Has Reddit's /r/sportsbook Community Found a Profitable NFL Teaser Strategy? | Reaction Series
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- Опубликовано: 8 янв 2023
- In this video I go over the long running "Let's Talk About Teasers" post in the /r/sportsbook community on the crappy Stalinist censorship hellhole website known as Reddit (likely paid off by the government to censor like Twitter) which goes over NFL Teasers every week in an attempt to find a profitable way to bet them. Does this post contain valuable information that can lead to profitable NFL teaser betting?
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I acknowledge William's intent to warn people about sports wagering but that's not my point. It is the NEGATIVITY that runs like a non-stop faucet throughout all of the videos
Most people will not make money betting over the long term. Do you disagree with that?
I've been a member of reddit for years but had never posted. So I tried to posted my 1st reddit the other day in the sportsbook community and it was rejected. so much for getting me to consider ever posting on reddit again.
High pitch note at the end. 😂”see ya “
These videos are much better when Wil does not go into all that ranting. Highly charged emotions makes consuming the content a real challenge and I think overall does the channel a disservice. I like the sports betting truth topics; not so much the marathons and ski stories.........just throw'in it out there.
I must be getting lucky
Hey Will!
I was wondering if there could be a profitable teaser strategy in my Sportsbook because I was told by many customers that we offer good odds on 2 team 6 PT college teasers at +100 or EVEN odds. I know this chart was about wong NFL teasers, but could you apply a similar principle to college with a lower needed winning percentage with +20 better value?
I understand college has many more teams, different pacing of gameplay and different variables, just wondering if you think it'd be possible since you thought this was around break even and the college 2 team 6 PT teaser is +20 per unit better value.
William, I hope you can reflect back on this statement. I don't even have to watch this video knowing that in some shape or form you will rip everything down. People don't want to watch negativity as evidenced by the # of viewers/subscribers you have. Many youtubers warn about sports gambling yet you dont stop watching bc their videos are positive unlike yours. Hope that helps
William assumes (in all of his calculations etc) a 50% hit rate. Like when he was talking about the 2-team parlay, he said that you have a 25% chance of hitting the parlay (.5 x .5). Virtually no serious players have a 50% hit rate for any extended period, else they wouldn't be serious players for very long. I think that all discussions of strategy, money management etc. should start with the assumption that you are talking to people who are capable of at least a 54% hit rate. Obviously, all bets against the house are bad bets if you can't at least cap at break even level. Also, I think too much statistical modeling just leads you to 50% or worse.
I actually think William could have a great channel due to his honest approach, but people that like watching this kind of content at least hope to be able to cap in the 53-54% range at minimum and they already know that they are going to lose if they can't.
Stfu this channel isn't to gain views it's the truth and the truth most the time sucks.
@@shimatoree666 he's honest about the 90% that won't make it in this space but those people are not watching this video anyways. Like you said, anyone watching this video is likely "sharper" than the majority of people who bet on vibes and gut picks and heavy favourites anyways. I personally think he doubles down too hard on the "you wont make it, you might break even, theres no way you'll profit", its hard but its not impossible and he even scoffs at tracked results and demands 10 year sample sizes or the casinos to make some drastic payout structure adjustment for him to agree that you know what you're doing.
Was up