PROSPERITY DISRUPTION! RethinkX Expert: Energy, Food, Transport and Labor Are Changing the World!
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- Опубликовано: 9 окт 2024
- In this inspiring conversation, Adam Dorr, lead research at Tony Seba's RethinkX and author of Brighter: Optimism, Progress, and the Future of Environmentalism, discusses the massive disruptions happening simultaneously in energy, transportation (think Tesla EVs and FSD Beta!), food and labor itself (think Optimus, the Teslabot). Not only is each disruption happening in an exponential "S Curve" fashion, but they're stacking on top of each other. There are many pitfalls to overcome, but if we do, the future could be one of amazing abundance!
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These guys have profoundly transformed my perception of the world and the course of human progress. To this day, I have encountered no one who possesses an extensive understanding of this subject matter and can effectively challenge any of the predictions put forth by RethinkX.
This interview restored my hope for the future. Please have this guy on again soon!
Ha! - great idea to have Adam. I just read his book "Brighter" - RethinkX delivers the kind of message humanit needs right now. They offer a compelling and (acording to their past record) highly realistic view of things to come. More people need to listen and read about their stuff. And of course I hope that their very optimistic vision for the coming disruptions and their convergence in the next decade will turn out to be true.
Great to spread the word. I'm reading the book right now and I have read all the reports coming out of RethinkX. What I have been really surprised about is the lack of interest in the media about these amazing reports and also that they have been pretty much ignored by governments about what they should do about the climate crisis and transistion away from the fossil based economy. This also relates to the recent white paper from Tesla about the transitioning of the world from a fossil based economy to a green electricity based economy. Have I seen even one media mentioning this? NO!!
Follow the money. lobbyists from oil and big pharma don’t benefit from these changes directly and money unfortunately rarely goes to the scientists and dreamers. Politicians only last 4-5 years so not really in their interest to push a 20-30 agenda which isn’t paying them off now. I’ve been talking about this stuff within my circle for over 25 years and its great to see these disruptions paying off.
Wholeheartedly agree Hans
I am currently listening to the book on audible, and like you learning more about the human situation.
I'm so glad you got to do an interview with Adam, hope we can have more interviews with the rethink x team in the future
I could have conversations like that for hours.
Wow two big thinkers that I love in the same podcast. Say hello to Adam, he is amazing
Possibly your best show to date!!
It seems like technological disruptions offer insight into punctuated equilibrium in evolution - a beneficial mutation that quickly percolates through a population, sometimes opening up new avenues of evolution for a little while before things stabilize again.
Good to have this. Read Dr Adam Dorr book, and it's really encouraging. Give good strategies and confirms Tesla master plan.
What a great video John. I looked at it in 1 shot but you might cut it in pieces and make separate video's from it. The Precision Fermentation part for example is so unknown that it deserves a separate video. Just introduce Adam and the topic and bring it.
I love RethinkXs work. I'm especially exited about the huge benefits from precision fermentation. Animal ag is a crime against animals and the environment. The world would be a much better place with it disrupted.
More please because these topics are very interesting. Big fan of Tony Seba and lately Adam Dorr too. Been watching Adam's new video series. It lays a great logical foundation for those new to the idea of disruptive changes.
A/C is also a heat pump, just in reverse. So heat pumps are relevant almost everywhere.
We use our heat pump to heat when it’s cold and cool when it’s hot. I think the very name heat pump leads many to think that heating is all it does.
In case of Precision Fermentation technology.
I think we will be abel to produce Suger in Lab itself.
So we don't even need to grow suger in farm land.
So that will free up even more land.
(Although this suger thing is little but further in future)
A riveting discussion...thanks!
Very illuminating conversation. 👍🏻
Incredible interview, thanks for doing this!
Brilliant episode - EFTL = less toil and more creative work - still concerned about the consumption of life-numbing substances at scale by so many people - are we really prosperous/happy?
What a great guest Jon. Adam and Tony need more X-posure. Hopefully, they'll get some Elon retweets.
Excellent interview!
