I worked in Oil & Gas and the IEA and EIA are highly respected resources. However, they were so often wrong & have completely missed the EV and solar trends. My gut feeling and common sense were more correct.
I don't understand how these IEA models are even intended to be used. They claim they are not meant for forecasting, so what are they even meant to be used for? The only writer I've seen cite them was a Wall St Journal opinion writer, who incorrectly used them as a forecast in order to argue against EV and renewable energy mandates.
Thanks Adam. I have a disruption that you may not have thought about: There is now a treatment for aging. The fear of losing the great Tony Seba has brought me forward. Many may dismiss me as a "crack-pot" but my RUclips channel contains enough of the technology to satisfy most. My legitimacy should be unquestioned after all of the evidence.
Great stuff. Optimism…we don’t hear that often! But what I want to hear is the prediction taking into account all the present known disrupters. And of course there will be many we have not even dreamed of. So a fantastic future to look forward to, we are truly on the verge of a New Age.
Love this! Great video. I need some help though: One area I have been looking for is on the "Oh shit" moment when incumbents, especially incumbent energy countries, realize their predicament. Think Saudi Arabia, Venezuela , Russia. Most, if not all examples given show how a technology exponentially changes a market or industry or company and how they failed or resisted up to the last point. I am looking for an example of state/country that is the incumbent supplier. Are there any examples of what a country will do when it is put in the corner by technological disruption? Any help would be great!
Iv been wondering if the russian invasion of ukraine war was an attempt. While theres been a mass push to renewables, its also meant new projects in uk north sea being approved erroneously to secure uk energy (its privatised n will b sold at global market prices, not domestic) Luckily it looks like renewables ARE winning the 'secure energy' landscape overall, but some r using it as an excuse to bring about more fossil fuel development n profits. I believe a norway company will b building one/some of what proposed n uk tax payer will pay something like 2/3 of the construction costs, profits obvs wont go back to uk treasury Edit I think petro-states in sunnier climes will export solar, much like the plan for morocco to export wind n solar energy to uk
Invading Ukraine? There's a chance that someone in the russian leadership said something like "Now might be the last chance we'll have to take back Ukraine because our prospects as a major exporter of fossil energy are going to shrink". Ironically with that dumb and criminal move they accelerated by a lot the green revolution and their own demise.
Malice, indifference, selfishness and deliberate ignorance, much of the same effect. The whole scenario around tobacco, alcohol and drugs, not to mention prostitution in all its forms, is laid out in the anti tobacco programs that merely disguise the fossil fuel system. "Dead men tell no tales" that would curb profiteering. But thanks for trying.
Another disruption that you should consider is the trends in agriculture where restorative and natural farming techniques are starting to take off. Applying these techniques in a backyard can help one understand what nature has to offer and to move away from the chemical industries that were developed after world war 1. We now know so much more about how beneficial insects, bacteria and fungi interact with plants in a positive way and can replace fertilizers and pesticides.
Understanding technology and the forces of disruption are key to sucessfully and effectively dealing with climate change. We must ensure that our children have a future worth living for. Thanks Adam for this enlightening series of deep dives into what really matters!
This content is fire! Immediate like. But if I may offer some constructive criticism, maybe use some of that artificial intelligence innovation to create better book covers and video thumbnail graphics? I think it would get you a wider audience. The current style feels very boring and academic.
Living in SF. I see more Waymos and Cruises every month. The transition is happening. Our financing for it isn't keeping up in the slightest. That's why there's so much turmoil.
A lot of people are convinced they are several decades away at the very soonest. Like 40+ years before we will see any sort passenger service that maybe 5% the population uses once a month. People are in extreme disbelief over this. The urban planning and transit people are by far the most in denial or in the dark over this massive change in transportation. We are still building developments that are built around parking. Parking is going to go obsolete faster than people think, and when it does, the property owners are going to rapidly want to redevelop their property. This is going to cause our actual communities to look very different in the not too distant future.
