As a Clemson fan, pretty much everyone I’ve talked to about it acknowledges that we were essentially gifted a playoff berth. While I believe it’s possible for an upset, I would honestly be content with 31-13. Although I would add that people point to the South Carolina game as a damning data point for Clemson, but it was a 3 point loss that was given away by Clemson, including a red zone interception in the last minute. If you believe South Carolina is a good team, then I don’t think you can ding Clemson too much for that loss.
Game is over and they won and congrats and all that, but in hindsight if sellers gets sacked on any of those broken plays for a big run I feel like Clemson wins that game. I’m not salty at all
You should try to account for Clemson’s defense giving up a lot in garbage time, so your model has consistently under estimated Clemson late in the season. I check it every week. To say Clemson Couldnt beat SoCar is rather absurd.
I honestly think this is gonna be the game changer... huge coaching mismatch IMO. Clemson isn't really all that outmatched. They're gonna have trouble scoring, but I would be surprised if they aren't able to drag this game into the mud and go into the 4th within a score
I have to give you credit guys, as a PSU fan I heard all about Penn States bad schedule and paper tiger this and paper tiger that. You guys kept it consistent and called out Texas schedule being weak as well. Fair is fair, great job.
Georgia fan, Texas is a super tough out. They keep fighting and their WRs find a way. Clemson will have to win by forcing turnovers on Ewers who's kinda shellshocked right now and then turning them into 7s, not 3s.
Texas 30+? How? They couldn't hit 30 vs Vandy. The Texas offense just aint all that. I think Texas will most likely win but i think Yall are underestimating Clemson just a bit. 23-17 Texas
@ftw4twcs 20 vs Arkansas. 15 and 19 vs Georgia. 17 vs A&M. 27 vs Vandy. Do you have any reason fo believe Texas can hot 30 vs a capable but not lights out defense? I sure don't. Texas offense ain't so great. There's not a lot of respect for Clemson here because they scooped Bama's perceived spot. I'd remind the nerds that they beat the SMU team they heaped praise on in that smu @ penn st video. Clemson @ Texas is a very unique game. In fact so unique its never happened before. Clemson has the ability to keep it close. That's an extremely experienced staff and team. Texas should win but they better not get cocky. Clemson will not roll over. As far as the sc game well. There's not a single team in the playoff that ain't breathing a sigh of relief the Gamecocks didn't get in. Don't lose this game Texas. Just don't.
I'm hoping Clemson finds a miracle to win, but realistically speaking, I have to agree that I don't see how they can run the ball. Mafah is hurt, and even when Mafah was healthy, they couldn't run the ball against elite defenses. Texas's defense will probably make them very one-dimensional. It's going to take a monumental performance for Clemson to win this one.
I think the best point that I believe I’ve heard you guys make about QB play w the 2022 recruiting classes onward is that the game changed REALLY FAST. These kids were bred to dominate in the RPO led offensive schemes of the 2010s and now it seems like there’s been a more gradual shift to pro style type offenses due to defenses catching up on how to defend those difficult RPO schemes, especially at the top of CFB. Poor kids never really had a chance
I'm a Texas fan and our defense is ELITE. The defense is good enough to win a national championship. But our offense concerns me - which is so strange because it's been the exact opposite for most of my life as Texas fan. If we can't run the ball with Wisner, the offense tends to just really stagnate and penalties have killed us. The passing game is too inconsistent since Quinn has returned from injury. There are a few big plays, but he has one of the lowest depths of target in the country. It feels like every pass is within 5 yards of the line of scrimmage. I think we'll win, but 12 points is too much. I think it's a low scoring game that Clemson keeps close. I'm going Texas 24 Clemson 17.
I’m with you on that. Texas has also had a hard time protecting the QB and Clemson has tons of sacks this year. I could see a turnover making the game closer than it should be, but I think Texas wins by 3-7.
I think this is a horrible match up for Clemson tbh. I could very well see this going like a more exaggerated version of the A&M game. I think Texas wins like 27-13. Could be one of those games were Texas is just up by like 10-13 points but it feels like they’re way further ahead due to their defense.
