The series so far has focused on some of the best parts of the book. Yes I have read it, my wife is reading it and have picked up another copy for our local 350 group leader. I have also picked out the next two people who will be getting a copy. On a more personal level this series is giving me the confidence to talk in depth about climate possibility’s to a couple people every day. Keep up the great work. Maybe my understanding and enthusiasm is also part of an “S” curve.
Thanks Adam, this was great! The disruption in the transportation field is going to be immense, and it's going to happen fast. Tesla's Full Self-Driving technology is approaching its ChatGPT moment, and I think most people have no idea it's even happening.
"Tesla's Full Self-Driving technology is approaching its ChatGPT moment" not really. Regulators force Tesla to recall 363,000 'Full Self-Driving' vehicles. DETROIT (AP) - U.S. safety regulators have pressured Tesla into recalling nearly 363,000 vehicles with its “Full Self-Driving” system because it can misbehave around intersections and doesn't always follow speed limits
@@sidekickmusic5936 ffs stop getting bogged down in the minutiae! The problem that you were talking about was not major nor was it difficult to solve. It was actually the same thing that most humans do at stop signs which was ‘rolling stops’.
Thank you for this excellent series! My friends and family think I'm insane when I say the technology will save us - so I'm sharing your videos to Facebook. Maybe I can help a few more people understand what's coming and have a better outlook on the future.
I found the video on disruption by Adam Dorr very insightful, particularly the discussion on how technological advancements like robotics could drive labor costs to near zero. The metrics he used to illustrate this were eye-opening. It's fascinating to consider how such changes could tackle major issues like climate change by making solutions more affordable. While this will undoubtedly cause significant disruption in job markets, it also opens up opportunities for humanity to focus on solving more complex problems. Leadership from politicians and thought leaders will be crucial in guiding this transition and ensuring that we can harness these advancements for the betterment of society. Empathy and clear communication about the benefits, while addressing concerns, will be key to navigating this change effectively.
Thanks for that, I’ve been a Tony Seba fanatic, since 2015. I got your audio book, on iTunes, Apple Books, I look forward, to listening to it. You’re right, exponential rise of new technologies and exponential decline of old industries, is a feature of history. My favourite being the roaring twenties, second Industrial Revolution. Bizarre, that China is roaring with solar, wind, batteries, electric vehicles, but entering a second cultural revolution, due to a real estate bubble, at the same time.
Thank you Adam and RethinkX for all the amazing research. We at Rystad Energy are also forecasting a disruption in energy driven by new solar wind and batteries. We are trying to calibrate with the supply chain but see constraints on wind and battery materials in the most aggressive scenarios. How do you think about this issue - other than the statement of the supply chain not being a bottleneck in past disruptions, which is something clients struggle to accept.
Regarding the food disruption, do you expect an increase in rewilding/untouched nature projects as food production moves away from habitable land and that land consequently loses value and becomes more affordable for environmental organizations and governments?
Thanks for these videos, I just bought your book and I hope it will go into deeper details. For example, how can disruption happen if cost of raw materials raise up because the demand for green tech is too high? You showed how these disruptions could converge and are mutually beneficial but you seem to omit that some mineral resources could be under stress. OK we'll get almost unlimited power from sun but what if these disrupting technologies cannot scale up due to rare metals?
Hi Adam & thanks for the profound teaching. Been hooked up since 2014 and becoming concerned that the material is not getting public exposure fast enough to avert or divert the unproductive strategies that are getting exposure. The addition of "Brighter" to Tony Seba's voluminous research makes this a complicated subject that must be taught. Can we be enlisted to spread the word and how?
How would you and Tony respond to the arguments of people like Vaclav Smil who say that the transition to renewables and other technologies will take much longer that you predict? Where does he go wrong?
Presumably Vaclav Smil is thinking linearly, not S curve. The entire point (difference) in RethinkX is that they have researched the history of innovative disruption; seen that it occurs as an S curve, not a linear/straight line; and then apply that to what is currently occurring.