Ha! We are also inundated by all the positive, futurist messaging so much that it floods my personal input receptors, and yet I can't find enough of it because some events I want to see have not happened yet. There's enormous opportunity for future prosperity description overload. I'm going to pick something and install or build it, Real Soon Now.
Thanks John, Great discussion on Disruption. More like this would be great. Also animal agriculture is responsible for at least 16% of global greenhouse gas emissions. Don't stop being a vegetarian, get your protein from a vegan protein powder like pea protein. Much better for you in the long run,
Stap in the next 15 years are going to be a ride. Very excited.
Adam is a fantastic guest, please do more discussions with him.
One fundamentally new feature of SWB is the ability to bank electricity... the traditional electric grid system had near zero storage -- electricity was used as it was generated. When large, centralized generators dropped off line unexpectedly, the grid would need to shed load to re-balance, making the grid generally unreliable. Small grids in developing nations(or island nations, or Texas), using centralized generators, are notoriously unreliable -- they can become extremely reliable with SWB.
Quite a coup to get *Adam Dorr.*
This doctors staring through the camera game is on point. Needs to up the microphone game. Outstanding content.
John we need more of this the mainstream latency is so far behind.
Best episode ever!
When I look at the future of robots that we are about to see begin spreading around the world, I definitely think about the 'future past' of the office/home/desktop computer I witnessed myself as a minor participant. Robots are going to be so much bigger, and they will happen so much faster, but there are many familiar aspects, like robots being employed to build more and better robots, just like computers were used to more quickly design better and faster computers. I really appreciate watching and hearing you two describe how other technologies will also soon be expanding more quickly and with beneficial feedback loops driving progress.
Huge fan of your channel. Love this video and interview, thank you for doing it. I've been exploring the food tech part of this for the past year now and trying as many of these novel foods as I can. You can already buy some products today (milk, ice creams, honey) and I can confirm they are as good if not better than the animal versions!
The near term problem is machine learning. That is on us now and profound changes will begin occurring now. The problem is that there is very little time to create a structure to manage, and it takes time to do that. Even worse, it's an international problem with the attendant complications. It seems virtually impossible that we will be able to manage it successfully.
Can't manage what we don't understand. It's like watching it beat the grandmasters at chess and the game of Go. And we don't even know how it did it and yet it already has gotten way better and continues to do so.
Definitely do more of this🤩🤩
When did Lieutenant Dan become so damn intelligent? Excellent interview, gentlemen. I love you.
Adam Dorr, speaking about the leading edge of technology disruption should get a $200 wireless mic. His audio quality is amateur especially for a REthnkx Expert.
One of your best 👏👏👏
Terrific show, John. Would love to have more content like this that is similar to Tesla but goes further into our society and world. By the way, I believe that fusion energy, as being developed by Helion, could be a big competitor to solar. Not many people are talking about this, but I would keep an eye on that company. Sam Altman is a major investor in it, and he’s obviously no dummy.
What’s it cost to build? Do they even exist? The sun is free. I’ll go with Musk.
I've never seen anyone do an analysis of the cost of fusion produced electricity. Fission costs about $0.15/kWh which is, roughly, 5x more expensive than wind and solar. Fusion, like fission, is only a way to boil water and drive a turbine. Where's the potential cost savings with fusion?
After listening to this discussion about Disruption of Labor, I think that the TeslaBot / Optimus will be much bigger than the EV or Energy business. TeslaBots will be at least 10x the EV or the Energy dollars. Again a great discussion.
Energy storage seems to need more than batteries. Batteries are great for day-to-night shift, but less practical for weekly shifts (as required by wind or by work-week loads). They are not practical for seasonal shifts (spring/fall surpluses shift into summer/winter needs). I did not hear this being recognized. What did I miss?
Tony Seba writes about this. The idea is to build so much wind and solar that it is enough for nearly the whole year. Combined with some energy storage to bridge the darkest, wind still days. This system is also cheaper than all other energy Systems.
@@user-bf9tb1tw6j That would leave a substantial amount of solar and wind equipment unused for a large part of the time. (Not to mention a need to build solar/wind at a rate far above any current plans.) And I am still waiting for what "bridge" technology you mention. It's not batteries, unless we build 100x what anyone considers today. Between nature-determined W/S generation cycles and human-acceptable load cycles, it's not easy.