Im a Clemson fan. If our 3rd string RBs can play out of their minds (Mafah has been hurt for the past 6 weeks) and we dont become 1 dimensional, we could keep it close. Idk why but I am weirdly optimistic about this game. All the stats, analysts, and media are calling for a beat down (I don't blame them and it will most likely happen) but yet that just makes me believe Dabo can pull it off. Maybe I'm right, maybe I'm wrong. We shall see 🤷
Clemson fan. Pretty much agree with the video. If Clemson makes this a game or wins, they’ll have to sell out to stop the run and cross their fingers on offense and throw bombs. AND prob win the turnover margin
Arizona looks like a blowout on paper, but I think it will be a much more intriguing matchup than this one with Mafah not at 100%. The real question is can Quinn get healthy and step up, because if he continue to be “meh,” Texas can’t win a game against real competition. They don’t have the special teams to carry them.
I honestly believe the biggest storyline here is, is texas wasting their national championship window with this defense by refusing to at least give Arch a chacne against better opponents? As a Texas fan, I've seen enought from this team to know the result we get from Ewers.
Just say you didn’t watch the Clemson vs SC game. They lead basically the whole game till 1 minute left and drove down the field like it was nothing only to have 1 bad bounce int to lose. They definitely could have and should have beat SC
God help Clemson if Manning gets in the game… I just can’t see a way for Clemson to win this. They are not a bad team, but the gap between Texas and Clemson remains and the longer the game goes on, the worse it gets. Texas 38, Clemson 21
I think this all comes down to how healthy Ewers is. I think healthy he is better than most give him credit for. If he isn’t healthy I think Texas still wins but it is a lot more uncertain by how much
I think you're right about Texas, but I won't knock Clemson for losing a close game to a Michael Vick / Cam Newton talent. This is the 2nd best team Texas has faced this year. Give me Texas 20, Clemson 13.
Ewers throws the game away and Arch cant manage to pull it back out of the gutter in time. Clemson pulls the upset as the biggest 1st round underdog. 24-20 Clemson.
9:55 you can say this because Scar beat Clemson 2 weeks ago on a 3 and a mile td scramble by their qb? This makes no sense. Clemson wins that game 90% of the time
Klubnik is 3rd in the country in TDs, 12th in yards (while sitting multiple 2nd halves), but the model has them as a 74th pass offense? If the model has Clemson’s run game better than their pass game, then it’s just flat out wrong. In every game that Clemson built a lead this year, it was because of 1st half explosive pass plays, only for them to be unable to close it out with the run in the 2nd half (Pitt, SC, SMU). As a Clemson fan, I agree this is a bad matchup for them, but these guys seem out of touch with what Clemson really is (Texas’s 5th best wideout is better than Antonio Williams? Clemson’s offense stalled out cause jay Haynes got hurt?).
@ Texas has too much NIL not to build a team that won’t eventually. I want to see them work for it like UGA. The SEC schedules are a messy. You have teams like SC, OU, and UF that have some of the hardest schedules ever created and then you have Texas that has a Penn State schedule. Greg Sankey is a joke. Yes, I want to see Texas lose and I don’t care who it is. The fans are more annoying than Tennessee and Notre Dame fans. If Oklahoma were in I would cheer for them simply because they have great fans.
@@100mmatte One of them, Much like the Notre Dame fans (and this doesn't apply to all by any stretch) they like to claim that they are experts on CFB and that I am a casual fan simply because I say things they don't agree with. Honestly, it can be fun talking to "experts". It does have its upside. Several are unreasonable and it is hard to have a serious conversation about CFB because they are the anointed ones and everything about their program is great. And to be honest, I hate that they were able to get a Penn State schedule in the SEC, so they won't really understand the grind in the SEC for at least another year. The hazing I got by Texas fans when I thought that were going to get punched in the mouth by UGA was insane.
@ but that makes no sense, UGA did punch Texas in mouth twice sadly. And possibly a third time god forbid. You seem very intelligent when it comes to football. May I ask, do you think Texas can beat Arizona state?? That’s of course assuming they get passed Clemson
The format is totally screwed up!! There are 4 teams that have absolutely no business being in the playoffs!!! The top 12 ranked teams should be in the playoffs regardless of conference championships!! Its completely ridiculous!!!
