This is like being blown away by going to the beach, taking a single grain of sand and then calculating the odds that you would have picked that one grain out of the vast number of grains of sand on the beach.
Exactly. He is confused about statistics. The odds that ANY grain of sand is picked is 100% by virtue of the fact that he picked one. The impossibility is based on predicting WHICH grain of sand was chosen out of the whole beach. That's where his confusion lies.
This video should have had a fallacy counter in the bottom corner. Cinema sins style. Then it would have been funny at least instead of painful to listen to.
God used to sit on a Mercy Seat in a tabernacle in the desert and regularly chatted with Moses. Later he moved to an imaginary place, just above the clouds. Since the invention of flying machines, he had to move to avoid discovery. He now lives outside of time and space where he can never be found.
Funny thing is insurance company do it all the time when classifying something as an act of god. When they do, SUE THEM. Let them prove any god exists and than thst they have any idea what is and isnt an act of said god in court. Collect your money afterwards.
@@richardgay7990 I am not sure you are familiar with comments on RUclips - they are not real-time with other members like a chat room so I think your waiting is misplaced, given that it's improbable that the above poster is actively still on this comment chain.
@@richardgay7990 I think you're misunderstanding how youtube comments work, which is why you seem to be interpreting it as ignoring or running away. It's not likely they are actively on this comment chain because this isn't a chat room and the comments don't push to people's phones/computer and don't automatically refresh.
@@richardgay7990 Well, it's cumbersome. I'd recommend reddit or other dedicated places for people to converse. RUclips comment section isn't a very effective medium because the comment section has to be refreshed to see new comments on most devices.
I love the shifting of the burden of proof and the arguments from ignorance coupled with a grievous misunderstanding of statistics and odds. It's so precious in it's precocious ignorant arrogance
Yes but if you count the number of days there have ever been and add that to how many days there will be, it's an unbelievably big number... And yet it's raining today! And you think that's just random?
This caller has just demonstrated that he doesn't understand evolution, statistics, cosmology, or epistemology. To paraphrase Dave Chappelle paraphrasing Charlie Murphy quoting Rick James, "Religious indoctrination is a hell of a drug!".
@@chrisducharme1729, The actual quote was, "Cocaine is a hell of a drug!"; on an episode of Chappelle's groundbreaking show on Comedy Central. In the episode, I think it was a clip of James waxing introspectively when he said that, which was referenced by Murphy and then repeated (I think) by Chappelle in full Rick James costume and makeup. To be honest, it's been so long since I first saw it, and I've re-remembered it so many times in my mind, I can't separate the impersonation from the original quote by James. But it really seemed to fit the caller's "Manchurian Candidate" level of religious brainwashing.
612Tiberius I appreciate your explanation but I am aware of the origin of the quote. It’s been a number of years since I last watched Chapelle’s Show, but I’m pretty sure it was Rick himself who said “Cocaine is a hell of a drug!” It matters not! It was a great reference and I loved it. :)
612Tiberius id rather have the cocaine, at least that has a benefit of making me feel like I can do anything thats tied to something that actually exists, is tangible and doesn’t require me to pray to it.
I know right. I mean, apart from the strong religious delusion he sounds like a fairly reasonable guy. To keep his fantasy alive he has to reject all those things plus nature and natural origins, the definition of evidence, observed facts and science. How a person can be fairly reasonable and still maintain those beliefs is baffling. He did sound like a newcomer to atheism so maybe he's come to his senses but I doubt it.
This guy should shuffle a pack of cards. He'd be amazed to discover he'd achieved something with odds of 1 in 8.0658176x10^67. By his logic that is governed by God.
Austin Wow, even the dumbest person can point to man as the designer and creator of cards, with no deity required. Infinite regression in creators is going to give you a huge problem when it comes to the universe.
Austin's post-hoc rationalization can be more easily explained like this: He started with the conclusion -- Eric or Dave as they are now -- as if it was a goal. It wasn't.
Exactly! The probability that their parents would have children is very high, probably close to 1. If they had come from a different sperm or egg, would the caller say, "I guess I was wrong"?
Exactly, the odds of a specific human birth has nothing to do with the odds of any human birth which is what his point was, and neither has anything to do with the existence of a God.
@@John_Demarco I asked my mum a question about that in my early teens. I even worked out that if I hadn't been born as me, a different combination of genes, etc., would simply result in a different person, who would STILL be ME. The fact that I am sitting thinking about it means that the PROBABILITY of me is 100% REGARDLESS of the POSSIBILITY.
Austin called Austin, Tx. With a background of Austin, Tx. on the screen in big bold letters spelling Austin right in between the hosts. Austin knew exactly what he was doing, set this up perfectly. 😅
This call started so well, with the caller taking the time to calmly define terms and preventing strawmanning. Hats off to Austin for doing that... And then it just devolved in 'probability therefore God,' and evidence-less assertions. If Jesus really did rise from the dead we need to take him more seriously than anyone else to have ever lived. Sure. First demonstrate that Jesus really did rise from the dead; until you've proven that, there is no point to moving on to any other part of the argument.
Austin forgot that Yeshua's father, Yahweh, is all powerful, all compassionate and all just. If that were true he would not have morphed into his own son so he could be crucified to save mankind. The dumbest story ever told to gullible, frightened humans.
Caller: It almost didn't happen. TH: But did it happen? Caller: Yeah. TH: So.... Caller: But the numbers are impossibly large! TH: Obviously not because it happened. If it's impossible and it happened, then it's not impossible by definition.
"you've got less time".... OMG 😂🤯. My brain literally exploded - I think I'm a bad person for even cracking a smile even when it was in abject disbelief
It's like if I shuffle a deck of cards and deal them out on a table face up and say "Wow - what were the odds that the deck would come out this way?" There's nothing unusual or profound about it since my actions GUARANTEED that some array of cards or other would appear; and all permutations would seem to be equally improbable!
