I dont remember the US invading Chechnya (twice). I dont remember the US invading Ukraine. I dont remember the US threatening Europe with nukes every week.
I don’t remember Russia setting up puppet regimes and then betraying them five years later to start a war, unseat them, and replace them with a different puppet regime-in country after country after country. I don’t remember Russia spending 199 out of a 200 year period (1776-1976) being at war with somebody somewhere. I don’t recall Russia breaking three peace treaties with NATO in the space of eight years.
Ha ha, then recall Vietnam, Iraq, Afganistan where US participated solely and then huge number of small wars wich were led by US in scope of NATO invasion
I agree. Peter’s strength is the long term impact associated with decade long trends, particular demographics which leads to solid insights on trade, geopolitical strength and weaknesses, strategic alliances,etc. But for near term events, he’s not very strong. It’s like a climate scientist trying to predict the weather
PZ is a Neocon who loves Jake Sullivan & Tony Blinken. All 3 are war mongers who hate everyone who can challenge the USA. Cocain is not the problem. The problem is Fentynal & Methamphetamines from Mexico, aided by Chinese precursor chemicals..
sadly,, Zeihan has been spewing the Biden/NATO idiotic Anti-Putin/Anti-Russia PROPAGANDA ... making himself like a fool ... 😞 _____________________ although Zeihan maybe 'pivoting' away from that IDIOCY, after Sleepy Joe 'melted" 🙂
Its always been important. The US just thought they could control China and use them as a pawn to keep an eye on Russia. Once we hit rock bottom..we will need Mexico..mexico will be producing a lot of goods soon
The issue with your stance on military solutions to the cartels is that Americans haven’t been fighting like Americans since WW2, but instead have conducting police solutions using the military. Police solutions ≠ military solutions. What we’ve been calling ‘war’ hasn’t exactly been bellum Romanum.
your right no country with an advanced economy on earth has done total war since world war 2 maybe Korea and Vietnam. when I say total war I'm talking about no consideration for civilians, carpet bombing, total infrastructure targeting, denial of the enemy access to water, electricity and food if it can be done. war as it exist today is a scalpel in comparison to a sledgehammer.
@@Art-is-craft I'm not so sure. we hold that life is dear and precious in this country now days. I don't think there is a US leader or general alive that is secretly has Genghis Khan ethics on warfare
@@ericloss6153 and that their equipment wasn’t able to fight a modern war and western equipment would overwhelm them. Yeah, he says a lot of stuff so always take his “expertise” with a large grain on salt.
He has also admitted being wrong on that. Why is it when some asshat is wrong and double down no one cares but anytime someone says new Information or current came to light and they were wrong/changed opinions and suddenly “oh BuT tHeY wERe WrOng”
@@petermartin2321 They got $300 million in US aid alone, that doesn’t even include the billions more from NATO. As a reminder, we are not at war with Russia, Ukraine has never been a NATO member or has ever been our ally, but yeah……it’s the republicans fault. Delusional.
@@Pumper_of_Maws Sure it is, but thise other wars were significant in scope (and geopolitical consequence), and US losses were significant compared to those of most nations in most wars throughout history. Think about a city of 34,000 or 58,000 inhabitants, wiped out.
@@DylanPelzer-lq7oy Truth be known, I'm more of a Grandpa Buff lover myself. But if the kid ever comes out of the closet I'm sure that he will protect the boats too.
Peter seems to have forgotten 9/11/2001. No mention even though that attack still drives the US middle east policy and has cost the US close to 15,000 lives, both military and civilian.
@@wattlebough Obviously, you didn't listen to all of Zeihan's video. No, 9/11/2001 wasn't a major conflict, but its an example of someone doing something stupid that provokes a major response which is ongoing to this day. Maybe Oct. 7th was a negligible act from your standards.
I cant find the full interview anywhere. Any help finding it or providing the interviewer's full name (difficult to understand from video) is greatly appreciated.
This isn't an interview mate. This is one of his employees, asking questions for people on their website I am pretty sure. He pops up from time to time
My son has been a Navy Seabee for 17 years. They are building up the Pacific rim faster than you can imagine. Ports. Airports and runways. Hospitals.....Both the US Navy and the other side. It's happening.
Taiwan..gone . 10 years ago I questioned a Native..Dental Technician...China owns the businesses...and Land. Political & Military Show Ponies..Serious..
I have recently wrapped my head around the fact that I already have 2 jobs, and they both serve the same purpose: homeowner. I work 9-5 to make money. I use that money to pay for the things I can't do myself, and to pay the mortgage/utilities. I work the rest of the hours fixing up my 70 year old house. This was an accident, but it's a pretty good life. I like my second job. It's the 9-5 that is low on the "personal fulfillment" front, but the hourly pay is pretty good and I need money for materials and (sometimes) contractors. I'm nowhere near good enough to charge people, but luckily my second job has one client and that client isn't too picky.
Hey Mr. Peter Zeihan. I have been listening to your work since 2008. I was a member of USAF and had access to Stratfor, and read everything I could. Today I listened to your interview with Joe Rogan..."You're going to put something powered by nuclear decay in your ear?"...When you said that I knew you are genuinely cool 😎...Very well done. All your concepts and explanations stood up to the sharp questions of Mr. Rogan. What a great line...I laughed and listened to it several times!!!
You are saying that China and Russia aren't dumb enough to provoke the US? Why were they just flying a joint mission above Alaska? They were flying their war planes. A Russian warship is in Cuba too.
That's a show for their own people. Authoritarians need to look strong to keep control. There's no substance to it in terms of impact or intention towards the US. Peter was talking about an actual act that would cause a war.
@rebeccaaldrich3396 because this guy still think that we're living in the 1960s where americans can do and get away with everything that it wants. He's so smug and a western exceptionalist that it just makes me sick, he can never debate anyone either just his monologuing... And ofc China, Russia and North Korea doesn't want war with the US but he fails to realize that it goes both ways. We live in a nuclear age now and all of the three above are existential and mortal threats to the US, the unipolar world is over...
The US provoked Russia with talking about accepting Ukraine to Nato and then Russia started its war operation. Thanks to Bidon. US has over 700 military bases across the world - why? To control the world in own interests - do you think all countries like this like Russia, China, Iran? There live similar people like you with the same life interests
Maybe we could get the FBI and CIA out of the business? The only way we can have today's non results in the (in)famous drug war after all these decades would be because those two outfits are actually the lead players and beneficiaries.