Adam, thank you so much! My question to you is how can we disseminate this information most effectively? If there is anything I can do (I am an experienced public speaker) please reach out to me. I am in the UK.
How do we redistribute the wealth during this process of aquiring abundance? My greatest concern is that multinational conglomerates who control the energy, agricultural, pharmaceutical and media/information sectors will position themselves or have already done so to maintain their dominance and wealth over the common citizen. How do we claw back our sovereignty and fulfil the potential we all have as unique individuals for the greater good of humanity?
Do these agricultural substitutes have the same nutritional value as animal/plant sources? Not just vitamins and minerals but the 1000s of beneficial chemicals and proteins, many of which we probably haven’t discovered yet. Some, like resveratrol, come from plants being grown in certain conditions. Some, like conjugated linoleic acid, found in milk, come from animals eating certain diets. If food is synthesized and simplified we could lose all those beneficial chemicals and our health could suffer as a result.
Plants and a few supplements are all you need to be at optimum health. And plants grown for human consumption aren’t draining our resources the way animal agriculture is. Precision fermentation could give us a way to wean ourselves off of animal agriculture while continuing and expanding land used to produce plant-based foods, and reforesting the rest of the land previously used for animal agriculture.
I’ve never been more optimistic. I see a brighter future of prosperity, equity, and Justice is emerging.. A new and highly decentralized economy is emerging. clearly, labor and working families see a different future. They see and feel fear and despair and helplessness. I am an adult educator and community organizer. I see opportunity for labor and working families in small business and cooperative venture startups based on the new technologies that will be the foundation of a decentralized economy. What is the pathway from this point forward for working and low-moderate income families? This is my community of interest. It would be most helpful to learn about new business start ups and cooperative ventures that disruptive technologies offer at this point in time. Can this theme be part of this series on a brighter future?
Daniel, I really appreciate your comment. I have been an activist in the coop sector. I'm not as optimistic as you are regarding decentralized cooperative businesses. Not everywhere is Mondragon. It's not just enough to say disruption is coming & it's going to fix our problems. Disruption and displacement (of jobs) can be quite damaging. Tony Seba's best moments are when he suggests that policy can make a difference in how things go. He doesn't say this often. Like you I hope that Adam will address the issue of low to moderate income families.
I totally agree. I would really like to connect and explore how we are being part of the transition to a brighter future. I live in Wisconsin. What’s the possibility of connecting?
I should add Wisconsin USA. My wife is an home Energy rated and certified building science practitioner. I’m a retired associate professor in adult education and vocational training. Together we have a lot to contribute to ensure a brighter future is also more just and equitable for everyone. No illusions on how challenging the pathway is. Hope we can connect.
We both live in Wisconsin. I’m in southern WI. We could pick a day, time and place snd drive yo it. I’m reluctant to share phone snd email until we sure with each others intent.
Direct costs do matter, and he is talking about direct costs here. (I would love for externalised costs to matter also, but direct costs are still enough to cause the disruptions he is talking about here.)
I hear disruption of labor and I imaging vast armies of unemployed, and an ever widening class divide. Everything getting cheaper may mean more prosperity and resources to clean up plastic bottle in third world countries, but it may mean more billionaires with their own yachts, jets and perhaps even rocket ships. I'm in favor of these revolutions particularly in energy and food, but we would do well to think about the whole impact of these changes including the down sides to change. Then we can think ahead to policy we need or want. UBI? 10 hour work week?
I had guessed that there might be some minor disruption in the food industry, besides the 3 obvious ones, but I was skeptical because I hadn't seen any evidence that there was a scalable solution in that industry, and honestly I still haven't, I'll try do some more independent research about it, but it would be nice if it was a little bit more accessible to a non-scientist like me, who is perfectly in the Doomer age bracket, who only became aware of those 3 major disruptions as recently as a year ago also, most of my friends still don't believe me about this whatsoever, "don't worry about things that are hundreds of years away is such a derp
Great Professional delivery , but I never understood Tony’s pitch on the Impact and value of Food Disruption. I still don’t. I guess i need deeper education and example based references to fully appreciate the value. I have read and distributed Tony’s books but yet to read yours.