I've just invented a game. It's called "Post-Hock-ey". Where you claim your supreme team must have scored and add yourself a point despite zero evidence of a goal being scored.
This call would have been ended in 2 mins if they just would have said "Austin is assuming his existence is the goal, where ad someone else could have been born instead of him amd the world would be no different." This is the "someone winning the lottery" vs "you winning the lottery argument."
The odds of this specific state of people? Sure, nearly 0 odds. When I shuffle a deck of cards. A specific order of the deck is quite rare. But I'm still going to have an order regardless, so 100% chance of some deck order to the cards. Similarly, this specific order of people, near 0 odds, but some order of people at or near 100% chance. Looking at the outcome and stating how amazing it turned out this way is true, but it had to turn out some way, thus not amazing something turned out.
Sanguine I’ve heard that out of every possible order of cards you could get from shuffling a deck, in all the years playing cards have existed, the number of times a deck of cards have been shuffled with the number of decks that have ever existed... there still hasn’t been every single possible outcome.
"Because, I don't understand..." That is this man's problem. How many times throughout human history has that notion led to disastrous results for so many people? I don't know is a perfectly reasonable answer.
He seems like such a thinking person this truly shows how religion works it just like blinders on a horse while they race truly sad how this happens to people
I believe that the historical record supports the existence of Genghis Khan, Augustus Caesar, and Adolf Hitler. Where are their bodies? Does this guy think they all resurrected?
Take a thousand pennies. Flip them one at a time. If the penny lands tails up discard it; if heads return it into the pile to be flipped. Keep going until ONE penny is left. This penny, every time you flipped, it has landed heads up!!!! Amazing? Yes, IF you said this would happen to that specific coin at the start of the experiment!!! If not, meh, so what?!?
Apparently everything is a miracle to this guy, since the odds of anything happening at any moment are pretty much equally absurd. Also, gullible people are funny.
They don't understand each other. The man on the phone says that it's a miracle that HE was born with such chances of billions of cells and billions of years. He thinks that for HIM to be born there was supposed to be a plan because the chances are that small. But that is kinds the same as the puddle argument. If it wasn't him, it would be someone else in his place thinking HE was supposed to be born. The thing is you can rationalize it because you were born. It doesn't mean there was plan for you to be born.
I want to know where my 100th great-grandmother's body is, dammit!! Because I think SHE resurrected and came back as the crazy cat lady of Palestine. And I want to know why Austin doesn't believe in unicorns, fairies or the Giant Flying Spaghetti Monster. His Noodliness is a lovely deity -- friendly, happy, AND I know where he's buried! (the dumpster out back of Olive Garden)
No body was ever found for Paul Bunion.....or sir Lancelot.....or socrates.....no one worships them: Stories are lessons in how to treat others and entertainment
Alan Koslowski ? I think your comprehension is off? Giovanni is specifically saying there is no historical evidence of a resurrection. You’re reading him wrong for some reason.
(oh oh, ignore what the last person wrote to write a response? Got it!) No! All of you are wrong: There is no historical proof of magic ever existing. I couldn't care less about someone called Jesus if they don't have superpowers. I knew plenty of people called jeuss and none of them walk on water. If one of them wrote a book saying they walked on water and we found it decades later, I'd look for evidence he walked on water such as other contemporary accountings of it then derive an understanding from there. We have none of that for the supernatural claims of the bible. The only places you can find where Jews and christians ever had superpowers is in the bible. "handle snakes" - "cure disease" - etc. No supernatural powers from the bible can be demonstrated to be real :D
Idk I've spoken with Darth. I tried to have a reasonable conversation and asked him if he thought his approach was leading people away from his religion. Long story short he muted me. Darth HAS to control the conversation. That's why I don't think this could be DD
@The Wizard of Whatever: That too, but I was referring to him using that assumption to get to those one-in-a gazillion odds of him being born. Apparently he (as in that specific sperm and egg combination) was pre-ordained. But somehow we atheists are the arrogant ones.
Simon Koster seriously drove me nuts. Conflating/inflating the odds and importance of one human’s birth with any human’s birth. He had no idea why what he thought was important was supposedly important, lol.
Mate - roll a dice 1000 times in sequence. On each roll, note the outcome. Your logical argument now dictates, that no matter what sequence of 1000 rolls you end up with, you will have proven God, as it will be impossibly unlikely to end up with exactly that sequence of rolls. This is as far away from proving anything as it gets.
What a about putting your cellphone in your pocket and just by "random chance" sending complete text messages. The point I'm making is all logic and reason does point to intelligent design. You don't get a reality that we have by random chance or an accident. If there were no intelligent design, chaos and disorder would prevail.
Sending complete text messages as you set down each time. Surely that could not happen by coincidence repeatedly over and over. The more science advances the more it will prove there is an uncaused cause, prime mover, God if you will!
You cellphone analogy is entirely different from the analogy used in the video. There is one simple thing you must realise in order to disprove the argument. The original argument was along the lines of this: “In the set of all possible human beings which could exist today, the fact that exactly this particular subset exists, the people who are alive right now, is extremely unlikely.” Now that is true. Just like the point-wise probability of any continuous distribution is zero. However, it doesn’t make it a miracle when you pull a random number from the distribution, even though it could have also potentially been any other number. All you must realise is, that no matter which subset of humans had been drawn from the set of all possible human beings, you would have been looking back over the generations and said: “it is so extremely unlikely that the exact subset would be alive today...” and that is what makes your argument entirely invalid. In your cellphone analogy you have restricted your probability space, by only allowing for “complete texts”, which is equivalent to making a prediction. It is also equivalent to saying you which to pull a number from a uniform distribution along the entire real axis, between 0 and 10. Suddenly, there is a prediction, which changes every thing.