(as Marxist Obamski used to say about Green Global Warming HOAX, 🙂 *** Presidential Immunity *** is a "SETTLED ISSUE" - otherwise you cannot have PRESIDENCY, nor the REPUBLIC ! Period !
I'd put a question on your site a few weeks back about considering whether we need to onshore our IT services, the same way we're onshoring our manufacturing back from China. After the Crowdstrike incident, do you have concerns about how dependent we are on other countries for code development and general IT services?
I'm not Maga. I'm a registered Democrat and independent voter. But I also work for a large IT Security company not named Crowdstrike. And it's a fact that we are largely IT manpower dependent on a country whose leader moves more and more autocratic, and who fuels the Russian army by buying all their oil. If push actually came to shove, the US is vulnerable in ways like this that we are not predicting.
Crowdstrike is an USA company with HQ in USA. So I don't hink onshoring would have done much to prevent what happened from happening. What is needed there isn't more onshoring and centralization. If anything, what happened was caused by over-centralization and basically creating a Single Point Of Failure in the entire global ecosystem.
The USA and the whole of the Western world needs to onshore everything again asap. We were caught with our pants down with Chinese state subsidised steel. And we consumers were foolishly lured by the low prices of Chinese manufactured goods for which we have paid a tremendous price with the loss of hundreds of thousands, and probably millions, of jobs in the West.
Mr. Zeihan has a good sense of humor, CIA stands for Comedy something or other, doesn't it? Comedy Is America, I think, or Amerika is Comedy, or Comedy I Adore or something...
He said multiple times Trump had no chance and listed the reasons. It’s not over yet but we know that Biden won’t win. Peter has been wrong about a lot of things.
At that time, obviously it narrowed due to Biden's TV performance and the upshoot is after further major gaffs he's out, a week is a long time in politics and Harris is basically a "Younger" unknown (Hopefully she will perform better than as Vice President where she was basically anonymous!) and Trump is the geriatric old man, what a turn around, she has to attack Trump on his age (If Biden is too old so is Trump type of thing!) and his conviction and his lack of telling the truth!?!
Peter covered that in a previous video a while back, basically you need a functioning Army to invade a neighbour (Ask Russia!) and they have not got a functioning country and Guyana's allies will help it out if Venezuela does cobble together a rag tag outfit!?!
lol the USA didn't defend Ukraine in 2014 after committing to security assurances in the Trilateral Statement on January 14, 1994 They had a chance to stop WW3 back then but didn't.
Yes, but one of your American Africans was president That fact, alone takes all criticism off the table And you should be ashamed of your racist statement Lol
you got your boss on an interview and you did ask the best question " why won't you give us raises? is it because we a handicap?" best way to put him on his heels.
In terms of conflicts, Vietnam was actually not a large scale conflict in the way that WW2 was. The involvement was not near as in depth for a number of reasons, and that’s part of the problem why Vietnam fell.
Peter really helps me to understand the complex connections between all the moving parts of our world. He doesn’t get all the facts right all the time, but that’s ok because he’s given me the tools to do my own analysis. Truly invaluable.
Most of the time he's always wrong and just pushes CIA talking points. There's not a single instance in which he's ever been correct about Russia nor China.
He looks like he's on downward spiral mentally. Something's really off about him and his past analysis on the Ukraine war have been nothing but schizo rambles. He's sick.
The Korean War until the armistice was major, if not localised, yes? It was a full scale ground war at the very least. The naval aspect maybe not so much.
Hard to argue Vietnam wasn't a major war too. If you want to argue it wasn't a major war because it wasn't a total war then you should also likewise argue Ukraine isn't a major war for Russia.
@@davidjones6389 The Korean War involved Russia, China, North Korea, the United Kingdom, Canada, Turkey, Australia, France, the United States, the Netherlands, Belgium, Thailand, South Africa and a few other countries, and millions of troops over less than 3 years of combat. Over 3 million people died, 2/3rds of that number were civilians.
you don't like fake hd quality and crunchy static audio? It's not like literally cellphones could do better directional sound and video- no! you are asking WAY too much /s
I'm sick of the USA being spoken of as the innocent victim of the Cuban Missile Crisis. As if the USSR just up and decided to do it without any provocation.
The whole deal was the missiles in Turkey, which the US was willing to trade for missiles out of Cuba. I head a lecture of Krusheve's son in Vegas, and his dad said the Russia (1962) had the capacity of 405\% of the US. I about dropped out of my chair . have been to Russia, very depressing.
He meant Sputnik, as that propelled us to join the Space race with the full might of our economy, which ended up ensuring our technological ascendancy for two generations and counting.
He means Sputnik. That was the moment that _really_ freaked out the US and led to the space race. Got US off our butts and spending trillions just to dunk on the Sovies.
Sputnik was a huge motivator during the 'Cold War', an 'attack' on the USA as a leader in technological achievement and applying those achievements to commercial and military use at the time. But I'd agree PZ missed it big time by leaving out the 9/11 attack.
@@zackn8745That's true, Sputnik did motivate the US to get up there and shoot ⛳ golf balls on the actual moon (and build a few hundred ICBMs and SLBMs 💪 with the same tech), but I still wouldn't put a satellite launch in the same category as Pearl, especially when 911 was just sitting there saying "bro you forgot me already?"
Re: Mexico/cartels: Drugs won "The War on Drugs" a looooong time ago. There is no scenario where the US government will ever be able to stop, or even significantly slow down, the flow of drugs from Mexico.
@@crazychase98Not before 100k Mexican civilians are killed, and that would turn all Mexicans against us. Trust me, you don't want that, especially right next to our country. It would be the end of the US. Basically what Russia is doing to itself in Ukraine.
There are three issues. (1) The flow of drugs. (2) The cartels' power relative to the Mexican government. (3) The possibility of cartel violence and mob-style assasinations spreading into the US. #1 is already lost until Americans reduce demand. #2 is mainly an intra-Mexico issue unless the its government/constitution collapses. #3 would cause the US to escalate whatever the consequences.
@@todorkolev7565 Habitual Linecrosser. Check him out. A "Comedian" with a spot on view on the World Stage. But you got to already have a fairly good understanding of military matters in order to get his jokes.
