Thanks Oscar, for your timely information on visa bulletin. As your previous video predicted this information. I wasn’t expecting much in this FY. October is likely to bring forward movement
@@donimic9276 no discussion. The first phase of i-140 brings much more anxiety than any other. I am depending on VB now, but my anxiety is nothing compared to the uncertainty of being accepted or not. No complaints
Hi Oscar. Many thanks for this video. One doubt...These 20 months period (average) should be expected by those who apply with premium processing as well or it's quicker for those?
Hi Oscar.. I am going to apply in EB2 NIW visa.. Can you please let me that how many independent recommendation letter required along with known recommendation letter in application. Please reply? Many thanks
Whether each VISA category (Say EB1) 7% limit is applicable? what happens if there aren't enough applications from a particular country (example - ROW) to reach the 7% limit for an EB1 category?
Many thanks for all the informative videos you post ! Can one file EB2/3 while filing dates have 2year delay? That seems straightforward but actually confusing...
If you already submitted for change of status based on table B(when that was still possible), does the stagnation or possible retrogression also affect you ? Or does it affect only those waiting to submit?
It’s confusing because I was never current on table A, only on B. Do they process those who submit based on B or just allow them to submit until they become current on A ?
It depends on the month. Roughly for half a year they accept cases for AOS based on table B. But they wouldn't give the green card unless they are also current on table A@@OCC3791
Hi Oscar, just a quick one. if one applies for eb2 niw via the expatiated rout, will the waiting time be far less than perhaps the 20 months, and if so, approximately how long will it take
Hi Oscar, We have 140,000 employment based IV in a year. How many of those are EB1 and do we have a further breakdown by say EB1 India, EB1 China, etc?
No, I can't because I don't know what the future visa bulletins will bring . Also I don't know your category or country, but I won't predict anyway as it would be disingenuous
My priority date in the I 797 is February 2024, and about to apply for my one year OPT soon this June. Do you think that I will get the GC before JUNE next year? Thanks for the detailed information Oscar.
Hi oskar , i hope you are good. I have completed master degree on Accounting. I also had completed course from Chartered accountant. I have also license on Income tax practice. Last 14 years i am doing job in accounts and finance department as a manager. I have written a book on income tax. Now if i will submit my niw file how many chance it will be to approve??
the threads on reddit, that make predictions based on quarterly uscis report, say worst case 4 months (June), best case 6 months (around August), but now we need to see how many weeks or months the retrogression will be
I think it's pointless to try to predict. In EB2 we had less than 2 years of "not current" for ROW so even if you try to come up with some data, there isn't enough data to sample from (and that's ignoring the fact that things like demand change over time). Focus on what's important: the quality of your case
You are not the one to decide or assume..oh do according to my statistics and calculations I will likely get GC in 2027. Get over with it.. you have no idea about the messed up immigration system is especially when it comes to GC. Be prepared for another 18 yrs..my personal experience.
hi oscar, im planning to file eb2 niw. im in my 4th year of phd in us under f1 and probably graduate in 2 years. if once my i-140, approves, then is it guaranteed that i get GC once the visa bulletin date hits my priority date?
nothing in life is guaranteed but once the I-140 is approved it is very likely you'll get the green card if you have maintained legal status, were trutful, and you don't have any other legal issue
Hi Oscar, Please reply. My PD is 22 Apr 2012 and I am Indian citizen. When can I expect my date to become current? Do you think only October will bring the hope?
Is this based on country where u r born or the current nationality? Also, do u have video on someone who is already in the US on H1/L1 visa and want to apply for eb2 niw?
@@jonathannaab2887it means the dates will be pushed backwards rather than forwards. That means if your PD is current now it might not be current in July and you can’t apply anymore.