It’s the data! It’s reality that’s driving the exponential improvement of our renewable energy transition. Now if we can get the same results with planetary restoration. The bio system is hurting. We need to give it loving attention.
If this series gets people interested & talking, the political naiveté may be forgiven. "If voting made any difference, it would be illegal" does not solve the problem. The most successful democracies today are a mix of regulated capitalism & mild socialism. People that don't vote don't get a sayso. Get educated, get registered.
The reason why Indonesia is inundated with plastic waste and Greenwich, CT isn’t is because the outrageously wealthy people in Greenwich, CT own those plastic manufacturing plants and the desperately poor Indonesians do not. That has nothing to do with the cost of recycling per se, it has to do with capitalist colonialism and consolidation of wealth. If the wealthy can turn a profit by shitting on the disenfranchised poor, they will. The solution is to democratize ownership of corporations because owners (like Greenwich CT) don’t shit on themselves.
I learned a lot, thank you. You clearly know a lot about disruption and technology but you seem to know little about food. A world becoming sicker than ever before will not be made better by ultra processed foods made in a lab no matter how precise the fermentation is. The arrogance of man to think he can do better than millions of years of evolution. And animal ag mostly makes use of land that’s too dry, rocky, steep, etc for anything else. And, managed cattle, for example, are fantastic for the health of the soil and the land and for carbon capture in the soil
We use 20% of land for biofuels and burn them. Electric transportation stops that. 30% of land is for feeding animals. 3% efficiency. Dairy herd gone. Watch this space
The real problem is not the burning, its the efficiency of what we do with the energy as a result of this burning. The technology is already available to use one hundred percent of this process, where the only by product would be heat and zero carbon. Electric motors generate tremendous heat and the manufacture of those motors creates carbon and heavy metals.
Try ignoring the first world countries and come back with how the Third world is going to be able to implement a first world renewable energy and transport model whilst competing with the first world for the required equipment. The third world cannot afford cutting edge pharmaceuticals, or renewable energy systems. Where a single solar panel is used to charge the phones of an entire village and people still use fires for lighting and cooking does not appear in your energy model. They are human beings and have a right to equal access to energy or are they to be ignored even though they account for a significant portion of the climate change model. Widen your field of view and see the real problem scope!
for those people solar will be cheaper than looking for burnable material. It brings health benefits as well. If these countries want to install an electricity system, they will probably go with the cheapest. And cheapest is mostly: Solar (and batteries)
Great one again Adam 🙏 I just ate up your book too👍 This needs to be translated to other languages asap! You and your kolleagues @rethinkx are doing such an important job!! Thank you!!🙏
I wish our politicians would watch this… sigh
Read the book last week. Music to my ears. Especially interested in animal ag being disrupted, our current factory farming system is an abomination.
Well presented Adam. Delighted to amplify the message in my sphere of influence.
Excellent as always. Thank you.
Fantastic, I am about to buy your book!
The series so far has focused on some of the best parts of the book. Yes I have read it, my wife is reading it and have picked up another copy for our local 350 group leader. I have also picked out the next two people who will be getting a copy. On a more personal level this series is giving me the confidence to talk in depth about climate possibility’s to a couple people every day. Keep up the great work. Maybe my understanding and enthusiasm is also part of an “S” curve.
Wow fantastic video. Going back to watch 1-3. Shout out to SMR for the link!
me too
Go buy Adam's book ;)
@@SolvingTheMoneyProblem plan on it!
Thanks Adam, this was great! The disruption in the transportation field is going to be immense, and it's going to happen fast. Tesla's Full Self-Driving technology is approaching its ChatGPT moment, and I think most people have no idea it's even happening.