@@nathank8613...it does, though...entropy always increases in an open system. Animals kill each other. Atomic nucleic decay. Embrace mortality like you should. You are going nowhere but the ground.
The chance that the *specific* sperm and *specific* egg that made me met may have been unlikely but the chance of *a* sperm and *an* egg meeting is much more likely, almost inevitable since my parents planned to have a child and kept trying until I happened. A child was always going to be, I was just the lucky combo that did happen.
No evidence of a god, but yet it's more plausible that an unproven god created everything.... but its still special pleading... regardless, everything needs a creator except the creator... so what are the chances of a creator creating itself out of what exactly?
What I would like to know is if this creator god is so awesome, is he capable of creating (reproducing?) other entities capable of creating universes? How do me know that the god that created our universe was the top (bottom?) level god? Maybe it is just turtles all the way down.
12:42 I like the theory that a slight gravitational embolism in the singularity caused the cataclysmic expansion of matter and ripped itself into a weak permeating force coupled to matter through the linear reactionary motions we register the passage of as time.
There are people who believe the earth is flat. This idea is much older than any other idea that has ever been dreamed up. Therefore, the earth is flat.
I don’t know why so many disliked this call. I loved it, I like these kinds of discussions. This is what folks will bring up to me and I like hearing this process being talked over by others.
The odds argument is a bad argument , religious people shouldn't try and use it . Even (if?) the odds did prove that we were created , it still wouldn't prove that the God of Abraham was the "thing" that created us .
Anything; is debatable. But even if a 3D hologram of the resurrection arises, pieces of proven Jesus DNA, and proven historical records of witnesses to the event, were no closer to evidence of a creator. So now what?
@@JamesRichardWiley Perhaps. every time we make through another day could be considerated Christmas, as long as the Religious do not get thier way. They would rather make it to the Heavenly North Koera
“I believe Christ rose from the dead because his body was never found” So I guess all those cold cases of missing persons are just a bunch of dead people that rose from the dead.
About odds, i am Taxidriver, at the end of the shift i have a amount of money made, how it is in the end us a matter of chances! It depends on, who will need a taxi, what is not known before, some will take a taxi anyway, the time they will is not premade! Then it depens on wheni start, where i start and what collegues did up to that point. And even then its not written down how the shift will end. I can guess how much i will make but thats based on how much i made in the past, i have no chance to say, i will make x euros, but it could be. Most times i have luck and sometimes i dont! I will make money, i just dont know how much, i dont know where i will be at x hours but i hope. Sometimes i had it, that i say i need x to be fine with it and it happened, but i cant count on it, its chance!
Why do they keep saying the "Creator" lives outside of space and time. As if they know. We don't know what was before space and time so how do they know
I believe they "know" God is outside of space and time because otherwise it's harder to claim God created the universe. It's not an argument from knowledge, it's an assertion that's needed to support the creation story. If God is not outside of space and time, how could God create space and time? I wonder how many unsupported assertions are needed to support a typical creation story.
@@stevewebber707 well said. Maybe it's just that my simple brain can't think of anything before space and time, yet alone believe in something I can not prove to exist! I'm not even sure there was a before space and time . We don't know, maybe the universe resets over and over again. Maybe other dimensions are born with-in other dimensions. Who knows
@@heathentheheretic4909 Yep, there is some serious, fairly accepted theoretical physics stuff out there that is mind blowing and counter intuitive. For that reason I bear in mind that Christians saying they don't believe the Universe could come from nothing are simply trusting their intuition or common sense, over scientists that they are biased to distrust. I'm just getting started reading the Lawrence Krauss book, A Universe from nothing. Hopefully it will help me reform my "common sense" to include more complex knowledge :) BTW, Before time is kinda contradictory, so no shame in not believing in it ;P I believe the Einstein model actually has multiple extra dimensions within our Universe, but that's not something everyone likes about it and there are efforts to resolve that. I have heard that there are serious theories that involve other Universes outside of our space and time continuum, so I don't dismiss the possibility out of hand. I do have to wonder why some Christians say God is or was outside of time since the bible says nothing about a beginning to time or a creation of time. (As far as I know.) Perhaps in the justification of their creation story they get some mashup of bible and science. The outside of time and space statement seems to be drawn directly from the big bang theory, so they are at least acknowledging a part of the theory. I think the apologist tradition basically starts from their interpretation of the bible as absolute truth and looks for science that doesn't disagree, and then throws out any parts the bible disagrees with. You know, basically the opposite of modern scientific method? But yeah, much of this science is rather young, and changing and improving at an amazing rate, so perhaps within our lives there will be some realistic theories about things outside of time and space.
If it weren't me, then someone else would've been my parents' daughter/son. Sounds great to me. The only scenario in which this could appear remarkable is if the Big Bang singularity had a note with my name attached to it-and we were aware of it.
Funny the bit about Tennessee: it is where I became a vocal atheist, when I got "out of the closet" because they bugged me so much with their fundamentalism... Coming from Europe, it was like visiting a Jurassic Park... :-)
I do love when a theist tries to sound clever and fails miserably, the passive aggressiveness is juicy in this one. "I don't know a lot about atheists, I really don't" only corect thing he said.
Well... at least it started out great. I mean really good start. I really thought this was going to be a real brain tickler, with an honest and intelligent theist asking honest questions (even though they were old long debunked arguments) looking for honest points of view. I think Austin was really trying for that approach, even though it didn’t end up that way.
Atheists: Elvis Resurrected! Caller: But where's the evidence? Atheists: Kennedy didn't really die! Caller: But where's the evidence? Atheists: Exactly! So if you don't believe those claims then Jesus never resurrected. Caller: Well, wait a minute here...