Hello oscar, Most likely retrogression worldwide final action date ( including Philippines and Mexico) Dose that mean the retrogression will affect all countries or only Philippines and Mexico Thx
After watching the video i did a comparison of last 21 months on final action dates and dates for filing EB application which you have termed as bad news, honestly, from my point of view, pattern remains unchanged or very slightly changed in terms of timelines, see below: 1. Oct-2022 -Current & Current 2. Nov-2022 -Current & Current 3. Dec-2022 -01 Nov 2022 & 01 Dec 2022 4. Jan-2023 -01 Nov 2022 & 01 Dec 2022 5. Feb-2023 -01 Nov 2022 & 01 Dec 2022 6. Mar-2023 -01 Nov 2022 & 01 Dec 2022 7. Apr-2023 -01 Jul 2022 & 01 Dec 2022 8. May-2023 -15 Feb 2022 & 01 Dec 2022 9. Jun-2023 -15 Feb 2022 & 01 Dec 2022 10. Jul-2023 -15 Feb 2022 & 01 Dec 2022 11. Aug-2023 -01 Apr 2022 & 01 Dec 2022 12. Sep-2023 -01 Jul 2022 & 01 Dec 2022 13. Oct-2023 -08 Jul 2022 & 01 Jan 2023 14. Nov-2023 -15 Jul 2022 & 01 Jan 2023 15. Dec-2023 -15 Jul 2022 & 01 Jan 2023 16. Jan-2024 -01 Nov 2022 & 15 Feb 2023 17. Feb-2024 -15 Nov 2022 & 15 Feb 2023 18. Mar-2024 -22 Nov 2022 & 15 Feb 2023 19. Apr-2024 -15 Jan 2023 & 15 Feb 2023 20. May-2024 -15 Jan 2023 & 15 Feb 2023 21. Jun-2024 -15 Jan 2023 & 15 Feb 2023
@@OscarsGreenCard There is one factor that this individual may not be considering why data from 2019-2023 isn't reliable that is COVID. Those years had high FB GC spillover one year had up to 285 K this fiscal year only 161K. So each year the spillover gets less but the demand increases hence longer wait time. So this year it's 14 months back with 161k allotment, we know the demand is higher and If come October there is only 140k then the waiting time must increase.
Thanks, Oscar, for the update. It is indeed bad news with anticipated deterioration in the coming month. If no Visa, keep the table stable, but retrogression is terrible.
@@OscarsGreenCard we know there is visa backlog but the way you introduce the topic it feel that you are so happy for backlog. Sometimes it is good to add a sense of positivity even if the realism is bad.
✅ Link to EB2 NIW online course payhip.com/b/gfuRU
☑ Link to EB-1A online course payhip.com/b/mkQln
Ops. Retrogression... Oh no! Really hope it's not a major movement and we don't face an extra longer delay.
yes...fingers crossed...
@@OscarsGreenCard Retrogression and back going PD is coming for EB2 NIW!! It´s written in June Visa bulletin 😞
Everyone in ROW, please contact your congressman, and ask them to increase the immigrant quotas. Current quotas is still enacted in 1990.
Thanks Oscar, for your timely information on visa bulletin. As your previous video predicted this information. I wasn’t expecting much in this FY. October is likely to bring forward movement
I'm on same page
that's the right attitude. I just needed to deliver the news ;)
Oscar, I am worried about I 140 approval rather than visa bulleting.
Finally, you will worried about the endless waiting line.
@@donimic9276 I understand him. It is worthless getting worried about the visa bulletin if the i140 has not been approved yet
Lol yeah me too. My case is still stuck at the we received your case situation since Dec 2023 and if I get I-140 approved all my hardship will resolve
@@donimic9276 no discussion. The first phase of i-140 brings much more anxiety than any other. I am depending on VB now, but my anxiety is nothing compared to the uncertainty of being accepted or not. No complaints
I think that makes more sense. The Visa Bulletin...you can't really do much about it anyway
Hi Oscar,
Any idea when f2b will become current? Why isn’t that moving forward? Priority date is 1/1/2021
Hi Oscar. Many thanks for this video. One doubt...These 20 months period (average) should be expected by those who apply with premium processing as well or it's quicker for those?