"Tesla's Full Self-Driving technology is approaching its ChatGPT moment" not really. Regulators force Tesla to recall 363,000 'Full Self-Driving' vehicles. DETROIT (AP) - U.S. safety regulators have pressured Tesla into recalling nearly 363,000 vehicles with its “Full Self-Driving” system because it can misbehave around intersections and doesn't always follow speed limits
@@sidekickmusic5936 The "recall" was an over the air update (everyone just got it at home) and they already solved it
@@sidekickmusic5936 ffs stop getting bogged down in the minutiae! The problem that you were talking about was not major nor was it difficult to solve. It was actually the same thing that most humans do at stop signs which was ‘rolling stops’.
Thank you for this excellent series! My friends and family think I'm insane when I say the technology will save us - so I'm sharing your videos to Facebook. Maybe I can help a few more people understand what's coming and have a better outlook on the future.
Well done!
I found the video on disruption by Adam Dorr very insightful, particularly the discussion on how technological advancements like robotics could drive labor costs to near zero. The metrics he used to illustrate this were eye-opening. It's fascinating to consider how such changes could tackle major issues like climate change by making solutions more affordable. While this will undoubtedly cause significant disruption in job markets, it also opens up opportunities for humanity to focus on solving more complex problems. Leadership from politicians and thought leaders will be crucial in guiding this transition and ensuring that we can harness these advancements for the betterment of society. Empathy and clear communication about the benefits, while addressing concerns, will be key to navigating this change effectively.
Thank you! Leaving a comment to help the algo!
Thanks for that, I’ve been a Tony Seba fanatic, since 2015. I got your audio book, on iTunes, Apple Books, I look forward, to listening to it. You’re right, exponential rise of new technologies and exponential decline of old industries, is a feature of history. My favourite being the roaring twenties, second Industrial Revolution. Bizarre, that China is roaring with solar, wind, batteries, electric vehicles, but entering a second cultural revolution, due to a real estate bubble, at the same time.
Really enjoying your work, thank you. Just another data set to keep an eye on- Agricultural robotics. Cheers
Thank you Adam and RethinkX for all the amazing research. We at Rystad Energy are also forecasting a disruption in energy driven by new solar wind and batteries. We are trying to calibrate with the supply chain but see constraints on wind and battery materials in the most aggressive scenarios. How do you think about this issue - other than the statement of the supply chain not being a bottleneck in past disruptions, which is something clients struggle to accept.
Thank you
Thank you.
Great info as always. Thanks
Regarding the food disruption, do you expect an increase in rewilding/untouched nature projects as food production moves away from habitable land and that land consequently loses value and becomes more affordable for environmental organizations and governments?
Thanks for these videos, I just bought your book and I hope it will go into deeper details. For example, how can disruption happen if cost of raw materials raise up because the demand for green tech is too high? You showed how these disruptions could converge and are mutually beneficial but you seem to omit that some mineral resources could be under stress. OK we'll get almost unlimited power from sun but what if these disrupting technologies cannot scale up due to rare metals?
Where did you get the data for battery costs from?
Great video series!
Hi Adam & thanks for the profound teaching. Been hooked up since 2014 and becoming concerned that the material is not getting public exposure fast enough to avert or divert the unproductive strategies that are getting exposure. The addition of "Brighter" to Tony Seba's voluminous research makes this a complicated subject that must be taught. Can we be enlisted to spread the word and how?
How would you and Tony respond to the arguments of people like Vaclav Smil who say that the transition to renewables and other technologies will take much longer that you predict? Where does he go wrong?
Presumably Vaclav Smil is thinking linearly, not S curve. The entire point (difference) in RethinkX is that they have researched the history of innovative disruption; seen that it occurs as an S curve, not a linear/straight line; and then apply that to what is currently occurring.
Even here in Australia things are moving quickly.
Adam, thank you so much!