My picks, just for the fun of it. Clemson whoops Texas. Indiana kicks Notre Dame's buttocks. Tennessee plants the flag up yonder. SMU runs Penn State out of its own stadium. In the event I go 0-4, I will claim that someone hacked my account. Go Dawgs.
@@CollegeFootballNerdsfair point SC absolutely was the better team this year and if it’s jus based on the best 12 they should’ve gotten in over Clemson. Unfortunately as yall know the automatic bid for winning your conference gave them the edge over SC. Ole Miss was probably more deserving of being in over Clemson as well .
@@CollegeFootballNerdseven tho I will say even though the analytics may disagree but I don’t think theirs a big gap between Clemson and SC. When they played it’s a pretty evenly matched game and you could argue Clemson outplayed them for a solid portion of that game. Awful game management by Dabo and a poor pick from Cade cost them that game
I remember, not so long ago, when the CFNs were lauding how good Clemson was. It wasn’t until they thought Bama or some other SEC school should have gotten into the playoffs that they soured on Clemson. Do they really believe that Indiana or Boise State are better than Clemson? These haters are a joke. Good thing nobody listens to them except to laugh.
Texas is more skilled and deeper but the take on WR's is wrong. Wesco and Antonio Williams are better than all but Bond. Not close. DeAndre Moore had 3 TDs. Wesco had 2 just against SMU.
I’d laugh so hard if Clemson wins in Austin
It won't happen. They will get blown out😂
As a Clemson fan, pretty much everyone I’ve talked to about it acknowledges that we were essentially gifted a playoff berth. While I believe it’s possible for an upset, I would honestly be content with 31-13.
Although I would add that people point to the South Carolina game as a damning data point for Clemson, but it was a 3 point loss that was given away by Clemson, including a red zone interception in the last minute. If you believe South Carolina is a good team, then I don’t think you can ding Clemson too much for that loss.
Fight on
South Carolina was on the road and still won by 3 but it doesn't because Clemson got beat
If you win your conference championship it’s not a gift. SEC paid politicians say that bullshit. To promote their narrative which just isn’t true.
Game is over and they won and congrats and all that, but in hindsight if sellers gets sacked on any of those broken plays for a big run I feel like Clemson wins that game. I’m not salty at all
@@kylez9094 If south Carolina played at home they win by more than 7
You should try to account for Clemson’s defense giving up a lot in garbage time, so your model has consistently under estimated Clemson late in the season. I check it every week.
To say Clemson Couldnt beat SoCar is rather absurd.
Ohio State vs Clemson in the CFP Semifinal.
Day vs Dabo Part III
@ my fairytale scenario would be Clemson beating Ohio State and then UGa to win it.
As a Bama fan, I'm always worried about Dabo somehow finding a way!?!
Ohio State vs Clemson in the CFP Semifinal.
Day vs Dabo Part III
no, Clemson is sorry a$$ that benefited from an extremely easy schedule.
I honestly think this is gonna be the game changer... huge coaching mismatch IMO. Clemson isn't really all that outmatched. They're gonna have trouble scoring, but I would be surprised if they aren't able to drag this game into the mud and go into the 4th within a score
I have to give you credit guys, as a PSU fan I heard all about Penn States bad schedule and paper tiger this and paper tiger that. You guys kept it consistent and called out Texas schedule being weak as well. Fair is fair, great job.
I do appreciate you guys doing previews for each of the 1st round games
Clemson fan here. We are going to lose. Even if Dabo gets a lead, he squanders it like the south carolina and almost the smu game.
Georgia fan, Texas is a super tough out. They keep fighting and their WRs find a way. Clemson will have to win by forcing turnovers on Ewers who's kinda shellshocked right now and then turning them into 7s, not 3s.
Texas wins the "Orange Bowl" 35-17
Texas 30+? How? They couldn't hit 30 vs Vandy. The Texas offense just aint all that. I think Texas will most likely win but i think Yall are underestimating Clemson just a bit.