@@alankoslowski9473yes, I've heard DD in other episodes. Not a particularly pleasant character. The voices are very similar though. I initially wondered if it was him, but then why put on his nice guy act? Either way, it does show how indoctrination has clearly muddled his logical and critical thinking.
“I believe in Jesus Christ because no one has ever found the body!” No one found the body and the most logical explanation is that he resurrected and rose to heaven - as opposed to him never existing at all? You know, we’ve never found a big foots remains, therefore it must have rose up to heaven.
This guy is just throwing numbers out. If my grandma had met someone other than my grandfather, then someone else would be here instead of me. So what?
Why didn't anyone else ask him whats the chance of a particular raindrop hitting a specific person during a specific rain shower? The odds of it happening are astronomical but it happens every day that it rains, REPEATEDLY.
Caller: Why don't you believe, what I believe? I have evidence! (Proceeds to spout fallacies) Hosts: That is not evidence...we don't believe that Caller: REEEEEEEEEEEEEE
Pick 5 random cards, the chance you get a royal flush of spade is over 2 million in 1, but so is any other random hand. Whatever you draw, its a hand that's over 2 million in one, and after you drew them, it's 1.
“Did you just wait for your turn to speak?” My new favorite line in a discussion.
Seriously! Great moment too. Austin needed that moment. He just wanted to get his apologetics and stopped listening so many times.
This is like being blown away by going to the beach, taking a single grain of sand and then calculating the odds that you would have picked that one grain out of the vast number of grains of sand on the beach.
Exactly. He is confused about statistics. The odds that ANY grain of sand is picked is 100% by virtue of the fact that he picked one. The impossibility is based on predicting WHICH grain of sand was chosen out of the whole beach. That's where his confusion lies.
This video should have had a fallacy counter in the bottom corner. Cinema sins style. Then it would have been funny at least instead of painful to listen to.
Maybe Team Skeptic makes a video on it, what an idiot *DING*
yeah i would love that
So painful, I lost so many brain cells. Keep it Flat ,Space Comma.
They need to start doing that lol
I don't know if there would be enough room for the number.
God used to sit on a Mercy Seat in a tabernacle in the desert and regularly chatted with Moses.
Later he moved to an imaginary place, just above the clouds.
Since the invention of flying machines, he had to move to avoid discovery.
He now lives outside of time and space where he can never be found.
Imagine police detectives using the "can't find the body...therefore something with god" argument all the time.
That's a great analogy. I'll try to remember it.
Funny thing is insurance company do it all the time when classifying something as an act of god. When they do, SUE THEM. Let them prove any god exists and than thst they have any idea what is and isnt an act of said god in court. Collect your money afterwards.
Whatever the religion it always adds up to 'I believe because I believe'.
I cant comprehend science, therefore God. Sound logic.
@@richardgay7990 I'm a biochemist, therefore, I read scientific books and scientific papers daily.
Yo Genius Dorcia?
Are you talking about Beast System Sourced Science?
@@richardgay7990 I am not sure you are familiar with comments on RUclips - they are not real-time with other members like a chat room so I think your waiting is misplaced, given that it's improbable that the above poster is actively still on this comment chain.
@@richardgay7990 I think you're misunderstanding how youtube comments work, which is why you seem to be interpreting it as ignoring or running away. It's not likely they are actively on this comment chain because this isn't a chat room and the comments don't push to people's phones/computer and don't automatically refresh.
@@richardgay7990 Well, it's cumbersome. I'd recommend reddit or other dedicated places for people to converse. RUclips comment section isn't a very effective medium because the comment section has to be refreshed to see new comments on most devices.
I never yell at my screen. I was yelling at my screen, on this call. That was so painful. I need a drink.
Dude saw a RUclips video on statistics between bong hits and was AMAZED.
I love the shifting of the burden of proof and the arguments from ignorance coupled with a grievous misunderstanding of statistics and odds.
It's so precious in it's precocious ignorant arrogance
It's raining outside. What is the chance of rain today? 100%.
Exactly.
the probability of any event AFTER it has occured, is 1:1....
Yes but if you count the number of days there have ever been and add that to how many days there will be, it's an unbelievably big number... And yet it's raining today! And you think that's just random?
@@HecticGlenn I can't be just chance!
But what was the odds that out of the trillions of rain drops that fell, I got hit by those exact raindrops - a miracle = God! 🙃
This caller has just demonstrated that he doesn't understand evolution, statistics, cosmology, or epistemology.
To paraphrase Dave Chappelle paraphrasing Charlie Murphy quoting Rick James, "Religious indoctrination is a hell of a drug!".
612Tiberius wasn’t that quite directly from Rick James?
@@chrisducharme1729,
The actual quote was, "Cocaine is a hell of a drug!"; on an episode of Chappelle's groundbreaking show on Comedy Central. In the episode, I think it was a clip of James waxing introspectively when he said that, which was referenced by Murphy and then repeated (I think) by Chappelle in full Rick James costume and makeup.
To be honest, it's been so long since I first saw it, and I've re-remembered it so many times in my mind, I can't separate the impersonation from the original quote by James.
But it really seemed to fit the caller's "Manchurian Candidate" level of religious brainwashing.
612Tiberius I appreciate your explanation but I am aware of the origin of the quote. It’s been a number of years since I last watched Chapelle’s Show, but I’m pretty sure it was Rick himself who said “Cocaine is a hell of a drug!”
It matters not! It was a great reference and I loved it. :)
612Tiberius id rather have the cocaine, at least that has a benefit of making me feel like I can do anything thats tied to something that actually exists, is tangible and doesn’t require me to pray to it.