@@johntrotter8678It would result in massive amounts of near zero marginal electricity. Low or no carbon metal smelting, concrete production, desalination, biofuels for shipping and airplanes, green e-chemicals, carbon fiber for lightweighting cars and airplanes, any appropriate industrial bulk heat process, on and on.
John , PLEASE do a series on your book reviews!!!!
Sounds like a very limited few are going to have unlimited control.
I agree with just about everything your guest said until the discussion around food. A yeast tank will never be able to replicate the nutrient profile of grass fed meat in a regenerative environment and sow will never be as healthy or effective in providing the nutrients that are necessary for a healthy lifestyle.
This is a great episode - thank you so much. I notice that each Industrial Revolution starts as simple tools and ends up becoming a human enhancer (an extension to ourselves). In the 3rd Industrial Revolution, it started with mainframes and desktop computers doing automated tasks and ended with each person with a computer in their pocket providing them with enhanced capability to access all knowledge and communicate with anyone on earth. By stroking a piece of glass in our hand, we have become more than human. In the 4th Industrial Revolution (AI), it will start as a tool and end up as an extension of ourselves, providing even more capability. Elon (via Neuralink) knows this is where it will end. I am more positive about AI than I was at the beginning.
Adam, am I thinking correctly that precision fermentation products are also used as feedstocks to support process development and research that will increase the quality, content and speed of production of new precision fermentation foodstuffs, plastics, etc. ? Is this another example of a beneficial feedback loop that helps to accelerate improvements in precision fermentation?
Adam, I really fear for your wellbeing. The history of people advocating radical change in the USofA, particularly, is not encouraging. I think you are absolutely right, and hope that you can keep safe until the people who feel threatened can come to terms with the future happening.
I appreciate the optimism - but I think he glosses over the obvious constraints of solar power. We need a battery that can store energy and maintain power while the sun is not shining. This will require significant leaps in battery storage tech as well as a massive shift in mining and material production. This area of tech seems to have hit a big wall.
Let that "80%" be rewilded and we will re-sequester a lot of CO2 out of the atmosphere. Trees and prairie grasses will put a lot of carbon back below the surface via their extensive root systems.
How long did it take for gunpowder to S-curve.
The takeaway. Gov’ts need the stomach to say NO to fossil fuels. If they don’t, we need to “help” them.
Think of it as an act of kindness. Helping them avoid stranded assets.
With constant improvements in machine learning, A.I. and innovation, I think the 'S' curve will become obsolete. The technological sigularity will bring about.......something else, whereas it not only will not be an 'S' curve or even vertical progress but something beyond our concept and understanding. Like us on the third dimension trying to see something on the fourth dimension and beyond. We can only see a part of it happening but will have no idea about the whole of it and wouldn't be able to if it was explained to us (Like a 3d object moving through a 2d plane, you can only see a part of the whole).
Everything takes time to happen, for the new to be born and the old to pass.
The sugars for the precision fermentation should not be produced through agriculture, but with light absorbing single cell organisms in bioreactors in a closed loop. Maybe it should be even possible to leave the organism part behind and use just the required cellular mechanisms (including their own reproduction) from energy resorption to building the sugars using one bioreactor as a huge single cell that excretes lumps of carbohydrates.
Regenerative agriculture using perennial crops and intercepting for cellulose to sugar processes and sequester carbon could be useful.
@@garysouza772 It might be too late for that.
"Rapid loss of complex polymers and pyrogenic carbon in subsoils under whole-soil warming"
It is wonderful that technology will be able to help so much. But how do we get past the human greed factor? Even if energy could be converted at zero dollars, some corporate entity is not freely going to give up its multi-billion dollar profit machine. Many electric utility companies have already been caught attempting to make rooftop solar more expensive. At first their excuse was it makes poorer people pay more than their share for line maintenance. So now in California the net metering payback has gone from full equal trading to about a quarter payback for residential consumer/providers. And now a law is being considered that utility bills be paid based on your income which means your utility company will know approximately how much money you make each year. That would be a flat fee in addition to your actual electric rates even if you use no energy at all. Again I ask, "how will we keep the politicians and corporations from screwing us?"
