Kevin Rudd on the U.S.-China Trade War
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- Опубликовано: 11 ноя 2019
- SAN FRANCISCO, November 7, 2019 - Asia Society Policy Institute President Kevin Rudd delivers an address and discusses the future direction of the ongoing U.S.-China trade war with Ken Wilcox chairman of Asia Society Northern California. (1 hr., 1 min.)
Words are bullets: One bullet can only destroy one person, but an idea can destroy many millions of people ...
We need you back in Australia Kevin
Brilliant mind and one of the few politicians that thinks about people rather than a party or an election. Thank you Mr. Rudd.
Graham Allison raise the Thucydides's trap dilemma without a solution. John Mearsheimer overwhelms you with his undisputable great power theory reslult that forbids argument. Kevin uses his wisdom and experience to enlighten you and encourage you to make your own balanced conclusion
Great speech Mr. PM
Thanks
Iam a huge fan of this man really he is a great scholar i love him
How I wish I could have Kevin Rudd’s oratory skill? Anyway, good lecture!
great talk!
We gotta know if you are being paid for by either one of the party. Sounded like you are in pocket with one of them. If you don’t the Party is above the law instead of the other way around you really haven’t been there
Good talk.
No comments? OK - Australia should decouple from the US & join the BRI.
PM Rudd offers a reasonable voice. unfortunately people often ten to act unreasonably.
Kevin really understands!
The true about US declaring wars against China in trades, currencies, HI tech sectors etc is that US is afraid to be surpassed by China. It is the natural reaction that current suppur power will fight againt any potential suppur power regardless its ideology, race, or political system. US did that to Japan in 80s, to EU in 90s, now to China. When 2 elephants fighting, grass suffering; when 2 elephants making love, grass suffering too.
NOw a year later this words ring very very empty.
18min in he waves to huwawai
This guy seems like hes paid off. War is in many forms. Currency tech, trade, info ,the headpoint would be physical confrentation
Mr. Rudd is clearly captive, as is Australia, of... well, it's fairly (depressingly) clear.
Someone with brains.
Strange, that no one is talking about the real cause and effect of trade war.
Hong Shi With brains you say? Where are they? He sells out Australia for the sake of trade. and NO doubt in the interests of his businesses and his wife's businesses.
Trade under the global village is the death knell to liberty and DEMOCRACY as we have known it due to sacrifices made by our forefathers. China intends to make Australia a VASAL state.
KRUDD the DUD is nothing less than a charlatan. He IS out to furnish his own nest while his son in law becomes the first Chinese Emperor of Australia.
Make NO doubt about it, KRUDD is not a loyal Australian subject unless it is in his interest.
Pretty rational and objective opinion while with too much optimistic assumption. It's inevitable that this two powers will have their fate battle until one of them lose. This is just simple human nature and natural law
Not only the supply side but the demand side is important, maybe even more important than the supply side. China’s liberalisation of its capital market is exactly recognising the demand side of this equation and leveraging on it. The two Import Expos that China had held, the last one just recently in Shanghai also showed that Beijing recognised the importance of the demand side of this equation. The US, for reasons, that only they knew, chose to pass out these expos but individual suppliers were there on the scene. The recent conclusion of the RCEP negotiations also shows this side of China’s strategy. On the short term, China has not much to gain on the supply side of this pact but on the longer term, the next twenty to thirty years, as the wealth of the region improves, the enlarged market will be the new market for China’s produce and so would the BRI countries and Africa.
The speaket was wrong about US did not want to colonise the way the Brits did. US has failed in Korean war and Vietnam war, that turn the US off, otherwise more than half of the East Asia will be colonised by US. By the way, isn't Korea and Japan are today colonised by US in a different way...?
Rudd is right. We should vouch for peace.
I got more insight from Asia Society than CSIS. CSIS is regressing.
Look into chinas financial market the ones this guy claims is a show of liberalization, meanwhile he ignores the crackdown by winnie the poo
It' s a shame Kevin was never famous enough to be on South Park.
The biggest problem is, Trump is so ignorant he thinks the Chinese pay the tariff taxes he puts on our imports. Actually, Americans pay those taxes included in the cost ot the things we buy at Walmart.
This guy makes great word great salad.
Rudd's discussion of AI and tech is missing some points that weigh the balance more in China's favor. At the bottom of the hierarchy China mainland is behind on semiconductor manufacturing. But, TSMC and Samsung are global leaders. China has a limited dependence on the United States to manufacture semiconductors. The next step up the hierarchy is the design of complex chips. Huawei's recent announcements claimed that its design of AI chips is the best in the world. Given Huawei's track record, their claim has to be taken seriously. The next step up the hierarchy is AI software. That is where most of the action will likely be. There is no reality to decoupling system software. If the United States were to try to put commercial AI software under the oppressive control of the American defense department, it is likely that many of the most creative software developers would flee American oppression. In any case, the basic ideas behind AI software are already well known. In a connected world any significant advances beyond those ideas will very quickly be known throughout the world. The big effort in AI will be product development. If China reaches a dominant position it will be because of their success at applying AI in areas where American companies fail to compete. The current case of Huawei and 5G is an example of a very likely trend. China is emerging as the global leader in manufacturing. It is likely to become the leader in applying AI to manufacturing and create a more substantial global lead. Product development is done by developing products. There is not likely to be much dependence on the United States in China's efforts to develop more advanced manufacturing techniques that exploit AI.