I know right. I mean, apart from the strong religious delusion he sounds like a fairly reasonable guy. To keep his fantasy alive he has to reject all those things plus nature and natural origins, the definition of evidence, observed facts and science. How a person can be fairly reasonable and still maintain those beliefs is baffling.
He did sound like a newcomer to atheism so maybe he's come to his senses but I doubt it.
This guy should shuffle a pack of cards. He'd be amazed to discover he'd achieved something with odds of 1 in 8.0658176x10^67.
By his logic that is governed by God.
Point is there wouldn't be a deck of cards to begin without God
@@austin5640 Oh please tell me it's actually you and not a troll account. Please please please XD
@@seanbirch9663 haha!
@@austin5640 are you actually the caller? Id love to discuss your points.
Austin Wow, even the dumbest person can point to man as the designer and creator of cards, with no deity required. Infinite regression in creators is going to give you a huge problem when it comes to the universe.
This is most classic case of the argument of personal incredulity I've ever seen
Austin's post-hoc rationalization can be more easily explained like this:
He started with the conclusion -- Eric or Dave as they are now -- as if it was a goal. It wasn't.
Exactly! The probability that their parents would have children is very high, probably close to 1. If they had come from a different sperm or egg, would the caller say, "I guess I was wrong"?
Exactly, it assumes a specific end intent. Anyone having studied for the lsat should see this so clearly....lol
Exactly, the odds of a specific human birth has nothing to do with the odds of any human birth which is what his point was, and neither has anything to do with the existence of a God.
@@John_Demarco I asked my mum a question about that in my early teens. I even worked out that if I hadn't been born as me, a different combination of genes, etc., would simply result in a different person, who would STILL be ME.
The fact that I am sitting thinking about it means that the PROBABILITY of me is 100% REGARDLESS of the POSSIBILITY.
Ding ding. We have a winner!
The earth being flat is a belief that to this day has “stood the test of time” to a huge group of people.
Got one hell of a tap dancer here! Dancing with the Stars here I come!
Obviously, the best explanation for a missing body is that it came back to life and walked away.
And ascended to heaven, and that’s why you will never find that body.
I can't help but hear Paulogia0's "For the Bible tells me so" every time Austin speaks...
LOL
Hahaha
It always reminds me of Bioshock.
Austin called Austin, Tx. With a background of Austin, Tx. on the screen in big bold letters spelling Austin right in between the hosts. Austin knew exactly what he was doing, set this up perfectly. 😅
"We're talking in numbers that can't be calculated."
So he puts it in 10 base exponential notation that gives it a calculated value.
He probably meant comprehended
@@vincentflannigan2727 He definitely demonstrated that he didn't comprehend.
@@edisoncarter3841 Oh well at least he demonstrated SOMETHING.
@@JerryInGeorgia No, he *claimed* something. He made no demonstration of his claim.
@@edisoncarter3841 You said he demonstrated that he didn't comprehend. I said "oh well, at least he demonstrated SOMETHING."
Thanks to all the theists giving money to Atheism. We appreciate the support. Keep it up with those commercials!
Poor Austin, he's a great example of religious indoctrination....
Is all religion bad?
@Sticky Steve So, why does silly affect you?
@@CaseyTwist Where does silly not belong?
@@CaseyTwist Thank you for your educational knowledge and insight, sir.
@@CaseyTwist Thank you, sir. You have really stimulated my mind with your amazing intelligence.
If the odds of humans existing is so astronomical, the odds of Austin being intelligent is astronomicaler.
This call started so well, with the caller taking the time to calmly define terms and preventing strawmanning. Hats off to Austin for doing that...
And then it just devolved in 'probability therefore God,' and evidence-less assertions. If Jesus really did rise from the dead we need to take him more seriously than anyone else to have ever lived. Sure. First demonstrate that Jesus really did rise from the dead; until you've proven that, there is no point to moving on to any other part of the argument.
Austin forgot that Yeshua's father, Yahweh, is all powerful, all compassionate and all just.
If that were true he would not have morphed into his own son so he could be crucified to save mankind.
The dumbest story ever told to gullible, frightened humans.
Caller: It almost didn't happen.
TH: But did it happen?
Caller: Yeah.
TH: So....
Caller: But the numbers are impossibly large!
TH: Obviously not because it happened. If it's impossible and it happened, then it's not impossible by definition.
You're not thinking like a theist.
'It's impossibly large, but it happened. Therefore god did it. Therefore god exists.'
@@antediluvianatheist5262therefore MY god did it, therefore MY god exists*
"you've got less time".... OMG 😂🤯. My brain literally exploded - I think I'm a bad person for even cracking a smile even when it was in abject disbelief
That was amazing, i almost shit my self laughing
Standing the test of time is a great tool if you are measuring popularity.
"The odds of us being here are incredibly slim, therefore these ancient Hebrew fairy tales that I believe in must be true."
Can always count on a misunderstanding of math or science with a healthy dose of incredulity
It's like if I shuffle a deck of cards and deal them out on a table face up and say "Wow - what were the odds that the deck would come out this way?" There's nothing unusual or profound about it since my actions GUARANTEED that some array of cards or other would appear; and all permutations would seem to be equally improbable!
"it's stood the test of time." So have legends of monsters and ghosts and vampires
This caller right here has finally swayed me, there must be a god, just so I can say "oh my god, how did you not hang up 20 minutes ago"
Hehehe 😆
I cannot live in a universe that has no god.
Therefore there is a god.
So you can scream "oh god" during sex?
If I am here I already exist! There are no odds.
Tim Minuchin is EVERYTHING. Also I like using the Puddle Analogy when someone uses this bs
I was literally screaming at my phone, "Use the puddle analogy!" Lol!