Don't underestimate the fallout from any conflict that sees real numbers of US citizens in combat being killed in high numbers. Many scholars documented the "arm chair war" that was Vietnam and the lambasting that domestic policy incurred. The Fed's have a long and detailed analysis which is constantly being consulted in the ongoing requirements of a docile and compliant pleabianist support base.... Not mentioned is the appalling rates of military enrollment and successful candidate criteria.....
All that will change as drones become more advanced with AI. The world is about to go through a major change. Humans can't comprehend what a couple 100thousand drones (air,land,water) will do to a country. Imagine releasing 500k small (12inch) flying drones, each with a quarter pound of c4 and sound/IR/data sensors, and a simple ai that is programmed to kill anything larger than a dog. This would be cheaper than any conventional warfare, and miniscule american deaths, so no incentives to stop the war.
There's nothing wrong with alcohol. If you need it to function or can't fathom things without it's presence the problem is yourself and you should address it with a therapist. If not alcohol is perfectly fine to consume.
And Like a Roman emperor, Trump announces he a deity - I do wonder if that would create a divide between him and his followers or if they'd find a way to look past "You shall have no other gods before me"
no matter what as soon as they lose the Petrodollar, which they will at some point, the USA is screwed it will never be what is was and the sad part is if it hadnt been so corrupt with croney capitalism running rampant it could have been something truely great.
@@OctaBechyou say Trump would make himself a god but last I checked at least he was nominated with the peoples vote. Can't say the same about Harris and considering the backroom political dealing with party elites that resembles a dictatorship, your statement really has no merit. You are consumed by propaganda.
The US is fighting for its survival since 9/11. The US was tricked into a war it can never win. The same thing happened to the Soviet Union in Afghanistan. This later led to the collapse of the USSR. The US is still very much in trouble, although there has been a slight turnaround since 2020. If you are a leader, you can expect to be constantly challenged, and if you are in a weak state, your enemies will take advantage.
The Sputnik launch was not one of those moments. The media made a great deal about it; but Eisenhower and some members of his administration were well aware of what the Soviet Union was planning. It turned out to be a beneficial event since it demonstrated free use of space orbits over nations of the world. Check out the library at the Eisenhour museum.
The problem with US foreign policy is not about winning a conflict which is easy for the US. It's about winning the peace. Since the last intelligent US generals McArthur and Marshall there has been a littany of inept fools at the head of US military and foreign policy.
Peace is not the purview of the generals. That belongs to the politicians. Politicians cause the wars. Soldiers fight the wars and win them. Politicians then screwup the peace.
I don't know, but my guess is that history inflated those men and they were assholes like the rest of them. Maybe more competent assholes, but assholes all the same.
I cherish Zeihan's Shreveport speech from early 2023 when, confidently and smugly talking out of his ar*e as usual, he was certain that Ukraine would win the war that year because of some nonsense about how the Glorious Armed Forces of Slava Ukrani had control of some "sluice gate" somewhere. Funnily, Pete doesn't refer back to that one very often these days.
what about the one where they'd (the ukros) developed a bridgehead on the south bank near Kherson - PZ said it was a "game changer". 12 months later, they all died...
Peter has always advocated a much limited to their original aims win for Russia, the sluice gate controls the water to Crimea and Russia more or less ceased that to work when they blew up the Crimean Dam, they now have to ship vast amounts of drinkable water in along with food as the water also majorly propagated the agriculture, it is another drain on their resources and if Ukraine can achieve some sort of shell and air defence parity then Crimea will be untenable for Russia to maintain, the sluice gate only ever affected Crimea so your memory is in error and Peter only makes "his" observations, it's not compulsory to agree with them and it is broad brush!?!
@@georgekeiser3867 Yeah, of course, I forgot about that one. Goodness me, those "game changers" eh? My, oh my, doesn't the "game" just keep on getting "changed"? Now, admittedly, it sort of doesn't look that way. It sort of looks like, far from "changing", it remains exactly the same: "Russia slowly, slowly, slowly uses it's huge advantages in artillery and airpower to pulverize UKR into powder, and will happily just keep doing so inch by inch until the whole thing collapses into a puddle of gore, guts, metal and oil". Ah, but no, see, 'cos there's this "game changer" on the horizon...
Because that is working so well in Oregon, oh wait it isn't which is why on April 1,2024 Governor Tina Kotek re-criminalized even small amounts of illicit drugs.
I remember when Zeihan was interesting, accurate, and measured. For the past few years everything he's been saying is the opposite of reality. Frustrating. Whoever got him on their payroll, well done.
@@acidbronson9712 He's been incorrect about everything Russia-related and keeps calling them incompetent. It's far far far from the truth. Zeihan is a demographics guy, not a military strategy guy. The only semi-public figure that's been accurate has been Colonel MacGregor.
@acidbronson9712 He's wrong about almost everything. He's just a factoid machine. He gives you extremely nuanced details about specific things related to trade, shipping, manufacturing, and demographics. He then takes those factoids and articulates with deadpan confidence how those details relate to the topic and why he is correct in his analysis. Anything he's wrong about (everything as of late) he just never revisits. Guy is a con-man on some deep state payroll. Every position he takes is a narrative that benefits power.
Anti-Russia is the context with which anyone should listen to Zeihan. Peter NEVER refers to "proxy" war as war. If the USA is war-debt-funding Ukraine, it is, essentially, in a significant war.
True but hopefully it prevents a far worse scenario. Ukraine is just a test case for China. A distraction. It’s working. It’s dividing us and half of us can’t see what’s going on. That is very scary.
@@the51project you must be talking about CNN, MSNBC, ABC, CBS, NBC, PBS, NPR or FOX huh Surely your indoctrinated Kool-Aid drinking self realizes that this is Peter‘s opinion That’s right snowflake , his opinion. Hence the name of this series ….ASK PETER ZEIHN It’s not like Barack Obama has spoken No one is scrambling to chisel it on a stone tablet
Agree with everything except Vietnam: 500,000 US troops in country and 58,000 US dead, South Korean and Australian contingents, a million plus Vietnamese dead, the collapse of Cambodia, Johnson effectively resigned over it, but it’s not a “major” conflict?
We spent 20 years replacing the taliban with the taliban.
The level of Hubris the government has had since Vietnam is flabbergasting.
😂😂😂 so true.
Afghans chose the Taliban but only after trump made a deal with them to withdraw from Afghanistan
We'll have our own Christian Taliban if Trump gets elected
@@bloodgout Biden botched the retreat, not Trump.
