Thanks for posting it!

  • @onyxfinger7431
    @onyxfinger7431 Год назад +3

    I have a question (about aircraft)
    Typically with jet engines, there will be some kind of method to get rid of the boundary layer of air that is generated by the body of the aircraft (diverter, dsi, or sucking the layer like the yf23). But right after, there is a long surface (that being the intake) where a boundary layer can form again before getting to the engine.
    As I understand it, the objective of the intake is to recover pressure, which it would, but then why would you try to prevent taking in slow air in the first place ?

    • @VuLamDang
      @VuLamDang Год назад

      totally not engine engineer, but my take is that outside of the airduct, the air is unconstrained (open air), therefore the boundary layer is allowed to grow (depending on the speed and shape of the surface). in the intake duct, opposing boundary layers acting upon each other and limit their growth, therefore we retain a large region of smooth laminar flow.

    • @antoniohagopian213
      @antoniohagopian213 Год назад

      If I'm not mistaken the bad boundary layer comes from the nose of the plane, the thin walls of the inlet don't have the same problem.

  • @whatiswhat4
    @whatiswhat4 Год назад +4

    Good analysis do more please. Especially with a focus on what high tech systems might be useful where.

  • @colintaylor2359
    @colintaylor2359 Год назад +7

    Thanks for the video, i'm only here for a war review but it was a fairly good summary. matches what is certainly happening and i do hope for a speedy end to the suffering in Ukraine.

    • @magnusthorssten1662
      @magnusthorssten1662 Год назад +2

      Thank you for an actual mature, realistic comment. The first week was fun in 2022 when there were immediate negotiations but watching a years-long civil war in real-time is terrible.

    • @jesan733
      @jesan733 Год назад +5

      @@magnusthorssten1662 it's not a civil war. It's a genocidal inter-state war waged by Russia against a smaller sovereign neighbor.

    • @Teber256
      @Teber256 10 месяцев назад

      @@jesan733 he is russian bot

  • @jimshannononsounds
    @jimshannononsounds Год назад +1

    One thing that wasn't mentioned is the use of Ukranian partisans and interdiction of supply lines to the front lines. Getting nessecary supplies to these partisain units, however might be a challenge. 🤔

  • @turul9392
    @turul9392 Год назад +3

    Putin was very clear a few days ago: If the Poles move in they can expect a tactical nuclear strike on Poznan or Wroclaw.

    • @jevgenijs39
      @jevgenijs39 Год назад

      He did not say anything about nuclear

  • @donlanky6388
    @donlanky6388 Год назад +3

    Never fail to impress me with your analysys .. well done mate

  • @pop_porn
    @pop_porn Год назад

    Hey, hi, can u kindly send the link to that 1:24 italian language channel? I can use yandex browser with it's audio auto-translate feature.

  • @johnnydeppsky3510
    @johnnydeppsky3510 Год назад +9

    As a Russian I see no end to this war. Both sides (the governments I mean) are keen on keep the war going. That sucks , I’m tired of watching the meaningless bloodshed. But there’s so much hate now between the sides and it’s cultivated that it’s unlikely we just stop.

    • @nathanhiggers4606
      @nathanhiggers4606 11 месяцев назад

      I hope that in a year khrewks will fizzle out and hand over to us our four new regions and we'll have 'bout ten years to recover

    • @Artem30132
      @Artem30132 10 месяцев назад

      Ты не русский

  • @firefly8464
    @firefly8464 Год назад +6

    Hey, I love your aircraft videos, and I also liked this one. Insightful, articulate and unbiased. Good job. I always look forward to your aircraft videos, but I would also love more analysis videos like this. You do a very fine job. Keep ‘em coming!! 😁

    • @barryscott6222
      @barryscott6222 Год назад +1

      If you think this video was unbiased - then you are deeply deeply lost in the propaganda miasma.

    • @4one4me
      @4one4me 11 месяцев назад

      @@barryscott6222 So what was the bias? Is it possible that you also lost your way in the propaganda?

  • @mattmiller4613
    @mattmiller4613 Год назад +3

    I very much enjoy ALL of your videos. Thank you again, very much!

  • @charleswinning4258
    @charleswinning4258 Год назад +11

    I really enjoy your posts, intelligent, insightful and informative.
    Where you see an obvious weak point it may well be just as it seems but there is always the possibility that it's reason for seeming that way is to draw in the enemy along a predetermined trajectory and into a predetermined counter action.
    As for the Russian air force I believe that the Russian's are of the opinion that for as long as their air force is largely intact and at full strength NATO would not dare to get directly involved, so they use it sparingly to retain it as a strategic asset and a deterrent to direct involvement by NATO.