I've just invented a game. It's called "Post-Hock-ey". Where you claim your supreme team must have scored and add yourself a point despite zero evidence of a goal being scored.
Eric sounds like a 3am DJ for a smooth radio station.
"What are the odds that this pile of matches fell exactly like this and not some other way?"
"Checkmate atheists!"
Austin thinks he was in the cosmic plan from the beginning. What amazing odds that he did in fact get born. Wow!
Austin's looking down the wrong end of his telescope.
"Small numbers equal zero" and "I do not know, therefore...god" ~Austin from Illinois
Truly enjoyed this one . Love the last comments on time left.
This call would have been ended in 2 mins if they just would have said "Austin is assuming his existence is the goal, where ad someone else could have been born instead of him amd the world would be no different." This is the "someone winning the lottery" vs "you winning the lottery argument."
The odds of this specific state of people? Sure, nearly 0 odds.
When I shuffle a deck of cards. A specific order of the deck is quite rare. But I'm still going to have an order regardless, so 100% chance of some deck order to the cards.
Similarly, this specific order of people, near 0 odds, but some order of people at or near 100% chance.
Looking at the outcome and stating how amazing it turned out this way is true, but it had to turn out some way, thus not amazing something turned out.
Sanguine I’ve heard that out of every possible order of cards you could get from shuffling a deck, in all the years playing cards have existed, the number of times a deck of cards have been shuffled with the number of decks that have ever existed... there still hasn’t been every single possible outcome.
Exactly. The PROBABILITY of your hand is 100%, because it exists. The POSSIBILITY is still one in whatever a pack of cards is.
There also wouldn't be a body if Jesus never existed.
Yeshua existed.
He just didn't perform miracles on himself and his fellow primates.
That became part of the story after he was dead and gone.
Master Exploder It’s up to debate. There is some credible evidence that he may have existed but honestly it doesn’t matter.
"Because, I don't understand..." That is this man's problem. How many times throughout human history has that notion led to disastrous results for so many people? I don't know is a perfectly reasonable answer.
Well done, Austin. You've gone down the Douglas Adams road, and proved you don't exist, and anyone else you meet is a figment of your imagination.
Dave is a national treasure
"The lack of evidence proves its true"! -some genius
He seems like such a thinking person this truly shows how religion works it just like blinders on a horse while they race truly sad how this happens to people
Austin bringing up the fact that Christ's body never being discovered is priceless lol WOW
I believe that the historical record supports the existence of Genghis Khan, Augustus Caesar, and Adolf Hitler. Where are their bodies? Does this guy think they all resurrected?
Caller: but the chances are so unlikely!" >>>repeats that same claim 100000 times
Take a thousand pennies. Flip them one at a time. If the penny lands tails up discard it; if heads return it into the pile to be flipped. Keep going until ONE penny is left. This penny, every time you flipped, it has landed heads up!!!! Amazing? Yes, IF you said this would happen to that specific coin at the start of the experiment!!! If not, meh, so what?!?
Apparently everything is a miracle to this guy, since the odds of anything happening at any moment are pretty much equally absurd.
Also, gullible people are funny.
They don't understand each other. The man on the phone says that it's a miracle that HE was born with such chances of billions of cells and billions of years. He thinks that for HIM to be born there was supposed to be a plan because the chances are that small. But that is kinds the same as the puddle argument. If it wasn't him, it would be someone else in his place thinking HE was supposed to be born. The thing is you can rationalize it because you were born. It doesn't mean there was plan for you to be born.
Sharp shooter fallacy of unprecedented scale.
I want to know where my 100th great-grandmother's body is, dammit!! Because I think SHE resurrected and came back as the crazy cat lady of Palestine.
And I want to know why Austin doesn't believe in unicorns, fairies or the Giant Flying Spaghetti Monster. His Noodliness is a lovely deity -- friendly, happy, AND I know where he's buried! (the dumpster out back of Olive Garden)
Thanks for everything you do x
RooRaaah Crumbs
Thanks fer evryfin YOU don't!
Jesús was totally real guys, the proof that he resurrected is that we can't find his body.
Boy...
"Historical evidence". Stop raping history like this, fuck's sake
No body was ever found for Paul Bunion.....or sir Lancelot.....or socrates.....no one worships them: Stories are lessons in how to treat others and entertainment
Alan Koslowski ? I think your comprehension is off? Giovanni is specifically saying there is no historical evidence of a resurrection. You’re reading him wrong for some reason.
(oh oh, ignore what the last person wrote to write a response? Got it!) No! All of you are wrong: There is no historical proof of magic ever existing. I couldn't care less about someone called Jesus if they don't have superpowers.
I knew plenty of people called jeuss and none of them walk on water. If one of them wrote a book saying they walked on water and we found it decades later, I'd look for evidence he walked on water such as other contemporary accountings of it then derive an understanding from there.
We have none of that for the supernatural claims of the bible. The only places you can find where Jews and christians ever had superpowers is in the bible.
"handle snakes" - "cure disease" - etc. No supernatural powers from the bible can be demonstrated to be real
:D
@@DoctorShocktor
If that's the case I apologize. I thought he was defending the caller's position. My bad. I'll delete the comment then.
You know the odds that I was born were %100 because I'm here.
Darth Dawkins taking a kinder approach. Weird. I guess he's changed tactics.
Idk I've spoken with Darth. I tried to have a reasonable conversation and asked him if he thought his approach was leading people away from his religion. Long story short he muted me. Darth HAS to control the conversation. That's why I don't think this could be DD
I absolutely loved this conversation.
"A sperm with your name on it..."
Call should have ended right there.
Great title for a James Bond themed porno though.
@The Wizard of Whatever: That too, but I was referring to him using that assumption to get to those one-in-a gazillion odds of him being born. Apparently he (as in that specific sperm and egg combination) was pre-ordained. But somehow we atheists are the arrogant ones.