My question to you is how can we disseminate this information most effectively? If there is anything I can do (I am an experienced public speaker) please reach out to me. I am in the UK.
How do we redistribute the wealth during this process of aquiring abundance?
My greatest concern is that multinational conglomerates who control the energy, agricultural, pharmaceutical and media/information sectors will position themselves or have already done so to maintain their dominance and wealth over the common citizen.
How do we claw back our sovereignty and fulfil the potential we all have as unique individuals for the greater good of humanity?
Do these agricultural substitutes have the same nutritional value as animal/plant sources? Not just vitamins and minerals but the 1000s of beneficial chemicals and proteins, many of which we probably haven’t discovered yet. Some, like resveratrol, come from plants being grown in certain conditions. Some, like conjugated linoleic acid, found in milk, come from animals eating certain diets. If food is synthesized and simplified we could lose all those beneficial chemicals and our health could suffer as a result.
Plants and a few supplements are all you need to be at optimum health. And plants grown for human consumption aren’t draining our resources the way animal agriculture is. Precision fermentation could give us a way to wean ourselves off of animal agriculture while continuing and expanding land used to produce plant-based foods, and reforesting the rest of the land previously used for animal agriculture.
Yes, will be possible to create any protein and many other molecules/ And of course not put in the harmful ones.
I’ve never been more optimistic. I see a brighter future of prosperity, equity, and Justice is emerging.. A new and highly decentralized economy is emerging. clearly, labor and working families see a different future. They see and feel fear and despair and helplessness. I am an adult educator and community organizer. I see opportunity for labor and working families in small business and cooperative venture startups based on the new technologies that will be the foundation of a decentralized economy. What is the pathway from this point forward for working and low-moderate income families? This is my community of interest. It would be most helpful to learn about new business start ups and cooperative ventures that disruptive technologies offer at this point in time. Can this theme be part of this series on a brighter future?
Daniel, I really appreciate your comment. I have been an activist in the coop sector. I'm not as optimistic as you are regarding decentralized cooperative businesses. Not everywhere is Mondragon. It's not just enough to say disruption is coming & it's going to fix our problems. Disruption and displacement (of jobs) can be quite damaging. Tony Seba's best moments are when he suggests that policy can make a difference in how things go. He doesn't say this often. Like you I hope that Adam will address the issue of low to moderate income families.
I totally agree. I would really like to connect and explore how we are being part of the transition to a brighter future. I live in Wisconsin. What’s the possibility of connecting?
I should add Wisconsin USA. My wife is an home Energy rated and certified building science practitioner. I’m a retired associate professor in adult education and vocational training. Together we have a lot to contribute to ensure a brighter future is also more just and equitable for everyone. No illusions on how challenging the pathway is. Hope we can connect.
We both live in Wisconsin. I’m in southern WI. We could pick a day, time and place snd drive yo it.
I’m reluctant to share phone snd email until we sure with each others intent.
Lower costs don't matter much in an economy that is already so disconnected from the real world. We always have externalized invisible costs.
Direct costs do matter, and he is talking about direct costs here. (I would love for externalised costs to matter also, but direct costs are still enough to cause the disruptions he is talking about here.)
Hi Adam, great channel, love the concept. Is yr book going to be on Amazon Canada? What companies are leaders for precision fermentation?
Interesting. Your Amazon link does not work as of today. I could find your book by searching Amazon for the title.
I hear disruption of labor and I imaging vast armies of unemployed, and an ever widening class divide. Everything getting cheaper may mean more prosperity and resources to clean up plastic bottle in third world countries, but it may mean more billionaires with their own yachts, jets and perhaps even rocket ships. I'm in favor of these revolutions particularly in energy and food, but we would do well to think about the whole impact of these changes including the down sides to change. Then we can think ahead to policy we need or want. UBI? 10 hour work week?
At long last the discussions are starting, although expect a very disruptive couple of decades.