Gr8 Stuff fm The Ruddster. 😄
Normal, not normal, what does that mean when you are not discussing live organ harvesting from falun gong practitioner, concentration camps for million Uighur Muslim, religion persecution! Moreover, China people no more free than the starting of economic endeavor. Spare the obvious change n economic advance! If one really want to know how free Chinese in China, just look at the laws of private ownership n privacy laws in China! Paper law means what if means, nothing!!!!
this man has no tegridy
This one does not age well.
Great speech Kevin~ His an asset to Australia ^^
Great speaker former prime minister and tghough provoke insights about china and xi xinping ,i follow kevin Rudd on youtube about chinese leadership
What are your thoughts on the thuggish language Beijing instructs it’s diplomats to use towards Australia and its behaviour towards Vietnam and the Philippines, and the PLA-Ns five additional aircraft supercarriers presently under construction, Mr Rudd?
🇨🇳👍
US can concentrate on China 24/7. Meanwhile, the rest of the world must take this once in a lifetime chance to quicken their economic development pace and get out of the US dependency as US has little time to interfere in their affairs.
I follow this man closely. Flourish language, high spectations, but finally all he speaks is common sense... Nothing new
What we are seeing is a clash of two worlds, two political and governmental structures. One government is a totalitarian / authoritarian government that wants total control of its people, and expects nothing less. Then we have a western democracy that values free speech, civil liberties, gun ownership, and personal property. We are seeing a clash play out between Hong Kong and China/CCP. This clash obviously plays out in trade, politics, media, and political and economic planning...such as decoupling
His knowledge of the US is weak.
Pink Bats.
Agree with Kevin Rudd as a Chinese.
YAAAWWWNNN....
I am ashamed for this poor excuse of a politician. The most useless and harmful Australian PM ever.
China talked about they are just demanding respect and they are peaceful. You don't need to look further. Just look at how China treats its weaker neighbours. China armed and trained the insurgents groups and fuel the civil war in Myanmar so that they could gain resources and extra leverage on central government. at the same time, China supported military dictator in the country. Such a good neighbour China is. China is singing they are peaceful, they are underdog. It is because they are still weak. China will immediately change their tune and actions when they feel they are strong enough. So The Chinese can't be trusted.
The crux of the issue is the US has been captured by the military industrial complex. Jimmy Carter said the US has been at peace for only 16 of its 242 years as a nation. Counting wars, military attacks and military occupations, there have actually only been five years of peace in US history.
"We have wasted, I think, $3 trillion," (Watson Institute of Brown University puts the number as $5.9 trillion) Carter said, referring to American military spending. "China has not wasted a single penny on war, and that's why they're ahead of us. In almost every way.
"And I think the difference is if you take $3 trillion and put it in American infrastructure, you'd probably have $2 trillion left over. We'd have high-speed railroad. We'd have bridges that aren't collapsing. We'd have roads that are maintained properly. Our education system would be as good as that of, say, South Korea.
Traitor
US must free Julian Assange if they think the HK rioters' criminal acts are normal! Trump should invite them to the US to do the same to US cities!
Mai Lam Have you got blinkers on? CCP sponsored blinkers?
He is wrong. China has activly trying to weaken the US economy for 20 years.
I`m really not impressed, although he tries hard to be a "knower"
Sorry can't blame anyone if the US made a mistake 20 years ago.
If China was guilty of anything, resolution could have been obtained differently. The Hardline (racism) approach by Trump brought us these hard times. Wake up people. I also include that racism here in America doesn't strengthen but weakens us
Very spot on. The western always assumed it’s their way or the highway. Their democracy and its western liberalism should be the centre stage of how a country should be run. They just don’t accept the fact that some countries are just comfortable being who they are and what they adopt as their system of governing. That being said, I’m not saying democracy is bad but it shouldn’t be the only way. If China thinks communism is a way of life for them, at least for now, then so be it. Who knows down the road someday they when they think that her people is ready to embrace democracy then they might do it. But until then, just leave them be, trade and prosper and stay out of each other’s internal matter. Bottom line is, if it’s good for the country’s economy and hence the people living in it, then trade. If it’s not then don’t.
Fact is China never had any intention of meeting the expectations they knew westerners expected when they were welcomed into the world community, we were used, to cite culturural differences in their approach is disingenuous to say the least they are expansionist in thinking. And rudd welcomed Chinese's influence into Australia without limits...
His solution for Xinjiang, Hong Kong, Tibet and Taiwan is for the West to continue buying and investing in China? While yes this won't lead to an economic crisis this will lead to a humanitarian crisis. So the choices are to choose between greed or human life?
You've raised a fair point but I think Rudd's strategy is to influence China from within by having more economic leverage against China. Trades with the US only constitute less than 6% of Chinese total GDP, so to be honest, it's not really significant enough to influence China from within. Like the Brexit saga, it's a question of whether staying within is more essential for meaningful reform or a complete decoupling between 2 nuclear powers in the world. This is why it's important for the US to strengthen a global coalition to aggressively pressure China open up its economy and strategy sectors to investments from the outside world, that's when the real leverage comes with foreign ownership in this sectors and this is what the CCP has tried hard to prevent.
Rudd has always been a China apologist, even as his own fellow Aussies are getting screwed by the Chinese.
hum, why the western people are so easy getting screwed by THE CHINESE? just ask yourself how much do you know about CHINA like RUDD.
Yep, Aussies are getting screwed by buyers snatching up their iron ore, gas and farm produce. Oh, how nations around the world wish to be screwed like Aussies