Simon Koster seriously drove me nuts. Conflating/inflating the odds and importance of one human’s birth with any human’s birth. He had no idea why what he thought was important was supposedly important, lol.
He hasn't even considered the existence of twins or triplets!
this was actually a really good show
Mate - roll a dice 1000 times in sequence. On each roll, note the outcome. Your logical argument now dictates, that no matter what sequence of 1000 rolls you end up with, you will have proven God, as it will be impossibly unlikely to end up with exactly that sequence of rolls. This is as far away from proving anything as it gets.
What a about putting your cellphone in your pocket and just by "random chance" sending complete text messages. The point I'm making is all logic and reason does point to intelligent design. You don't get a reality that we have by random chance or an accident. If there were no intelligent design, chaos and disorder would prevail.
Sending complete text messages as you set down each time. Surely that could not happen by coincidence repeatedly over and over. The more science advances the more it will prove there is an uncaused cause, prime mover, God if you will!
You cellphone analogy is entirely different from the analogy used in the video. There is one simple thing you must realise in order to disprove the argument.
The original argument was along the lines of this:
“In the set of all possible human beings which could exist today, the fact that exactly this particular subset exists, the people who are alive right now, is extremely unlikely.”
Now that is true. Just like the point-wise probability of any continuous distribution is zero. However, it doesn’t make it a miracle when you pull a random number from the distribution, even though it could have also potentially been any other number.
All you must realise is, that no matter which subset of humans had been drawn from the set of all possible human beings, you would have been looking back over the generations and said: “it is so extremely unlikely that the exact subset would be alive today...” and that is what makes your argument entirely invalid.
In your cellphone analogy you have restricted your probability space, by only allowing for “complete texts”, which is equivalent to making a prediction. It is also equivalent to saying you which to pull a number from a uniform distribution along the entire real axis, between 0 and 10. Suddenly, there is a prediction, which changes every thing.
@@nathank8613...it does, though...entropy always increases in an open system. Animals kill each other. Atomic nucleic decay. Embrace mortality like you should. You are going nowhere but the ground.
Throw a dart and then draw the target afterwards. Wow, how did that dart end up in that exact place!
The chance that the *specific* sperm and *specific* egg that made me met may have been unlikely but the chance of *a* sperm and *an* egg meeting is much more likely, almost inevitable since my parents planned to have a child and kept trying until I happened. A child was always going to be, I was just the lucky combo that did happen.
No evidence of a god, but yet it's more plausible that an unproven god created everything.... but its still special pleading... regardless, everything needs a creator except the creator... so what are the chances of a creator creating itself out of what exactly?
What I would like to know is if this creator god is so awesome, is he capable of creating (reproducing?) other entities capable of creating universes? How do me know that the god that created our universe was the top (bottom?) level god? Maybe it is just turtles all the way down.
How do I know that a Hebrew god named Yahweh is eternal?
Simple. I just made it up.
the test of time...
people have thought the earth was flat for as long as there have been humans. Flat-earthers vindicated.
12:42 I like the theory that a slight gravitational embolism in the singularity caused the cataclysmic expansion of matter and ripped itself into a weak permeating force coupled to matter through the linear reactionary motions we register the passage of as time.
There are people who believe the earth is flat.
This idea is much older than any other idea that has ever been dreamed up.
Therefore, the earth is flat.
The earth is flat at ground level.
The further and higher you go the rounder it gets.
@@JamesRichardWiley
It's not flat in my garden.
I live on the side of a mountain.
I wish I could move it, but my faith isn't strong enough.
I don’t know why so many disliked this call. I loved it, I like these kinds of discussions. This is what folks will bring up to me and I like hearing this process being talked over by others.
To quote Ozzie Osborne there are no unbeatable odds, there are no believable gods
The odds argument is a bad argument , religious people shouldn't try and use it .
Even (if?) the odds did prove that we were created , it still wouldn't prove that the God of Abraham was the "thing" that created us .
He made other people using it look almost good.
@@JerryInGeorgia LoL .
historical proof of JC is most certainly debatable as this exchange prooves.
Anything; is debatable. But even if a 3D hologram of the resurrection arises, pieces of proven Jesus DNA, and proven historical records of witnesses to the event, were no closer to evidence of a creator. So now what?
JC, a human who lived around year zero?
Or JC, the magical character from a book of stories?
" 'standing the test of time' " - - - is NOT evidence. Sorry, Austin of Illinois.
The story of Christmas will last forever.
@@JamesRichardWiley Perhaps. every time we make through another day could be considerated Christmas, as long as the Religious do not get thier way. They would rather make it to the Heavenly North Koera
“I believe Christ rose from the dead because his body was never found”
So I guess all those cold cases of missing persons are just a bunch of dead people that rose from the dead.
Poor Austin, he got murrrrrrdered, love it.
About odds, i am Taxidriver, at the end of the shift i have a amount of money made, how it is in the end us a matter of chances!
It depends on, who will need a taxi, what is not known before, some will take a taxi anyway, the time they will is not premade!
Then it depens on wheni start, where i start and what collegues did up to that point.
And even then its not written down how the shift will end.
I can guess how much i will make but thats based on how much i made in the past, i have no chance to say, i will make x euros, but it could be.
Most times i have luck and sometimes i dont!
I will make money, i just dont know how much, i dont know where i will be at x hours but i hope.
Sometimes i had it, that i say i need x to be fine with it and it happened, but i cant count on it, its chance!
Nico Steffen
Get a proper job.
@@loveandsqualor6034 thats all you got from that?
Kyle
He was talking vomit.
@@loveandsqualor6034 You're the one being aggressive and attacking multiple people in the comments.