You could add shareholder expectations to feedback loops with crashing share prices of the old technology and loans harder to get and pay off!!
What do think of food forest?
Nice but try feeding ten billion with them, economically. Starting one at my new home.
I had guessed that there might be some minor disruption in the food industry, besides the 3 obvious ones, but I was skeptical because I hadn't seen any evidence that there was a scalable solution in that industry, and honestly I still haven't, I'll try do some more independent research about it, but it would be nice if it was a little bit more accessible to a non-scientist like me, who is perfectly in the Doomer age bracket, who only became aware of those 3 major disruptions as recently as a year ago
also, most of my friends still don't believe me about this whatsoever, "don't worry about things that are hundreds of years away is such a derp
Are you on Twitter? Can't find your handle
Great Professional delivery , but I never understood Tony’s pitch on the Impact and value of Food Disruption. I still don’t. I guess i need deeper education and example based references to fully appreciate the value. I have read and distributed Tony’s books but yet to read yours.
MICRO GRID TOO?
It’s the data! It’s reality that’s driving the exponential improvement of our renewable energy transition. Now if we can get the same results with planetary restoration. The bio system is hurting. We need to give it loving attention.
But…but..but…it’s going to be different the next time!
Affordable clean up because of increased wealth, true but the greedy will take the money and run.
If this series gets people interested & talking, the political naiveté may be forgiven. "If voting made any difference, it would be illegal" does not solve the problem. The most successful democracies today are a mix of regulated capitalism & mild socialism. People that don't vote don't get a sayso. Get educated, get registered.
The reason why Indonesia is inundated with plastic waste and Greenwich, CT isn’t is because the outrageously wealthy people in Greenwich, CT own those plastic manufacturing plants and the desperately poor Indonesians do not. That has nothing to do with the cost of recycling per se, it has to do with capitalist colonialism and consolidation of wealth. If the wealthy can turn a profit by shitting on the disenfranchised poor, they will. The solution is to democratize ownership of corporations because owners (like Greenwich CT) don’t shit on themselves.
I learned a lot, thank you. You clearly know a lot about disruption and technology but you seem to know little about food. A world becoming sicker than ever before will not be made better by ultra processed foods made in a lab no matter how precise the fermentation is. The arrogance of man to think he can do better than millions of years of evolution. And animal ag mostly makes use of land that’s too dry, rocky, steep, etc for anything else. And, managed cattle, for example, are fantastic for the health of the soil and the land and for carbon capture in the soil
We use 20% of land for biofuels and burn them. Electric transportation stops that.
30% of land is for feeding animals. 3% efficiency.
Dairy herd gone.
Watch this space
The real problem is not the burning, its the efficiency of what we do with the energy as a result of this burning. The technology is already available to use one hundred percent of this process, where the only by product would be heat and zero carbon.
Electric motors generate tremendous heat and the manufacture of those motors creates carbon and heavy metals.
1st you aregoing to need a new Governor of Texas. He continues to push oil and gas and animal agriculture.
Texas has more wind power than most states combined.
He can push for blockbuster all he wants, Netflix is coming.
Try ignoring the first world countries and come back with how the Third world is going to be able to implement a first world renewable energy and transport model whilst competing with the first world for the required equipment. The third world cannot afford cutting edge pharmaceuticals, or renewable energy systems. Where a single solar panel is used to charge the phones of an entire village and people still use fires for lighting and cooking does not appear in your energy model. They are human beings and have a right to equal access to energy or are they to be ignored even though they account for a significant portion of the climate change model. Widen your field of view and see the real problem scope!
for those people solar will be cheaper than looking for burnable material. It brings health benefits as well. If these countries want to install an electricity system, they will probably go with the cheapest. And cheapest is mostly: Solar (and batteries)
Great one again Adam 🙏 I just ate up your book too👍 This needs to be translated to other languages asap! You and your kolleagues @rethinkx are doing such an important job!! Thank you!!🙏