Can you do a video on how we will transition to the new paradigm
Very good to have him in and get his insight.
Precision fermentation is an area I have mixed feelings about largely because it leaves the door open to increased engineering of our food stuffs that often do not go hand in hand with promoting human health. We do not have a good track record for highly processed foods that tend to fall prey to a Moloch Problem as large processed food companies move to use every tool at their disposal to increase consumption and decrease cost with little regard for long term health risks because we don’t have feasible methods to evaluate the effect of each new added ingredient. Additionally the lack of transparency on influence on the research process further muddies the waters.
We also continue to fall prey to reductionistic views of human nutrition and what is needed for optimal health. Maybe AI tools can help promote independent 3rd party research to hold processed food companies accountable, improve human health impacts of different ingredients and combinations, and improve human health.
What do you think about anti microbial resistance from antibiotic use by animal farmers and how about zoonotic diseases, which come from animals and can cause pandemics?
@@ChrisJWinn Antibiotic use is a huge issue even outside of animal agriculture. We as humans have a very misguided view of the various microbiomes (human and animal) and we are paying for it in many ways. This is an issue that need to be solved across the board by figuring out how to cultivate proper microbial ecosystems rather than doing the classic pharmacology scorched earth (or slightly targeted scorched earth) approach. Within animal husbandry, regulation and consumer selection seems like a stop gap solution to this problem to incentivize AB use only as necessary and not to use simply to increase slaughter weight in all animals.
Animal husbandry does have a risk of zoonotic transmission but it seems to be a manageable risk so far. However, Poorly managed CFO’s and other industrial operations that cause overcrowding and unsanitary conditions benefit none of us. (Animals or humans)
I don't see a problem with rioting, etc. with the disruption of labor. Here's why:
Riots and protests have at their core the fear that a person is losing their means of supporting themselves and/or their families. What happens if you tell a person "Hey your job is going away but food is so cheap we will give you all you want for free... labor and materials are so cheap that we will give you a robotic built house for free...transportation is so cheap that we will give that to you for free.... clothing is so cheap we will give that to you for free.... energy is so cheap and ubiquitous that we will give that to you for free also".
In other words what would there be to protest? Medical costs maybe??? Why would people bother if willing, mechanical slaves are doing everything for them causing things to become so cheap that they no longer hold intrinsic value because they can be easily replicated at almost no cost?
I think what this will do is spur people to become explorers, artists, and scientists. With all the free time you can be totally creative not because it is commercially viable.... but creativity for creativity's sake.
Could it get boring? For many unimaginative folks it may.
Hmmmm.....maybe Elon won't have a problem colonizing Mars after all??? Plenty of bored explorers!
If I had to make a guess, I think humanity will undergo a time of over indulgence.... of people amassing every product that they formerly could not. Like someone who just won the lottery. Then after some time... maybe a generation, people will take start realizing the ridiculousness of this and will start taking pride in only living on the basics.... as there will no longer be a fear of not having more to fall back on if needed as it will all be free. People's lives will then drastically simplify.
Tesla can't even get the Semi into production so all this is comic book stuff.
In order to make this transition without losing our democracy and our human rights we need to restore competition. Otherwise the monopolies will give the labor savings wrought by new technologies, leaving ex-workers struggling to feed their families. Revolution will not be far behind - Jan 6th should be a warning to us all.
They will give the labor savings to owners.
@@microsrfr I think the idea is you give every person a monthly stipend say $3,000 and goods and services and energy are cheaper so they are free to follow your dreams. The reality is probably they will be bored and turn to alcohol and drugs for entertainment.
@@microsrfr I agree.
I am more concerned about power broker stranglehold than anything else. Tech does not frighten me at all.
Increased utilization of the vehicle fleet through robo taxis etc, will create a short term economic boom, but the increased utilization will accelerate the depreciation of the vehicle. If I have my own personal Tesla Model Y that I can use any time for the 25,000 miles per year that I drive it will serve me 16 years till I reach 400,000 miles. But if in a robotaxi fleet where it runs 100,000 miles per year it will be depreciated in 4 years vs 16 years and need to be replaced. In select areas of dense population and well mapped roads and routes, robotaxi will work in the near future. It will be great for Seniors who can no longer drive, and children not yet licensed to drive.