23-17 Texas
Texas has a pick 6 called back by a soft block in the back penalty, and Vandy scored on that drive. 14 point swing.
@ftw4twcs 20 vs Arkansas. 15 and 19 vs Georgia. 17 vs A&M. 27 vs Vandy. Do you have any reason fo believe Texas can hot 30 vs a capable but not lights out defense? I sure don't. Texas offense ain't so great.
There's not a lot of respect for Clemson here because they scooped Bama's perceived spot. I'd remind the nerds that they beat the SMU team they heaped praise on in that smu @ penn st video.
Clemson @ Texas is a very unique game. In fact so unique its never happened before. Clemson has the ability to keep it close. That's an extremely experienced staff and team. Texas should win but they better not get cocky. Clemson will not roll over.
As far as the sc game well. There's not a single team in the playoff that ain't breathing a sigh of relief the Gamecocks didn't get in.
Don't lose this game Texas. Just don't.
They need to start Arch.
I'm hoping Clemson finds a miracle to win, but realistically speaking, I have to agree that I don't see how they can run the ball. Mafah is hurt, and even when Mafah was healthy, they couldn't run the ball against elite defenses. Texas's defense will probably make them very one-dimensional. It's going to take a monumental performance for Clemson to win this one.
This is the one I was waiting on
Really why? Unless your a Texas fan or Clemson fan I can’t see why.
This will probably be the least competitive game.
That will be Notre dame Indiana
Honestly if Clemson wasn’t a name brand everyone would be saying it would be a blowout
True but you don’t have no name schools with a coach that has Nattys
Plenty of people are calling a blowout. Or a dominant win with Texas controlling but not scoring much
Idk how you can watch the Texas offense and think that a non blowout game isn’t possible.
Ohio State vs Clemson in the CFP Semifinal.
Day vs Dabo Part III
Clemson recruits extremely well and is top 10-15 in composite talent.
Well shit boys guess we oughta just forfeit
I think the ACC champ finishes 0-3 against the SEC. 31-14 Texas
Ohio State vs Clemson in the CFP Semifinal.
Day vs Dabo Part III
@@ScarletGray-o3j 😅😂
Texas takes this game easily.
@@ScarletGray-o3j Ohio state and Clemson aren’t making it out of the first round.
Great Analysis
I think the best point that I believe I’ve heard you guys make about QB play w the 2022 recruiting classes onward is that the game changed REALLY FAST. These kids were bred to dominate in the RPO led offensive schemes of the 2010s and now it seems like there’s been a more gradual shift to pro style type offenses due to defenses catching up on how to defend those difficult RPO schemes, especially at the top of CFB. Poor kids never really had a chance
I'm a Texas fan and our defense is ELITE. The defense is good enough to win a national championship. But our offense concerns me - which is so strange because it's been the exact opposite for most of my life as Texas fan.
If we can't run the ball with Wisner, the offense tends to just really stagnate and penalties have killed us. The passing game is too inconsistent since Quinn has returned from injury. There are a few big plays, but he has one of the lowest depths of target in the country. It feels like every pass is within 5 yards of the line of scrimmage.
I think we'll win, but 12 points is too much. I think it's a low scoring game that Clemson keeps close. I'm going Texas 24 Clemson 17.
I’m with you on that. Texas has also had a hard time protecting the QB and Clemson has tons of sacks this year. I could see a turnover making the game closer than it should be, but I think Texas wins by 3-7.
and everyone is picking up on the screen game.
I think this is a horrible match up for Clemson tbh. I could very well see this going like a more exaggerated version of the A&M game. I think Texas wins like 27-13. Could be one of those games were Texas is just up by like 10-13 points but it feels like they’re way further ahead due to their defense.
Dabo thanks you guys both for the bulletin board material, and especially Westlake’s finest thanks you as well!
Michael Taaffe plays for Texas😂
@@lingerinlead80421 I was going to say the same thing. I bet Taaffe lays the wood on Klubnik multiple times in this game.
@@lingerinlead80421 that’s actually a great comeback
Texas - 24
Clemson - 10
Go Dawgs! Sic Em!