Let's be frank! It's clean air&water legislation, regulations and government financial penalties enforcement is the largest driving force of the reduction of electric power industry's use of coal, oil and eventually natural gas. It's a good thing, but the disruption has been anything but a "natural" disruption. The lesson is a very old one: "You can't fight City Hall!" 🤑
Gosh Adam. We need to bring you to Alberta, where Danielle Smith has put a 7 month MORATORIUM on all clean energy projects, mothballing billions in investment, at the behest of her oil and gas masters. Total insanity!
Adam I didn't realize your episodes do not follow your book chapters. Just finished episode 5 and I'm outraged. You've taken Tony's criticisms much further and revealed the disinformation that has no doubt been misinforming ALL the recent and current policy decisions we're operating under. To know the evil of the FF industry you can go all the way back to " The Seven Sisters" in 1975, but this evidence is especially damning. Add that today in Dubai (?) they are still massively shaping the dialog is outrageous! This is Regulatory Capture done by the world's best, Big Dirty.
Re. IPCC: I understand every subject, every sentence, every word, every punctuation has to be approved by its members before it is included in its publications. I suspect representatives pro oil and gas blocked the inclusion of disruptive technology in its reports making, as you describe, some of their scenarios ludicrous.
Question for Adam Dorr: Would you consider yourself an eco-modernist? I ask this because everyone I've ever heard adopting that label has been a nuclear enthusiast, and you obviously are not.
The Coal curves represent the fact that Anthracite is higher quality&cost, less geographically available option - not that Bituminous "won over" the electric power plant industry. Use of this chart by the author as an exponential "disruptor" gives one pause...
It is funny and at the same time startling that a relatively small and widely unknown think tank, like rethinkX delivers viable answers and optimistic outlooks that virtually no government and no industry is capable of delivering today . Your work is insanely important to all of us. Please make a video specifically about food disruption.
The first industrial revolution is the 6th time in our history that technology convergences have triggered a social/economic reevaluation. This time will be even more disruptive in 1/4 of the time.
For salary earners having a passive source of income is the best thing you could have , because aside the the fact that it isn’t always enough you could lose your job any day at any time , have something to fall back to is crucial , for me it is trading the Forex and crypto market and no I didn’t have that much knowledge to begin to earn that’s why I said passive income, I leave the profit making to the pro like my Advisor 'Monica Payne Tutorials' , who has been doing a wonderful job
Investors should be cautious about their exposure and be wary of new buys, especially during inflation. Such high yields in this recession is only possible under the supervision of a professional or trusted advisor
This is superb! Information, as a noob it gets quite difficult to handle all of this and staying informed is a major cause, how do you go about this are you a pro investor?
@@fxkathybviatelegramonly4016 Not at all, having monitored edge my portfolio performance which has made a jaw dropping $483k from just the past two quarters alone, I have learned why experienced traders make enormous returns from the seemingly unknown market. I must say it's the boldest decision I've taken since recently.
These past few months watching my crypto portfolio decline is very disheartening. Holding doesn't really profit much. Any ideas on how to earn better on the short run? Please recommend to me your Fin Advisor.
The changes predicted thus far have underestimated the velocity of said changes. I'm getting a little tired of record high temperatures year after year and the creosote smell from wildfires. You can use bureaucratic incompetence to deny the problem, but you can't deny lived experience.
There is just not enough material available to build trillions of solar panels & wind turbine that would be necessary to replace fossil fuel energies. Same to store that intermittent energy: trillions of batteries. Not enough material to build all these units.
The materials being used for alternative energies are some of the most abundant on the planet. And we keep finding more and more of it. It's the processing that we're in short supply of and that is starting to change.
Read Tesla's Master Plan 3, it does the math and lays out the path for reaching a fully sustainable economy. You can find it in their 2022 Impact Report.