No, it's not quicker because Premium Processing only affects the I-140 step, not the overall wait time dictated by the visa bulletin
you still need to wait until you can file for the i485
Hi Oscar.. I am going to apply in EB2 NIW visa.. Can you please let me that how many independent recommendation letter required along with known recommendation letter in application. Please reply? Many thanks
Look for my video here in RUclips about independent recommendations or join my online course payhip.com/b/gfuRU
If my H1B expires waiting to file for i485, do i need to leave the country?
(no renewals left)
You must maintain legal status. If you are not sure about your situation, consult an immigration attorney.
My priority date for EB2 NIW ROW is April 28, 2023. Do you think it is likely the DOF will be past May 1 in October?
Whether each VISA category (Say EB1) 7% limit is applicable? what happens if there aren't enough applications from a particular country (example - ROW) to reach the 7% limit for an EB1 category?
The 7% quota for each country is an overall quota, not a category quota
Thanks for all you do❤
:)
In case of RFE which date is priority? The date that USCI accepted the case or the date that they received the RFE?
priority date does not change if you get an RFE
i am not moved by what i hear or see, i am getting my GC in less than a year!!!
Muchas Gracias Oscar!
De nada, gracias por estar aquí
Oscar, thanks for your motivation! By stepping our foot in line, that means we can file eb2 beside delayed filing dates?
You can always file an I-140 regardless of the visa bulletin wait times
Is that bad news for PD November 2022. Or it is bad for upcoming aos application
Hi sir rest of the would final action ab3 other workers also effect retrogression blackwood priyoti date sir plz give me answer
Hey Oscar, My priority date is 10/18/21 (F2A) what do you expect next, because I can’t read the visa bulletin. Thanks!
hi Oscar, will this affect the approval rates for the I - 140 , even for premium processing?
No
hi Oscar. Thank you.
So the visa bulletin those not impact the I-140 petition.
Many thanks for all the informative videos you post ! Can one file EB2/3 while filing dates have 2year delay? That seems straightforward but actually confusing...
Yes, if you are referring to I-140 step
Hi Oskar, thanks for the video. Does that mean I shouldn't apply right now for EB2 visa and wait until October?
No, you can always apply. I address that question in the next video ruclips.net/video/Rcs7_wIV1TM/видео.html
@@OscarsGreenCard thank you for your quick reply
Hi Oscar, thanks for this info. Does this update affect the processing time for the i140 application or only the adjustment of status application?
Adjustment of status
When the new fiscal year starts will final action date for eb1 move drastically?
We'll have to see then
Oscar u r always helpful and kind. Can u tell us how much retrogression time in month if occur any idea
Thanks. Unfortunately I (or anyone else) can't know that information until it's public
To clarify, this would not impact the number of I-140s which are approved?
No, it impacts the overall timeline
Why L1a approved I-140 dont get same treatment as H1B approved I-140? L1A should also get automated renewal once I-140 is approved?
H visas don't get automatic renewal. They are able to renew beyond the six year limit
@@OscarsGreenCard do you think that my PD will get current before i max out? What options do i have? Please guide. Thanks
Question sir, 140,000 green card for each country?
No. I explained it here ruclips.net/video/Rcs7_wIV1TM/видео.html
why f2b dont move ?
If you already submitted for change of status based on table B(when that was still possible), does the stagnation or possible retrogression also affect you ? Or does it affect only those waiting to submit?
It can affect you if it retrogresses past your PD. Then your adjustment of status will be paused
It’s confusing because I was never current on table A, only on B. Do they process those who submit based on B or just allow them to submit until they become current on A ?
It depends on the month. Roughly for half a year they accept cases for AOS based on table B. But they wouldn't give the green card unless they are also current on table A@@OCC3791
@@OscarsGreenCard Thank You for your candid responses
My pd is oct 28, 2020. I am FAD employment based F4. Is that good ?
Hi Oscar, just a quick one. if one applies for eb2 niw via the expatiated rout, will the waiting time be far less than perhaps the 20 months, and if so, approximately how long will it take
Premium processing takes around 2-3 weeks
@@faisal.mahmood thanks
Hi, I don't know what "expatiated rout" means to you. Premium processing does not shorten the overall process , only I-140 step
and for Brazilian?