So what? In 4 years a robotaxi will make enough money to finance itselves, and you will have a nice profit on top.
Or you don‘t need a personal car anymore, and just call a robotaxi when you need a ride. This can save you 1000s of $ a year for energy, insurance, financing, maybe a rented parking lot or garage, so that you easily can pay for a robotaxi when you need one. At least you can toss your 2nd or 3rd family-car if you need one personal car at all.
@@user299792 As a FSD Beta owner who uses FSD on all drives, I have an appreciation for how far FSD has come, but robo taxi will be limited to dense urban areas and more suited for people without access to parking or charging. The first step in the transition will be using rental car companies to rent a Tesla as needed. I am cutting back my personal vehicle fleet to 2 vehicles. 1 for me and 1 for my wife no more spares. I still have a 3rd which is a pickup truck but going to sell it and rent a truck from Home Depot when I need one for errands. I have discovered that if you plan, Home Depot and or Lowe’s will deliver anything you need for free.
We’ve got so much more BUT are we in a better position to survive a solar storm?
Unless I missed the point (one of them) it is suggested that mass produced food, created through fermentation, would produce food as healthy as grown naturally?
As we don't have a full understanding of nutrition I find that hard to fathom. If ever should that be the case, I'm sure it won't be in my lifetime. Yes I realize my lifetime is an unknown variable, I know some of you will think that.
Why not? If the constituents of a foodstuff are known, precision fermentation will eventually be able to reproduce them.
Clem Sunter was way ahead of Tony Seba. Batteries were a thing then and are still so today
Tesla has the 3 areas of disruption covered: Energy, Transportation and Labor.
Medical disruption too.
There is usually one huge factor missed in these debates, and that is the emergence of China as a major influence in global economic and political affairs.
Why is China so important? Because it’s not playing the Western game, that allowed capitalist leaders to heavily influence economic trends. I’m not saying big oil, big energy and big auto could, for example, *stop* progress, but I think they could, and would, put the brakes on progress, to protect their vested interests.
Funny thing is, Climate Change has NOTHING to do with what I like about Tesla and electric vehicles. Electric cars have a lot going for them: air quality, won't kill people if on in a closed space like a garage, quiet, runs on electricity so we can diversify our energy instead of being so reliant on one product, you can fill it up at home instead of having to go to a station, lower maintenance, cheaper to fuel, and more efficient use of energy. Tesla specifically: most North American cars, lots of space, really safe, and straight price because you aren't working with a sales person. There is so much there more than "climate change".
the only possible way to make the transition without the nightmare of the capitalist systems collapse causing a mad max world, would be to make it financially worthwhile for people to share the jobs we would agree we NEED people to do and work much less.
Re. diet, your doctor is factually incorrect. Healthiest source of protein as we age is legumes/beans. To retain muscle mass, of course exercise should be included.
Don't give in to your doctor on the diet. If the doctor is eating a low carb diet, then they'll recommend a low carb diet. My suggestion is to read peer reviewed studies on nutrition and see through the marketing hype. Any doctor that suggests eating meat is a red flag.
Information and communication will be disrupted again with Neuralink, or something similar.
He did not answer the question about how to transition to the new paradigm
It was amusing to see academics (the Left) coming to the conclusion that prosperity is required to solve the worlds problems not austerity which is the standard dogma of the Left. DKNIA was seriously taken aback by this (facial expression) and after some rapid back pedalling changed the subject to vegetarianism - another dogma of the Left. Had to chuckle. It’s tough in the barricades Tovarishch.
New paradigms catch everybody by surprise at first. Counterintuitive thinking is an essential part of forward thinking.
The S curve means Ford & GM are dead.
Toyota is finished also.
Well 50% of the car market is the middle of the 'S' curve. BEVs are currently at 1% after 10 years. This will not take 15 years. Most likely 30+ years. This is evolution not disruption
BEVs are now 5% of new car sales in the US, 20-30% in europe, 30-40% in china. This will not take 15 years. Most likely 8 years. This is disruption!