That’s a lot of liquor in the background. I guess in that line of work; it’s gotta be an office supply 😭
There "was" a lot of liquor in them bottles.
You call that a lot of liquor? That would have lasted me less than half a week when I was an alcoholic
@@Name-di3kuYou need help! Seriously!
Kava is the new liquor....without the bad stuff....
He said "was" an alcoholic. Past tense.
Peter comes to us from Mariana's Trench and Mount Everest in 4K but whenever he's in the studio we're back to potato quality
lol 😆
Noone is dumb enough to do the dumb thing....until they find themselves doing the really dumb thing.
Dumb is following NEOCONS
Dumb thing like voting for Kamala Harris?
@@JoeBlow-fp5nglmao, you don't even know why you don't like her
@@janitorizampedher policy , that was easy
@@Whomadethis1What are her policies?
I dont remember the US invading Chechnya (twice). I dont remember the US invading Ukraine. I dont remember the US threatening Europe with nukes every week.
I don’t remember Russia setting up puppet regimes and then betraying them five years later to start a war, unseat them, and replace them with a different puppet regime-in country after country after country.
I don’t remember Russia spending 199 out of a 200 year period (1776-1976) being at war with somebody somewhere.
I don’t recall Russia breaking three peace treaties with NATO in the space of eight years.
Ha ha, then recall Vietnam, Iraq, Afganistan where US participated solely and then huge number of small wars wich were led by US in scope of NATO invasion
I am always critical when he starts talking politics, but this military and trade analysis seems to make sense.
I agree. Peter’s strength is the long term impact associated with decade long trends, particular demographics which leads to solid insights on trade, geopolitical strength and weaknesses, strategic alliances,etc. But for near term events, he’s not very strong. It’s like a climate scientist trying to predict the weather
@@SignalCorps1 Excellent analogy.
PZ is a Neocon who loves Jake Sullivan & Tony Blinken. All 3 are war mongers who hate everyone who can challenge the USA.
Cocain is not the problem.
The problem is Fentynal & Methamphetamines from Mexico, aided by Chinese precursor chemicals..
Yeah. Politics have always been a weakness of Peter’s.
sadly,, Zeihan has been spewing the Biden/NATO idiotic Anti-Putin/Anti-Russia PROPAGANDA ... making himself like a fool ... 😞
_____________________
although Zeihan maybe 'pivoting' away from that IDIOCY, after Sleepy Joe 'melted" 🙂
Thank you Peter Zehian , his knowing the importance of Mexico 🇲🇽
Its always been important. The US just thought they could control China and use them as a pawn to keep an eye on Russia. Once we hit rock bottom..we will need Mexico..mexico will be producing a lot of goods soon
Appreciate the empty bottles in the background 0:05. Ohhh nice bottle collection ... I misunderstood...lmao .Peter... Nice job as also.
You’re such a clown 😊
Peter is drunk on TDS again.
Thanks Peter.
The issue with your stance on military solutions to the cartels is that Americans haven’t been fighting like Americans since WW2, but instead have conducting police solutions using the military. Police solutions ≠ military solutions. What we’ve been calling ‘war’ hasn’t exactly been bellum Romanum.
It would not be difficult for the US to switch it to complete warfare.
your right no country with an advanced economy on earth has done total war since world war 2 maybe Korea and Vietnam. when I say total war I'm talking about no consideration for civilians, carpet bombing, total infrastructure targeting, denial of the enemy access to water, electricity and food if it can be done. war as it exist today is a scalpel in comparison to a sledgehammer.
You cant stop drugs. Can only hope to contain it.
@milesb2111 We can absolutely stop drugs definitively. But the things we would need to do to stop them would tear us apart ethically.
@@Art-is-craft I'm not so sure. we hold that life is dear and precious in this country now days. I don't think there is a US leader or general alive that is secretly has Genghis Khan ethics on warfare
I remember a year ago when Pete here was touting the future success of the Ukrainian offensive.
I remember him saying this is Russia’s war to lose.
Meaning if fall in their own hands of incompetence
@@ericloss6153 and that their equipment wasn’t able to fight a modern war and western equipment would overwhelm them. Yeah, he says a lot of stuff so always take his “expertise” with a large grain on salt.
He assumed that US support was going to be constant, but the Republicans put a wrench into that.
He has also admitted being wrong on that.
Why is it when some asshat is wrong and double down no one cares but anytime someone says new Information or current came to light and they were wrong/changed opinions and suddenly “oh BuT tHeY wERe WrOng”
@@petermartin2321 They got $300 million in US aid alone, that doesn’t even include the billions more from NATO. As a reminder, we are not at war with Russia, Ukraine has never been a NATO member or has ever been our ally, but yeah……it’s the republicans fault. Delusional.
As someone posted:
Don’t touch our boats
Don’t touch John Wicks dog
Any don’t ever take the kitty cat bracelet!
The houthis got a pass?
@@danillosheslem6507 No pass, but I heard they might have a puppy given them by a tragically slain mother with cancer.
@doc145
The kitty bracelet wasn’t actually stolen. He found it under the couch.
What is the uss liberty incident
@@petebondurant58 your right. But don’t ever think of taking it. 😂
The U.S. lost some 34,000 in Korea and 58,000 in Vietnam. Those were major conflicts.
The US lost 405,399 in WW2, that’s a major conflict
@@Pumper_of_Maws Sure it is, but thise other wars were significant in scope (and geopolitical consequence), and US losses were significant compared to those of most nations in most wars throughout history. Think about a city of 34,000 or 58,000 inhabitants, wiped out.
@@kevinice2841 semantics and definitions lads
@@Pumper_of_Mawsexactly
Wounded and Sideline Psychology Victims...WAY MORE..
Cheers for your thoughts.
1:20 DO NOT TOUCH THE BOATS
Is that on the Geneva checklist? Asking for a Canadian Friend...
Sure hlc
Would you intercept him?
Ah, a fellow Fat Electrician enjoyer I see ;)
@@DylanPelzer-lq7oy Truth be known, I'm more of a Grandpa Buff lover myself. But if the kid ever comes out of the closet I'm sure that he will protect the boats too.
We just got two Sinaloa cartel leaders..
And how did the current Sinaloa leaders come to power?
Whispers CIA@@speedcreep2605
@@spoonsmith9506 So What… that’s like saying I caught two mice … while standing in a grain elevator
Hurting Sinaloa helps Jalisco New Generation, which is very concerning.