Brazil is in the first column with everyone else
Hi, Oscar
Can you make a prediction about F4 visas?
I don't make predictions
Hello Oscar! Just one question, if I hired a lawyer, and he applied for me my case, does it influence terms? Thanks
Depends how good or bad the lawyer is and how good or bad your DIY case is. There is no straight answer
Hi Oscar,
We have 140,000 employment based IV in a year. How many of those are EB1 and do we have a further breakdown by say EB1 India, EB1 China, etc?
roughly 28% for EB1, it's in the visa bulletin. 7% for each country for the total (family plus employment)
I'm submitting my I140 this week. Can you predict how much time will I have to wait until I get my green card on average?
No, I can't because I don't know what the future visa bulletins will bring . Also I don't know your category or country, but I won't predict anyway as it would be disingenuous
My priority date in the I 797 is February 2024, and about to apply for my one year OPT soon this June. Do you think that I will get the GC before JUNE next year? Thanks for the detailed information Oscar.
Seems unlikely but I can't see the future (yet) so I can't predict
Oscar, if my priority is Oct 22 and Im 2nd, do u know what nothing happening with my case???
When I can ask for an expedited visa. My pd is June 2023. I got EB3 process
There's no way to expedite if your PD is not current
Hi oskar , i hope you are good. I have completed master degree on Accounting. I also had completed course from Chartered accountant. I have also license on Income tax practice. Last 14 years i am doing job in accounts and finance department as a manager. I have written a book on income tax. Now if i will submit my niw file how many chance it will be to approve??
Hi Oscar, can you make a video on the data published by the USCIS for the quarterly numbers?
If you are referring to approvals, I always make a quaterly video. The last one is literally from 10 days ago ruclips.net/video/94j1tCUlEwM/видео.html
Oscar do you have data on how much the filing date moves at the start of a new fiscal year?
the threads on reddit, that make predictions based on quarterly uscis report, say worst case 4 months (June), best case 6 months (around August), but now we need to see how many weeks or months the retrogression will be
I think it's pointless to try to predict. In EB2 we had less than 2 years of "not current" for ROW so even if you try to come up with some data, there isn't enough data to sample from (and that's ignoring the fact that things like demand change over time). Focus on what's important: the quality of your case
How much is the share of EB2NIW in this 140 000 visa?
NIW doesn't have a separate quote. It's approx 29% for EB-2 as a whole
My perm was filed on 4/23/24 so that is my priority date so most likely will get green card until 2027 ?
You are not the one to decide or assume..oh do according to my statistics and calculations I will likely get GC in 2027. Get over with it.. you have no idea about the messed up immigration system is especially when it comes to GC. Be prepared for another 18 yrs..my personal experience.
I don't do predicitions, we will have to see how the bulletin progresses (or not)
I’m in going to apply for eb2-niw. To clarify, PD - date when I apply first form or when I receive approval? Thanks
when you apply
hi oscar, im planning to file eb2 niw. im in my 4th year of phd in us under f1 and probably graduate in 2 years. if once my i-140, approves, then is it guaranteed that i get GC once the visa bulletin date hits my priority date?
nothing in life is guaranteed but once the I-140 is approved it is very likely you'll get the green card if you have maintained legal status, were trutful, and you don't have any other legal issue
Hi Oscar, Please reply. My PD is 22 Apr 2012 and I am Indian citizen. When can I expect my date to become current? Do you think only October will bring the hope?
@oscarsgreencard? ^^
Unfortunately I don't have a crystal ball but we are likely not going to see much change until next fiscal year
Hello, can I apply for a work permit after eb2 niw approved? I am on F1 visa, and I would really appreciate any help on that?
Not with an I-140 approved. You need to be current for adjustment of status
Is this based on country where u r born or the current nationality?
Also, do u have video on someone who is already in the US on H1/L1 visa and want to apply for eb2 niw?
Born. Not sure what video you are referring to but there's many interviews in the channel you can check out
@@OscarsGreenCard my friend, i meant if you can tell me the process for someone who has L1B and want to apply for Eb2 NiW, what would be the process
@@therandomchannel9226 It's the same process as for anyone else on a visa
You scared me with that "bad news" headline! I'm glad crucial dates stayed the same.