If a BEV is way cheaper to operate, no one will buy an ICE car, not even a used one, if you can get a used BEV for a comparable price.
@@user299792 I say again 1%. Viz. Electric vehicles account for less than 1% of the 250 million vehicles, SUVs, and light-duty trucks sold in the United States. Because only around 17 million new cars are being built each year, changing the vehicles from gas-powered to electric will be a long process, especially as far as the government is concerned.
@@user299792 The trouble is that no BEV is available to buy at $3000 so prices are incomparable and will remain so for a long time to come. Forget about new cars, concern yourself with how long it takes for secondhand BEVs that people want becoming available. Tesla is only beginning to think of building them in two years. These won't be available at good prices for at least five years beyond that.
The S-curve is plainly evident with BEV sales worldwide.
@@garysouza772 It will be an almost flat 's' curve. Not rapid
Ummm, Tesla is in almost all of these - Energy, Transport, Labour, AI.
Just not food.
Not Tesla, but Elon‘s brother Kimbal. He is co founder and CEO of Square Roots, a vertical farming company.
Technology may have advanced enough to release civilization from the confines of the second law of thermodynamics.
These confines were imposed on us by Victorian England's scientific and religious culture in their fascination with steam engines.
The second law is behind modern refgeration needing electrical energy to compress the refrigerent to force it to release as waste the heat that it has removed from the refrigerator's service interior in the cooling part of the refrigerent's circulation. There is also discarded heat from mechanical friction.
Refrigeration by the principle that energy is conserved should produce electricity instead of consuming it.
It makes more sense that refrigerators should yield electricity because energy is widely known to change form with no ultimate path of energy gain or loss being found. Therefore any form of fully recyclable energy can be cycled endlessly in any quantity.
In an extreme case senario full heat recycling all electric very isolated underground undersea or space communities would be highly survivable with self sufficient EMP resistant LED light banks, automated vertical farms, thaw resistant frozen food storehouses, factories, dwellings, and self contained elevators and horizontal transports.
In a flourishing civillization senario small self sufficient electric or cooling devices of many kinds and styles like lamps smartphones, hotplates, water heaters, cooler chests, fans, radios, TVs, cameras, security devices. power hand tools, pumps, and personal transports, would be available for immediate use anywhere as people see fit.
Larger equipment would be built for enterprise use.
If a high majority thinks our civilization should geoengineer gigatons or
teratons of carbon dioxide out of our etnvironment, instalations using devices that convert ambient heat into electricity can hypothetically be scaled up do it with a choice of comsequences including many beneficial ones.
Energy sensible refrigerators that absorb heat and yield electricity would complement computers as they consume electricity and yield heat. Computing would be free.
A simple rectifier crystal can, iust short of a replicatable long term demonstration of a powerful prototype, almost certainly filter the random thermal motion of electrons or discrete positiive charged voids called holes so the electric current flowing in one direction predominates. At low system voltage a filtrate of one polarity predominates only a little but there is always usable electrical power derived from the source, which is Johnson Nyquest thermal electrical noise. This net electrical filtrate can be aggregated in a group of separate diodes in consistent alignment parallel creating widely scalable electrical power. The maximum energy is converted from ambient heat to productive electricity when the electrical load is matched to the array impeadence.
Matched impeadence output (watts) is k (Boltzman's constant, 1.38^-23, times T (tempeature Kelvin) times bandwidth (0 Hz to a natural limit ~2 THz @ 290 K) times rectification halving and nanowatt power level rectification efficiency times the number of diodes in the array.
For reference, there are a billion cells of 1000 square nanometer area each per square millimeter, 100 billion per square centimeter.
Order is imposed on the random thermal motion of electrons by the structual orderlyness of a diode array made of diodes made within a slab:
v v v v v v v v v v v v v v v v v
All the P type semiconductor anodes abut a metal conductive plane deposited on the top face of the slab with nonrectifying joins; all the N type semiconductor cathodes abut the bottom face. As the polarity filtered electrical energy is exported, the amount of thermal energy in the group of diodes decreases. This group cooling will draw heat in from the surrounding ambient heat at a rate depending on the filtering rate and thermal resistance between the group and ambient gas, liquid, or solid warmer than absolute zero. There is a lot of ambient heat on our planet, more in equatorial dry desert summer days and less in polar desert winter nights.