That usually makes things worse as the problem doesn't go away, but power has to be reconsolidated. See Felix Mitchell paradox.
Peter seems to have forgotten 9/11/2001. No mention even though that attack still drives the US middle east policy and has cost the US close to 15,000 lives, both military and civilian.
He mentioned that no one is dumb enough to do something like this
11 Sept, Afghanistan and Iraq might have seemed devastating at the personal level, but they were not major wars, ie, peer on peer or a near peer war.
9/11 did hardly matter for the US personally.
I think that's EXACTLY the kind of "really stupid thing" that Mr. Zeihan was referring to.
@@wattlebough Obviously, you didn't listen to all of Zeihan's video. No, 9/11/2001 wasn't a major conflict, but its an example of someone doing something stupid that provokes a major response which is ongoing to this day. Maybe Oct. 7th was a negligible act from your standards.
I cant find the full interview anywhere. Any help finding it or providing the interviewer's full name (difficult to understand from video) is greatly appreciated.
This isn't an interview mate. This is one of his employees, asking questions for people on their website I am pretty sure. He pops up from time to time
@@emceeboogieboots1608 Thanks
My son has been a Navy Seabee for 17 years. They are building up the Pacific rim faster than you can imagine. Ports. Airports and runways. Hospitals.....Both the US Navy and the other side. It's happening.
Taiwan..gone . 10 years ago I questioned a Native..Dental Technician...China owns the businesses...and Land. Political & Military Show Ponies..Serious..
@sayreharder1541 . Thanks...Yeah..
Thanks!
Thanks for your perspective.
Don’t touch our boats!
Quack bang!!!
Don't touch the boats!*
- Japan, maybe. 😂
Found the fellow Mandatorian!
Peter looks like he's wearing a strange hat from the Cirque du Soleil
Map Background...
Or one of the hats that the backup guards use in the Dune 2 gladiator scene
@@Randomdive I thought the same thing but did not tell because I was sure nobody noticed that scene! :)
@@johncenter4858 it's the best scene in that movie! All shot in infrared too, not just converted into black and white
Looking forward to hearing your thoughts on the US geopolitical direction following the election
Military Industrial Complex
I have recently wrapped my head around the fact that I already have 2 jobs, and they both serve the same purpose: homeowner. I work 9-5 to make money. I use that money to pay for the things I can't do myself, and to pay the mortgage/utilities.
I work the rest of the hours fixing up my 70 year old house.
This was an accident, but it's a pretty good life. I like my second job. It's the 9-5 that is low on the "personal fulfillment" front, but the hourly pay is pretty good and I need money for materials and (sometimes) contractors.
I'm nowhere near good enough to charge people, but luckily my second job has one client and that client isn't too picky.
So nothing can be done about the drug Cartels because of Mexican trade? Think out of the box Peter.
what he's saying is the U.S would crumble without Mexico.
Hey Mr. Peter Zeihan. I have been listening to your work since 2008. I was a member of USAF and had access to Stratfor, and read everything I could. Today I listened to your interview with Joe Rogan..."You're going to put something powered by nuclear decay in your ear?"...When you said that I knew you are genuinely cool 😎...Very well done. All your concepts and explanations stood up to the sharp questions of Mr. Rogan. What a great line...I laughed and listened to it several times!!!
Yes
You are saying that China and Russia aren't dumb enough to provoke the US? Why were they just flying a joint mission above Alaska? They were flying their war planes. A Russian warship is in Cuba too.
That's a show for their own people. Authoritarians need to look strong to keep control. There's no substance to it in terms of impact or intention towards the US. Peter was talking about an actual act that would cause a war.
@@victorb5 thank you. That makes sense.
@rebeccaaldrich3396 because this guy still think that we're living in the 1960s where americans can do and get away with everything that it wants.
He's so smug and a western exceptionalist that it just makes me sick, he can never debate anyone either just his monologuing...
And ofc China, Russia and North Korea doesn't want war with the US but he fails to realize that it goes both ways.
We live in a nuclear age now and all of the three above are existential and mortal threats to the US, the unipolar world is over...
You realize that takes place all the time, right? Just like how nato had a huge exercise in Europe recently?
The US provoked Russia with talking about accepting Ukraine to Nato and then Russia started its war operation. Thanks to Bidon. US has over 700 military bases across the world - why? To control the world in own interests - do you think all countries like this like Russia, China, Iran? There live similar people like you with the same life interests
IF Putin has supplied the Houthies with anti ship missiles, that stupid mistake may have already been made.
its the Iranians lol. The only country Putin gives missiles to now is Ukraine
I assume that the reason we are constraining Ukraine is because of internal Russian threats to arm global insurgents.
@@QuidisiNo. It's to minimize the small but non-negligible chance that Russia would resort to the use of nuclear weapons.
@@edwardkuenzi5751 That's what the pretext is, tho' many decision markers' fear is very real. But is it justified?
Israel has destroyed, whatever docking facilities are in Yemen
The sound is great, Peter
Good times.
obviously Michel is having good time.
look at these empty bottles!
🤣
👏 so appreciate your work
""If, if, if, if IF...very, very, very, VERY".
you are aware how making predictions works, right?
@@acidbronson9712 I'm observing on a couple of phrases that Peter seems to be very fond of😉😁.
@@acidbronson9712 Predictions that never happened and wont happen. He's been so wrong so many times that i think he is a meme at this point
Short answer, yes.
“Don’t start shit, won’t be shit.”
- US military doctrine
😂😂😂😂😂
We all need shit and you got the shit don't mean you ruling SHIT.
-US Foriegn Policy
More like I want your shit
Other countries: or what
USA : or I will give you a crash course to freedom
@@mohamedsaid2882more like well destabilize the entire region for decades. We have not fought a moral war since ww2.
Third world countries wish this was true
thanks Peter! you are awesome
Something needs to be done about the cartels
Yes, North Americans need to stop loving their cocaine and other drugs. That is the major reason for the cartel's existence.
You mean the government?
Maybe we could get the FBI and CIA out of the business? The only way we can have today's non results in the (in)famous drug war after all these decades would be because those two outfits are actually the lead players and beneficiaries.
Maybe the US could have gun control to stem the flood of American guns to Mexican cartels.
Move toward decriminalization of drugs.
Hey Peter, any comment on the upcoming election in Venezuela, and the impact of that election in the LATAM region?