Im a Clemson fan. If our 3rd string RBs can play out of their minds (Mafah has been hurt for the past 6 weeks) and we dont become 1 dimensional, we could keep it close.
Idk why but I am weirdly optimistic about this game. All the stats, analysts, and media are calling for a beat down (I don't blame them and it will most likely happen) but yet that just makes me believe Dabo can pull it off. Maybe I'm right, maybe I'm wrong. We shall see 🤷
Clemson fan. Pretty much agree with the video. If Clemson makes this a game or wins, they’ll have to sell out to stop the run and cross their fingers on offense and throw bombs. AND prob win the turnover margin
Clemson is undefeated on the road. Road game fits in Clemsons wheelhouse
Arizona looks like a blowout on paper, but I think it will be a much more intriguing matchup than this one with Mafah not at 100%.
The real question is can Quinn get healthy and step up, because if he continue to be “meh,” Texas can’t win a game against real competition. They don’t have the special teams to carry them.
We shall see 👀 bout this come Saturday afternoon
Great analysis, by all accounts Texas should win this game, Clemson has a great coaching staff, but I just don’t think it’ll be enough. Texas 20-13
I honestly believe the biggest storyline here is, is texas wasting their national championship window with this defense by refusing to at least give Arch a chacne against better opponents? As a Texas fan, I've seen enought from this team to know the result we get from Ewers.
4-team playoffs was perfectly fine but conferences want more money and that's what the 12-team playoffs will deliver
Just say you didn’t watch the Clemson vs SC game. They lead basically the whole game till 1 minute left and drove down the field like it was nothing only to have 1 bad bounce int to lose. They definitely could have and should have beat SC
God help Clemson if Manning gets in the game…
I just can’t see a way for Clemson to win this. They are not a bad team, but the gap between Texas and Clemson remains and the longer the game goes on, the worse it gets.
Texas 38, Clemson 21
I think this all comes down to how healthy Ewers is. I think healthy he is better than most give him credit for.
If he isn’t healthy I think Texas still wins but it is a lot more uncertain by how much
I think you're right about Texas, but I won't knock Clemson for losing a close game to a Michael Vick / Cam Newton talent. This is the 2nd best team Texas has faced this year. Give me Texas 20, Clemson 13.
Ewers throws the game away and Arch cant manage to pull it back out of the gutter in time. Clemson pulls the upset as the biggest 1st round underdog. 24-20 Clemson.
Clemson will be lucky to score 10 against that defense.
9:55 you can say this because Scar beat Clemson 2 weeks ago on a 3 and a mile td scramble by their qb? This makes no sense. Clemson wins that game 90% of the time
31-13 sounds right. But Dabo tends to pull tricks out of his hat.
Both of you will eat your words come Saturday afternoon. Let go Clemson 🐅
Klubnik is 3rd in the country in TDs, 12th in yards (while sitting multiple 2nd halves), but the model has them as a 74th pass offense? If the model has Clemson’s run game better than their pass game, then it’s just flat out wrong. In every game that Clemson built a lead this year, it was because of 1st half explosive pass plays, only for them to be unable to close it out with the run in the 2nd half (Pitt, SC, SMU).
As a Clemson fan, I agree this is a bad matchup for them, but these guys seem out of touch with what Clemson really is (Texas’s 5th best wideout is better than Antonio Williams? Clemson’s offense stalled out cause jay Haynes got hurt?).
I agree with you Josh. Clemson does not belong in this playoff.
So true sister, bama should be in cuz it just means more!!!
I expect my tigers to be spanked, but there is potential for a win for them if unlikely.
I dont think ive ever rooted for Clemson in my life...ever. first time for everything i suppose
at this point i dont know what "script" means
Opinions and a-holes. Looking forward to the WTF happened vid.
Clemson can't win every year no program does they will find a way back to the top of the mountain in this college football era
I really want to will Clemson to win, because Texas had such and easy track through the SEC, but it looks hopeless.