  • @19801981ification
    @19801981ification Год назад

    Well thought out and well said sir. 👍

  • @rosomak8244
    @rosomak8244 Год назад +8

    There is no option of a cease fire. The Russians are not the idiots and don't stop the moment the opponent is depleted.

    • @diawannoto
      @diawannoto Год назад

      no, they're actually idiot, even offered a peace deal in early march, and got scammed after negotiation, but still thinking ukraine is their brother, even any POW if their said they're mobilized they're treated very well, you will see when poland tries something, it will be different reactions, surely

  • @fahedsayed2201
    @fahedsayed2201 Год назад +5

    You are doing a great job. For the algorithms to be kind to you you need to make a video almost every single day with extremely provocative sensational thumbnails and titles. But slow and steady approach is also good.

  • @bainezd
    @bainezd 11 месяцев назад

    Subsribed to watch ur channel in peace days bout some aviation stuff as u said.

  • @corvanphoenix
    @corvanphoenix 6 месяцев назад +1

    I've only recently discovered your content & I'm an avid 🇺🇦 supporter. Even after 6 months your insights are well worth hearing. Thanks mate!

  • @somnathroy102
    @somnathroy102 Год назад +4

    Another wonderful quality content that was engaging throughout it's narration.

  • @seeker2118
    @seeker2118 Год назад +5

    Hope is what you have when there is no strategy. A miracle is what you pray for when there is not a proper plan.

  • @fredericborloo1910
    @fredericborloo1910 Год назад +3

    Well… I LOVE your videos about flight dynamics, and I DO watch them. Sothere you go, you have at least one reason to continue your channel!

  • @francodafirenze
    @francodafirenze Год назад +2

    your wishful thinking is heartwarming, well done! 👍

  • @philipspencer1834
    @philipspencer1834 Год назад +7

    Your technical expositions of aircraft and systems are amazing. But this show was special. A really based assessment of the situation. Thank you

  • @josephorr5175
    @josephorr5175 Год назад +18

    Excellent discussion with some very interesting, objective details provided. As you noted, it is hard to find objective information today, despite the mass of communication options. You managed to get through a lot of this without a spin. TY.

  • @tryhardfpv5351
    @tryhardfpv5351 Год назад +1

    Robotic mines slowly tunnelling their way to the enemy positions then when all in place a synchronised detonation and the lines are open. The noise of their tunnelling is muffled by the sounds of explosions from artillery fire which the mining robots are made pre-aware of.

    • @donsheehan5144
      @donsheehan5144 11 месяцев назад

      yes this could complere the WW1 analogy that is commonplace. Small 4inch boring machines are available everywhere, look at you tube and could be hidden forest lines, drilling several hundred metres. Many bores waiting to be dentonated.

  • @EXRazeBurn
    @EXRazeBurn Год назад +4

    Looks like the Russian strategy of running out the clock might be running out, as there has been several breakthroughs in the south and west and Russia's main attempt at an offensive to counter these breakthroughs in the North is currently a smoldering ruin on the battlefield.
    Still, up till about a week ago, this video was a fairly accurate assessment of the war on the ground. A nice try.

    • @Puma-ph5ep
      @Puma-ph5ep 11 месяцев назад

      Which one? I think it's still a stalemate if I look at the deepstate map.

  • @mhx6437
    @mhx6437 Год назад +4

    Great video, I think you pretty much hit the nail on how the situation is ATM. What I observed was pretty similar (war footage, summaries by think tanks, etc).

  • @jsbfe9395
    @jsbfe9395 Год назад +56

    Great presentation and analysis! You should be making more of those kind of videos! However I think that you overstated Ukraine's capabilities and current situation in the fear that you will be accused of a pro-Russia stance. I understand. You're one of the best channels for military aviation. The wealth and quality of information you are providing is unmatched in YT, AFAIK.

  • @chefdeparty
    @chefdeparty 10 месяцев назад +2

    NATO gravely underestimated their opponent.

  • @zecvideos3464
    @zecvideos3464 Год назад +5

    Jezus fuck not the "history legends".....

  • @slikkyhelp
    @slikkyhelp Год назад +66

    The issue of Ukrainians attacking Belgorod is something that’s well known by the Russians and I believe it’s not of a surprise to them, it will be a suicide attack if the Ukrainians try that. And the last time they did, the Russia MOD did not even withdraw troops from the North to counter that, they simply overwhelm them with massive Airstrikes….it’s not possible, if it’s possible, Ukrainian and their NATO counterparts would have give them the intelligence they need to do so instead of their frontal attack on the heavily defended fronts….

    • @tedarcher9120
      @tedarcher9120 Год назад +4

      Ukrainians definitely can take belgorod, but they'll lose all the support from Nato as a result, so they won't do that

    • @JohnDoe-vy5hh
      @JohnDoe-vy5hh Год назад +10

      Leave that job to the Freedom of Russia Legion.