The books and booze background is cool…love learning from Peter
Peters background look like he's been growing Moose Antlers. lol.
Peter please talk about the Supreme Court decision on presidential immunity.
(as Marxist Obamski used to say about Green Global Warming HOAX, 🙂
*** Presidential Immunity *** is a "SETTLED ISSUE" - otherwise you cannot have PRESIDENCY, nor the REPUBLIC ! Period !
I'd put a question on your site a few weeks back about considering whether we need to onshore our IT services, the same way we're onshoring our manufacturing back from China.
After the Crowdstrike incident, do you have concerns about how dependent we are on other countries for code development and general IT services?
Crowdstrike is a US based company. The future is open source.
I'm not Maga. I'm a registered Democrat and independent voter. But I also work for a large IT Security company not named Crowdstrike.
And it's a fact that we are largely IT manpower dependent on a country whose leader moves more and more autocratic, and who fuels the Russian army by buying all their oil. If push actually came to shove, the US is vulnerable in ways like this that we are not predicting.
Crowdstrike is an USA company with HQ in USA. So I don't hink onshoring would have done much to prevent what happened from happening.
What is needed there isn't more onshoring and centralization. If anything, what happened was caused by over-centralization and basically creating a Single Point Of Failure in the entire global ecosystem.
The USA and the whole of the Western world needs to onshore everything again asap. We were caught with our pants down with Chinese state subsidised steel. And we consumers were foolishly lured by the low prices of Chinese manufactured goods for which we have paid a tremendous price with the loss of hundreds of thousands, and probably millions, of jobs in the West.
Dude we are crazy vulnerable to solar flares anything that makes online services shut down
Mr. Zeihan has a good sense of humor, CIA stands for Comedy something or other, doesn't it? Comedy Is America, I think, or Amerika is Comedy, or Comedy I Adore or something...
Remember when Pete said Biden would win the election?
He said multiple times Trump had no chance and listed the reasons. It’s not over yet but we know that Biden won’t win. Peter has been wrong about a lot of things.
Nah, he said that Trump has better chances. Which was proven to be true now.
Citation needed... i remember several times in the last few weeks where he said its a toss up
I can't fault him for some of the predictions. However he does seem to make up "facts" that can't be verified anywhere else.
At that time, obviously it narrowed due to Biden's TV performance and the upshoot is after further major gaffs he's out, a week is a long time in politics and Harris is basically a "Younger" unknown (Hopefully she will perform better than as Vice President where she was basically anonymous!) and Trump is the geriatric old man, what a turn around, she has to attack Trump on his age (If Biden is too old so is Trump type of thing!) and his conviction and his lack of telling the truth!?!
Interesting point of view , but Scot Ritter makes some different and difficult points.
We're already in a worldwide cold war.
and what kind of great shit R U smoking ?
@@TheVeritas2100 Sounds like a staring-you-in-the-face obvious blunt, to me.
@@TheVeritas2100By definition, we are in a Cold War.
Putin is losing, remember Russia has the GDP of Texas, and the average income is abuot14K us, how can you tax those people?
@@themetalhead1463 LOL!
and what 'definition' are you using ? ... Mickey Mouse definition ? or the dumb-and-dumber Millennials 'definition" ?
Greetings from Vevey! (Fête des Vignerons 2019)
How about Venezuela’s territorial claims in Guyana?
That's Brazil problem to deal with
America has already tried to coup Venezuela. American oil interests lost a lot of money when Venezuela nationalized the oil.
Not even close. Venezuela would last about 2 days against the US military. They won't go for Guyana. It was a campaigning tool, nothing more.
Peter covered that in a previous video a while back, basically you need a functioning Army to invade a neighbour (Ask Russia!) and they have not got a functioning country and Guyana's allies will help it out if Venezuela does cobble together a rag tag outfit!?!
They're been making claims still the 1890s, i doubt now they're going to go for it.
Why am I still watching this guy?
lol the USA didn't defend Ukraine in 2014 after committing to security assurances in the Trilateral Statement on January 14, 1994
They had a chance to stop WW3 back then but didn't.
Yes, but one of your American Africans was president
That fact, alone takes all criticism off the table
And you should be ashamed of your racist statement Lol
What WW3? Russia has the military power of Mexico.
Well if you believe the Russian propaganda, they're fighting the whole Nato in Ukraine 😂
@@jaegybomb ahhh, I’m pretty sure Mexico doesn’t have a nuclear weapons arsenal Period 😮
@@joehowe9532 No one is going to launch a nuke.
Hey Zeihan, can we get an update video on whether France can lead the EU after the Olympics?
you got your boss on an interview and you did ask the best question " why won't you give us raises? is it because we a handicap?" best way to put him on his heels.
"....barring some idiot somewhere doing....." Hmm. There is a name that comes to mind when the word "idiot" is spoken.
Vietnam????????????????????????????????????????????????????
shmietnam
That was because of France. That is what he meant because of allies.
In terms of conflicts, Vietnam was actually not a large scale conflict in the way that WW2 was. The involvement was not near as in depth for a number of reasons, and that’s part of the problem why Vietnam fell.
Excellent comment and information! Thank you sooo much!
If the netanyahu speech is any indicator, I'd say it's sure bet
Bibi is Israel's Trump.
Did you know that a certain particular mosque has been destroyed by earthquake twice before ?
His speech was identical to the one before and after 9/11 >.
I don’t see why not.
Peter really helps me to understand the complex connections between all the moving parts of our world.
He doesn’t get all the facts right all the time, but that’s ok because he’s given me the tools to do my own analysis.
Truly invaluable.
Most of the time he's always wrong and just pushes CIA talking points. There's not a single instance in which he's ever been correct about Russia nor China.
Man… it sure does feel like it sometimes. I feel like people forgot the frame of reference from the tension during the Cmc
Zeihans sources are the voices in his head
Account created 1 year ago. Your sources are the voices of the Kremlin
He looks like he's on downward spiral mentally. Something's really off about him and his past analysis on the Ukraine war have been nothing but schizo rambles. He's sick.
Vote RFK Jr if you're tired of the endless wars
The Korean War until the armistice was major, if not localised, yes? It was a full scale ground war at the very least. The naval aspect maybe not so much.
Hard to argue Vietnam wasn't a major war too. If you want to argue it wasn't a major war because it wasn't a total war then you should also likewise argue Ukraine isn't a major war for Russia.
Both only involved a few players not the globe.