@@larslysdahl4586 i am listening to experts in the domains of energy, sustainability, degrowth etc. Absolutely not mainstream media. I’m listening to independent engineers, physicists, people working in minerals. There are ALREADY tensions in supplying copper and many other metals. Mining is becoming more and more difficult and the yields are dropping. Some environmentalists argue that this transition would accelerate global destabilization because of extensive catastrophic mining. NUCLEAR is the only energy that could prevent a global collapse.
Thank you Adam for all of your work. I'm presenting your insights here in Israel to the government and to the public in the last few years.
Wow. Good to learn the estimates by IEA and EIA projections are so far off.
I worked in Oil & Gas and the IEA and EIA are highly respected resources. However, they were so often wrong & have completely missed the EV and solar trends. My gut feeling and common sense were more correct.
They should not be respected. They should probably be jailed.
I don't understand how these IEA models are even intended to be used. They claim they are not meant for forecasting, so what are they even meant to be used for? The only writer I've seen cite them was a Wall St Journal opinion writer, who incorrectly used them as a forecast in order to argue against EV and renewable energy mandates.
This truly gave me hope
By showing that IPCC projections are based on linear growth n how obviously wrong that already is
Thankyou 😍
This is great as is the book. I'm sending out the link to a large group of friends and members of Renewable Taos.
Well said, Adam. As always.
Thanks for another great video!
Holy crap! Mind literally blown at how bad those projections were!!
wow. Wow, WOw, WOW. Pulling NO punches! Everyone needs to consider this info. Liking & Sharing!
Keep these going! And I'm sharing them as much as I can.
Follow the money to see why they never told the truth
Thanks Adam. I have a disruption that you may not have thought about: There is now a treatment for aging. The fear of losing the great Tony Seba has brought me forward. Many may dismiss me as a "crack-pot" but my RUclips channel contains enough of the technology to satisfy most. My legitimacy should be unquestioned after all of the evidence.
Love your logic and passion! 👍🍻
Truly fantastic presentation Adam. These videos just get better and better. Sharing this as much as I can
Great stuff. Optimism…we don’t hear that often!
But what I want to hear is the prediction taking into account all the present known disrupters. And of course there will be many we have not even dreamed of.
So a fantastic future to look forward to, we are truly on the verge of a New Age.
Great! How can your insights get more reach?
Adam : Prince Of The (Heavily) Pregnant Pause🤴 😀
Thanks Adam, and I hope Tony is doing well!
Thanks for your work - excellent report.
Awsome veiwing thanks greatly
Love this! Great video. I need some help though: One area I have been looking for is on the "Oh shit" moment when incumbents, especially incumbent energy countries, realize their predicament. Think Saudi Arabia, Venezuela , Russia. Most, if not all examples given show how a technology exponentially changes a market or industry or company and how they failed or resisted up to the last point. I am looking for an example of state/country that is the incumbent supplier. Are there any examples of what a country will do when it is put in the corner by technological disruption? Any help would be great!
Iv been wondering if the russian invasion of ukraine war was an attempt.
While theres been a mass push to renewables, its also meant new projects in uk north sea being approved erroneously to secure uk energy (its privatised n will b sold at global market prices, not domestic)
Luckily it looks like renewables ARE winning the 'secure energy' landscape overall, but some r using it as an excuse to bring about more fossil fuel development n profits.
I believe a norway company will b building one/some of what proposed n uk tax payer will pay something like 2/3 of the construction costs, profits obvs wont go back to uk treasury
Edit
I think petro-states in sunnier climes will export solar, much like the plan for morocco to export wind n solar energy to uk
Invading Ukraine? There's a chance that someone in the russian leadership said something like "Now might be the last chance we'll have to take back Ukraine because our prospects as a major exporter of fossil energy are going to shrink". Ironically with that dumb and criminal move they accelerated by a lot the green revolution and their own demise.
Thanks for the great video!
If I wasn't an atheist I'd swear, the devil is in control.
Constructive criticism: going forward, since you are speaking to the mic and not the camera, it would be OK to project your voice less strongly.
Great shows man thanks. I would love to have you on my show!
Excellent topic, content, execution. Well done Adam and team. Enjoyed every second.