Well, that and retrogression coming likely in July
@@OscarsGreenCardwhen you say retrogression,what do you mean?
@@jonathannaab2887it means the dates will be pushed backwards rather than forwards. That means if your PD is current now it might not be current in July and you can’t apply anymore.
@@ahqasrawi ahh I see,thank you for clarifying. I appreciate it 👍🏿
Shall the new one's apply to EB2 or not
Please suggest
Hi sir my pariyoti date January 2021 octomber visa bulation your hope my corrent date or no october bisa bulataion corrent plz
My I-140 case has received on October 2023. Six months + over already, no update until now.
Good luck
Hello oscar,
Most likely retrogression worldwide final action date ( including Philippines and Mexico)
Dose that mean the retrogression will affect all countries or only Philippines and Mexico
Thx
All
PD Jan 2023 before the current FAD. Not looking forward to retrogression:(
Sorry man, it looks very likely but fingers crossed for you
After watching the video i did a comparison of last 21 months on final action dates and dates for filing EB application which you have termed as bad news, honestly, from my point of view, pattern remains unchanged or very slightly changed in terms of timelines, see below:
1. Oct-2022 -Current & Current
2. Nov-2022 -Current & Current
3. Dec-2022 -01 Nov 2022 & 01 Dec 2022
4. Jan-2023 -01 Nov 2022 & 01 Dec 2022
5. Feb-2023 -01 Nov 2022 & 01 Dec 2022
6. Mar-2023 -01 Nov 2022 & 01 Dec 2022
7. Apr-2023 -01 Jul 2022 & 01 Dec 2022
8. May-2023 -15 Feb 2022 & 01 Dec 2022
9. Jun-2023 -15 Feb 2022 & 01 Dec 2022
10. Jul-2023 -15 Feb 2022 & 01 Dec 2022
11. Aug-2023 -01 Apr 2022 & 01 Dec 2022
12. Sep-2023 -01 Jul 2022 & 01 Dec 2022
13. Oct-2023 -08 Jul 2022 & 01 Jan 2023
14. Nov-2023 -15 Jul 2022 & 01 Jan 2023
15. Dec-2023 -15 Jul 2022 & 01 Jan 2023
16. Jan-2024 -01 Nov 2022 & 15 Feb 2023
17. Feb-2024 -15 Nov 2022 & 15 Feb 2023
18. Mar-2024 -22 Nov 2022 & 15 Feb 2023
19. Apr-2024 -15 Jan 2023 & 15 Feb 2023
20. May-2024 -15 Jan 2023 & 15 Feb 2023
21. Jun-2024 -15 Jan 2023 & 15 Feb 2023
See my graph in the video, you are providing the same info :D
@@OscarsGreenCard There is one factor that this individual may not be considering why data from 2019-2023 isn't reliable that is COVID. Those years had high FB GC spillover one year had up to 285 K this fiscal year only 161K. So each year the spillover gets less but the demand increases hence longer wait time. So this year it's 14 months back with 161k allotment, we know the demand is higher and If come October there is only 140k then the waiting time must increase.
I am worried for my I-130 i submit to my son
Thanks, Oscar, for the update. It is indeed bad news with anticipated deterioration in the coming month.
If no Visa, keep the table stable, but retrogression is terrible.
I think retrogression just displays the real situation of number of visa available for FY
Yes, it's bad indeed!
Why deliver bad news with a grin?
why not?
Good... family categories should be prioritised immediately
Family and employment are different pools that don't conflict with each other, by law
Ridiculous
:(
Why all your videos discouraging try to add some positivity please
I tell it like it is, good when it's good and bad when it's bad. If you want to be told something just to make you happy...this is not your channel
@@OscarsGreenCard we know there is visa backlog but the way you introduce the topic it feel that you are so happy for backlog. Sometimes it is good to add a sense of positivity even if the realism is bad.
@@NYUSA12 make up your mind...should I look happy or unhappy here?