@@davidjones6389 The Korean War involved Russia, China, North Korea, the United Kingdom, Canada, Turkey, Australia, France, the United States, the Netherlands, Belgium, Thailand, South Africa and a few other countries, and millions of troops over less than 3 years of combat. Over 3 million people died, 2/3rds of that number were civilians.
@@wattlebough NiCE, you learned something, but how many borders? It was a regional war. Not global.
@@blackcatdungeonmastersfami5311 Not when you study WW I and 2 They are small.
No occupations 900 military bases all over the world is occupations...
love the videos but please sort the camera quality out, in 2024 it's hard to take it seriously.
you don't like fake hd quality and crunchy static audio?
It's not like literally cellphones could do better directional sound and video- no! you are asking WAY too much /s
1798 ..Thomas Malthus report...sure Olde English..
I've read it.
I'm sick of the USA being spoken of as the innocent victim of the Cuban Missile Crisis. As if the USSR just up and decided to do it without any provocation.
The whole deal was the missiles in Turkey, which the US was willing to trade for missiles out of Cuba. I head a lecture of Krusheve's son in Vegas, and his dad said the Russia (1962) had the capacity of 405\% of the US. I about dropped out of my chair . have been to Russia, very depressing.
This aged well...
Peters buddies want one either abroad or domestically. Why?
Thanks ziehan another great take from the CIA
Sputnik? That was a 🛰️ satellite. Did you mean 911?
He meant Sputnik, as that propelled us to join the Space race with the full might of our economy, which ended up ensuring our technological ascendancy for two generations and counting.
Sputnik led directly into the Apollo program. Granted, not a war, but required great national will/resources
He means Sputnik. That was the moment that _really_ freaked out the US and led to the space race. Got US off our butts and spending trillions just to dunk on the Sovies.
Sputnik was a huge motivator during the 'Cold War', an 'attack' on the USA as a leader in technological achievement and applying those achievements to commercial and military use at the time. But I'd agree PZ missed it big time by leaving out the 9/11 attack.
@@zackn8745That's true, Sputnik did motivate the US to get up there and shoot ⛳ golf balls on the actual moon (and build a few hundred ICBMs and SLBMs 💪 with the same tech), but I still wouldn't put a satellite launch in the same category as Pearl, especially when 911 was just sitting there saying "bro you forgot me already?"
Interesting.
In a word? NO. Don't be stupid.
Somehow, I want a drink now.
Re: Mexico/cartels: Drugs won "The War on Drugs" a looooong time ago. There is no scenario where the US government will ever be able to stop, or even significantly slow down, the flow of drugs from Mexico.
They could finally address the massive social shortcomings in the US that lead to people seeking escape/relief through illicit drug use
The #1 cause of crime is ............... laws.
Going to war in Mexico would stop them. But troops would have to be on ground. Poltican wouldn't do that though
@@crazychase98Not before 100k Mexican civilians are killed, and that would turn all Mexicans against us. Trust me, you don't want that, especially right next to our country. It would be the end of the US. Basically what Russia is doing to itself in Ukraine.
There are three issues. (1) The flow of drugs. (2) The cartels' power relative to the Mexican government. (3) The possibility of cartel violence and mob-style assasinations spreading into the US. #1 is already lost until Americans reduce demand. #2 is mainly an intra-Mexico issue unless the its government/constitution collapses. #3 would cause the US to escalate whatever the consequences.
The USA Just made a Bacon Lettuce and El Mayo Sandwich lol
"Don't touch the Boats"! Just... Don't TOUCH the boats!
Those of you who know... knows... ;-)
please explain? :)
@@todorkolev7565habitual linecrosser and fat electrician refrence
@@rogerdowns1656 There you go! BTW, Cheers from the South part of "Little European Texas" ;-)
@@todorkolev7565 Habitual Linecrosser. Check him out. A "Comedian" with a spot on view on the World Stage. But you got to already have a fairly good understanding of military matters in order to get his jokes.
@@todorkolev7565 roger gave you the right answer.
Don't underestimate the fallout from any conflict that sees real numbers of US citizens in combat being killed in high numbers. Many scholars documented the "arm chair war" that was Vietnam and the lambasting that domestic policy incurred. The Fed's have a long and detailed analysis which is constantly being consulted in the ongoing requirements of a docile and compliant pleabianist support base....
Not mentioned is the appalling rates of military enrollment and successful candidate criteria.....
All that will change as drones become more advanced with AI.
The world is about to go through a major change. Humans can't comprehend what a couple 100thousand drones (air,land,water) will do to a country. Imagine releasing 500k small (12inch) flying drones, each with a quarter pound of c4 and sound/IR/data sensors, and a simple ai that is programmed to kill anything larger than a dog.
This would be cheaper than any conventional warfare, and miniscule american deaths, so no incentives to stop the war.
Hey Mike double check whatever it you have on the shelf behind you before you go on cam next time.
😂😂😂😂
After giving up alcohol myself I hope everyone can kick the habit
There's nothing wrong with alcohol. If you need it to function or can't fathom things without it's presence the problem is yourself and you should address it with a therapist.
If not alcohol is perfectly fine to consume.
These bottles look very empty to me, how about the candle on the right side 👀
@@VeinsDeLAlfaz BINGO!
Logistics will be easy
Theres been rumors for years
Transition from Roman Republic to Roman Empire
And Like a Roman emperor, Trump announces he a deity - I do wonder if that would create a divide between him and his followers or if they'd find a way to look past "You shall have no other gods before me"
no matter what as soon as they lose the Petrodollar, which they will at some point, the USA is screwed it will never be what is was and the sad part is if it hadnt been so corrupt with croney capitalism running rampant it could have been something truely great.
Roman Empire was still a republic.
We are in the Gracchi period.
@@OctaBechyou say Trump would make himself a god but last I checked at least he was nominated with the peoples vote. Can't say the same about Harris and considering the backroom political dealing with party elites that resembles a dictatorship, your statement really has no merit. You are consumed by propaganda.
Can the US maintain its hegemony without going to war?
No one in the world is dumb enough to take on the Eagle of the West 🇺🇸 🦅🗽
The US is fighting for its survival since 9/11. The US was tricked into a war it can never win. The same thing happened to the Soviet Union in Afghanistan. This later led to the collapse of the USSR. The US is still very much in trouble, although there has been a slight turnaround since 2020. If you are a leader, you can expect to be constantly challenged, and if you are in a weak state, your enemies will take advantage.
eagle can get swarmed. if countries together stand against US it aint gonna be pretty
@@swayson5208That’s what we got NATO and our pacific allies for.