    • @georgethompson1460
      @georgethompson1460 Год назад +7

      Didn't videos show those airstrikes completely missing?

    • @hb1338
      @hb1338 Год назад +5

      The Russian partisans who attacked Belgorod discovered two things 1) the area is not defended strongly or well 2) the Russians can move troops to the area within a few days. Whether that makes it vulnerable to a large scale mechanised assault, I don't know.

    • @tedarcher9120
      @tedarcher9120 Год назад +8

      @@hb1338 partisans lol

  • @sungenimaloya8174
    @sungenimaloya8174 Год назад +3

    This is by far one of the best Ukraine war analysis I have ever seen.

    • @pneuma_media
      @pneuma_media Год назад

      you haven't seen much then. Tom Cooper's analysis if far more situationally aware.
      most people, including the author of this channel, make the very false assumption that the success of the counter-offensive should be measured in how much land was taken back.
      it's not the land that matters, but attrition of the enemy's forces. right now russia is burning up its reserves in the south, dealing with a major logistics problem, and losing artillery at a rate of 4x that of what Ukraine is losing.

  • @meilinchan7314
    @meilinchan7314 Год назад +7

    It is almost possible to agree on all of this except for one thing: how it will end.
    There will be no ceasefire. Either Putin goes, or Ukraine collapses. Neither side is willing to discuss a ceasefire - and from what I have seen, the appetite for war is still strong in Ukraine. There is too much anger at Russia for there to be negotiations - maybe 2 years, or 3 years down the line. And, even if there is a ceasefire what can Ukraine give? what can Russia give?

    • @burningsinner1132
      @burningsinner1132 11 месяцев назад

      Putin (With a rising nickname of "Chubutin", a portmanteau of Ukrainian national "Chub" hairstyle and Putin) is literally the only straw keeping the brass from mirroring ukrainian cluster munition strikes against civilians in Donetsk and actually attacking power plants instead of popping several tens of minor substations. Once cuckold goes, power dies, what little fuel is available will puff in generators trying to support essentials and cities will burn.
      So it's not really a matter of whether Ukraine collapses or not, it's how miserably they want it to be.

  • @ariisaac5111
    @ariisaac5111 Год назад +82

    The author of this channel should keep doing more Ukraine war strategic analysis. There's a lot of Tactical analysis and updates on the internet but very little strategic. This was one of the best strategic and honest assessments and thoughts that I've heard yet and I consume massive amounts everyday!

    • @jonathanrodriguez8212
      @jonathanrodriguez8212 Год назад +6

      its because he's open minded and study's a subject unlike news anchors and other media sources. there's many that just lie and tell people what they want to hear.

    • @blacklion8208
      @blacklion8208 Год назад +1

      Sure he's open minded and pushes pro-russian YT channels, which makes him a western pro-russian Frenchman operating from the UK.
      Shame on him.

    • @obliviouz
      @obliviouz Год назад +8

      Look up Perun.

    • @wkgurr
      @wkgurr Год назад +8

      Interesting strategic analysis up to a point. The gentleman mostly discusses the Eastern flank of Ukraine. But Ukraine has a huge Northern flank that needs to be defended. Belarus being an ally of Russia it is irrelevant what kind of army Belarus has. They never need to involve their army at all (other than for the defense of their own territory). All Belarus needs to do is to grant Russia the right to station troops on their territory (which they have already done) and use their territory to attack Ukraine from the North/North-West if the need arises. Since Belarus is not an active military participant of this war, Russia can build up its forces there in peace and unhindered by any preemptive action Ukraine might consider. The danger of becoming involved an a two-front war is at all times hanging over Ukraine. This is why Russia is fighting at maybe 20% of their capacity. Imagine what a Russian attack from Belarus on Ukraine would do to the defensive or offensive capabilites of the Ukrainian army on their Eastern flank. And let's not forget. Russia also controls the Black Sea access to Ukraine and they do have amphibious assault forces. Which might throw Ukraine into a three-front war. This is why in a war fought in Ukraine against Russia, Russia cannot be defeated under the current conditions. Regardless of who undertakes the fight. This is also why negotiations for a ceasefire or peace will only be successful if they fully grant Russia all their demands. Neutrality of a postwar Ukraine, removal of all foreign troops, advisors, materiel from the territory of postwar Ukraine, Crimea, Donbass, Luhansk to be part of Russia. As long as these conditions are not met there will be no negotiations and the war will continue with Russia slowly making its way westward.

    • @Gunni1972
      @Gunni1972 Год назад

      @@obliviouz Yeah right. if you want Ukrainian Propaganda, mixed with actual "Russophobia", go there.