Don’t you wana see Texas win as well
@ Texas has too much NIL not to build a team that won’t eventually. I want to see them work for it like UGA. The SEC schedules are a messy. You have teams like SC, OU, and UF that have some of the hardest schedules ever created and then you have Texas that has a Penn State schedule. Greg Sankey is a joke. Yes, I want to see Texas lose and I don’t care who it is. The fans are more annoying than Tennessee and Notre Dame fans. If Oklahoma were in I would cheer for them simply because they have great fans.
@ what do the Texas fans do that are annoying?
@@100mmatte One of them, Much like the Notre Dame fans (and this doesn't apply to all by any stretch) they like to claim that they are experts on CFB and that I am a casual fan simply because I say things they don't agree with. Honestly, it can be fun talking to "experts". It does have its upside.
Several are unreasonable and it is hard to have a serious conversation about CFB because they are the anointed ones and everything about their program is great.
And to be honest, I hate that they were able to get a Penn State schedule in the SEC, so they won't really understand the grind in the SEC for at least another year.
The hazing I got by Texas fans when I thought that were going to get punched in the mouth by UGA was insane.
@ but that makes no sense, UGA did punch Texas in mouth twice sadly. And possibly a third time god forbid.
You seem very intelligent when it comes to football. May I ask, do you think Texas can beat Arizona state?? That’s of course assuming they get passed Clemson
Ngl, alabama would body bag ND, Penn St, SMU, Clemson, Indiana, and Boise State.
The format is totally screwed up!! There are 4 teams that have absolutely no business being in the playoffs!!! The top 12 ranked teams should be in the playoffs regardless of conference championships!! Its completely ridiculous!!!
Y’all don’t go hide come Saturday night!
Ohio State vs Clemson in the CFP Semifinal.
Day vs Dabo Part III
Here we go with the ACC-SEC stuff. Smh
My picks, just for the fun of it. Clemson whoops Texas. Indiana kicks Notre Dame's buttocks. Tennessee plants the flag up yonder. SMU runs Penn State out of its own stadium. In the event I go 0-4, I will claim that someone hacked my account. Go Dawgs.
Clemson wins by 4, 14-10 game
Texas will cover- 27-10
If Texas gets to 27pts, Clemson can’t win.
Texas 31-6
52-13 Texas. Easy money game. Wont even be worth watching as this is the worst nightmare matchup of the CFP teams.
Style pts don't matter so it's extremely improbable such a score happens. 4 score lead= third string and slow football
SHEESH! 😂😂😂 #gotigers
Awww come one I don’t think it’s gona be that bad.
Dude seems mad that Clemson made it in 😂 isn’t their fault Miami didn’t handle their business sheesh
More that a South Carolina team that has the same record and beat Clemson at Clemson got left out for them.
@@CollegeFootballNerdsfair point SC absolutely was the better team this year and if it’s jus based on the best 12 they should’ve gotten in over Clemson. Unfortunately as yall know the automatic bid for winning your conference gave them the edge over SC. Ole Miss was probably more deserving of being in over Clemson as well .
@@CollegeFootballNerdseven tho I will say even though the analytics may disagree but I don’t think theirs a big gap between Clemson and SC. When they played it’s a pretty evenly matched game and you could argue Clemson outplayed them for a solid portion of that game. Awful game management by Dabo and a poor pick from Cade cost them that game
I remember, not so long ago, when the CFNs were lauding how good Clemson was. It wasn’t until they thought Bama or some other SEC school should have gotten into the playoffs that they soured on Clemson. Do they really believe that Indiana or Boise State are better than Clemson? These haters are a joke. Good thing nobody listens to them except to laugh.
This is my first round upset game. I am convinced Texas is total frauds this year. Give me Clemson 24-20
Yall played S Carolina close. This won't be close. Texas defense will dominate.
Quinn has been giving up one free TD to the opposing team seemingly every game. Clemson gets 20 but Texas scores more.
Texas is more skilled and deeper but the take on WR's is wrong. Wesco and Antonio Williams are better than all but Bond. Not close. DeAndre Moore had 3 TDs. Wesco had 2 just against SMU.
I think my Texas Longhorns beats the Clemson Tigers at home 56-28.