I just bought the paperback edition. Thanks, Adam. ❤
Holy shit, you’re gonna break the climate alarmists narrative, please stop
Thanks Adam. Great work
We need to stop terrorising our kids. This is coming faster than a bullet train.
Adam, please do more of these videos.
This research changes a lot in the case of climate emergency.
Well done.
Malice, indifference, selfishness and deliberate ignorance, much of the same effect.
The whole scenario around tobacco, alcohol and drugs, not to mention prostitution in all its forms, is laid out in the anti tobacco programs that merely disguise the fossil fuel system. "Dead men tell no tales" that would curb profiteering. But thanks for trying.
Another disruption that you should consider is the trends in agriculture where restorative and natural farming techniques are starting to take off. Applying these techniques in a backyard can help one understand what nature has to offer and to move away from the chemical industries that were developed after world war 1. We now know so much more about how beneficial insects, bacteria and fungi interact with plants in a positive way and can replace fertilizers and pesticides.
More people should watch this
Understanding technology and the forces of disruption are key to sucessfully and effectively dealing with climate change. We must ensure that our children have a future worth living for. Thanks Adam for this enlightening series of deep dives into what really matters!
Great video, thanks
This content is fire! Immediate like. But if I may offer some constructive criticism, maybe use some of that artificial intelligence innovation to create better book covers and video thumbnail graphics? I think it would get you a wider audience. The current style feels very boring and academic.
Living in SF. I see more Waymos and Cruises every month. The transition is happening. Our financing for it isn't keeping up in the slightest. That's why there's so much turmoil.
A lot of people are convinced they are several decades away at the very soonest. Like 40+ years before we will see any sort passenger service that maybe 5% the population uses once a month. People are in extreme disbelief over this. The urban planning and transit people are by far the most in denial or in the dark over this massive change in transportation. We are still building developments that are built around parking. Parking is going to go obsolete faster than people think, and when it does, the property owners are going to rapidly want to redevelop their property.
This is going to cause our actual communities to look very different in the not too distant future.
@@riley_oneill more nature i hope
I hope you're right.
"Hope" is not a strategy.
Of course he's right!
Masterpiece video.
Great work mate
Let's be frank! It's clean air&water legislation, regulations and government financial penalties enforcement is the largest driving force of the reduction of electric power industry's use of coal, oil and eventually natural gas. It's a good thing, but the disruption has been anything but a "natural" disruption.
The lesson is a very old one: "You can't fight City Hall!" 🤑
Especially if city hall is owned by the fossil fuel industry.
Truly superb! I love your “no sacred cows” approach. Just like facts, mam!
Gosh Adam. We need to bring you to Alberta, where Danielle Smith has put a 7 month MORATORIUM on all clean energy projects, mothballing billions in investment, at the behest of her oil and gas masters. Total insanity!
Adam I didn't realize your episodes do not follow your book chapters. Just finished episode 5 and I'm outraged. You've taken Tony's criticisms much further and revealed the disinformation that has no doubt been misinforming ALL the recent and current policy decisions we're operating under. To know the evil of the FF industry you can go all the way back to " The Seven Sisters" in 1975, but this evidence is especially damning. Add that today in Dubai (?) they are still massively shaping the dialog is outrageous! This is Regulatory Capture done by the world's best, Big Dirty.
Brilliant! Should be watched by EVERYONE
Epic talk. Thanks.
This is so important kvowledge to understand and spread. Thank you!
Re. IPCC: I understand every subject, every sentence, every word, every punctuation has to be approved by its members before it is included in its publications. I suspect representatives pro oil and gas blocked the inclusion of disruptive technology in its reports making, as you describe, some of their scenarios ludicrous.
Question for Adam Dorr: Would you consider yourself an eco-modernist? I ask this because everyone I've ever heard adopting that label has been a nuclear enthusiast, and you obviously are not.
The Coal curves represent the fact that Anthracite is higher quality&cost, less geographically available option - not that Bituminous "won over" the electric power plant industry. Use of this chart by the author as an exponential "disruptor" gives one pause...