Focusing on explaining the electronic behavior of one composition of simple diode, a near flawless crystal of silicon is modified by implanting a small amount of phosphorus (N type)on one side from a ohmic contact end to a junction where the additive is suddenly and completely changed to boron (P type) with minimal disturbance of the crystal lattice. The crystal then continues to another ohmic contact.
A region of high electrical resistance forms at the junction in this type of diode when the phosphorous near the ĵunction donates electrons that are free to move elsewhere while leaving phosphorus ions held in the crystal while the boron ions donate holes which are similalarly free to move. The two types of mobile charges mutually clear each other away near the junction leaving little electrical conductivity. An equlibrium width of this region is settled between the phosphorus, boron, electrons, and holes. Thermal noise is beyond steady state equlibrium. Thermal noise transients, where mobile electrons move from the phosphorus added side to the boron added side ride transient extra conductivity so the forward moving electrons are preferentally filtered into the external circuit. Electrons are units of electric current. They lose their thermal energy of motion and gain electromotive force, another name for voltage, as they transition between the junction and the array electrical tap. Inside the diode, heat is absorbed: outside the diode, an attached electrical circuit is energized.
Understanding diodes is one way to become convinced that Johnson Nyquest thermal electrical noise can be rectified and aggregated. Self assembling development teams may find many ways to accomplish this wide mission. Taxonomically there should be many ways ways to convert heat directly into electricity.
A practical device may use an array of Au needles in a SiO2 matrix abutting N type GaAs. These were made in the 1970s when registration technology was poor so it was easier to fabricate arrays and select one diode than just make one diode.
There are other plausible breeches of the second law of thermodynamics. Hopefully a lot of people will join in expanding the breech. Please share the successes or setbacks of your efforts.
These devices would probably become segmented commodities sold with minimal margin over supply cost. They would be manufactured by advanced automation that does not need financial incentive. Applicable best practices would be adopted. Business details would be open public knowledge. Associated people should move as negotiated and freely and honestly talk. Commerce would be a planetary scale unified conglomerate of diverse local cooperatives. There is no need of wealth extracting top commanders. We do not need often token philanthropy from the top if the wide majority can afford to be generous.
Aloha
Charles M Brown
Kilauea Kauai Hawaii 96754
Rooftop Solar and Battery, both home and commercially, combined with Tesla Virtual Power Plant Technology will quickly transform the power grid. Coal will quickly be eliminated as a source of electric generation. Unfortunately the negative consequence will be skyrocketing concrete prices as flyash waste from coal plants is used in concrete as a low cost input.
Desert sand has just been used to make concrete. Up till now, only beach sand could be used. Throw in integrated design which will use less concrete to enclose as much space, and we are covered for a while.
Land use BS... That includes All range land... Not usable for ag... An incredibly stupid statistic.
Then rebuild a prarie bison ecology. An incredibly efficient carbon sequestration system.
Precision fermentation is not economically more efficient. It's not energy efficient. The amount needed to run those bioreactors and the amount of stainless steel needed to make them in order to replace global meat production is colossal. Sustainability has not been proven. Not to mention the complexity and sensitivity of the operation...Talking cost curves but you still need technological breakthroughs. None are viable with the scale that is required to do this and you're not addressing the further environment destruction. Where is the environmental assessment that proves this path is better for the planet?
Painting a very skewed picture here. in favour of ideology.
As I understand it, there are no technological breakthroughs required. It will only take convergence of the technologies combined with economy of scale to bring the cost way down. The Superpower paradigm of overbuilding SWB, without even considering the huge increase in near zero marginal cost energy with a modest further investment, will provide plenty of power. Why will only stainless steel work? Huge amounts of land will be freed up to sequester carbon. Huge amounts of water will be saved. Pesticide and fertilizer use will be slashed. As to complexity, the civilization that created Project Apollo, the Interstate Highway System and the Internet should be up to it.