Calculate the possibility of the materials that make up the dice you threw, coming together to make that dice.
Why do they keep saying the "Creator" lives outside of space and time.
As if they know. We don't know what was before space and time so how do they know
I believe they "know" God is outside of space and time because otherwise it's harder to claim God created the universe. It's not an argument from knowledge, it's an assertion that's needed to support the creation story. If God is not outside of space and time, how could God create space and time?
I wonder how many unsupported assertions are needed to support a typical creation story.
@@stevewebber707 well said. Maybe it's just that my simple brain can't think of anything before space and time, yet alone believe in something I can not prove to exist!
I'm not even sure there was a before space and time .
We don't know, maybe the universe resets over and over again. Maybe other dimensions are born with-in other dimensions.
Who knows
@@heathentheheretic4909 Yep, there is some serious, fairly accepted theoretical physics stuff out there that is mind blowing and counter intuitive.
For that reason I bear in mind that Christians saying they don't believe the Universe could come from nothing are simply trusting their intuition or common sense, over scientists that they are biased to distrust.
I'm just getting started reading the Lawrence Krauss book, A Universe from nothing. Hopefully it will help me reform my "common sense" to include more complex knowledge :)
BTW, Before time is kinda contradictory, so no shame in not believing in it ;P
I believe the Einstein model actually has multiple extra dimensions within our Universe, but that's not something everyone likes about it and there are efforts to resolve that.
I have heard that there are serious theories that involve other Universes outside of our space and time continuum, so I don't dismiss the possibility out of hand.
I do have to wonder why some Christians say God is or was outside of time since the bible says nothing about a beginning to time or a creation of time. (As far as I know.) Perhaps in the justification of their creation story they get some mashup of bible and science. The outside of time and space statement seems to be drawn directly from the big bang theory, so they are at least acknowledging a part of the theory.
I think the apologist tradition basically starts from their interpretation of the bible as absolute truth and looks for science that doesn't disagree, and then throws out any parts the bible disagrees with.
You know, basically the opposite of modern scientific method?
But yeah, much of this science is rather young, and changing and improving at an amazing rate, so perhaps within our lives there will be some realistic theories about things outside of time and space.
Leave the mind altering drugs alone and stop reading the Bible.
And clean up you room. It's a mess.
@@JamesRichardWiley what are you talking about.
I'm lost
If it weren't me, then someone else would've been my parents' daughter/son. Sounds great to me. The only scenario in which this could appear remarkable is if the Big Bang singularity had a note with my name attached to it-and we were aware of it.
Jimmy Hoffa's body hasn't been found. Did he rise from the dead? Should I worship him??
Yes.
Everybody knows that he's buried in the end zone of Giants Stadium.
@Charles Blair Make up your mind, is he swimming with the fishes or living in a 2006 Toyota Celica?
Funny the bit about Tennessee: it is where I became a vocal atheist, when I got "out of the closet" because they bugged me so much with their fundamentalism... Coming from Europe, it was like visiting a Jurassic Park... :-)
I do love when a theist tries to sound clever and fails miserably, the passive aggressiveness is juicy in this one. "I don't know a lot about atheists, I really don't" only corect thing he said.
Well... at least it started out great. I mean really good start. I really thought this was going to be a real brain tickler, with an honest and intelligent theist asking honest questions (even though they were old long debunked arguments) looking for honest points of view.
I think Austin was really trying for that approach, even though it didn’t end up that way.
How does Austin think all religions start out.
They all started out small and than later become bigger.
It also helps if the Emperor makes your religion the official religion of the Empire.
Caller : let me calculate the probability of you being born
Also caller : The probability of you being born and not another version of you is ..
I have a feeling that he walk out thinking that he won the discussion.
Christian “logic” never fails to amuse me.
Atheists: Elvis Resurrected!
Caller: But where's the evidence?
Atheists: Kennedy didn't really die!
Caller: But where's the evidence?
Atheists: Exactly! So if you don't believe those claims then Jesus never resurrected.
Caller: Well, wait a minute here...
This guy needs to hear the analogy of the chances of getting a royal flush.. the fact that they're the same as any other group
They never found Zeus' body, therefore Zeus existed.
Sounds like Darth Dawkins trolling as Austin
This really does sound suspiciously like Darth Dawkins.
Sorry to disagree but I'm pretty sure it's not DD. As ridiculous as this call was he was actually much nicer than DD.
@@alankoslowski9473yes, I've heard DD in other episodes. Not a particularly pleasant character. The voices are very similar though. I initially wondered if it was him, but then why put on his nice guy act?
Either way, it does show how indoctrination has clearly muddled his logical and critical thinking.
@@steve66em1
I agree but at least he's not a dick like DD. Maybe we should start referring to DD as triple D?
"Sir, sir, you're not letting me speak!!"
That is absolutely Darth Dawkins trying a different approach.
“I believe in Jesus Christ because no one has ever found the body!” No one found the body and the most logical explanation is that he resurrected and rose to heaven - as opposed to him never existing at all? You know, we’ve never found a big foots remains, therefore it must have rose up to heaven.
This guy is just throwing numbers out. If my grandma had met someone other than my grandfather, then someone else would be here instead of me. So what?
Why didn't anyone else ask him whats the chance of a particular raindrop hitting a specific person during a specific rain shower? The odds of it happening are astronomical but it happens every day that it rains, REPEATEDLY.
Caller: Why don't you believe, what I believe? I have evidence! (Proceeds to spout fallacies)
Hosts: That is not evidence...we don't believe that
Caller: REEEEEEEEEEEEEE
Pick 5 random cards, the chance you get a royal flush of spade is over 2 million in 1, but so is any other random hand. Whatever you draw, its a hand that's over 2 million in one, and after you drew them, it's 1.