It is funny and at the same time startling that a relatively small and widely unknown think tank, like rethinkX delivers viable answers and optimistic outlooks that virtually no government and no industry is capable of delivering today . Your work is insanely important to all of us.
Please make a video specifically about food disruption.
The first industrial revolution is the 6th time in our history that technology convergences have triggered a social/economic reevaluation. This time will be even more disruptive in 1/4 of the time.
15:00 What do you mean, "We"? I never did believe any of that. Not even in 1976.
Add money to your list. Bitcoin is disrupting money around the world.
western civilization china and russia know environmental bs
First
Thank you so much for the work that you do, will do my best to share as much as possible!
For salary earners having a passive source of income is the best thing you could have , because aside the the fact that it isn’t always enough you could lose your job any day at any time , have something to fall back to is crucial , for me it is trading the Forex and crypto market and no I didn’t have that much knowledge to begin to earn that’s why I said passive income, I leave the profit making to the pro like my Advisor 'Monica Payne Tutorials' , who has been doing a wonderful job
Investors should be cautious about their exposure and be wary of new buys, especially during inflation. Such high yields in this recession is only possible under the supervision of a professional or trusted advisor
This is superb! Information, as a noob it gets quite difficult to handle all of this and staying informed is a major cause, how do you go about this are you a pro investor?
@@fxkathybviatelegramonly4016 Not at all, having monitored edge my portfolio performance which has made a jaw dropping $483k from just the past two quarters alone, I have learned why experienced traders make enormous returns from the seemingly unknown market. I must say it's the boldest decision I've taken since recently.
I’ve actually been looking into advisors lately, the news I’ve been seeing in the market hasn’t been so encouraging. who’s the person guiding you?
These past few months watching my crypto portfolio decline is very disheartening.
Holding doesn't really profit much.
Any ideas on how to earn better on the short run?
Please recommend to me your Fin Advisor.
I’m loving this series. Gives me good reason to be hopeful.
amazing talk
I believe that the speed of human development has been suppressed since the beginning of time, because of the unfortunate greed of mankind.
Fantastic work thank you.
If the energy generation projections were wrong, so are their projections about climate change
The changes predicted thus far have underestimated the velocity of said changes. I'm getting a little tired of record high temperatures year after year and the creosote smell from wildfires. You can use bureaucratic incompetence to deny the problem, but you can't deny lived experience.
Fantastic stuff Adam and your team.
Interesting, thanks!
Awesome as always! I got the book in hardcover so I can show my kids what thoughtful analysis looks like!
Thank you!
The Robots Are Coming!
yassss kingg about all this.
The only chanel I realy enjoy watching this days.
A refreshing antidote to all the doom and gloom - thanks!
😎
Refreshing to have a critic of models that is not some conspiracy nut. Great stuff.
HOPIUM
I'd call it reality...
There is just not enough material available to build trillions of solar panels & wind turbine that would be necessary to replace fossil fuel energies. Same to store that intermittent energy: trillions of batteries. Not enough material to build all these units.
If you do the math there is enough material. Don’t listen to mainstream media.
The materials being used for alternative energies are some of the most abundant on the planet. And we keep finding more and more of it. It's the processing that we're in short supply of and that is starting to change.
Thats just not correct. Dont know who told you that but they must be stupid.
Read Tesla's Master Plan 3, it does the math and lays out the path for reaching a fully sustainable economy. You can find it in their 2022 Impact Report.
@@larslysdahl4586 i am listening to experts in the domains of energy, sustainability, degrowth etc. Absolutely not mainstream media. I’m listening to independent engineers, physicists, people working in minerals. There are ALREADY tensions in supplying copper and many other metals. Mining is becoming more and more difficult and the yields are dropping. Some environmentalists argue that this transition would accelerate global destabilization because of extensive catastrophic mining. NUCLEAR is the only energy that could prevent a global collapse.
Brilliant!!