@@swayson5208 You seem to forget that we’re so technically advanced we crush all opposition. We literally shit on everyone hahaha. Fucking clowns 🤡
@@jack727dave5 if alliances holds... Deception, money, greed ...
The Sputnik launch was not one of those moments. The media made a great deal about it; but Eisenhower and some members of his administration were well aware of what the Soviet Union was planning. It turned out to be a beneficial event since it demonstrated free use of space orbits over nations of the world. Check out the library at the Eisenhour museum.
The problem with US foreign policy is not about winning a conflict which is easy for the US. It's about winning the peace. Since the last intelligent US generals McArthur and Marshall there has been a littany of inept fools at the head of US military and foreign policy.
Peace is not the purview of the generals. That belongs to the politicians.
Politicians cause the wars.
Soldiers fight the wars and win them.
Politicians then screwup the peace.
I don't know, but my guess is that history inflated those men and they were assholes like the rest of them. Maybe more competent assholes, but assholes all the same.
Sorry, with all due respect, I do not agree. At least provide one example of your thesis!
Mark Milley is a complete fool. He is correct.
Winning a conflict is easy? Afganistan and Vietnam would disagree.
"Do not invade Mexico" got it, thanks. Just writing this down.
I cherish Zeihan's Shreveport speech from early 2023 when, confidently and smugly talking out of his ar*e as usual, he was certain that Ukraine would win the war that year because of some nonsense about how the Glorious Armed Forces of Slava Ukrani had control of some "sluice gate" somewhere. Funnily, Pete doesn't refer back to that one very often these days.
what about the one where they'd (the ukros) developed a bridgehead on the south bank near Kherson - PZ said it was a "game changer". 12 months later, they all died...
Peter has always advocated a much limited to their original aims win for Russia, the sluice gate controls the water to Crimea and Russia more or less ceased that to work when they blew up the Crimean Dam, they now have to ship vast amounts of drinkable water in along with food as the water also majorly propagated the agriculture, it is another drain on their resources and if Ukraine can achieve some sort of shell and air defence parity then Crimea will be untenable for Russia to maintain, the sluice gate only ever affected Crimea so your memory is in error and Peter only makes "his" observations, it's not compulsory to agree with them and it is broad brush!?!
@@georgekeiser3867 Yeah, of course, I forgot about that one. Goodness me, those "game changers" eh? My, oh my, doesn't the "game" just keep on getting "changed"? Now, admittedly, it sort of doesn't look that way. It sort of looks like, far from "changing", it remains exactly the same: "Russia slowly, slowly, slowly uses it's huge advantages in artillery and airpower to pulverize UKR into powder, and will happily just keep doing so inch by inch until the whole thing collapses into a puddle of gore, guts, metal and oil". Ah, but no, see, 'cos there's this "game changer" on the horizon...
Found the orc bots
@@Sleepy7666 will you still be here when russia kicks your butts? or will YOU volunteer to fight the orcs? lol
The answer is yes always yes
Solution to drug prohibition is legalization and taxation at point of sale.
Because that is working so well in Oregon, oh wait it isn't which is why on April 1,2024 Governor Tina Kotek re-criminalized even small amounts of illicit drugs.
Won't work since the criminals don't pay taxes and don't care about work conditions etc.
@@3vil3lviscorrect
Europe had legalized drugs. What a nightmare
good one 👍
It's not a question, I think it's a matter of time, what will happen if Iran has nuclear weapons in 3 years, it will lead to a regional war
You know, the thing about nuclear weapons… they own the country that possesses them!!! Everybody want Nuclear weapons… until they have them!!!
I'm sure that Iran helping Russia will pay dividends in Iran's R&D ......... perhaps more
Finally some sense on this. Wish you told that to the military tho
Sort of an ignorant first question…. at this point
Major war; sounds like someone who has never been shot at
Or rocketed at 2 am in the morning, hat gets you attention real fast.
I remember when Zeihan was interesting, accurate, and measured. For the past few years everything he's been saying is the opposite of reality. Frustrating. Whoever got him on their payroll, well done.
What's he said that's been the opposite of reality recently? Feels like he's been fairly spot on to me and I've been watching for a while now
@@acidbronson9712 He's been incorrect about everything Russia-related and keeps calling them incompetent. It's far far far from the truth. Zeihan is a demographics guy, not a military strategy guy. The only semi-public figure that's been accurate has been Colonel MacGregor.
Yeah he’s been bought off like drudgereport. Hillary has editorial consideration while Matt gets over his monkey pox.
@acidbronson9712 He's wrong about almost everything. He's just a factoid machine. He gives you extremely nuanced details about specific things related to trade, shipping, manufacturing, and demographics. He then takes those factoids and articulates with deadpan confidence how those details relate to the topic and why he is correct in his analysis. Anything he's wrong about (everything as of late) he just never revisits.
Guy is a con-man on some deep state payroll. Every position he takes is a narrative that benefits power.
Good to see you ✌️ allways interesting 😎
Anti-Russia is the context with which anyone should listen to Zeihan. Peter NEVER refers to "proxy" war as war. If the USA is war-debt-funding Ukraine, it is, essentially, in a significant war.
Huh?
@@user-otzlixr
Read it again and do it v.e.r.y. s.l.o.w.l.y.! 😁
True but hopefully it prevents a far worse scenario. Ukraine is just a test case for China. A distraction. It’s working. It’s dividing us and half of us can’t see what’s going on. That is very scary.
"bleeding for allies" 😂😂😂in thats a nice way to describe US involvement in Vietnam
What a one-sided, biased, polarized, disingenuous diatribe.
@@the51project you must be talking about CNN, MSNBC, ABC, CBS, NBC, PBS, NPR or FOX huh
Surely your indoctrinated Kool-Aid drinking self realizes that this is Peter‘s opinion
That’s right snowflake , his opinion.
Hence the name of this series ….ASK PETER ZEIHN
It’s not like Barack Obama has spoken
No one is scrambling to chisel it on a stone tablet
Agree with everything except Vietnam: 500,000 US troops in country and 58,000 US dead, South Korean and Australian contingents, a million plus Vietnamese dead, the collapse of Cambodia, Johnson effectively resigned over it, but it’s not a “major” conflict?